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Music Media

Jupiter Report Says Napster Users Buy MORE Music 295

flufffy writes "According to this report on CNet, a new Jupiter Research report on 2200 online music fans has found that Napster users are likely to buy more rather than less music. "Because Napster users are music enthusiasts, it's logical to believe that they are more likely to purchase now and increase their music spending in the future," Jupiter analyst Aram Sinnreich said in a statement. OK so it's another Napster story -- but, of all the Net behaviour researchers out there, Jupiter are one set of people I would trust more to do their research methodically and impartially. I think that this is one of the strongest surveys of the issue released so far." I'm sure that the RIAA has statistics that will say the opposite, but I think I agree with this - just because I can download something doesn't mean I don't want the CD as well.
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Jupiter Report Says Napster Users Buy MORE Music

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  • You are right. It is not only silly, it is also untrue. The courts have found several times (for video AND for computer data) than you can even charge a fee to duplicate someone's copy of copyrighted material or convert it to another format. Examples of this include NTSC -> PAL video conversions, moving vidoe collections from Beta to VHS, and recovering software from outdated media such as 8" diskettes and moving it to a more convinient (e.g. 3.5" diskettes) medium.

    This is all assuming that the source is owned by the customer. In fact, in the examples you mention, it's almost impossible to do the conversion otherwise.

    With MP3s, it's actually quite easy to perform a "conversion" without the source. Yeah, you own the CD, but those MP3s you're downloading weren't ripped from your own personal copy.

    Imagine walking into Blockbuster with a receipt for a Beta cassette of Casablanca you purchased in the '80s, and a blank VHS cassette. Will they give you a copy of Casablanca on your VHS tape? Heck no. But you could take the original Beta cassette to Charlie's Media Conversion and get it done there.

    So yeah, I see the logic behind the argument (that d/ling MP3s of songs you already own on CD is still bad), but I think it's outdated logic. Thanks to modern technology, information can spread without the confines of physical media. Record companies sell physical media. Record companies are going to be obsolete very very soon.

  • Of course, the fact the everyone wants to be able to do the above doesn't seem to make an impact anymore... the democracy I learned about was based on the idea that The People could do any damnfool thing they wanted as long as most of them wanted to do it. That includes putting all the musicians on the planet out of business, which according to the RIAA is what The People would do if they weren't kept under their careful but benevolent control...

    That's anarchy. The democracy I learned about is giving up your natural rights to protect the rights of others. You have the natural right to bash someone's skull in with a rock, but that interferes with their natural right to live. So in a society, you give up your right to bash someone in the skull with a rock, so that you don't have to worry about someone else bashing you in the head with a rock

    The big problem I have whenever people start talking about 'corporations' or 'the government' is that they don't realize that corporations and the government are made up of a bunch of little people trying to get by. A bunch of little people who would like a raise or a Christmas bonus or a good health plan. It's so easy to blame some faceless corporation or government for your problems, but you're really just blaming a bunch of other faceless people.

  • I'm not saying that this is definitely untrue, but it is important to understand that this is a survey that relies on what people say they do, not what they actually did. Those two different things can be very different.

    Congrats, you've just re-iterated the Heisenberg Uncertainty Principle of Marketing. This affects ALL studies. And even those that rely on real-world numbers and behaviours miss the "why". You can have position (action) or velocity (explanation), but both are tough to pin down. It's a very rough metaphor.

    One important thing to note:

    Jupiter = Internet research firm.

    Soundscan = music sales tracking company.

    Yea, the Internet may very well be taking sales away from college area record stores, but, IMHO, that's more because the students are buying online rather than not buying at all. The other growth statistics for the record industry support this theory (i.e. growth continues)

    Just as likely is that those people attracted to Napster are music enthusiasts who buy lots of music.

    This makes sense, and supports the idea that the RIAA isn't worried about piracy, but about competition (with non-RIAA music).

    --
  • If you read what Orrin Hatch has been saying during the hearings, you will probably be surprised to find that he has been very fair to the public and has repeatedly called the music industry and their lackeys when their testimony has slid into the bullshit zone.
  • Neither. They're protecting the green paper that's lining their pockets, and assuring that there'll be more where it came from. That's all. They don't care that much about WHO is doing the selling - brick-and-mortar shops or online retailers - they just want what they believe is their piece of the pie.
    _____
  • Bingo!

    You don't think all this was motivated by a few kids downloading MP3s, do you? Sure, it's wrong, even if it isn't necessarily hurting anyone (I've used Napster twice; each time it cost me over $100 in CDs I just HAD to get after listening to the MP3.. but that's just me).

    I have an article on ZDnet (so kill me) about this very thing: TalkBack Central: RIAA vs. Artist: Will the real victim please stand up [zdnet.com]. Basically, the RIAA represents the huge record companies, not the artists. And they're being forced to contend with an unpleasant fact: they're dinosaurs, and the mammals are looking about ready for an uprising.

    Lemme 'splain. There was a time, long ago, when a record company was instrumental in the recording process. They found musicians, hooked them up with other musicians, hired songwriters, producers, etc. That still happens to an extent: groups like "N'Sync" were manufactured this way. But they're the exception these days.

    So now enter computer technology, which lets the artists work in their own private home studios. This was inevitable from the days in the 60s when folks like the Beatles first used the studio as part of the creative process, not just a place to lay down a few tracks. I can get better quality in my home studio than "the lads" every managed (technical, folks -- the talent just ain't there).
    So, what DO the record companies do? Primarily, they manufacture and distribute CDs and tapes on a huge scale. Their clout gets their artists in the stores and on the radio. They advance musicians money against eventual royalties for making record and videos, but rarely actually pay for that. Aside from the whole meatspace distribution, they're functional as an engine of transfer in just one more way: up to 95% of the profits made on a record goes into their pockets.

    Now enter Napster. Napster has two important things, even if it's morally wrong. First off, it demonstrated a great peer to peer technology, bettered still by GNUtella and others. What this did is fundamental: it moved the problem of electronic distribution from necessarily being a huge server-based project (look at the size of eBay's rig, for example, and they're just dishing up pictures and text) to Just An Application. The second thing they did was on the culture. After Napster, there are millions of college kids, and others, who now think electronic distribution is a fine way to listen to music, not just a cool hack.

    So the RIAA is fighting the future. Their client face a serious loss of power in a world in which artists and listeners can have a direct relationship. And really, find a way for those musicians to get paid 25-50 cents per download, and the record companies will have no more place in this world than the noble apatosaurus. They're fighthing Napster especially, because they currently have name-enough to start doing something on the up and up, which they couldn't fight.

    That's not the only place they're fighting. You may have notice the current rise in producer-created bands like the aforementioned N'Sync. It's no coincidence -- a group built that may well be owned by the record companies. Contracts have been building up to give the record companies dramatically increasing power. Go buy that new Clarke/Baxter book, and you'll see their names on the copyright page. Go buy just about any CD, and you'll see (C)2000 Sony, Inc. or some-such.

    And it gets worse. If you're a consultant, you may have noticed that a major "work for hire" bill passed a few years back, effectively making it harder for you to work for a company and still claim what you did for them is an independent work, and not theirs. Well, the RIAA & co. managed to sneak what's in effect a rider to that bill through, piggy-backed on some cable TV bill, which make "recording artist" just as subject to the new work-for-hire laws as "computer engineer". So unless they had particularly good lawyers a few years back, there's a fair chance than many of the major music acts out today are effectively just employees of their record companies. Which, if nothing else, lets the dinosaurs have serious control of much of today's popular music catalog. Making it all the more difficult for an independent, legal, and micropayment-based distribution system to gain momentum.

  • Actually, I used Napster for this very purpose the other day. I wanted to listen to "What's this life for", a song I have on CD. I usually keep my CD collection in my car, for use on long trips. Could I have gone down to the car and got the CD, then ripped it? Yes, but:
    • I'd have to climb stairs
    • I keep forgetting where my car keys are
    • I might forget to bring the CD back to the car, and miss it on my next trip
    • It was raining, and
    • I'm damn lazy.
    Do I feel like an evil theif because I used napster to get a song I already have? No, not really. I'm proud, in fact, to have been using Napster in a legitimate fasion.

  • When I was a student, I'd stock up on the sample packs they handed out at the beginning of every quarter. I didn't have to buy any deodorant or shaving gel because I got plenty for free.
  • My friend uses napster, he has tons, around 500 cds. I don't use napster, I have like 30 cds. I borrow most of my cds from friends, dub to tape, and listen to tons of radio.
  • . . .what they show you is revealing. But what they hide is VITAL.

    Curious George

  • According to the study, Napster users increased their spending on music. That's different than just saying they spend more than others.

  • If it weren't for Napster, there would be several CDs I'd NEVER buy, since I wouldn't know they existed.
    For example: One time I was driving through Central Texas, and was listening to a public radio station. Didn't know which station it was, and it didn't matter: I didn't have anythingh to write on or with as I hurtled down I-35 at 75 mph. I heard some songs by a guy from Canada. I really liked them, but had no way of writing down the artist's name or the station.
    One day, I stumbled on some of the same tunes while searching through Napster. I found the artist's name, more of his work, and even his website. I was able to make contact, and even order some of his CDs.
    Score one for Napster!
    Some times, as I sit here at work I search for different Classical composers. Especially for some of the more obscure ones. As I listen to their work, I can make lists, get on the web, and order their CDs.
    Sure, some people abuse Napster. I like to think of it as a brilliant Marketing tool that helps me find the music I want, and SELLS more CDs for the music industry!
  • Um, I don't know what it's like where you live, but over here, the big record corps spend a lot of money making sure that their big "stars" like N'Suck, Blowstreet Boys, Britney Sphincter and the Sperm Girls are basically all there's to hear in the mainstream radio stations. Same for MTV. The idea is that the hit singles will be very popular with the brain-damaged pre-teen listeners, who will then proceed to buy all the CDs, made up of said hit single plus ten or so tracks of pure filler. And they will love it still, because they've been indoctrinated, and when the next hit single + CD comes out they'll do it again. For those who have been brainwashed, sampling is not the issue - they know damned well what they're buying, and they love it.

    The problem is that, when the record companies' oh-so-precious music starts being distributed through alternative channels that they can't control just by throwing money at them, it's only a matter of time before independent artists start - *argh* - getting as much air time as the "official" ones. Then pretty soon they'll start selling well too. And, of course, the independent artists get a lot more money off each CD sale than does an "official" one, so the signed-up people will decide that it's just not worth it anymore to be "official". And then the record companies' whole business is ruined.

    They're desperately trying to maintain the illusion that they're still as necessary as always. Well, Lincoln once said something about fooling all the people all the time, and I think that applies here.

  • Main Problem:

    Band A and Band B are in said association. Band A rules. Band B blows. Band A makes mad cash. Band B spends trust fund on CD.

    Why should Band A have anything to do with Band B, much less share the dough?
  • I didn't read what Orrin Hatch said about this particular case. I have read Orrin Hatch's comments about the Monica Lewinsky thingy, gun control, abortion and a whole lot of other issues, though, and I can't say I have any respect for him - yes, I know I sound prejudiced but I've formed my opinion of him already.
  • Car thieves acutally buy more cars than other people. Wow, who would have thought it. We should legalize car theft!
  • Perhaps rephrasing would help. On the Jupiter Communications website [jupitercom...ations.com] it says that Napster users have a higher increase in spending than other online music fans. That is, other people who have apporximately the same technical capability and just don't use Napster. That is to say, not only do online music users in general buy more music than they did before, Napster users buy more music than before half again as often as other online music users. They have a greater increase in spending. There can be very little dispute here as to a causal relationship.
  • by ucblockhead ( 63650 ) on Friday July 21, 2000 @07:58AM (#915403) Homepage Journal
    You've hilighted one of the biggest conflicts here. While there are certainly a lot of spoiled brats out there who just want to get something for nothing, there are also a lot of people out there acting under a perfectly reasonable moral code. To me, saying "I'll download the mp3 and either delete it within a few weeks or buy the CD" is a perfectly reasonable ethical code. It is also illegal, unfortunately.

    There is always trouble in a society when the law loses track of what most people think of as the basic ethical code. Most people would consider the above ok. But it is illegal. Therein lies conflict.

    The RIAA refuses to accept what most people consider ethical, and seek to stick to a narrow interpretation of the law, in order that they don't have to change. (Because change scares them.)

    This is why some members of congress are so upset about. I think that they really do want the law to mirror people's basic ethics. They want a system where people can "try before you buy" and download music without all that annoying packaging. They want a system where people can share music with their family while musicians still get paid. They want the music industry to build such a system so that most people can do legally what they think they should be able to do ethically. That way, everyone's happy. (Or most everyone, at least.)

    The RIAA, not wanting to change, focuses on that subgroup of mp3 users who do things most of the population considers unethical, like copying thousands of hours of music without ever paying the artists, in order to prevent the bulk of the population from doing things that population considers completely ethical, like trying something out before buying. That's a losing proposition in the end, because you can't really fight society. Whether by changes in the law, or by rampant disregard for the law, the RIAA will lose this battle. Hopefully, for the sake of society as a whole, it will be the former, not the latter.

  • by drix ( 4602 ) on Friday July 21, 2000 @07:58AM (#915407) Homepage
    Are surveys even relevant anymore? It seems like with enough of either motivation or number massaging or both, you can get a survey nowadays to say just about anything. Napster has two studies under its belt that say that its users buy more music, and RIAA has that many or more that say the exact opposite. Obviously, something isn't clicking here. I've heard studies that proclaim drinking increases life expectancy, studies that say that the oil on top of a new jar of peanut butter is carcinogenic and causes cancer in rats, even studies that say that eating chocolate may ward of some diseases. Supposedly eating Cheerios fends off heart attacks or leukemia cancer or something. In a day and age when every trade group can pull some study out of their ass favorable to their industry or product, I've learned to just ignore them. One wonders if the judge in the RIAA v. Napster case might do the same.

    --
  • ....is whether these people would buy even MORE music if Napster wasn't there.
  • by Anonymous Coward
    Downloading and listening is one thing. Selling it is a completely different thing. You're profiting off of someone else's music.
  • (I think many do, but the lawyers are telling them that if they don't defend their "rights" they will lose them, and SO FAR the companies are listening more to the lawyers).

    Any lawyer saying something like this should be disbarred. It's patently false. If their lawyers don't have any more of a clue than that, then they are in desperate need of new lawyers. There is absolutely no chance of losing your copyright or the right to enforce it just because you don't enforce it in all cases. Those rules apply ONLY TO TRADEMARKS. They can selectively enforce their copyrights as much as they like. There is nothing forcing them to go after Napster users. They are doing it because they want tighter control over the music they distribute. End of story.

  • That will happen. Its not like you buy less food because you are given free samples at the grocery store. In fact you buy more of that because it was good.
  • The idea being that artists should get paid and music should be convenient. To say that a you can not own a certain bit pattern if you get it from someone else even if you could legally, yourself, make exactly the same bit pattern seems a little silly.

    You are right. It is not only silly, it is also untrue. The courts have found several times (for video AND for computer data) than you can even charge a fee to duplicate someone's copy of copyrighted material or convert it to another format. Examples of this include NTSC -> PAL video conversions, moving vidoe collections from Beta to VHS, and recovering software from outdated media such as 8" diskettes and moving it to a more convinient (e.g. 3.5" diskettes) medium.

    If mp3.com is smart, they will appeal the decision against them, as there is precedent that strongly supports their position with regards to mymp3.

    Either way, if you as an end user already own a legal copy of a track, you can legally download the same track from the internet. The RIAA may foolishly try to sue you, but if you can afford to fight the lawsuit you will almost certainly win -- there is plenty of legal precendence.

    Of course, a lawyer I am not, but I do know that I for one will continue to save myself the hassle of borrowing a turntable and doing an analog -> wav, wav -> ogg conversion and keep downloading the music I already own, as playing mp3's is far more convinient than dealing with vinyl.
  • by theuglykid ( 143438 ) on Friday July 21, 2000 @07:20AM (#915420)
    what about singles that are produced? Won't there be a loss in that market?
  • Actually there are two questions.

    The first, as cvd6262 says, is whether Napster users were already predisposed to buy more music, period, so that comparing them to non-Napster-users doesn't tell you anything about Napster, but only that they were music fanatics to begin with.

    The second question is whether -- even if it were somehow proved that using Napster increases your music buying appetite -- that makes it right to distribute copyrighted works without permission.

    Should a songwriter or performer have the right to say: Do not reproduce my work without permission, whether it boosts my income slightly or not? Or does society have the right to say to an author or composer: We can prove that pirating your work yields you a slight material benefit, therefore your copyright is null and void?
  • by ^_^x ( 178540 )
    By this point, I'm wondering if the RIAA vs MP3 battle is more about saving face than protecting their investments?
    Perhaps they just don't want to back down from the legal battles that have become so public, and say "oops"

  • If it is true that Napster users buy more music, and it is becaues of their Napster use, then the best interest of the music industry would be to encourage Napster. (We won't even get into concert attendence here).


    But, like most business folks, they don't have the smarts or immagination to sometimes do the counterintuitive.

  • Exactly. This study loses a lot of its credibility given that everyone is buying more music. CD sales were up 8 percent. These are prosperous times, and it's hard to judge how much Napster is bumping up music sales versus how much everyone's fat stock portfolio is :)

    It reminds me a lot of local politicians where I live who try to take credit for the reduction in crime we've seen over the past few years. Uhm, well Mr. Mayor, the entire country has seen a drop in crime in the last decade...

    --
  • >I'm exposed to more groups that I wouldnt' have heard of, and I'm much more likely to hear a song or two and like it, then go out and buy the album

    Aha! Here is the problem... you aren't buying the music they want you to! You don't think they actually care about you buying a CD from some band that few have ever heard of, do you (despite the fact that their music is really good, afterall).

    Nope, they would be perfectly happy if you just ran out and bought CD's of music you hear on the radio. After all, the recording industry has gone to great pains over the years to bring the 'free' radio airplay market under their own control, so they can decide which artists' music you hear and then are likely to go out and buy.

    Napster interferes with the RIAA's 'try before you buy' mechanism, the corporately-controlled audio broadcast industry.

    Ever wonder why no-talent, interchangeable, over-produced 'artists' like n-Sync and Back Street Boys and Britney Spears and the like get played to death 500 times a day on a million radio stations across the country and their crap CD with one or two popular singles zoom to #1 on the charts with little or no concert tour support or any other visible means of promoting the work? Kids are basically told what music they should like and buy by nationally programmed top 40 radio shows broadcast identically in each and every market by the huge media conglomerates who have bought out all the local stations.

    This struck me the other day as I was flipping channels and came across the 'Britney Spears Story' on VH1 or something, and I stopped just long engough to catch the soundbite from one of Sony's executives talking about what a great artist she was because of the x million "units" that she sold in the first few months of her new album.

    He didn't talk about her talent, or how she was able to reach her fans, or anything else that I would think defines a "great artist." She is "great" because they are able to make a huge profit off a single artist and sell millions of copies of the CD.

    They would rather have 5-10 artists who collectively sell 100 million "units" than 500 who also collectively sell as many CD's. Overhead and economies of scale. Today, it seems its all about maximizing profit margin, growing revenue and cutting expenses. Why put the energy into signing, developing, producing, promoting and distributing the works of hundreds of artists when there is a higher return to be earned by concentrating efforts on much fewer?

    I'm sure this has been observed before, but Napster undermines the control that the Recording Industry has over the making ans selling of music. If CD sales are up partially because of Napster, the RIAA sure doesn't care, because record sales lost to piracy isn't the real issue, after all, is it?

    It is the erosion of their stranglehold on the production and distribution of recorded music that has them locked in a life and death strugle with Napster.
  • Could point out where it states this, I'd like to see it... the most detail I can find is "New research from Jupiter shows that Napster users are 45 percent more likely to have increased their music purchasing than non-Napster users.", which is a very ambiguous statement at best. They even suckered me into signing up so I could try and find some more explicit information on their research study, but to no avail... of course, won't Ingok of the Arctic Tundra be surprised when he starts getting their spam mail...
  • The modern Christian world has used the bible for its basis for many of the oldest laws. This borrowing the T-shirt analogy is much like the 9th commandment "don't covet your neighbors stuff". When that was written, the world didn't have mass prodcued stuff or a very successful economey based on mass consumerism. In todays world, wanting to get one CmdrTaco's latest toys is a Good Thing (TM)
  • You understand my point better then the other posters. (Hint, wal-mart doesn't have many folk disks, nor does Best Buy, at least not as I like my music. So I can only go to a small store)

    the problem however is this little record store has several thousand CDs that I might be interested in. I don't have time to listen to 1000 CDs just to choose which one to buy. I can listen to about 6 CDs every day at work though, which will cover their entire inventory in a year and allow listening to the ones I really like more often.

  • Ok. Here's a better analogy for you: I have a 10 dollar bill. Should you or should you not be allowed to make a copy of it? (Assuming that you have access to the technology to make an undetectable duplicate) Society has decided that the overall advantages of a stable medium of exchange outweigh the benefit to you as an individual of being able to print your own money. This decision is enforced via laws against counterfeiting and the inclusion of anti-copying technologies in the currency itself. (roughly equivalent to digital encryption methods such as SDMI)

    Every time this subject comes up, whether related to Napster or software piracy or whatever, somebody brings up this red herring that it's not stealing because you are making a copy. Fine, don't call it stealing; call it counterfeiting or sharing or whatever you want. It's irrelevant; a semantic wild-goose chase. The only relevant issues are the costs and benefits of the behavior vs. the costs and benefits of discouraging or preventing the behavior.

    with humpy love,

  • A is 44.1 kHz / 16 bit. B is a lossy 128 kbps MP3. If I really want to hear the music, I'll pick A.

    1. To play in your car? I really want a car mp3 player.

    2. To "hear the music" you don't need high fidelity reproduction but an active imagination.

    At least I think so, but I'm old. Once upon a time before computers I owned a high-tech stereo system, the hottest piece of electronic gadgetry I had. It read sound data off my collection of engraved 12"-radius vinyl discs, ones I had worn flat with diamond needles, achieving way less reproduction accuracy than you get nowadays out of a $49 K-Mart boom box. The cover art on my discs was infinitely (Ok, four times) better but all in all despite my costly and superb walnut-cased speakers the overall fidelity was inferior. Here's the point: in no way whatsoever was what I heard inferior to the technically-better-reproduced stuff youse punks listen to today.

    By the way, probably more than half of the albums I bought back then, probably two thirds, I'd heard first on a cassette I got from a pal. A bootleg, a Lars-go-piss-yourself-in-fear illegal copy, dig? I wouldn't have ever bought the vinyl if I hadn't ripped off the cassette, you know what I mean? And then the record co.s wouldn't have ever sold that particular copy, hey Lars how hard can this be to grasp? Me and all my friends too. Oddly enough the record companies didn't go broke way back then. Jack Valenti is a moron.

    Yours WDK - WKiernan@concentric.net

  • I bought my CD player in 1987. I never paid more than $10 for a CD (unless it was an import) till the mid 1990s.

    Fuuny thing is the amount artist get per CD hasn't gone up since that time and production costs have gone way down.
  • by Rader ( 40041 ) on Friday July 21, 2000 @09:52AM (#915465) Homepage
    My CD buying habits have certainly changed thanks to Napster, mp3 trading, etc. I never bought very many CD's to start with, but one thing I have noticed is that my purchasing habits of the main stream bands has gone down, while my purchasing of 'fringe' CD's have gone way up. From Zero to....whatever.

    I've spent more on Emusic.com this year alone than all of normal CD's two years ago.

    Main reason... I purchase Punk-O-Rama Volumes 1 through 5 at Emusic.com , or pick them up at the Public Library (and rip), and suddenly I'm caught up in the punk scene (not really, j/k) but it opens new doors to bands that I know I like now. Sure, there might be a few main ones like NOFX, Bad REligion, just to name 2, but what about others? These compilations and 'testing' via Napster clues me in. However, finding these type of genres on Napster is pretty low, so when a Punk band just released their new album on EMusic.com 2 weeks ago, I'm much more likely to purchase it, than try my bad luck in finding these online.

    The BIGGEST improvement to my music life due to Napster/newsgroups/et al, would be the BLUES. I knew I liked the blues, knew I heard some songs I loved, but dind't know who played it, song name, nuthin'. I would NEVER have bought a blues CD at $17 a crack just to see if I liked it! Picture this... I take a crack at an album in a record store... Pay $17, take home, play once, hated it!Repeat?

    Thanks to ripping a bunch of Blues compilation from the library, I now know who the kings of blues are, and know that I like them: John Lee Hooker, Willie Dixon, Muddy Waters, etc.

    Not much of an argument for the RIAA, since all they want to sell is mainstream crud, and I can hear that crap on the radio anytime, and make my decision that way. But definately interest in non-mainstream music must be tripling as we speak.

    I think that many people who usually buy a lot of CD's, still are. If you love music enough to buy that many at that price, you may continue to. However, we have to admit many of them have cut back drastically. As far as people like myself who never bought too many anyway (My total collection was only 120) then the sales went down to practically Zero, but my online sales have gone way up.

    Rader

  • Singles are an essential part of the record biz after all thats how they tell who to put in the "top 40". Without single sales, the most effective marketing angle goes away. Singles will remain for decades after there is no profit in them.
  • A year or 2 ago, 50% of the cds I bought sucked and I had no way to find out until after i bought it;

    You actually purchased CDs having no idea what was on them?! Do you never listen to the radio? Did you actually look at a prospective purchase and say, "Gee, I've never heard any of these titles, but I'm gonna buy it anyways."

    Frankly, I find this pretty incredible, and therefore conclude that the rest of your statements are lies as well.

    like buying a DVD only because of the trailer of the movie.

    Anybody who buys a DVD after seeing only a movie trailer is a moron. Like somebody who buys a car because the picture on the billboard looked so cool.

    --

  • by nezroy ( 84641 ) on Friday July 21, 2000 @08:17AM (#915470) Homepage
    That's a pithy sound bite, but not necessarily true. If Napster users buy much less music than they would have otherwise, then it would be in the industry's best economic interest to stop Napster at all costs.

    It would also be in the auto maker's interest to ensure metal and plastics are weak and never improve, as more people would then have to buy more cars more often. The point is that there are many things companies can do, ofetn unethical, to boost their sales. There are a lot situations that an industry's consumers can be forced into that would increase their revenue. Crushing online music distribution may indeed bring sales even higher, but at the cost of innovation and forward movement. No doubt most executives would be happy to make this tradeoff; however, the ideal of the free market is to PROMOTE new ideas, not step on them.
  • So, mp3 have brought me:
    1. wiser choices
    2. less deceptions

    Well no wonder the RIAA doesn't like it. They need to sell albums, and how are they going to do that if you can tell the cream from the crap? Remember that 90% of everything is crap [tuxedo.org], so that means that they'll lose 90% of their artists. So buy a boy band CD today and help the poor little RIAA!
    --
  • (and if you have a T3 or something, it's still faster, because you can have a multi-cdrw-dvd-jukebox-60x-whatever cheaper than the cost of the T3).

    That assumes that I pay for the T3 solely for the purpose of downloading MP3s. If I have the T3 for work, or some other purpose, then it doesn't become a cost factor when comparing the cost of downloading versus ripping my own mp3s.

    because if they close napster, a dozen similar sites will appear

    Do you even know what Napster is? Hint: It's not a website.

    Of course, if at some point it would be easier to me downloading all the cd rather than buying it

    Many of us download mp3s AND buy the cd. This seems to be supported by the Jupiter study. This will probably become much more prevalent if we could get the damn record companies out of the way. Then we could more directly support the artists we like.

    Instead, they should try to make the buying thing easier, and give it added value(maybe you buy mp3 on the net and get some merchandising?), so people will still prefer buying it than pirating it.

    They also need to drop the prices quite a bit. They've been screwing us over for far too long. At least the FTC finally caught them on something (price fixing). Too bad they didn't have to refund the $400+ million they overcharged consumers.

    Then the thing I'd really like to see (but is probably the most unlikely of all) is for them to start giving the artists better deals, allowing them to retain ownership of their music, and paying them more. The contracts that most artists have today are a sad, sick joke. Whether the artists are to blame for signing or not, the industry is definitely taking advantage of its position of power and screwing most artists over. Would be even more nice to see artists abandoning the industry and working out a new system so that we fans can deal with them more directly. We would get the music cheaper and they would get paid more, while retaining ownership of their music.

  • Just after 1992 the little drugstore down the street in Normal, IL (Illinois State), sold new release CD's from between $10.99 and $12.99...or something very close to that. The last time I popped into a record store at University of Illinois, almost everything was over $15 and a record store in the loop in Chicago sold me Fatboy Slim's latest for $18. Best Buy is still the best retail joint to buy from, but they are starting to get into that $13-15 range rather than the $11-12 range a couple of years ago.

  • It turns out pr0n viewers are having less sex than is the rest of the population as a whole. Said Jupiter researchers: "They may be enthusiasts, but they're still not getting any."
  • What is this saying? "Napster users buy more music, so it's okay for them to steal?"

    Yes, I know, this isn't a popular thing to say around here. I really wish people would figure this out. The thinking here seems to be backwards.

    Look at free software. Now here's a place where we got it right. Personally, I think Stallman's views on software morality are a bit extreme, but the reason the GNU project is so respectable -- even to someone like me who believes in strong intellectual property rights -- is that he didn't say "I think the current system is bad, so I'll break the law"; he said "I think the current system is bad, so I'll make a better system."

    I've heard it argued that musicians have no intrinsic right to profit from their music. I think this is insane. If you want to argue from this angle, you don't have an intrinsic right to free music.

    Like it or not, Metallica music isn't a natural resource. It wasn't an obvious thing somebody discovered. It was created by Metallica. If you think that Metallica shouldn't earn money for what they do, that's fine. But don't go online and download Metallica music and think you're not stealing. I have more respect for a thief who says he's a thief than a thief who claims he's standing up for his rights. I'm surprised more people don't.

    The most important part of all of this is that there IS a free-software equivilent to music. There are countless bands online who are more than happy to provide MP3s of their music for free. And if you haven't seriously checked them out, you really should, because there are some great songs out there.

    With all the free music out there, the argument that downloading Metallica is a right has gotten really tired. If you're one of these people, maybe you should reevaluate your position. You say that you buy a lot of music anyway, you say the RIAA is big and evil, you say Metallica is invoking morally wrong intellectual rights. I say you wanted something, you stole it, and now you're trying to make yourself feel a little bit better.

  • I think people fail to realize sometimes that downloading music from Napster is not illegal if you own the music already. Why would you download the music than? Well, it's simple... you want to listen to it on your computer or perhaps you want to watch it with cool WinAmp plug-ins. :o)

    Many people, including many media organizations and the music industry fail to see that Napster is only the tool. Copying information illegally has been around much longer than Napster. How many people have VHS tapes of movies that they copied?

  • by jackmama ( 34455 ) on Friday July 21, 2000 @07:22AM (#915510)
    "I don't think it matters at all whether we've been economically hurt," she said. "I think that if I own my shirt and you borrow it, it doesn't matter whether or not I have another shirt. You're just not entitled to borrow it without my permission. And if you have a copyright asset, that is the principle of copyright--that you get to control and own your own work, and other people don't get to profit from it without your permission."

    I think we can all agree that Hilary Rosen topless is a bad thing, and if that's what happens when people use Napster, I'd rather they stop.

  • You know, sometimes it's amazing what you don't realize that people don't understand if you don't stop and adjust your thinking... And then explain to them.

    I hope that the people out there who also understand this happen to be people in positions of power or some sort of authority
    (whether by the hoi polloi, or the understanding of the Wizard of OZ.)
  • Mp3s have curved my CD purchases, and I dont know many people who cant say the same thing....

    I can say the opposite. My CD purchases were curbed a while ago by having to pay rent and buy food and other such little things. As such, I've gotten picky about my music, and have now bought several CDs on the basis of having heard mp3s of the songs first. In some cases, I would probably have bought a CD, if not necessarily the one that I did get. In others, though, I heard the mp3s, said, "Wow! They're really good!" and went out ant bought a CD.


    --Phil (Although most mp3s I've heard that weren't from my CD collection came from friends' computers.)
  • by ucblockhead ( 63650 ) on Friday July 21, 2000 @07:22AM (#915521) Homepage Journal
    I'm not saying that this is definitely untrue, but it is important to understand that this is a survey that relies on what people say they do, not what they actually did. Those two different things can be very different.

    It is also dangerous to imply causation. Even if you prove that Napster users buy more music, you can't say that Napster causes people to buy more music. Just as likely is that those people attracted to Napster are music enthusiasts who buy lots of music.

    (Most of this should be obvious, but it ought to be said.)

    Music industry stats are just as shaky. To imply that record sale declines close to universities are due to Napster ignores all sorts of alternate possibilities, such as changing musical tastes, increasing purchase of music from online sources, etc.
  • if that's the real question, then the follow-up would be how does napster effect subsequent music purchases?

    i find my self buying more CDs now that i have a broadband connection at home, but often what i buy is in a completely new genre for me as a listener. part of this is due to napster and part of this is due to the influence of friends who have moved to new areas of the U.S.

    so for me, yes i am spending more on CD music (yes i am above the age of 24) but i am spending it on stuff most mainstream labels shun.

  • but the problem with napster is still the fact that people are taking a product for free that the owner doesn't want to be given away.

    whether or not their reasons for not wanting to give it away are valid, it's still their choice, as it should be.

    Napster is nice and all, but to say "this doesn't hurt them as much as they are claiming it hurts them" just seems irrelavlent.

    ________

  • And who says making Copywrited music available to others is legal?
  • If Napster users buy much less music than they would have otherwise, then it would be in the industry's best economic interest to stop Napster at all costs.

    No, actually it wouldn't. If they're fighting Napster in order to make more money, then they shouldn't stop it "at all costs." If the costs of stopping Napster are greater than the losses incurred due to Napster, then it's not in the industry's best economic interest.

    People use these stupid cliches and don't even think about what they're saying.
  • I have a 10 dollar bill. Should you or should you not be allowed to make a copy of it?

    You should be allowed to make a copy of it, you should not be able to pass the copy off as an official ten dollar bill. Similarly, you may also make a cologne which looks and smells like (insert expensive cologne here) and sell it under a unique name, but if you pass it off as (insert same name of expensive cologne here) you are breaking the law. The same applies to generic clothes, they can copy the appearance of an expensive brand, but they can't claim to be made by the company which makes the expensive brand.
  • --| the musician's association - hashing out solutions |-----

    in a nutshell:

    - the physical distributors and merchandisers pay into the
    musician's pool that pays and feeds the musicians.

    - the musicians pool distributes it equitably among its active
    producers.

    - from the pool comes more new music. which is given away for
    free. unlimited digital copies for everyone - AIFF, .mp3, whatever...
    never again a dime paid for anything that's just DATA.

    - the distributors get fresh music, and sell and package more STUFF.

    - the distributors pay back a percentage of sales back into the pool.

    - so it comes back around and feeds itelf in a positive fashion.
    >> that's the most important part.

    so all the software is free - before we had radio and tapes,
    now we have unlimited copying of files over the web - you get
    mindshare from it. then people still buy your stuff. i've got
    a copy of lewis carol by download - i bought the book too.
    you can download red-hat for free, but its a best seller at
    chapters.

    the thing is - if you press a record or burn a CD and put it on
    sale, it is something physical, and a percentage goes back, but
    the artist is not paid direct - it goes to the musician's pool.
    perhaps one way of doing it would be then to dole out the shares
    each month by percentage of overall free downloads from a server
    (e.g. napster) that offers them up for free. may have to weigh
    the downloads - this has to be intelligently moderated. this
    needs some more thought behind it - so that it works equitably
    for those involved. that's the job of the association.

    the economic principles i have grasped in only rudimentary form.
    i'm afraid i really don't do it justice. however, there is a
    viable alternative to the capitalism-communism dichotomy that
    exists here:

    http://home.earthlink.net/~johnrpenner/Articles/St einer-Social.html

    extra ideas:

    - certified teachers
    - certified distributors
    - classes of members:
    - novices
    - students
    - apprenticeships
    - professional

  • by devochka ( 149069 ) on Friday July 21, 2000 @07:27AM (#915569)
    Good point, but if there is a loss in the singles market it'll be a good thing. Singles cost almost as much as LPs -- in most cases, it's just a couple bucks more to buy the whole album. They function as one of the most biggest and longest running rip-off scams the record companies have come up with.

    And on the musician side, it'll force mainstream artists to come up with complete, filler-free albums.

  • You can use the juke-cd-... for other things, as a backup system, or whatever.

    Are you trying to advertise juke-cds or what? What difference does it make what I could do with a juke-cd if I already have a T3 line and use it to download mp3s rather than ripping them myself?

    and i don't think they will find that "getting out of the way" is an acceptble market strategy.

    They can have whatever strategy they want. I don't care. I plan to continue writing to Congress and supporting those that want to change the way the system works. It's broken because it does not serve artists or fans anywhere near as well as it serves the record companies. This needs to be rectified and it will probably involve the record companies getting out of the way, or at least taking a back seat and learning their new place in the world. They don't create a damn thing, and they should not be the ones to be profiting so highly from the work of those that do create. It's time to fix things. Whether they like it or not makes no difference to me, just as they don't care whether I like their practices or not.

  • by F0rlorn ( 191767 ) on Friday July 21, 2000 @07:27AM (#915574)
    Fact of the matter is that some cds are not worth buying merely because it was one or two songs you enjoy. This should, if anything, encourage artists to make albums that don't suck. If there are enough songs on the album to make the nvestment worthwhile, I'd almost always prefer the cd over the mp3s. Perhaps if singles were more accessible than they are, I'd buy singles over mp3s, too.
    Would you buy a house that had only one room without flourescent green paint and a notice that said you were unable to change the paint color?
  • by edmz ( 118519 ) on Friday July 21, 2000 @07:28AM (#915577) Homepage
    one of the advantages/power of MP3 and other digital media is previewing, thus helping you
    make better choices.

    Personally, i have bought more CDs because i have
    tried them before. I have even explored other
    genres that I previously couldnt afford.

    Now, everytime i buy a CD, its something
    i really want because i already tasted; like
    buying a DVD of your favorite movie.

    A year or 2 ago, 50% of the cds I bought sucked and
    I had no way to find out until after i bought it;
    like buying a DVD only because of the trailer
    of the movie.

    So, mp3 have brought me:
    1. wiser choices
    2. less deceptions
    3. enjoyed other music otherwise i wouldnt have
    4. more CDs
  • I like to collect a lot of rare music, especially old 45 rpm records, import cds, etc. One thing I like about napster, is I can find and listen to rare old songs very easily. This greatly influences what I'll buy next time I look for rare recordings. None of the large record companies have a way to quickly download older, rarer recordings. They may only have a small selection of their catalog available to listen to for free, or for sale. That's not good enough. I would be happy to pay a reasonable fee if I could listen to some of their older catalog of music, but that's not the case for now. For me, the only option is napster.
  • Blockquoth the poster:
    Fine, don't call it stealing; call it counterfeiting or sharing or whatever you want. It's irrelevant; a semantic wild-goose chase
    Actually, we have a word for it, distinct from "stealing": "infringement". So, if a well-established word covers this sense exactly, why would the Copyright Cartel repeatedly insist on using a fuzzier, metaphorically-extended word like "stealing"?

    Because the poster is right in the particulars and clueless in the import: It is "just semantics", but that doesn't imply it is unimportant. This whole struggle is not about right v. wrong, or even permissible v. illegal. It's about perception. If the Copyright Cartel can convince the average citizen that copyright infringement is stealing -- or better, somehow it's "piracy" -- then they get to take advantage of a built-in connotation, immediately making people thinkg "Oooh, stealing is wrong. So this must be wrong."

    "Infringement" does not have that same embedded meaning, so it doesn't rouse the emotions. Of course -- make no mistake here -- the RIAA and the MPAA most certainly do not want to have this settled by reason. The chances are far too good that, considered reasonably, their arguments are untenable. No, the Copyright Cartel want to triumph via the emotions. After all, manipulating emotions is the core of their business anyway. So they attempt to frame the debate in a way to push the buttons of the uninformed.

    Sadly, too many seem willing to cede choice of the emotional/intellectual terrain to the enemy... and as any good general will tell you, that spells defeat. Pay attention to Cosmo (from Sneakers [imdb.com] ), if you really want to understand this conflict:

    There's a war out there, old friend. A world war. And it's not about who's got the most bullets. It's about who controls the information. What we see and hear, how we work, what we think... it's all about the information!
  • People still like to have something tangible. I personally own many CDs in addition to my growing MP3 collection. The mere presence of a new distribution medium does not negate the benefits of older, more established ones. Just because I could scour Napster and download an album doesn't mean that I won't spend $12 for a CD. I agree that $19 for a disc is a bit much to ask (I've worked at a CD factory, and I know how rediculously little the chunks of plasic cost to make), but I don't mind shelling out a couple bucks for a high-quality, very portable (in the physical sense: I can just grab a CD and bring it with me), and pretty durable collection of music. Also being a radio DJ, I don't as of yet have the ability to play MP3s on-air, so having a CD allows me to play a song I like over the air, or in my computer, or in my discman, or in a car, or ... any number of other places where the now-ubiquitous CD-player has found a home. I can also personally attest to this trend as I've bought a disc as the result of hearing a song from an MP3 I'd downloaded (with the band's permission from their own site). All in all, record companies are making more money now than ever before. They need to stop whining, but then again, RIAA is a professional whining board (it's in their charter, as far as I can tell).
  • As the subject says, I was at a record store last night. A couple thousand CDs, mostly folk and bluegrass. I looked at many, but in the end didn't buy one. I've bought bad folk records, and I've bought good ones. I love folk but the catagorie is large enough that some of it bores me. I wanted to buy anouther CD, but not knowing any of the artists I was not willing to take a chance on any.

    There needs to be some way to sample music before I buy it.

  • >Ok. Here's a better analogy for you: I have a
    >10 dollar bill. Should you or should you not
    >be allowed to make a copy of it?

    It *IS*, in fact, perfectly legal to copy US currency. You see it all the time in novelty stores... Sometimes it is play money for kids. Some times it is turned into notepads. Some artists have sold HAND PAINTED (and *VERY* real looking) reproductions as art.

    Fair use, apparantly, applies, at least in principle, even to currency.

    What it is *NOT* legal to do is attempt to pass that $10 as genuine currency. To that end, there are laws governing the accuracy of the reproduction. I forget the exact details, but they generally run along the lines of:

    Photocopies must be blown up X% bigger
    or they must be shrunk Y% smaller
    or they must be copied onto a different color paper.

    Ever noticed that the "funny money" sold for kids to play with is always reproduced bigger or smaller than the real deal? That's why.

    >(Assuming that you have access to the technology
    >to make an undetectable duplicate)

    Which is where *your* analogy REALLY breaks down.

    I defy you to find me ANY set of MP3 tools that will: rip a red book track to AIFF (that's WAV for you windoze users), compress it to MP3, expand it back to AIFF, and then be able to pass a diff with the previously ripped AIFF file, to say nothing about the original red book track.

    I don't think you'll find one. To be fair, you don't have to use a single toolset. Choose the BEST ripper, the BEST compresser, and the BEST expander you can find.

    It ain't gonna happen. Because as anyone who ever bothered to read the MP3 spec knows, it is a (very) lossy compression scheme. The algorythm discards data (all too often the wrong data) in favor of a smaller file size.

    (if you want an example of non-lossy compression, go have a look at etree)

    And far from being detectable only via diff, it's easily detectable with the good ol' eardrum version 1.0. If you play MP3s on a real stereo with good speakers (the $2 headphones on your discman or rio don't count. Neither do the $100 el cheepo POS speakers on your computer), you *DO* notice an extreme degredation of quality compared to a red book CD. And the same, of course, applies to CDR's burned from expanded MP3s.

    john
    Resistance is NOT futile!!!

    Haiku:
    I am not a drone.
    Remove the collective if

  • I think more than anything this validates the Senatorial comments made in this [slashdot.org] article concerning the fact that the music industry has little grounds to go after the online trading of MP3s if they are not going to take advantage of the medium themselves. The labels could argue that it would not be economically feasible to pursue the online medium as a method of distributing legitimate music, but not after the results of a survey like this. No doubt they have their own statistics that swing the other way, but it's nice to see something ressembling hard facts that show that the SOLE reason the recording industry is going after online music distribution is FEAR OF CHANGE! These results show that it's definitely NOT about money...
  • Just because Napster users buy more music than non-Napster users doesn't mean that they aren't buying less music than before.

    We seem to have cause and effect mixed up: people who buy a lot of music are more likely to use Napster than those who don't. I don't think it works the other way round. Whichever way you look at it, the music companies are going to lose money through Napster and (under present conditions) the artists too.

    That might not be necessarily a bad thing, but I don't think many people seriously doubt it's happening.

  • by Sangui5 ( 12317 ) on Friday July 21, 2000 @07:30AM (#915594)
    Earlier research, released by Soundscan in May, showed declining CD sales at stores near universities

    In other news, computer stores and books stores next to college campuses are showing the lowest sales rates in years.

    I [amazon.com] wonder [buy.com] why? [varsitybooks.com] Could there perhaps be a connection? [cdnow.com]
  • Napster still reminds me of the tape trading scenes around school. You get a half assed, poorly recorded, mislabeled tape of music thats just enough to get you interested in buying the real deal.

    I just downloaded some unreleased tracks off a Who album I've had forever(Live at Leeds, of course), and it has rekindled my interest in buying the remastered CDs of my older Who recordings I have collected. There ya go.


  • see, before i'd know a song was by a certain artist, say the left handed midget lesbian eskimo albino song by the dead milkmen. i don't remembe the name of the song and i don't remember what album it was on.. previously i'd have to go buy every dead milkmen cd, or buy them randomly (or god forbid, ask the guy who works at the store), but now, i can figure it out on napster, then just buy that one cd!

    actually that's mainly a joke,..

    napster doesn't affect my cd buying habits at all, i don't play mp3s in my car, and i don't listen to cds on my computer ,they are separate.

    but the RIAA doesn't care. they want control over how all the music is distributed. period.

    the only way you might be able to make them care is to show that they will LOSE a lot of sales if Napster goes away. there really is no way to prove that (because it almost certainly isn't true.)
    ...dave
  • This doesn't make what they are doing any more legal. However, it is certainly a result that should get the RIAA to look more carefully at whats going on. If the RIAA is smart(pretty low hopes for that though) they will start there own study to determine why, and start sending out their own Mp3s in a manner which emphasizes what makes Napster users buy more music. Perhaps record companies can release samplers of all their groups on CD? Ask all their artists to select one or two tracks that they believe epitomize the heart of their music, Mp3 them, and send it out on CD for a low price. Or put them up on the web, with links to allow online ordering. Perhaps a for pay Mp3 subscription where you automatically get certain Mp3s emailed to you regularly? Or a free email containing an Mp3 from a groups new album, either a full track or samples of multiple tracks. These tactics will help RIAA turn Mp3 to their side, rather than just pissing off Mp3 users.
  • Statistics say whatever you want them to say. And although I'm all for music on the internet, the reality is that we slashdot readers, morally superior and good looking, are the minority. Sure, we sample songs on Napster and then buy the CD's.

    However, for every one of us, there's 20 poor college kids or script kiddies who are rapidly filling their brand new 80 GB hard drives with every MP3 they can find. I'm playing devil's advocate here; I'm certainly not siding with the RIAA, but let's be honest with ourselves.
  • but liars figure. According to the San Jose Mercury, the RIAA study relied on sales data from periods PRIOR TO the wide distribution of Napster. Thus the RIAA study reflects the shift in sales from retail stores to online sellers (the sales figures from which were excluded from the RIAA study.) Given this, the Jupiter study results are entirely consistent.
    My question is: Who does the RIAA think it protecting ? brick-and-mortar retailers ? mom and pop retailers ?
  • People are saying that just because Napster users buy more music doesn't imply causation. This is true, however... The study didn't just measure the current level of spending; it measured an increase in spending since starting to use Napster. At the Jupiter Communications website [jupitercom...ations.com], you can see that Napsters users have increased their spending more than other online music fans. This is a very important distinction, because it does imply causation.

    In addition, I must say that I personally use Napster, and I certainly buy more music than I did before. I'm exposed to more groups that I wouldnt' have heard of, and I'm much more likely to hear a song or two and like it, then go out and buy the album. I have no CD burner at home, and I'd like to be able to listen to the music on my discman and in my car, not just when I'm in the same room as my computer; and anyway, it's much easier to use for sampling and exploring than it would be if I was trying to download entire albums. And I'm willing to bet that sales near colleges have gone down because of CDNow and other such services that are cheaper and easier to get good music from than most music stores that take advantage of college towns.
  • by ArsonSmith ( 13997 ) on Friday July 21, 2000 @07:35AM (#915606) Journal
    What I think napster is going to hurt most is
    going to be the "one hit wonder" music industy.
    This would include most movie sound tracks. If
    a band puts out an album on CD that has 12-18
    good tracks of music that I want to listen to
    then I would purchase it. If a band puts out
    an album with one song that is good and the rest
    is complete crap I would much rather download that
    song off of napster and never bother to get the
    entire album. Napster is going to promote good
    music as apose to quick buck money maker single
    hit albums and movie sound tracks.

  • Better Rosen than Hatch.

  • IMHO Napster is very similar to Warez : You get your heart set on getting a particular program and you head out to the local #warez-dcc channel and start looking for FTP sites, DCC servers, etc. After many hours of missing files, corrupt archives, FTP servers that mysteriously shutdown just as you're finishing a file, you run to the local EB and buy it because you're so pissed and you now just want to get the bloody software. I think it is prudent and very wise for the software companies to put up their own `warez' servers that serve up crap, and I have a good feeling that they do : What else could explain 20 ZIPs inside 17 RAR's inside a ZIP that's packed into a PAK that's inside a ARJ, etc. etc. etc., and when you finally get to the milky center you discover a corrupt file.

    Napster is pretty much the same. It is close to useless now even bothering with Napster because the noise ratio is EXTREMELY high and the bogus song ratio is increasing dramatically. If I was the music industry I would do my best to fill Napster full of noise and garbage, and I'll bet that's exactly what they do.

  • This matters hugely. Did Napster pay for the research to be done? Did Jupiter do it out of the kindess of their hearts? (prolly not)? Did they do it to get headlines during their merger with media metrix? (maybe).

    I'm not saying the research is invalid--in fact I agree with it--but when push comes to shove defending napster against RIAA and the like, these questions will come up and we should have the answers. preliminary browsing at Jupiter's site didn't reveal anything...
  • While surveys like this are a nice way to laugh at the RIAA, think about the long-term implications. 10 years from now, can you honestly say that MP3-type files [mediumless, unencrypted, digital audio, whatever the format may be] will encourage CD sales?? Or whatever type sales there are in 2010? The RIAA et al are not going after this for their immediate defense; this is obviously not a threat in the next 1 or 2 years.
    But I think they can see where this is headed, and that's what worries them.
  • To them I'm sure it's all about protecting their investment. It's really hard to put yourself in the perspective of the RIAA but I've made up a little exercise.

    1. Fill a room wall-to-wall with cash and light it on fire.
    2. Run around the room, tracing the path of a star'd-pentagon yelling: "yippie, yippie"
    3. Go back to your office and figure out how you can squeeze out some more money
    4. Go back to step 1.

  • i just have to say that when you can download a gig of mp3's in a couple hours, you download all kinds of interesting stuff. you run out of stuff you've heard of in a couple weeks.

    then you start to explore.

    and, guess what? a lot of those mp3's got hisses, pops, get cutoff at the end, are poorly ordered, sometimes it can be a real chore to get the whole album (always missing a track and whatnot). know what this means? you get a great preview. a really great preview. you hear most of the album. and if it stands out... you (OMG!) buy the cd!!

    now, don't get me wrong. you download a hell of a lot more than you buy. but you don't have to buy cd's only to find that there's only one good track anymore.

    so after you buy it, whaddya do? first thing: rip it. rip it properly: no hisses, no cutoffs, numbered tracks, etc. and burn it so you can listen to it in your car (on your mp3 cd player -- you have one, right?), at work (on your computer -- you are a geek, right?), or at home (on your computer through your badass sound system).

    it's truly a beautiful thing. and if i didn't buy your music, the reason is simple: i didn't like it. at least i found out before i spent anything.

  • by isaac ( 2852 ) on Friday July 21, 2000 @07:46AM (#915626)
    so for me, yes i am spending more on CD music (yes i am above the age of 24) but i am spending it on stuff most mainstream labels shun.

    This is a big part of the RIAA members' fear of Napster and digital music in general - changing, unpredictable tastes. People who can go online and play around, sharing music with friends and strangers are more likely to be exposed to a wider range of music than people who listen to their meticulously programmed Top-40 (more like Top-15 these days) station.

    Someone exposed to a wider range of music is less likely to direct all of their dollars and attention to the pap promoted and spoonfed to listeners. This mean fewer economies of scale from the marketing and A&R perspective, and the decline (not demise) of the superstar, with a return to more niche acts. A good thing from my perspective, but from a record company viewpoint, it's more efficient to keep people buying Brittney, Garth, and Jay-Z (or their handful of superstar peers) to the exclusion of most smaller acts.

    I say, bring on the subscription model, and let the record companies recoup the loss in marketing efficiency in lower distribution costs (shipping bits instead of atoms). All You Can Eat is the model we need now, and as long as unsigned and signed but non-RIAA affiliated artists get access and listening habits have the same legal privacy protections as video rental habits, I'll be delighted.

    Something tells me that day is a long way and 2^10 lawsuits away, alas, and may never happen w/ respect to privacy and outsider access.

    -Isaac

  • A lot of people (including Hillary Rosen) are saying things to the effect that just because online MP3 distribution doesn't hurt CD sales doesn't make it right. Well, they're missing the point.

    The point, of course, is that copyright is (or at least should be, depending on what country you are) a social contract. The public gives up their freedom to copy "owned" works in exchange for the assurance that, if they buy it instead, the people who make it will be able to continue producing more of it. This concept evidently depends on the idea that treating your work as material property - i.e., jealously protecting it from unauthorised copying - is the only way to make money from intellectual goods.

    Well, this report is proof to the contrary. If the public is no longer willing to keep up with the current copyright system, and the producers can still make enough money without it, then there's really no reason to continue with the current system: it's in the best interests of everyone to just come up with a new agreement.

    Of course, to the record companies (as for all middlemen), the issue isn't really money; they have enough of that already. It's about power. For a long time they've had a virtually unbeatable monopoly on recorded music, and now they're losing it. That's unacceptable. So you can fully expect that, to the detriment of everyone, they'll keep fighting to retain the current system where they alone dictate the rules.

  • I use programs like Napster and Gnutella heavily to aquire Mp3s of bands that I either like (as in I own some of their other work) or that I have heard good things about. This has acutally led me to buy more albums overall, despite me having a burner. Why? Because I like bands with intense levels of bass guitar, such as Rancid and NoMeansNo. With Mp3s (IMHO), you just can't even approach the quality of CD music, even on high-bitrate Mp3s, but you get an idea of how good the song is. There is a world of difference between listening to "Roots Radicals" on CD (awesome) as opposed to Mp3 (slightly tinny).

    That, and I like the cover art, and I like supporting good bands.
  • We have a chain of stores here, in Canada called Future Shop -- they're kinda like American Circuit City stores.

    Anyway, they have a "DJ" counter where you can listen to ANY CD in their inventory before buying it. It's kind of a cool idea. I really hate it that they re-wrap the CDs before selling them, though. I don't really like buying CDs that have finger prints on them -- I HAVE bought CDs, un-shrink-wrapped them, to discover a bigass fingerprint on the data side of the disc.
  • by r2ravens ( 22773 ) on Friday July 21, 2000 @07:48AM (#915640)
    Hilary Rosen's quote:

    "I think that if I own my shirt and you borrow it, it doesn't matter whether or not I have another shirt. You're just not entitled to borrow it without my permission."

    Hilary, you made my point for me. Are you the manufacturer of the shirt? If so, then you can sell it to me. Then I own it.

    If you bought the shirt from the manufacturer and I don't have your permission to borrow it, fine. That's stealing.

    If you bought the shirt from the manufacturer and you allow me to borrow it, then no harm, no foul. In this case, if you're the manufacturer, you don't have the right to control what someone does with it after you sell it.

    Sorta slippery that she put that "without my permission" thing in there. More spin for the masses. She implies that Napster users don't have the permission of the sender to transfer a file. I thought the whole thing was that you made your files available exactly for that purpose, implicitly giving permission by that action. Oh well, the battle of words and publicity continues...

    Just my .02

  • by Phroggy ( 441 ) <slashdot3@ p h roggy.com> on Friday July 21, 2000 @07:49AM (#915642) Homepage
    That will happen. Its not like you buy less food because you are given free samples at the grocery store. In fact you buy more of that because it was good.

    Yet, there are also those who hang out at Costco [costco.com] every Saturday around noon just for the free samples. Everyone I know who does this also shops, but I suppose there must be a few that don't. Likewise, there are people who will never buy another CD as long as there's Napster.

    I don't buy many CDs. I didn't before I started collecting MP3s, and I still don't now that I have a 6GB+ archive. However, as the collection grows, I'm getting more and more interested in having a lot of music, and therefore I'm becoming more and more interseted in purchasing CDs - not necessarily music I've already gotten from Napster, but just music in general.

    --

  • My music budget, both for CDs and live shows, has more than tripled since napster and scour.

    There are reasons for this that I don't normally see come up in the legal debates:

    1. The napster community, and especially the scour community, is totally inbred with incomplete files. User1 gets 75% of a song, which remains in his shared folder. Users2, 3, 4, 5 etc. all get 75% of the 75% file, and so forth. Diminishing returns.

    2. MP3 sound quality, for the most part, SUCKS. I mean, I listen to them all the time because of their convenience, but if I get an mp3 of a band that I really like, I buy the CD to hear the cymbals, to hear the bass, etc.

    To test this, get ahold of a CD and an mp3 of anything produced by Daniel Lanois, Robert Fripp or any Peter Gabriel album and listen to the differences... It's astronomical, really.

    Music is audio, and quality is what matters. If it wasn't for gnutella and Scour i wouldn't have bought half of the cds or gone to half of the shows i've been to in the last 2 years.

    That's not to say that I don't think the industry has the right to protect their stuff, I'm just saying theiy're going about it the wrong way and for the wrong reasons.
  • what about singles that are produced? Won't there be a loss in that market?
    I wouldn't neccessarily think so. Even though a large percentage of the music available on napster servers are available as singles, There are plenty of (rarities && b sides && songs not on singles). Now if you think of you average napster user with 100+ songs on there hard drive, how manyt of them purchase singles on a regular basis. I personally don't. Also the majority of "hit singles" I download from napster are songs that I could only see myself buying either as discount rack singles or part of (sound tracks || compilation cds). Now I'm sure there are people who have bought less singles because of napster. However, I think in general napster users do buy music. There decisions may have been affected by napster, but mainly in what they buy not how much.
  • by Chops ( 168851 ) on Friday July 21, 2000 @07:42AM (#915646)
    This may hurt the RIAA's case, but it shouldn't. They know full well that people still buy CDs only because Napster's quality is pretty piss-poor, most people can't play MP3s in their cars, high-speed net connections are rare, and so on. A couple of years from now, when I can type "Beatles White Album," wait forty seconds, and then drag-and-drop the quality-assured folder I just downloaded to a removable MP3 player plugged into my serial port, the RIAA will be fucked, and they know it.

    Of course, the fact the everyone wants to be able to do the above doesn't seem to make an impact anymore... the democracy I learned about was based on the idea that The People could do any damnfool thing they wanted as long as most of them wanted to do it. That includes putting all the musicians on the planet out of business, which according to the RIAA is what The People would do if they weren't kept under their careful but benevolent control...

  • It is also dangerous to imply causation. Even if you prove that Napster users buy more music, you can't say that Napster causes people to buy more music. Just as likely is that those people attracted to Napster are music enthusiasts who buy lots of music.

    The causal relationship isn't neccessarily important here. What is important is the fact that, for whatever reason, Napster users tend to also buy more CDs, which means by alienating the users of Napster, the RIAA is alienating one of its better customers. Regardless of the industry or the reason, finding fault with your best customer base is ALWAYS, from an economic standpoint, a bad thing to do.
  • ...which is exactly why we need to be able to buy individual songs over the internet. Then you just use Total Recorder and turn it into a wav...

  • by Angst Badger ( 8636 ) on Friday July 21, 2000 @07:49AM (#915653)
    I spend my discretionary income on three things: books, music, and computing hardware. (Okay, I also spend on my old VW bus, but while random, that's not exactly discretionary.) MP3 is for me mainly a way of previewing music. It sounds okay on the cheap speakers at the office, and if affordable car MP3 players ever emerge from the vapor, I think MP3s will be great in the acoustically-challenged environment of my car. But pumped through my stereo at home, the flaws of a 128kbps MP3 are plainly evident, even after much tinkering with the EQ and various filters. To my ear, MP3s are "near CD quality" only for certain very liberal values of near. They sound like they're closer to "near worn LP quality" to me.

    I've bought quite a few CDs recently after hearing MP3 versions. Some have been major label releases, others have been independent artists who've uploaded samples of their stuff to MP3.com. I anticipate more of the latter than the former as time goes by, since the major labels won't touch a lot of the stuff I like. And that is what I think the RIAA is really afraid of -- people being able to select from material outside of the hundred or so major label acts.
  • by tomcrooze ( 33802 ) on Friday July 21, 2000 @07:50AM (#915654) Homepage
    Nearly every person I know uses Napster to download music and then burn them onto CD-R's. These are the reasons why:

    1. Cable connection
    2. 4x CD writing
    3. $0.80 CD-R's
    4. Music
    5. Friends that would pay for these particular CD's

    Evaluate the cost comparison:
    A. $12-$15 CD at the store
    B. $0.80-$1.00 of CD-R + time + possible profit from selling the CD

    Which would you choose, A or B?
  • The study attempts to isolate this. The question they ask targets how
    that persons relative music spending changed since using onlune music
    sites.
  • People are saying that just because Napster users buy more music doesn't imply causation. This is true, however... The study didn't just measure the current level of spending; it measured an increase in spending since starting to use Napster. At the Jupiter Communications website, you can see that Napsters users have increased their spending more than other online music fans. This is a very important distinction, because it does imply causation.

    While I agree with the overall point of your comment (which is probably the same overall point as everyone's comment, which is generally "stick it to RIAA where the sun don't shine"), I have to argue the logic that you claim proves the causality.

    The problem is that we basically run into the chicken and the egg scenario: did usage of online music services increase spending on music? Or did the increase in spending encourage the use of online music services? The question was "whether the money they spent on music purchases had increased, decreased or remained the same since they began visiting music destinations on the Web." It was NOT, as it should have been to prove the causality, "whether the money they spent on music purcahses had increased, decreased or remained the same as A RESULT OF beginning to visit music destinations on the Web."

    Or, maybe, they aren't directly related at all -- it could simply be that the people in the survey, for whatever reasons, became more interested in music at that point in their lives, and as a result increased their spending AND their online music service usage independently. It's entirely plausible that both of these factors are in fact dependent on some third factor, such as the average temperature in their underwear drawer, and are independent of each other.
  • Do you think maybe that might have something to do with the fact that when I was in college, a CD cost $10 - $12. I haven't bought music in a store in a while, but the last time I did, I paid about $18 for a CD. Both situations consider current popular music, not some old Led Zepplin CD's, new releases. This has only been during a period of about 5 or 6 years that these price differences have reared their ugly heads.

    Even Best Buy's prices have started edging up over the last couple of years. (Hey, check this grammar out -> ) While still considerably lower (Best Buy that is) than most campus record stores, most college students cannot afford to pay the prices the music industry charges at music stores accessible to non-car-owning college students in order to make margins on their $0.50 production charge and $12.00 "distribution" expenses.

    With the wide availability of music, and the low cost of shipping through the mail, the music labels cannot justify the prices of their products in my mind. Especially when I see musicians with gold records going broke.

    I live in L.A. now (yuck!) and the few musical artists I've talked to (and most others for that fact) seem to agree that the musicians make about $0.50 per disk sold. Some would even say that that number is high. Granted this is useless anecdotal evidence, but the fact that I've never heard of a musician reaping $5.00 per disk (which would come closer to justifying the price of a $15.00 CD) tells me I cannot be too far from the truth.

    Breakdown:

    -Burn CD $1 (that's a high estimate)
    -Pay the artist $1 (another high estimate IMHO)
    -Ship the CD $3.20 (USPS priority mail, up to 2 pounds...how many CD's in 2 pounds?)
    -Advertise...lessee here...put the music on the internet for free (not extremely expensive venture when talking about selling thousands of CD's a day)...let radio stations download the music and don't charge them royalties (a BS practice in my mind)...how much can this cost?

    Oh, wait a second...I forgot the booze and couches and TV's and stereo equipment that even non-executive management gets at Universal Music Group (I seen it with my own eyes). That's gotta be where that extra $10.00 charge comes from? Duh?

  • This mp3 debate, the DeCSS debate, and software piracy, all of it, is about one question:

    How is it that something that is infinitely, perfectly reproducible yet intangible has any value?

    Of course I think software authors deserve to earn a living. I am not convinced, however, that if I duplicate an album I wasn't going to buy anyway, dollar bills magically disappear from some artist's wallet. It's one of those "if everyone does it..." scenarios, but not everyone does do it.

    There really needs to be a midpoint where we can agree on what kind of value to place on IP. This is an issue that affects much more than just software and music, and a lot of people make their livings off of it.

    --

  • I think these statistics held by the RIAA are less about both distribution control and about artist control, as Courtney Love explained [salon.com] quite well.

    Tools like napster loosen the recording industry's control over which artists will eventually make it to the top, thus making the companies the most money. The recording industry knows that the more control they wield over the artists, the more revenue they can generate for themselves. The digital revolution may be what gives the individual artist the exposure that the recording companies once offered so exclusively.

    I see, now, how this will obsolete not only the record companies' business model, but their business, as well.

  • by pezpunk ( 205653 ) on Friday July 21, 2000 @07:53AM (#915678) Homepage
    she is getting upset because we are generating A NEW COPY OF HER SHIRT, not stealing her shirt off her back. she can still wear or sell her shirt as she pleases. i hate the "stealing" analogy because it is essentially not correct. i'm not saying THIS makes Napster ok, i'm saying this analogy is irrelevant.

So you think that money is the root of all evil. Have you ever asked what is the root of money? -- Ayn Rand

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