Scientists Surprised to Find Earth's Biosphere Booming 692
radioweather writes "An article from the Financial Post
says that recent studies of
biosphere imaging from the NASA SEAWIFS satellite indicate that the
Earth's
biomass is booming: 'The results surprised Steven Running of the University of Montana and
Ramakrishna Nemani of NASA, scientists involved in analyzing the NASA satellite
data. They found that over a period of almost two decades, the Earth as a whole
became more bountiful by a whopping 6.2%. About 25% of the Earth's vegetated
landmass — almost 110 million square kilometers — enjoyed significant
increases and only 7% showed significant declines. When the satellite data zooms
in, it finds that each square meter of land, on average, now produces almost 500
grams of greenery per year.' Their 2004 study, and other more recent ones, point to the warming of the
planet and the presence of CO2, fertilizing the biota and resulting in the
increased green side effect."
The cycle.... (Score:2, Insightful)
Re:The cycle.... (Score:4, Insightful)
Is biodiversity also booming? (Score:5, Insightful)
The arctic ice pack is melting and that will ultimately change the earth's albedo in a bad way. I don't see much optimism in that, even if some plants in some places grow better due to changing climate conditions.
I smell bullshit (Score:5, Insightful)
If these governments are right, they will have done us all a service. If they are wrong, the service could be all ill, with food production dropping world wide, and the countless ecological niches on which living creatures depend stressed."
Bollocks, governments are not removing emissions, they are reducing emissions. Thus we will still keep all the CO2 in the atmosphere, we will just pump less new CO2 into the atmosphere.
Thus the plants can keep growing all they like, we won't be removing their food anytime soon. All we are doing is slowing down the pace at which we are overfeeding them.
corn, wheat, soybeans, rice, are biomass (Score:5, Insightful)
Re:Is biodiversity also booming? (Score:1, Insightful)
Re:The cycle.... (Score:5, Insightful)
Perhaps mass extinction is the preferred process to upgrade the biopshere to cope with new conditions?
Return of the slime (Score:5, Insightful)
That's a good point. I read an article a while ago stating that some parts of the oceans are experiencing a "return of the slime" - the higher life forms are disappearing, while simpler life forms are booming.
Probably not something we want to have. I'd rather have fish and seafood than algae slime, thank you very much.
obvious answer (Score:2, Insightful)
FMB (Score:1, Insightful)
Twisted Conclusion (Score:5, Insightful)
This does not take in to account bioDIVERSITY. While we may be increasing crop density, causing giant algol blooms, is monoculture something that we really want?
You can introduce an exotic species of grass to populations in the Moaje desert which are extremely prone to burning, but will grow back from the ground. All of the native plants, which are not accustomed to fires die off. What you're left with is an exotic grass that any number of animal species may need be able to utilize. Destroy biodiversity at the bottom and everything above it falls apart.
Same goes for giant algae blooms in the Gulf of Mexico due to high nitrogen runoff from agriculture. Sure there's a metric fuck-ton of algae growing there, but at what cost? If the death of every other living thing (or nigh on) in the surrounding area is good, then... great!
Furthurmore, last time I checked, Carbon was not exactly a limiting factor in plant growth. I've seen plants die from pH, salt poisoning, incorrect water levels, heat, cold, you name it. However, I don't think I've ever seen a plant suffer from lack of CO2.
In short: To say that plant biomass alone accounts for a healthy ecosystem and that increased carbon levels confers from magical "nutrients" to plants is far-fetched at best.
meh... (Score:2, Insightful)
I'll all for conservation, but ppl need to decide if CO2 is helping or hurting (not that we put out enough for it to matter, anyhow) before telling the world it needs to spend $40+ trillion on *fixing* things.
Yeah, I'm bitter.
Re:Return of the slime (Score:5, Insightful)
If sea levels continue to rise due to global warming, the spawning grounds for many fish will be flushed with excessive salinity which will wipe out those special ecosystems and drop fish stocks worldwide (...already in sharp decline). So as you say, the fish and seafood will be replaced with slime, and there will be more mosquitoes due to the lack of fish hatchlings to eat the mosquito larvae.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sea_level_rise [wikipedia.org]
Biosphere booming indeed.
Re:Absorbing CO2 (Score:3, Insightful)
Re:So now we have the (Score:3, Insightful)
The only species that are going to really be adversely affected by this sort of change are those who have set up permanent settlements right next to the water and can't easily retreat further inland as the water rises. Or has critical infrastructure that can be easily destroyed by hurricanes and tornadoes as the weather becomes more chaotic. Or relies on things staying the same, year in, year out, just because they have been for the last 200 years. Such a species would really be fucked by this sort of a change. One only hopes they wouldn't be stupid enough to cause it.
We're not doing this for the planet. We're not doing this for the plants, or even the fuzzy animals. We're doing it for us. Because if you look at the cold hard facts, we really don't have any other choices worth a damn.
I'm a moderate rightist, and I approve this message.
The Balance of Handwaving (Score:2, Insightful)
Again it was never confirmed or claimed (Score:3, Insightful)
Re:So now we have the (Score:3, Insightful)
Most of the climate speculation I've seen concentrates on very human-centric concerns such as food production, extreme weather and the effect of rising sea levels on major cities.
Re:So now we have the (Score:5, Insightful)
Re:So now we have the (Score:5, Insightful)
It has been observed through various forms of evidence that the earth has indeed cycled in this way many times. This event is significant, however, as evidenced by the melting of ice that hasn't been in liquid form for several cycles. If I understand and have read things correctly, then this is a melting of ice that has been in a frozen state for more than 5 million years. So while it's arguable that the earth naturally goes through these cycles, it's also evident that these cycles are responsible for mass extinction events on the planet.
So who cares?
1. If you care about "the planet" only, then you are pretty comfortable in knowing that the planet will be just fine. It has seen changes like these before and will not suffer or become lifeless as a result of this.
2. If you care about our current planetary ecosystem, then you are right to be concerned as it seems evident that it is being changed irreversibly. There is such a great depth to how inter-twined we are with the environment, that it is hard not to believe that any major change in the environment will not lead to a mass extinction event especially a mass extinction of humans. (If someone were to create a food substance completely out of raw, non-living minerals, then perhaps humans could stand a chance at survival.) (The very notion that only life in areas where the sea level changes is ridiculous and fails to account for other realities surrounding the change in sea level. There is, for example, the change in water temperature which has a direct connection with the patterns and intensity of weather events such as hurricanes. These weather changes are global, not only coastal. These weather changes affect the balance of plant and animal life which will inevitably lead to the rise of some and the fall of others, but consider what it means when the bees die... and they are dying. When the bees die, the stuff we depend on to make food dies with them. We will follow soon after we run out of food.)
3. If the question of cause or blame is important to you, then I believe the circumstantial evidence supports the notion that humans are responsible for what it going on.
Ultimately, I believe humans are responsible for what is going on and could stop this any time we are prepared to value life over profit. At every level, however, we're prepared to kill for money... kill for control over our own destiny. Isn't it ironic that its the human desire and instinct to dominate and control that will likely destroy us?
I love technology. I couldn't know what I know or learn what I may learn without it. I couldn't write this here without it. I'm contributing to our own demise simply by not giving up my own technology, quitting my job, destroying my car and living naked in the woods somewhere. But then, I'm just a drone like the majority of us. We're in no position to make those kinds of changes. It is the other classes of people who are in a position to make a change and their willingness to make changes...more specifically, to give up their existing business models in favor of those that will support the existence of humans. (For example, the airline industry should REALLY consider using their enormous profits to evolve into massive rail projects that can run on power sources other than those that emit greenhouse gasses. And the automotive industry should put currently known technologies to use.) We already know what is possible. We just aren't doing it. The market mentality drives us and even requires us by law to destroy ourselves for profit.
The stock market is not a maintainable model. In theory, it should be a reflection of supply and demand. In reality, it is driven by guesses, fears
Re:So now we have the (Score:3, Insightful)
And will you have faith that "Gaia" will solve a future dilemma? How will you know? Will you take it on faith again?
Bah, humbug. What a mis-explanation.
Re:So now we have the (Score:5, Insightful)
Is there some corollary to Godwin's law that I don't know about? "As a Slashdot discussion grows longer, the probability that someone will randomly blame Jews for some imaginary travesty approaches one," or something like that?
Get a grip.
What Could Be More Darwinian? (Score:3, Insightful)
Biodiversity is the logical result of a lack of bio-adversity. Bio-adversity, or a period of stress as we are now seeing, will weed out the species less able to adapt. Darwin has never been disproven in this aspect of his observations and conclusions. The most disturbing aspect to most "extremists" is that the change is "man-made." Guess what? Man is part of the biosphere. I'm not advocating that we abandon restraint or forgo seeking knowledge about our planet, only that we realize that we are bound to impact our planet, so long as humans survive, innovate and flatulate.
Our climatological knowledge is so limited and fragile that jumping to conclusions requires huge leaps of faith that would put a fundamentalist to shame. Collect the data, draw tentative conclusions. One doesn't accurately map a complex surface with only one or two data points. Forgo the FUD.Re:Is biodiversity also booming? (Score:3, Insightful)
I hate making tough decisions.....I'll go with waiting for science to get all the facts right and remove political/personal agendas.
Re:So now we have the (Score:4, Insightful)
Besides the only solution for the food and oil problem is "lowering the world's population". As they are about to realise that lowering birth rates won't work, people really need to die, I expect to hear VERY bad things from the "peak-oil" and greenhouse loonies anytime now.
Besides if you were really worried about food production (= oil imports) you wouldn't be a lefty these days, nor an environmentalist.
Then again the way Obama ("let's sue opec !", "let's drop defenses around saudi arabia unless they deliver 1 mbpd more oil") is harping on about oil, it seems to me the democrats are actually more likely to start the next oil war than the republicans.
And for gaia as an organisation at least it really is about the fuzzy animals, I assume you'd consider them environmentalists :
"What is GAIA?
GAIA, or Global Action in the Interest of Animals, unites human defenders of animal welfare and advocates for animal rights in Belgium."
http://www.gaia.be/eng/ [www.gaia.be]
(on gaia.com I was unable to find any stated aims, and this was the first hit on google for "gaia aims", since this does describe itself as part of gaia international, I assume it's the same aims)
Re:meh... (Score:4, Insightful)
If he's like most people, it will have to cause noticeable damage within a few miles of his house.
Anything else is 'someone elses problem'
Re:Is biodiversity also booming? (Score:4, Insightful)
"The extent and diversity of plant and animal life have both increased substantially during the past half-century."
How do you arrive at the conclusion that biodiversity is declining? Have you personally observed this phenomenon and tracked it over time, over the entire planet, somehow better than the scientists with their satellites and field observations?
My experience, in the US anyway, is that if you live in a sprawling cityscape, it will seem like the Earth is dying around you at an accelerating pace. Live in a rural area though and you will find that plant and animal life seem to be doing OK.
The biosphere doesn't exist in a vacuum, it's constantly changing and adapting. We are part of our environment and our interaction with it changes it, sometimes in ways that can be considered "bad", sometimes in ways that can be considered "good". It is Heisenberg uncertainty on a macro scale.
Some species have had problems adapting to our activities (or our sheer ignorance), and we're doing some things to try to help those species recover, provided we can exploit the species for food or resources or it is somehow essential to the foodchain for other species we value. In doing so, we may also be condemning the populations of the same species that adapted.
My guess is that there are constant pressures on the climate and there are so many variables involved, we will continue to be surprised at the mechanisms in play and the adaptability of life. Our attempts to predict the outcomes of the change over time for all of these variables is likely to be futile. But we can theorize and then observe. Our attempts to control the environment are almost certainly naive, and quite possibly dangerously so. Should we really take action to prevent the pressure safety valve in the steam engine from opening? Can we accept the possibility of a new normal and the inevitability that we must adapt as a species or die?
Sapiens qui vigilat.
Re:The cycle.... (Score:4, Insightful)
The trouble with digging up carbon and burning it, is that you're adding it to what is essentially a closed loop cycle. This leads to changes in climate and impacts life all over the planet. The more you alter the environment, the bigger the change in the inhabitants of that environment.
Re:So now we have the (Score:5, Insightful)
lol
In case you haven't noticed, those "soverign nations" have been making threats against Israel for about six decades now...
I guess you just don't take Arabs seriously, huh?
Re:Leftist? (Score:1, Insightful)
It's quite a bit more heartless to take my hard-earned money through the threat of government force, just so someone who hasn't earned it can continue to suck up resources.
Seriously, I have no problem with wealth redistribution, but if you want to take my money by force you should be required to do your own damn dirty work. Pick up a gun and rob me, instead of sending the tax man and the police to do it for you.
Russia and Canada are the winners in this game (Score:3, Insightful)
Couple this with political factors such as former Soviet countries now full members of the EU, increasing cooperation between the EU and former Soviet countries in Asia, Russia applying the EU model in a building up a dozen treaty organizations throughout former Soviet countries and beyond, and you have the makings of a real superpower. The hawkish position of many American politicians is the fuel that spurs Russia to take this road.
Re:The cycle.... (Score:3, Insightful)
I'm thinking that the Ice Age which we're overdue for might have a wee bit more of an impact on "life all over the planet" than any amount of CO2 we can pump out
Broad brush... (Score:5, Insightful)
Think of everything that life has learned up to now. It's all in the DNA. The DNA is everything life has learned about surviving and prospering and experiencing itself and the universe around. Evolved over billions of years, invaluable, irreplaceable information that interacts to sustain life. We are erasing that information, burning it up. We're not making a backup, and it sounds like you're saying it doesn't matter, it'll all work out in the end so it doesn't matter what we do. That's utter crap, because it does matter. It matters because what we do defines us, and as I look around, it seems that what we humans consider valuable runs quite counter to that which upholds the biosphere that sustains all life.
To me it seems like nothing less than a deep imperative to be concerned about all life and to treat all species as our beloved friends. At any rate, we should not dismiss every other species with banal cartoon characterizations like "fuzzy animals." Sure, you'll find plenty of people who'll pat you on your clever head for that one, but the biosphere is giving you the finger, pal. Life happens to be full, profound, and challenging for all living beings, whether you consider them cute, fuzzy, and ridiculous or not. To dismiss the deep experience of every other species, while exalting our own relatively banal imitation of life is hilarious to behold.
You should endeavor to give the deepest possible respect to all living beings. It may lead you to a deeper appreciation of life, where your concerns aren't bound purely by stylistic considerations: how large, how many fingers and toes, whether the being is fuzzy or "cute" or ugly, whether it can do calculus or get voted off American Idol.
Until you as a person give up your thoughtless species-oriented prejudices, you limit your access to the living world, make everything about "us" and "them," focus on differences, make life a war and a struggle, and closed off in a homo-sapien bubble.
You don't have to make it such an adversarial thing between you and those like me who are trying to love more broadly, but I can understand that some people prefer it that way, because they feel reasonably comfortable that they have the upper hand.
Well, congratulations on your hard-won success!
It just sounds like all you care about is you and yours, and you've got a very limited idea of who fits in that little group. Why would you not try to be an advocate for as many beings as possible? Most higher animals are quite helpless and oblivious in the face of all our madness, and without the intervention of concerned humans, they have no hope. Aren't the helpless, the voiceless, and the downtrodden exactly those who need us to wake up and work harder for them?
I mean, if you feel contempt or indifference towards the helpless.... well it has a fascist kind of spirit, doesn't it?
Re:So now we have the (Score:4, Insightful)
Re:Author with an Agenda (Score:3, Insightful)
Re:So now we have the (Score:5, Insightful)
Does that sound like an attractive proposition?
It's all about information. The quality of your life is not encoded in your biomass -- although your cultured self might disagree, if it had anything to think with.
This reminds me of a course I took in neuroscience in which we learned that after certain kinds of brain trauma, the forms new connections in the affected area. We all felt warm and fuzzy about the Wisdom of Evolution encoded in our DNA, until it was pointed out that the new connections were actually malfunctions. Brain function would be better preserved if the new connections were suppressed, than having it rewired by the local cells, which don't really know what the hell they are doing.
Anthropocentrism has its place. but not in determining what the natural world is up to. You are prefectly free to believe that the highest use of the natural world is the care and feeding of humans, and maximizing their amusements. But the natural world doesn't take any notice of that opinion. All things being equal, we humans prefer an ocean that is richly stocked with finned fish and full of things like coral reefs. However is conditions are bad for fish or reef building organism, Gaia can always fall back on generating algal mats. An ocean choked with algal slime would not be to most of our likings at all, although perhaps to yours because it would probably contain more biomass.
Concepts like "damage" and "disaster" are purely human opinions about matters; brain cells or ocean algae simply do what life does: they adapt. The idea that Nature in Her Wisdom intervenes to protect us from our own actions is rubbish. This is the junk religion part of the Gaia hypothesis, the romantic anthropomorphizing of what is basically a gigantic machine for maximizing entropy. Nature adjusts, and most adjustments are not going to be our liking.
What any single species "likes" is to encounter favorable conditions for growth and reproduction. However, since even the resources of the entire planet are limited, it doesn't get favorable conditions forever. It either overshoots its carrying capacity, or it settles into an equilibrium with other species. Even humans, the most adaptable of species, are no different. The difference is we can understand the consequences of our actions, and therefore we can choose which of these fates we will experience.
A species that can live on everything from African veldt to arctic permafrost, from the Amazonian rain forest to the Tibetan plateau, such a species will never go extinct. At least not so long as the Sun shines, and possibly longer than that. But our species can experience population decline. This is a perfectly normal event in the history of the biosphere, but it will be for us a "disaster".
"Disaster", after all, is just our species' word for something that is perfectly predictable, but only statistically so. Since it is "only statistically probable", we assume it's somebody else's job to deal with it when it happens and put everything back to "normal" afterwards. They can prepare for it if they like, so long as it doesn't cost money or require us to make any effort whatsoever.
If you are conservative, you can choose to be one of two kinds of conservative: one who wants to keep things more or less as they have been, or one who wants to keep doing things more or less the same way we always have. You can't claim that they are both the same thing, not without the intervention of a Benevolent Agency. Things aren't to rosy on that front either, since I seem to recall that Benevolent Agencies are often quite keen on meting out mandatory change on people who aren't so keen on mending their ways.
In a nutshell, Nature doesn't care about us, because it doesn't even know we exist, apart from being an bag of c
Re:Is biodiversity also booming? (Score:2, Insightful)
your usage of the word 'fact' makes you come out as a republican. i hear them using the word 'fact' added to every goddamn sentence they are using lately, to reinforce their belief or persuade other people to believe in bullcrap that has been debunked so many times before. please. dont.
Not a Jew... (Score:4, Insightful)
I mean, you're getting on the case of a sovereign nation Israel threatening military surgical strikes against a nuclear weapons program at a neighboring sovereign nation that keeps expressing the intent to destroy their neighbor Israel.
You are the same sort of idiot as some of my elementary school teachers were who believed that the kid being picked on by bullies was just as much to blame as the bully and therefore should be suspended.
No, you'll raise your voice to decry Israel for their statements, but sit back and blindly ignore Iran's statements.
Sorry, you're thinking is just great for college classrooms. But gets people killed in the real world. Why don't you go put a "Free Tibet" bumper sticker on your car. Cause we all know that's going to help free Tibet.
No fecal matter for skull filling... (Score:4, Insightful)
And the fact that they are actively engaged in weapons development programs toward the accomplishment of that fact.
Or the fact that this will be one of a number of times the world has silently thanked Israel. You see, the chicken powers (U.S., U.K., Russia, France, etc) sit back going "We REALLY do not want this nutcase to have nukes. But we'll cause an international incident if we act. Let's just wait and see - knowing Israel will have to act since they're the target."
And then Israel does a surgical strike. The world condemns them publicly and thanks them behind closed doors for doing what none of us western nations have the balls to do.
I'm not suprised in the least (Score:3, Insightful)
Re:Is biodiversity also booming? (Score:3, Insightful)
As well reasoned as this opinion may seem, it is either an unconscious or willful tactic to ignore the actual science by discrediting the the perceived personal agendas. It is not really any different from the "Ad Homonem."
Science will *never* get all the facts 100% right at a static point in time, because technology is ever advancing. You will never eliminate personal agendas because we are human beings.
There is a similarity between religious "creationists" and the global warming opponents.
For evolution, the evidence is undeniable. Do we know the exact evolutionary path every species, including ourselves, has taken? No. Does that mean we did not evolved? No. The creationists will target any assumed or exploitable "gap" as hard proof that evolution is false.
The irony is that there is *NO* proof of a god creator. Were the creationists to apply the same logical discipline to their own position, they could not help but discard it.
The same is happening on the global warming issue. It is a proven fact that global warming is happening. There is very strong evidence that it is due to carbon fuels and other activities of man.
What makes it difficult or impossible to argue with someone who wishes not to accept is that there are coincidental natural events like the "carbon cycle," ice ages, and other phenomena. The global warming deniers seize on these to create FUD around the issue.
Like the creationists, if they spend as much intellectual effort trying to understand the issue instead of trying to create plausible loophole arguments, maybe we could make some decisions and fix the problems.
It is not helpful to always re-debate the established facts. What we need to debate and study are the effects. Really try to fully understand the causes of global warming. Is it a natural thing? The evidence suggests otherwise. The anti global warming people have to research the issue and provide as much proof that it is cause by a natural process that the global warming people have provided that it is cause by us.
Even if it is a natural thing, it doesn't mean its something we want to happen.
Re:So now we have the (Score:3, Insightful)
We are both a bigger and a smaller part of things than we think.
Bigger, because our activities can certainly have enough of an impact on the planet to make ourselves very uncomfortable.
Smaller because if we wipe ourselves (and a few other species) out, life will carry on without us.
Re:Leftist? (Score:5, Insightful)
The more money you have, the more pleasant is doing your job. As you get better payed jobs you also get the better office and better non-monetary retributions.
I agree that it is harder to GET better jobs, it is harder to GET to a place where you are payed more. But you don't end up doing HARDER work, you may work hard, but people that's under you is working hard too, only that in worst conditions.
So I think the rule is:
Poor people: hard-earned money
Rich people: hard-earned jobs
But I understand your position, games are always fun when you are winning. I also have one of those hard-to-earn jobs... I work at home, with a laptop, usually from bed or sitting on a nice chair on my garden.... while my cleaning lady has to spend her day going from house to house cleaning other people's shit.
So, when what I'm saying is three things:
1. Don't loose perspective of the place you stand compared to other people.
2. Don't say poor people doesn't work, or works less than you do.
3. Everyone is needed in society, everyone deserves to be recognized.
--
We are all Anonymous Cowards when online.
Re:Is biodiversity also booming? (Score:3, Insightful)
Regardless of the reality of global warming, looking to that Nobel Prize as an imprimatur on Global Warming is ludicrous. First, it was the PEACE prize, not a scientific prize, and was awarded by a committee of the Swedish Parliament. Secondt, the Nobel committee broke their own rules in awarding it to more than 3 individuals.
The Peace prize has a long, storied history of being a politically motivated piece of crap; the fact that this time the politics revolved around a scientific topic doesn't make the Swedish Parliament experts at climatology any more than Al Gore became a climatologist after loosing the presidential election.
Re:So now we have the (Score:3, Insightful)
Pure and unadulterated BS. It so happens that polar bears and penguins both are able to survive quite well, thank you, in warmer areas. The fact that they can be kept alive quite readily in zoos around the world is only one evidence of this. Life is amazingly adaptable, if the changes happen over generations of time.
Where did you get that marvelous crystal ball that tells you so precisely what WILL happen over centuries of time? The weather forecasters around here have a hard time predicting whether it WILL rain tomorrow. They couch their lack of skill in prognosticating in terms of probabilities, rather than trying to tell us what WILL happen to the weather.
Re:So now we have the (Score:5, Insightful)
After the death of the Dinosaurs and the rise of Mammals we have gone through several Ice and Warm ages, as our planet naturally swings back and forth from one temperature extreme to the other. We are still living within these natural trends, which we puny humans are powerless to stop or alter in any way. Indeed, we are as helpless as the Dinosaurs before the Natural forces at work on our world.
We shouldn't fear the changes, merely work to ensure that our societies and economies are as strong as possible so that we can weather the changes, adapt, and come out stronger than before. This is why I oppose ALL of the proposed "solutions" to the "anthropogenic climate change" hoax. EVERY ONE of them, without exception, leaves us in a weaker position to weather change than if we did not follow them. They all propose some sort of socialistic or communistic top-down managed approach, FORCING people to alter their lifestyles in some vain attempt to "live green". What a farce.
The plant suffocation cycle (Score:4, Insightful)
From what I've read, current CO2 levels are at the low end of what plant life can tolerate [americanthinker.com].
Past CO2 levels have been documented [harvard.edu] in peer-reviewed journals:
This discussion [ucl.ac.uk] may prove enlightening:
Re:So now we have the (Score:3, Insightful)
[quote]
The stated aim of environmentalists is to save fluffy animals etc. We should be worrying about human needs instead.
[/quote]
Re:Peak Oil Loonies? (Score:3, Insightful)
Also, as far as I recall the only peak oil claim about food is that it will cost more to transport when gas costs $3.50 a gallon or whatever ridiculously high yanked out of their ass number those loons tossed around (this claim was from like four years ago).
Re:No fecal matter for skull filling... (Score:1, Insightful)
The property they abandoned for nearly 2000 years?
In my town, any property abandoned for 5 years reverts to the community.
OK - you have killed in self defense, but you have also murdered women and children as 'collateral damage'.
You ever do that to me and mine - I'll get biblical on your ass.
lots of biomass in a summy pond too (Score:2, Insightful)
This is yet one more solid piece of evidence that the weather patterns our crops depend on are heading into territory that may have no place for our technological civilization.
Re:The cycle.... (Score:3, Insightful)
Re:Leftist? (Score:5, Insightful)
The mantra of "I should get to keep every penny I ever see" is beyond dated now, and it was petulant, and shortsighted to begin with. The things that make your life (including working hard to earn money) all come from a massive physical, legal, and social infrastructure. I have tried for a long time to keep away from the conclusion that people who espouse it are fundementally unaware of how much is being provided for them as a baseline, but I am inevitably stunned by the naivete to think that things run themselves.
And this is why righties continuous fail to find that magical pot of government waste that allows them to drown the government in the bathtub. It ain't there, because people like the services they receive: law enforcement, publicly accessible schools, roads, hospitals. Small-fry investors/mutual fund buyers like having their markets policed from rampant cheats and liars. People like military operations that defend them and support the global market infrastructure (provided they're not misconceived Napoleonesque military adventurism). And every last one of those activities costs money. So start talking to me about the sewers you don't want built, or the drug and medical device regulations you don't want (so any old $5.75/hr schmoe can dose you with X-rays) or the fishing permits you shouldn't have to get so anyone can dynamite all the fish out of a stream, or the defense contracts you don't want to pay for (there's a real bargain...), and anything you think you can convince a million of your neighbors that the government should never do. Let me know when you've got that list done.
It's evident that plenty of government spending is larded with graft, patronage, dumb ideas, and political posturing. But frankly, that's at least as true in any corporate setting as in the government, and that's supposed to be a virtue because, you know, the Free Market Fairy loves her some corporations and hates her some government. I actually do believe that public entities have a special obligation to spend money conservatively and wisely, since that money represents trust by the people at large. But that kind of good government with wise investment and stewardship of public resources nearly orthogonal to the vision the so-called Free Marketeers lay out (until, of course, their Bears Stearns collapse is upon them at which point they run mewling to the teat of the government they so despise).
This is an engineering site - we work in goals and tradeoffs, not things we don't like and the free lunch we wish was there. So let's talk public policy and real goals and real constraints - that's a debate well worth having.
Re:The pertinent question... (Score:3, Insightful)
I nearly left it at that then, but I got the better of me.
Seriously, we don't know what the tipping point is, and we don't know what effect any changes in CO2 emissions will make at this "late" stage. No-one seems to know what kind of climate we're aiming at (because if we are going to control the climate, may as well do it properly), so just trying to backpedal seems futile.
So I say lets keep going and scientifically model then cause something to happen. Start small, then build some confidence in attempting bigger things. Eventually we won't have to worry about the climate changing, because we will decide what happens.
Sometimes it's easier to go with the flow
Re:Broad brush... (Score:3, Insightful)
- on one condition
YOU are the first to take your own life in support of the cause. You do NOT get to ask anyone else for their life, directly or indirectly (by using biofuels to cause famines outside america for instance), before you do that.
I am sure that you can use your testament to publish an article containing that we all need to do similar things.
And if you aren't willing to take your own life
Think of everything that life has learned up to now. It's all in the DNA. The DNA is everything life has learned about surviving and prospering and experiencing itself and the universe around. Evolved over billions of years, invaluable, irreplaceable information
Oh great. Okay
So said information won't be lost at all, even if we start mecilessly slaughtering every last animal we could reach (something quite a few animals would do to us if they could). In fact if progress continues we can probably in the no-too-distant future simulate these animals in their natural habitats without any reasonable limits or interference. They could live in an infinite world never having to worry about food or
We can't do it in the real world. Not with 6 billion people. Unless you kill yourself now I'm not even discussing lowering that number.
And let's not kid ourselves, the "nature" you are defending is a ruthless, totally uncaring, merciless killing machine. The only reason you're alive is that it has failed to kill you, it most certainly didn't lack in tries.
That's why people say "fuzzy little animals". Because that's just about the only likeable aspect of these animals (most of the fuzzies are predators to boot. You won't like dogs if they are in a pack, haven't eaten or are generally irritated and you're alone. You won't like them at all. Death by a thousand little bites). If they think you're their mother or brother they shove a nice thick fur coat in your face and act all nice.
Outside of said circumstances, all animals are ruthless killing machines. And if you state that there are plant-eaters too then I will (obviously) state that plants are also living things. There isn't a single animal that doesn't kill for energy.
So when humans are destroying the environment in trade for energy
Re:So now we have the (Score:3, Insightful)
Wow. At least you understand that CO2 are good for plant growth. The problem is massive increase in CO2 leads to exponential increase in temperature which is bad for plants and fuzzy animals who cannot adapt to such changes, and therefor bad for us who stay alive by eating those two categories. How hard is that to understand?
LOL, 200 years. You are clearly USAian. Now, when was it ever hard for us humans to retreat inland? We have been migrating and been moving around since the dawn of time (even the nut-cases accept that is at least 5000 years ago). Yes, abanding major cities close to the sea is going to wreak the economy, together with the cost of increase storms and freak weather, but what kills large amount of people is lack of food. The rest we will adapt to out of necessity.
You clearly don't even understand what is being discussed. I feel sorry for you.
Re:The pertinent question... (Score:3, Insightful)
That one's so 2004, 2006 data contradicted it [newscientist.com]. (Unfortunately, most of the citations are scientific subscription-only, the AP stories are long archived and I can't find them now.)
Hurricanes, typhoons, and cyclones we can adapt to. And won't these phenomena put more liquid into the air to come down as rain elsewhere? Tropical diseases we can immunize for, and those we can't we'll have to evolve for. (Yep, it'll really suck for a few decades.)
Unfortunately true, also true though is that species reactions to the phoenomenon vary widely, and while many species will die off, it is very likely that many will be able to adapt successfully, spawning new species which can exist in the environment.
Fascinating, and doing a little reading it seems the methane already being released currently dwarfs our greenhouse gas emissions a hundredfold. Might this mean the anti-global-warming nuts have one thing right, not that global warming isn't happening (because it obviously is), but that we aren't releasing enough on our own to make a difference?
Here's where that extra water vapor in the air from earlier comes in. Honestly, at the warmest point between the end of the Karoo Ice Age and the start of the Quaternary glaciation, were there any peaks with permanent ice pack? Besides, the portion that is 'permanent ice pack' doesn't actually add anything to the rivers, though it does help more snow to stick to the peak that does. I'm not convinced the loss of the permanent ice on the mountain peaks will have a devastating effect on the downstream rivers.
When the dinosaurs roamed the earth, the weather was hot and sticky and plants were pretty much everywhere. As they died off and geologic-scale processes entombed their carbon, temperatures dropped and we entered an ice age. Now we're putting all their carbon back into the air. I think the most likely result will be a return to that hot, sticky environment, and a loss of millions o
Re:! "Scientists" (Score:3, Insightful)
Re:So now we have the (Score:3, Insightful)
You can call me a latte-sipping proust-quoting turtleneck-wearning liberal if you like, but I still can help but look down on people who are ready to trample on any species and bulldoze roads through any forest so they can line the pockets of oil company executives and pay a quarter less a gallon to drive their 300-lb ass to Wal-Mart twice a week to pick up Dora the Explorer DVD's for their eighteen spawn.
See, I can play the tribalism game too without any shame. So do you think your scorn is actually having any effect?
Funny how you are so worried about tearing down a forest to "line the pockets of an oil CEO" (no mention of the rest of us who have oil stocks in our 401K), but you don't seem to mind when a family of gophers has their home plowed over to grow the wheat that goes into your crumpets. As for your latte, you don't seem to mind when rain forests are chopped down so that coffee beans can be grown, nor the OIL that it takes to transport those beans to your local Starbucks. However, I notice that so many like you seemed to get pissed when an auto plant in a Michigan forest gets shut down so another can be opened in the deserts of Mexico.
If you are going to bitch about it, at least be consistent.
Re:So now we have the (Score:2, Insightful)
But don't let that keep you from smearing the USA just because it doesn't fit your view of what it should be.
Re:So now we have the (Score:5, Insightful)
An obvious example is that melting ice caps will raise ocean levels; a large portion of human civilization is centered on coastal cities that will be flooded by raised ocean levels, and thus global warming can have a huge impact on society and humans in general. A more non-obvious effect is that climates with large "breadbaskets" may change, thereby significantly reducing the amount of food that can be produced there; considering that many people are already starving in the world, any reduction in food production will lead to many deaths. Also consider that increased temperatures lead to a wider variability in weather, leading to more damaging hurricanes or blizzards.
Those are changes that should be feared because there is no way that human civilization can weather those changes in a graceful manner. Any of those changes will bring about massive need for change (especially if coastal cities get flooded; the huge increase in refugees would overload the infrastructure of any region they relocate too); adapting to avoid these calamities is not currently feasible or would take too long before the effects are projected to be felt. Solutions to anthropogenic climate change (ACC) are predicated on the belief that 1) human output of CO2 is having an effect on the global CO2 levels and thus the global climate in a way that is adverse to human civilization and 2) that reducing the anthropogenic component of climate change will make it easier to deal with any climate change that happens naturally.
Looking at this objectively, it is true that we as a civilization are fucked if the climate changes dramatically. Individuals will most likely survive, and probably in good number considering the wide variety of climates humans already successfully live in. However, the infrastructure that everyone takes for granted could be obliterated by severe change. It obviously needs to be fortified and I couldn't agree more with you about that. However, those changes cannot be enacted and implementing in a short timescale because they are radical changes (our infrastructure is pretty damn rickety). The idea of mitigating the effect of ACC is by doing so, we are buying ourselves more time to implement the changes necessary to ensure that our infrastructure survives. Decentralizing power generation (which "going green" with windmills or other non-fossil fuel burning power generation techniques) both reduces the impact of ACC and fortifies the infrastructure.
So really, I don't buy that reducing ACC is a bad thing, and I don't think that it's a farce to hold people responsible for their actions when their actions impact the lives of other people. I mean, good, exemplar democracies like the US of A have been FORCING people to alter their lifestyles for over 100 years: polygamy is outlawed, as are various psychotropic drugs; the Eisenhower Interstate system realized a radical change in lifestyle (the rise of the exurbs, the fall of trains, etc. Every decision from a governing body has the effect of radically altering lifestyles; that doesn't make all governing bodies communistic or socialistic.
Re:Broad brush... (Score:3, Insightful)
And if you state that there are plant-eaters too then I will (obviously) state that plants are also living things. There isn't a single animal that doesn't kill for energy.
[/quote]
It's possible to feed on a plant without killing it. Indeed, you might benefit the plant by doing so. Top example: honey bees.
Nature both provides and threatens. We'd be as screwed without it as we are with it.
The sweet sweet smell of narcissism... (Score:3, Insightful)
Halfway around the planet real human beings just like you and me are being forced to return to the charnel ground where they used to live by a military junta, because that junta prefers them to be hopeless and cowed instead of hopeful and possibly trying for change. They get to smell their dead neighbors as they sit in their ruined houses.
And your life is so trivial that you worry about how much it costs to drive your 170 pound ass to work? Get some perspective, man. If the price of gas doubles, you're still one of the most fortunate people in the world. If the roof over your head gets repossessed, and you're forced to live in a cardboard box, you're still better off than those people.
I don't wish that fate on you; I'm just saying, count your blessings. Stop beating up on each other. Try to find some common ground.
BTW, pop quiz: do you know which military junta I'm talking about, and where they are?
Re:So now we have the (Score:3, Insightful)
Re:So now we have the (Score:3, Insightful)
Thanks for displaying your naive faith in science, which claims to be able to predict the climate, which is of course nothing more than long-term weather. Do you really believe that someone who cannot predict what will happen tomorrow is able to predict what will happen in 10, 20, 50, or 100 years from now? Do you really believe that the computer models upon which the so-called climate scientists base their dire predictions are any better than the computer models used by present-day weather forecasters? Hey, I have this bridge I want to sell you.
If you flip it I will say it will probably land heads, but I'll be wrong 40% of the time.
However, if you flip it 1000 times I'll be pretty damn sure you'll get somewhere between 500-700 heads.
With weather it's even harder to predict the individual flips because it's a chaotic system, if I get one flip wrong that also breaks a lot of my future predictions. That's why they can't accurately predict day to day, even years are fairly uncertain as a major weather system can be influenced by relatively minor effects.
But averaged over a number of years the random changes aren't as big an issue and climate is much easier to predict than weather.
I suspect that longer predictions aren't dead on, they're still refining a lot of the science. But I certainly think they're well in the ballpark and I find the idea that virtually every climate scientist out there is completely out to lunch quite absurd.
By the way, I find the comment "Thanks for displaying your naive faith in science" interesting.
Really if someone is to have faith in anything wouldn't the scientific method be the thing to back? We have a few hundred years of evidence suggesting that the scientific method is far more accurate than anything else we've used in the past.
Oh, and by "science" I assume you were referring to the scientific method and not some global organization known as "science" that occasionally sends forth proclamations to the public.
Re:So now we have the (Score:3, Insightful)
When my living room gets hot you know what I do? I open a window.
Now I hear space is really cold too. Furthermore it's all around us. We're literally surrounded by it on both sides! All we need to do is "open a window" to space and we can get everything cooled off. Presto! No more gloval warming!
What we really need is one of those fancy window mount A/C units...
Re:lots of biomass in a summy pond too (Score:3, Insightful)