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Earth Technology

World's Largest Plant Survey Reveals Alarming Extinction Rate (nature.com) 95

The world's seed-bearing plants have been disappearing at a rate of nearly 3 species a year since 1900 -- which is up to 500 times higher than would be expected as a result of natural forces alone, according to the largest survey yet of plant extinctions. From a report: The project looked at more than 330,000 species and found that plants on islands and in the tropics were the most likely to be declared extinct. Trees, shrubs and other woody perennials had the highest probability of disappearing regardless of where they were located. The results were published on 10 June in Nature Ecology & Evolution. The study provides valuable hard evidence that will help with conservation efforts, says Stuart Pimm, a conservation scientist at Duke University in Durham, North Carolina. The survey included more plant species by an order of magnitude than any other study, he says. "Its results are enormously significant."

The work stems from a database compiled by botanist Rafael Govaerts at the Royal Botanic Gardens, Kew, in London. Govaerts started the database in 1988 to track the status of every known plant species. As part of that project, he mined the scientific literature and created a list of seed-bearing plant species that were ruled extinct, and noted which species scientists had deemed to be extinct but were later rediscovered. In 2015, Govaerts teamed up with plant evolutionary biologist Aelys Humphreys at Stockholm University in Sweden and others to analyse the data. They compared extinction rates across different regions and characteristics such as whether the plants were annuals that regrow from seed each year or perennials that endure year after year. The researchers found that about 1,234 species had been reported extinct since the publication of Carl Linnaeus's compendium of plant species, Species Plantarum, in 1753. But more than half of those species were either rediscovered or reclassified as another living species, meaning 571 are still presumed extinct.

A map of plant extinctions produced by the team shows that flora in areas of high biodiversity and burgeoning human populations, such as Madagascar, the Brazilian rainforests, India and South Africa, are most at risk. Humphreys says that the rates of extinction in the tropics is beyond what researchers expect, even when they account for the increased diversity of species in those habitats. And islands are particularly sensitive because they are likely to contain species found nowhere else in the world and are especially susceptible to environmental changes, says Humphreys.

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World's Largest Plant Survey Reveals Alarming Extinction Rate

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  • by phantomfive ( 622387 ) on Monday June 10, 2019 @04:55PM (#58741390) Journal

    "[The scientist recalled] his own hunt through Cameroon to gather species of yellow-flowering begonias for DNA sequencing. De Vos visited several sites where records indicated that other researchers had collected the plants in decades past. But sometimes he would arrive at a site only to find a radically changed landscape."

    • by CODiNE ( 27417 )

      It's basically the opening scene from the movie arachnophobia, but a lot less exciting.

      • Sounds more exciting to me though :)
      • But that's the best part. I don't think anyone wants the excitement of the opening scene from Arachnophobia to happen to them. I'll take uneventful trip to collect flower specimens over "I just became a spider's dinner." any day.

    • This can't be - it can't be pristine 3rd world countries where extinction happens, it has to be our evil US nation...
  • So, homo sapiens sapiens is not considered "natural"? Why not? We're just another mammal, a bit more successful than most....
    • by SuricouRaven ( 1897204 ) on Monday June 10, 2019 @05:29PM (#58741624)

      Humans are as natural as an meteor collision, and have similar impact.

      • Humans are as natural as an meteor collision.

        So, completely natural.

        Of course, what would it even mean for something to be unnatural?

    • So, homo sapiens sapiens is not considered "natural"? Why not? We're just another mammal, a bit more successful than most....

      It is entirely possible to be too successful (and as a result, too arrogant) for your own good.

    • by Sumus Semper Una ( 4203225 ) on Monday June 10, 2019 @05:50PM (#58741740)

      So, homo sapiens sapiens is not considered "natural"?

      The species is. Its tools and their effects are not considered natural, no.

      Why not?

      Because, by definition, anything created by human beings is artificial. Artificial and natural are mutually exclusive terms. If your question is, "why not call things made by human beings natural and do away with the word 'artificial,'" well that's because it's very useful to be able to distinguish between the categories. They have very different properties. If I tell you I have an artificial leg, you can be 100% certain it is not the leg I was born with. That would have been my natural leg.

      Or take how it is used in the summary: "The world's seed-bearing plants have been disappearing at a rate of nearly 3 species a year since 1900 -- which is up to 500 times higher than would be expected as a result of natural forces alone." Because we know the definition of natural, this is clearly stipulating that without human intervention we would expect to see a 500 times lower rate of seed-bearing plants disappearing. You can argue whether you think that is true or whether it matters or whether it's a good thing or a bad thing, but arguing that humans are doing it *and* it's natural completely ignores the definition of the word.

    • So, homo sapiens sapiens is not considered "natural"? Why not?

      It's a useful distinction to make between things that we, as a species, have control over and are responsible for vs. things that occur without any human intervention. Unlike the rest of nature we are self-aware and capable of making far more complex and reasoned decisions than any other creature. Since we can do this, by some argument, we could be said to be "unnatural" because nature has never seen anything like us. Let's hope we can use that capability to make some intelligent decisions.

    • by Livius ( 318358 )

      Humans are not in balance with the rest of the ecosystem.

      That's not at all unusual for a new species. Homo sapiens is not that old, and there are many environments where humans have lived only a few hundred or a few thousand years. So that part is not unnatural exactly, but humans' impact is disproportionate compared to any other species, and the biosphere may be very severely out of balance until there is a correction.

      So human impact is not completely novel but it is a special case.

  • Humans like to catalog and keep everything in a zoo, but mother nature purges the weak.

    Smells like FUD

    • Re: (Score:3, Insightful)

      by DogDude ( 805747 )
      Humans like to catalog and keep everything in a zoo, but mother nature purges the weak.

      The scientists who do this kind of work (myself included) are aware of the rate of speciation, thanks.
    • by Freischutz ( 4776131 ) on Monday June 10, 2019 @05:32PM (#58741646)

      Humans like to catalog and keep everything in a zoo, but mother nature purges the weak.

      Smells like FUD

      Mother Nature purges the stupid as well, creatures like upright walking hairless primates who don't understand what the wholesale destruction of biodiversity really means.

      • Even from a purely self interested standpoint, not considering the intrinsic value that IMO we should assign to the earth's biodiversity, there's no way of knowing what interesting and potentially useful quirks of biodiversity we are losing, and what things we could develop from those species or learn from them. I know for certain that a lot of crop wild relatives, the wild ancestors and related species of food crops, are also at risk. When they are lost, so too are their valuable genes for pest & pat
    • by greythax ( 880837 ) on Monday June 10, 2019 @05:32PM (#58741648)

      Sure, species take 10s of thousands of years to differentiate into their niches, thrive there happily for 10s of thousands of more, and then die off within 100 years of us figuring out how to drill oil. Nothing to see here, move along.

  • by hdyoung ( 5182939 ) on Monday June 10, 2019 @05:43PM (#58741700)
    This won't make us extinct, but the world will wind up very different and probably not nearly as nice as it is now. Centuries from now, historians will document that scientists understood we were clearly causing the mass extinction, but humanity as a whole was unable to summon the will and organization to mitigate it. Translation: our animal instincts to consume every available resource as fast as possible overrode our ability to plan ahead.
    • by vix86 ( 592763 )

      Centuries from now, historians will document that scientists understood we were clearly causing the mass extinction, but humanity as a whole was unable to summon the will and organization to mitigate it.

      Ya, probably all while they're gutting other planets in other star systems for raw materials for a Dyson swarm.

  • After further analysis, encoded in the extinction events was a note: "So long, and thanks for all the manure."

  • Since there is no historical data to compare it to, it is hard to tell what to make of this
  • A few months ago, we were told that a study in Puerto Rico showed an "alarming rate of extinction" of insects and frogs. Problem is, the study was wrong [pnas.org]. So how about some independent eyes on this one first (not just "peer reviewed" which means essentially nothing these days), before we go all hyper OMGTHEWORLDISENDING! on it...

    Also curious why the editors here didn't post that paper showing things aren't that bad? Maybe because they want to sell the gloom-and-doom scenario because - angst sells?

    • by Tyler Durden ( 136036 ) on Monday June 10, 2019 @09:44PM (#58742838)
      The authors reply to your linked article that claims that theirs was wrong here [pnas.org]. As you are so convinced they have been proven wrong, can you give your detailed analysis as to how you became so sure?

      It should also be noted that it is only a portion of a much larger article that addresses the extinctions of insect species found here [elsevier.com].
    • by cats-paw ( 34890 )

      So maybe in this particular instance there is a problem.

      On the other hand I'm really skeptical of the disingenuos "omg- so alarmist!" attitude.

      there's 7 billion people on the planet. We've shown over and over again our inclination to destroy things. we have destroyed vast areas of wilderness and wild habitat. Look how little of the US constitutes areas as set asides, and the fucking Republicans are trying to drive back on that.

      we continue to destroy, destroy, destroy, and most of the time it's for the almi

  • I like that the article is not overly dramatizing the issue, and a 500-fold increase is troubling, but frankly I'm amazed that it's as low as 3 species per year, even considering that that's limited to just seed-bearing plants.

  • Is there also a report that shows how many new species have been found in the same period? Or do we only care about the ones we've already catalogued and then lost?

I have hardly ever known a mathematician who was capable of reasoning. -- Plato

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