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Disney-Hulu Deal Is Ominous For YouTube

Posted by Soulskill on Sat May 02, 2009 07:15 AM
from the business-models-are-for-wimps dept.
Hugh Pickens writes "Dow Jones reports that Hulu scored a big victory when Disney agreed to take a nearly 30% stake in Hulu and put full episodes of its ABC TV shows on the site, enabling users to see shows like Lost, Scrubs, Ugly Betty and Desperate Housewives for free. Disney views the move as a way to reach a new audience that isn't coming to the network's own website. Although the ABC.com website has attracted regular viewers of its shows, Hulu offers the opportunity to tap into a new group of viewers. Now Google is under mounting pressure to add more professional content to YouTube in order to attract more advertisers. According to Dow Jones' Scott Morrisson, the equity structure of the Disney-Hulu deal suggests that content creators want greater involvement in online distribution than Google has offered with YouTube. 'Content providers don't want to give (YouTube) content because the advertisers aren't there yet,' said Edward Jones analyst Andy Miedler."
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[+] Ask Slashdot: Would You Pay For YouTube Videos? 475 comments
secmartin writes "A couple of weeks ago, Google's CEO mentioned to investors that they might start charging YouTube's users for viewing content: 'With respect to how it will get monetized, our first priority, as you pointed out, is on the advertising side. We do expect over time to see micro payments and other forms of subscription models coming as well. But our initial focus is on advertising. We will be announcing additional things in that area literally very, very soon.' With the recent Disney-Hulu deal, Google is under increasing pressure to generate more revenue and at the same time attract more premium content. That means we might see payment options coming even sooner than expected, with control over the pricing models being handed over to the studios providing that content, like the way Apple caved in over variable pricing on iTunes. This raises an important question: would you actually pay for premium content on YouTube and other sites, or will this draw viewers away to other video sites?"
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  • by drinkypoo (153816) <martin.espinoza@gmail.com> on Saturday May 02 2009, @07:19AM (#27797711) Homepage Journal

    Give the IP holders the right to run their own commercials, and some API to make it possible for them to change commercials out easily without a full reupload. Commercial lengths will manage themselves. In order to get this particular interface you need to share the cost of the downloads, which the system will broker. (e.g. the actual cost, not any cost to the user, since there is none.)

    However, I don't see it as that big an issue, either; Google is here to stay, so is YouTube, and if it became THE site for non-commercial content, I for one would still use it. I suspect others would, also.

    • While i agree that youtube is a completely different platform to hulu, i think youtube is going to run into problems if it doesn't change its ways soon. In looking to get commercial content providers on-bored they stopped protecting their users and will take down just about anything instantly, this is loosing them users, who either go elsewhere (dailymotion, etc) or just using online videosites much because they can't find what they want. By shutting down the accounts of high volume user that infringed copy

    • by nine-times (778537) <nine.times@gmail.com> on Saturday May 02 2009, @09:29AM (#27798357) Homepage

      However, I don't see it as that big an issue, either; Google is here to stay, so is YouTube, and if it became THE site for non-commercial content, I for one would still use it. I suspect others would, also.

      The problem is making money. Yes, Youtube is popular, but is it profitable yet? I don't know. Advertisers won't pay much on ad space until they can place their ads on premium content, and they won't be able to get premium content until they can show that advertisers are willing to pay a premium. It's a catch 22.

      So content owners are saying they won't license their content for the Internet because the ad revenue isn't there. The advertisers are saying they won't pay much because the viewers aren't there. The viewers won't watch because content owners are busy pushing their products on broadcast channels while withholding them from the Internet. And around we go.

      If things are going to change, someone has to make the leap, and it won't be the advertisers. It might be the content owners, but I'd bet on the viewers. Not so much a leap, but a gradual falling off-- people canceling their cable because they get enough shows on Hulu or iTunes to keep them content, and maybe they supplement those sources with some illegal stuff. So then advertisers and content owners will have to go online to get those viewers.

      • Well, how long can Google keep the thing floating? They probably have a lot of time to work it out, and it's worth taking some time to be the leader in yet another space... if they can maintain their lead, anyway.

        • Re: (Score:3, Insightful)

          Of course, you're right there. Somewhere along the line, though, someone will have to make it profitable.
      • The problem is making money. Yes, Youtube is popular, but is it profitable yet? I don't know. Advertisers won't pay much on ad space until they can place their ads on premium content, and they won't be able to get premium content until they can show that advertisers are willing to pay a premium. It's a catch 22.

        Estimates vary, but most analysts put YouTube's loss to Google at between $250 million and $500 million per year, with the bulk of that being due to bandwidth costs. The big problem is almost no on

  • Bollocks (Score:2, Interesting)

    Youtube's value is in the long tail - Hulu doesn't seem to be going down that path.

    • Re: (Score:3, Interesting)

      Youtube's value is in the long tail.

      And it's losing money at the rate of one Library of Congress. ($half-billion a year)

  • by javacowboy (222023) on Saturday May 02 2009, @07:31AM (#27797759) Homepage

    Wake me up when Hulu is available outside the U.S.

    • by robzon (981455) on Saturday May 02 2009, @07:58AM (#27797881) Homepage
      Exactly! It really pisses me off that I'm locked out just because I don't live in the states anymore. No wonder torrent sites flourish.
    • by patro (104336) on Saturday May 02 2009, @07:59AM (#27797889) Journal

      There is an other provider. It's called Torrent and it's available everywhere. I wonder what Hulu-ABC will do if they hear about it. Change their business model or something?

    • Re: (Score:2, Insightful)

      by Anonymous Coward

      Yeah yeah yeah - and maybe someday the BBC will allow streaming of Dr Who for US users too...

    • Re: (Score:3, Interesting)

      I was surprised to click on the YouTube shows and movies links above and find that they actually worked here in the UK. The content selection isn't huge, but combined with iPlayer there's probably still more than I have time to watch. There isn't even any point in pirating content that the studios don't make available over here - there's already more stuff available legally than I have time to watch, and if they don't want to make their products available to me then I won't go out of my way to see them.
    • Re: (Score:2, Insightful)

      That sucks. But can't non-Americans just route through a proxy or something?

      I'd probably also blame this on your networks, since they syndicate many of these shows. It would probably violate the contracts to allow non-Americans to view the shows before your local neetwork has shown the program. The question is why is there often such a delay before the foreign network airs the show? If there isn't a delay than this is really stupid.

      But really I often just don't understand Hollywood. They bitch that China

  • Thank you, ABC (Score:5, Informative)

    by hal2814 (725639) on Saturday May 02 2009, @07:39AM (#27797793)

    It annoys me to no end that I have to get up and click a stupid button to continue EVERY TIME an ABC online show goes to commercial. At least Hulu understands that people wanting to watch TV on the Internet might actually want to do so on their TV. I'll never visit ABC's online site again once those shows are up on Hulu.

    • Re: (Score:3, Informative)

      by Anonymous Coward

      There is an option you can set to automatically continue after the commercial ends. To get to these settings you click on a "preferences" or "settings" button (I forget the details).

    • I came here to say this. Not to mention that the commercials are in a tiny little box, when I'm trying to watch the thing in full screen mode. Stupid ABC..
    • Re: (Score:3, Informative)

      They're last big "upgrade" to their player about a year ago killed off linux functionality. Fortunately, Hulu.com works great in linux. Maybe I'll actually start watching ABC shows again...

  • Now Google is under mounting pressure to add more professional content to YouTube...

    But it's YOU-Tube, not THEM-Tube

    • oh please. You-tube hasn't been "you"-tube for a long time. Half the content is clips of shows, full movies uploaded in 9000 parts for the 3 people on the planet who can't figure out torrents, and porn ads that you-tube won't take down.

  • Google Ads (Score:3, Interesting)

    by olddotter (638430) on Saturday May 02 2009, @07:45AM (#27797811) Homepage
    I don't see why google doesn't just put some basic google text ads on the right of youtube served up based on the description of the video and the content of the comments. Heck I just went there now and saw an ad for Civony (http://www.civony.com/tour.php). So whats the problem? Not enough ad revenue to offset the bandwidth charges?
    • Re: (Score:2, Insightful)

      Not enough ad revenue to offset the bandwidth charges?

      Ding! Ding! Ding! You've won the jackpot. Google subsides IdiotTube from other sources of ad revenue. Google's business model is 99% based on ad revenue. Once that dries up, they're fraked.

    • I don't see why google doesn't just put some basic google text ads on the right of youtube served up based on the description of the video and the content of the comments.

      I can't wait to see targeted ads for "ur all fags!" or "this sux" or any of the other typical brilliance found in comments alongside my YouTube videos.

  • by mister_playboy (1474163) on Saturday May 02 2009, @07:47AM (#27797823)
    I am eager to see the old cable subscription model fail, so we can actually have some decent internet speeds here in the US. If these companies have trouble monetizing this new approach, that won't exactly break my heart, though.
    • Re: (Score:3, Interesting)

      If these companies have trouble monetizing this new approach, that won't exactly break my heart, though.

      Would it though, if they had to cancel your favorite show because there just isn't enough money to justify making it?

      I mean, your attitude is basically demanding that the show producers take a 90% cut in revenue or else you're not happy.

  • If I wanted to watch Ugly Betty, etc, I could watch TV.

    Its rubbish, and I dont want to watch it. I don't care about the method of delivery, it is still pointless garbage.

    I do download music and videos, but its not the stuff that the major networks produce. That is the advantage youtube has: it has stuff that has not had the hand of the major networks in it.

    • by I'm not really here (1304615) on Saturday May 02 2009, @08:07AM (#27797927)
      I care - here's why:

      On-demand from Comcast has commercials.
      "On-demand" from Hulu has less commercials.
      On-demand with Comcast costs me money.
      "On-demand" from Hulu costs me nothing.
      On-demand with Comcast has practically everything, but it costs money to watch.
      "On-demand" from Hulu has practically everything but is free to watch.

      I care, because finally I will be able to just pay for a connection to the internet.
      • by value_added (719364) on Saturday May 02 2009, @08:30AM (#27798017)

        I care - here's why:

        Maybe it's just me, but if I was an Ugly Betty fan and needed her on-demand, I'd probably post anonymously.

      • You have commercials on the OnDemand channel?

        I have TWC and we have no ads in the VOD library, just pure shows and nothing else.

        They have hundreds of shows available and I don't have to watch an ad before watching the show and no commericals during the show.

        Usually the triple pay packages are cheap enough now $100 for TV,phone,internet; but if you want to pay $33 for internet alone it might be a bargain.

        I personally think the non major network shows are complete crap; give me my Heroes, 24 and Discovery cha

    • Right, because Youtube is that much better. Sure there's a lot of stuff, but if you want anything of value, that's few and far between. And good luck if you want any semblance of consistency. It's not that the major networks don't produce crap it's that you're not really meant to watch absolutely everything. As much as I hate most programming there are still shows here and there that are worth watching.

      Despite you're animosity towards the networks, there's a huge number of programs that wouldn't be availabl

    • I do download music and videos, but its not the stuff that the major networks produce.

      That's because you're young, and, consequently, have little money.

      In 10 years your tastes will have ossified, the lead singer of your favorite goth-noise-emo-trance band will be hosting a gameshow on VH1, and you'll have disposable income. Then you'll be part of the desirable demographic all these broadband deals are being scripted to attract.

      Enjoy your youth.

      • Thanks. Enjoy your profound, weary cynicism. Hope the TV's a soothing balm.
        • by foniksonik (573572) on Saturday May 02 2009, @10:20AM (#27798677) Homepage Journal

          Heh, it happens. You'll see, it's not cynicism at all... it's biological. The interests you are imprinted with in your youth stay with you for the rest of your life. Sure you will notice new things and check them out but when you want to feel youthful again - strangely enough you'll go listen to the band you listened to in high school. That's how memory imprinting works.

  • by Anonymous Coward

    If I wanted to see "professional" content I'd get a fuckin' TV.

    • by PopeRatzo (965947) * on Saturday May 02 2009, @09:35AM (#27798389) Homepage Journal

      I'm surprised that this AC's most insightful comment has not already been modded all the way up.

      From the summary:

      Now Google is under mounting pressure to add more professional content to YouTube in order to attract more advertisers.

      Why is that? Pardon me, but I go to youtube for everything from crazy mashups and ukulele instruction videos, vids of my friends in Alaska demonstrating their proficiency with the Chinese broadsword and other friends in Baltimore displaying their latest performance in the Brooklyn Battlefest. A guy playing the Super Mario theme on the balalaika. Some 8 year old kid in Japan shredding the hell out of a Jeff Beck tune.

      Are you telling me that Disney will having videos like this?

      Why is Google supposed to change its business model because Disney has a different business model?

      • Re: (Score:3, Informative)

        Why is Google supposed to change its business model because Disney has a different business model?

        Because the current opinion is the youtube business model doesn't work. It is similar to a coffee shop trying to make money off of random local performances while the radio stations get contracted to play Britney Spears a certain percentage of the time.

        I'm not saying that I know the solution, but it is inevitable for an internet video content provider to start partnering with the "professional" studios and move the from the broadcast TV service business model to the streaming online video business model.

  • Most viewed debacle (Score:4, Interesting)

    by computerMechanic (1545869) on Saturday May 02 2009, @08:05AM (#27797915)
    The major downside to this deal IMHO is the disappearance of the most viewed categories from both youtube and google video. Now we have the Most Popular categorie which consists of fred, disney, american idol and the like. I miss being able to look up a list of most viewed, by country and date.
  • by N!NJA (1437175) on Saturday May 02 2009, @09:21AM (#27798307)
    i never watched videos at ABC.com because the site always required more than i was willing to install (or mess) in my PC. i just decided to give them another try and see what their current requirements for streaming videos are.... and guess what? surprisingly -- they changed it! however -- not surprisingly -- the new requirements are still too restrictive. currently, their videos wont play (and, given their nature, that really isnt any loss) just because i'm a happy user of Win2000.... O.o

    TNT is another loser who will eventually take their content to Hulu. on TNT.com the user is required to install some Microsoft DRM plugin crap.... those companies shoot themselves in the foot when they make their sites so picky! with Hulu, it just works! you only need a browser (ANY!) and the Flash plugin. it has never asked me to install anything! btw, YouTube and PBS have got some shows online as well....and they also just work!

    the other thing i like about Hulu is their choice of Flash player. it exposes the QUALITY options (HIGH, MEDIUM and Low), which can be the difference between a choppy and a smooth playback. i hope they dont remove it (seems to be the trend)!

    what's with that anyway? many websites are doing away with the QUALITY option and just imposing the (more resource-intensive) HIGH setting! geez, sometimes that setting makes Flash just plain unwatchable in my Athlon 3000. why are developers removing an option that is actually useful?!?! it was fine the way it was before when it defaulted to HIGH but let you change it. what's next? are they going to remove the FULLSCREEN option too?

    and no, kid! i'm not gonna retire my perfectly functional Atlhon 3000.... or my Pentium 3 700MHz! now get off my lawn!
  • 'Content providers don't want to give (YouTube) content because the advertisers aren't there yet,' said Edward Jones analyst Andy Miedler."

    Advertisers are like ants at a picnic, mosquitoes at the cottage, and lawyers at an accident scene. If people's attention is there, they will find some way of advertising on it.
  • Hulu actually works (Score:4, Informative)

    by JustinOpinion (1246824) on Saturday May 02 2009, @09:41AM (#27798423)

    I like Hulu because it actually works. In particular, it works on Linux with no fussing (in my experience) whereas the players on other sites often don't work, or require onerous downloads and installs (which are usually Windows-only). Hulu just works fine on Windows, Linux, and Mac OS X.

    Hulu is also a "one stop watch" at this point. For a while, I experimented with keeping track of different shows via different official websites. It was painful because each site had a slightly different interface... but worse, each network's online streaming site seem to want to change their format every so often. This makes it even more annoying to to watch a few shows in a row, because your bookmarks have died (if their format was even bookmarkable!) and you have to search anew for what you want.

    Hulu, instead, centralizes everything so that you only have to get used to the one (stable!) interface. And the accounts they offer make it easy to keep track of what shows you've watched... and you can even have your next subscription auto-play after you finish watching a show. It's the way TV "should" be: a channel that continually plays only shows you care about.

    Despite the things Hulu has going for it, I worry about all this consolidation. Hulu is fast becoming the de-facto supplier for online streaming of TV shows. And this means that they will soon have a monopoly-like control, and will no doubt start abusing it. I really wish that competitors would spring up (and that the networks would license to multiple streaming-aggregator-sites).

    And yeah, it does indeed suck that Hulu doesn't work outside the US. So much money (in targeted, country-specific advertising!) is being left on the table.

    • I agree that Hulu is much better because it runs on Linux. It also has a better interface and it doesn't kick you out halfway through a long episode. I use it now instead of my VCR. Does ABC's website work outside the US? I'm guessing probably not. So, Hulu sucks, but no worse than ABC/Fox/CBS/whatever. Now, if you go through one of the anonimizer proxy services, you can fool Hulu into thinking you are in the States. Or you could just get the torrents like everybody else.
    • This. If I had been able to legitimately watch Lost on Linux this season I would have. Instead, it was torrent time.
  • defective by design (Score:4, Interesting)

    by kingduct (144865) on Saturday May 02 2009, @10:16AM (#27798663)

    I tried using Hulu. It was designed not to let me press the pause button and let the entire show download over my cheap DSL (my usual practice with any flash videos that are higher bandwidth than my internet). It would only buffer the next several seconds, I assume to prevent me from downloading the entire file. I never went back and had to go back to using other sources of television that exist online...

  • Hulu has "fake full screen". Not just Flash's full screen mode that turns off when you click away, but you can maximize an individual window for viewing. That means you can put it on your secondary monitor & use the first monitor just fine. I like that. If they stuff some commercials in, that's fine by me. That's more than acceptable for good video quality & being able to catch up on missed shows. And their commercials are funny.

    • Spend an extra $200 bucks on a good antennae + receiver with HDMI and you'll feel even better about canceling cable (that is if you get good OTA HD reception). It's a one time cost and you get very high quality HD of network shows which may or may not make it to Hulu (Olympics was a good example).