Geoengineered Climate Cooling With Microbubbles 114
Rambo Tribble writes: Scientists from the University of Leeds have proposed that brighter ships' wakes, created by reducing their component bubbles' sizes, could moderately increase the reflectivity of our oceans, which would have a cooling effect on the climate. The technology is touted as being available and simple, but there could be side effects, like wetter conditions in some regions. Still, compared to many speculative geoengineering projects, "The one advantage about this technology — of trying to generate these tiny 'micro-bubbles' — is that the technology does already exist," according to Leeds' Prof Piers Forster.
What percentage... (Score:2)
...what percentage of the earth's oceans are currently ship wake?
One millionth of a percent?
What percentage... (Score:4, Informative)
Not saying I believe the magnitude of the effect, but from the article:
"""The team used a computer model to calculate what would happen if 32,000 large ships - the current estimate of large vessels on the high seas - produced tinier bubbles.
"If we were to successfully put these generators on to these ships, and the ships just went about their normal business, we did find there was potential to reduce the surface temperature by about 0.5C," Prof Forster said"""
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How much would it cost to retrofit 32000 ships?
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How much would it cost to retrofit 32000 ships?
How much it would cost the EPA to mandate the change? Nothing!
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100% of ships in US territorial waters fall under EPA jurisdiction, and a large proportion of those fall under california jurisdiction (and california loves to pass its own laws).
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How much it would cost the EPA to mandate the change? Nothing!
...how many of those ships are US-registered? A quick guess would be way less than 10%, if even that. Hell, much (if not most) US-owned ships are often flagged in Liberia (or some similar country) for tax/inspection/regulation purposes.
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0.5C this year? Next year?
Every year?!?
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0.5C this year? Next year? Every year?!?
It is obvious that they meant the surface temperature would cool by 0.5C one time, and then stabilize and stay 0.5C cooler than it would otherwise be, as long as the system was used. I don't see how you could interpret it any other way.
No year. (Score:3)
They modeled the thing for ALL of the open sea being turned into bubbles.
It's not happening.
Geo-engineering is not the magic bullet.
Nor do we have it, the gun to fire it from, the target to shoot it at and on top of it all we don't know how to shoot the said gun nor on which side of the gun do bullets go in and on which side of it do they come out.
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all will spend a significant amount of time in port.
Efficient ports can turn around a containerized cargo ship in less than 12 hours. They use multiple cranes, and load, unload, and refuel simultaneously. By comparison, the Pacific transit time from Shanghai to Los Angeles is 17 days. So the time in port is only 3%.
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Damn straight! I'm sure none of those marmy smarmy researchers thought about nighttime!
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IIUC, the smaller a bubble is, the longer it lasts. This may have something to do with their calculated result. If so, this sounds pretty good.
Only thing is, I think this needs a bit more research:
What happens to fish, etc. who swim through these bubbles?
Does this change the rate at which gasses diffuse through water?
Does it affect the rate of evaporation? If so, what effect does that have?
Most of these can probably be answered fairly easily, and maybe they already have been. If not, they should be cons
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Half the ships are going to be in the dark at any given time
But even the ship's nighttime travel will be beneficial, as the expect the bubbles to remain for up to 24 hours. Those bubbles laid at midnight will still be doing useful reflecting at noon the next day...
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You'd be surprised [wiley.com] what kind of effect ship wake can have on ocean albedo. You should give that study a read! It's really interesting, even if you're not typically into geophysics.
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Shutting down air traffic after 9/11 had a measurable impact on weather [pbs.org] over CONUS from the lack of contrails in the sky. It isn't unfathomable that ships can also have a measurable level of impact.
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Exactly. So if we want it cooler, we fly more jets. If we want it warmer, less.
BUT - The golden question is always - who decides if it should be warmer or cooler? If you live in the north, you want it warmer. In the south, cooler.
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what is CONUS???
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I've never heard thematic before. Did you make it up?
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It's a government/military term.
ALL OF IT... (Score:3)
http://iagp.ac.uk/sites/defaul... [iagp.ac.uk]
Simulations of solar geoengineering
Increasing the reflectivity of crops
All grassland was made as reflective as possible in the model
Increasing the reflectivity of deserts
The model was altered to act as if all deserts were covered
in highly reflective material
Increasing the reflectivity of the seas
The model was altered to act as if all open sea was covered in micro-bubbles
Increasing the reflectivity of marine clouds
Potentially cloud-altering particles were released over all tropical seas in the model
Forming particles in the stratosphere
Particles were formed in the stratosphere at the equator in the model
Nothing to see here. Move along.
Dropping a giant ice cube into the ocean is still more feasible.
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Oh come on. That statement doesn't stand up to the slightest snifftest.
There are 250M cars in the US which means that you would need to have 365x250M (91 billion!) cars for them to emit as much carbon in one day as one of your ships supposedly does.
Yet road transport still emits 5-6x as much as marit
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quote>Oh come on. That statement doesn't stand up to the slightest snifftest.
You shouldn't breath that black stuff... that's all I meant. Perhaps I exaggerated with orders of magnitude...what of it?
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"Wetter conditions are not overall bad"
Unless it rots your potatos and grain or floods you out...
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people should be careful before they try to tinker with the climate.
People are already tinkering with the climate on a massive scale.
caution, caution, caution.
Every day of "cautious" delay, another 50 million tons of CO2 goes into the atmosphere.
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OK, let's throw caution to the wind. What could we conceivably do right now? How much of that 50 million could we cut tomorrow?
Some geo-engineering could make an immediate impact. For instance, oceanic iron fertilization [wikipedia.org] could remove millions of tons of CO2 per day. Yet we are no longer even researching the idea. The problem is, the people yelling "caution, caution, caution" don't really want to be cautious, they just want to roadblock all research in geo-engineering. The cautious approach would be to explore lots of ideas, so we understand the consequences, and are able to make informed choices in the future.
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we could take down the energy infrastructure. attack refineries, power plants. that would take everything down a notch really quickly.
ATTN FBI I AM NOT SERIOUSLY ADVOCATING THIS I AM JUST POSING AN ARGUMENT
Re:Makes no sense (Score:4, Funny)
Well, here is what we do. We get a bunch of poor people, right? Then you give them water skis and hook them up to the back of the ships. They then water ski behind the ship creating the needed bubbles. Climate change reversed and unemployment drops. A win-win!
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We get a bunch of poor people, right? Then you give them water skis and hook them up to the back of the ships. They then water ski behind the ship creating the needed bubbles.
You've got it the wrong way around. We hook the poor up people in front of the ships. They will then swim and tug the ships through the oceans. Thus, ships won't need to use fossil fuels any more.
Lots of climate changing emissions avoided.
Do you think these are free? (Score:2)
These bubble generators aren't free, sweetie! These things cost money (capital) and, even if they have a payback in lower operating costs, the capital cost will be reflected in shipping rates and be added incrementally to shipped goods which are bought by poor people. It's a way to take pennies from the minimum wage worker and aggregate it into hundreds of millions of dollars for the rich.
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even if they have a payback in lower operating costs, the capital cost will be reflected in shipping rates and be added incrementally to shipped goods
If the savings from lower operating costs are higher than the amortized capital costs, then shipping rates will go down, not up. If they are not, then the ships will NOT install these devices unless someone else pays for them (e.g., taxpayers). In neither case will shipping costs go up.
Cue Don Ho!!!! (Score:3)
https://www.youtube.com/watch?... [youtube.com]
Conspiracy theory in 3...2...1.... (Score:2)
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How else are they going to get the mercury in the fish?
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Unintended Consequences (Score:1)
Even simpler (Score:2)
Drive less. Ban incandescent light bulbs. Recycle more. Eat a little less meat. Turn down the heat. Turn up the AC. All which can be done with existing technology.
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Obviously, air conditioning destroys heat, right? It's not like it moves it from one place to another.
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Duh, turn up the temperature. Or do you not know the difference between the temp going up and down?
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This doesn't actually work unless your ok with all the worlds poor continuing to be poor.
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How so? I do not see a causal link.
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Drive less. Ban incandescent light bulbs. Recycle more. Eat a little less meat. Turn down the heat. Turn up the AC. All which can be done with existing technology.
In order: :-)
1) How? Not possible without fixing public transit.
2) Dead wrong. Historically, every single advance in lighting (cheaper better etc) has led to more lights being on longer.
3) Recycle is the lamest of the 3Rs: "re-use, repurpose, recycle". Try at least to start at the top?
4) Or, eat more Long Pig
5) Maybe, or just stop building noninsulated houses and living in extreme weather locations.
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I have replaced all my halogen down lights , 50w each, with LED lights that use only 5w, and actually provide better light. /kwh here, and each bulb saves 0.045 kwh every hour it is being used.
I typically have 15 on, 4 hours a day.
As a proportion of my overall power usage, my lighting has dropped from about 15% to 1.5%
The LED bulbs will last longer (10,000 hours) than halogens, and pay themselves off in terms of saved electricity, in 2 years.
Electricity is $0.26
it will take 777 hours for it to save it's own
Large ships are some of the biggest polluters (Score:1)
World’s 15 Biggest Ships Create More Pollution Than All The Cars In The World
http://www.industrytap.com/worlds-15-biggest-ships-create-more-pollution-than-all-the-cars-in-the-world/8182
Making a pollution-spewing behemoth slightly cleaner is probably not our best use of time and effort. How about we buy less crap from China so we can mothball a few of these ships?
...the biggest polluters *in some compounds* (Score:4, Interesting)
FTFA,
"these powerplants are some of the most fuel efficient units in the world"
"the 15 largest ships in the world emit as much nitrogen oxide and sulphur oxide as the world’s 760 million cars"
So it's not really the climate-affecting carbon emissions that make these vessels "polluters" but rather that they use a fuel which contains excess sulfur and inefficiently scrub nitrogen-based compounds from the emissions, things that autos don't contend with or do because of regulation. It turns out that instead of 50 million cars, the biggest ship in the world put as much carbon into the atmosphere as about 15000-18000 cars. (109k HP @ super high efficiency vs 100HP in your typical automobile, factored for 280days@24h/dy vs average car at 400h/yr)
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... vs 100HP in your typical automobile,
What the heck do you consider typical? A Trabant?
A subcompact Toyota Yaris is 106 hp. A Nissan Juke, which is smaller than most families can actually use, is 188 hp for the base model, going up to 215 for the upgrade models. A Buick Encore, another tiny SUV, is 138 hp. GMC Terrain, which is actually getting close to the "typical, average" car, is 182 hp for the base model, 301 for the upgraded engine.
Any mid size car or minivan that any family actually can use is going to be at least 180-200 hp, and cou
Re:Large ships are some of the biggest polluters (Score:5, Informative)
World’s 15 Biggest Ships Create More Pollution Than All The Cars In The World
This is nonsense. It is only true for sulfates and nitrates. But sulfates and nitrates are only a concern on land, where they are inhaled, or damage buildings or crops. When emitted by ships, they are funneled to the side where they stay low and quickly settle onto the ocean surface. Since the ocean already contains quadrillions of tons of sulfur and nitrates, this addition is utterly inconsequential.
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The common refrain that the solution to pollution is dilution only works up until the point where you've put out so much pollution that you are actively damaging the entire planet rather than just a small location.
People thought like you in the early part of the 20th century, the solution to the choking smog in the major eastern industrial cities was to put up huge smokestacks that pumped the smoke and soot above the cities where it would migrate hundreds of miles until it descended. It was a great solution
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And sulphur dioxide condenses into an aerosol that counteracts the greenhouse effect. Those large pollution spewing ships are actually saving the planet! Screw hybrid cars and bicycles, everyone should drive a container ship to work!
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Also, to add, they only use these fuels far from coastal waters. For instance, they aren't allowed to use these fuels within 100 or so miles of Los Angeles. Some shipowners have even stopped using the dirtier fuel entirely as a simplification measure.
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So only 10 percent (Score:1)
So, at most, this would help ameliorate 10 percent total of the increase in temps just this decade, which would still result in 25 to 50 percent crop failures?
Great. But stop using fossil fuels. We have cheaper technology already.
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But stop using fossil fuels
Do you know what most fertilizer is made of? Its not shit. Its oil.
I worked at Tek Cominco, idiot.
I know way more about it than you do.
sjeee.... (Score:4, Interesting)
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The climate is already changing, the goal is to reduce the amount of change.
Goal is cooling, not reduction of warming. (Score:1)
The climate is already changing, the goal is to reduce the amount of change.
The problem is the effort is not to reduce the amount, the effort is to send change, however slightly, in a VERY BAD direction.
We already know the Earth will enter a glacial period again. It may even be tending to do so now, we really don't have the understanding of climate to say for sure.
What we do know is that entering a glacial period is something we would vastly rather avoid over any of the climate warming models to date (now
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Runaway warming going to happen? Scientifically relevant source?
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The climate is already changing, the goal is to reduce the amount of change.
The problem is the effort is not to reduce the amount, the effort is to send change, however slightly, in a VERY BAD direction.
We already know the Earth will enter a glacial period again. It may even be tending to do so now, we really don't have the understanding of climate to say for sure.
THIS. Somebody, finally, who fucking GETS IT!
On geological time scales, there is no such thing as a stable climate. We WILL enter another ice age, sometime in the next 1000 years or so. When we do, there will be no chance in hell that earth will support its current population. I'd estimate that Earth's population will be reduced to significantly less than a billion, through starvation, disease, and resource violence. That's over 80% (probably 90% by then) of the world's population that will be wiped ou
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The climate is already changing, the goal is to reduce the amount of change.
The climate has been in constant flux ever since the earth formed from a cloud of dust. The idea that we somehow must be warming the earth with our activity, simply because it's a touch warmer now than it was in 1860 is the worst kind of arrogance.
Bubbles in Mineral Oil cooling (Score:3)
Cheap nanobubbles (Score:2)
There may be secondary benefits of doing this such as oxygenation of the oceans. Nanobubbles can be produced very inexpensively using the technology shown here here: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v... [youtube.com]
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Ask yourself: resist change vice adapt to it? (Score:2)
Even if we humans ill-advisedly bugger around with geo-engineering things we don't understand, there will still be change. So why the drive to resist the change?
The only logical answer is: for money. The people who are profiting from the status quo, want to continue to do so. Another group of people are seeking to profit from the fear mongering.
We should be wondering why there isn't a push to come up with means of adaptation. If sea levels rise, how can we reasonably evacuate lowlands? What is the impa
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got any research to back that up?
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oh gawd, you're not one of those climate apologists, are you?
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Yes, lets fiddle with the environment, these are the same scientist who in the 70's wanted to try and heat the earth because they thought we were all headed to an ice age. Just think if we had let them do that!
We ARE headed into an ice age. Look at the last million years of temperature history of the earth, and you'll see our current warm period is scheduled to end sometime in the next thousand years or so, at the latest.
It's not a question of if we'll get to another ice age, but when. As in, will the people who are alive when the next ice age starts still speak a recognizable version of my language, or will it have changed enough that I wouldn't be able to communicate with them? Yes, we're potentially that cl