Climate Change Is Making Big Problems Bigger (nytimes.com) 120
New data compiled by the E.P.A. shows how global warming is making life harder for Americans in myriad ways that threaten their health, safety and homes. From a report: Wildfires are bigger, and starting earlier in the year. Heat waves are more frequent. Seas are warmer, and flooding is more common. The air is getting hotter. Even ragweed pollen season is beginning sooner. Climate change is already happening around the United States, the Environmental Protection Agency said on Wednesday. And in many cases, that change is speeding up. The freshly compiled data, the federal government's most comprehensive and up-to-date information yet, shows that a warming world is making life harder for Americans, in ways that threaten their health and safety, homes and communities. And it comes as the Biden administration is trying to propel aggressive action at home and abroad to cut the pollution that is raising global temperatures. "There is no small town, big city or rural community that is unaffected by the climate crisis," Michael S. Regan, the E.P.A. administrator, said on Wednesday. "Americans are seeing and feeling the impacts up close, with increasing regularity."
The data released Wednesday came after a four-year gap. Until 2016, the E.P.A. regularly updated its climate indicators. But under President Donald J. Trump, who repeatedly questioned whether the planet was warming, the data was frozen in time. It was available on the agency's website but was not kept current. The Biden administration revived the effort this year and added some new measures, pulling information from government agencies, universities and other sources. The E.P.A. used 54 separate indicators which, taken together, paint a grim picture.
The data released Wednesday came after a four-year gap. Until 2016, the E.P.A. regularly updated its climate indicators. But under President Donald J. Trump, who repeatedly questioned whether the planet was warming, the data was frozen in time. It was available on the agency's website but was not kept current. The Biden administration revived the effort this year and added some new measures, pulling information from government agencies, universities and other sources. The E.P.A. used 54 separate indicators which, taken together, paint a grim picture.
doomsday I tell you (Score:2)
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Fires are also more of a problem because we're spreading out more through traditionally-forested areas. That fire that 50 years ago might have burned down 50 homes through a rural area could today burn down 1000 homes.
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We should thank the oceans for soaking up most of the excess heat energy caused by global warming because without that heat sink we'd literally all cook to death.
"the oceans play a huge role in how heat is absorbed into the Earthâ(TM)s energy budget. The amount of heat that the oceans can store is extremely large when compared to the land or atmospheric capacity. Oceans can act as a heat sink that can absorb excess heat for periods of time before releasing that heat back into the atmosphere causing w
Virus or carbon-pollution don't care about borders (Score:2)
Re:Climate changes (Score:5, Informative)
Of course it isn't.
It is the one we've built a hell of a lot of infrastructure to match though.
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Along with most species going extinct. Just because extinction is normal, doesn't mean that we should try for it.
"the climate crisis"? (Score:2, Insightful)
And that's where he went completely off the rails:
"There is no small town, big city or rural community that is unaffected by the CLIMATE CRISIS," Michael S. Regan, the E.P.A. administrator,
[emphasis mine]
If they call it a "crisis" they can take all kinds of measures to combat it. Just look at what they were able to do to combat the "covid crisis".
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Considering the impact, crisis is sufficient.
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Considering the impact, crisis is sufficient.
Well ok then, since you consider it a crisis you should be OK with taking extreme measures to deal with it.
Start by turning off your utilities.
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If this is a crisis, then overblown, controlling government is a catastrophe.
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I heartily encourage a full-blown economic impact analysis. But no picking and choosing! You must credit industries and fossile fuels for the astounding improvements to daily life. Powerful economies invent solutions to problems faster than they become serious in the long run. And medium run.
Indeed, its so powerfuk shortage scares of the 1970s had to be abandoned as rationale for government control and rationing. It's no coi
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Re:"the climate crisis"? (Score:5, Insightful)
Yep. As long as environmentalists are cheering the replacement of nuclear with fossil fuels [publicnewsservice.org], it's pretty clear they don't think climate change is a major threat.
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Perhaps you want to read the articles you link? So you do not look like a dumb idiot?
But Moran pointed out renewable energy sources are coming online at a rapid pace, including offshore wind farms capable of generating 4,300 megawatts of power, twice the capacity of Indian Point. They're scheduled to go into operation in 2024.
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So until 2024 the nuclear power will indeed be replaced by fossil fuels? And even after 2024 the wind farms won't fully replace the nuclear, because wind has a 35% capacity factor while nuclear has a 90% capacity factor [wikipedia.org] so nearly 3 times as much wind is needed to replace an equivalent amount of nuclear? And to whatever extent the wind replaces nuclear, it WOULD have replaced fossil fuels if the nuclear remained open?
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And what has "capacity factor" to do with it?
And how can you magically know the capacity factor of a wind plant that is not even build yet?
Idiot very much?
And to whatever extent the wind replaces nuclear, it WOULD have replaced fossil fuels if the nuclear remained open?
Yes it had. But you likely do not live at the plant. So shut up and let the locals decide.
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Where in the article does it say environmentalists are cheering the use of fossil fuels? Did you make that up?
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They are cheering (just read the title) a policy whose inevitable result is greater use of fossil fuels (and no measurable benefits for humans or the environment which would compensate for that).
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I'll believe it's a crisis when the people who say it's a crisis act like it's a crisis.
Well here you go [insideclimatenews.org]. It doesn't establish anything as truth, but it fits your requirement.
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You do understand that we're feeling the effects of emissions from decades ago?
What we do today will have effects decades from now and will take centuries to revert.
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You do understand that we're feeling the effects of emissions from decades ago?
What we do today will have effects decades from now and will take centuries to revert.
So, it's a concern with effects that can be felt over time. Not a crisis.
And you can't possibly predict the concerns of our descendants centuries into the future any better than our ancestors could have centuries into the past.
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You do understand that we're feeling the effects of emissions from decades ago?
What we do today will have effects decades from now and will take centuries to revert.
So, it's a concern with effects that can be felt over time. Not a crisis.
And you can't possibly predict the concerns of our descendants centuries into the future any better than our ancestors could have centuries into the past.
It's decades, not centuries. And both the causes and effects of climate change were fairly accurately predicted decades ago. Shell even made a whole movie [thecorrespondent.com] about it. The crisis is that we urgently need to do a lot of things about it right now.
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You do understand that we're feeling the effects of emissions from decades ago?
What we do today will have effects decades from now and will take centuries to revert.
So, it's a concern with effects that can be felt over time. Not a crisis.
And you can't possibly predict the concerns of our descendants centuries into the future any better than our ancestors could have centuries into the past.
It's decades, not centuries. And both the causes and effects of climate change were fairly accurately predicted decades ago. Shell even made a whole movie [thecorrespondent.com] about it. The crisis is that we urgently need to do a lot of things about it right now.
You wrote: What we do today will have effects decades from now and will take centuries to revert.
And the truth is, you can't know what things will be like "decades from now" and especially not "centuries from now."
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I didn't write that, someone else did.
And if you want to revert to that kind of sophistry, the truth is that you can't know anything for sure. You might even be hallucinating this entire conversation and in practice be arguing against yourself.
That's why we have the scientific method, which never says that anything is 100% certain, but through observation, analysis, experiments, different approaches by different people, correlation, attempts to devise cause-effect relations, etc, ends up giving us pretty go
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"There is no small town, big city or rural community that is unaffected by the CLIMATE CRISIS," Michael S. Regan, the E.P.A. administrator
This is not true, you can look at climatlogical models and there are some areas of the world that will not see much if any warming or change. And you can see some areas with cooling.
Any change is bad if you only look at the negative (Score:3)
You have to consider the whole picture, which is not what this article does. Also, it calls these big problems, but what is the metric they are using to justify that claim? None of those things would typically be listed as major problems affecting most people. This is really just fear mongering and hyperbole.
"The air is getting hotter". Odd, it feels colder. (Score:1)
"The air is getting hotter". Certainly in rooms where EPA bureaucrats are talking. That $9 billion budget must be protected - and nothing helps justify taxes like fear.
Global temperatures and CO2 levels have been considerably higher than they are today for most of the period when there has been life on Earth. The very existence of icecaps is unusual in the long term. And right now it seems to be getting colder - gradually, of course, but definitely.
"Record Cold in North Carolina Piedmont"
"Colorado Springs s
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Wanna take a bet ?
How many cold records were broken, how many hot records were broken in the same period ?
There is a difference between weather and climate!
funny (Score:1)
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Present day Americans don't have hard lives. What a joke.
The hell we don't!
Have you tried to buy ammo lately?
Until China stops building more coal plants ... (Score:3, Informative)
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China said 2060 but China’s top climate experts say they can reach it by, wait for it, 2050. https://www.vox.com/2020/10/15... [vox.com]
So the problem is what again?
Do you mean multinational corporations manufacturing stuff in China causing the all those carbon emissions. Maybe you should be complaining about the multinational corporations.
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I'm shocked! Until I remember China has a larger population than all other developed countries combined and they also happen to be the ones doing the manufacturing for all those developed countries.
Ah well that makes it ok then. The Climate will take this into account and adjust its temperature accordingly...
Everything is TERRIBLE (Score:1)
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Predicting the future with generalisims is probably not a good idea, people should stop doing it, but its a good way to get control and get your message heard.
Population reduction? (Score:2)
... Biden administration is trying to propel aggressive action at home and abroad to cut the pollution that is raising global temperatures ...
If there are no (admittedly distasteful) plans for population reduction (fines, etc.), then I don't want to hear about anyone's "plans"--covering the planet with solar panels and windmills won't be enough if the population continues to increase, and additionally, life will be less enjoyable as time goes on. (Yes, I know about the concept that upcoming populations have less kids going forward; apparently that's not enough as we approach 8 billion.)
Don't mod the messenger.
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On a side note, I've wondered about the assumptions made regarding the energy-savings of moving away from the simplistic incandescent light bulbs. I could probably make a light bulb on my kitchen table within several hours using a drinking glass, wire and vacuum pump.
But I've also designed, made and mass-produced electronic circuits/products, and am well aware of the incredible amount of effort and energy of the uncounted thousands of humans, sourcing thousands of p
To say that (Score:2)
its all grey clouds and doom is political fear mongering. I feel it would be better to say that climate change needs to be dealt with, find the differences and prepare for them.
Nothing of this is a surprise (Score:2)
People that actually wanted to listen to Science have known pretty much this for 30 years or so. The difference is that 30 years ago, most of it could have been avoided. That opportunity is now gone.
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Sure. Same as the researchers that keep predicting there will be pretty bad pandemics have no track record of being correct. Oh, wait.
Sane people pay a bit more attention when there are predictions of an existential threat not coming from religious nutballs or commercial interests. Insane people act as the politicians back then did.
The biggest problem is... (Score:2)
And, the biggest problem is the vast expense that is going into a futile mission to reverse climate change.
Dangers that can perish humans (Score:2)
1. With just $100,000 we can develop dangerous Viruses in lab;
2. Due to climate change, dormant Viruses under seabed will become Active;
It's so terrible (Score:1)
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Yep. I can't wait 'til we get the benefits of warming up here in Canada.
Re:Other side of the coin (Score:5, Insightful)
Yes, I too can't wait for diseases we haven't had any kind of immunity to for tens of thousands of years come out of the melting Canadian permafrost and start wiping people out. Or the increased wild fire seasons in Alberta or British Columbia or Northern Ontario. Or the flooding in Manitoba! It's going to be great!
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Hope you have the mosquito repellent handy.
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I was in Churchill in the early 2000s. While walking near the grain terminal, a mass rose up out of the bushes and started to make its way towards us.
Mosquitoes. A lot of mosquitoes. I couldn't put more Deet on me fast enough.
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And pine beetles not being killed off. We'll have to do more controlled burns.
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Well you've already got the Mountain Pine Beetle driving up the price of Canadian lumber. What other benefits would you like?
Both sides of the coin (Score:5, Interesting)
But not all the benefits you mention are benefits. Lower heating cost, for example, can mean higher air conditioning cost. And:
...Longer growing season.
Maybe. But what happens is that the optimum locations for a given crop moves north, so farmers that had been well suited for growing X now need to learn to grow Y, which will be a transition with some cost, and there may not even be fields for crop X in the new latitude band; and new fields have to be cleared
Frost doesn't kill my apple blossoms.
This is a bad one. Apples require freezing weather to germinate (there are no apple trees in the south). The apple orchard optimal band is moving north... but orchards take a decade to establish.
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Re:Both sides of the coin (Score:4, Interesting)
It's not only that the crop-zones are moving north, the weather-patterns are changing too. Less rain in one place that leads to draughts and more rain in others leading to flooding.
The current infrastructure and where we grow crops is wholly geared towards a certain climate. If the climate changes, it's not just that we need to adjust where we grow crops, we also have to change some of our infrastructure to cope with the changes.
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Yeah. Many people in Europe don't realize how far north Europe actually is. Most people tend to think Europe is at about the same latitude as the US. But take a look at a globe and you notice that most of the US actually within North Africa & Mediterranian latitude. Florida's latitude is in the middle of the Sahara desert. France is at the same latitude as the most northern US states (except Alaska obvs.) and pretty much all of northern Europe - Germany, Netherlands, UK and of course Skandinavia is at C
Re: Both sides of the coin (Score:1)
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Frost doesn't kill my apple blossoms.
This is a bad one. Apples require freezing weather to germinate (there are no apple trees in the south). The apple orchard optimal band is moving north... but orchards take a decade to establish.
They have to stay cold for a period of time, not freezing. 50 degrees Fahrenheit or colder is adequate, though ideal is 41 or colder. And some sources say that if you don't allow the seeds to dry, you can plant them immediately after removing them from the fruit, and they'll germinate without ever going dormant.
So although freezing weather might make it more likely for them to stay cold enough long enough to trigger germination, I think it's a bit too strong a statement to say that they *require* freezing
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Climate change doesn't just mean "longer growing seasons" or "shifted growing zones", it means wilder swings in weather. The Russian landmass heats up and that pushes the polar vortex south, and the next day areas that almost never get a hard freeze get a full fucking week of one and a shit-ton of farmers
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To be clear, I'm not saying that climate change is positive. The increase in tornadoes alone would be a huge problem for fruit tree yield even in the absence of other issues caused by climate change. I'm just saying that the specific claim in question was dubious. ;-)
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What seems to happen is an early warm spell followed by a frost that kills the blossoms. The bees aren't happy either.
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Yeah. IIRC, my folks (NW Tennessee) had snow in mid-April this year. To the best of my knowledge, snowfall after mid-March has happened approximately *never* before in recorded history, and a lot of plants and trees were not happy as a result.
On the flip side, the bees haven't been happy for a long time, so nothing new there. :-D
Flying [Re:Both sides of the coin] (Score:2)
....Here’s the thing, though. Self-described “progressives” take more flights, fly more miles, and have a significantly higher carbon footprint than do “conservatives.”
do they? That's certainly the stereotype, but I have no idea if it's true or not.
In fact the current 18-39 generation is the most traveled in history.
I'm not sure if it's reasonable to equate "the current 18-39 generation" and "conservatives".
You don’t care about any of this, but you try to virtue-signal that you care about climate change, when all you actually care about is using it as your anti-“those people” dog whistle. Climate Change is primarily caused by the hypocricy of the polluters chronically pointing the finger at everyone else, and the amen-corners which enable them.
Meh. The reason that climate change is a wicked hard problem is that it is not something that can be solved by one person changing their lifestyle. It is a global problem. Take a look, for example, at all the slashdotters who post "we don't need to change in America! It's all China's fault!" whenever any mention of climate change comes
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In most cases, X and Y will simply be different cultivars of the same crop, adapted to different growing seasons. Once they've planted the new seeds, everything else stays the same.
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Apples require freezing weather to germinate (there are no apple trees in the south).
There might be kinds of apples where this is true.
But in general it is not, I know no apple speces/type that actually needs it.
If that was the case we would have most years no apples in Germany anymore.
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Commercial apple trees aren't grown from seeds, except at the places where they try to breed new varieties. It's all grafting, different root stocks that control size and shape and different tops that control the actual variety.
What is needed is the right weather during flowering so the flowers get pollinated and don't freeze or damp off.
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Partly true; people who benefit by climate change don't complain, of course.
But not all the benefits you mention are benefits. Lower heating cost, for example, can mean higher air conditioning cost. And:
...Longer growing season.
Maybe. But what happens is that the optimum locations for a given crop moves north, so farmers that had been well suited for growing X now need to learn to grow Y, which will be a transition with some cost, and there may not even be fields for crop X in the new latitude band; and new fields have to be cleared
Frost doesn't kill my apple blossoms.
This is a bad one. Apples require freezing weather to germinate (there are no apple trees in the south). The apple orchard optimal band is moving north... but orchards take a decade to establish.
Good thing this is slo mo even by those standards.
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Minor point. There are LOTS of apple trees in the south. Maybe not the deep south, idk. But here in Arkansas we have apples. In fact the apple blossom is the state flower. Economics killed the once thriving apple orchards of Arkansas.
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Yea, they were all planted from grafted stock. Basically it is only the wild apples that grow from seed, though there are breeding programs that try to create new varieties.
Arkansas [Re:Both sides of the coin] (Score:2)
Parts of Arkansas get pretty darn cold in the winter.
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Dead orchids are usually burned pretty quick to prevent disease. As for the tree line, it has been moving further north, as well as the spruce forests getting replaced with birch and aspen.
As for tree lines on mountains, https://www.nps.gov/articles/d... [nps.gov] or https://www.dailymail.co.uk/sc... [dailymail.co.uk]
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I am not sure about freeze and apples. We have apple trees here in NorCal, and we don't actually have freezing temperatures even during winter time.
https://www.currentresults.com... [currentresults.com]
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Yeah, but what are they going to do, accept responsibility for their poor forest management practices? DC to North: get stuffed.
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But there are also benefits.
My swimming pool is warmer.
And more algae and/or chemicals, cleaning and filtration to deal with that ...
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But there are also benefits.
My swimming pool is warmer.
And more algae and/or chemicals, cleaning and filtration to deal with that ...
It's actually just a win. People use a pool heater to raise the water temperature.
If the ambient temperature is higher they run the heater less.
So the chemical usage is more or less the same.
I've had a pool for 20 years, and the summers to me seem pretty much the same.
Some years it's warmer and sunnier, others are colder and gloomier.
Guess which years people like better.
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There is a correlation between average winter temperatures and mortality rates in the elderly in the northern latitude countries.... A little warmer will mean slightly longer lifespan expectancy in those places. It will also reduce the carbon emissions associated with keeping warm in those winter months, as well as slightly reducing the associated energy bills for the citizens of those places.
It’s an I’ll wind etc etc.
On the other hand it makes the endless expansion of the Gulf State’s po
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There is a correlation between average winter temperatures and mortality rates in the elderly in the northern latitude countries....
Cold kills far more people than heat.
https://www.sciencedaily.com/r... [sciencedaily.com]
https://www.thelancet.com/pdfs... [thelancet.com]
I would not expect climate change to make much difference in the near future either way.
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OTOH, where I live, people buying air conditioners is now a thing, and they're not free to run.
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Yeah, this is way too USA-biased, not taking the benefits to Russia/siberia into account at all. If America still wants to subsidize other countries' "terraforming" then we need to go back to electing leftists like Trump. Right-wingers like Biden are just going to push for protecting the American Way of Life by reducing pollution, and that doesn't help these other places at all.
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Yeah, this is way too USA-biased, not taking the benefits to Russia/siberia into account at all.
Benefits? When the Siberian permafrost defrosts, most scientific analysis suggests that it release massive amounts of methane, which is a significantly more potent greenhouse gas than CO2. It doesn't even need to be permanent. One good, unusually hot summer might be enough? The likelihood is that our somewhat pathetic attempts to reduce carbon emissions will then be irrelevant. This type of feedback - a negative consequence of further climate change - really will push this to be a full-blown crisis.
Maybe i
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Yeah, the heat from all the forests burning around here have made my swimming pool into a hot tub! Love these benefits!
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I will bet a lot of pizza that the poster is in the US and paid for by Big Oil Conservatives.
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I like pizza !!!
Send me a Frankie, Johnny & Luigi Too, ex-large special.
I am not a troll for anyone.
I am not paid for anything I do.
I just don't believe the bullshit being pushed by the MSM or crowd of grant chasers.
Start looking at the quality & quantity of the data.
The last 200 years should be good, but it is not.
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There are many people who disagree with the above statement. However, I would not classify it as Troll. Hopefully some subequent mods can fix that.
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What would you classify it as? There is no option for bullshit.
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