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Paramount to Drop HD DVD? 470

zeromemory writes "The Financial Times reports that " Paramount is poised to drop its support of HD DVD after Warner Brothers' recent backing of Sony's Blu-ray technology, in a move that will sound the death knell of HD DVD and bring the home entertainment format war to a definitive end." According to the Times, Warner Brother's recent defection to Blu-Ray allowed Paramount to terminate their exclusive relationship with HD DVD. Universal Studios remains the only major studio to exclusively support the HD DVD format, though rumors have surfaced that their contract may also contain a termination provision similar to that exercised by Paramount."
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Paramount to Drop HD DVD?

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  • by AndGodSed ( 968378 ) on Tuesday January 08, 2008 @10:05AM (#21953210) Homepage Journal
    Warners decision last week to throw its weight behind Blu-ray saw it join Walt Disney, 20th Century Fox and Metro-Goldwyn-Mayer as backers of the Sony format.

    Some big players in the market there.

    The Warners move gives Blu-ray about 70 per cent of Hollywood's output, although the format's grip on film content will increase further when Paramount comes aboard.

    The words "grip on film content" makes me feel all cornered.
  • by gumpish ( 682245 ) on Tuesday January 08, 2008 @10:08AM (#21953226) Journal
    I'll believe it when Paramount announces it, not the Financial Times...
  • by DrXym ( 126579 ) on Tuesday January 08, 2008 @10:13AM (#21953298)
    The statement says "Paramount's current plan is to continue to support the HD DVD format". It's a weak denial and pretty ambiguous. The way it is worded they could easily change their minds tomorrow or even go neutral. I would expect HD DVD studios to be issuing stronger statements than that if they were actually committed to the format.
  • by slyn ( 1111419 ) <ozzietheowl@gmail.com> on Tuesday January 08, 2008 @10:16AM (#21953344)
    Finally!

    I always suspected Blu Ray would win (partly because I wanted it to win, partly because of the PS3), but it took far longer than I thought it would. For the most part when corporations compete for the consumers business, the consumers win because they get a better product. In the case of the Next-Gen DVD format, neither the corporations nor the consumers won (or maybe they both won but it was a phyrric (sp?) victory). The products a few years ago are barely any different than what they are now (albeit significantly cheaper), so all that resulted in this conflict was consumer confusion and lost sales from people waiting out on a "winner".

    I must say though I'm glad that Blu Ray won given that the only end user noticeable difference is storage and price, and Blu Ray win's on storage space, and will eventually get equal in price.
  • by igb ( 28052 ) on Tuesday January 08, 2008 @10:32AM (#21953562)
    I don't think the death of HD-DVD (even if it happened) would be a victory for Blu-Ray. All those pissed-off HD-DVD customers, the general ``HD video is a good way to get ripped off'' buzz, in a tightening economy, spells trouble. DCC was `beaten' by MiniDisc, but in the end it was a pyhric victory.
  • by 91degrees ( 207121 ) on Tuesday January 08, 2008 @10:32AM (#21953568) Journal
    If they had had the foresight (or even just the balls) to put HD-DVD in to the Xbox 360, the article would be the other away around.

    Then the XBox 360 would have been late to market and expensive. I think MS had a lot more staked on the success of the XBox 360 than HD DVD.
  • by LarsWestergren ( 9033 ) on Tuesday January 08, 2008 @10:34AM (#21953590) Homepage Journal
    Porn studios showed the way.

    The myth that it was the porn studios who cased VHS to win over Betamax has been pretty thoroughly debunked... besides, even if it was so, this does not mean it must happen again 20 years later -

    *People can get porn online easily these days.
    *Porn might be one of the few genres that DON'T benefit from high-definition.
  • by elrous0 ( 869638 ) * on Tuesday January 08, 2008 @10:36AM (#21953612)
    Sony are DRM-crazed control freaks. This is NOT a victory for consumers. May I remind you which studio was putting rootkits on all their CD's not so long ago? Do you really think they won't use their dominance to try some similar stuff with blu-ray?
  • by podperson ( 592944 ) on Tuesday January 08, 2008 @10:41AM (#21953672) Homepage
    I wonder if -- and indeed expect that -- the victory will prove Pyrrhic.

    Gates famously said this would be the last format far. I think that it will prove to be the last plus one. Most people are going to be uninterested in buying video in a locked format; unless blu-rays allow you to play your videos on a generic DVD player, rip your video into your computer, play your video on your PSP, iPod, iPhone, or whatever, not enough people will want them to generate economies of scale.

    I suspect that 1080 will turn out to be a mere stepping stone to arbitarily large screen resolutions. DVD, VHS, etc. all targeted an otherwise very stable market of equipment: NTSC televisions and stereo (or even mono) audio. The old CE companies have tried to create a new ecology (HD TV + Surround sound) but the real ecology is much more complex and diverse (PCs, laptops, cellphones, iPods, and stuff we haven't even dreamed of yet) and it's not going to stay even vaguely stable for long enough for a deeply flawed and mistargeted technology to gain traction.
  • by ribuck ( 943217 ) on Tuesday January 08, 2008 @10:42AM (#21953690)
    Paramount's spokeswoman said "Paramount's current plan is to continue to support the HD DVD format".

    That doesn't sound like a denial at all. That just sounds like they haven't announced any changes yet, so of course it's their "current plan". We already knew that it was their "current plan".
  • by Shivetya ( 243324 ) on Tuesday January 08, 2008 @10:48AM (#21953776) Homepage Journal
    Sorry HD-DVD is dieing because of back room politics and its not Microsoft. Really, half the time we are claiming they are a dino and dieing off and the next time they are a world power behind the scenes, about the only thing not pinned on them is 9/11.

    This is about Hollywood studios lining up with a product more friendly with what they want.

    I went with HD-DVD initially because of price. That and the fact ALL movies start immediately without bunches of lead in crap - something that disney loves.

    I will get a BluRay once the price reaches HD-DVD player price points. Fortunately there aren't enough movies restricted to one player or the other. Do I think my "investment" in HD-DVD is wasted? No, because they aren't going to stop playing. Besides calling it an "investment" is just a lame way to justify what you spend on something that is essentially frivolous.

    Grats to Sony on the win, too bad for the consumer as I while both have overpriced movies the BluRay players are not competitive. If anything it may slow down real High Definition roll outs.
  • by oliverthered ( 187439 ) <oliverthered.hotmail@com> on Tuesday January 08, 2008 @10:49AM (#21953788) Journal
    a less positive way to view it is that HD-DVD is easier to copy than blu-ray.

    looks like the chances of getting a next gen dvd player for linux are out the window.
  • Oh geez. (Score:3, Insightful)

    by Viewsonic ( 584922 ) on Tuesday January 08, 2008 @10:53AM (#21953844)
    They denied it, pure and simple. Just because someone can do something doesn't mean they're going to. How about instead of ignoring their denial, you take it for face value until, you know, they actually do it. Until then, the rest of the world will be waiting for sub $100 Blu-Ray players before we even think about jumping on this train.
  • Re:do not want (Score:3, Insightful)

    by Joe Random ( 777564 ) on Tuesday January 08, 2008 @11:12AM (#21954136)

    I hate the idea of spending hard earned cash on DRM infested discs that will be obsolete in five years.

    There's always NetFlix. Personally, I watch individual movies so infrequently that it doesn't make sense for me to actually buy them. I don't mean that I don't watch movies. Just that, if I've seen a particular movie, I probably won't feel like watching it again for several years.
  • by igb ( 28052 ) on Tuesday January 08, 2008 @11:18AM (#21954210)
    People that slashdot readers know aren't a good model of the population at large. I'd be prepared to bet that of my wife's friends, less than 10% of them know there is a format war at all. The main decision they're involved in is ``keep the VCR vs Buy a DVD recorder vs Buy a hard-disk recorder'' for timeshifting. In my guise a technology consultant to a large pool of social acquaintances, not one person has mentioned HD. And over lunch in a technology company where I work, the general view is ``maybe at some point, but who cares?''. Note this is England, where a TV over 26" is the mark of he working classes.
  • by iainl ( 136759 ) on Tuesday January 08, 2008 @11:30AM (#21954372)
    The thing is that since the run up to Christmas started, right up to this Warner switch announcement, the weekly ratio of Blu to HD-DVD sales has been static at around 61:39, despite individual big titles on both formats and a non-stop series of Buy 1 Get 1 Free offers on Amazon.com and in stores for Blu.

    Far better for HD-DVD than the 2:1 to 3:1 we were seeing during most of the summer, and a hell of a lot better than the 8:1 or more that some Blu fanboys were suggesting we'd see by Christmas six months ago.

    No, what really seems to have caused the announcement of the switch isn't the ratios at all, but that the raw numbers, and certainly raw profit numbers were far worse than expected. Loads of people sitting out the battle because they didn't want to back the loser, and loads of loss-leading promotion being run on both sides to ensure it wasn't them.

    Warner want one side, any side to win, so the fence-sitters might dive in. They just jumped the way they thought might make the most difference.
  • by LarsWestergren ( 9033 ) on Tuesday January 08, 2008 @11:41AM (#21954544) Homepage Journal
    High Def porn is a good thing. If you like what you're looking at then more def is usually good. Hell a real female is infinitely more "hi def" than the TV is they are still generally prefered over porn.

    Yes but real people don't have genitals the size of 42" screens and razor pimples the size of tennis balls...
  • Heh (Score:3, Insightful)

    by Enahs ( 1606 ) on Tuesday January 08, 2008 @11:51AM (#21954696) Journal
    Every negative HD-DVD story on Slashdot is plastered with Blu-Ray ads. Heh.

    Well, I bought one of the HD-DVD players at Christmas time and was quite happy with it...for about a week, when WB cut the legs out from under the format. The only actual title I've bought so far was a WB title. Heck, I took their statements about continuing neutrality to be honesty.

    I figured it'd turn out that way, but thought the worse-but-final-and-cheaper format might pull one out. I guessed wrong, but at least I got a good upscaling DVD player out of the deal, and I think I'll go ahead and grab some titles before they disappear.

    And as far as Blu-Ray goes, I'll wait until there's a non-sucky entry-level player that doesn't cost more than double my 3rd-gen HD-DVD player. I mean, really, a stand-alone player that sucks ass and costs as much as an entry-level PS3, which also plays Blu-Ray and comes with 5 free movies? What kind of moron is going to buy into that right now? I guess the same kind of suckers who buy brand-new computer tech as soon as it comes out.

    The way I look at it, these studios just set HD movies BACK a year, and in that time, people won't be buying as many DVDs either, since the studios will take the attitude, "Just buy the Blu-Ray titles, morons!" before long. So have fun losing that revenue stream, guys.
  • by tbannist ( 230135 ) on Tuesday January 08, 2008 @12:00PM (#21954824)
    ...

    Of course, denying the switch is the correct course of action, whether they're going to switch or not.

    There's no sense in risking your sales by announcing shortly you won't be supporting the formatting you're selling. The rumour that they might should be enough to drive sales up a bit for the people who already have HD DVD players and don't want to switch to BluRay. Meanwhile you can be sure as hell, they're getting ready to go both formats and/or BluRay exclusive if the money works out.

    I.e. the only reason they would not use the escape clause would be because they have to give back some of the bribe if they don't complete the term of the contract.
  • Comment removed (Score:5, Insightful)

    by account_deleted ( 4530225 ) on Tuesday January 08, 2008 @12:02PM (#21954858)
    Comment removed based on user account deletion
  • Marginal quality? I was watching a Blu-Ray movie and it didn't look like a movie, it freakin' looked like I was watching action just outside a window. It was literal jaw dropping. I have yet to see that with HD-DVD.
    Besides, HD-DVD uses rep to identify their movies; where as Blu-Ray uses blue. Which one do you think looks more appealing to the consumer? The success of consumer electronics is often not depndant on technical merits, but visual ones.

  • by SuperKendall ( 25149 ) on Tuesday January 08, 2008 @12:45PM (#21955500)
    Sure, just like Warner was denying their format exclusivity right up until the day they were not.

    If there is a clause, what makes you think it's not needed? HD-DVD sales have tanked on Amazon, and there are also rumors of some retailers dropping HD-DVD altogether. If that happens, I would say Paramount would consider it nessecary to invoke the clause.
  • Comment removed (Score:3, Insightful)

    by account_deleted ( 4530225 ) on Tuesday January 08, 2008 @12:55PM (#21955660)
    Comment removed based on user account deletion
  • by terjeber ( 856226 ) on Tuesday January 08, 2008 @01:24PM (#21956046)

    Take Blu-ray. The player sales have been dismal.

    Despite the fact that Tosh has been dumping players at somewhere around 1/2 of production price, the uptake of HD DVD has been pretty dismal. In fact, uptake of HDM in general has been dismal. This is the problem Warner was facing. They, and only they, had the power to put an end to a format war that kept the consumer on the fence. To do so they only had one move open to them. They made it.

    There is no reason to think Warner was paid off in the way Paramount was, but it is not unreasonable to assume they got some good disk-printing incentives. Warner executives denies Warner was paid, and with Sarbanes-Oxley, it is reasonable to assume they are speaking the truth about that. I find it odd that the HD DVD fanboys are so adamant that Warner is unable to make rational business decisions. As with most nutcase theories, there has to be a conspiracy somewhere.

    Oh, and BTW, in December, the sales of stand alone Blu-Ray players was higher than that of HD DVD players, despite the fact that they are priced twice or more of HD DVD. So, what can we say? Even when you give away HD DVD players, the general public say shrug, I don't care. That hurts everybody, and Warner needed to do something about that.

    Combine that with the fact that less than 1 in 5 PS3 owners even know they have a BD player....

    Now, now, let's not just make up numbers willy nilly or distort pretty ancient numbers. A good portion of PS3 players by now was sold with a Blu-Ray movie, the consumer isn't that stupid.

    I'll stick with DVDs.

    And that is your prerogative. I prefer to watch HD movies. You apparently want to watch SD movies rather than going with a format that your religion says you should not use. Good for you.

  • Re:Waiting... (Score:3, Insightful)

    by HTH NE1 ( 675604 ) on Tuesday January 08, 2008 @03:17PM (#21958158)

    Those HD-DVD movies are going to be useless now unless you either keep your HD-DVD player just for the 20 movies you have on HD-DVD or unless you get a dual format player.
    Or rip them.
  • by gad_zuki! ( 70830 ) on Tuesday January 08, 2008 @04:49PM (#21959804)
    > If they had had the foresight (or even just the balls) to put HD-DVD in to the Xbox 360, the article would be the other away around.

    I call BS on this. If MS did this then the xbox would have been 100 dollars more, fanboys would have complained, and they still would have lost the format war. They might even have lost the console war.

    First off, MS is not Sony. They dont own a movie studio and billion dollar movies. MS is always fighting off regulation and is somewhat controlled by the threat of lawsuits and the judgement against them. In Japan, Sony is a powerhouse that is encouraged by the government. Its a brand thats part of their national pride.

    MS knew that HDDVD was a huge gamble when going up against Sony in the movie business and along with Toshiba and others they lost. Xbox is still pretty cheap, ironically , a much better value and success than the ps3. So Sony lost the console and got the movies. Good for them. Here's to more Sony style managerial decisions like spyware on my discs, proprietary everything out the wazoo, and huge premiums.
  • by Zakabog ( 603757 ) <`john' `at' `jmaug.com'> on Tuesday January 08, 2008 @11:48PM (#21964798)
    I'm sorry, how has blu-ray hurt PS3 owners? I have a system that can support game discs as large as 50GB, along with a blu-ray disc player AND I can install Linux on it. I've never been happier with a game system before, I think Sony did everything right with the PS3 for those who can afford it. People who can't, will be able to one day when the price drops down so it's not that big a deal. I was expecting this to happen to HD DVD, as soon as I heard that the PS3 would play blu-ray discs it was just obvious to me that it would be the winning format just because every kid who buys a PS3 would have a blu-ray player. They'd get curious one day as to how good blu-ray really is, they'd buy a disc, watch some HD content on their 1080p TV (if they have one) and most likely get blown away by how amazing it looks. That was the general reaction from the dozens of people who've watched just 30 seconds of my Planet Earth blu-ray set. One or two of these people knew what 1080p meant, everyone else just knew that it looked amazing and had no idea HD DVD would look the same but they did know that when they bought a PS3 they'd have a blu-ray player.

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