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Leaked MediaDefender Emails Show Student P2P Traffic Down

Posted by Zonk on Sun Dec 09, 2007 06:48 PM
from the they-are-tending-not-to-copy-that-floppy dept.
An anonymous reader writes "The MPAA and the RIAA have been targeting universities in a fury claiming that college students are causing them huge losses. However, some leaked MediaDefender emails show that may be a huge exaggeration. 'I also want to state that I am not for the illegal sharing of files. I am absolutely against it. I just want to make sure that the numbers presented in the media are fair numbers. I have a feeling they aren't fair at all. '"
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  • Actually... (Score:5, Informative)

    by adona1 (1078711) on Sunday December 09 2007, @07:04PM (#21635635)
    They don't show that student P2P traffic is down, just that the methods that the MAFIAA use to give numbers of students using P2P are flawed and the numbers are probably lower than they say. Given their sterling track record with manipulating numbers, it's hardly surprising. Plus, it really only deals with the Gnutella network, whereas most of the traffic nowadays would probably be using Bittorrent.
    • Just get all the nation's leading universities to drop their backbone connections in favor of Comcast cable. I promise you, you'll see a huge reduction in network utilization, and BitTorrent connections won't trouble your admins any longer.

      • Re:Problem solved. (Score:4, Informative)

        by Brian Gordon (987471) on Sunday December 09 2007, @08:31PM (#21636325)
        This guy is an idiot

        I realize some of the EDU IP addresses may be from a private NAT (Network Address Translation) which enables multiple hosts on a private network to access the Internet using a single public IP address. It is safe to say the numbers are probably a bit higher than the data shows but I wouldn't imagine it would be significantly higher.
        My 10000 student school has only a few dozen IPs. Yeah, a "bit higher".
    • by VirusEqualsVeryYes (981719) on Sunday December 09 2007, @07:27PM (#21635833)

      just that the methods that the MAFIAA use to give numbers of students using P2P are flawed and the numbers are probably lower than they say.


      RIAA fudges numbers, exaggerates case, claims huge losses; no plans to reimburse the artists in question. News at 11.
    • by Tatarize (682683) on Sunday December 09 2007, @08:09PM (#21636143) Homepage
      There's a number of P2P sites, and P2P programs which don't allow connections to MediaDefender or other such P2P sites. Personally I've seen their IPs end up in the blocked list of Peer Guardian more than a few times.

      I think perhaps they are experiencing a little bit of Heisenberg's at the macrolevel: By observing it, they are changing it. Send enough annoying letters saying X had Y media on X's computer on a P2P site as discovered by this IP address: Z, well, you're going to get programs cropping up to prevent any connections to Z.
    • Re: (Score:3, Interesting)

      The bit in the article that made me laugh: "Well, I couldn't feel comfortable downloading anything from Gnutella that's more than 4mb, so I'm just searching and searching. Then I start to think, if I'm on there researching, maybe that's what other people are on there doing." and uses that as one extrapolation as to how the numbers are inaccurate, when in reality, I think the numbers of connections that are on Gnutella "just to research what's there to download, and who's downloading, but not actually downlo
    • Re: (Score:3, Insightful)

      Plus, it really only deals with the Gnutella network, whereas most of the traffic nowadays would probably be using Bittorrent.
      I think we're also seeing a shift away from P2P and towards file hosting sites like Megaupload/Badongo/Zshare/Rapidshare etc, especially for newer albums.
    • Re:Actually... (Score:4, Interesting)

      by garcia (6573) on Sunday December 09 2007, @10:20PM (#21637117) Homepage
      02/01/07 342854 8398 2.40% 2.45
      04/12/07 291001 7175 2.50% 2.47
      06/14/07 265504 2475 0.93% 0.93
      07/14/07 199333 1303 0.65% 0.65


      Most colleges, on semesters, empty out in early May (1st or 2nd week). I want to see the data for 5/07 and then every month up through 12/07 when it lets out again.

      This blogger might have found the cycle of enrollment flow and nothing more -- as much as I don't like to admit it ;)
  • Bogus (Score:5, Insightful)

    by neokushan (932374) on Sunday December 09 2007, @07:04PM (#21635643)
    The MPAA and the RIAA have been targeting universities in a fury claiming that college students are causing them huge losses.

    This is a bogus claim anyway, everyone knows college kids (aka Students) are piss poor and couldn't afford to buy the music even if they didn't download it.
    Now they're just piss poor and bored.
    • Now they're just piss poor and bored.

      Pissed, poor, bored, depressed and worried because they are just wating to be sued for some songs they downloaded in 2000.

    • Re: (Score:2, Insightful)

      Instead of getting bored, they should be getting pissed. They are throwing away an opportunity to overcome a great challenge. Later, they'll be raising their families and not care about such silliness anymore, and of course keep reelecting the same politicians who brought all this upon them because they were promised "foreclosure relief" or victory in Iraq, or they'll either ban or mandate gay marriage, drugs, flag burning, bla bla bla. And the next generation will say something naughty...*sigh* Now I'm bor
    • Re:Bogus (Score:5, Insightful)

      by p0tat03 (985078) on Sunday December 09 2007, @08:49PM (#21636475)

      I call bullshit wishful thinking.

      I am in college, and I've been to the campuses of MANY others, for one reason or another, and while it's true that you've got some college students eking by on savings and loans, being very judicious in their spending, the vast majority are supported by middle-class parents, and have plenty of disposable income.

      No, indeed, while I am no fan of the MAFIAA, there IS a very real problem with our young people and their perceptions on copyright. The general consensus is that if they didn't have to filch if off a store shelf, it's morally a-ok, and this mentality pervades every college campus I've ever been to. I'll leave the psychological analysis of the why to people better qualified than I, but it is undeniable that the average college student thinks nothing wrong with piracy. It's perceived as a victimless crime.

      Seriously, if you can spend thousands boozing yourself up each year, you can't make the excuse that you're too poor to buy DVDs.

      • Re:Bogus (Score:5, Insightful)

        by LordLucless (582312) on Sunday December 09 2007, @09:49PM (#21636937)
        No, indeed, while I am no fan of the MAFIAA, there IS a very real problem with our young people and their perceptions on copyright.

        Either that, or there is a real problem with our copyright law.
        • Re:Bogus (Score:4, Interesting)

          by p0tat03 (985078) on Sunday December 09 2007, @10:22PM (#21637129)

          Whether or not you have the money to spend on DVDs is irrelevant if you don't buy them to begin with.

          Except these people have tens, if not hundreds of movies stored on their hard drives. I know of some outliers who even have thousands. Clearly they consume the media, and the vast majority have paid nothing for it. This isn't the case of the MAFIAA going after people who have no supposed interest in their products, trying to extract money out of them.

          I frequently hang around generally don't purchase DVDs or CDs unless it's really something they like

          Ah, the old "new stuff is crap, I don't pay for crap" excuse, which is valid so long as I can't catch you with the new Britney Spears album on your disk. If you're serious about only buying stuff you like, then only CONSUME stuff you like. Don't justify your piracy of a movie or album because "it's not worth the $X". For movies especially, there are plenty of avenues to avoid paying full-price, including renting the DVD.

          but I do want to make it very clear that the artists/labels and movie companies aren't getting money from a portion of these users whether they pirate the media or not

          Except the vast majority of college students aren't on a moral crusade against labels and studios that rip of the actual creative artists. Most students I've discussed this with don't even bother using it as an excuse, much less actually believing it. Like I said, piracy on campus is treated as a victimless crime, not "sticking it to the Man" of any sort.

    • Re: (Score:3, Insightful)

      This is a bogus claim anyway, everyone knows college kids (aka Students) are piss poor and couldn't afford to buy the music even if they didn't download it.

      When I was in college plenty students had large CD collections - that was when Napster was just getting on the scene, though. Have you ever been to college?

      Anyway, being poor doesn't give a right to pirate/steal.

  • by Anonymous Coward on Sunday December 09 2007, @07:05PM (#21635649)
    It's not down at my school....
    Just yesterday someone was talking about how they have 6000 illegal downloads. Someone else said "Only 6000?!"

    Not kidding.
    • is it only in USA the MAFIAA is threatning schools and universities or is it happening in other places? I have not heard of any thing here in sweden, the only thing is one time a BSA rep came to my brothers school and had a 1 hour talk.
  • Tongue in Cheek? (Score:3, Interesting)

    by explosivejared (1186049) <.hagan.jared. .at. .gmail.com.> on Sunday December 09 2007, @07:08PM (#21635667)
    Of course I don't want to download anything that would be considered illegal You're apparently a college student who doesn't pirate stuff? Are we supposed to take you seriously? You might as well tell us you're the son of God come back to earth to end world hunger and put an end to war, as that would be just as believable. What do you take slashdot for?

    I only kid. I do however think this is less than noteworthy. I'm pretty sure it's been widely known that the RIAA types have inflated their statistics for some time now, what with their formula of x number of pirated copies = x number of sales lost and then x sales lost * y unreasonable charge == z unrealistic losses.
    • I'm pretty sure it's been widely known that the RIAA types have inflated their statistics for some time now, what with their formula of x number of pirated copies = x number of sales lost and then x sales lost * y unreasonable charge == z unrealistic losses.

      That's the formula they use for PR to make them look sheepish. The formula they use in court is z unrealistic losses + c counts of infringement * s statutory damage = d claimed damage. However, since z / d is very close to 0, you can consider the actua

      • My bad, I just skimmed the article. The whole "RIAA isn't using FAIR STATISTICS!" seemed pretty hashed to me, so I figured a joke was in order. My bad though.
  • by Arabani (1127547) on Sunday December 09 2007, @07:08PM (#21635673)
    ... numbers distort the RIAA! But seriously, I doubt any of us are surprised that the RIAA's lying through its teeth. It's been suspected since, oh, just about forever. It's nice to have some supporting documentation, though.
  • So if this new data becomes widely published and accepted, how will the RIAA/MPAA react? Do they say "Our anti-piracy methods and DRM are working, and here's the proof"? That would be exactly what we don't want to see happen.

    Hopefully more data can be gathered and published showing not only what the real numbers are, but how the RIAA/MPAA get their numbers. If the EDUs of the world understand that piracy isn't as prevalent as claimed, we can hopefully see fewer DMCA letters and more advances in the fair
    • If the numbers went down, the MAFIAA will claim that their anti-piracy efforts are working. This means that not only will those anti-piracy efforts not go away, but people are much more likely to take them seriously with their next claim.

      If the numbers didn't go down, the MAFIAA will claim that piracy is rampant, and use that as an excuse to do even more DRM, and get even more laws passed for them.

      It's called spin. Let me try some of my own:

      If the numbers went down, I claim that this proves that piracy isn't as much of a threat to their profits as they thought, and therefore, DRM should end.

      If the numbers didn't go down, I claim that this proves that people are so sick and tired of the MAFIAA's bullshit on their legitimate products that they're willing to turn to piracy.

      Here's my trump card, though: If we really can't tell who's right, the default position should be consumer freedom.
      • Here's my trump card, though: If we really can't tell who's right, the default position should be consumer freedom.

        Have you tried taking back a freedom you gave someone? It's a lot harder than not giving it in the first place. There's a reason pretty much all the consumer rights have come through law - if it was up to the corporations they wouldn't let you do anything except the perscribed use. Anything and everything could be a potential revenue stream, so why give away something for "free" at all? And DRM does a wonderful job of making sure people have to pay for everything they do. There's a reason it's not copyrigh

  • by compumike (454538) on Sunday December 09 2007, @07:13PM (#21635711) Homepage
    Just take a look at this recent opinion piece to MIT's newspaper [mit.edu]. Here's a student who believes that "the free flow of information" (as he says twice) is the ultimate good. Lots of students still don't understand why copyright exists. In fact, some will even try to explain that physical property is the only kind that should have value. It's totally mind-boggling, even when these students are the ones who will be going out and making the next generation of intellectual works.

    Even the GPL and all copyleft mechanisms rely on copyright laws. If people want their wishes as content creators to be respected (whether that is to allow some forms of redistribution, like CC-NC, or not, like "All rights reserved"), they need to respect copyright law and not subvert it.

    --
    Educational microcontroller kits for the digital generation. [nerdkits.com]
    • Even the GPL and all copyleft mechanisms rely on copyright laws.
      Which is why, in the spirit of *truly* free software, many young professional software devleopers, such as myself, prefer the BSD-style licenses.
    • Re: (Score:3, Insightful)

      If people want their wishes as content creators to be respected (whether that is to allow some forms of redistribution, like CC-NC, or not, like "All rights reserved"), they need to respect copyright law and not subvert it.

      You say 'subvert,' I suggest 'revise.' If a large portion of a community disregards the copyright laws as currently written, does that imply that a large portion of a community needs to be punished/made to pay, or that the copyright laws need to be re-written?

      • Well, are we talking just a "large proportion" or do we mean "vast majority"? I think it's the latter myself.
      • the popularity of breaking a particular law should not be the basis of rewriting that law. Laws should be rewritten to better serve society while minimizing any negative impact on the individual. In the case of copyright law, it *does* need a complete reworking but not because of the number of people breaking said laws. It's because they do more to hinder creative works than protecting them.
        • Actually, the popularity of a law is its /very basis/ for legitimacy, at least in a democratic society. Who gets to decide what policy can "better service society" except the very members of that society? The law should reflect common morality, not some notion three guys in a room decided was best.

          Every time the law has been used as a club to force the public to accept a minority moral position, it's failed to have the desired effect. Remember learning about the prohibition?
          • Every time the law has been used as a club to force the public to accept a minority moral position, it's failed to have the desired effect. Remember learning about the prohibition?

            Prohibition, otherwise known as the Eighteenth Amendment, required 2/3rds of both houses of Congress, and 3/4ths of the states to pass it(Rhode Island was the only state to reject it). It was hardly the minority moral position. That said, it was subverted by the minority position, but not before we got the wonderfully powerful FBI to fight them. It was ultimately repealed with the Twenty First Amendment after twenty some years as citizens grew tired of the racketeering and other problems it was causing.

            • You have a point. I'm not advocating mob rule. A representative government should act like a shock absorber for democracy and prevent sudden fits of passion from leading to bad decisions. Arguably, Prohibition was a failure of that damping mechanism.

              But what you're missing here is that society itself defines right and wrong. We think slavery is wrong today, but when it was popular, it wasn't considered wrong. When public opinion changed hard enough, for long enough, slavery ended. (Granted, a little less elegantly than we would have liked.)

              You can't judge a past society by our own morals. What are we supposed to do, live our lives based on what people 200 years from now will think? What if we guess wrong?

              I don't know why you brought the holocaust into this discussion. That program was a secret project concocted by an insane, totalitarian government. It was not a popular movement.

              Also, copyright is not property [gnu.org]. At best, it's a pragmatic bargain between artists and the public, and it terms are no more fixed, and no more sacred, than the income tax rate.

              If the terms of this contract really did constitute a "fundamental" right, what would give Disney, err, Congress the authority to extend copyright by 20 years, every 20 years?

              Point is, like you like it or not, we live a representative democracy. And public opinion is rapidly shifting in favor of weakening copyright. If those in power continue to ignore that shift, they will not long remain in power.
      • by CodeBuster (516420) on Sunday December 09 2007, @10:30PM (#21637171)
        Yes, most of us do not disagree completely with notion of copyright as a concept, but rather the particularly onerous and unbalanced implementation which has emerged in the first world in general and the United States in particular from about 1975 onward. Copyright is supposed to strike a balance between producers and consumers but how is it balanced to say that all of the works copyrighted in a single human lifetime will not be enjoyed by that same person in the public domain in his lifetime? In fact the balance has tilted so far in favor of the copyright holders that people in general, and college students in particular, are in open rebellion against a system which they perceive is no longer fair. They choose to act outside they system because the laws are so broken and the deck so stacked against them with regard to having those laws changed.
    • by martin-boundary (547041) on Sunday December 09 2007, @08:14PM (#21636185)

      Lots of students still don't understand why copyright exists.
      It's easy to understand _why_ copyright exists, but that doesn't mean that copyright is a good idea in the first place.

      Lawmakers often write lofty goals such as "to promote the progress of science and useful arts", but merely writing this doesn't make it so.

      For example, if somebody wrote that we must subsidise deep underground gold mining operations "to promote the progress of technology to fly to mars", it would be obvious that they are full of shit.

      The fact is that "promoting the progress of science and useful arts" is not verifiably helped by copyright law, there's no evidence: nada. zip. zilch.

      Instead, copyright is simply one of the arbitrary economic rules we live under and that we inherited from our ancestors. Some people like it, because they have lucrative property contracts based upon it. Other people don't like it, as they don't have lucrative contracts.

      What's changed in the 21st century is that those who don't like it are finding it easier to simply ignore copyright, and those who like it are whining about it.

    • by Xenographic (557057) on Sunday December 09 2007, @09:02PM (#21636571) Homepage Journal
      Just take a look at this recent opinion piece to MIT's newspaper. Here's a student who believes that "the free flow of information" (as he says twice) is the ultimate good. Lots of students still don't understand why copyright exists.

      Oh, some of us understand just fine. It's the part where people don't agree with how the law is written or enforced that get you into problem territory.

      In fact, some will even try to explain that physical property is the only kind that should have value. It's totally mind-boggling, even when these students are the ones who will be going out and making the next generation of intellectual works.

      No, they usually say that IP isn't really property because it's not truly rivalrous. Sure, the law creates rights that are in rivalrous in an artificial way, but you can have two people listen to the same tune whereas two people can't eat the same grape. You may have heard people refer to IP as "imaginary property" recently. It's not because they don't know what IP is supposed to stand for, but because they don't agree with it.

      It's totally mind-boggling, even when these students are the ones who will be going out and making the next generation of intellectual works.

      Mind-boggling? That sounds more like a statement of ignorance to me. I don't have any trouble understanding why they'd think that, nor do I have trouble understanding those with views like yours. When I hear that something is "mind-boggling" I usually find out that people are trying to ascribe intelligence to something (or someone) that lacks it, or that they haven't thought something through. In this case, it would appear to be the latter.

      Even the GPL and all copyleft mechanisms rely on copyright laws. If people want their wishes as content creators to be respected (whether that is to allow some forms of redistribution, like CC-NC, or not, like "All rights reserved"), they need to respect copyright law and not subvert it.

      The GPL IS a subversion of copyright law after a fashion. RMS wrote against that notion that we need copyright because it's used to enforce the GPL quite specifically in one of his essays [gnu.org] (yes, you can't enforce the GPL without copyright law, but you don't really need it, either). You might want to talk to the man who wrote it before you make claims like that. I did. [1]

      Anyhow, to get back on topic, I don't see how you can say that not supporting copyright law makes them an infringer. I also don't think that that essay you linked to was written out of ignorance. It's written because people are fed up with this crap.

      Perhaps you haven't yet realized this, but the more laws we make, the more criminals there are. Obviously, the more we criminalize the things people are already doing, the more people who are going to break them. And you can't have fewer than zero people breaking a law, so adding to the laws will certainly never create fewer criminals. The point isn't the ridiculous notion that we could just abolish all laws and have "zero" criminals. Some things, after all, are worth the cost of criminalizing them. But it's a mistake to think that laws are without cost. And here, a reasonable person can make the case that we're simply better off if we don't criminalize something, whether or not we like or agree with it.

      Of course, you seem to find that "mind-boggling" :] I suggest you think it through a little more. The notion was not formed without the use of rational thought, so an intelligent person like you should be able to understand it... right?

      [1] To prove it, I'll point out that I also read the confusing words manifesto. Whereas RMS would like us all to stop using the word, I have chosen to subvert it with the term "Imaginary Property" not unlike how RMS chose to subvert copyright with the GPL rather than hoping to abolish it. RMS disagrees with me about that term, BTW, in that it still lumps together at least three disparate areas of law, but you'd have a hard time finding someone with whom he agrees about everything :]
    • Re: (Score:3, Insightful)

      You're thinking too narrowly. You see us as working against our own best interests, undermining the very thing, copyright, that will empower us to make a living. But copyright is only a means, and a poor one at that. We need a better means. We aren't going to get a better means as long as we keep fighting over the impossible task of how to enforce copyright rather than hash out and try other ways. Another way, much older than copyright, and with plenty of its own problems, is patronage. Mozart didn't

      • Re: (Score:3, Insightful)

        I believe my arguments against copyright, to which I came after many years of scepticism and pro-IP attitude, are sensible.

        Ok, try this on for size:

        I spend a year (or more) writing a novel. My income depends on the advance my publisher gives me (if I am lucky), as well as royalties from additional sales. The novel is published and put in the book stores, priced at $25.
        You come along and copy it, then sell it in the same book stores for $20.
        I now have to pay my publisher back the advance due to lack of

  • by petes_PoV (912422) on Sunday December 09 2007, @07:15PM (#21635729)
    • students have found ways to not be discovered
    • the students have got all the stuff they want
    • there's nothing much worth downloading at present
    • (my favourite) The RIAA are getting tired of the "war" so they're engineering a victory. Look! our stats say we've won - we can stop now.
    • possibly the stats are over the summer, when the colleges were empty
    Just like house prices, you can't draw any real conclusions from a single data point. Give it a year and see if there's still a downward trend or if this was just a blip
  • I wonder. (Score:5, Insightful)

    I wonder how many students at technical colleges and universities are using BitTorrent to download Linux ISOs, free software packages, etc...

    I know that's what I use it for (no, I'm not kidding).

      • So I encrypted the protocol, and downloaded at 10 mbits. On a good day, I could saturate that -- and that's the 10 mbits that went into my dorm. Other dorms might've had 100 mbits, I'm not sure.

        Of course, I wasn't downloading Linux ISOs with that.
  • by AlphaLop (930759) on Sunday December 09 2007, @07:23PM (#21635803)
    That so many of you would even insinuate that those benevolent guardians of the artist known as the R.I.A.A. and the M.P.A.A. would ever be less then truthful. Shocking, just plain shocking.

    I gotta go shower now, for some reason I feel so dirty....

  • so the bottom line is that an industry whose sales are dropping are not only out of touch with their market, they are out of touch with reality as well.

    someone wake me from this dream.
  • Business plan (Score:4, Insightful)

    by PPH (736903) on Sunday December 09 2007, @07:39PM (#21635939)
    1. Find a bunch of corporate PHBs who fear new technology will disrupt their market share.
    2. Put together statistics showing them how much money is slipping away.
    3. Collect fees from them for a service that will reduce these losses.
    4. Put together new statistics showing the reduction in losses, thanks to their generous contributions.
    5. ????
    6. Profit!
  • I have been downloading using the Gnutella network, newsgroups, usenet, and torrents since early highschool.. but I am an exception; being a computer science major.

    Gnutella market became huge when I was in highschool.. which was Napster... that is when most students learned and starting using this tool. It has really been the last few years that most people I know are using other means of downloading besides Gnutella network; but still a majority do that are not computer literate. I have taught several pe
  • by Anonymous Coward on Sunday December 09 2007, @08:06PM (#21636121)
    Shocking! The numbers quoted in the articles show a steep drop in June and July, having reached a peak in midwinter.
  • Would someone care to explain the significance of the /. article and the blog linked therein? I initially expected that the quote was from one of the leaked e-mails, but no, it's from some guy I've never heard of doing some very basic and inconclusive analysis of some data he doesn't actually link to.

    While I suspect that his suspicions are correct, pretty much anybody could say the same thing and post it to their weblog. Why is it notable in this context? Could someone tell me how the last five minutes o
  • by Ralph Spoilsport (673134) on Sunday December 09 2007, @10:33PM (#21637193) Journal
    People use iPods like hard drives and vice versa. An 80 gig drive costs what - $50 these days? Plenty big for lots of tunes. You bring a drive over to a friend's dorm room and look it over and copy what you want and vice versa. USB2 and / or firewire 800 blow internet connectivity to bits. Why spend hours DLing stuff, especially at school - their routers get saturated and everything slows down anyway. It's faster and easier to find out who has what you want or has interesting tastes and interests, and then just copy from drive to drive.

    Silly MAFIAA - trix are for kids!

    And the kidz will always be three steps ahead of you. Face it. Your business model is done. Go figure out some other way to make a living.

    RS