Is the CD Becoming Obsolete? 645
mrnomas writes "What's to blame for the declining CD sales? Is it that manufacturers are putting out more and more 'safe' (read: crap) music while independent musicians are releasing online? Is it because iTunes is now the third largest music retailer in the country? Or is it just that CDs are becoming obsolete?" Quoting: "Forbes.com [ran] an article showing that CD sales are expected to be down 20% in 2008 (slightly higher than the 15% drop initially predicted). Why such a drop? What's truly happening is a gradual shift away from physical media to downloadable formats. What this indicates, so far, is that US sales of digital music will be growing at an estimated rate of 28% in 2008, however physical sales will drop even further, resulting in a net overall decline.""
Not yet (Score:5, Insightful)
Duh... peak limiting (Score:1, Insightful)
It's the bands (Score:5, Insightful)
Personally, I find myself more interested in bands that put their music out on the net and/or sell CD-Rs themselves. (Nerdcore, Wizard Rock, etc.) I can't remember the last time I bought music from someone who the RIAA 'represents.'
This seems to parallel the increasing niche-ification of magazines and their cannibalization by the web. Not at all suprising, really.
inevitable (Score:4, Insightful)
A Silly Thing About Vinyl (Score:5, Insightful)
Re:Not yet (Score:2, Insightful)
So, my point here is that the quality of audio will not matter anymore about 5-10 years down the line. Also, one point I forgot to mention, the music churned out nowadays is also more like noise rather than music. But then thats off-topic.
Re:Not yet (Score:5, Insightful)
Not Just Away From CDs (Score:5, Insightful)
People are finally able to buy singles again. How much of this drop is due simply to people only buying the two good tracks from an album and leaving the other eight behind?
Re:Not yet (Score:2, Insightful)
Re:Not yet (Score:4, Insightful)
The other thing is that, with most people just snagging a song or two from an album because they heard it on the radio, they will never really know if they like the rest of the band's work. I've bought cds for one or two songs and ended up liking the rest of the album.
I'm just kind of tired of the teenage crowd constantly crowing that the CD doesn't matter. Heck, I'm only in my 20's and I see the benefit to CDs, but that may also be the occasional DJ in me.
I won't buy downloadable music... (Score:3, Insightful)
None of the Above (Score:5, Insightful)
RIAA, meet MPAA. Sony, Universal, Warner - you're competing with yourselves.
Shopping for CDs is shopping blind. (Score:2, Insightful)
Buying music at a Brick & Mortar is buying blind. Usually they only have a small selection available on preview machines.. if they have one. "Gee, I hope the other tracks on this thing don't suck," is not a good thing to have going through customers' heads when they're shopping.
The last time I bought music CD at a store was fathers day, when I just wanted to get my dad some CDs that I knew were really good compilations. That's about the only use I have for B&M.
FWIW, I generally buy my music using amazon's marketplace. Better quality, I can rip my purchase legally to my specification, and it's dirt cheap.
Re:Speaking for myself (Score:2, Insightful)
With a large collection, it's also easy to find tracks that you haven't heard in a long time, and you're more likely to stumble upon tracks you've never heard.
Just my two cents.
Classic responses (Score:5, Insightful)
2) the Audiophile Loudmouth. This one buys 24k gold plated CDs, listened to on a 20bit DAC feeding monster-cabled speakers that he bought at Best Buy.
3) the Pirate. You all suck, Gnutella FTW!
Face it, none of the dorkwads on here, myself included, is representative of the mouthbreathers at Walmart whose choices power the economy.
was the movie Memento based on all of you? (Score:5, Insightful)
Where on earth did so many people on slashdot get the bizarre misapprehension that pop, lowest-common-denominator music is somehow more prevalent now than it's been in the past? It's always been there, at least since the 50's, and if you weren't conscious during the 80's and 90's, I assure you that the majority of music released during the decades was "safe" bubble gum pop. Think back, do you remember that music? No? Of course you don't, it was immensely forgettable and put out for a quick buck.
And I know that 10 years from now the same people who try to paint this phenomenon as new will be repeating the same mantra again and again, "remember back in the early 2000s when music was good, before they started releasing commercialized garbage?".
Re:Not yet (Score:5, Insightful)
There's a degree to which the psychoacoustic models that schemes like mp3 use actually clean up the noisy mess that all or most all CDs present. The way these schemes hollow out the back of the sound produces something clearer and more delicate - more like live music straight from the amps. Except it really sounds quite different from live music. Good vinyl, on the other hand, can be indistinguishable from live performance if your eyes are closed. CDs never had that. So it's easy to walk away from them. All the discussion of "lossless" misses the point that at the rates CDs are sampled there's already a high degree of loss. Music is inherently analog; digital has to get an order of magnitude better (at least) before it'll be so realistic that it's worth a premium.
Re:Not yet (Score:1, Insightful)
furthur more, on a technical level cd's use a lossless uncompressed format which should be a perfect reproduction of what was mixed. not to say that standards in mixing and recording aren't down, but don't try knock the technology that's used ok?
Re:Not Just Away From CDs (Score:5, Insightful)
Agreed, the irony of this is their own marketing tactics have made this possible. It's not as much the rest of the tracks are crap, but they're just not marketed, if you don't listen to them enough, you don't like them, and think they're worse, and hence not buy 'em.
And hence the "one good single and the rest is filler" talk.
To confirm this, just try to listen to a new "super album" without ever hearing the marketed single (hard, I admit). You'll never guess which is the song marketed on 80% of the albums. It's actually often decided post factum after the album has been recorded.
Forbes.com [ran] an article showing that CD sales are expected to be down 20% in 2008 (slightly higher than the 15% drop initially predicted). Why such a drop? What's truly happening is a gradual shift away from physical media to downloadable formats.
Exactly right, and this is why I'm pissing my pants laughing here watching the HD-DVD/Blu-Ray race. They seem to genuiely don't understand, that whoever wins, they both lose in the end. Just consider the amoutn of money spent on technology, production and marketing on those duds. That's funny, right.
Re:Speaking for myself (Score:3, Insightful)
Not obsolete. Too #!@$# expensive. (Score:3, Insightful)
Kind of offtopic....
WTF don't companies who make boomboxes that can read mp3 CDs put DVD drives in instead? It sure would be nice to have a 4GB fully integrated solution for weekend camping. Oh well. I'll just stick to the sansa with a boomtube, I guess.
Why CDs are good (Score:3, Insightful)
It's not just music competition (Score:5, Insightful)
Of course, the 1960s, 70s and 80s had decade-defining music. There's no such music for the 2000's. Not really that much worth buying.
Simple explanation: gifts (Score:5, Insightful)
I Still Buy CDs (Score:5, Insightful)
With downloaded music, not only is the audio lossy, but then I also have to spend my precious time producing archival or car listening CD-Rs on my own separately-purchased, questionably-durable media, labeled with a Sharpie or some mediocre inkjet-printed sticker.
And what about rare music? When some remix/promo single or obscure album/12" is long out of print and not carried by places like the iTunes Store, and the torrents have all died down, I may still be able to track down an authentic, full-quality release at a used/collectible shop. I doubt I could be so lucky with old download-only releases, where any company hosting them would likely be sued out of business.
Re:Not yet (Score:5, Insightful)
Get-off-my-lawnism aside, I've found that most people who are satisfied with iPod quality music have either never been exposed to proper audio reproduction, or they just don't care that much. Not everyone wants a medium-rare filet; some people just want a cheeseburger.
Cheeseburgers and blown-off arms in the same post. Take that, mods!
Re:Not yet (Score:4, Insightful)
Top 5 reasons why I like CDs (Score:4, Insightful)
2. Better quality sound than lossy formats like MP3
3. Album art
4. Out of print, import, and rare CDs (which most of my CD purchases are) may become collector's items down the road
5. Convenient backup if you lose the ripped FLACs
Need storage-independent format (Score:3, Insightful)
Re:Not yet (Score:5, Insightful)
This is always one of the big arguments people come up with against the CD, and there is such an obvious retort to it that I just don't understand why you guys don't see it:
You need to start listening to some better artists. Good bands don't put out albums with only 2 or 3 good songs on them.
And yes, that means those 2 or 3 songs you like probably aren't very good either.
Re:Not yet (Score:5, Insightful)
Thats a neat trick (Score:2, Insightful)
The average customer doesn't give a toot about "do whatever they want with their music", since what they want to do with their music is "play it", and DRM typically permits that. The average customer does not care that they cannot play music imported from Japan's Sony store on their Linux box, chiefly because the average customer is buying made-in-the-USA bubblegum pop to play on their Windows machine, iPod, or CD player. If you're the average customer, you could grow old and die without DRM ever inconveniencing you enough to notice. (No, the average customer does not care that if their Windows box dies and their iPod dies then they lose access to their music library. The average customer does not *have* a music library -- they have a selection of CDs they are listening to right now. Many of them are in the wrong CD cases, liner notes have been lost, and some are bare on the dresser. Not having access to that selection in 6 months doesn't concern them, because they will be listening to new CDs in 6 months, because to the average customer music is an experience like seeing a movie in theatres and half of the fun is that it is new.)
The flexibility of buying only the tracks you like is a great feature of iTunes, but nobody is filling up those 4 GB iPods* at ~25 cents per MB. The iPod is a cultural phenomenon, selling 100 million units worldwide. The iTunes store has sold about 300 million *songs*, and it is joined at the hip. Three songs per machine -- if one buyer buys a 12 song album, on average three buyers buy nothing. Are these three songs per machine causing the decline in CD sales? They must have been darn good songs!
No, really: its the piracy, stupid.
Re:Not yet (Score:3, Insightful)
Re:Not yet (Score:2, Insightful)
Pure and simple, you don't know your subject matter.
You really need to do the math, to understand why CD based music does not accurately represent what was played in the studio, or captured at a concert.
In the standard reproduction formats, the frequency bandwidth is 20hz to 20khz.
To reproduce that sine wave after it has been digitized is a herculean task. Consider a tone that rings at 10khz, it has a periodicity .1 millisecond. To accurately digitize and then reproduce that sine wave perfectly, in 1/10th of a millisecond it needs to be sampled several thousand times. Remember, digital is either on or off, but a sine wave is an analog curve and to properly record that curve digitally it takes a huge number of data points. Consider the fact that 20hz has a periodicity of 50ms and 20khz has a periodicity of .05 milliseconds. Now as we know everything is a trade off right? To sample the low end of the spectrum at a rate fast enough to accurately sample the high end of the spectrum would grossly over sample and this is why digital bass reproduction tends to be muddy.
All sorts of algorithms have been created to compensate and interpolate the loss at the high end of the spectrum in the trade off sample rate, but interpolation will never be as accurate as the real thing in analog.
Think before you speak.
Re:Simple explanation: gifts (Score:5, Insightful)
Ardent readers of my writings (both of you) will know that I am no great friend of existing copyright laws, that copying is an inevitability of advancing technology, and believe the regime should re-engineered and replaced with a system that preserves reputations rather than proscribes copying and/or who can manufacture things.
...But even so, I still think what you're doing is really, really cheesy.
Schwab
track arrangement (Score:3, Insightful)
Say, aren't people doing this right now?
what does Bob Dylan know? (Score:5, Insightful)
Hmmm, move up market... nah... (Score:5, Insightful)
SA-CD or DVD-A could have been their salvation, but that would have required pushing the format (all new releases in SA-CD/CD Hybrid discs, so you can use your old CD player and play the material). Houses have LOTS of CD players, 2 cars, home stereo, maybe the master bedroom and a teenagers room. Nobody is putting SA-CD players EVERYWHERE, but they might have bought 1-2 of them if all new CDs supported the new format.
Teenagers like to listen to music... SA-CD boomboxes would have helped make that a reality. But they decided that hey, let's try to collect $30 a SA-CD, and crushed the market. If they had moved up market, and included AAC/WMA/MP3 files ON THE DISC, people might have traded the MP3s online (but they can do that now with a simple CD purchase) and preserved/grew the market.
However, they decided to focus on "plugging the analog hole" and "preventing piracy," making the formats more complicated, players more expensive, and didn't release Hybrids... who the hell was going to buy a SA-CD that they couldn't play in their car. I remember my dad diligents copying every new CD, that went in the stereo case, to a cassette deck for the car for a while... that's unnecessary when Hybrid tech exists, and impossible when you don't make it easy to copy the new SA-CD to CD.
The desire to listen to music on the iPod in no way endangered CD sales inherently, but that would have required more effort to release good CDs, not overcompress the music by making everything LOUD, and encouraged better quality hardware... companies like Sony that do hardware and software could have raised the bar with inexpensive SA-CD bedroom stereos that sounded okay...
However, CDs sound better on a decent system than MP3s, and SA-CDs no doubt sound better, but the refusal to support SA-CD killed it. Digital audio is damned convenient, busy moving my old CD-Jukebox (400 disc, takes forever to change CDs if you want to mix up tracks) to a lossless media server, but there was no reason for the studios not to make that a reality, other than laziness and a fear of change.
Alex
Serves em right (Score:4, Insightful)
I'm not making a defense of piracy here, I'm just saying that RIAA members made some really BAD business decisions back in the day, the main result being that they now have to rely on a computer manufacturer to give them the digital release portal they should have built for themselves. Serves the idiots right.
CDs are not obsolete (Score:5, Insightful)
I want to OWN my music. I want it to be uncompressed, un-DRMed, and I don't want to have to pay for it all again should my MP3 player die, or my hard disk bite the big one. If I change MP3 player brands, I want my music to be compatable, and to not have to rebuy it.
CDs are great. They play everywhere. There's a CD player in my car. My car does not have an MP3 player that I can "sync" with my music library, nor does it have a way to connect my MP3 player to my Car's audio system.
The notion that CDs are becoming obsolete is absurd.
I don't pay a cent for any downloadable music that isn't the free and open and universal MP3, and even then I burn it to a CD so I can play it anywhere I want.
Besides, when you download, you don't get anything PHYSICAL. You don't get liner notes, lyrics, artwork, or even "track order". Music and albums are so much more than just collections of "singles". You lose all that on many MP3 players that you have to go out of your way to get the tracks to play in "album/CD order". And it's ridiculous to pay the same for a 20 second "interlude" track as you do for a 15 minute opus track (whether classic, pop, or rock). And finally, being forced to buy the whole CD to get a single song I liked has opened up my eyes and my tastes to lots of music I never, ever, would have heard on the radio. Generally my favorite tracks are not the singles.
So no, CDs are not obsolete. Not by a long shot.
Re:Not yet (Score:3, Insightful)
Quit being a snob! Look again at what the poster said, and then apply it to your scenario without immediately disqualifying yourself on the basis that you posess Superior Culture.
In other words:
Listen to better [blues|jazz|classical|classic soul/funk|pop tripe], and a greater percentage of what actually gets put onto a CD will actually be good.
Re:what does Bob Dylan know? (Score:4, Insightful)
Re:Not yet (Score:5, Insightful)
This is a time related phenomena, and is bound to the survival rate of cds vs earlier media formats. Forget the BS coming out of the RIAA or the publishers they just don't want to admit to falling sales as a result of the market channel basically being flooded out and older ages groups dropping out of the buying market.
Re:Not yet (Score:5, Insightful)
Re:None of the Above (Score:4, Insightful)
Excellent point. The CD is generaly compressed to sound loud. The DVD has THX cert in most cases. In most cases a 5 year old film is marked down while a 5 year old CD is still at full retail. I buy DVD's pre-viewed for either 2,3, or 4 for $20. CD's are lower quality, have higher prices, have dropped technical standards for quality and the industry is attacking their best customers.
I bought more DVD's last week than I bought CD's all of last year. Guess why?
The music cartel has failed to compete for the entertainment dollar.
How about some new permissions given in the legal copies of their product? Say a public performance license? I have a good sound system. The CD's come with a license which prohibits taking my CD's and DJ'ing a school dance or other performance. I used to do some DJ type stuff at a hobby level until I found out it was in violation of the terms. To get legal was way too expensive for 3-6 gigs a year, so I simply folded. Needless to say this reduces the need to buy CD's by reducing their value simply because their use is restricted.
That one item is one of many restricting the usefuleness of CD's and reduces their value. Inspite of the reduced value, the price remains quite high. Then they wonder why sales are poor. They need a cluestick. I'm watching u-tube at the moment watching Pink Floyd Live. I don't need the shiny disc to enjoy music anymore. Give me a valid reason to part with lots of hard earned cash for a restricted use item. I find more value elsewhere. I spend more on monthly internet than I ever used to spend on LP's and cassettes.
Money I used to spend on music is spent on better values elsewhere.
Re:Not yet (Score:5, Insightful)
Vinyl mixed by the right engineers and played on the right (and not totally ludicrously expensive) kit sounds a whole shitload more like live music than CD's do. This may be because CD's lose resolution as sounds get quieter, or because they lose resolution as sounds get higher frequencies, or because there is no headroom whatsoever, or because producers these days drop shitloads of compressor on and lose dynamic range
Blues albums suffer the most. Something that is supposed to be played by four depressed men in a nasty looking bar in Louisiana comes out sounding like it's been played on general midi.
Like it or not, something has been lost from music. The good news is that it's still there in live gigs and with totally rampant piracy (if we're honest) and thieving bastard record industry executives it seems that the only hope for the bands themselves is to play live more often. Hurrah!
Dave
Re:Are you honestly claiming... (Score:5, Insightful)
Re:Not yet (Score:3, Insightful)
Re:Simple explanation: gifts (Score:3, Insightful)
That's like giving someone a six pack of beer with one missing. Sure, it could be really good beer and the six pack might exceed some arbitrary spending limit, but how tacky can you get?
I get that the gift market point is why you got modded up, but I still think that's a stretch at best. I can't think of anyone who cares about getting the actual disc vs. getting identical data via download (I realize that this is not offered at present by any major store). In fact, not having something to worry about losing or storing cases is a godsend in our smaller, urban dwellings. iTunes does a pretty good job of displaying cover art in much the same way as a full CD tower gives some bragging rights. I can look all the lyrics up online and store it as metadata with the file itself. Between that and the cover art, I'm not missing anything from the physical medium that I care about. Fun anecdotes I can read on the group's website; posters I can buy or print from a high-quality PDF (without the permanent folds in mini-posters imposed by the CD case dimensions). I'm approaching 30, so maybe I'm part of some contaminated younger generation lacking in appreciation for bits of plastic and delicate paper slips.
"Mixed by the right engineers" is the key (Score:5, Insightful)
Comment removed (Score:3, Insightful)
Re:Other: we don't sit and listen to music (Score:1, Insightful)
Comment removed (Score:3, Insightful)
Aliasing (Score:5, Insightful)
The point of using 96Khz or 192Khz isn't to have a higher max freq (due to Nyquist), but having a better resolution in the audible range to avoid aliasing. A 12Khz sound played on a digital system running @ 48Hz will be nice (at least, unless you suffer from presbyaccousia). A 12010 Hz sound on the same system may suffer some aliasing (a full wave doesn't quite exactly take 4 sample to produce and the maxima could be missed, giving some kind of beating in the sound). On a 192Khz system, sound in the 12Khz range all take some 16 samples and even if they aren't quite exactly aligned with the sample rate, there's much less risk of distorting the waveform.
Nyquist theorem gives us information about the highest frequency that *could* be recorder/reproduced using a given sample frequency, *if all condition are optimal*. It does not guarantee us that all sound will be perfectly reproduced up to this frequency. In fact, the recording of a N/2 sound on a N frequency sample could also completly fail if, by chance, the dephasing was such that the sampler did measure at the exact moment when the source cross (either rising or falling) the 0. What the proponent of 96 or 192Khz are saying is, if the sampling frequency is an order of magnitute high (say N * 16 for the sampler) this is much less likely to happen, and you *mostly* have optimal conditions for *any* sound up to your target frequency, even if the sound has funny dephasing.
Re:Vinyl is a lot of fun!! (Score:2, Insightful)
Re:Are you honestly claiming... (Score:2, Insightful)
On the other hand, some people still use analog for various parts of the recording chain because they like a certain sound they get from a particular piece of equipment, and attribute this strictly to an analog/digital difference, even though digital components could reproduce the analog sound if someone took the time to make it do so (usually by analyzing the modifications made to the sound by the analog equipment and then reproducing them on the digital).
Re:what does Bob Dylan know? (Score:2, Insightful)
Re:Not yet (Score:3, Insightful)
Re:Not yet (Score:2, Insightful)
Re:A Silly Thing About Vinyl (Score:3, Insightful)
Offer me... (Score:3, Insightful)
Offer me the over-produced manufactured shit that passes for music nowadays and I'll ignore it.
Offer me DRM-encumbered over-compressed downloads and I will walk away.
Offer me some decent new music and I'll have a listen.
Offer me some decent new music in an uncompressed, DRM-free format, and I'll buy it.
I don't want to be one of the curmudgeons grumbling about all the new music being crap, but the fact remains that I tuned out in the early 1990s, and have heard very little of interest since. My latest (in terms of production date) music purchases are Bailando con Lola by Azucar Moreno and Drama by Bananarama, both released in 2006. Hardly mainstream music, either of them.
...laura