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Piracy Not To Blame In Decline of Moviegoers 1539

lucyfersam writes "In a somewhat surprisingly earnest assessment, the NYTimes has an article about the massive decline in movie-going that does not once try to blame piracy and file-sharing programs. It sounds like studios are beginning to understand that they have only themselves to blame." From the article: "Multiples theories for the decline abound: a failure of studio marketing, the rising price of gas, the lure of alternate entertainment, even the prevalence of commercials and pesky cellphones inside once-sacrosanct theaters. But many movie executives and industry experts are beginning to conclude that something more fundamental is at work: too many Hollywood movies these days, they say, just are not good enough."
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Piracy Not To Blame In Decline of Moviegoers

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  • by linzeal ( 197905 ) on Thursday August 25, 2005 @11:42AM (#13397816) Journal
    Prices at my local multiplex

    Large Drink - $7
    Large Popcorn - $7
    Tea (even if you bring your own bag) - $4

    All refills are free though and you get one refill on the popcorn, no extra tea bags. It is a new gimmick but I can't remember the previous prices.

  • Re:In Other News... (Score:3, Informative)

    by AKAImBatman ( 238306 ) * <[moc.liamg] [ta] [namtabmiaka]> on Thursday August 25, 2005 @11:49AM (#13397912) Homepage Journal
    Too bad. Seems you're missing out on the Masterpiece that is Batman Begins. If you plan to see one other movie this year, make it Batman Begins! You will not be disappointed!
  • Sad reality (Score:2, Informative)

    by Kylere ( 846597 ) on Thursday August 25, 2005 @11:55AM (#13397992)
    Okay! We all know that the MPAA ( The group of people hired by the Mafia who represent their wholly owned industry of Hollywood) whines that online piracy is causing them huge loses, but as Newsday stated so well, Shed no tears for the motion picture industry [newsday.com]

    The facts are that no matter how many press releases they shove down the throats of their news subsidiaries they are not losing money on any measurable scale because of people downloading video camera captures of movies online. If they ever cleared the system of book keeping they use so that stars, writers, producers etc did not have to sue to collect actual profits Excerpt from How the Movie Wars Were Won by John W. Cones [homevideo.net] and even going so far as to try to tell Stan Lee that the movie "Spiderman" made no money forcing him to sue for revenue, then MAYBE I might have some sympathy for them. Were you aware that based on Hollywood bookkeeping four of the top ten movies of all time...LOST MONEY!!! So they have no idea what their actual revenues are versus costs, so at this point no one can say if they are losing money. I think the entire problem is that the massive amounts of money generated by this industry have resulted in one overwhelming problem. Greed.

    So, lets talk about why there is a decline in movie attendance, based on the assumption of it NOT being piracy. Well, first lets examine the fact that,

    "In 2004, domestic box office sales were $9.2 billion (with three-quarters going to the major distributors, who must share the box office gross with the theaters), up slightly from 2003. DVD sales and rentals came in at $21.2 billion, up almost a third from the previous year." -Newsday

    Hmm so they made MORE money in 2004 than 2003, okay well what about the current 2005 movie year?

    "Blase adds that 2005's gross reflects that 10 fewer films have been released by the studios so far this year. And, she says, if you eliminate 2004 anomalies like "The Passion of the Christ" and "Fahrenheit 9/11" - the highest-grossing religious and documentary films ever - 2005's box office is actually up by 2 percent" -Newsday

    So in 2005 the box office is lagging and they have released fewer films, and have not produced any automatic sellouts like those based on a religion held by a majority of the nation or those based on propaganda that would make Leni Riefenstahl happy. It is easy to see the real truth is that the evil online pirates sharing second rate views of movies are the problem here, isn't it? The problem is the MPAA and their watchword. Greed.


    So aside from those numbers, let's talk about a trip to the movies. I have a rather 50'sesque Nuclear Family with a Y2K twist, my wife and I have two children half the week and they spend the other half with their father, but we have them weekends. So for the sake of argument I will assume a Saturday evening viewing of a movie and at regular price. Before someone asks why not go to a matinee and save money, locally the regular versus matinee pricing is not really that different, $9.50 evening, and $7.00 matinee. But in the interest of fairness, when I hit my totals cost for the evening subtract 10 bucks if you want matinee pricing. Why have mostly empty daytime showings and not reduce the price to attract more customers? Greed.

    So lets go step by step through what it runs my family to see a movie, and I will pick something harmless that we all attended as a base. Charlie and the Shreking Nemo is about as white bread as they come in the movie field, we look it up to find out times, and we pack up the car. Now nearest Gigantagoogplex of screens is in the suburbs because Showcase/AMC etc fear urban areas so much that Magic Johnson is making a mint setting up theatres in cities. My city has 105k people and not a single screen in the city limits but immediately outside of them we have 30 plus screens.
  • More for your money (Score:3, Informative)

    by cluening ( 6626 ) on Thursday August 25, 2005 @11:58AM (#13398039) Homepage
    Lately I've only been going to movies at the Classic Cinemas [classiccinemas.com] theatre near my home. It doesn't show all of the movies that have been out, and it doesn't show the movies when they are brand new, but it sure is a great experience to go there. The movie only costs $3, there's only one GIANT theatre to worry about, on Friday and Saturday evenings they have a real-live organist playing before each show, and they have free popcorn refills. Definitely the way movie watching should be.
  • by SirChive ( 229195 ) on Thursday August 25, 2005 @12:06PM (#13398130)
    Curious to know where you live.

    Here in the San Francisco Bay Area I can assure you that we do not exaggerate the problem.

    All of my friends here in the IT dept where I work have completely stopped going to movies because of the poor behavior of the audience.

    I go once in awhile with the wife because we enjoy seeing big special effects laden SciFi movies on a big screen.

    But I'm about ready to give it up. Teenagers with cellphones roam the multi-plex. They cruise from movie to movie and don't really care about what they are watching. It's just a hang out zone to them. They talk to each other and they talk on their phone.

    Dozens of cellphones flip open repeatedly in the rows in front of you as the kids check for text messages. They jump up and down and roam from row to row and theater to theater.

    Theaters have been made into kid friendly hang out zones where parents can drop the anti-social little shits for an afternoon. Most movies are made and marketed for a teen mentality now. Because of this adults feel less and less comfortable at the theater.
  • by neoform ( 551705 ) <djneoform@gmail.com> on Thursday August 25, 2005 @12:07PM (#13398146) Homepage
    Actually it's the individual movie theater that sets the ticket price and rules. Not the producers of the film.
  • Tommy Lee Jones (Score:3, Informative)

    by Slime-dogg ( 120473 ) on Thursday August 25, 2005 @12:14PM (#13398212) Journal

    Played a good cop who was chasing things in "The Fugitive."

    Unfortunately, when an actor does such a good job in a role, and enough money is made from it, that actor HAS to produce ten to twenty more films of increasingly bad quality. Tommy Lee Jones, as a tracker cop who chases bad guys through snow covered Oregon, just seems rehashed and boring now.

    Hollywood takes the masses for idiots, and seem to think that "new" is bad. Lucas, at least, wasn't too scared of producing something new and off-the-wall. It is a pity that he fell into that trap recently, as well.

  • Here's an idea (Score:1, Informative)

    by Adult film producer ( 866485 ) <van@i2pmail.org> on Thursday August 25, 2005 @12:17PM (#13398252)
    Bring back the drive-in movie theater... BTW Are there any left ? I haven't seen one in years :-( They could really build some great venues with the latest technology.
  • by Joffrey ( 242525 ) on Thursday August 25, 2005 @12:17PM (#13398254)
    Salary Caps == Antitrust Violation.

    MLB has a statutory exemption.

    NFL/NBA/NHL/etc. have an exemption because the caps are part of a "collective bargaining agreement."

    So a salary cap would violate the antitrust laws unless you somehow convinced SAG to agree (pretty unlikely, I think).
  • A 56 Year Trend (Score:5, Informative)

    by ObligatoryUserName ( 126027 ) on Thursday August 25, 2005 @12:18PM (#13398261) Journal
    Movie ticket sales have been declining since the invention of television. According to Edward Jay Epstein, "In 1948, 90 million Americans--65 percent of the population--went to a movie house in an average week; in 2004, 30 million Americans--roughly 10 percent of the population--went to see a movie in an average week."

    Epstein has been writing a number of quality articles for NPR & Slate about the Hollywood profit shift from movie theatres to home theatres. Here are a few of the recent ones.

    The Vanishing Box Office [slate.com]
    Hollywood's Death Spiral [slate.com]
    Hollywood's Death Spiral, Part 2 [slate.com]
    Hollywood's Profits, Demystified [slate.com]
  • Indie Films (Score:2, Informative)

    by TR0GD0RtheBURNiNAT0R ( 734295 ) on Thursday August 25, 2005 @12:19PM (#13398284)
    I know that the ONLY reason I ever go to the movie theatre is because I have connections, and can get free tickets as a result. However, most of those movies aren't even worth going to, even at no cost. The only halfway decent movie I've seen in theatres lately was "Batman Begins", and I probably would have waited for the dvd if I had had to pay.

    Lately, however, I've discovered that there is a vast wealth of good indie films, with decent acting, excellent stories, and the cost of admission is just a dvd rental. "Primer" is an excellent example. It was made on $7000 US, and it is the best movie I have seen in several years. I see no reason to go see a crappy big-budget film when there are better options.

  • Re:Couple more (Score:2, Informative)

    by wbean ( 222522 ) on Thursday August 25, 2005 @12:22PM (#13398305)
    Re:Couple more (Score:?)
    by wbean (222522) on Thursday August 25, @12:18PM
    Actually, if you use the CPI inflator found at http://www1.jsc.nasa.gov/bu2/inflateCPI.html [nasa.gov], you find that the ticket-price inflation occured prior to 1967. Prices have been remarkably stable since then - even through the high-inflation period in the 70's.

    My problem is that I don't want to sit through 20 minutes of commercials for movies I'd rather not see and the volume is often loud enought that I've taken to carrying earplugs.

    Here are some sample datapoints:

    Year Price Price in 2004 $
    2004 $6.21 6.21
    2000 $5.39 5.91
    1990 $4.22 6.09
    1980 $2.69 6.16
    1967 $1.22 6.90
    1963 $0.86 5.30
    1958 $0.68 4.44
    1954 $0.49 3.44
    1948 $0.36 2.82
  • by jumbledInTheHead ( 837677 ) on Thursday August 25, 2005 @12:22PM (#13398311)
    It use to take almost two years for a movie to get to rental and even longer to own, now it takes about 3 months and everyone has dvd player. Has anyone ever considered that this might be a huge competition? It is cheaper, where I live at least, to buy a movie than pay for two tickets to see it. Only a small percentage of movie goers are set on seeing the movie when it first comes out, and that is only for a small subset of movies. Besides, with all the dvd purchases, and now television shows going for absurd prices does anyone really feel sorry for the studios?
  • by pnice ( 753704 ) on Thursday August 25, 2005 @12:26PM (#13398357)
    I live in "Podunk" and things are cheaper for sure. The best part about going to the movies here is that they will collect cell phones from people that are using them/looking at them during the movie. As soon as they see the screen light up they walk over and take the cell phone until the movie is over. Wouldn't work in a bigger city, but it works here.
  • Commercials! (Score:2, Informative)

    by jmarbutt ( 725478 ) on Thursday August 25, 2005 @12:36PM (#13398464)
    My bigest hang up with the movie theaters is the fact that you pay close to $10 a ticket and then have to sit through 30 minutes of commercials before previews start. Around here it seems the average time before the movie starts is about 30-45 minutes. If you are going to show so many commercials lower the freak'n ticket prices. We have some great theaters here in Birmingham yet no one seems to get that we go to the movies and are willing to pay the money to see the movie, not the commercials. Matter of fact I make it a point to go out of my way not to buy anything from Companies that advertise in movie theaters.

    I figure if I boycott them enough and enough of us get together to do that we can just rub out the ads by making them lose money. I think we should start writting letters to these advertisers to make this point
  • by Jackie_Chan_Fan ( 730745 ) on Thursday August 25, 2005 @12:53PM (#13398641)
    Where the fuck do you live? I'm moving there :) I ALWAYS get kids talking. I saw Lord of the Rings 1, in an empty theater with kids running up and down the isles, screaming, playing without any parent or guardian in the theater. I screamed the shit out of them :)

    I've sat in theaters with black women who just would not shut up... holy crap, its a stereotype but its unfortunately true.

    I even asked them to be quite twice.... only to receive dirty looks by them as if "how dare i ask them to shut the fuck up in a theater"

    I've listend to boyfriends explain to their girlfriends the story or characters. When i saw ST:Nemesis, this guy was telling his girl all of the characters names and trying to get her to remember who they were from the tv show.

    I SAW star wars ep2 and had people talk about the film during the film in a way that was like "And here comes the part when..." AS IT FUCKING WAS HAPPENING :)

    Movie theaters are nightmares here in NY
  • by OmniBeing ( 838591 ) * <OmniBeing@@@peskylittlepagan...com> on Thursday August 25, 2005 @12:57PM (#13398684) Homepage
    We go to the movies twice a month. Rarely do we pay for it though. The nice big cushy theatres are only 10 minute drive from our house in any direction. We get movie passes that include drinks and popcorn from Airmiles or through visa points. Works out quite well. But it is getting harder to find great movies. A lot of them aren't even worth the free passes.
  • by fistfullast33l ( 819270 ) on Thursday August 25, 2005 @12:58PM (#13398690) Homepage Journal
    You must live in Iowa. Here in upstate NY it's about $9.75 for a ticket, $5.50 for a small popcorn, and $5 for a small soda. That's about $20 for one person. Close enough to $30 for my taste.

    Of course, since no one goes alone (unless you're from /.), that ticket price automatically puts you at $20 without the food for 2 people. So basically his estimate of $30 is pretty realistic.
  • by ucahg ( 898110 ) on Thursday August 25, 2005 @02:16PM (#13399509)
    Yeah, but you don't get karma points for being funny. Sometimes I see a comment so funny it deserves karma. Thus it gets an "Insightful"

    Use under-rated :)
  • by WarwickRyan ( 780794 ) on Thursday August 25, 2005 @02:18PM (#13399533)
    It's not all a sob story though.

    VCR and DVD created a much larger market than there was with just cinema.

    Life for the studios has never been better.
  • by Scrameustache ( 459504 ) on Thursday August 25, 2005 @02:19PM (#13399537) Homepage Journal
    Too bad. Seems you're missing out on the Masterpiece that is Batman Begins. If you plan to see one other movie this year, make it Batman Begins! You will not be disappointed!

    "Charlie and the chocolate factory" is also good.
    And it has way more midgets.
  • by Nqdiddles ( 805995 ) on Thursday August 25, 2005 @02:22PM (#13399580) Homepage
    Lucky you! Ticket's at my local cinema (3 cinemas in the City, all owned by the same company) will cost $13.50 each. A drink and popcorn (large of course) will set me back $11. That's $24.50, for just one person mind you, with NO free refills of anything. And I know I'll have the joy of an "attendant" shining a torch in my eyes at least once during the movie.
    I'll stick with the home theatre thanks.
  • by Anonymous Coward on Thursday August 25, 2005 @04:04PM (#13400699)
    You sir are an idiot... silent means it doesn't vibrate or ring... ie it is SILENT... moron
  • Economics of Movies? (Score:3, Informative)

    by meburke ( 736645 ) on Thursday August 25, 2005 @04:17PM (#13400812)
    Some friends and I were complaining about some of the same things I hear in this thread, about poor audiences, high prices, etc., and we thought we'd buy a theater and start a "Theater Club". Imagine my surprise when I found out that a 6-theater complex had a $75 - $80,0000/mo. air conditioning bill. (Houston, Texas yearly average). Basically, when we figured it all out, it would take about $300,000/mo. just to operate the thing, if we could even find a ditributer for films. (Highest expense: Movies distributed cost based on the number of seats in the theater.) I'm not surprised that theater prices are high, and I'm not surprised that theater managers will take money from anyone coming in the door.

    Given that these problems will not go away by themselves, what are the solutions? (I agree with William McDonough (http://www.mcdonough.com/ [mcdonough.com]) that regulation is a result of poor design.) There is a huge fortune to be made by the designer who resolves these problems and makes theater-going a pleasant experience again. (I usually see 3 or 4 movies a week, but I usually go in the afternoon early when there aren't any kids or crowds. Summer is a bummer for movie goers like me.) I know there are places in Japan that have counter-frequency generators that kill cell and pager transmission. That would be a good start. perhaps if each seat was provided with individual noise-cancelling headphones, that would also help (and, yes, I know that brings up other problems of hygiene, etc, but that's where solving those problems brings in the fortune. Legitimately patentable solutions.)

    Of course, maybe we could change society? I have a friend who is a cameraman for Fox Sports, and he described a goodwill game between the Astros and a Japanese team a few years ago. All the players were applauded when they came on the field. All the players were applauded for good plays. Players bowed to the crowd to acknowledge the applause. When the game was over, all the spectators stood up and applauded the teams. Then they sat back down, and rose one row at a time to file out of the stadium in an orderly fashion. And they took their trash with them!
  • by Dr.Opveter ( 806649 ) on Friday August 26, 2005 @03:06AM (#13405061)

    Generally many movies don't make it big because they basically suck. Uninspired makeovers, no plots etc. And I guess it will get worse each additional year. Same with music, there's just so much good stuff out there already that at some point it will be hard come out with something new and fresh, because all has been done before.

    I've read some people also complain about the previews and ads shown, but I actually enjoy seeing previews as I'm not always aware of movies coming out, ads on the other hand are stupid. I can imagine if you go see movies frequently you can get annoyed with seeing the same previews over and over.

    Things I like:
    1. I'm out of the house - going to a theater is a nice change of environment for me and my wife
    2. Bigger is better - well, not always but some movies are just more fun to watch on a big screen with loud audio
    Things I don't like:
    1. Prices - movies for 2 including a drink and some popcorn easily set me back 30 dollars where I live
    2. Audience - some people don't know how to behave

That does not compute.

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