Rector Says There Is a 50% Chance That Notre Dame Cathedral Will Not Be Saved (apnews.com) 157
McGruber quotes the Associated Press:
The rector of Notre Dame Cathedral says the Paris landmark is still so fragile that there's a "50% chance" the structure might not be saved, because scaffolding installed before this year's fire is threatening the vaults of the Gothic monument... "Today it is not out of danger," he told The Associated Press on the sidelines of Christmas Eve midnight Mass in a nearby church. "It will be out of danger when we take out the remaining scaffolding... Today we can say that there is maybe a 50% chance that it will be saved. There is also 50% chance of scaffolding falling onto the three vaults, so as you can see the building is still very fragile," he said...
"We need to remove completely the scaffolding in order to make the building safe, so in 2021 we will probably start the restoration of the cathedral," Chauvet said. "Once the scaffolding is removed we need to assess the state of the cathedral, the quantity of stones to be removed and replaced."
Chauvet estimated it would take another three years after that to make it safe enough for people to re-enter the cathedral, but that the full restoration will take longer.
"We need to remove completely the scaffolding in order to make the building safe, so in 2021 we will probably start the restoration of the cathedral," Chauvet said. "Once the scaffolding is removed we need to assess the state of the cathedral, the quantity of stones to be removed and replaced."
Chauvet estimated it would take another three years after that to make it safe enough for people to re-enter the cathedral, but that the full restoration will take longer.
Slow and steady (Score:3, Interesting)
Re: Slow and steady (Score:5, Insightful)
Re: Slow and steady (Score:5, Insightful)
The cathedral is an absolute work of art that should be restored and preserved. But perhaps the Catholic church should have put their fortune towards that, and let the other donations go towards things that aren't directly benefiting the richest church in history?
Re: Slow and steady (Score:2)
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Re:Slow and steady (Score:5, Insightful)
The private charitable donations of millions of Christians around the world to save such a noted landmark as Notre Dame has zero relation to a small scale civil war in a region of the world where the rare country is the one that is not experiencing some kind of armed conflict.
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Meanwhile the internet archive can't even get the access to save the some of the disappearing web.
I've been inside the Notre Dame, it's similar to other French Cathedrals in terms of construction. There is a point where cost to repair outweighs the preservation of a rich history.
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Jesus. Maybe just maybe I may be a small minority that likes to consider himself human with basic compassion and not a psychopath because God forbid a Mom crying in anguish losing her daughter from a missle attack or a boy who will never have Dad who died fighting to save his family from militants is more important to me than an old building historical or not.
The fact this is +5 and so is another comment +5 talking about how human life is not as important because the country is a shit hole worries me.
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Re:Slow and steady (Score:5, Interesting)
If there's a problem that people can fix and are willing to put time and money toward fixing, it is not inherently bad to fix that problem even if other, more dire problems exist. It's basic human nature (and probably an evolved adaptation) to care more about things that closely relate to you, and rather than flagellating ourselves for that, it would probably be better to just let people fix the problems they want to fix without treating them as though they're committing some great crime for doing so.
I'm not even sure how he thinks throwing $500 million at Yemen would do anything to solve that problem, anyway. Some problems can't be solved by throwing money at them. The Notre Dame cathedral might be one that can. As far as the Middle East is concerned, there are actually quite a few well-funded humanitarian groups that do their best to alleviate suffering there, because in fact a lot of people do care about that.
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Can you imagine the funds pouring in if the Sheik Zayed grand mosque burnt down? It would make this half a billion look like small change.
Religiously significant buildings in wealthy nations have nothing at all in common with civil wars in nations which have never lived without.
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Does it make you feel better or worse that the big money donors aren't actually handing the pledged money over?
https://observer.com/2019/07/n... [observer.com]
50% chance, eh? It'll either be saved or it won't? (Score:1)
Today we can say that there is maybe a 50% chance that it will be saved. There is also 50% chance of scaffolding falling onto the three vaults
What a maroon.
Schrodinger's Cathedral (Score:2)
Re:50% chance, eh? It'll either be saved or it won (Score:5, Funny)
Schrödinger's Cat(hedral)!
Until we observe it fall down it is both collapsed and not collapsed.
Hold Up (Score:5, Insightful)
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The state owns the building and pays all the upkeep. The church just gets exclusive use of and control of the building. This is an arrangement the church is quite happy with.
Re:Hold Up (Score:4, Insightful)
The state also gets the tourist funds. Don't make it look more one sided than it is. Both sides are happy with the relationship.
Secular not atheist (Score:2)
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but the state has a secular duty, not to allow religious influence
Only in countries where the government's charter or laws particularly say that the state has such a duty. In many countries: the state has no such duty; in France they laïcité as a popular thing, but the law is much less stringent; religious institutions and state act as independent authorities, but that does not mean they never interact and one never influences another or vice-versa.
There are numerous entanglements; for ex
don't understand (Score:2)
I don't understand why it would be so difficult and chancy? If it is already stable enough to not have fallen already it should be easy to prevent it from falling on top of any unstable structure. Scaffolding is by it nature open and full of gaps could they not build another more stable scaffold underneath it and around it with material draped and tied down to carry away anything that falls? I'm sure they couldn't cover things completely but there are ways to fill in gaps. Spray the whole thing with so
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> it should be easy to prevent it from falling on top of any unstable structure.
Where can you mount any extensive supports? And how can you attach them to support the exiting structure without damaging it, or releasing strains that hold other components in place? And how do you do so quickly enough, safely enough, and cheaply enough to not not run out of time or resources before it collapses further? Many problems are soluble by throwing time and money at them, but those solutions sometimes generate oth
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Rectors aren't normally known for their structural engineering skills. I imagine he's drumming up a little PR for the restoration effort.
It would be shocking if anything major happened to the cathedral after so many rich people donated money to make sure it didn't.
Re: don't understand (Score:2)
Re: don't understand (Score:4, Insightful)
Don't exclude the engineers and project manager who put those odds into his head.
They told him 50/50. That says everything you need to know about how the engineers are communicating with him.
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If that's a Scotty estimate, then they're 80% sure they can do it and just don't want to inflate expectations.
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When you have no idea what the odds are of two scenarios, 50% is the correct estimate. It either will or will not succeed based on unknowable unknowns.
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Many rich people, as has already been mentioned, said they would donate money.
But they haven't.
From 3 October 2019: https://www.news.com.au/travel... [news.com.au]
TL:DR "The Notre Dame Foundation has received just €36 million ($A59 million) from 46,000 individuals, 60 businesses and 29 municipalities between April 15 and the end of September, with some donations as small as one euro, AP reported."
Though it goes on to mention "On Tuesday in Paris, French billionaire Francois Pinault and son Francois-Henri Pinault off
I've never understood (Score:2)
Re:I've never understood (Score:4, Insightful)
There's something to be said about rebuilding it, as close to the original as possible though.
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Opting for a modern building is not so easy. What will you build there? And who will design it? A lot of modern architecture doesn't weather well, and many modern buildings are nasty eye sores, even when the original design was made to look stunning and stand the test of time. There are some exceptions like the Sydney Opera or the Disney Concert Hall in LA, but even well designed modern
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It was *the* example of gothic architecture and nothing else looked like it. You're going to throw together some boxy glass building in its place?
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I doubt you ever will understand why we don't just raze everything that isn't "modern" to the ground to "make way" for cool brand new stuff all the time. What value does architecture or art have anyway, that we would want to preserve any of it from previous times? Historic artifacts aren't unique and priceless and irreplaceable but just old junk we can never learn anything from. We can just take pictures of it and that's plenty good enough for all future times.
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Different people like different things. Some like old buildings - quite a lot based on the amount of tourism attracted to old buildings around the world. Since its impossible to make new old buildings, it seems to make sense to keep the ones that people like.
It is also a piece of history - maybe not "good" history, but its better that we see all sorts of history. Of course many people don't realize that while the Cathedral dates from the 12th century, it was massively rebuilt in the 19th century and repr
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The roof, the roof, the roof is on fire (Score:5, Insightful)
The Washington Post has an article citing it burned as it was designed to do [washingtonpost.com] so that the roof would be sacrificed if there was a fire to save the rest of the building.
The roof also had other functions that went beyond form. The first being acoustics of the inside of the building and specific angles of light and shadow that were designed to illuminate the artworks at certain times with the right kind of light.
I hope they pick a roof replacement that also maintains these particular qualities.
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They only need to grow a forrest and wait 100+ years for the trees to be usable and then a few more years to dry the wood. Easy.
Maybe they could 3D print an exact replica from recycled drink bottles.
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Why replicate the fire-prone design? The original is gone - no use in pretending otherwise. Use modern materials which are visually indistinguishable but fire resistant. The oak beams were not visible from inside or outside the cathedral unless you went into the attic - they were not an important aspect of the design, but rather an implementation detail.
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Why replicate the fire-prone design? The original is gone - no use in pretending otherwise. Use modern materials which are visually indistinguishable but fire resistant.
I've got no problem with using fire resistant materials as long as the acoustics and light angles are maintained. You have to consider how much time and consideration goes into creating these buildings. At the time of commission you are looking at a effort that is viewed by the people of the day as something similar to the space program in a vehicle designed to traverse *time*.
Consequently, regardless of fire codes, you have to adapt your thinking to why certain compromises were made and this knowledge
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Billionaires to the rescue! (Score:2)
Remember all those generous donations from billionaires? Hundreds of millions in total.
Amazing that not a single Euro of that actually showed up at the end of the day.
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Remember all those generous donations from billionaires? Hundreds of millions in total. Amazing that not a single Euro of that actually showed up at the end of the day.
They got the publicity, when the spotlight was on the event, now that the spotlight is shining elsewhere, why pay up? ... nobody is going to remember them weaseling out of them keeping their word. This is how rich people think, it should not surprise you.
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Amazing that not a single Euro of that actually showed up at the end of the day.
Citation or GTFO.
A good subject for a Grand Designs episode (Score:2)
Imagine Kevin McCloud wandering around, making his brand of slightly-snarky and doubtful comments to camera, then asking the french project manager what it's like to work for an employer like the church.
"It's 5 years into the restoration, and the promised 100 million donated euros have yet to show up"
Cue: closeup of rain dripping onto scaffolding, medium shot of wheelbarrows and workbenches but no workers, MCU of builder's plastic sheeting flapping in the wind.
5 years, didn't you heard? (Score:1)
So, who are you to say it will take a lot more, or that it may not be rebuild?
Who ? Scientists? What's that?
Oh, well
Who's gonna tell him?
Insurance Fraud (Score:1)
The old building was past it and about to fall down anyway. So they let a fire burn the roof (but not the stained glass) so they could justify bull dozing it and claiming the insurance.
The site is perfect for a large casino/hotel. There are plenty of other churches in Paris.
You read about it first here...
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You'll be twinning this with Trump Towers Nuuk [wikipedia.org], will you?
It's my fault... (Score:2)
I thought of this
Don't be silly (Score:2)
Re:News for nerds? (Score:5, Insightful)
Also, it gives +10 happiness and +4 faith.
Re: (Score:3, Interesting)
They should take a look at the reconstruction of the Provo Tabernacle which burned ferociously, leaving the outside walls standing. The building shell was subsequently raised up on stilts, the ground beneath it excavated and it was reconstructed without the walls crumbling. To see this shell up on stilts is unbelievable, but it's now a temple for The Church of Jesus Christ of Latter-day Saints.
A few photos before, during, and after the fire, with some photos of reconstruction: https://www.youtube.com/watc [youtube.com]
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The engineering is impressive, yet they couldn't engineer a decent fire prevention system.
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It was originally built in the 1880s. Standards were a little different back then...
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It was originally built in the 1880s. Standards were a little different back then...
Were they somehow prevented from adding in a few sprinklers in the subsequent 139 years?
Re:News for nerds? (Score:5, Funny)
What the hell is this doing on Slashdot?
Part of the story didn't make it to the summary. It turns out that global warming is the cause of the cathedral possibly not being saved, and the white patriarchy is the reason it caught fire in the first place. So it's definitely a slashdot-worthy story.
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What the hell is this doing on Slashdot?
Part of the story didn't make it to the summary. It turns out that global warming is the cause of the cathedral possibly not being saved, and the white patriarchy is the reason it caught fire in the first place. So it's definitely a slashdot-worthy story.
Nonsense! They said it was 110% an accident, total accident and nothing but an accident. They said this even before the fire was out and they had a chance to examine it - which just makes it more believable. They are so certain of this but, they still won't release the details about how it actually happened.
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Let Pavarotti do it for him:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?... [youtube.com]
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And you, being a conservative white male, are the most persecuted, disadvantaged and discriminated against kind of human on the planet. Sing us an opera about your pain, we all feel for you.
Let's see, I'm:
1. Not conservative
2. white male ---- congratulations!
3. Not persecuted
4. Not disadvantaged
5. Not discriminated against
Hmm, looks like you're batting around .200 here.
Re:News for nerds? (Score:5, Insightful)
Restoring a complicated building after a fire is engineering. Seems appropriate to me.
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Restoring a complicated building after a fire is engineering.
Well, it should be gaming software engineering. Instead of rebuilding the cathedral, they should just make a 3D virtual reality model of it instead. Just give all the tourists an Oculus helmet and just let them virtually wander around.
Maybe a gaming company would create the model for free, if they were allowed to stage some massive multiplayer online role playing game shootout games on the side.
"Grand Theft Church" or "Call of Shoot Up the Church" or "Game of Bones" . . . ?
Or let some kids build one in
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Try: "Assassin’s Creed Unity", where they did such modeling and the historic building was a fully explorable space within their game, and back in April 15, 2019; the developer discounted the title to $0.00 for a week in addition to making large donations toward rebuilding.
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It would be perhaps interesting to model the current structure, failing scaffoldings and all. Then you could perhaps have a game with the goal to save the structure.
Naa, would be a complete failure. Far too hard. Most people would give up pretty much immediately. Also, one of the problems is that they do not have all the parameters, for example they know the stone has been weakened severely in places, but they do not know how much and where exactly.
Re:News for nerds? (Score:5, Insightful)
Why are there stories about Star Trek on Slashdot?
Why are there stories about the FCC on Slashdot?
Why are there stories about Depression on Slashdot?
Why are there stories about Cruise ship created pollution on Slashdot?
Because Nerds have extensive and varied interests. Some of them coincide with your interests and some may leave you cold. Just remember others may not feel the same about your passionate interests.
Re:News for nerds? (Score:5, Insightful)
Because Nerds have extensive and varied interests
Yes, but one of the most common interests and favorite hobbies of Nerds on Slashdot is mocking the other people posting, and the posts, arguing that content doesn't belong here, and of course people trying to write down just enough to "trigger" other posters into reacting while seeming all innocent themself.
Those "questioning" the topic's relevance know very well nerds have varied interests: they're trying to set up a trap in the hopes of getting some irate replies, or at the very least, other people have to spend time explaining that obvious truth, And before you know it... the comments are no longer discussing the tragedy that we're at a 50% roll of the dice if losing Notre Dame to some collapsing scaffolding, but arguing back and forth on whether it should be an article at all.
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Um.... architecture nerds? (Score:3)
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shouldn't be a problem for a creature that created the whole universe, yes?
The problem is this: The mortals who maintain the building used Heisenscaffolding.
Re: surely repairing it (Score:5, Insightful)
And then his massive empire dwindled down to a footnote in history. The cathedral builders had the last laugh, for now at least.
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Far more than a footnote. Military leaders study his battles and conquestions. Some rough estimates claim that 8% of Asia is descended from him. And barbarian horse warriors, based on his exploits, are found in almost every world of fantasy literature.
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"conquestions"? I'm sorry, my typing seems to have degraded profoundly lately. I meant conquests. Perhaps I need another drink?
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So, you have questions about his conquests? Or are these questions about Genghis Con?
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I didn't right now. I recently saw a one-on-one theoretical battle re-enactment, where they compared the weapons and training available to him compared to the weapons and training available to Hannibal, and speculated about the results of personal combat. The show was fairly silly, but did a nice job analyzing the weapons and armor of the historical figures.
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And then his massive empire dwindled down to a footnote in history. The cathedral builders had the last laugh, for now at least.
His DNA is said to have been spread though most of humanity.
Darwin would argue that he was a strong influence on evolution of the human species.
https://www.nationalgeographic... [nationalgeographic.com]
"That translates to 0.5 percent of the male population in the world, or roughly 16 million descendants living today."
that's pretty fucking impressive.
Re: surely repairing it (Score:3)
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Re: surely repairing it (Score:5, Informative)
When Ghengis Khan, who worshipped the sky, came into contact with civilizations who build cathedrals ...
Nitpick: Perhaps Subutai [wikipedia.org] said this, but it is unlikely that Ghengis Khan ever saw a cathedral. GK died before the Mongol hordes first crossed the Volga. Eastern Europe was conquered by his grandsons.
Re: surely repairing it (Score:1)
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Genghis Khan was familiar with various religions from an early age.
This might be true, but he almost certainly didn't see a stationary building before he was age 40. Those just didn't exist in Mongolia.
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Notre Dame.
BTW, it's named after his mom
Who was famously a virgin. There it is, folks. The Slashdot angle!
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Crom laughs at your four winds.
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It's because of the scaffolding.
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There are issues now and then, but please elaborate ?
Did you know that the Cathedral (Score:2)
houses the Crown of Thorns? OMG lets clone Jesus! Would the clone be God?
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houses the Crown of Thorns? OMG lets clone Jesus! Would the clone be God?
Grandson of God. But that's got to be worth a bit. Has it?
Maybe he can walk on hot tarmac. Or turn beer into wine. Cure bacterial infection.
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Over some old shitty building. Big whoop.. That money could have gone to educate a large number of their population, helping them develop into a better society, or feed a lot of starving people.. But no, let's spend half a billion on an old building just because it looked good!
You're a moron.
Tuition in France is already free.
Unlike the US, they already have a social safety net.
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Tuition IS NOT FREE! They are just paying for it with someone else's money.
Re: Waste of money (Score:2)
How horrible that they all agree to educate their children as a whole rather than only educating the ones lucky enough to be born in rich suburbs.
What a shithole that place must be, what with all those educated children running around.
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Tuition IS NOT FREE! They are just paying for it with someone else's money.
The French people elected a French government to educate French children with French money.
How is that someone else's money?
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It is not the government's money - it's an individual's money. Or at least it should be.
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No, it's theirs.
They are paying for it with all of their money. They are part of that tax base, and that entire tax base has a say.
They consider education to be part of their social contract. I laud them for that level of enlightenment.
Democracies cannot persist without diffuse education. Our founders stated this quite clearly.
Your "someone else's money" trope is fucking ridiculous.
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Oh shut up. Only the idiot fringe of conservatives think that pointing out that things offered for free by the government are payed for through taxation is in any way insightful.
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That building makes them money off tourists. At a minimum.
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I was wondering when you'd be back. Your nonsense posts are . . . refreshingly dedicated? I guess? What else can be said?
Nobody is going to accidentally click on the goat.cx link, by the way. I'm certainly not going to do it.
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Except the cathedral is owned by the state of France and loaned back to the church for use. The church is responsible for some operating costs but required to admit visitors for free. So repair funds will neither come out of nor go into the churches' pockets.