Government Report Examines Alternative Energy Research 50
coondoggie points us to a NetworkWorld story about the Government Accountability Office's report on the state of advanced energy technology. The report notes that despite continued funding [PDF], U.S. reliance on oil has only dropped from 93% to 85% since 1973. It goes on to evaluate how the most prominent fields of research have developed in that time period, and where they are likely to go in the future.
85% of a growing amount (Score:5, Insightful)
While the relative reliance on oil may have dropped 7 percentage points in that time, the total amount of oil consumed has grown by leaps and bounds. So while we have surely benefitted from the difference of what would have been and what actually is, it would be a mistake to assume that we are anywhere near weaned from oil. You could argue that based on the total volume of oil consumed that we are actually far more dependent on oil than we ever were.
It is a good trend, however, and I hope that in the next 25 years that we can reduce that number by another 10%.
Fossil fuels != oil (Score:5, Informative)
Come on the US energy consumption is not 85% oil it is not even half of that. Note that the article correctly state fossil fuel, the summary translated to 'oil' incorrectly. I guess 'oil' makes a better headline.
Wikipedia numbers for 2005 [wikipedia.org]:
in 2005, it was estimated that 40% of the nation's energy came from petroleum, 23% from coal, and 23% from natural gas. The remaining 14% was supplied by nuclear power, hydroelectric dams, and miscellaneous renewable energy sources.
Re:Fossil fuels != oil (Score:5, Informative)
While there are certainly positive geo-political ramifications of reducing our reliance on oil, there is also a significant benefit in reducing fossil fuel usage on the whole. The environmental damage done due to fossil fuel extraction and combustion can be decreased. Likewise, since fossil fuels are a non-renewable resource (in our lifetimes, at least), we cannot continue to see that line grow forever. We must be focused on becoming more reliant on renewable energy sources.
Like any monopoly, having one source of energy as our primary source means that we lose flexibility if and when we are forced to consider other options. It is better to take the hit early (like Iceland) and reap the benefits down the road than to wait until the last minute and energy prices have climbed to astronomical levels.
Re: (Score:2)
Re: (Score:2)
Re: (Score:2)
Re: (Score:2)
It misses a few things that are pretty much important. Until the late 90's we had tight controls on the oil futures and the ability to hedge again inflation with it. These controls were left over from the Carter era price controls and probably was one of the few things that kept oil prices some
Re: (Score:2)
Re: (Score:2)
Second, oil is subject to the same market forces. Unfortunately, as I pointed out, futures trad
Re: (Score:2)
Re: (Score:2)
Re: (Score:3, Funny)
Re: (Score:2)
If not, could you help me with a couple of links to more information? or is this just the comedy of Lewis Black pulling the figure up? Cause the parent didn't seem to be joking or laughing.
Re: (Score:2)
Oh, and the biggest factor for current high oil prices is the weak dollar. In 2003, the Euro was worth barely more than a dollar. Now it's worth over $1.50. The same sort of thing has happened around the world; the dollar is a weaker currency now than it was. Since oil is traded in dollars and since the US is only 1/5th of world consumption, this raises the price of oil. Oil would probably be some
Re: (Score:1)
Re: (Score:2)
Energy usage != Electricity usage
Try this one [wikimedia.org], small though it is.
Re: (Score:3, Interesting)
If I have a way to generate electricity cleanly and it costs $1/kWh, while coal is $0.08/kWh, almost nobody will adopt.
Re: (Score:2)
First, We need a gasoline supplement if we are expecting to get off oil or fossil fuels for basic transportation or portable power needs. It will take something like 25-50 years to replace a new car by the time it gets sold to the less rich people and
Re:85% of a growing amount (Score:4, Interesting)
http://www.sierraclub.org/globalwarming/cleancars/cafe/briefing_book.pdf [sierraclub.org]
This document shows that American fleet-average fuel economy peaked in 1987 and has declined about ten percent since, despite improvements in fuel consumption technology.
Seriously, with a correct oil price, America should presently have a 24 MPG fleet-average, a 10% improvement over two decades, not something hovering around 20 MPG after a 10% decline.
The difference would offset the 20% of the fuel supply we are now frantically replacing with ethanol, without having to actually make any ethanol.
I think the answer was pretty simple: allow the price of oil to slowly creep upward until the fleet-average fuel economy was tracking a 1 MPG/decade improvement curve. At some price, people will think twice about buying that SUV they don't really need. In my mind, that price would have been a good price, as it would have corresponded with sensible consumption choices.
The whole thing could have been rather slow, steady, and painless, but no, apparently catastrophism is the American way.
Re: (Score:1)
Re: (Score:2)
Re: (Score:2)
Wolfowitz, the lead architect of Bush's Iraq policy, would disagree with you. [guardian.co.uk] While the article originally misreported him as saying that the Iraq war "was about oil", what he actually said still had the same effect: we went to war with Iraq, and not with North Korea, because Iraq's oil wealth meant that we couldn't use economic l
Re: (Score:2)
So, your premise is that a neoconservative cabinet official's opinions about the impact of foreign policy is supposed to be the "gold standard" in reliability?
One of the *lead architects of the war* said that the reason we went to war had to do with oil wealth, and you *still* don't believe that we did? What on Earth will convince you -- Bush showing up at your house and signing an affadavit in front of a notary?
Okay, bad exam
Re: (Score:2)
Re: (Score:1)
Of course, supply and demand. Big disaster = big demand for a fix (and higher prices can be charged for delivering it)
We're not really unconcerned with global warming etc, we're just waiting until it's so desperate that billions can be made in the creation of underground cities or whatever 3rd late last ditch solution might work once desperation has reached its peak (and sensibility has been tossed out the window).
Remember that a few idiots DID saran wrap t
Re: (Score:2)
You can copy, but you can't. (Score:2, Interesting)
Here is an example of how corrupt the U.S. government can be. It is a quote from the end of the document: "This is a work of the U.S. government and is not subject to copyright protection in the United States. It may be reproduced and distributed in its entirety without further permission from GAO. However, because this work may contain copyrighted images or other m
Re:You can copy, but you can't. (Score:4, Informative)
You can't know what parts are copyrighted? (Score:2)
To me, that's government craziness.
Re: (Score:3, Informative)
I am fine with what they have.
It's not about money. (Score:2)
don't tell anyone (Score:3, Informative)
But Willie Nelson had the biggest effect by making biodiesel popular http://www.biowillieusa.com/ [biowillieusa.com]
Re: (Score:2)
Re: (Score:2)
I didn't read the whole site, but I fail to see anything on it that is worse the biodiesel.org. If they can build a brand and push it to national chains, here is one thing that would be a big boost for BioDiesel:
BioWillie® meets or exceeds national ASTM fuel quality standards
One thing keeping big users of diesel from switching is that you roll the dice every time you buy from an unknown supplier.
Some of the alternative/green pushes really don't make sense to me. Why push ethanol and hope to r
Re: (Score:2)
Re: (Score:2)
I'm sure there are plenty of people making biodiesel to ASTM standards. There are also a lot of people brewing it in their garage. BioWillie biodiesel is the first one that I have seen guaranteeing it. I think that guarantee is what is needed to push biodiesel. Either from a single brand like BioWillie or a number of brands with similar guarantees. It needs to be available at every Pilot and Flying J across the
$57.5 billion figure may be misleading in two ways (Score:2)
1. I would bet that a substantial portion of the money was spent on corn Ethanol subsidies, which (as has been debated endlessly) are not among the more efficient ways to generate a renewable fuel alternative to petroleum.
2. As of 2000, the US used 98 quadrillion BTU in total energy, or the equivalent of 784 billion gallons of
The screw-up is the priorities (Score:3, Interesting)
And of course, deep geo-thermal has the potential to account for about 20-40% of all of America's energy. Combine with solar, wind, water, and nukes, and we can kick all the carbon out. All within 10 years.
Re: (Score:2)
Ausra [ausra.com] doesn't say much about how they plan on doing it, but they claim they can store heat energy for use when the sun isn't shining.
I'd say government research on storing thermal energy is worthwhile, but frankly, it seems like the private sector is doing that research already.
-- Should you believe authority without question?
Re: (Score:2)
BTW, they are simply going to store thermal in salt. A number of companies are proposing it. In fact, it is a great idea. I personally think that we should create distributed thermal storage systems. It would allow us to handle SO many issues. But energy stor
Mis LABELED AGAIN (Score:3, Interesting)
Evolution of tranportation (Score:1)