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The $20B Plan To Power Singapore With Australian Solar (theguardian.com) 127

The desert outside Tennant Creek, deep in the Northern Territory, is not the most obvious place to build and transmit Singapore's future electricity supply. Though few in the southern states are yet to take notice, a group of Australian developers are betting that will change. From a report: If they are right, it could have far-reaching consequences for Australia's energy industry and what the country sells to the world. Known as Sun Cable, it is promised to be the world's largest solar farm. If developed as planned, a 10-gigawatt-capacity array of panels will be spread across 15,000 hectares and be backed by battery storage to ensure it can supply power around the clock. Overhead transmission lines will send electricity to Darwin and plug into the NT grid. But the bulk would be exported via a high-voltage direct-current submarine cable snaking through the Indonesian archipelago to Singapore. The developers say it will be able to provide one-fifth of the island city-state's electricity needs, replacing its increasingly expensive gas-fired power.

After 18 months in development, the $20bn Sun Cable development had a quiet coming out party in the Top End three weeks ago at a series of events held to highlight the NT's solar potential. The idea has been embraced by the NT government and attracted the attention of the software billionaire Mike Cannon-Brookes, who is considering involvement through his Grok Ventures private investment firm. The NT plan follows a similarly ambitious proposal for the Pilbara, where another group of developers are working on an even bigger wind and solar hybrid plant to power local industry and develop a green hydrogen manufacturing hub. On Friday, project developer Andrew Dickson announced the scale of the proposed Asian Renewable Energy Hub had grown by more than a third, from 11GW to 15GW. "To our knowledge, it's the largest wind-solar hybrid in the world," he says.

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The $20B Plan To Power Singapore With Australian Solar

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  • by Arzaboa ( 2804779 ) on Wednesday July 17, 2019 @03:15PM (#58941484)

    The next logical step is to put solar panels into LEO (Low Earth Orbit ~200 miles up) and beam electricity to folks on the ground.

    --
    The present is theirs; the future, for which I really worked, is mine.-- Nikola Tesla

    • Obviously. Just like building Space Factories is the next logical step to building factories here on Earth.

    • Don't beam. Charge batteries and drop them from orbit for use on the ground.
      • Don't beam. Charge batteries and drop them from orbit for use on the ground.

        That's a great idea, once we're mining asteroids, and manufacturing things in space. But we'll want to do both, so we can recharge the batteries on earth, instead of having to send them back to space.

      • Don't beam. Charge batteries and drop them from orbit for use on the ground.

        Just so we are clear, would we be dropping these on friendly territory or unfriendly territory?
        I recall seeing a similar concept before.
        https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/... [wikipedia.org]

      • by MrKaos ( 858439 )

        Don't beam. Charge batteries and drop them from orbit for use on the ground.

        Just to be sure!

    • by Joe_Dragon ( 2206452 ) on Wednesday July 17, 2019 @03:43PM (#58941618)

      Microwave power is fine when NO disasters is on
      Or wait for 2050 for Fusion power

      • Microwave power is fine when NO disasters is on
        Or wait for 2050 for Fusion power

        Can we wait that long? Is fusion power assured to come then? Doesn't it require some actual research and development to happen? Who will fund this research and development, and who will get the funding? What should we do until 2050 and we have fusion power? Sit on our thumbs?

        I have an idea. Since this will take 30 years it will be worth our time to do something productive until then, big things. Build some nuclear, hydro, and wind power for our electricity, since those have very nice returns on investment. As we replace coal and natural gas with wind, hydro, and nuclear this will free up natural gas as a transportation fuel. Given that a typical automobile rarely lives to see their 30th year in use this is a 30% reduction of CO2 from transportation over that time. Electric cars are nice too but natural gas can be a replacement for fuel on long haul trucking and ocean crossing ships. Replacing aviation fuel will not be so easy due to size and weight constraints, so synthesized fuels should be considered. Synthesized fuel technology will be directly applicable to fusion power so such an investment will be worth it on the long term, and potentially allow for a synthesized replacement for natural gas for vehicles, heating, and other uses too.

        Perhaps not an ideal solution but better than doing nothing while we wait for fusion to come, if we ever get it to work at all.

        • by AmiMoJo ( 196126 )

          Nuclear is a money pit, Singapore doesn't have room for hydro, but they could do a lot with offshore wind.

          • Nuclear is a money pit

            I don't believe you.

            they could do a lot with offshore wind.

            Offshore wind is a money pit. Don't believe me? Here's something I found with a few seconds on Google.
            https://www.iea.org/Textbase/n... [iea.org]

            There's probably more recent studies, so if you can find something to show offshore wind being cheaper than nuclear in or near Singapore then I'd like to see it.

            • by AmiMoJo ( 196126 )

              Besides, where would Singapore put a new nuclear plant, and where would they get the fuel, and where would they dispose of it? Nuclear is really, really unsuitable for Singapore.

              Even by your numbers, which are way higher than the current cost in Europe for some reason (Trump trying to support coal?), that would still be affordable electricity by Singapore standards.

              • by ghoul ( 157158 )

                "where would Singapore put a new nuclear plant" Where Singapore puts all its utilities - Malaysia. Singapore's water and sewage treatment is already located in Johor Baru.
                Singapore is small but it has a big backyard called Malaysia and an Airforce ten times the size of Malaysia to keep Malaysia in line.

              • Besides, where would Singapore put a new nuclear plant, and where would they get the fuel, and where would they dispose of it?

                You have to ask this in a comment thread about Singapore running an underwater power cable to Australia?

                Australia produces about 10% of the world's uranium.
                https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/... [wikipedia.org]

                And they have plenty of known reserves.
                https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/... [wikipedia.org]

                Even by your numbers, which are way higher than the current cost in Europe for some reason (Trump trying to support coal?), that would still be affordable electricity by Singapore standards.

                How is that an argument? Cheaper is better, is it not?

          • by rtb61 ( 674572 )

            Singapore has no room in the global economy in the future. That kind of transport and trade hub will die and should already have done so through computerisation of trade and shipping movements. Better organisation with less wasted energy in pointless moves in trade hubs, with cargo transitions handled in many ports to suit shipping efficiency and avoiding wasted trip to a twentieth century trade hub concept. Big investments targeted Singapore and probably targeting the previous centuries economy.

            • Yes, but there is also Indonesia that they are going through to get to Singapore, and Malaysia just north of Singapore. 300 M people primed for some rapid economic development. So a big potential market for electricity.

            • by ghoul ( 157158 )

              Actually till we have replicators, goods still need to move physically and geography dictates most ships will pass through the Straits. And basic graph theory states that the best point to transship is where the maximum edges are coming into a node. You can run your fancy simulations and the answer they will spit out is transship in Singapore. Geography doesnt change or in other words "Location,Location,Location"

        • With No Disasters on

          It seems as though you missed the reference to Sim City.

          Great comment otherwise. Just don't believe that the OP really believes fusion will be here by 2050. That was game time, nothing to do with reality. :)

    • The next logical step is to put solar panels into LEO (Low Earth Orbit ~200 miles up) and beam electricity to folks on the ground.

      We've [wikipedia.org] been pushing this since at least the mid 1970s.

      • And no one has done it for 50 years because it is an incredibly dumb idea. Just build solar farms here on Earth instead of wanting to build everything in Spaaaaaace.

        • by jaa101 ( 627731 )

          Where on earth do they have sun 24/7? That's what you have in geosynchronous orbit, except for a couple of months a year when it's 23/7. It's just a race to see whether battery prices go down faster than launch costs. Right now it's hard to predict because both are undergoing rapid technological change.

        • And no one has done it for 50 years because it is an incredibly dumb idea.

          No one has done it for 50 years because for most of that time NASA was the only game in town. You had to convince them that it was a good idea for them to spend their budget on - or convince congersscritters it was enough in THEIR interest to put pressure on them.

          As I understand it, at one point, early on, NASA DID do a study on one of the proposed designs. It was an orbital flash-boiler steam-turbine design on the generation side.

    • The next logical step is to put solar panels into LEO (Low Earth Orbit ~200 miles up) and beam electricity to folks on the ground.

      It's logical to put them where drag will deorbit them?

      Solar power satellites go in GEO, not LEO.

    • by hey! ( 33014 )

      Actually, I think Musk's long game with Tesla is providing power to the grid from intermittent renewable sources. He aims to be, not Henry the Ford of the 21st Century, but the John D. Rockefeller. That's why he got all pissy when Trump pulled the US out of the Paris accords.

      • by blindseer ( 891256 ) <blindseer@noSPAm.earthlink.net> on Wednesday July 17, 2019 @06:54PM (#58942622)

        I'd bet that Elon Musk would get pissed if he saw the largest market in the world decided to tear up a treaty that demanded more solar power.

        Elon Musk also has a pet peeve about space based solar power, he will exclaim loudly that space based solar is a bad idea.
        https://www.popularmechanics.c... [popularmechanics.com]

        One thing we learned today: While Musk loves electric cars and spaceflight, there's one thing he hates: space solar power. "You'd have to convert photon to electron to photon back to electron. What's the conversion rate?" he says, getting riled up for the first time during his talk. "Stab that bloody thing in the heart!"

        He doesn't react well to bad ideas. Hey, everyone's got a pet peeve.

        He studied economics and physics in university, and was in a PhD energy physics program before dropping out to go into business. I'd think he knows what he's talking about.

        Here's someone that did the math for everyone.
        https://dothemath.ucsd.edu/201... [ucsd.edu]

        If someone believes that the math does in fact work out in favor of space based solar then I'd expect a lot of people would like to see it, including me.

    • Like the idea. I can only think of a few problems with it being in LEO.

      First, having these in LEO means they will also need some sort of propulsion system to keep them there or they'll need to be replaced fairly regularly. Second, you will need a constellation of them as objects in LEO move pretty fast in relationship the Earth, meaning that you could only get electricity from one satellite for a few minutes at the top. Third, of course, is that the satellite will end up behind the planet and completely

    • by jaa101 ( 627731 )

      The next logical step is to put solar panels into LEO

      LEO is not a good place because it only has sunlight not much more than half the time. Also, those solar arrays are going to be huge and things in LEO are going to fall down eventually, if they aren't destroyed by collisions with the thousands of other LEO satellites. And, most obviously of all, you can't beam the power down from LEO without ground stations all around the world.

      GEO is the place for in-orbit solar where the sun shines 24/7 (23/7 for a few days around the equinoxes) and you can beam down to

    • When the beam 'slips' it also helps with overpopulation.

    • You mean continuously along your ground track?

    • Ground based solar is much cheaper, even with the cost of batteries.
  • by OzPeter ( 195038 ) on Wednesday July 17, 2019 @04:14PM (#58941788)

    *this* is a cable!

  • by Anonymous Coward

    The technology of solar PV currently has an energy return on energy invested (EROEI) ratio below 5. Adding batteries lowers this even more. A modern society requires EROEI above 7 to sustain itself.
    Citation:
    http://euanmearns.com/eroei-for-beginners/

    Maybe someone could argue about the specific numbers but there is little to dispute on the ranking of various energy sources. Here's a few other sources for numbers:
    https://www.world-nuclear.org/information-library/energy-and-the-environment/energy-analysis-of

    • Re:Doomed to fail (Score:4, Insightful)

      by StevenMaurer ( 115071 ) on Wednesday July 17, 2019 @05:28PM (#58942154) Homepage

      Just for shits and giggles, I read your "for beginners" blog post, and noted in the incredibly microscopic text, that the Solar Panel costs, efficiency, and useful lifetime, assumptions being built for this metric, are based off of "Cleveland, et. al, 1984".

      There have been significant improvements to the qualify, scale, reliability, and lowered materials cost since 1984. This is reflected in PV panel pricing, which is now considerably lower than many fossil fuels.

      These investors are not stupid. They would not be pushing this project if it did not pencil out.

      • Just for shits and giggles, I read your "for beginners" blog post, and noted in the incredibly microscopic text, that the Solar Panel costs, efficiency, and useful lifetime, assumptions being built for this metric, are based off of "Cleveland, et. al, 1984".

        There have been significant improvements to the qualify, scale, reliability, and lowered materials cost since 1984. This is reflected in PV panel pricing, which is now considerably lower than many fossil fuels.

        The link from World Nuclear is kept up to date.
        https://www.world-nuclear.org/... [world-nuclear.org]

        The fact that it's on a nuclear power advocacy site shouldn't scare everyone off, they cite their sources and they are far more current than 1984. If you don't like their numbers then I propose finding other sources, and maybe even sending World Nuclear a note to update their website.

        These investors are not stupid. They would not be pushing this project if it did not pencil out.

        I expect that they are not stupid either, only desperate. An EROEI of 5 to 15 from solar might seem terrible compared to the 20+ that can be had

        • The fact that it's on a nuclear power advocacy site shouldn't scare everyone off

          In this case it should certainly scare some people off. Advocacy organizations aren't always untrustworthy: some of them have a cause, come up with a plan of action, and advocate for that action. This is fine. Consumers Reports is against the Sprint / T-Mobile merger, for example, on the grounds that it will limit consumer choice. Their motives are not suspect and reading their take on the topic is unlikely to be misleading, even though they can't be described as unbiased.

          For other advocacy groups, the p

  • by Required Snark ( 1702878 ) on Wednesday July 17, 2019 @05:01PM (#58942002)
    There have been studies about solar power from North Africa being sent to the European grid. If this works with Australia/Singapore then it will also happen in Europe. It would also demonstrate that the US could count on solar power for a much larger share of it's energy production.

    Nice to see the US falling further and further behind in technological innovation because entrenched interests like coal and oil frackers are in control of our national policy. Owning the government is a great investment up to the point where your beachfront villa is destroyed by rising sea levels.

    • What is this, a beachfront villa for ants?

    • Owning the government is a great investment up to the point where your beachfront villa is destroyed by rising sea levels.

      Oh, don't worry about that. When it happens, the government will pay you back the value of your lost property.

    • There have been studies about solar power from North Africa being sent to the European grid.

      Yes, such studies have been done. Dr. David MacKay did a talk on this.
      https://www.ted.com/talks/davi... [ted.com]

      He published a paper and website on it.
      https://www.withouthotair.com/ [withouthotair.com]

      What he intentionally left out was what conclusion one should draw from it. As he was suffering from cancer he made his own opinion quite clear.
      https://www.theguardian.com/en... [theguardian.com]

      This data from Dr. MacKay is getting old, and he's not here any more to update himself, so it may need someone to update it to reflect the actual numbers for today but the conclusion should still be the same for most any nation. That conclusion being, unless you have a hot and sunny climate there will be a need for fossil fuels (with carbon sequestration) and/or nuclear power.

      • by AmiMoJo ( 196126 )

        From your Guardian article:

        Prof MacKay argued that solar, wind and biomass energy would require too much land, huge battery back-ups and cost too much to be a viable option for the UK.

        Too much space? Does he have any idea how much space we have? Offshore wind resources in the UK's exclusive economic area could power the entire country 20x over by conservative estimates.

        And in North Africa... Turning vast tracts of desert into solar farms would be doing them a big favour, as it would also help stop the spread of those deserts.

        Then be brings out the old battery backup chestnut. Aside from the fact that you don't even need any for wind, just some smoothing capacit

    • by dog77 ( 1005249 )
      Congress should take Trump up on his proposal of a solar powered wall on the Southern border. Trump said he was serious about it. Why can't the country compromise and get this done? Is having open borders more important to the Democrats than a large solar power project?

      And here is a link to a more thought out version of this: https://www.theatlantic.com/sc... [theatlantic.com]
  • The Australian continental plate slides under the Pacific plate just north of Australia.

    There is a 2km deep trench just off the coast of Indonesia that would need to be crossed - not a trivial technical matter.

  • by jaa101 ( 627731 ) on Wednesday July 17, 2019 @06:16PM (#58942470)

    10-gigawatt-capacity array of panels [...] backed by battery storage to ensure it can supply power around the clock

    That's going to be some battery. Australia installed what was the world's biggest battery not long ago; it's specs are around 100MW and 100MWhr. On the face of it, the battery for this new project would need to have 100 times the power and well over 1000 times the capacity. I wonder if they've checked the cost of using solar thermal instead because that way they can store the energy as heat instead of needing batteries.

    Another issue is the reliability of the cable feed. A feature of underwater cables is that it can take months to fix faults. They'll need to run multiple cables (probably required anyway just for capacity reasons) with enough capacity to run with at least one cable out at any time. They also need to run them via diverse routes since undersea earthquakes can take out cables.

    • by jrumney ( 197329 )
      It's probably going to be thousands of smaller batteries, not a single large one. The solar array will be spread out over a large area, so they aren't going to be short of space for putting batteries around the place, and it will probably make much more sense to have a small group of solar cells with their own battery rather than trying to handle the current required to charge one big battery from all the cells at once. If the area is large enough, sunrise and sunset times and cloud cover are going to dif
      • by jaa101 ( 627731 ) on Wednesday July 17, 2019 @10:14PM (#58943502)

        It's probably going to be thousands of smaller batteries, not a single large one.

        The word battery just means many units grouped together, so many batteries working together is still just one battery. Originally the term came from using many cannon to batter down a fortification but, when the electrolytic cell was invented, the word was applied to groups of cells connected together to achieve a higher voltage. That's why common 9V batteries really are batteries, with six cells inside, but individual AAs are only cells and, strictly speaking, not batteries at all.

        If you look at the details of the 100MW battery [abc.net.au] you can see it's already many cabinets clustered together, with each cabinet no doubt containing multiple smaller units inside. Yes, it would make sense to have multiple clusters spread amongst the solar panels rather than a single cluster if you needed 1000 of these, but it's still just a single battery.

        If the area is large enough, sunrise and sunset times and cloud cover are going to differ across the array

        15,000 hectares is only 150 square kilometres, like a square 12km on a side. It's not nearly big enough to have a substantial variance in sunrise and sunset times.

        • Even assuming it is a 12km X 12km square, the difference between keeping each solar cell generating as long as possible and switching the whole array over to battery power at once works out as up to 80MWh at every sunrise and sunset. Multiple batteries makes a lot more sense.
    • by AmiMoJo ( 196126 )

      I think this is some BS made up by the journalist who didn't understand what the battery is for. Looking at the Sun Cable web site it mentions a battery, but not the claim that it will provide 24/7 power. More likely it's just for output smoothing.

  • Overhead power lines to Darwin? really? that seems insane given the cyclones that hit that area. I can only assume they must also be running some underground cables to reach the ocean cables otherwise this supply could well be dictated by the Top Ends weather.
    • > that seems insane given the cyclones that hit that area

      Can't speak for cyclones, but we've had 5 instances of "100 year winds" in the last 10 years here in Canada. Good thing climate change turned out to be a Chinese hoax!

      I mention this because Canada is also home to two of the largest and most critical overhead lines - the Manitoba Bipole and the James Bay Project. They both deliver many GW of power on the same order as this project over thousands of km out in the open. The former has been damaged by

  • by ihaveamo ( 989662 ) on Wednesday July 17, 2019 @09:46PM (#58943386)
    ...in the form of Coal. As countries close up shop with coal, Australia is INCREASING it's coal output enormously, mostly for India. The lastest mega-coal-mine , ADANI , is in the paper all the time. There's protests, Daily anti-Adani mass rallys in capitals cities at peak hours, shutting down commutes. Google it.
  • Why not just charge batteries and ship them. Ship back the empty batteries. Ships which used to ship coal can be repurposed instead of spending on an underwater power cable which can get affected by natural disasters.

    • Or if someone feels hot and wants a/c in singapore, why not fly him to australia and let him cool down there and ship him back?
      • by ghoul ( 157158 )

        Batteries have comparable energy storage densities to Crude oil and we ship Crude all the time. A typical tank of gas lasts 400 miles. In a similar space we are able to store 300 miles of range in today's electric cars. So about 75% energy density. If Singapore wants clean fuel and also disaster proof power a 25% penalty is not too high and battery tech is getting better all the time. If you put in a fixed cable the sunk costs means you wont upgrade for at least 20 years. Also this way the ships which used

        • Batteries have comparable energy storage densities to Crude oil and we ship Crude all the time.

          In what universe is this true? Maybe if the batteries are ground to a powder and burned in pure oxygen they will get something close to crude oil densities. But then after that I'm not so sure what is shipped back will be all that useful for a recharge.

          A typical tank of gas lasts 400 miles. In a similar space we are able to store 300 miles of range in today's electric cars. So about 75% energy density.

          Is that the entire car you are talking about? Look up the mass of the battery compared to the mass of the fuel. You will see that the battery will weigh about 1200 pounds and the gasoline about 120 pounds. You do know that gasoline will float on water, d

          • by ghoul ( 157158 )

            For Shipping volume is generally the constraint not mass as due to the low friction of water does not take too much acceleration to move the ship. Almost anything will float on water if there is enough air space and any modern ship has a lot of airspace inside.

            I would go even one step further - retrofit Oil tankers with large banks of batteries. Charge them on the Australian coast and then sail to Singapore and hook up to the grid. Once almost discharged sail back

            Also the ship themselves can run on electric

      • by ghoul ( 157158 )

        And Oh BTW. Cool down and Australia in the same sentence?

  • $20 billion for a project with 10 GWp production. That's $2/Wp *all in* for the panels, **storage and delivery**

    That makes it, by far, the cheapest large-scale (>1 GW) power source, ever. Hydro is around $1, but that does not include transmission. NG co-gen is a little cheaper, but again, that does not include either the transmission nor the (relatively cheap, admittedly) piping to get the fuel to the plant.

    This is Australia, which does tend to be sunny, but if these prices can be replicated elsewhere th

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