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Comments: 1 +-   Sceintists: China quake deaths may exceed 250,000 -> on Monday May 12 2008, @05:47PM sciencehabit

Submitted by sciencehabit on Monday May 12 2008, @05:47PM
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sciencehabit writes "Seismologists consulted by Science say the 7.9 earthquake that struck near the major city of Chengdu today will easily be China's biggest killer since 1976's Tangshan quake, conservatively estimated to have taken 250,000 lives. That's dramatically more devastating than current news reports indicate. "This is the big earthquake for Sichuan," says on scientist. "It's like San Francisco or Los Angeles having its big one.""
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  • I've always been curious about how the estimates from natural disasters change, as media sources become more willing to speculate. Remember the reports of "hundreds dead" in Burma/Myanmar?

    But for this China quake, they've *started* the reporting in the tens of thousands.

    Hopefully, this is a highly unusually accurate initial estimate. Is that likely?
It's lucky you're going so slowly, because you're going in the wrong direction.