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Television Media America Online The Almighty Buck

AOL will launch TiVo-like Mystro service 172

Jason1729 writes "According to this article on Yahoo, AOL is launching its on version of a PVR service. The content will be stored at the cable provider and not in the local hardware. That seems to be a huge disadvantage because it will use a lot more cable bandwidth transfering the content for a single viewer. It sounds like they're doing it that way so they can restrict which shows you can use the service with (like lock out new episodes of network shows)."
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AOL will launch TiVo-like Mystro service

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  • Why this could work (Score:5, Interesting)

    by Brento ( 26177 ) <brento.brentozar@com> on Monday March 31, 2003 @08:58AM (#5630706) Homepage
    If AOL truly does it right and makes it 100% server-side, what do they put as a "decoder box" in your living room? Why not offer PC software so that you can access your Mystro account from anywhere, and watch your shows? I'd be all over that - being able to set up my laptop on the road in a hotel with high-speed internet and not have to suffer with the hotel's lousy cable.
  • by Blackneto ( 516458 ) on Monday March 31, 2003 @09:04AM (#5630732) Journal
    Your idea has merit, but I think the whole idea of it stinks. While it may not be different than ppv or movies on demand I can see people shying away because of account issues.
    It has that Divx (not the codec) feel to it. Just not quite right.
  • by MrJerryNormandinSir ( 197432 ) on Monday March 31, 2003 @09:10AM (#5630743)
    You don't need to pay for service. I built a mythtv! And the programing info is generated by
    xmltv! For $0.00!

    Check out mythtv.org
  • by occamboy ( 583175 ) on Monday March 31, 2003 @09:18AM (#5630766)
    I'm told that somewhere between 95% and 93% of the fiber-optic 'net backbone is unused; sounds like AOL is trying to light most of it up!

    However, there is the obvious (at least to me) problem of bandwidth to the home. The vast bulk of homes that do have broadband are sharing reasonably limited bandwidth with other homes. Streaming high-quality video to many people at once who are sharing moderate bandwith seems like a no-go. In otherwords, it seems to me that if the service catches on, they're dead; they'll have to strive for mediocrity.

    Unless we put fiber into everyone's home. Yeah!

    I'll keep my Tivo for now. One of the best things I ever purchased.
  • Bah, bandwidth... (Score:4, Interesting)

    by dasmegabyte ( 267018 ) <das@OHNOWHATSTHISdasmegabyte.org> on Monday March 31, 2003 @09:28AM (#5630797) Homepage Journal
    There's TONS of bandwidth left on cable. Thanks to digital boxes (which take 1/100th of the spectrum that a broadcast channel does), most cable companies are at a small fraction of their max bandwidth.

    Cable's such a great solution...it's big, thick, has high potential and is well insulated. It's got less noise than power lines and better range then telephone while being less expensive than copper.

    Of course, there's also the matter of the supply boxes at the head end. VOD suppliers are like massive DVRs that operate in parellel -- and they're not perfect yet. There's still a lot of lag when they get loaded and many companies have yet to scale the number of their VOD boxes to match the number of digital subscribers.

    I kind of worry that this is intended to replace the really cool DVR devices TW has been testing. The menu system is great and they go a beyond Tivo and the like by allowing your to record almost all pay channels and PPV material (first run stuff is black of course), and by having simple native support for watching one channel while recording another. Sure, Tivo can do this, but it's complicated as hell...my mom, who never even figured out her VCR, uses the DVR without trouble.
  • by adjensen ( 58676 ) on Monday March 31, 2003 @09:34AM (#5630815)
    Unfortunately, this is a well thought out strategy that will likely hijack the cool technology of Tivo and ReplayTV and wipe them out. It's typical of the corporate mentality today...if someone comes up with something that impinges on the media, first sue them and then when that fails, take away their toys.

    Of course, their implementation is never as good or as free (in the liberated sense) but they've got the muscle to make it happen. Want Tivo? Well, it'll cost you $250 for the iron and $10/month to keep it going. Oh, wait a second, here's this great online service from the cable company...no iron, $5 a month. Yeah, it's not the same thing, and we take control of your viewing habits (forced commercials, can't record certain shows, we keep a record of the crap you're watching and sell it, etc) but come on, it's cheap and easy.

    And, sadly, in the America of today, that's likely the product that will succeed.

    I'm a 2 1/2 year Tivo user and it's the best thing ever created for television, and I tell anyone who asks that. However, the startup costs were inconsequential for me and I recognize that's not always the case...despite my evangelizing the product, a grand total of zero of my friends have Tivos. But I bet more than a few of them will opt for something like this.
  • by Roofus ( 15591 ) on Monday March 31, 2003 @09:35AM (#5630824) Homepage
    Not really. With most systems pushing 900MHz, downstream bandwidth isn't really much of an issue. It's upstream that's the killer. I know with Comcast's Video on Demand, they've upgraded their systems to handle 10% of cable subscribers streaming at once. As the average loads start to creep towards that 10%, they'll just segment their nodes when the need arises.
  • by maggard ( 5579 ) <michael@michaelmaggard.com> on Monday March 31, 2003 @09:35AM (#5630825) Homepage Journal
    Every article on AOL/TW's Mystro will note TiVo which doesn't have the limitations of Mystro.

    Also, for all of those sooo proud of your homebuilt's: You've reinvented the VCR, just more awkward, more expensive, and without cheap media.

    Does your whatever adjust for scheduling changes, support wishlists, do smart scheduling that'll ignore recently recorded programs, re-runs, etc? Does it do this all automagically or do you need to rely on screen-scrapers or poor quality listings?

    I don't mean to bust on folks, and all props to homebrew, but don't go calling something TiVo-like unless it really has the TiVo feature-set. If you've just managed to turn your couple-hundred-buck PC into an awkward thirty-buck VCR then call it what it is...

  • by telstar ( 236404 ) on Monday March 31, 2003 @09:41AM (#5630846)
    Last time a TimeWarner cable guy came out to service my cablebox he mentioned things like this. He said that the credit-card slot on the front of my cable box would one-day be used to allow you to "bring your service with you" when you went on the road. While this has advantages, it also has disadvantages. As of now, there's no standard format for the cable-box credit card data. Also, while you bring your service with you, Timmy is at home and can't watch his favorite Disney movie for the 30th time because you've got the service.

    I suppose that last hurdle could be gotten past if they relax restrictions on fair-use ... but I don't see that happening anytime soon.
  • 10G forever. (Score:4, Interesting)

    by mbourgon ( 186257 ) on Monday March 31, 2003 @09:43AM (#5630849) Homepage
    1) As evidenced by Lotus Notes' "shared message", it'll never go away. SOMEONE will want to keep it, indefinitely. And be ultra-pissed when it vanishes. So you're going to wind up holding a lot of programming forever. What are they going to say? "content only available for 1 year" and you can't tape it on your VCR?

    2) I think this may be doomed. I've said in the past that Free as in Beer trumps a lot of things. But if you can't tape tonight's Friends, what's the point? Then Joe Consumer has to say "well, I can't watch that on the cable box, so I have to tape it? Why am I paying the money?". More confusion will trump Free Beer.
  • by tananda ( 85834 ) on Monday March 31, 2003 @10:36AM (#5631046)
    Allright, from a company standpoint, I can see how what they're doing can be a good idea. HOWEVER, here's the problem as I see it. I have EchoStar at home, and I'm quite happy with it. I've switched out the HD in it and now can have several weeks worth of programs saved for me to view at my leisure. I can't remember the last time I bothered to watch a commercial, and as a consumer, I *like* this idea. I also like the idea of being able to watch my saved shows even on those very rare occasions that weather and other things decide to block out my signal. Furthermore, I don't feel like giving up any of these for a service that won't even let me record certain shows. Why I would choose to have my shows on some server, maintained by AOL-Time Warner of all people, where the likelyhood of even being able to ACCESS my shows whenever I want them (we all know how AOL runs their servers for anything, why would this be different) is pretty slim?

    Now, although obviously I am not every consumer in America, I am unable to see what this service has to offer, and what they honestly believe will make people choose their service over something else the consumer can have much more control over.

  • Re:Why server-side? (Score:3, Interesting)

    by Technician ( 215283 ) on Monday March 31, 2003 @10:49AM (#5631131)
    As an added note... This is not live TV. This is all re-runs from the archive vault. Make note of it. It is NOT the current show and the currently running advertising campaign. It's old shows with the ads replaced with the current ad campaign. The current ads pay for the delivery of the archive program royalties.
  • I have a TiVo. I just sold it on ebay. I'm switching to DirecTV because I want to get the integrated DTV receiver w/TiVo builtin. It has a huge number of advantages over a standalone TiVo. But that's not the point.

    The point is that it's fully supported by DirecTV. And it's highly unlikely that DirecTV will ever go to some centralized server like the AOL/Mystro solution because Sat TV is (for the most part) one way. So for DirecTV the best solution is a distributed solution like TiVo, rather than a centralized solution like Mystro.

    And I know at least one person who, when their DirecTV receiver broke, decided to replace it with a TiVo enabled receiver.

    So I don't think TiVo is going away. It may not replace the VCR as a consequence of being effectively locked out of the cable market. But it isn't going away. It'll just be a different upgrade feature for DirecTV. They'll advertise it as Mystro on steroids, and they'll let AOL do 90% of the marketing.

    $.02
  • Re:Why server-side? (Score:3, Interesting)

    by _Sprocket_ ( 42527 ) on Monday March 31, 2003 @11:49AM (#5631447)


    There's your answer. They don't want people skipping commercials, and they want full control over rescheduling.


    Oddly enough, this falls right in line with Cringely's recent article - Life with TiVo [pbs.org]. Bob points out that scheduling is a very serious matter to the networks. DVR systems like Tivo not only threaten the direct viewing of commercials, but they also remove control over WHEN a commercial / show is seen. And that when affects market dominance - the capturing of the most desired demographics and time slots. In short, DVRs make time-shifting a trivial matter and shakes the very foundations of network TV business practices.
  • by MarkLR ( 236125 ) on Monday March 31, 2003 @11:59AM (#5631481)
    Firstly by having the storage at the cable company's end this reduces the initial cost to the consumer - so more people are likely to try it. Secondly the article mentions that a person could watch content already shown.

    "For example, if Mystro TV is successfully developed and the appropriate rights secured from owners of video programming, a subscriber could use the Mystro TV service to watch a program that aired the previous day, or to begin watching from the beginning a show already in progress," AOL said.

    If your Tivo does not record a show, its gone - with this it appears that in some cases you can watch the show without waiting for repeats.

  • Old News (Score:4, Interesting)

    by Martin S. ( 98249 ) on Monday March 31, 2003 @12:47PM (#5631712) Journal
    Kingston Interactive Television [kit.co.uk] have been doing this for over 3 years in the UK and each development has been submitted to slashdot only to rejected. (I wonder why ?)

    Kingston are the world leaders in real Interactive DTV and nobody has come even close to duplicating the same range of services. As well as PVR, it is the only system in the world to offer user directed content, true VOD, DTV, Internet to the TV, Broadband Internet to the PC and webmail, all for ~£30 (50 USD/EURO)pcm.

    As for the fact AOL have been developing this system in secret. Well I'll settle to call it an open secret in the DTV Industry. They tried to sell ourselves their system/technology and stated it would be ready for launch within months, however they had no STB, no content and few details; this was two years ago.

    We then demonstrated our live system, already superior to what they offered and they went white, literally.
  • The real issue... (Score:3, Interesting)

    by badasscat ( 563442 ) <basscadet75@@@yahoo...com> on Monday March 31, 2003 @02:20PM (#5632226)
    One thing I don't think anybody's brought up yet, and the thing that worries me the most, is that the real potential to kill Tivo (and the entire concept behind it) would be when Mystro eventually and inevitably becomes standard cable. Look at DTV - it's practically a requirement here in NYC now, and if you go to Time Warner's web site [twcnyc.com], I challenge you to find any information at all on their analog cable offerings. Mystro will eventually become the standard cable service which will render Tivo not just unnecessary, but useless. In order to use the two together you'd have to select a TV show to watch on cable, then manually record it on Tivo - which basically puts Tivo in "boat anchor" mode; the Tivo service itself does nothing.

    And of course, along the way you lose any real choice about the TV shows you want to watch or when you want to watch them, since there may only be a certain window of time a show is available, for example (this is true of Tivo by default as well, though you can always tell Tivo to keep a program "until I delete it").

    My problem is not with this service being available, as I see no reason to switch from my Tivo. But it's silly to dismiss this as an idea that won't work. All AOL has to do is make it part of the standard cable service and boom - no more Tivo for anyone. It's not as if there's any actual competition among cable providers. (There's satellite, yeah, but as I know first-hand as an unfortunately former DirecTV subsriber, satellite is not always available to apartment dwellers. And this is a city of apartments.)
  • by jedidiah ( 1196 ) on Monday March 31, 2003 @03:40PM (#5632599) Homepage
    This alone will not kill Tivo.

    Tivo is already an expensive luxury item that sells to a nich market interested in it's quirky features. A cheap wannabe will not alter this condition. Tivo will still be an expensive luxury item that sells to a nich market interested in the extra features.

    Tivo's are expensive toys for people willing to pay for that level of flexibility.

    This new AOL service will not really steal Tivo's thunder. Tivo will still have extra features that trump Mystio.

    If anything, this may raise general awareness of PVR features. Once "joe sixpack" has experienced a poor PVR, he will probably be MORE inclined to want an expensive one.

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