Earth Releasing More CO2 Than Originally Thought 318
grqb writes "A new study out of the UK suggests that terrestrial sinks across the planet are mopping up much less carbon than predicted, on balance, and so the planet may warm at an even faster rate than expected. The study focused on the carbon content in soil at 6000 sites in the UK between 1978 and 2003 and found that the soil released the equivalent of 8% of the UK's total 1990 carbon dioxide emissions. These emissions are more than the entire reduction in emissions the UK has achieved between 1990 and 2002 as part of its commitment to the Kyoto Protocol. This would effectively cancel out the UK's recent successes in reducing greenhouse gas emissions, and would have wider global implications as well."
"Earth" (Score:2, Interesting)
Re:"Earth" (Score:4, Informative)
Re:"Earth" (Score:5, Informative)
If the total biomass remains roughly constant, a plant grows for a plant that dies, the system remains roughly in balance, as the new plants absorb the CO2 released by the dead plants.
If, however, the bio mass is declining. . .
KFG
Re:"Earth" (Score:2, Informative)
Re:"Earth" (Score:2, Informative)
KFG
Re:"Earth" (Score:2)
Re:"Earth" (Score:3, Interesting)
First learn barance, Daniel san. This redistribution of biomass is trickier than it looks.
KFG
Re:"Earth" (Score:2)
...and I thought it was all the cow flatulence... (Score:3, Funny)
That's it... (Score:5, Funny)
Well... it'll be sunny and warm by the time I retire.
Re:That's it... (Score:3, Funny)
Well... it'll be sunny and warm by the time I retire.
Don't forget to bring your anti-radiation-suite, the hole in the ozone layer will be bigger by that time too.
Re:That's it... (Score:2)
While a multi-program software package might help somewhat, a physical suit might be somewhat more effective.
Careful with your real estate speculations... (Score:5, Insightful)
So if you're investing in Global Warming, don't buy real estate -- too uncertain what will happen to it. You might consider wind farming...
Re:Careful with your real estate speculations... (Score:3, Interesting)
Curious. Is this the "sea levels" that includes inland seas and lakes; or the ocean levels, which is usually what they're talking about in the context of global warming? If the latter, it'd be interesting to hear by what mechanism the earth's oceans would be higher in some places, but lower in others.
Re:Careful with your real estate speculations... (Score:2)
Tides?
</pedantic>
Re:Careful with your real estate speculations... (Score:2, Informative)
Actually, the pacific ocean is about 20 cm higher than the atlantic.See http://www.pol.ac.uk/psmsl/puscience/#3 [pol.ac.uk] or http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Panama_canal [wikipedia.org] for more in-depth information.
Re:Careful with your real estate speculations... (Score:2)
Nice one
Re:Careful with your real estate speculations... (Score:2, Informative)
Re:Careful with your real estate speculations... (Score:3, Insightful)
No, that doesn't fit with what the OP said. Increased tidal variation doesn't make the seas lower in some places and higher in others, it makes it both higher and lower everywhere. OP said "Other reports claim that sea levels in some areas would actually drop." This is clearly not a description of tidal variation.
2. Variations in the Earth's gravitational field.
Yeah.....OK. Now tell me how global warming manages that trick.
Re:Careful with your real estate speculations... (Score:2)
Global warming caused by greenhouse gasses would actually result in colder daytime temperatures and warmer nights, with the day's overall average trending higher.
Greenhouse gasses not only reflect heat back at us from earth, but deflect heat from the sun. A given section of the planet loses less heat at night as it's reflected back at us, but also picks up less heat during the day as heat is reflected away.
"Cancel Out"? (Score:4, Informative)
In this case we have the earth releasing CO2 into the air, something we really don't have the means to stop. Although the net effect might mean the same emissions as before, at least the man made emissions are being reduced, that's what un-natural. If the earth is going to release some CO2, that's something that would have happened anyway. So that's not exactly "cancelling out" the effect.
Re:"Cancel Out"? (Score:2)
Not true! This man [christojeanneclaude.net] has the solution.
yes it's worse! (Score:2)
Re:yes it's worse! (Score:2)
1) We might as well pollute because the earth does it naturally, undoing whatever we do.
2) We need reduce emissions more than we thought, because our emissions cause warming which increases the Earth's emissions, compounding our effect.
I think the point of your parent post (curiously moderated 'troll') was to argue for interpretation #2.
Re:"Cancel Out"? (Score:2, Informative)
'Up to one-tenth of the missing carbon may have leached into ground water, but Kirk says the majority is likely to have been lost as carbon dioxide into the atmosphere. This is likely to be due to plant matter and organic material decomposing at a faster rate as temperatures rise.
More worryingly, soil sinks are predicted to release their carbon at an even faster rate as temperatures increase, giving rise to a feedback loop.'
So, the earth is releasing CO2 on its own, but it is because of a feedback
Cant WE mop up some of the CO2? (Score:3, Interesting)
But if the alternative is to have most of the world's coastal cities suffer the same fate as New Orleans, why can't we put some thought and money into actively extracting CO2 and other greenhouse gases from the atmosphere instead of merely cutting down emissions?
I know that it would take a lot of energy and currently most energy sources add to the pollution problem, but still, is it even possible to somehow filter the crap from the atmosphere? What would it entail?
Re:Cant WE mop up some of the CO2? (Score:5, Funny)
2)
3) Profit.
This ofcourse assumes you don't burn them later on.
Re:Cant WE mop up some of the CO2? (Score:2)
Re:Cant WE mop up some of the CO2? (Score:3, Insightful)
I'd guess starting to plant more rain forrest insted of cutting it down would help some.
Re:Cant WE mop up some of the CO2? (Score:2)
Putting this kind of scrubber in play on earth would be possible, but very, very expensive. And with expense, comes corporate questioning: is the gas really bad enough to warrant installing scrubbers to clean up the atmosphere? Or should we just spend the money on putting scrubbers on our houses, cars, an
Re:Cant WE mop up some of the CO2? (Score:2)
Re:Cant WE mop up some of the CO2? (Score:3, Informative)
One of the approaches I've read about which would be high-impact for low effort would be to seed the shallow seas with powdered iron. From what
Re:Cant WE mop up some of the CO2? (Score:2)
Um, when was that ? I've never heard about Earth haven frozen solid before...
Re:Cant WE mop up some of the CO2? (Score:2)
Basically a runaway iceage starts because the albedo of ice is much higher than that of dry land. Sunlight reaching the earth simply reflects into space, not warming the earth, and the earth cools down in a positive feedback loop. It has been shown that the icecaps have extended all the way to the equator, and been theorized that the ice even covered the oceans (similar to how the north pole is covered in floating ice.)
However, oceans are a very good sink
Re:Cant WE mop up some of the CO2? (Score:2)
Re:Cant WE mop up some of the CO2? (Score:2)
What about the percentage of the area over which we cut down the trees ?
What about the rapidly-declining numbers of elephants, lions, tigers and all the rest ?
What about the declining areas of rain-forest ? How much rain-forest is there left in asia now ?
Take your hand from in front of your eyes. Humans have had, and continue to have, a HUGE impact on the whole planet.
Re:Cant WE mop up some of the CO2? (Score:3, Informative)
It's not "crap", it's CO2. It's not pollution, it's a natural and necessary component of our atmosphere. The issue is about the balance.
What would it entail?
More plants. Probably the most efficient way, as they do it without being plugged into a generator.
Re:Cant WE mop up some of the CO2? (Score:2, Funny)
No, instead they require a direct line-of-sight to a nuclear fusion reactor. One that uses 4 million tons of fuel per second. Do you call that efficient ?!?
Just because you don't have to foot the energy bill doesn't mean that someone doesn't have to - but I'm sure that in your socialist utopia Sun would be no one's private property and sunlight free to all...
Re:Cant WE mop up some of the CO2? (Score:2, Informative)
-David
Re:Cant WE mop up some of the CO2? (Score:2)
Re:Cant WE mop up some of the CO2? (Score:2, Interesting)
Globe Warming is based so much more on the sun cycle than the green house effect that it's funny how much work is being done on that part.
The sun and earth have cycles. In the mid 1600's we had a rather low point in solar activity, the number of sun spots was quite low indicating a lower solar temperature. Since then it's gone in phases. Around 1800 there was another relative min in what's know in the little ice age. The Rhine froze over then.
Look, I'm
Cancelling out? (Score:5, Insightful)
Re:Cancelling out? (Score:2)
No it would not (Score:5, Insightful)
This would effectively cancel out the UK's recent successes in reducing greenhouse gas emissions, and would have wider global implications as well.
This would only be true if the soil would not be releasing CO2 prior to the recent reductions in greenhouse emissions.
Yes, there is a lot of uncertainty concerning the mechanics of CO2 emissions. But that doesn't mean we should stop trying to reduce them each time we find out that we are not the only source of CO2 emissions.
I know the world is slowly being destroyed ... (Score:2, Funny)
Maybe (Score:2, Funny)
Re:Maybe (Score:2)
Well, since higher levels of CO2 in the atmosphere lead to higher level of plant growth, and plants release O2 to the atmosphere, I'd say that your theory about Earth's supposed genocidal tendencies is unlikely to be true.
However, I do remember reading once that we are doing nature a favor by digging up coal and oil - remember, coal and oil are essentially CO2 that's be
cancel this (Score:4, Insightful)
Cancel out? Its not like by trying to reduce CO2 in area X, another area Y produced more CO2 in response to reduction in X -- this is not the case, and while knowledge of what produces CO2 is not complete, it is just plain silly to imply that there was no point to even try reducing it!
If it had not been reduced then there would have been MORE of it, not less.
Source or Sink can depend on usage of the land (Score:4, Insightful)
Another article from the same site shows how studies of the Amazon river basin reveal that carbon emissions from the Amazon river are younger than previous thought http://www.physorg.com/news5471.html [physorg.com]
Really what comes about from these articles and others is that we still don't have a complete picture. While it is great press to claim we can simulate the earth and predict things like global warming and cooling we still run into the fact we don't know all the variables. Yes man contributes but how much? Indirect methods are revealed by how land use affected CO2 emissions and absorption.
I do think that what the Earth is doing on its own in regards to CO2 emissions should not be weighed against how well we reduce our own emissions. Granted the changes in the planet may seemingly undo what we accomplish we still improve our ecosystem by reducing OUR effect on it.
"Science" (Score:3, Funny)
Obviously the climate change is due to God's anger with various countries allowing gay marriages.
I firmly believe this can be stopped by giving tax cuts to the wealthy.
No! It's the pirates! (Score:2, Funny)
The Flying Spaghetti Monster faith [venganza.org] teaches us us directly about the causes of global warming, and how they are directly related to shrinking numbers of pirates in the world.
We can argue about CO2 reduction all day; increasing piracy, however, is something that we can all start immediately. Give pirates a chance!
not the only problem (Score:5, Interesting)
i'm surprised this wasn't mentioned as well.
For Peat's sake (Score:2)
Re:not the only problem (Score:2)
We have likely passed a trigger point beyond which global warming would continue even if all human releases of greenhouse gases fell immediately to zero, due to lags in the system.
The good news is that this is not the first time this has happened over geologic time, and whatever mechanism turns it off and into another Ice Age will eventually kick i
Re:not the only problem (Score:2, Interesting)
But saying that buying Ikea furniture contributes to more CO2 than most natural events is just silly.
Re:not the only problem (Score:4, Informative)
Other things, both natural and man made, include coal mine fires [wikipedia.org], Volcanos [wikipedia.org] that on average release 145 million to 255 million short tons of CO2 annually, not to mention an equally immense amount of SO2. Check out Mammoth Mountain [wikipedia.org] in California's Sierra Nevada range. The National Park Service has closed it to camping because it emits so much CO2 up through the soil that it can kill humans who stay in the area too long. It killed a lot of trees, too. Estimates state that Mammoth Mountain emits 50-150 tons of CO2 per DAY, which might cast doubt on the earlier estimate of how much volcanos produce.
I'm not going to suggest that we don't care about man-made emissions, but I think more study will find that it pales in comparison to nature. And what do we do if we find that the earth is warming up with or without our effort? Do we try to cool it down?? Might be something to think about, if in the next few thousand years Mankind eliminates "harmful" emissions to only find that the planet's trying to kill us anyways...
Re:not the only problem (Score:3, Informative)
No surprise (Score:5, Insightful)
1) The United States, generally
2) George W. Bush, personally
3) White males
4) Hummers (the vehicles, not the
5) Animal testing
6) Microsoft
7) Republicans
8) Amazon.com's patent portfolio
Good! Now, repeat after me: "All Hail Slashdot Groupthink! Flamebait == My Politics Differ! Troll = Possibly correct, but goes against my preconceived notions!"
Can someone tell me (Score:2)
Re:Can someone tell me (Score:2)
Global warming is a natural cycle... (Score:5, Insightful)
The huge volcanoe that will erupt in Utah shortly along with a few other disasters will push us into another ice age quicker than most think.
A concerted effort to achieve relatively cheap routine access to space needs to be initiated. Hopefully the private sector will do what NASA has been unable to do.
Re:Global warming is a natural cycle... (Score:2)
As soon as there's even an ounce of scientific evidence for it that isn't sponsored by right-wing industry-aligned think tanks.
On the other hand, lots of people "accept" what you're claiming anyway. And a few of them probably even finished high school. But not many.
Re:Global warming is a natural cycle... (Score:2)
Re:Global warming is a natural cycle... (Score:2)
What about the use of fossils and ice core samples to get information about past climates and the composition of the atmosphere in the Earth's past? Is that all a right-wing hoax, too?
Bad science... writing (Score:5, Informative)
Until 2000 I worked in a climate research lab - not as a scientist; I was a tech. Here's what the actual research (that the article twists) probably found. It is well known that atmospheric CO2 is increasing less rapidly than our models predict, because we don't know what's providing the sink for about half of what we're generating. So it's likely that some British scientists had speculated these soils were part of this "missing sink" (bad pun intended). However now they know they aren't as much of a factor - so the search will go on.
Re:Bad science... writing (Score:2, Interesting)
Data like this, along with many other sources such as ice cores and fossil tree rings and stalagtite isotopic ratios an
Re:Bad science... writing (Score:2)
This is where I start to have problems. To pick a different ty
Re:Bad science... writing (Score:3, Insightful)
Basic statistics (Score:2)
If you toss two coins, it's very difficult to predict how many heads you'll get. On the other hand, if you toss a thousand coins, you can say fairly confidently that you'll get close to 500 heads.
It's the same principle: in many systems, long term effects are much easier to predict that short term effects.
Ok where are you now? (Score:4, Insightful)
What I would like to know is where are all the people who were accusing me of being a toady for Bush?
Why won't you people admit that flawed inputs means flawed models and as a result the predictions are likely inaccurate.
Stop trying to change the world until you know how and what should be changed. And yes, that may mean it gets much worse before it gets better.
Re:Ok where are you now? (Score:4, Insightful)
Is it a worse idea than using religion? How about public opinion polls? Corporate donations?
Models may be flawed, but at least they're something with a basis in science. The alternatives...?
Re:Ok where are you now? (Score:2)
Who cares? That wasn't my point, so stop arguing straw men.
Re:Ok where are you now? (Score:2)
The models used for weather prediction are different than the models used for climate prediction. There are DEGREES of accuracy (understand, or should I go slower?). Are you unable to tell the difference? A stats class would help.
"Are our models for world climate flawed and imperfect? Certainly. Are their predictions unambigious and all in perfect agreement? Of course not. But do the vast majority of them ind
Re:Ok where are you now? (Score:2)
And yet, amazingly you're the only one that engaged in namecalling...
You are arguing points I never made. I never suggested not using models, and I don't know why you think arguing BS made up scenarios adds credence to the idea that there are UNINTENDED CONSEQUENCES to poorly planned actions. If you were able to engage in reasonable discourse, you'd understand that.
You clearly have no idea what you are talking about, nor obviously, what I was writing about. Instead you're tak
It's working! (Score:3, Insightful)
Our secret plan to trick humans into releasing more CO2 into the atmosphere is working. Now us green plants can breath easier and grow larger, eventually displacing those ugly pink and brown humans. Green Power!
Your Friend, Piney Tree
Pink and Brown? (Score:2)
In other news (Score:3, Funny)
However, the sedentary nature of its readers cancels out this effect.
In other news... (Score:4, Interesting)
More lives will be lost and more suffering will be created than any CO2 emissions can create.
Exactly what Kyoto supporters want. Bring the middle class into the lower class through regulations and taxes rather than uplifting the lower class through opportunity and expansion of the industry base.
Re:In other news... (Score:3, Informative)
Gosh, that statement is so vague as to be almost immune to attack. But a couple of broadsides:
Stocks are going up http://uk.finance.yahoo.com/q/bc?s=%5EFTSE&t=my [yahoo.com]
The economy is growing, despite a dangerous asset bubble in the housing market. I'm sure you'd like to pin that on Kyoto as well - it'll be fun to watch.
But anyway, while the UK economy is far from perfect, it's hard to see how it's declining.
> as burdens from Kyoto compliance
What burdens, preci
Really? (Score:3, Interesting)
I didn't realize the UK had ratified and began working on their commitments to Kyoto back in 1990, 15 years before it went into force and 7 years before it was written.
Now that I think about it, it would probably make more sense to ratify it before it was written. After all, the only potential effect it could have would be to destroy our economy and thus reduce our ability to respond to climate change using technological means.
A General Plea (Score:2)
The whole Earth? or just the UK? (Score:3, Interesting)
Good thing North America is a Net Carbon Sink
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/entrez/query.fcgi?cmd
http://www.climatechangedebate.org/pdf/FanPaper.p
And before someone says it's warmer since 1998, no it's not. Thanks the El Nino of 1998 we saw a tremendous spike, and tempreatures are cooler today than then.
Ah-Ha! (Score:2)
Cut Carbon fuel use and support the death penalty? (Score:3, Insightful)
At the equator water vapor is present in the atmosphere at 2,169 times the concentration of CO2 and water vapor has 7 TIMES the greenhouse power that CO2 has. That makes water, effectively, 15,000 times more powerful a greenhouse gas than CO2. Most people assume that CO2 is the culprit because of an unproven theory that water vapor amplifies the effects of CO2. Or, maybe it's the other way around. Unproven theories tend to be dynamic.
Other sources of CO2 have increased: the human population has risen from 1 BILLION to 6 BILLION in the last 100 years, and humans exhale CO2 24/7, unlike combustion engines. Most humans on this planet do not own a combustion engine or use one.
The ratio of CO2 produced / O2 consumed is called respiratory quotient (RQ), which depends on type of nutrients being used for energy. According to a study by the USDA [1], an average person's respiration generates approximately 450 liters (roughly 900 grams) of carbon dioxide per day, or about 5.4 Billion tons per day, or 1,971 Billion tons per year. That's about 538 Billion tons of Carbon. By comparison, the USA produces about a little more than 1 Billion tons of coal per year. The World demand for oil last year was 82 Million barrels per day, or around 9.3 Billion tons of oil per year. If I've made a mistake I'm sure someone will correct me, if they use the same source of information: http://www.eia.doe.gov/emeu/international/petrole
Please do.
If my figures are correct human breath contributes more C02 to the atmosphere than machines do, probably because CO2 absorbed from the atmosphere by plants used as food, as they grow, is more than that created by farmers producing the food plants.
Dr. Alfred Bartlett was the first to state that "Farming is just a way of using land to convert oil into food." It's takes approximately 7 times more energy to put a slice of bread in your mouth than you get by metabolising it.
If CO2 is the cause of gloabl warming, humans appear to be the major source and the Carbon fuels used to feed them the minor source. If we cut back on the use of fossil fuel we condem a BILLION or more people to a death sentence by starvation, and the starving will continue until we replace Carbon with another energy source of equal or better density, or until the final population level can be supported by the new energy source.
Personally, I believe the evidence shows, and long before the "Carbon Tax" became the newest wealth redistribution scheme, that the Sun is responsible for the Earth's mean temperature, even with 6 BILLION people calling Earth home.
Re:Cut Carbon fuel use and support the death penal (Score:4, Informative)
CO2 has an atomic weight of 44 so we get one tonne of oil * 44/14 makes 3.1428 tonnes of CO2. This is almost pi tonnes I guess. In addtion we get 18/14 = 1.2857 tonnes of water.
---------------
Now what needs to be recognized is that CO2 levels during the Ordovician were 13x to 19x higher than now and the earth cooled by about an average of 22C. This demonstrates that the CO2 levels at over 5000 PPM are not enough to warm the planet out of an ice age. In fact CO2 levels of 5000++ PPM are not enough to KEEP the planet from going into an ice age. When we go into an ice age we lose large amounts of water vapour and thus it is much easier to keep the planet out of an ice age than to lift it from an ice age.
Water vapour in the tropics literally is 80,000 PPM and it really is many times more powerful as a green house gas than CO2. Water vapour levels over a ice sheet are practically zero.
So CO2 is being given a bad name by people who know very little and do bad science.
About all an increase in CO2 will render on the planet is the ability for plants to grow a little faster. If course there are biologists such as David Suzuki who have suggested the increase in CO2 will overwhelm the ability of the plant life on the earth to absorb it.
How stupid. He must have done at least some plant physiology in his undergraduate years and if so he will know that standard green house practice is to increase CO2 levels to increase growth rates.
The truth is that photosynthesis evolved about 3 billion years ago and at that time the CO2 levels were about 20% of the atmosphere. 20% is about 200,000 PPM
Re:Neat! (Score:2, Interesting)
Re:Neat! --- Great (Score:3, Insightful)
Re:Neat! --- Great (Score:2, Interesting)
that is really not all that much.
Re:Neat! --- Great (Score:2)
How do we know that 0.8% isn't significant? Are you basing your opinion on models?
And even worse, you got modded up.
Re:Neat! --- Great (Score:2)
No you weren't, you said this
" Soil released 8%
that is really not all that much"
Only one thing could be inferred from that, so stop backtracking and admit you threw out an BS opinion.
God, why is it so hard for you people to admit it when you get caught making shit up?
Re:Neat! --- Great (Score:2)
How much longer? (Score:2)
Bit offtopic... (Score:2)
Re:Humans are a disease. (Score:2, Insightful)
I mean even the actual diseases seem to have more self-love than people like you.
Lets get a little more enthusiasm for our species going here, huh?
Uh huh... (Score:2)
Re:Humans are a disease. (Score:5, Insightful)
Re:Humans are a disease. (Score:2, Funny)
http://ned.ucam.org/~sdh31/misc/destroy.html [ucam.org]
Hope it gives you a laugh!
Cheers,
Re:Humans are a disease. (Score:2)
And really, couldn't you pick a better movie to base your world view on?
Re:if this is true... (Score:2, Funny)
Evidence:
1. Lots of executions in Texas.
2. World Trade Center (somehow it is just too convenient).
3. The b.s. war on terror, and Iraq.
4. Delay of 6 days before allowing any aid in.
I seriously doubt he gives a damn about the planet in any way. I think he would like it if more people died.
So there's nothing we can do we are all doomed by the whack job who runs the US government.
Re:Let's march on toward the stone age (Score:2)