Rising Sea Levels Uncover Japanese War Dead In Marshall Islands 182
An anonymous reader writes "The foreign minister of the Marshall Islands says that, 'even the dead are affected' by climate change. From the article: 'Speaking at UN climate talks in Bonn, the Island's foreign minister said that high tides had exposed one grave with 26 dead. The minister said the bones were most likely those of Japanese troops. Driven by global warming, waters in this part of the Pacific have risen faster than the global average. With a high point just two metres above the waters, the Marshall Islands are one of the most vulnerable locations to changes in sea level.'"
Dead Marshes, yes, yes, that is their name. (Score:5, Funny)
Those are most probably Koreans or Taiwanese (Score:3, Interesting)
Most of the Japanese troops stationed in the Marshall Islands back in WW II were mostly from Taiwan and Korea as most of the Japanese troops were deployed in China
Faster than the global average? (Score:3)
How can the water level on earth rise faster in some places than in others? I would expect water to rise uniformly on the surface of a sphere (egg).
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How can the wind be stronger in some parts of the Earth's atmosphere than in others? I would expect the air to move uniformly on the surface of a sphere (egg).
Re:Faster than the global average? (Score:4, Informative)
There are other forces involved.. currents, water densities due to fresh water inflows, tides, topography, etc.. I do not personally understand these forces involved, I am just listing out what I think could be factors... but for instance the pacific side of the panama canal is widely known to be 8 inches higher than the atlantic side. (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Panama_Canal)
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One of those other factors is gravity. For instance the sea level around Antarctica is some 15 to 20 feet higher than it would otherwise be because of the gravitational attraction of the Antarctic ice sheet and some 5 feet higher around Greenland because of the gravitational attraction of its ice sheet. So paradoxically the relative sea level around those big ice sheets will drop compared to the rest of the world as they melt.
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There's nothing wrong with asking why something happens. Your original answer wasn't at all helpful, and "it just does, shut up" is even worse.
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There's nothing wrong with asking why something happens.
So, If we were in a thread about new medical procedures that affect HIV transmission, and somebody asked why the simpler, common sense, Cabbage Patch theory of Child Origins was being ignored in favor of the S.E.X thory those silly scientists propose, there would be no reason to be dismissive? If I thought somebody asking that sort of question actually meant it, I'd try to give them an honest answer*, but why shouldn't I assume they are not really hone
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"There's nothing wrong with asking why something happens."
There is nothing wrong with asking in good faith. However, it is possible to ask a question in bad faith as a way of making a stipulation that has not been supported by evidence. This is known in journalism as "telling a question".
For example, here is a slight modification of a classic: "Why did you stop beating your wife?" It carries with it the stipulation that the questioned person has been beating his wife. Any subsequent discussion is implicitly
Re:Faster than the global average? (Score:5, Funny)
I just want to point out that many people learn at an early age that the Panama canal uses locks to raise and lower ships passing through, and that these are absolutely necessary because the sea levels on the two ends are different.
WTF? You make this statement in a post where you're trying to make someone else seem uneducated and unknowledgeable? The sea levels on the two ends are not different. They are the same. The locks are there because the water in the canal comes from rivers that feed into it and the canal is not at sea level the whole way across-- it rises to cross the terrain. Incoming river water fills the locks to raise the ships and it is released when the locks are drained to lower the ships.
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Re:Faster than the global average? (Score:5, Informative)
Since all you've got is a sarcastic reply that doesn't actually address the question, I'll help.
Water pressure only causes perfect leveling to human eyes, but as the transmission distance of that pressure increases, the effects of random interference, and natural obstacles becomes the dominant ones. This manifests most discernably in the relatively huge sea level differences between the pacific side the Panama canal and the Atlantic side.
Now as to what mechanisms allow changes to be different, instead of just static value, it gets a little bit beyond my comprehension as to the exact mechanisms, but I believe it might have to do with where thermal expansion occurs(the deepest parts of the ocean most) and where land ice is melting to.
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Thank you for your informative reply. I understand the situation a little better now.
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This manifests most discernably in the relatively huge sea level differences between the pacific side the Panama canal and the Atlantic side.
Now as to what mechanisms allow changes to be different, instead of just static value, it gets a little bit beyond my comprehension as to the exact mechanisms, but I believe it might have to do with where thermal expansion occurs(the deepest parts of the ocean most) and where land ice is melting to.
There is a sea level difference between the Eastern Pacific and the Western Pacific. My understanding is that just the flow of the wind across the water causes it to be deeper in the Eastern Pacific than the Western. You don't even need continental mass between the two ends to cause a difference in level.
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I would also add that the Moon is a factor. Its gravity is the reason for the tides: and with so much of the Earth's surface covered by water, it is reasonable that whatever ocean is facing the Moon at any given time will have a higher water level (tide) than the oceans not facing the Moon.
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whatever ocean is facing the Moon at any given time will have a higher water level
The Moon creates two tidal bulges, one facing the Moon and one on the opposite side. Google "gravity gradient" for an explanation. (To put it in a very oversimplified way, the Moon's gravity is strongest on the side toward it, weakest on the opposite side, and intermediate at the center of the Earth.)
The Sun also creates a pair of bulges. It has much more mass than the Moon, but it's also a lot farther away, so the solar tides are about half as big as the lunar tides. In the course of about a day we get f
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This manifests most discernably in the relatively huge sea level differences between the pacific side the Panama canal and the Atlantic side.
There isn't a "huge" difference. It's a matter of a few inches (eight I think on average). It's mostly as a result of wind and current pushing the water up on the Pacific side as the prevailing winds there blow onshore on the Pacific side and offshore on the Atlantic side.
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The sea level differences are explainable in terms of fluid dynamics, but that does nothing to explain how adding water to the global ocean could raise the sea level by more in one area than another (Except on an inappropriately short timescal
Re:Faster than the global average? (Score:4, Informative)
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Because the earth isn't a perfect sphere or egg shape. It bulges in the middle, but it doesn't bulge evenly.
That was why the earth wobbles on its axis.
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So, the problem isn't global warming or whatever. The Earth is just getting fat, spinning is more of a strain than before so it's getting hotter, just like a fat guy jogging.
Stop feeding the Earth junk food! Go green!
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Because the earth isn't a perfect sphere or egg shape. It bulges in the middle, but it doesn't bulge evenly.
I'm not sure that this matter of simple geometry has any effect other than determining ocean depths, sea coast shapes and continent elevations. The issue here is the relative altitude of actual sea level with respect to the perfect geoid. The shape of Earth's solid body and the mass distribution inside it determine the geoid, but the question here was related to the fact why isn't the ocean surface following the geoid in all places in exactly the same way (beyond the fact that simply adding more water does
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Ocean currents and Prevailing winds push water around but,
the Marshal Islands (not realy Islands but coral atolls) are really unlikely to have graves washed away because the sea-level ros
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If the rate of SLR in the Marshall Islands was 12 mm/year from 1993 to 2009 that's a total of 204 mm or 8 inches in the 17 year period.
Re: Faster than the global average? (Score:2)
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Well, I was just doing the math. But if you go look at the actual tide gauge for Kwajalein [noaa.gov] in the Marshalls it show nearly 6 inches of sea level rise since 1990.
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What, the Kwajalein tide gauge? It's empirical data. What makes you think it's BS?
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It would indeed, if the sphere consisted of a solid, perfect sphere surrounded by water, not rotating, and not subject to the external gravitational fields of the Sun and Moon. However it meets none of those conditions: it has continents and two pairs of tidal bulges, so the water moves in a dynamic and extremely complex fashion. Remember: it's a huge mass of complex shape moving back and forth over thousands of miles.
If you could just take away the continents, and you stuck a giant dipstick in the bottom,
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How can the water level on earth rise faster in some places than in others? I would expect water to rise uniformly on the surface of a sphere (egg).
The same way the Atlantic Ocean on one side of the Panama Canal is a different height than the Pacific Ocean on the other side.
And the amount it has actually risen in the Marshalls is roughly about 3". Even then, attributing this to "Climate Change" is a bit of a leap. Even though water has risen there "more than the global average", that's really not saying much since the global average is something like 1/4" over the last century. (Roughly... I don't remember the exact figure.) It is actually lower in
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Quoting 3" for the Marshalls makes it clear that Jane is talking about the total sea level rise, not the annual rise. Total global av
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So by projection only, without researching actual historical data this Sunday evening, I concede that 3" may be a reasonable figure.
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So instead of researching actual historical data by simply clicking on the link I provided, you ignored the uncertainties on 4 years of data and project a highly uncertain shor
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I think this is the perfect example to show as proof, even to someone with a low I.Q. Physical proof doesn't need scientific demonstration.
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I think this is the perfect example to show as proof, even to someone with a low I.Q. Physical proof doesn't need scientific demonstration.
Except the fact that the Panama Canal goes over a hill and the tides are probably enough to cause a difference in sea level on either side of the Isthmus.
Wind is probably a better example for someone with a low IQ, for the high IQ people here probably nothing will work as they're convinced of their superiour intellect and not open to learning.
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The Pamama Canal would need locks whether the sea levels were the same or not because Lago Gatun / Rio Chagres (which makes up most of the canal route) is at an even higher elevation.
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The panama canal has locks mostly because the ships have to be lifted and dropped 85 feet, the tides would be more of a problem because they would be of opposing phase i.e. when pacific side is low the atlantic side is high, the typical sealevel difference of 8 inches would have a challenging current of about 6 MPH but it wouldn't be insurmountable.
Are these the first in 70 years? (Score:4, Insightful)
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Not to mention that the difference between high and low tide would be much larger than the increase in average water level.
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Yes, but high tide has consistently been going up as the average does. I don't think that's a particularly meaningful objection.
I'm going to have to research the material on this to be sure, but I believe one of the artifacts of increasing water levels is that the gap between high and low tide gets larger, as more mass is available to be pulled on by the moon.
Re:Are these the first in 70 years? (Score:5, Insightful)
Since, from TFA, water levels have risen just bit more than seven inches, it's probably safe to say that the high-tide has increased a similar amount.
I fail to see the relationship.
By the by, have you ever noticed that when a weather event supports AGW, it's caused by AGW, but when one doesn't, it's "just weather". Hint: most of the weather events we've been seeing were just weather events, not proof-positive of AGW, nor proof-positive of !AGW....
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7 inches per 60 tears is only a little bit less than the worldwide average of coastal sea level changes(of 2-3 feet per century), so no your counter-argument isn't really rational as we're not over-localizing the phenomenon. Sorry.
People buried soldiers in WWII imagining sea level as a constant thing, and evidence bears out that this isn't true.
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7 inches per 60 tears is only a little bit less than the worldwide average of coastal sea level changes(of 2-3 feet per century)
By at least a factor of two.
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"have you ever noticed that when a weather event supports AGW, it's caused by AGW, but when one doesn't, it's "just weather"."
Actually no, I have never once seen anyone make a scientific argument that a single weather event represents a long term AGW trend. Care to cite some examples?
I have seen people shoot their mouths off in eitheir direction while supplying no basis, or make joke where an analysis is not expected, and as such I find them to be equally dismissible.
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Actually no, I have never once seen anyone make a scientific argument that a single weather event represents a long term AGW trend.
Impossible. Such arguments are by definition not scientific arguments.
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Probably true. After all, in most deserts it's practically undetectable.
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On the other hand, most desserts are fairly delectable.
How much have the seas risen? (Score:5, Insightful)
... I thought total it was couple centimeters.... which shouldn't be enough to uncover anything but sand crabs...
Are we sure this isn't erosion? Because that seems far more likely then sea levels changing.
Re:How much have the seas risen? (Score:5, Insightful)
Well, it's a bit like stairs. It's really important to make sure each riser is exactly the same, because people going up and down those stairs adapt with remarkable precision to the height of the first few steps they climb. If you took a slow motion picture, you'd see their foot gliding onto each step with a scant millimeter or so to spare. A 2mm difference in all the stairs nobody will notice; a 2mm difference in one stair will trip people up, even though you can't even *see* it.
People build around flood levels the same way. They build right up to what the historical floodline is for the frequency they can tolerate. If they can tolerate one flood every ten years, they'll build right up to to the ten year floodline. But if the sea levels rise 15cm/5.5 inches, as they have since 1945 or so, that spot might be flooded every year. You can easily imagine a gravesite that was stable in its balance between sand deposition and erosion for many years "suddenly" getting washed away, although in truth the line between stable and unstable has been continually creeping up over the decades.
Understand this is not a simple situation; 5 inches of sea level rise doesn't mean suddenly lots of homes are under water everywhere around the world. But it can mean lots of homes are getting flooded in some parts of the world. It depends on local conditions and building practices. Here in Boston, for example, we have two meter tides, and massive variation between spring and neap tides, and with the direction of wind and air pressure, and we've historically built accordingly. 5 inches of sea level rise over half a century has made no noticeable difference *here*. Other places that have very low tidal amplitudes and don't experience large storms with persistent low pressure (e.g., Venice) might find a lot of stuff getting flooded after a 5 inch sea level rise.
Re:How much have the seas risen? (Score:4, Funny)
Well, I know Venice's big problem is that the city is actually sinking into the mud. That's been known for a long time. There are parts of the city that are always a good more then 5 inches under water. You'll see buildings with door ways that are about 4 feet submerged. So I'm a little dubious of that reference.
As to this situation. I'd have to see the thing. I can't take anyone's word for this sort of thing anymore. There's too much "opinion making" going on with people trying to distort the issue to suit their own personal grinding axe.
I could do the same thing... but I won't... I'll just say I'll need to see more to believe a word of it.
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You're right, if I show anything short of blind faith to any report in the media... if I fail to believe utterly any story in the newspaper or in any press release, then I must question the total sum of all human knowledge. /s
You're a fucking moron.
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As to this situation. I'd have to see the thing. I can't take anyone's word for this sort of thing anymore..
That's an admirable thing -- if you actually make the effort. Not believing experts but not being bothered to prove them wrong is not quite as admirable.
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The expert in this case is the media not the scientists. Failing to believe the media because they've lied and misrepresented in the past and failed to offer enough evidence to make me trust them is not in any way dishonorable or foolish.
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On what do you base that claim? Or do you only have baseless insults?
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A 2mm difference in all the stairs nobody will notice; a 2mm difference in one stair will trip people up
There's a scientific term for this sort of assertion: bullshit.
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You can't blame that on global warming though or global sea levels.
You start talking about global warming and now you're talking about global stats. How is the sea going to CONSISTENTLY be higher in one part of the world then another if its all really one giant body of water? That doesn't make any sense.
I think there's a lot of erosion that has always been going on that is often blamed on global warming.
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Most likely what is actually going on here is that the land is sinking. Something which can easily be a local effect.
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That seems much more likely then a significant rise in global sea levels that is only really evident in a couple isolated places.
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The continents are masses of rock that are on average less dense than mantle rock. So, the continents are floating on the mantle rock. Upwelling plumes from the mantle are most often associated with volcanic activity and aren't "lifting the land up" at least in anything approaching a continental area. When ice melts off a continental area, that part of the continent will rebound, floating higher on the mantle rock. Some areas on the periphery of the
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http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Panama_Canal#Water_issues
Do you reckon that fish drink in the Atlantic and pee in the Pacific?
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Okay... but was the pacific always higher then the Atlantic or is this something just just happened in last few years?
I live on the US west coast... we have no problem with flooding from the pacific. We have big beautiful beaches, mild storms, no hurricanes, and days that alternate between foggy and sunny.
None of which is relevant to the central point... but I sort of question whether there is one.
It's called ... subsidance (Score:2)
Some places on the earth naturally accumulate sand/soil from natural processes. In the Marshall Islands, it is a hurricane now and again. The sand/soil naturally subsides (sinks) into the surrounding lower-lying regions, or sometimes because of the pumping out of groundwater. Here's a description made for the southern shore of the U.S.:
http://www.agu.org/report/hurr... [agu.org]
When the next hurricane comes along, the graves of these soldiers will be covered again. Let this "foreign minister" flap about "global warmi
Sea Level Hype (Score:2)
When people exaggerate the effects of global warming, it only provides ammunition for the global warming deniers.
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A more reasonable guess might be around a meter by 2100, plus or minus a half meter. What will happen in 2200 will depend too much on our actions before then to say much.
Re: Sea Level Hype (Score:2)
Example one... (Score:5, Insightful)
Something Smells... (Score:3)
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Here is the tide gauge for Kwajalein [noaa.gov] in the Marshall Islands since about 1945. There is a definite uptick in the past 15 or 20 years.
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Well, there's an opportunity for you to do the research and find out for yourself if you are right. Until you publish I'll take NOAA's word for it. Here is the main page for the Kwajalein gauge to get you started. [noaa.gov] If you dig enough the raw data is available.
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Welcome to the world where people believe scientific papers rather than press releases from coal companies.
Re:that's odd (Score:5, Insightful)
Press releases from coal companies never really consist of "evidence against" though. They're usually just "rhetoric against". And they've discovered that's not really as necessary now that they've managed to instill denying it as a core value of one political party. People will assert counter-factual things because that's far easier than accepting the idea of previously being wrong.
The really dumb thing is we're doing it all to ourselves, and there's not even much of a conspiracy to manipulate us anymore.
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China, not the US is the world's largest producer of CO2 emissions. And it is by a WIDE margin. China's CO2 emissions are almost double the USA's.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_carbon_dioxide_emissions
This does not mean that the USA isn't contributing to the problem. It definitely is.. but even if the US were to drop it's emissions by a Quarter (which is a LOT) it would barely have a 3% impact on worldwide CO2 emissions. I have no way of estimating the impact on the US economy if it were
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I would argue that its not irreverent. If we can prove that large groups of intelligent apes who have been so obstinate in believing facts can be persuaded to listen to facts, that would be a great accomplishment indeed. It would also be nice if we could deal with the effects of climate change without having to deal with the stupid arguments against climate change.
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He's right in that any solution needs to involve China, but that's not a reason to do nothing, and I'm not sure how it counters the idea I presented.
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Google the term "energy density". Hydrocarbons beat any non-nuclear alternative in this department, which is a large part of the reason why they're cheaper than the competition. I can put 14 gallons of gasoline (roughly equivalent to 1.8 billion joules or ~512 kilowatt hours) into my automobile in about one minute. I can't fully charge my cell phone battery (with a paltry capacity of ~10,000 joules) in less than an hour....
I think you just answered your own question.
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Wait! What world is that? I live in Nawth Ca'lina, where Duke Power is king. And coal ash is good for the roses. Where, now that almost all the shallow water wells are contaminated with fuel, chemicals and fertilizers, they're now targeting the deep aquifers with fracking. Yeah, THAT Nawth Ca'lina. And obviously not part of your world at all, alas.
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Duke isn't giving us contaminated water, that's "Freedom Juice".
Re: that's odd (Score:2)
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Welcome to our Slashdot where (some) people think the entire planet can be modeled by a rubber duck, a bathtub, a tray of icecubes and a fifth of cheap vodka.
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Welcome to a world with winds which can pile up whole oceans so one side is higher then the other.
Welcome to a world with different temperatures where parts of the oceans can expand more then other parts.
Welcome to a world with ocean currents where parts of the ocean can be higher then other parts.
Welcome to a world where people post without giving any thought that their simple view of the world might be incomplete.
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The waves would go further up the beach or past the beach and when retreating take some of the sand or soil with them, especially if the ground was not compacted. Its amazing how waves can rearrange the landscape, especially when driven by a big storm.
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I guess 3 mm/year for the last 20 years isn't substantial sea level rise but compare that to less than 0.25 mm/year for the last 3000 years.
Re:Now the rest of the story... (Score:4, Informative)
Dr Murray Ford, from the University of Auckland, has been comparing aerial photographs of the islands taken by the United States military during World War II with photographs taken in the 1970s and in recent years. He found that many islands are getting larger and that the shrinking shoreline along coastal villages has largely been caused by commercial development, building of seawalls and land reclamation.
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The funny part is that it was the other way around when the climate discussions first started here on Slashdot. Then the climate threads would be page after page of dumb skeptic comments. Now the new generation of braindead are alarmist it seems.
The reason I found the article in the Telegraph is because I am biased myself. I dislike any alarmist drama, not just of the climate variation. And since the BBC has a track record when it comes to alarmism I went looking for the other side of the story ;-)