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Paramount to Drop Blu-Ray for HD-DVD

Posted by ScuttleMonkey on Mon Aug 20, 2007 07:43 PM
from the eggs-and-baskets dept.
JM78 writes to tell us The New York Times is reporting that Paramount Pictures and DreamWorks Animation will be dropping support for Blu-ray Disc and going solely with HD-DVD for their next gen DVDs. "Jeffrey Katzenberg, CEO of DreamWorks Animation, said consumers seeking to switch to high-definition DVDs will be enticed by the movies available for HD-DVD players. He added the lower price for the Toshiba devices will appeal to the family market. 'It's a game-changer, what they're doing, and it's why we decided to throw in with them,' Katzenberg said."
+ -
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[+] Entertainment: NYT Confirms Movie Studios Paid to Support HD DVD 441 comments
An anonymous reader writes "The New York Times has confirmed the story that Paramount and DreamWorks Animation were paid $150 million for an exclusive HD-DVD deal that will last 18 months. 'Paramount and DreamWorks Animation declined to comment. Microsoft, the most prominent technology company supporting HD DVDs, said it could not rule out payment but said it wrote no checks. "We provided no financial incentives to Paramount or DreamWorks whatsoever," said Amir Majidimehr, the head of Microsoft's consumer media technology group.'" We discussed Paramount's defection on Monday.
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  • Yeah, right. (Score:5, Insightful)

    by taskiss (94652) on Monday August 20 2007, @07:46PM (#20299027)
    I smell someone making an argument to get a better deal.
    • Re: (Score:3, Informative)

      I think the deals are being made all over the place, funny though when you look at it, it's still essentially a stalemate. I'm backing blu-ray, odds are you back hd-dvd.
      • Re: (Score:3, Interesting)

        I don't have a horse in this race. I just want the reader/writer to come down in price already!
      • Re:Yeah, right. (Score:5, Insightful)

        by Araxen (561411) on Monday August 20 2007, @08:28PM (#20299345)
        I'm backing whomever gets sub $100 first. Blu-ray doesn't appear to be too aggressive in the pricing part of this war. The dvd's themselves are a stalemate are far as I'm concerned. I'll be surprised if any studio will actually fill up an entire blu-ray dvd to make HD-DVD look that much more inferior of a format so it all comes down to price for me.

        The studios will go wherever the biggest user base is eventually.
            • Re:Yeah, right. (Score:4, Informative)

              by ResidntGeek (772730) on Tuesday August 21 2007, @12:18AM (#20301043) Journal
              HD-DVD does support mandatory Linear PCM, so no worries there.
              • by John_Booty (149925) <johnbooty@@@bootyproject...org> on Tuesday August 21 2007, @12:45AM (#20301193) Homepage
                > by Seumas (6865) on Tuesday August 21, @01:08AM (#20300997)
                > My understanding is that HD-DVD does not do uncompressed audio
                > like Blu-Ray. That alone is enough to sell me on Blu-Ray. I
                > spent $20,000 on the audio system for my home entertainment
                > center and I want the best quality media. I don't care if I
                > can buy a HD-DVD player for $100 cheaper than a Blu-Ray --
                > if the quality isn't there, it isn't of interest.

                > by ResidntGeek (772730) on Tuesday August 21, @01:18AM (#20301043)
                > HD-DVD does support mandatory Linear PCM, so no worries there.

                I like how that guy spent $20,000 on audio equipment, but can't do 30 seconds of research. I really need some clients like him. :)
            • Re:Yeah, right. (Score:5, Informative)

              by WARM3CH (662028) on Tuesday August 21 2007, @02:40AM (#20301767)
              LPCM support is mandatory for both standards. However, you maybe surprised to know that Dolby TrueHD, which is a lossless compression method, is mandatory for HD-DVD and is only optional for Blue-ray. As a result, most of the HD-DVD titles come with the audio compressed with TrueHD and no LPCM (selecting only one of the mandatory options), saving between 2:1 to 4:1 on storage space while blue-ray titles, should always carry the LPCM soundtrack and in practice rarely include a TrueHD track. Carrying only LPCM means that all other nice features of TureHD is going to be missed: dialog normalization, Dynamic range compression, downmixing to any arbitrary number of channels, etc...
    • Re:Yeah, right. (Score:5, Informative)

      by Technician (215283) on Monday August 20 2007, @08:20PM (#20299281)
      I smell someone making an argument to get a better deal.

      Doubly suspicious since the family friendly Blockbuster Rental stores simply will be stocking mostly Blu-Ray.

      "Paramount's move comes weeks after Blockbuster, the DVD rental chain, said it would stock more Blu-ray discs to cope with rising consumer demand."

      From the article here;
      http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/e8569e16-4f61-11dc-b485- 0000779fd2ac,dwp_uuid=e8477cc4-c820-11db-b0dc-000b 5df10621.html [ft.com]

          • by KingSkippus (799657) * on Tuesday August 21 2007, @10:04AM (#20304821) Homepage Journal

            I don't know where you heard this, but HD-DVD has many more backers than "only" Toshiba and Microsoft. Here is a short list [wikipedia.org]. Also, keep in mind that HD-DVD is the format supported by the DVD Forum [wikipedia.org], aka the DVD consortium, the builders and maintainers of the original DVD format, which means that every company that backs DVDs is indirectly backing HD-DVD, whether they want to or not.

            And while it's true that a common misconception is that Sony "owns" Blu-ray, it's also true that Sony is THE major backer and has the most at stake in Blu-ray winning the format war. The movie studios are still on the fence. Even the studios that released Blu-ray versions of movies have only released minor movies and old movies, and could switch at the drop of a hat at any time. Ditto Blockbuster video. If Blu-ray suddenly and dramatically lost the format war to HD-DVD, they wouldn't be impacted very much. (They've planned it that way, incidentally.) However, Sony sold its soul in including the Blu-ray drive in its PS3, and if the format fails, they'll be FUBAR.

            Of course, I personally don't think that Blu-ray or HD-DVD will win the format war. The next major format is not media at all; it's network delivery of content. Ten years from now, the concept of having to put a disc into a drive to watch a movie will seem quaint.

  • by FreeKill (1020271) on Monday August 20 2007, @07:55PM (#20299083) Homepage
    I know I don't. It really doesn't matter if Blu-Ray or HD-DVD wins out in the end, there can't be that many consumers out there who are planning to start upgrading their existing DVD collection to one of these formats. I have an HDTV and regular DVD's look just fine. I know these new formats offer better quality, but the difference and enhancements are not enough to warrant an upgrade. From VHS to DVD was worthwhile, this is just a stop gap measure. I personally don't plan to upgrade at all until something significantly better comes along. Maybe the next generation after this...
    • by sxltrex (198448) on Monday August 20 2007, @08:06PM (#20299175)
      The thing I can't believe is that they expect anyone to make any sort of investment as long as there are two formats. Too many of us remember being burned by VHS/Beta. That's one of the reasons CDs were such a huge hit--when the CD came out it was a tremendous improvement PLUS there was no format competition. I won't even consider either format until it is the only format. Until then, I could care less about the details.
    • Re: (Score:3, Interesting)

      I just want a Blu-Ray writer for my computer, backing up 25GBs of data on a single layer disc would make it worth it for me.
          • by king-manic (409855) on Monday August 20 2007, @08:55PM (#20299563)
            Bluray and HD-DVD have virtually identical technologies in almost all ways except data density and software. The scratch proof coating is actually pretty scratch proof on both. The only difference is in HD DVD it's optional. So really cheap HD-DVD's will be as bad as really cheap DVD's while Blu-ray has to be coated if they want to stamp it bluray.
    • Re: (Score:3, Informative)

      Actually, yeah. I know a lot of people (myself included) who have not bought a new DVD in a year -- I'm not going to rebuy my collection, and its silly at this point to buy them in SD.

      The format war needs to end, either through surrender (unlikely) or through dual-format players becoming available.
      • by king-manic (409855) on Monday August 20 2007, @08:51PM (#20299539)
        I've noticed at all the rip you off outlets (Visions) HD-DVD movies tend to be more expensive then blurays ones for exactly the same movies. I wonder why? 300 was $29.95 cnd for blue ray but $39.95 for HD-DVD at visions electronics.
        • by SuperKendall (25149) on Monday August 20 2007, @10:08PM (#20300163)
          I've noticed at all the rip you off outlets (Visions) HD-DVD movies tend to be more expensive then blurays ones for exactly the same movies. I wonder why?

          Because HD-DVD ships you combo discs that play in both normal DVD players and HD-DVD players - and you get to pay extra for the priviledge.

          As a bonus, sometimes the layers seperate and destroy the disc 300 had that issue. It's not common though, just like the Blu-Ray layer seperation issue was in small batches. Still, paying extra for discs where you only want the HD content is really annoying.
      • by the eric conspiracy (20178) on Monday August 20 2007, @08:55PM (#20299557)
        $100 does not get you a good upconverting player. For that you are in the $200+ range. If you rent more than buy, the cost of movies is the same. There is no significant reason not to go with a HD-DVD player if you rent.

      • by jridley (9305) on Monday August 20 2007, @09:02PM (#20299635)
        1080p is nowhere NEAR film grain quality. That's still only in the 2 megapixel range. When you start seeing video where each frame is in the 10-20 megapixel range, then you might be talkin'.

        I held off on LaserDisc way before the DVD even began development, because I was certain that within a few years someone would come out with a format that put LaserDisc quality on something the size of a CD. That was a good decision. However, I'm actually pretty happy with DVD. Yeah, I can see artifacts on my 100" projector, but I don't have any problems ignoring them and just watching the movie.

        I'll get an HD player at some point but it won't bother me in the least if it's 5 or 10 years from now. I probably won't bother until I can buy an HD-R drive for my computer for $50.
        • by RzUpAnmsCwrds (262647) on Monday August 20 2007, @09:54PM (#20300061)
          Wrong. People keep saying this, but 35mm motion picture is nowhere near 20 megapixels when you're talking about the third or fourth generation prints that go to theathers.

          Many, many films today use digital color correction or digital effects at 2k (2048x1080p) resolution. Major films, including Mann's Collateral and Miami Vice, Episode III, and others are 'filmed' digitally at 2k resolution with great success.

          Go see a digital cinema. It is shockingly better - sharper, no gate jitter, and no noise. 2K is more than adequete.
        • by daBass (56811) on Monday August 20 2007, @11:44PM (#20300883)
          Most hollywood films you would see now in the cinema were edited using Digital_intermediates [wikipedia.org]; film scanned at either 2K or (probably more common now) 4K and then recorded back to film. That is 4000 pixels wide, not 4000 lines. So at the now popular 1:2.35 aspect ratio, that is less than 7MP.

          Plus when projected, the actual resolution of film as seen off the silver screen is very, very low. This is simply because running at 24 fps through a projector and being stopped for a brief moment it is on screen, the frame is never completely flat or motionless. Plus the frame is tiny and the much larger magnification needed compared to a digital projector's CCD/whatever brings with it a lot of unsharpness due to lens flaws. Not to mention the positive film you see in the theater is a 3rd or 4th generation copy from the original negative.

          This is why even 2K digital scans in the theater are a lot sharper than any project 35mm/24fps film will ever be. Not to mention far less black time in between frames.

          Back to HD-DVD:

          If you have a computer or laptop capable of playing it back and an HDTV with HDMI or DVI input (or a converter plug) you should try a downloaded HD rip. (search for "1080p" on any torrent site) I only have a 37" 720p TV with a rather good upscaling HDMI DVD player. But even at just 720p, downloaded 4 mb/sec x264 movies ripped from BR/HDVD played back on this TV using DVI from my MacBook Pro look a lot better than any upscaled DVDs.

          I also can't wait for Dolby TrueHD audio from the actual discs!

          That said, a far cheaper upgrade would have been h.264 on the same 9GB disk. No room for TrueHD audio, but any feature film would have fit at a high enough bitrate to put any DVD to shame.
  • by Anonymous Coward on Monday August 20 2007, @07:56PM (#20299105)
  • by SyncNine (532248) on Monday August 20 2007, @07:57PM (#20299121)
    I don't think this was the best time for Paramount to jump ship on the Blu-ray line. While they _may_ have looked at the numbers involved, units sold, etc., all of that data was over the last year or so. What they didn't really consider was that a lot of non-videophile (aka., people who would buy a specific HD-DVD / Blu-ray player) purchasers were going to start purchasing PS3s...

    With Sony's recent price drop, the sales of their console have increased. As far as consoles go, this isn't a tremendous jump -- they're still trailing behind Microsoft and Nintendo as far as sales. As far as HD-Movie players go, however, this is quite a jump. According to 'figures' and sources [kotaku.com]., they are seeing up to a 135% increase in sales after their price drop. That's a lot of Blu-ray players on the market that weren't there a short time ago.

    Personally, I'm pissed! I purchased a PS3 during the price drop and I'm ok with what Sony has to offer for the console and with what movies are presently out (though, admittedly, I'd like more on both fronts), but you'll notice I said 'ok', I didn't say I was a raving Sony fanboy. I think there could be more selection of movies and games -- and it saddens me that I will now not be able to own a 1080p copy of Transformers to watch on my 51" HDTV because some pockets were apparently lined. [deadlineho...ddaily.com]

    I understand that I'm not the norm in the market -- a lot of people don't have HDTVs, and a lot of people that do don't have big-screened HDTVs, but even with that, I think that it's a big step backwards for Paramount to alienate my class of shopper.

    Then again, I'm sure everyone who was alienated by the Betamax -> VHS move was saying the same thing then ...
    • Re: (Score:3, Informative)

      Last time I checked Blu-Ray is selling twice as much discs as HDDVD [digitalartsonline.co.uk] in the United States, yet has probably more than 5 times (pulling those out of my ass, I don't know how many HD-DVD players + 360 add-ons were sold) the install base. This tells us one and one thing only : if you want to make a business decision on high-def formats, do not put too much emphasis on those 5 million PS3s sold, because an awful lot of them are not playing Blu-Ray movies, while ALL HD-DVD players are playing HD-DVD movies.
        • Hey I didn't say it wasn't noticeable.. it's just not striking like 1080p. My PS3 does an excellent job of upscaling.

          On another note... Holy cow. I just looked at 1080p projectors. I am NOT buying another TV. The Optoma HD80 1080p projector with a ceiling mount (I'd run the cables professional-quality myself) is my new goal. Run one HDMI cable, use a fully HDMI24 compliant HDMI switch for four sources, and you have yourself a hell of a system that 3 years ago would've cost $30,000 but today is under $3
  • Money Talks (Score:5, Informative)

    by JackSpratts (660957) on Monday August 20 2007, @08:00PM (#20299139) Homepage

    Blogger "Swanni" says the HD-DVD folks coughed up 100 mil to help Paramount reach the decision.

    - js.

    http://www.tvpredictions.com/bluraypay082007.htm [tvpredictions.com]
  • by Mr. Roadkill (731328) on Monday August 20 2007, @08:07PM (#20299187)
    The Victor Company of Japan called.

    They said they want their market disruption techniques back.
  • by aliquis (678370) <dospam@gmail.com> on Monday August 20 2007, @08:21PM (#20299293) Homepage
    I guess in the end we will end up with both formats, just like with DVD+ and -.

    Great, paying for two licenses always rule! Because one open one wouldn't do!

    What was chinas next-gen format called now again? I would assume their players will be cheap :)
  • (That's irony).

    Consumers won't buy into either format until they see some signs of stability.

    As long as it's on-again, off-again, now-you-see-it, now-you-don't, consumers will just hold off.

    Once a company declares it will support either format... or both... it should stick with whatever they've announced. Fickle commitments that change every six months just hurt both formats.

    As with the stock market, what investors hate is uncertainty.
  • by Secrity (742221) on Monday August 20 2007, @08:30PM (#20299361)
    Neither format has caught on at all, and the only players that are in homes in any sort of numbers are the PS3. I think that most people who have a PS3 bought it as a gaming machine and don't care that it can play any sort of DVD. Any format decision made by any studio is subject to change without notice; if Blu-Ray becomes dominant I am sure that Paramount will make Blu-Ray disks. Other than all of the major studios going to only one format, the only significant format change by a studio would be if Sony started to sell their movies in HD-DVD.

    It could be that this is not a Beta / VHS format war, it be a Laserdisc flop and neither of the new formats will catch on; so far, it does not appear that people see a compelling reason to buy either HD-DVD or Blu-Ray players and disks.
  • by pembo13 (770295) on Monday August 20 2007, @08:34PM (#20299379) Homepage
    to use on Linux, after having paid for the appropriate hardware? Or are we required to pay for the hardware + Windows + software + disk?
  • Are we there yet? (Score:4, Insightful)

    by TrumpetPower! (190615) <ben@trumpetpower.com> on Monday August 20 2007, @08:38PM (#20299417) Homepage

    It seems to me that a really big reason why neither Blu-Ray nor HD-DVD are likely to catch on is the simple fact that sneakernet in general is going the way of the buggy whip.

    Nor is it that regular DVDs are “good enough,” as some have suggested, but rather that we’re already moving beyond the station wagon filled with tapes, to simple high-bandwidth networks.

    It won’t be Blu-Ray that kills HD-DVD, or vice-versa, or even regular DVDs. It’ll be YouTube, iTunes, Bittorrent, and garden variety video-on-demand from your local telco monopoly. Sure, there’re plenty of shortcomings with all of those today, from quality to DRM to “ownership” to the time it takes to acquire a movie. But neither Blu-Ray nor HD-DVD intrinsically offer anything better over the online equivalents for those with bandwidth.

    Cheers,

    b&

  • by vanyel (28049) * on Monday August 20 2007, @08:47PM (#20299493) Journal
    Just reiterates my resolve that I'll buy a player when there's a decent dual-format player.
  • by Proudrooster (580120) on Monday August 20 2007, @08:49PM (#20299505) Homepage
    I am backing whoever defeats DRM so I can connect an HDMI cable to my MythTV box and record.watch Hi-Def content. Until that happens I will record analog only and get the High-Def content through other channels.
  • Weaker DRM in HD-DVD (Score:4, Interesting)

    by Nom du Keyboard (633989) on Monday August 20 2007, @09:05PM (#20299653)
    HD-DVD has a weaker DRM system since it doesn't have the BD+ capabilities of BluRay. Hey, that's a plus for the (worse) standard.

    As for the rumor posited above in another post that Microsoft paid a combined $150M to these two studios to induce a switch, the answer is obvious. Microsoft sells an HD-DVD player add-on for XBox 360, and likely hopes to see game titles released in the future utilizing it. It has totally thrown in with the (worse) HD-DVD system, and can't change horses now since Sony owns BluRay. Microsoft has a huge stake in seeing HD-DVD win.

  • by llZENll (545605) on Monday August 20 2007, @09:11PM (#20299705)
    Paramount is the biggest studio of 2007 with 18% market share.

    January 1-August 19, 2007
    Overall Gross: $6.585 billion
    Rank Distributor Market
    Share Total
    Gross* Movies
    Tracked 2007
    Movies**
    1 Paramount 18.1% $1,189.5 15 11
    2 Warner Bros. 14.8% $974.8 23 13
    3 Buena Vista 14.1% $930.6 16 8
    4 Sony / Columbia 14.0% $924.6 19 16
    5 Universal 11.3% $745.0 13 11
    6 20th Century Fox 10.9% $719.9 17 9

    http://www.boxofficemojo.com/studio/ [boxofficemojo.com]
  • by RobBebop (947356) on Monday August 20 2007, @09:54PM (#20300063) Homepage Journal

    These competing standards (that's an oxymoron if I've ever heard one) are both losers. When I go buy movies, I still buy DVDs (despite having an HD TV for 3+ years). Know why? Because it plays in my player.

    Eventually, a common player will be affordable for both HD and Blu. At that point, do you know who will win my business? That's right... Netflix. With the industry proving to me that ownership is dumb... I've gone from buying 3-5 DVDs a month to 1 every three months. When I get an upgraded player, I don't expect that there will ever be a movie that I'll want to own.

    Am I wrong, or has the format "war" done nothing but alienated consumers and shown that companies are too egotistical to work together to create standards that are actually beneficial to the end users... and for that, I trust them as far as I can throw them.

    • Re: (Score:3, Informative)

      I have to ask myself, what's the motive a studio would have with going toward HD DVD technology vs. Blu-Ray?
      Well for one they figure that there is a large mass of people with the hd-dvd player compared to the people with blue-ray players. also even the summary of the article answered your question with "He added the lower price for the Toshiba devices will appeal to the family market."
    • by ytsejammer (817925) on Monday August 20 2007, @08:23PM (#20299307)
      Really? Has there really been a major outcry among studios that DVD was just too small? If there has been, I haven't been aware of it.

      Besides, do you really think there will be another physical format after this? I'd be willing to bet that by the time this format war is finished and another one ready to begin, digital distribution will be quite ubiquitous.
    • by SuperKendall (25149) on Monday August 20 2007, @08:10PM (#20299207)
      Previously Blu-Ray sales had been about 2:1 in favor of Blu-Ray, though the whole year (66% to 34%, to be exact). Sony Blu-Ray players in the last few months have actually been outselling Toshiba standalone players, and that's not counting the PS3 numbers.

      Target had announced they were only offering a dedicated Blu-Ray player in store, and Blockbuster was only going to offer Blu-Ray in store.

      Now, with Paramount and Dreamworks the equation has changed. Blu-Ray still has really significant exclusives in Fox, Disney, and Sony (Star Wars/Pixar/Spider Man!). But, it will take much longer for Blu-Ray to win, if it can eventually. This means there is actually a war, as opposed to HD-DVD claiming tehre was a war and slowly fading away which is what was happening previous to this announcement.

      The rumor [deadlineho...ddaily.com] is that Microsoft paid Paramount $50M, and Dreamworks $100M, to make this switch (until now they had been neutral). Why would Microsoft do this? Pretty simple, if consumers are confused about which format to buy they are more likley just to download HD content from the only provider currently sellign HD content online. That provider is Microsoft...

      Bad news basically for consumers interested in HD content, as this will really kill sales for both formats through the year. Consumers want one choice.
      • This means there is actually a war, as opposed to HD-DVD claiming there was a war and slowly fading away which is what was happening previous to this announcement.

        What if there was a war, and nobody came. [frogcircus.org]

        The High Def format war seems more like a clown pie fight to me. Neither side is offering me anything that I want.

        The technology is so laden with anti-customer "features" that, frankly, I hope the both lose. I think this is a realistic possibility as downloadable HD content becomes commonly available, which you hit on later in your post.

        Peter

      • by RightSaidFred99 (874576) on Monday August 20 2007, @11:50PM (#20300921)
        Ahahaha. Ooh, that's a good one. The vasy majority of people don't know how to work their HDTV's, if they even have them. They certainly don't download movies to an HTPC, and most 360 players don't either. It's hilarious and ridiculous to think MS is doing this to sell online movies. They would literally be business retarded if that were the case, and they're anything but business retarded. Seriously, that's the most ridiculous, lame-brained conspiracy theory I've read in a while.
            • Not Nintendo (Score:5, Informative)

              by McFadden (809368) on Monday August 20 2007, @11:32PM (#20300787) Homepage

              They aren't selling below cost to kill a competitor, it's just that they've chosen to lose money on the consoles in order to make money selling games. That's nothing more than Sony and Nintendo have been doing for years.
              I'm amazed the debate has managed to last this long without someone pointing out that Nintendo don't do this, and as far as I know, never have with their consoles. The 'profit on every console sold' manta is one of the fundamental pillars of their business. I thought pretty much everyone knew that one.
      • Re: (Score:3, Insightful)

        Well yes but the real truth is that DVDs have been beating Blu Ray and HD DVD by about 500:1
        I don't think that blu ray has all that much in the way of momentum.
        • Re:Not quite (Score:5, Insightful)

          by CastrTroy (595695) on Monday August 20 2007, @08:56PM (#20299567) Homepage
          Exactly, the 2:1 sales ratio doesn't mean much when they sold so few units. It would be like comparing Mac computer sales to Linux computer sales, and forgetting to mention that windows sales are still through the roof. The simple fact is that most people don't care about HD movies. Same way they didn't care about HD Audio. There's just too little of a quality difference for most people to justify the inflated price, and a format war doesn't help the situation in the slightest.
      • by kimvette (919543) on Monday August 20 2007, @08:11PM (#20299221) Homepage
        The end result is obvious: eventually every player is going to be pushing drives that handle both high-capacity/high-def formats as well as DVD and CD, much like we saw with DVD-R vs. DVD+R. I agree though: this has been the only good news on HD-DVD's side in a while.
            • by InvalidError (771317) on Tuesday August 21 2007, @08:10AM (#20303385)
              The only BD advantages are 10GB of unused space, JVM and extra DRM... all of which add (mostly unnecessary/futile) costs/complexity in the player and media distribution chains.

              Since both HD-DVD and Blueray streams have maximum bitrates of 18Mbps (nearly twice DVD's 1X spec), HD-DVD's 15GB is already (though barely) sufficient to store a 2h movie at the maximum allowed bitrate. From what I read though, it seems most HD movies (both HD-DVD and Blueray) are encoded at rates in the area of 5-6Mbps so there should be plenty of space left for extras even on HD-DVD - at current typical rates, HD-DVD would be good for 5-7 hours, plenty long enough for any of the LotR extended editions. I personally do not care which one wins as long as I can watch stuff in full HD without flipping discs half-way.

              HD-DVD's 15GB capacity is sufficient for its primary purpose: cost-efficient HD movie distribution. Worst case, HD-DVD specs do allow for dual-layer discs should some titles (or disc writers) require extra space. For Joe Sixpack (at least those who do not have a PS3), the format war is likely to remain irrelevant until stand-alone players drop below $200. After this point, things could snowball towards HD-DVD - HD-DVD will almost certainly get there first, possibly this year.
        • by Fallen Kell (165468) on Monday August 20 2007, @10:33PM (#20300339)
          Links to top A/V sites:

          http://www.avsforum.com/avs-vb/showthread.php?p= 11351599
          http://www.blu-ray.com/news/?id=273
          htt p://www.guidetohometheater.com/hddiscplayers/1206p s3blu/index3.html
          http://www.insert25.com/playsta tion-3/ps3-better-console-or-blu-ray-player/
          http ://www.soundandvisionmag.com/hd-dvd-bluray/1927/sh ootout-3-blu-ray-disc-players-page9.html

          I could go on, but I don't need to. It says more that http://hdtvmagazine.com/ [hdtvmagazine.com] uses the PS3 as their "reference" player for BluRay. So does the fact that http://www.soundandvisionmag.com/ [soundandvisionmag.com] used it as well.