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The World Is Not Falling Apart 208

An anonymous reader writes: As much as we like complaining, and as much as the big media stations like to focus on the most horrible news of the day, the world is actually becoming a better place. Stephen Pinker and Andrew Mack have an article in Slate going through many of the statistics for things like homicide rates, child abuse, wars, and even autocracy vs. democracy. They're all trending in the right direction. Maybe not fast, or even fast enough, but it's getting better.

They say, "Too much of our impression of the world comes from a misleading formula of journalistic narration. Reporters give lavish coverage to gun bursts, explosions, and viral videos, oblivious to how representative they are and apparently innocent of the fact that many were contrived as journalist bait. Then come sound bites from "experts" with vested interests in maximizing the impression of mayhem: generals, politicians, security officials, moral activists. The talking heads on cable news filibuster about the event, desperately hoping to avoid dead air. Newspaper columnists instruct their readers on what emotions to feel. There is a better way to understand the world. ... An evidence-based mindset on the state of the world would bring many benefits."
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The World Is Not Falling Apart

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  • by Anonymous Coward on Wednesday December 24, 2014 @08:16AM (#48666211)

    World not falling apart my ass!

    • So funny, it's a pain I cannot contribute to skyrocket your already topped score.
      • by fyngyrz ( 762201 ) on Wednesday December 24, 2014 @01:32PM (#48668047) Homepage Journal

        Yes, some things are improving. But others are not. And to say that the things these people picked define "the world" is nothing more than hubris.

        There are many things that are not improving. Some of them bode extremely poorly for the future. Climate may be one of those (or not... we will see.) Loss of privacy is another. Militarization of police is another. Constitutional erosion is another. A continuously increasing burden of badly crafted and anti-liberty legislation is another. The US justice system is a horror show from one end to the other. We're presently building a mostly unemployable permanent lower class by the continuing and increased implementation of never forgive, never forget social patterns and supporting technology. The vast majority of wealth has become concentrated in the hands of a very few people and corporations, and those same people and corporations have assumed de-facto control of our political system everywhere it does something that matters to them.

        Depending on where you sit in regard to these issues, and others, your world may be sucking harder on an ever-increasing curve.

        The world is what it is. Happy-assed optimism isn't called for outside of your own situation, and only then if that's how you see it.

        • by dryeo ( 100693 ) on Wednesday December 24, 2014 @02:23PM (#48668405)

          How are things compared to aprox. hundred years ago? WWI was in full swing with America about to join, the Constitution was being ignored in many ways, eg people being thrown in jail for distributing pamphlets and the Supreme Court OKing it by comparing free speech to yelling fire in a theatre, wealth was concentrating much like today, the corruption of the government was even more open then now with industrialists openly talking about the Senators they owned. The justice system was probably much worst if you were guilty of being the wrong colour or very poor or pushing for worker rights with jury nullification regularly used to let murderers off. The Prohibition mind set was getting louder and louder which soon led to the militarization of the police and the expanding of federal power.
          Things always seem worse in the present and it is always hard to see how things were in the past.

          • Anyone giving credence to this click bait "debate" being ass's with only two cheeks: Better or worse.

            Some things go up, some things go down....until they don't.

            Some things oscillate with various periods including chaotic ones. (e.g. "morality")

            Some things go from horrific (e.g. Slavery) to slightly less than average (e.g. low wage slavery/poverty) and vice versa.

            Some things have NEVER been acceptable in almost the entirely of recorded human history. (e.g. wealthy elite calling the shots in their favour)

            Some
            • Continuous improvement is what you and many others strive for. It's also what the statistics show. However, this continuous slow improvement over a large period of time (sure: combined with incorrect media coverage) leads to our world view being largely incorrect. I still thought the whole of Africa was one long hopeless story of poverty, starvation, violence and disease. When I saw the actual figures it completely took me by surprise. The world is in many aspects a lot better than we think it is.
              Now ob

          • by fyngyrz ( 762201 )

            Exactly my point. How things "are" is entirely dependent upon what your own challenges and successes are, and whether they are increasing or decreasing.

            Nothing I said in any way denies the advance of technology or the shift of cultural values. My point is, what that means is relative to the individual. Your world view is not mine, and vice-versa. It's just ridiculous for me to say the world is better, or worse, for you. Only you can say that.

            One person will rave about the positive aspects of kids having cel

    • You are not seeing the big picture, putting all those horrible phantasms of web design and UI into one place makes the rest of the world a better place. The city dump makes the city a cleaner and prettier place.

  • Yellow Journalism (Score:5, Insightful)

    by halivar ( 535827 ) <bfelger@gmai l . com> on Wednesday December 24, 2014 @08:17AM (#48666213)

    Sensationalism sells, and nothing is sensational like the end of the world. Ergo, all news is about the end of the world.

    • by rmdingler ( 1955220 ) on Wednesday December 24, 2014 @08:58AM (#48666357) Journal
      That.

      And the powers that be can get away with more shit if they keep the populace worried about security...

      instead of freedoms.

    • The end of the World is happening tonight*. News at 11.

      * if you happen to be living in the year 6945023.

      • The world will be too hot for mammals by 400000, so "end of the world" for higher order creatures coming much sooner.

    • Re:Yellow Journalism (Score:4, Informative)

      by Ravaldy ( 2621787 ) on Wednesday December 24, 2014 @09:42AM (#48666579)

      This is an excellent TED Talk about this very topic.

      http://www.ted.com/talks/hans_... [ted.com]

    • Sensationalism sells

      But on the flipside, everyone also loves videos of kitties, but for some reason the mainstream news is never interested.

      • something about the way the videos are presented. If I catch a random person posting a video, recent from memory of a cat trying to catch fish through the ice of a frozen pond, people would think that is funny. If it was on the 5 o'clock news, they'd think, "People are getting shot and there is rioting and this is what they put on?"

        I don't know why but it seems if it's coming from professionals it should be bad news.

    • by sconeu ( 64226 )

      Sensationalism sells, and nothing is sensational like the end of the world. Ergo, all news is about the end of the world.

      Yet, somehow, I feel fine.

    • It's not just news outlets, it's sensational people as well, and there are a LOT of them, especially on slashdot. For example, how many people routinely claim that the poor are getting poorer and the rich are getting richer?

      Well lets do a little then and now comparison:

      Rich 100 years ago meant you owned an actual car, which was likely a piece of shit that poor people of today would even scoff at. Rich 50 years ago meant you owned more than one television, televisions which look like crap and had tiny screen

      • Case in point:

        http://yro.slashdot.org/commen... [slashdot.org]

        And he actually got modded up too. We don't need the media to feed us this shit, it's just average idiots that do it. This person probably isn't even aware that until about 150 years ago, the Bill of Rights only applied to the federal government; the state governments could do whatever they wanted, including censorship, banning religions, etc. In fact, in the early days of the US, some states didn't allow ANYBODY to vote for the federal government. In New York

  • meta (Score:5, Funny)

    by fche ( 36607 ) on Wednesday December 24, 2014 @08:24AM (#48666243)

    "An evidence-based mindset on the state of the world would bring many benefits."

    Perhaps evidence can be gathered to support that hypothesis.

    • The first place they should apply evidence to write news stories and make policy decisions is the one aspect of the world that has a very high likely hood of causing enormous problems in the next 100 years or so. Every other time the government has stepped in to improve the environment it has been successful and that's why we don't have to worry about acid rain and whats in our drinking water (mostly, outside WV). In addition to crime rates, things are mostly good in the environment...except for the thing t

  • So, why does someone think we needed to be reminded of this?

    It's not like even the news is particularly bad recently - no major wars, famines, etc. Even the Ebola outbreak only managed to do in 7000 people this year - once upon a time, we could expect a famine in Africa that did worse every few years.

    Are we really reaching the point where we consider a few police shootings to be a sign of the end times?

  • The USA is still referred to as a democracy more often than not, but even the ways in which the system is democratic on paper have primarily been subverted. Why should I suspect the situation is any different anywhere else?

  • by scourfish ( 573542 ) <scourfish@yahoCOWo.com minus herbivore> on Wednesday December 24, 2014 @08:48AM (#48666329)
    The big thing that is worse, I think, is economic inequality, and I do think that is something that needs to be worked on. However, the world has less racism, less homophobia, better medicine, cheap and fast global communications, inexpensive computing devices that can perform amazing computations, and put the shoe phone from "Get Smart" to shame,. Not to mention that violent crime and rape are at their lowest level since the 70's. The world is an awesome place now.
    • by invid ( 163714 ) on Wednesday December 24, 2014 @09:09AM (#48666403)
      Economic inequality is just getting back to its historical levels. Starting with the Great Depression, the US government realized it had to do some serious wealth redistribution to avoid societal collapse. Then came World War II, another big wealth redistribution. After the war there was the GI bill and the Cold War, where the United States, in order to look good compared to Communism, tried to build the Great Society. After the Cold War there was no reason for those in power to reduce economic inequality, so now it's going back to the norm for history.
      • by zlives ( 2009072 )

        just be prepared for other historical norms as well then.

      • That's ridiculous. There is more money being taxed and spent now to reduce income inequality than ever before. And the inequality is consistently getting worse. The stupid solutions don't work for anyone except the people cashing in on the administration of these programs. They make society and the country weaker in the long run.
    • by pls2917 ( 97490 )

      This question (as yet unanswered) raises pretty much the same concern about economic inequality:
      http://skeptics.stackexchange.... [stackexchange.com]

      "Is racial income inequality currently in US worse than it was in Apartheid South Africa?"

      Jon Stewart started this, of course, but he's better at raising interesting questions than he is at applying hard journalism to them.

      • That would go to those whining today about 200+ years of past slavery 2 or more generations removed yet completely ignore the fact that it still exists in some countries.
    • I'll propose modifying your "The world is an awesome place now" with "many places in the world are great, but many places are not". It really depends on where you live. We probably won't see it in our lifetimes, but if any luck, our grandchildren or maybe our great grandchildren may see a larger world that's starting to enjoy a lot more what we in the first world currently enjoy. It seems like we're making progress, so I'm hopeful.

      In terms of providing economic improvement, I think it's important not to

    • The big thing that is worse, I think, is economic inequality,

      If everything is getter better in terms of quality of life, and economic inequality is growing, then how can you EI as bad?

      At the very least it's not bad enough to matter.

      • The largest place I see ei playing out is in things in limited quantity.

        Most the population is being priced out of things which used to be generally free or affordable.

        In texas, the beaches were always free but now some stretches are being locked up. On the east coast, large stretches of beach are "private".

        Amusement parks are grossly over crowded but if you have money (5x the standard price), you don't have a line.

        Collectables that used to be affordable if you saved up are now going for more than your ent

    • by T.E.D. ( 34228 )

      However, the world has ... cheap and fast global communications, ...

      That's IMHO the important bit. People inherently need the world around them to be Just. A little understood implication of that is that the better and quicker we are able to communicate with the rest of the world, the more injustice gets exposed. Injustice is like a fungus: too much sunlight and it burns away.

    • by khallow ( 566160 )

      The big thing that is worse, I think, is economic inequality

      Except that this is not true [voxeu.org] either. There was a huge increase in income from about the 10% to 75% (that is, the two thirds of humanity who earned more than the bottom 10% and less than the top 25% over the past twenty years (actually 1988-2008). This has resulted in a considerable decline in global economic inequality despite the wealthiest managing to grow their portion of wealth over that time.

      A few days back, we had a couple of stories about how automation was taking away jobs. It was instructive how

    • The big thing that is worse, I think, is economic inequality

      In the US, yes. *World* economic inequality is falling.

  • Lies & Damn Lies (Score:3, Insightful)

    by Orne ( 144925 ) on Wednesday December 24, 2014 @09:02AM (#48666379) Homepage

    A wise politician one said, "Never let a crisis go to waste". If the public isn't agitated, they won't give up their liberties and control to the government.

    Crime rates are down, yet cops are more militarized than ever. Police shootings are rare. Gun violence is down. College campus sexual assault rates are actually 0.61%. The earth is not warming in 20 years. There is no missing heat in the oceans. Hurricanes and tornado count are at a historical low. Unemployment counting those not looking for work is at a 40 year high. Inflation in food (not counted) is huge, yet commodities (gold / oil) are deflating. College debt is crippling high, but so is general credit card debt.

    If you dig into the numbers behind the "official" numbers, everything is topsy turvy. That's why the public sees doom and gloom - everything they experience is counter to what we are being told, including articles saying "Don't panic".

    • That's why the public sees doom and gloom - everything they experience is counter to what we are being told, including articles saying "Don't panic".

      If only those articles used a large, friendly font for their titles...

    • Crime rates are down, yet cops are more militarized than ever.

      I am not certain, but it's possible that the latter is causing the former.

      • by khallow ( 566160 )
        I would wager that militarization of the police results in more crime. Because a) priorities become screwed up, and b) basic police services become more expensive.
  • The world is huge coupled dynamical system. It is good to see its state is moving in a good direction. However, as with many dynamical system, it is also a highly unstable. The current conditions are quite favorable, no real scarcity of our resources, no serious climate change, no world wars, no major deadly disease outbreaks etc. However, that doesn't mean that we can now lay back and assume that past performance is a good predictor of our future. If you disagree, think about it and tell me, what will happ
  • by Rambo Tribble ( 1273454 ) on Wednesday December 24, 2014 @09:39AM (#48666563) Homepage
    ... are social? Global warming, over-population, every ecosystem on the planet in decline, ravaged fish stocks, depleted soils, widespread environmental contamination, a loss of green spaces, habitat and species, and on, and on don't reflect on the world's condition? Let the rainbows and unicorns run wild!
    • Many of those are in fact due to the behavior of individuals - deciding who gets money and who gets water, food, fuel, space and time. Humans interact on an individual level first, and lots of that gets lost when you believe an entire corporation is functionally (not just for the original narrow purpose of legal liability) is a person. We do not have a food problem on this planet. We have a distribution problem. That means a network isn't working, and that network is at its core made of individuals.
      • " We do not have a food problem on this planet."

        With every ecosystem used to grow that food degraded or collapsing, and with the means of growing and distributing food producing pollutants and expending irreplaceable resources, we do in fact, have a food problem.

    • by khallow ( 566160 )
      Yes, Note that all of those problems are solvable, should we decide they are worth solving.
  • by T.E.D. ( 34228 ) on Wednesday December 24, 2014 @09:41AM (#48666575)

    Its pretty easy to find places where this is clearly not true (eg: Syria). But those are localized places and times. That's like finding a place where entropy seems to be decreasing; you can do that, but that only means elsewhere it increased more. Human society seems to follow Theodore Parker's principle [quoteinvestigator.com]: The moral arc of the universe is long, but it bends toward justice.

    This seems like a good place and time for my favorite Christmas song, written by Longfellow after he'd lost his entire family (wife included) during the Civil War:

    I heard the bells on Christmas day Their old familiar carols play, And wild and sweet the words repeat Of peace on earth, good will to men.

    I thought how, as the day had come, The belfries of all Christendom Had rolled along th'unbroken song Of peace on earth, good will to men.

    And in despair I bowed my head: "There is no peace on earth," I said, "For hate is strong and mocks the song Of peace on earth, good will to men."

    Then pealed the bells more loud and deep: "God is not dead, nor doth he sleep; The wrong shall fail, the right prevail, With peace on earth, good will to men."

    Till, ringing, singing, on its way, The world revolved from night to day, A voice, a chime, a chant sublime, Of peace on earth, good will to men!

    • written by Longfellow after he'd lost his entire family (wife included) during the Civil War:

      Someone seems to have embellished the tale a bit. Longfellow did not lose his entire faimly in the Civil War. The poem was written after his eldest son Charles was wounded, not killed, in battle; he wouldn't die until 1893, eleven years after his father. His wife was burned to death in a household accident in 1861. He wrote a different poem about that death, "The Cross of Snow", eighteen years later.

  • As I type our galaxy is spiraling into a super massive black hole. It is way past the year two thousand, and we are way behind schedule building intergalactic arks to escape this calamity. We don't even have moon bases, foot prints on Mars, or even personal robotic assistants. Hell, we are still burning fossil fuels and wiping with paper. How is this not the world falling apart?

  • by Charliemopps ( 1157495 ) on Wednesday December 24, 2014 @10:06AM (#48666685)

    Slashdots just as guilty of this as anywhere else...

    A month or two ago I was getting modded troll left and right for suggesting that Ebola wasn't about to ravage North America and kill millions of people.

  • The media are not getting any more sensational than they used to be. Just rip open your local turn-of-the-century (e.g. 114 years ago) newspaper archives. They used to report on *everything*.

  • The music was probably just getting good on the Titanic as the band warmed up for the evening. There are still nuclear weapons and touchy world leaders in charge of them. Ebola may yet achieve full destructive power, particularly if a terrorist or two decide to self-infect and take a trip to New York City, Moscow or Saudi. Despite the recent developments in oil, "peak oil" or rather gradual hydrocarbon depletion and rising costs is going to bite us very hard in the next 50 years, like it or not. The world e

  • by Curlsman ( 1041022 ) on Wednesday December 24, 2014 @10:23AM (#48666785)

    Aaron Sorkin, The Newsroom, and the greatest country in the world

    For all the later melodramatic histrionics that did not work, Aaron Srokin hit this subject in the opening of The Newsroom, where just ignoring the evidence for ratings doesn't do anybody any kind of justice.

    Transcript and comments from Sorkin:
      http://www.gq.com/entertainmen... [gq.com]

    "Fine. [to the liberal panelist] Sharon, the NEA is a loser. Yeah, it accounts for a penny out of our paychecks, but he [gesturing to the conservative panelist] gets to hit you with it anytime he wants. It doesn't cost money, it costs votes. It costs airtime and column inches. You know why people don't like liberals? Because they lose. If liberals are so fuckin' smart, how come they lose so GODDAM ALWAYS!
    And [to the conservative panelist] with a straight face, you're going to tell students that America's so star spangled awesome that we're the only ones in the world who have freedom? Canada has freedom, Japan has freedom, the UK, France, Italy, Germany, Spain, Australia, Belgium has freedom. Two hundred seven sovereign states in the world, like 180 of them have freedom.

    And you, sorority girl, yeah, just in case you accidentally wander into a voting booth one day, there are some things you should know, and one of them is that there is absolutely no evidence to support the statement that we're the greatest country in the world. We're seventh in literacy, twenty seventh in math, twenty second in science, forty ninth in life expectancy, 178th in infant mortality, third in median household income, number four in labor force, and number four in exports. We lead the world in only three categories: number of incarcerated citizens per capita, number of adults who believe angels are real, and defense spending, where we spend more than the next twenty six countries combined, twenty five of whom are allies. None of this is the fault of a 20 year old college student, but you, nonetheless, are without a doubt, a member of the WORST period GENERATION period EVER period, so when you ask what makes us the greatest country in the world, I don't know what the fuck you're talking about?! Yosemite?!!!

    We sure used to be. We stood up for what was right! We fought for moral reasons, we passed and struck down laws for moral reasons. We waged wars on poverty, not poor people. We sacrificed, we cared about our neighbors, we put our money where our mouths were, and we never beat our chest. We built great big things, made ungodly technological advances, explored the universe, cured diseases, and cultivated the world's greatest artists and the world's greatest economy. We reached for the stars, and we acted like men. We aspired to intelligence; we didn't belittle it; it didn't make us feel inferior. We didn't identify ourselves by who we voted for in the last election, and we didn't scare so easy. And we were able to be all these things and do all these things because we were informed. By great men, men who were revered. The first step in solving any problem is recognizing there is one, America is not the greatest country in the world anymore."

  • by RogueWarrior65 ( 678876 ) on Wednesday December 24, 2014 @10:46AM (#48666905)

    Or at least the 24-hour news cycle did when they covered the girl in the well story endlessly. To make matters worse, social media is enabling bogus memes to spread like kudzu. There's an important phrase that people should be taught and that is "Totality of the circumstances." What this means is that these bogus memes are almost always one-sided counting on the gullibility of the viewer to accept it as fact without knowing that there are circumstances and facts that happened which are conveniently skipped lest they burst the bubble of the narrative.

  • I doubt that the information we are getting is misleading so much as we were less aware of how much awful was happening in the world. The world may be getting better, but what that actually means is that if we knew as much about world X years ago, it would be horrifying in comparison.
  • All this proves is that it's been falling apart for a long time. It still is just a little slower.
  • as eckhart tolle once said when asked about whether the world is getting better/awakening or spiraling down into darkness... the answer is 'both'. so on the one hand, while the descent is very real and significant, it seems that a growing number (massive number i think in fact) are (being shocked sometimes into) waking up to the truer nature of things, and real-eyes-ing that there is far more going on than what see-an-end (cnn) talks about. love is coming.

    but for it to find us, we need to take responsibi
  • Well, the world is getting better in the sense that Pinker and Mack thought the world was falling apart and are now better informed like everyone else was all along.

As you will see, I told them, in no uncertain terms, to see Figure one. -- Dave "First Strike" Pare

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