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Earth Science

Ozone Hole Over Antarctica Larger Than Usual, Scientists Say (www.cbc.ca) 52

An anonymous reader quotes a report from CBC.ca: Scientists say the Southern Hemisphere ozone hole is larger than usual and already surpasses the size of Antarctica. The European Union's Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service (CAMS) said Thursday that the ozone hole, which appears every year during the Southern Hemisphere spring, has grown considerably in the past week following an average start. "Forecasts show that this year's hole has evolved into a rather larger than usual one," said Vincent-Henri Peuch, who heads the EU's satellite monitoring service. "We are looking at a quite big and potentially also deep ozone hole," he said. The Montreal Protocol, signed in 1987, led to a ban on a group of chemicals called halocarbons that were blamed for exacerbating the annual ozone hole. Experts say it's likely to take until the 2060s for ozone-depleting substances to be completely phased out. "[S]cientists have been closely monitoring the development of this year's ozone hole over the South Pole, which has now reached an extent larger than Antarctica," says the Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service. "After a rather standard start, the 2021 ozone hole has considerably grown in the last two weeks and is now larger than 75% of ozone holes at that stage in the season since 1979."

Vincent-Henri Peuch, Director of the Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service, adds: "This year, the ozone hole developed as expected at the start of the season. It seems pretty similar to last year's, which also wasn't really exceptional until early September, but then turned into one of the largest and longest-lasting ozone holes in our data record later in the season. Now our forecasts show that this year's hole has evolved into a rather larger than usual one. The vortex is quite stable and the stratospheric temperatures are even lower than last year, so it may continue to grow slightly over the next two or three weeks."
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Ozone Hole Over Antarctica Larger Than Usual, Scientists Say

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  • Just to be sure (Score:4, Interesting)

    by Z80a ( 971949 ) on Thursday September 16, 2021 @10:33PM (#61803349)

    I would check if a country or two are not illegally producing and using CFC

    • The chemicals used in making flat screen LCD panels, and silicon wafers also unleash unfriendly compounds. Bigger means someone is cheating.
    • by bjdevil66 ( 583941 ) on Thursday September 16, 2021 @11:25PM (#61803399)

      Just like older industrial, developed countries did in the past, China is taking its turn dropping a deuce on the entire planet. And they're doing it faster than other countries did 200 years ago.

      At what point will those corrupt Chinese officials going to finally go after their own IP stealing, lead paint on toys spraying, coal burning, shark fin soup eating, plastic junk spewing assholes? Is it going to take a war with them to get them on the rest of the world's page? We can't keep putting off dealing with their pollution that offsets what the rest of the world tries to do.

      • >> Is it racist to point out the obvious?
        Nope, and even me (who is a super leftist by Slashdot standards) has no love at all for the Chinese Communisty Party.
        There are some people that will get offended at everything, but they don't represent the entire side of a political divide.

        That said, there's no scenario where a war with China results in less pollution - burning cities, jet fuel, nuclear war are all beyond horrendous for life and the environment.

      • by AmiMoJo ( 196126 ) on Friday September 17, 2021 @05:50AM (#61803815) Homepage Journal

        Corrupt Chinese officials have been having a crackdown, and it's apparently working.

        https://www.climatechangenews.... [climatechangenews.com]

        A Chinese government crackdown on producers and buyers of illegal CFC gases is working, research has found.

        Levels of the ozone-harming and planet-warming CFC-11 gas fell over east Asia in 2019, a study published in the scientific journal Nature on Wednesday concluded.

        The study put this fall down to âoetimely reporting and subsequent action by industry and government in Chinaâ.

        Avipsa Mahapatra, climate campaign lead at the NGO Environmental Investigation Agency (EIA), said this was âoeabsolutely great news from our planetâ(TM)s perspective as well as from an ozone perspectiveâ.

      • Is it going to take a war with them to get them on the rest of the world's page?

        Why would that work?

    • by Anonymous Coward

      Well good thing they have been clamping down on it pretty hard after the report.

      https://www.dw.com/en/ozone-la... [dw.com]

      But then there's going to be stupid people here complaining about freedoms and China being authoritarian dictatorship versus communist, and complaining that they are cracking down on freedoms. Just when a man is trying to make a penny. These are the same idiots who complained about freedom of eating transfats, and free use of asbestos.

      • Hows the weather in Peking today?

        • Deutsche Welle is hardly a mouthpiece of the CCP.

          • However, the AC that implied that China is not cracking down on the freedoms of their people, is a mouthpiece of the CCP, hence the later use of wumao as an insult against the person pointing it out.

        • It's just ducky!

      • >These are the same idiots who complained about freedom of eating transfats

        There are some natural trans fats that are ok. E.G: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/... [wikipedia.org] . It counteracts the effect of Linoleic Acid, which is pretty toxic to humans and underlays a lot of the metabolic disorder in the West by messing up the electron transport chain and satiety signaling.

        Pretty much all artificially generated trans fats, like those in margarine are toxic.

  • "Forecasts show that this year's hole has evolved into a rather larger than usual one ..."

    'Forecasts' are a prediction, 'has evolved' is not. Did they mean that the forecasts predicted this or that it is larger than forecast?

    If it's the latter, it could simply be that their model is still not correct?

    And there are certainly less CFC's released annually than in the past even if China is still producing them. So given the observations, that in turn also suggests that maybe the model is not correct.

    We put s

    • by john83 ( 923470 ) on Friday September 17, 2021 @07:19AM (#61804007)
      The graph is here: https://atmosphere.copernicus.... [copernicus.eu] The forecast seems to be quite short term. In terms of the measured data, 2021 doesn't look dramatically different from 2020 to me, but both seem to have been close to the median until mid-September and then climb dramatically compared with the distribution fit to 1979-2018. November and December last year seem to have been especially aberrant. Interestingly, 2019 was dramatically lower, even though it was to early for industrial shutdowns due to the pandemic to be a cause. They also show examples of recent forecasts vs real data: https://atmosphere.copernicus.... [copernicus.eu]
  • So now's a good time for a tan at the South pole?
  • It's all sunshine and lollypops when the first-world countries ban things like CFCs and mandate expensive recapturing equipment. But right across the border in Mexico, you can buy cans of CFC automotive A/C refrigerant and Mexican mechanics vent the old stuff right into the atmosphere without a care in the world. Environmentalism only works if everybody does it. Once you give third-world countries a pass because they're poor or they were supposedly oppressed or some other B.S. excuse, it all falls apart.

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