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Media Movies

DVD Player Ownership Surpasses VCR Ownership 180

An anonymous reader wrote to mention an Ars Technica post stating that, for the first time, more U.S. consumers own a DVD player than own a VCR. The DVD player dropped below $100 quite some time ago, but the third quarter of this year saw the percentage of DVD player ownership reach 81.2. Only 79.2% of consumers now own VCR players, reports Nielsen. From the article: "For all of the talk about the battle between HD DVD and Blu-ray, both technologies are far, far away from most family rooms. Yes, the two are just now beginning what could be a long battle for entertainment-center supremacy, but keep in mind that the technology that they are vying to replace has only recently gained the upper hand against the previous-generation technology--a decade after first being introduced. Even if Blu-ray or HD DVD unexpectedly routs its opponent from the market in the next two or three years, it will still be several more years before the victorious format supplants the DVD."
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DVD Player Ownership Surpasses VCR Ownership

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  • Question (Score:3, Interesting)

    by priestx ( 822223 ) on Tuesday December 26, 2006 @01:11PM (#17367900) Homepage
    Does this count dual-players, such as a DVD-VCR combos? That's all I really use, anyways.
    I'm sure if they were to count that, it wouldn't be important, as it would just even off things, but a large percentage of households actually uses both I would suspect.
  • by vertinox ( 846076 ) on Tuesday December 26, 2006 @01:12PM (#17367918)
    Since VHS is out. They win by default.

    Seriously, BluRay and HD won't be common place until 2012 at this rate.

    By then, we'll have iPod like devices that could hold more video than a Station wagon full of BlueRay discs.
  • by wikthemighty ( 524325 ) on Tuesday December 26, 2006 @01:18PM (#17367970)
    ...their VCR has died recently, and they haven't bothered to replace it!
  • by bogaboga ( 793279 ) on Tuesday December 26, 2006 @01:26PM (#17368034)
    Much as I love the features of the DVD if paired with an equally capable player, the DVD has its own [ugly] issues. Despite the fact that it's a modern invention, nobody can even come close to guaranteeing that the DVD medium (the disc) can withstand storage for long times.

    Can any slashdotter convince me that if I had properly stored important video media on a disc in say 20 years ago, this disc would still be readable now? With proper storage, the video cartridge would still be readable now after that long. This is my beef with DVDs.

  • by Shivetya ( 243324 ) on Tuesday December 26, 2006 @01:33PM (#17368114) Homepage Journal
    I haven't had a VCR hooked up to my entertainment system for years. When my parents recently asked if I had one they could use in the RV I had to dig it out. I never really did the rental routine and as such I found myself using one less and less, until one day I put in a new rack for my entertainment system and never migrated the VCR to it.

    I long ago switched to only DVDs. I have 300+ in my collection, finally surpassing my CD collection. Now with a DVR provided by my satellite service I have no need. My parents have moved much of their VCR collection to DVD with the use of an entertainment system DVD burner. I have friends at work who moved their Disney collections for their children to DVD, taken straight from the VCR tapes. Some they bought as DVD for the extras but most moved over.

    It really comes down to ease of use. Just like cassettes died eventually to CD so has VCR to DVD. When you can buy DVD recorders for less than 100 and DVRs coming as nearly standard equipment for Cable and Satellite systems it makes we wonder just how many years VCR has left.

    Plus, nothing looks worse on my HD than a VCR'd movie, 'cept maybe CD based movies
  • by powerlord ( 28156 ) on Tuesday December 26, 2006 @01:40PM (#17368208) Journal
    Plus, nothing looks worse on my HD than a VCR'd movie, 'cept maybe CD based movies


    I thought I would agree with you, but I'm not so sure.

    We (my wife and I) recently upgraded to a 720p 32" TV. We've got HD feeds via cable, and an Series 3 TiVo.

    The signal looks great, and we got rid of a whole mess of VCR tapes that were just cluttering up room, but we hung on to a couple that we wanted to watch. I finally got around to hooking up the VCR via a set RCA cables and, while the picture quality certainly ain't great, it isn't as bad as I was expecting. Now part of it is probably that we are dealing with a smaller screen than most HD people seem to be getting (we just don't have the space for anything larger where we live), and part of it might be that the VCR tapes were relatively "new" (the VCR tapes were pre-recorded movies, that had probably only been seen a few times), but the end result is that the picture looked much better than I was expecting.
  • by dattaway ( 3088 ) on Tuesday December 26, 2006 @02:00PM (#17368412) Homepage Journal
    I used to fix VCR's for the tune of half their value (hey, its business!) and quickly discovered the design is a time bomb. The rubber parts rot, the heads clog, and has a loading mechanism that's a magnet for kids to store stuff in there. Its a matter of time before the population of VCR's drop to zero. It will happen faster than the life of a lithium battery or the charges on an EPROM die out.

    10 years from now, 90% of all VCR's will be out of commission. Transfer your tapes to other storage now!
  • by bigpat ( 158134 ) on Tuesday December 26, 2006 @02:07PM (#17368456)
    There are people who are desperate to get as many articles on Blue Ray and HD-DVD written in order to push both the format of the media and HD technology in general. There are 10s, if not 100s, of billions of dollars at stake and plenty of marketing money to grease tech writers and publishers wheels. The government too has a horse in this race as digital television must not only succeed but at least appear to be popular in the market to justify the forced change over to HD that is taking place. Eventually consumers will have better choices. Right now it isn't a question of whether HD is better for viewing video or not, but at this point it seems that the price isn't worth the product. To spend thousands of dollars before you even start talking about the cost of the actual content that will be displayed on the technology, simply isn't a type of math that most people can afford to do. For now you will have a steadily increasing minority switching over to HD TVs, but for most people they are going to be much better off spending their technology dollars on lower priced computer equipment where they can be both entertained and productive, rather than the entertainment dollar black hole which is what HDTV is all about.

  • by bogaboga ( 793279 ) on Tuesday December 26, 2006 @02:12PM (#17368506)

    "Remote community" and "modern world" contradict one another here.

    I beg to disagree with you here and say "Not necessarily."

    There is a remote community in Namibia that I visited. These folks live in canyons in a very arid and cold part of the desert. I can assure you that they had every modern amenity known to the western world, everything powered by the sun. I was surprised myself and loved it. The question is, if I found that they did not have a computer ready to be opened up, this would mean 18 hours to get to the nearest town.

  • by troll -1 ( 956834 ) on Tuesday December 26, 2006 @02:21PM (#17368574)
    Seriously, BluRay and HD won't be common place until 2012 at this rate.

    And by that time everything will be streamed. Moving data around on funny plastic disks just doesn't make much sense when you have an Internet. The only reason for these formats is 1) There currently isn't enough bandwidth for everyone to stream hi-def content on-demand. 2) Content owners don't want their stuff streamed because of copyright concerns. But as hi-speed Internet access becomes as ubiquitous as DRM becomes unpopular, BluRay and HD will eventually go the way of the floppy.
  • by MojoStan ( 776183 ) on Tuesday December 26, 2006 @02:29PM (#17368658)
    I'm still perplexed that there's not been faster and more widespread adoption of DVRs. As a technologist, I tend to be friends with the kinds of people who have DVRs, but I still have a hard time impressing on "regular people" how damn wonderful they are.
    I'm just speculating, but I think "regular people" might be turned off by the monthly fees/subscriptions required by the most popular DVR solutions. They might be thinking: "I never had to pay $20 per month (with a 1-year commitment) [tivo.com] to use a VCR." (Yes, there are cheaper options for longer commitments. This is just an example. But "regular people" have to be convinced of its value first.)

    I also think most "regular people" underestimate how much television is a part of their life. Many people like to think that television is "not important" enough to pay extra money for what they think is a slightly advanced VCR. In reality, people watch way more television than they think they do. They would probably save lots of time and enjoy their time watching television a heck of a lot more if they used a DVR.

    I continually explain that having a good DVR is like having refridgeration -- once you've had it, you don't see how anyone made it this far without it. To that end, my wife and I find it diffucult to watch tv away from home.
    It's not cool to admit tv is this important in our lives (I'm kidding). We should all be getting out and reading more, right?

    Convincing people to pay an additional subscription to put an extra box near their television, with no new content, is a difficult task. I think free trials might do it. 30-day money-back guarantees (like the one offered by TiVo) still seem like a hassle to the unconvinced. Better competition and lower prices are also needed. The leader, TiVo, is darned expensive unless you commit to a long-term subscription. Windows XP Media Center does not require subscriptions, but not many people hook up PCs to their televisions. Cable/satellite companies can probably push free DVR trials on their customers (integrated into the set top box), but their DVRs are not nearly as usable as TiVo and ReplayTV (last time I checked).

  • Re:Question (Score:2, Interesting)

    by hurfy ( 735314 ) on Tuesday December 26, 2006 @02:45PM (#17368794)
    I would imagine that's why it took so long to overtake VCR. I suppose a few young couples or something may have gotten stand-alone DVD to finally push the DVD over the top.

    When i got a DVD i got a combo too. I am planning on keeping both around but i imagine many got it just in case, since the diference if any is very small. Most units i see hooked up are dual units in fact.

    Of course the question may have a lot too do with it. Having a VCR is diferent than using a VCR or buying tapes. How many people HAVE a cassette player VS how many people BUY cassettes?!? I have a minicomputer but i don't buy many 8" floppy disks ;) ;)
  • by plover ( 150551 ) * on Tuesday December 26, 2006 @03:03PM (#17368962) Homepage Journal
    The G.P. was talking about storing material today and retrieving it 20 years from now. A hard drive is actually a very poor solution for archival of material. First, drive technology has advanced dramatically in the last 20 years. It continues to advance dramatically -- compare the commonly produced sizes now to those made just 5 years ago, let alone 20 years.

    Electrically, the interfaces have changed, too. You'd be very hard-pressed to find a modern machine that's capable of reading from an old Winchester drive -- the ST-506 interface is dead and buried, and the adapter cards that spoke ST-506 were made only in the era of 8-bit ISA bus machines; you won't find a PCI card that supports them. ATA came along, and has advanced to ATA-6. Now we have SATA, which begs the question of how long PATA will live. Do you want to bet your future retrieval of the data to finding an ancient machine that can read SATA on the 2026 equivalent of eBay?

    There are plenty of physical reasons not to use hard drives as an archival medium, too. You'd probably be hard-pressed to find an old Winchester drive that could spin up today after sitting idle for 20 years. Drives manufactured back then suffered from stiction, which was caused by lubricants that sat idle for too long. Do you know what's wrong with the longevity of data on drives manufactured today? I don't. Will today's lubricants still flow freely in 2026? Will the platters, heads and mechanics survive the years uncorroded? Will the electrolytic capacitors still hold a charge? Will the connectors have shifted due to thermal expansion and contraction? Will the magnetic fields of some bits have dissipated due to their proximity to other bits? Will the adhesive holding the media to the platters have broken down?

    And Google for "maxtor sucks" if you want to read horror stories of people losing data due to the death of a hard drive.

    I'm not saying Super-8 is the way to go, but it's still possible to get the data from it. Will the same be true of floppy discs, ZIP disks, CD-Rs, CD-RWs, and all the burnable variants of DVDs including +/-, DVD-R, DVD-RW and DVD-RAM?

  • Will it really? (Score:3, Interesting)

    by ScrewMaster ( 602015 ) on Tuesday December 26, 2006 @03:14PM (#17369042)
    it will still be several more years before the victorious format supplants the DVD.

    If ever. This particular format war isn't being handled very well, it seems to me. Such conflicts are invariably bad for the consumer in the short run since we have to guess which tech will come out on top and whoever guesses wrong gets his fingers burnt. Why can't they all just get along? PICK ONE! I don't really care which at this point. Is it just that Sony is still smarting from the Betamax fiasco? If it turns out after all this hate and discontent that the consumer doesn't find a use for the next-generation of shiny plastic discs it'll be just too bad. Worse for them, sooner or later China is going to be able to foist their version of a next-gen SPD (Shiny Plastic Disc) on the world. They'd better just get with the program and give the consumer what he and she wants now. Period. Or they may find their own technologies irrelevant.

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