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China, Europe Drive Shift To Electric Cars as US Lags (reuters.com) 468

Electric cars will pick up critical momentum in 2017, many in the auto industry believe - just not in North America. Tighter emissions rules in China and Europe leave global carmakers and some consumers with little choice but to embrace plug-in vehicles, fuelling an investment surge, said industry executives gathered in Detroit this past week for the city's annual auto show. From a report: "Car electrification is an irreversible trend," said Jacques Aschenbroich, chief executive of auto supplier Valeo, which has expanded sales by 50 percent in five years with a focus on electric, hybrid, connected and self-driving cars. In Europe, green cars benefit increasingly from subsidies, tax breaks and other perks, while combustion engines face mounting penalties including driving and parking restrictions. China, struggling with catastrophic pollution levels in major cities, is aggressively pushing plug-in vehicles. Its carrot-and-stick approach combines tens of billions in investment and research funding with subsidies, and regulations designed to discourage driving fossil-fueled cars in big cities. The road ahead for electric vehicles (EVs) in the United States, however, could have more hairpin curves.
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China, Europe Drive Shift To Electric Cars as US Lags

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  • by spiritplumber ( 1944222 ) on Monday January 16, 2017 @03:50PM (#53678491) Homepage
    Don't worry, Trump will introduce tax rebates for muscle cars in order to secure a market.
  • Batteries (Score:4, Insightful)

    by backslashdot ( 95548 ) on Monday January 16, 2017 @03:57PM (#53678543)

    We still don't have batteries! I'm serious I forgot to buy some at Safeway the other day.

    No well seriously, we don't have batteries that can enable us to replace gasoline. We need to improve capacity at least 4x, if not 10x.

    Some say the answer is Lithium-Air batteries .. but then hardly anyone is doing any research on order-of-magnitude battery technology improvement .. let alone Lithium Air. Whoever is doing research on new battery concept has virtually no funding. The ones getting slight funding are the people working on incremental updates.

    We need companies like Tesla, Google, Apple, Samsung, Panasonic to get serious in funding a foundation or institute that researches advanced battery concepts. Battery research funding budget should be in the billions not thousand.

    • Tesla pointed out (from market research) that the main barrier to electric cars isn't range, range is already good enough for many people, but cost. So Tesla is working to get the cost down, not to extend the range. Range extension will come later, I guess.
      • Re:Batteries (Score:5, Insightful)

        by green1 ( 322787 ) on Monday January 16, 2017 @05:56PM (#53679387)

        Tesla is somewhat wrong on this. The main barrier is PERCEPTION of range.

        Everyone thinks they need to drive 10,000 miles on a charge. Nobody actually does. Current range of a Tesla is plenty (assuming there's supercharger coverage in the direction you want to go). Unfortunately, until you actually drive one, you won't believe me. I didn't believe me until I bought one.

        When I bought my Tesla, I assumed we'd have to take my wife's car on any long road trips. I was wrong. We take the Tesla on all the road trips because it's more convenient, and more comfortable. I just didn't believe that road-tripping in an EV would be practical.

        I think the only way to fix this perception problem is over time as more people have these vehicles and share their own experiences with others, and as more and more charging stations are rolled out.

  • I laso believe that "Car electrification is an irreversible trend".

    So then why give hefty tax breaks to the 1% for buying electric cars today, rather than simply waiting for ten years when it makes sense that all cars are electric? You really aren't going to push the development that much faster than it would happen anyway.

    Same is true for solar power and other alternative forms of energy. They are coming, they will dominate - just let that happen rather than trying to pick an exact winning form of that te

    • by MightyMartian ( 840721 ) on Monday January 16, 2017 @04:12PM (#53678679) Journal

      That's only logical if there isn't some other reason to switch from fossil fuels. As it turns out, the overwhelming majority of experts in atmospheric and oceanic sciences happen to have a reason why we should encourage the transition to vehicles powered renewables sooner rather than later.

    • That tax break is not for the 1% but for middle class people who could not afford an electric car without it, or wouldn't otherwise want to spend the full amount on such a vehicle. That in turn has made the market for electric cars an attractive one, where it is economically viable to design, manufacture and sell EVs in larger numbers. With the market (and infrastructure) for EVs reaching a certain critical mass, there's a huge incentive to research technologies to further drive down prices and/or increas
    • by Xest ( 935314 )

      The problem is that the fossil fuel industry is the most heavily subsidised industry going. A nuclear plant for example is always going to be made to be responsible for complete costs of waste disposal, and yet fossil fuel plants, and cars are allowed to just spew their waste into the environment at no cost.

      If you were to make the fossil fuel industry pay it's actual costs - i.e. impact on people's health for example, rather than expect people to subsidise them by paying for their own health issues caused b

  • Population density (Score:2, Informative)

    by Pezbian ( 1641885 )

    There's a large portion of the USA that isn't very densely-packed. We can't exactly visit several countries on a single tank of gas. Or four times as many people in the same amount of land area.

    You just don't have to drive as far to get where you need to be. And that's what electric cars are great for.

    • by MightyMartian ( 840721 ) on Monday January 16, 2017 @04:13PM (#53678697) Journal

      I posted the links above. The US's urbanization is largely the same as Europe's larger countries, and in fact, China hasn't even reached 60% urbanization yet. The only real exceptions are relatively small countries like Belgium and Luxembourg. Heck, Germany has a higher rural population per capita than the US.

    • by Kokuyo ( 549451 )

      So you need to replace ALL gas driven vehicles before you get a benefit?

      A lot of US landmass may be sparsely populated but if even 30% of the people living in cities and the surrounding suburbs drove electric, I think the impact on on pollution would be measurable.

      Full electric doesn't make sense for everybody. However, it's nice to see that the technology is getting within reach of those for whom it does make sense.

  • by holophrastic ( 221104 ) on Monday January 16, 2017 @04:23PM (#53678759)

    I don't understand people. I can't drive to the middle of a mountain range, and charge an electric car. There's no electric grid there. I can easily fill up on fuel wherever a fuel truck can drop some off -- which is basically the very same places that my car can go.

    North America is very different than Europe. Paris and London are how many hours away? A European train can take you through ten countries in a single day. In North America, you'd be lucky to hit five major cities in 24 hours of driving.

    There's a lot more middle-of-nowhere around here. It's not about electric vs gasolene. It's about portable fuel vs transmission-over-infrastructure. We don't have any infrastructure -- that's why we have roads to get between places.

    • Re: (Score:3, Insightful)

      Average commute times in the US are 25.4 minutes [wnyc.org]. Just how many people do you think your scenario cover as a percentage of the population of the United States?

      • Forget daily-commute-to-work times. Think road-trip, vacation, drive-to-parents, drive-to-children, thanksgiving, skiing, apple-picking, outlet-mall. I drive to friends, weekly, more than 100km away. I drive to wine-country five times annually.

        • Re: (Score:3, Insightful)

          So what you're saying is that transportation and energy use policies should be based upon a pretty infrequent set of scenarios. With that logic, why not build thirty lane highways to wine country, or fuck it, have a helicopter standing by?

          • That's actually the real point. Transmitting electricity is horribly inefficient, compared to transporting portable fuel. The energy required to send a car 500 kilometers is approximately 50 litres of gasolene. Transporting 50 litres of gasolene to a fuel station by truck costs no more than the truck expense, and the truck's fuel expense, and the road wear and tear. And the larger the truck, the less it costs per litre.

            But for the electricity, not only is there transmission loss, but there's also repeat

    • I don't understand people. I can't drive to the middle of a mountain range, and charge an electric car. There's no electric grid there. I can easily fill up on fuel wherever a fuel truck can drop some off

      That's not a very common use case.
      If it were, the mountains would be full of people.

  • I would love to live in the future but I have to deal with the present.

    Also betting that none of these electric cars from Europe or China are anything remotely close to something I would want to use regardless of how it's powered.

  • They are busy building out new battery manufacturing.
    OTOH, GM, Chrysler, and Ford are basically too stupid for words to actually build new battery facilities. They instead look at how to manipulate their stock prices and do not care about real long-term profits.
    Thankfully, companies like Tesla and Rivian will really destroy the American companies and end up buying them.
  • It'd be nice for these self-proclaimed globalist elites to latch on to something that isn't an obvious failure. I mean, a quick back-of-the-envelope will tell you that an IC engine burning gasoline wins in just about every utility metric you can come up for a personal automobile (buses and trucks are a whole other matter). Yet they're declared the Wave of The Future (TM) by the Davos set.

    I would love it if these knuckleheads chained themselves to something real, like roads, bridges, power lines, or any on
    • by green1 ( 322787 )

      As someone who drives an EV, it is better in every single way than my previous internal combustion vehicles. EVERY way.

      EVs will win eventually with or without government intervention (which, by the way, I'm against) because they are far superior to internal combustion vehicles.

      The EV is more powerful, more comfortable, has better driving performance, less maintenance. The Internal combustion vehicle has... an established user base, and more fuelling stations.

      So really the ONLY advantage an internal combusti

  • ...I need to see faster charging, longer range, and better battery management.

    I have wanted an electric vehicle for some time. Almost bought a Volt when then Gen II came out, but the thing is a small 2+2. With me at 6'4" (190cm) and my two 6' tall teenagers, there's no way to fit in the vehicle. (I had the same issue in my Jetta TDI.) Recently bought a Malibu hybrid, which contains the Voltec engine albeit with a much smaller battery. At least I can fit by young boys, though still can't take four passengers comfortably, like in my Avalanche.

    Now - if an electric can have the midsize of my 2006 Avalanche and the range (500+ miles) with the ability to recharge in 10 minutes, and the guarantee that the battery won't be sitting in a landfill after losing charge ability in five years, I'm sold.
  • by magamiako1 ( 1026318 ) on Tuesday January 17, 2017 @08:57AM (#53682265)
    I am reading lots of arguments where people go "Well what about THIS random edge case? and THAT one?" You won't win against these people. These are the same people who willingly drop $20,000 on a new truck because they might get 2 inches of snow in the winter, rather than simply $1,000 on a set of good winter tires and wheels. Or $20,000 on a truck because there is the rare occasion they may need to haul something, rather than renting a truck from the local Home Depot or UHaul for a hundred bucks or two.

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