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Mysterious Explosion and Fire Damage Iranian Nuclear Enrichment Facility (nytimes.com) 158

A fire ripped through a building at Iran's main nuclear-fuel production site early Thursday, causing extensive damage to what appeared to be a factory where the country has boasted of producing a new generation of centrifuges. The United States has repeatedly warned that such machinery could speed Tehran's path to building nuclear weapons. schwit1 shares a report: The Atomic Energy Agency of Iran acknowledged an "incident" at the desert site, but did not term it sabotage. It released a photograph showing what seemed to be destruction from a major explosion that ripped doors from their hinges and caused the roof to collapse. Parts of the building, which was recently inaugurated, were blackened by fire. But it was not clear how much damage was done underground, where video released by the Iranian government last year suggested most of the assembly work is conducted on next-generation centrifuges -- the machines that purify uranium. A Middle Eastern intelligence official, who spoke on the condition of anonymity to discuss closely held information, said the blast was caused by an explosive device planted inside the facility. The explosion, he said, destroyed much of the aboveground parts of the facility where new centrifuges -- delicate devices that spin at supersonic speeds -- are balanced before they are put into operation.
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Mysterious Explosion and Fire Damage Iranian Nuclear Enrichment Facility

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  • Khameni (Score:4, Informative)

    by backslashdot ( 95548 ) on Friday July 03, 2020 @01:35PM (#60258672)

    Get rid of the stupid clergy how hard can it be? Then people of iran are fed up with the clergy, the moment they are destabilized they will get rid of religious rule permanently. Persian culture is not naturally psycho-religious.

    • Re:Khameni (Score:4, Insightful)

      by divide overflow ( 599608 ) on Friday July 03, 2020 @01:55PM (#60258712)
      Once you get outside of the big cities in Iran the rural folks are very conservative and highly religious. You might note that this phenomenon is not unique to Iran.
      • Re:Khameni (Score:4, Interesting)

        by backslashdot ( 95548 ) on Friday July 03, 2020 @03:08PM (#60258870)

        The rural population of Iran is only about 30%. Also, they too have been subject to a lot of oppression even in the rural areas people have relatives and friends who have been unfairly abused by the regime. I point to the 2013 and 2017 elections. Also, the fact that Rouhani, who campaigned as a reformer, won many rural areas shows that there is considerable support for reform. Come on in 2013 when 85% of people showed up to vote, conservative hardliners couldn't must 20% of the vote. In 2017, when turnout was lower, the only reason more people voted against Rouhani because there was no progress and Raisi promised cash handouts. Also, many voted for Raisi out of fear and also because they felt Rouhani was doing the same things as Raisi but stealthily. Also, you have to account for cheating on Raisi's part. Basically with the right controlled push, the end the theocracy can fall. There may be a short war but in the end the reformists will win if they get sufficient backing.

        • So you're advocating military installation of a...what? Because the last time there was a democratic election in Iran neither the US nor British oil interests were happy with the results and the CIA staged Operation Ajax and installed Mohammad Reza Pahlavi as a monarch. That pissed off a lot of Iranians and ultimately lead to Ayatollah Ruhollah Khomeini's ascent to power and imposition of a theocratic regime. Plus we all know how democracy in neighboring Iraq is all roses and rainbows. Just ask the Kurds.

          There may be a short war but in the end the reformists will win if they get sufficient backing.

          Y

    • by account_deleted ( 4530225 ) on Friday July 03, 2020 @01:58PM (#60258718)
      Comment removed based on user account deletion
    • Re: Khameni (Score:3, Insightful)

      by BAReFO0t ( 6240524 )

      Alright. You get rid of yours too.
      Yes, that includes the Church of Trump and Wall Street & co. :D

      In case you're unsure: I totally agree. Religion is a scourge. I just don't limit it to one strain of nutjobbery or one country.
      But remember whose vassal dictator turned Iranis towards being so desperatr that they democratically voted for Khomeini in the first place. So the obvious choice is to remove the nutjobbery at that source too.

    • Re:Khameni (Score:5, Interesting)

      by unixisc ( 2429386 ) on Friday July 03, 2020 @04:00PM (#60258978)

      Persian? You might as well talk about the Ptolmeic setup in Egypt, or the Byzantine setup in Anatolia. There has been no Persian anything since Islam devoured Iran, replaced Zoroastriansism w/ Islam and the ancient Persian script w/ Arabic.

      Anyway, there are very strong reasons why the Iranian people should not just throw off the clergy, but Islam as a whole. First of all, Islam is not an Iranian religion: even the Twelver Sect which is filled w/ Iranian imams from I think #3 originated w/ Ali, an Arab. Second, shi'a Muslims outside Iran, particularly the Arab ones, no longer look up to Iran, and in fact resent Iranian influence, despite Iranian support to their cause against their sunni overlords. In Iraq, the government is no longer pro-Iran once US troops left, and in Lebanon, even the shi'a have turned on Hizbullah, Iran's stooges in that country.

      So if one was an Iranian shi'a and saw all that ingratitude from Arab shi'a, the natural questions to ask would be: why are we backing them, and why are we ourselves still Islamic (shi'a or whatever)? They should shift to anything else - preferably Zoroastrian, since that's their original religion, but failing that, even Christianity or Buddhism would be just fine

    • by hey! ( 33014 )

      There's a lot of things you can say about Khamenei, but "stupid", unfortunately, is not among them. If you follow Khamenei's career, he's obviously a very capable and Machiavellian politician.

      Sometimes smart people just have alien values that can't be reconciled with ours.

      • Sometimes smart people just have alien values that can't be reconciled with ours.

        Sounds like you're describing the major tech companies of today.

    • Re:Khameni (Score:5, Interesting)

      by quantaman ( 517394 ) on Friday July 03, 2020 @05:11PM (#60259148)

      Get rid of the stupid clergy how hard can it be? Then people of iran are fed up with the clergy, the moment they are destabilized they will get rid of religious rule permanently. Persian culture is not naturally psycho-religious.

      Big revolutions rarely turn out the way you want.

      European constitutional monarchies evolved from a system built around an autocratic king, to a monarch who was constrained by the nobles, to constitutional monarchies where the monarch and nobles are just figureheads.

      The general structure of the Iranian government isn't that different from that of a constitutional monarchy. Iran's easiest path to Democracy isn't destabilization, it's incremental revolutions that change the status quo.

      The Green Movement [wikipedia.org] failed to oust Ahmadinejad, but it paved the way for a much more moderate, reformist, and western friendly Rouhani to run and win a much fairer election 4 years later. The constitution hasn't changed, but real power has shifted from the Supreme Leader and towards the people.

      If the US were to try re-engaging with Iran on positive terms you could get something fairly closely representing an actual Democracy within 20 years.

    • Re: (Score:2, Informative)

      by thegarbz ( 1787294 )

      Get rid of the stupid clergy how hard can it be?

      You're joking right? Have you see the bible thumpers running the USA, or Australia, or the religious power wielded in Asian countries, or in much of Europe.

      Q: How hard can it be?
      A: The single most complicated takedown of a power structure reinforced by fanatics that has ever existed in history.

  • The Atomic Energy Agency of Iran acknowledged an "incident" at the desert site, but did not term it sabotage.

    then this...

    A Middle Eastern intelligence official, who spoke on the condition of anonymity to discuss closely held information, said the blast was caused by an explosive device planted inside the facility.

    • Two different people, with different sources of information. Only one is willing to be specific on a particular detail. This is hardly surprising.

      • Seems to be the norm in all news reporting these days. It's as if it's pointless to read anything anymore.

        • That's when you look at the identification of sources. The one who said it was an explosive device was "A Middle Eastern intelligence official," so it's possible that he's trying to push a Western-orchestrated sabotage story. Or that he's closer to incident and has more data.

          "It's as if it's pointless to read anything anymore."

          Yes, the data is sparse and has to be interpreted. Welcome to reality.

    • A single anonymous source was willing to offer a less general and confident assessment than the official spokesperson for an established government agency? Next you're going to tell me that random bloggers are more willing to speculate and spread rumors than an international news paper with reporting standards and fact checkers.

      • Next you're going to tell me that random bloggers are more willing to speculate and spread rumors than an international news paper with reporting standards and fact checkers.

        I literally copy/pasted two sentences from TFA.

      • > international news paper with reporting standards and fact checkers.

        Such a thing exists?

        • by Cederic ( 9623 )

          Yes. They need to check whether the facts match the narrative before including them in a story, as the reporting standards demand that the story stays true to the message they want to provide.

    • by hey! ( 33014 )

      A bomb you could sneak in is not likely to affect the capacity of facility much; there are something like 7000 centrifuges running at Nanantz. But if they were *carefully placed*, a few modest bombs could set back the program by months or even years.

      The trick is to take out the centrifuges that have nearly finished product. Just one centrifuge on the tail end of the enrichment process contains the output of hundreds of upstream centrifuges and years of work.

      • > A bomb you could sneak in is not likely to affect the capacity of facility much

        If said bomb snuck in at 50,000 feet aboard a B2 ...

        Actually, I understand most of the facility is underground. With an explosion in an underground facility, the pressure wave wouldn't disperse in the atmosphere. Basically, the entire underground facility would likely become a bomb as the pressure built up until it bursts out of the ground.

        • If said bomb snuck in at 50,000 feet aboard a B2 ...

          I guess then we get to see whether or not the S300 can defeat the B2. The best guess is "probably not", but I suspect the USAF won't want that question answered just in case they're wrong, and a small regional power which doesn't offer any threat to the US is not a worthwhile place to test it.

  • It's for the best interests of everyone in the world to see that the Islamic Republic of Iran [battleswarmblog.com] doesn't get nuclear weapons.

    Letting the Islamic Republic of Iran get them would either result in nuclear conflict, or of countries such as Saudi Arabia and Turkey quickly obtaining them.

    Now for a word from your "but-but-Israel" false-equivalence jihad apologists in reply...

  • by petronyista ( 6295228 ) on Friday July 03, 2020 @05:09PM (#60259138)
    All other nuke weilding countries have hierarchical power structures interested in expansion of their power base and also their own self preservation. Quite distinct from the population of Iran, which I hope recovers from its errors of the 1970s - the current Iranian government is ideologically powered primarily by hatred of external cultures and natural internal cultures it considers deviant. If the world community lets the current Iranian government attain nuclear weapons, the world community will suffer greatly the results, but not as suffer as much as the unfortunate and wonderful people of Persia. If we all woke up one morning and only all the hate filled, ignorant, bigoted zealots running the Iranian government were dead or missing, the world would be a better and safer place, and first to celebrate and dance in the streets would be the Iranians.
    • All other nuke weilding countries have hierarchical power structures interested in expansion of their power base and also their own self preservation.

      Pakistan isn't exactly a bag of laughs either.

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