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Boiling Down Books, Algorithmically

Posted by timothy on Sun Jul 06, 2008 06:09 PM
from the infallible-is-a-very-strong-word dept.
destinyland writes "A year ago, Aaron Stanton harangued Google over his new project, a web site analyzing patterns in books to generate infallible recommendations. In March he finally finished a prototype which he showed to Google, Yahoo, and Amazon, and he's just announced that he's finally received a big contract which 'gives us a great deal of potential data to work with.' The 25-year-old's original prototype examined over 200 books, plotting 729,000 data points across 30,293 scenes — but its universe of analyzed novels is about to become much, much bigger."
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  • by zappepcs (820751) on Sunday July 06 2008, @06:29PM (#24078365) Journal

    The difference between now and 100 years ago becomes more apparent each day. Then, owning books was a sign of affluence, of intelligence. Now? Everything is up to question, and should be. Analyzing books and other public material is just another step in putting intelligence out there for everyone, not just those that can afford it. I applaud it, and all the dangers it brings. Such hurdles are necessary, but we must assault them to overcome barriers that should no longer exist.

    • by Anonymous Coward on Sunday July 06 2008, @06:42PM (#24078461)

      Knowledge, not intelligence.

      • by smitty_one_each (243267) * on Sunday July 06 2008, @07:51PM (#24078889) Homepage Journal
        Or wisdom, for that matter.
          • by Austerity Empowers (669817) on Sunday July 06 2008, @09:30PM (#24079589)

            ...they don't have to struggle to learn something...

            Not even mensa is that arrogant. If it's easy to learn and/or comes via the ether, it's probably trivial. Intelligent people have to work every bit as hard, we expect a whole lot more from them.


            • Things become easier to learn when you have more context. If I tell someone about a chemical reaction, they may struggle to remember or understand it. If they are a chemist or have at least a grounding in the subject, they'll be able to slot the knowledge in with associated information and thus understand it and recall it more easily. An "intelligent" person has a wider array of contexts or the ability to quickly find an appropriate context. I am fairly intelligent, but I still don't recall who scored what goal in what match the way some people do. These people absorb such information because they have context as much as for any other reason.
              • Sure, but I know their secret, because usually I'm often one of them. The secret, is I've solved the problem already, some day before to research some curiosity I had. It may not have been that exact problem, it may not have even been in that field, but chances are, it was because I had invested work in solving something similar, just not when the audience was watching.

                I've known a lot of really smart people, the only real differentiation was the level of curiosity. The more curious would spend time unders

          • Re: (Score:3, Interesting)

            Basically. There's no advantage to observation over learning with a focused objective, but I think the key point is that learning is an unconscious process that is primarily carried out intuitively. You can direct your attention towards a subject and think a great deal, but you can't direct your intuition - all you can do is foster an appropriate environment. I've thought of it as a sort of receptiveness for new ideas (which I think are exogenous but are learned only after personal interpretation).

            I would q

    • by blahplusplus (757119) on Sunday July 06 2008, @07:01PM (#24078581)

      What really hits a nerve with me is why the scientific community hasn't opened up all their journals for others to read. I imagine many retired and amateur scientists, engineers, hobbyists, etc, would have a lot of insight into many engineering and scientific problems and also make many discoveries as well. Intelligence is not limited to the credentialed, those of high status or currently employed, many discoveries happen simply by exposure to as many minds as possible, and finding connections and errors in others works..

      • by dnwq (910646) on Sunday July 06 2008, @07:25PM (#24078717)
        The researchers publishing these papers typically don't get much more than citations - the money mostly goes to publishers like Elsevier. Blame them instead.
        • by Free the Cowards (1280296) on Sunday July 06 2008, @11:16PM (#24080225)

          Much better to blame the researchers for not publishing in a more open medium. They're the ones who might actually change their habits, after all.

          • by Illserve (56215) on Monday July 07 2008, @08:13AM (#24082633)

            We did.

            http://www.plos.org/ [plos.org]

            (not me personally, I had no role in this but as a member of the community I applaud)

            • I hear you, and I know it's difficult. If it were easy, we wouldn't be talking about it, it would be done already.

              I'm just saying that the change must come from the researchers, not the journals. The traditional journals have nothing to gain and everything to lose from going to a more open system, so looking to them for change is the wrong thing. The researchers are ultimately who decides what's reputable and what's not. It will surely take a long time, but if it's going to happen at all then that's where t

      • by Sir Holo (531007) on Sunday July 06 2008, @07:26PM (#24078721)
        blahplusplus: What really hits a nerve with me is why the scientific community hasn't opened up all their journals for others to read.

        We scientists would absolutely love to have all of the journals opened up for free access to everyone. But, you see, the publishers own the copyright to our articles. The system requires us to give them the copyright, in order to get our stuff published. Then you, me, and everybody else has to pay to read recent research.

        Thankfully, some established journals are going open-access.

        That's very promising. But the fact remains that publishers such as Elsevier own the copyright to many decades-worth of scientific literature. And they're not about to give any of it away.
        • Re: (Score:3, Interesting)

          "That's very promising. But the fact remains that publishers such as Elsevier own the copyright to many decades-worth of scientific literature. And they're not about to give any of it away."

          Then I submit the scientific community creates a project website to buy the rights to these works, I've come up with many ways for funding such an endeavor. The barrier would primarily be geometric (population size vs amount of money each person could donate/give/invest in such a venture) and the attitudes of the people

          • Re: (Score:3, Interesting)

            You do realize that doing something like this publicly would backfire in the worst ways imaginable? You would immediately increase the value of the works and some incredibly wealthy person or corporation may just buy everything out right in the hope that you pay him/her even more money than you had originally planned.
      • by Wrath0fb0b (302444) on Sunday July 06 2008, @08:58PM (#24079343)
        I wish it weren't so (and I submit all my papers to http://www.arxiv.org/ [arxiv.org] as well to the journals), but the fact is, closed journals provide significant value both to the reader and to the submitting author. I'm not really trying to defend the system here, by the way, I'm just trying to explain what purpose it serves (and what an open alternative would have to match).

        Referees and Peer-Review Referees are invaluable because someone has to objectively assess articles for basic scientific merit and rigor. The better journals can recruit referees for each submission that truly grok the subject matter and can often work very productively with an author. Quite a number of important advances are made and pitfalls avoided because a referee insisted that a researcher cover her bases before submission. Of course, nobody claims that PR journals are bullshit-free, but they are certainly far better than un-reviewed sources like arxiv.

        This function is especially important for readers in multidisciplinary fields (myself included) that often read papers on subjects in which we are not expert enough to know what constitutes sound science. When I read about some group that has extracted and crystallized some protein, I'd like to know that someone competent at the relevant techniques has scrutinized their methods because I haven't the faintest clue (I'm a physicist by training, a biophysicist by necessity).

        Prestige and Selection Another important function of the journals is to select articles by importance. If a paper makes Nature or Science, that's usually a good indicator that they've made an important advance. The benefits of this selection are twofold: first, readers can keep tabs on work at the forefront without wading through lots of papers. It sounds lazy, but most of us cannot read every paper that is published and are quite glad to outsource some filtering to the journals.

        Secondly, it allows authors to demonstrate to people outside their immediate field what caliber work they've done. Even among people in the same department, it's not immediately clear what qualifies as a breakthrough work (as opposed to incremental work, which I don't trash in the least bit, but it's not really the same hat) -- prestigious journal cites are a good substitute, especially when the alternative is to either become an expert in the field or find one and ask.

        Review Articles Most journals have an in-house staff to write articles reviewing the state of a particular field/technique/whatever. This is also an invaluable services because sometimes one needs a broad, textbook-level summary instead of a large number of discrete, deep papers on a topic. Given that science is done in small, insular little bits, it's natural that there is room for someone to aggregate and summarize those bits and put them into a larger perspective.

        Editing Another thankless job (the snarky comments about the /. eds belie the fact that editing is hard work). Dupes are weeded out and researchers with poor language skills (especially when writing in an adopted language) are given help communicating their ideas. Confusing or unclear language is massaged back into form, figures are well-presented and well-labeled, text is formatted to be easy on the eyes, references are given in a standard form. These things count more than most /.ers realize (Knuth was on to something guys . . )

        Access Brutal honesty, we don't really care about the access restrictions. Every university has license to pretty much all the major journals. We can get them from wherever with a quick login and so can everyone we know. Sorry, but that's the truth.

        • by Man On Pink Corner (1089867) on Sunday July 06 2008, @09:14PM (#24079465)

          I dunno, man. Pretty much every point you covered is Wiki-able.

        • Re: (Score:3, Informative)

          Access Brutal honesty, we don't really care about the access restrictions. Every university has license to pretty much all the major journals. We can get them from wherever with a quick login and so can everyone we know. Sorry, but that's the truth.

          This is simply not true. I work at a very large university, and it still amazes me to find that some electronic journals have not been purchased by the university. When I need these articles pronto, I must email friends at other universities. But what about smaller colleges? Enthusiasts? (I doubt there are that many biochemistry enthusiasts, but I'm sure there are a few who would love reading the new Methods in Enzymology or Nature, Science, Cell, what have you. The field needs these enthusiasts.)

          • Re: (Score:3, Insightful)

            Charging people to read the journal creates only a false sense of prestige. Genuine prestige arises from the quality of the articles in the journal.

            Quick addendum, I don't think you understood my meaning. The prestige comes from the quality of the articles that you've written, not acceptance into an elite journal. The point is that the elite journal provides a very useful proxy for assessing the quality of the work. A researcher's publication history provides a very good measure of the quality and focus of his work which would otherwise be difficult to gauge (it would require become expert in the field(s), reading all the articles and then judging the

      • I can see exceptional value in indexing, cataloguing and processing all articles in back issues of Wireless World (when it was still called that). There is an enormous wealth of information there on how radio technology improved, when and why. There is also a fantastic amount of information on how to achieve specific effects and how to restore old technology. Not to mention a few pieces on how to build a geostationary communications satellite.

        Other old journals will likewise have a lot of valuable informa

        • by Skreems (598317) on Sunday July 06 2008, @07:43PM (#24078833)
          If you're talking about news, you're correct. But the original article is applying this to works of fiction, which still take at least a decade to go out of date (if not longer) despite the internet and the hard-on you appear to have for it. This "invention" is not about freeing information, it's basically a fancy way to mathematically calculate that if you like The Hobbit, you might also like The Lord Of The Rings. It might be beneficial to someone looking for more of the same, but it doesn't even seem to serve to further creativity since by design it will not recommend things that will expand your horizons, but will encourage people to stay with the safety of yet another rehash of something they've already read.
          • by Narpak (961733) on Sunday July 06 2008, @09:16PM (#24079477)

            ...will encourage people to stay with the safety of yet another rehash of something they've already read.

            Like most people since mass printing became possible. There are many authors whos work would give you great satisfaction, but who you will never read. Perhaps by at least giving people a good selection of tailored recomendation; the quality of that selection could hopefully improve.

            The span of taste is wide and varied. More so than what any bookstore could provide (unless it is online). However when you take things online you encounter another problem; there is truly a vast (and growing) number of books avalible for purchase; trying to create a system for automated recomendation is a logical goal. Even if a system like that doesn't encourage reading things outside your established field of interest. If you arrive at a point where you need something different, a good system should be able to let you browse the top sellers, best reviewed and established classics of any genre. I have no doubt that after various tries, failures and breakthroughs, and as technology improves; consumers of litterature will be given a good online, digital tool for searching through databases and lists of material they might enjoy.

            • Re: (Score:3, Interesting)

              I don't get this, though. The idea of "top sellers, best reviewed, genre classics" already exists, and this invention adds nothing to it. On the other hand, the idea of finding books you should read but don't know about seems a problem particularly poorly suited to an automated solution. This is what personal recommendations absolutely excel at, because no algorithm can gauge the cultural impact of a work of art, or the level of craft involved in its making.
              • by Virtual_Raider (52165) on Monday July 07 2008, @02:17AM (#24081007) Homepage

                the idea of finding books you should read but don't know about seems a problem particularly poorly suited to an automated solution.

                Er... -1,Wrong* : You don't seem to be considering the impact of statistical analysis and Very Large Sets of Data (C)(TM). It's becoming increasingly possible not only to know that 125K other people all over the world bought books B, C and D along with book A that you purchased, but now you can also index and analyse their content so it will be even easier to fine tune.

                Imagine this: On the first iteration (first purchase) it can only out-of-the-blue recommend to you those books more consistently purchased along with the one you chose. But on subsequent transactions it can remember what you bought and compare the contents of the books. Now if you bought The Silmarillion, Kontakto and The Unfolding of Language over time, it would be possible to suggest that you read Shakespeare's works in their original Klingon once it realizes that you are equally interested in languages as in fictional civilizations.

                I agree with you that the day an algorithm can make value judgements on the artistic merits of any work is still far ahead, but there was just recently a story about this FireFox plug in that sumarizes user reviews. Combine the two and...

                * Didn't we have this conversation before, or is it just a popular .sig? If there was a "-1,Wrong" moderation, you would be told that the info is wrong but you would lose any insight provided by a direct reply of somebody that bothers to correct you AND post the right facts. With Slashdot being a discussion forum, it's on its best interest to actually promote discussion so you most likely will never see that mod option implemented.

          • by ruin20 (1242396) on Sunday July 06 2008, @11:15PM (#24080217)
            In most things we evolve, not leap to new horizons. I find that most of the time I choose to read a book because I like it's similarities, I like the book because of it's differences. Like traditional sci-fi to apocalyptic sci-fi to steam punk to biohacking to cyberspace to crypto. I never would have read the Cryptomicon if I hadn't read I, Robot and can say today that I have a better appreciation for one from the other.

            Typically the way we learn and get good at just about everything is that we go a little bit beyond where we're comfortable and we sustain an effort there. After a while our comfort level moves. Just like if I read enough on one subject typically I'll get caught up with a tangent subject and eventually move into that.

            • Re: (Score:3, Informative)

              Yes, that's quite true. The important thing in both, though, is that they're good, while this algorithm may just as easily recommend something absolutely terrible that happens to contain a lot of the same words and phrases unless it relies heavily on human input for that elusive quality assessment.
        • by smitty_one_each (243267) * on Sunday July 06 2008, @07:55PM (#24078913) Homepage Journal

          If you wish to spend your nights reading information from 2+ years ago, that is your problem. The rest of us want today's information, and now. Good luck with the personal library.

          It's getting to the point that you need a 2+ year filter just to dampen the noise in the signal.
          And let's give a shout out to all of the library homiez. While I'm affluent enough to afford the occasional impulse book at the store with the built-in coffee shop, I do recall many an hour of random wandering in the public library in my youth.

        • Re: (Score:3, Informative)

          I will cite an event that is not even related to show that delay is not right: junteenth. It took several years for emancipation news to reach Texas. Is that right?

          Actually, it took several years for Union troops to arrive in Texas and enforce emancipation. Until Texas was reconquered, the proclamation didn't apply because the state was neither a part of the United States nor under its jurisdiction. At the most, you can only claim a lag of about three months (Lee surrendered in April of that year), though

  • Newspeak (Score:5, Funny)

    by RDW (41497) on Sunday July 06 2008, @06:34PM (#24078421)

    I love how the prototype version in the link gives a 98% match between George Orwell's '1984' and the text of the USA Patriot Act!

  • ...and if you do not read, you won't want this.

    • Also, now that I've played with the "beta" a little I want to see the graphs for Finnegans Wake.

      • Also, now that I've played with the "beta" a little I want to see the graphs for Finnegans Wake.

        My GOD ... it's a Mandelbrot set!!!

  • by clarkkent09 (1104833) on Sunday July 06 2008, @06:43PM (#24078469)
    I am skeptical that analyzing the content of the books can lead to good recommendations, let alone "infallible". Two books can be very similar in subject matter and writing style and yet one can be great and the other one awful. The difference is just too subtle for an algorithm to figure out, though I hope I am wrong and it turns out that it works, it would be very useful. Same applies to movies and music as well. I always found "Customers who purchased this book also purchased...." section on amazon to be more valuable than my personalized recommendations
    • Re: (Score:3, Insightful)

      I wholeheartedly agree! Take for example two phrases which are equivalent...

      "Eighty seven years ago our ancestors ..."

      and

      "Four score and seven years ago our forefathers ..."

      They say the same thing but what a difference in eloquence.

    • by martin-boundary (547041) on Sunday July 06 2008, @07:33PM (#24078763)
      It always depends on which part of the statistical landscape the algorithm is good at modelling.

      It may be that what makes a book great is hard to identify, but what makes a book really bad is much easier to identify. In that case, such an algorithm won't help with recommending high quality works for you to read, but it could be very useful in saving you from wasting your time with obviously bad books (ie it would help with initial triage).

      Remember, there are a lot more bad books than good books, so if you had to go through all the books to find the good ones, then you'd spend most of your time just looking a bad books and rejecting them.

  • by techno-vampire (666512) on Sunday July 06 2008, @06:48PM (#24078505) Homepage
    This is just another pointless project that's going to waste the time and skull-sweat of a good but unrealistic programmer. All he's going to have when he's done is the solution to a problem that doesn't, for all practical purposes, exist. Good writers won't need it because they know what to do and how to do it, so they won't use it. It will only be used by poor writers, who won't know how to put the suggestions into effect properly. It may, possibly, tell a writer where their book needs work, or where it's not interesting enough, but I doubt it. Most likely, all it will do is tell it where it's not like other successful books because it won't be able to recognize or take into account any originality. Even if its recommendations are right, a poor writer is highly unlikely to profit from them, because by definition a poor writer won't know which suggestions are good or the skills to take advantage of them properly. No, what a poor writer who wants to get better needs is either a good critique group or some friends who will act as beta-readers, telling him not only what doesn't work but why (Something, I might add, that I find it hard to believe this program could ever do.) and discuss things with the author until they understand each other. Mechanical criticism of literature can only result in mechanical literature, not good writing.
        • by Skreems (598317) on Sunday July 06 2008, @07:54PM (#24078905)
          Wasn't the "improve your writing" aspect an earlier project? I got the impression that the original project was as you described, but the new thing he's trying to partner with Google on is to take the same basic system and use it to recommend "similar to this book" type things in a storefront setting.

          Of course all the problems you listed apply anyway. It's very easy to have a work with all the same pieces as a great work of art, but assembled in such a way that the derivative work is completely unsatisfying.

          A great example of something similar that you can try today and watch as it fails miserably is Pandora.com. They categorize music by a number of different elements so they can recommend similar pieces. And their categorization is quite accurate; they correctly surmised after about five minutes that I enjoy symphonic rock with a mix of acoustic and electric guitars, obscure lyrics, complex themes, unusual rhythm patterns and interesting chord changes. They then proceeded to present me with one after another shitty Coldplay or Radiohead rip-off band who had every element down perfectly, but still managed to make amazingly bad music. I much expect this product to be the same thing but with books.

          "If you like A Deepness In The Sky, why not try An Ewok Christmas: The Novel! They're both about humans meeting strange aliens, and spaceships, and computers, and why are you giving me the finger?"
  • algorithm bombing (Score:4, Insightful)

    by notgm (1069012) on Sunday July 06 2008, @06:54PM (#24078547)

    how long before someone figures how to fool the algorithm, and we all start reading books about enlarging our genetalia, but in a classy way?

  • Who is Joe? (Score:5, Interesting)

    by mustafap (452510) on Sunday July 06 2008, @08:48PM (#24079269)

    There is one persistent son of a bitch on their forum, Joe, who seems to be their nemesis. I wonder what his angle is.

    Other than that, I like their approach - involve the community *really* early on.

    Apart from Joe.

      • Of course you need to leave in Danielle Steele. Harald Robbins too. After all, you can't neglect the classics, can you?