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Earth Science Technology

Earth is Getting a Black Box To Record Events that Lead To the Downfall of Civilization (cnet.com) 120

An indestructible "black box" is set to be built upon a granite plain on the west coast of Tasmania, Australia, in early 2022. Its mission: Record "every step we take" toward climate catastrophe, providing a record for future civilizations to understand what caused our demise, according to the Australian Broadcasting Corporation. From a report: The project, led by marketing communications company Clemenger BBDO in collaboration with University of Tasmania researchers, is currently in beta and has already begun collecting information at its website. The structure is designed to be about the size of a city bus, made of 3-inch-thick steel and topped with solar panels. Its interior will be filled with "storage drives" that gather climate change-related data such as atmospheric carbon dioxide levels and average temperatures. In addition, using an algorithm, it will scour the web for tweets, posts, news and headlines.

The developers estimate that storage will run out in 30 to 50 years, according to the ABC. There are plans to increase the storage capacity and provide a more long-term solution, but it's unclear how the structure will be maintained -- how its solar panels might be replaced before the end of civilization, how well those drives hold up after decades and how impervious the vault will be to vandalism or sabotage. Its remote location, around four hours from the closest major city, is one deterrent -- but will that be enough?

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Earth is Getting a Black Box To Record Events that Lead To the Downfall of Civilization

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  • by beheaderaswp ( 549877 ) * on Monday December 06, 2021 @01:09PM (#62052635)

    At least there are indications that some primates are moving into the stone age.

    Maybe they will have a better shot at it. We may not be able to avert what's coming.

    • Three inch thick steel may take 3 years or so to rust through, but the disk drives and solar panels will be b0rked after a few months in that climate.
      • And in a couple of million years, the new intelligent breed of apes will go "look, they thought they could send us a message using disc drives, they actually thought those would last millions of years and we would be able to read them, no wonder they went extinct".

    • by suutar ( 1860506 )

      It seems like they will at least have a hard time making the same mistakes. A lot of the resources we used are no longer as easy to get without modern tools.

    • Carved into the side of this monolith should be the immortal words of Kurt Vonnegut Jr so that visiting aliens would know who we were and what became of us:

      "This is the Earth. We could have saved it, but we were too damned cheap."

  • by guruevi ( 827432 ) on Monday December 06, 2021 @01:11PM (#62052643)

    Good luck trying to have your hard disks survive 50 years in a solar oven. Which engineer thought of this ... oh a MARKETING company. So it's basically a marketing stunt to leave a ton of e-waste in the middle of the desert.

    • by RevDisk ( 740008 ) on Monday December 06, 2021 @01:19PM (#62052691) Journal
      Correct, it's a marketing stunt. Hence the doom and gloom, "downfall of civilization", etc. To be addressed by a meaningless gesture that will accomplish nothing.

      Look, anyone with an above room temperature will tell you dumping gigatons of CO2 into the atmosphere is going to have consequences. Serious ones, with long term impact. But this isn't helping and will only hurt.
      • Correct, it's a marketing stunt. Hence the doom and gloom, "downfall of civilization", etc. To be addressed by a meaningless gesture that will accomplish nothing. Look, anyone with an above room temperature will tell you dumping gigatons of CO2 into the atmosphere is going to have consequences. Serious ones, with long term impact. But this isn't helping and will only hurt.

        And actual extinction of humans isn't going to be one of them. Yes, there will be migration, yes there will be shortage of food, yes, this will suck in a ton of ways, but no, it will not actually make humans extinct.

    • by lazarus ( 2879 ) on Monday December 06, 2021 @01:23PM (#62052711) Journal

      Pretty sure that there will be plenty of clues left all over the planet as to how we met our end and why. A black box in the desert with inoperable hard drives and dead solar panels would just be another pointless one.

      • Pretty sure that there will be plenty of clues left all over the planet as to how we met our end and why. A black box in the desert with inoperable hard drives and dead solar panels would just be another pointless one.

        Totally. Truth be told, five million two hundred and seventy thousand years in the future, long after we have killed our selves and ended 74% of all living species, a small mammal will emerge as a dominant intelligent species until archeological digs finally recover how our social media worked and someone thought it sounded like a good idea.

      • Future civilization intelligent being (fcib) 1: So they left this for us as a warning..?
        Fcib2: Well yes, apparently... from other sources, though, there's no discernable information here, really. It all became unreadable before their demise..
        Fcib1: Are we sure they didn't leave this behind to console us...?
        Fcib2: Console us? How so?
        Fcib1: Well, as in, never mind us being gone, we weren't really worth any interest anyway...?
        Fcib2: Hm, works for me.
    • by slazzy ( 864185 )
      Correct.
    • Good luck trying to have your hard disks survive 50 years in a solar oven. Which engineer thought of this ... oh a MARKETING company.

      I give this a 90% chance that it is a stealth ad campaign for the Horizon: Forbidden West game coming out soon and that you'll be able to find this archive in-game... or maybe a Fallout title.

    • Let's assume for a moment the project is sincere. If by "storage drives" they mean modern hard drives or SSD's, then such an archiving system intended to be read by future, post-apocalyptic generations is essentially useless. It makes broad assumptions that any remaining traces of our modern technology would even exist to be able to read the information from those drives, or that future people/creatures would even be capable of figuring out how any of it works.

      It would have to be something directly human-re

      • It makes broad assumptions that any remaining traces of our modern technology would even exist to be able to read the information from those drives, or that future people/creatures would even be capable of figuring out how any of it works.

        It would have to be something directly human-readable or simple enough from a mechanical point of view that it could be easily reverse-engineered by intelligent-enough beings. Electronic memory is just far too abstracted from the natural world.

        I thought the same thing - whoever thought this project was a good idea needed to first show that they could reliably read data off an Iomega ZIP disk from 2004.

        That being said, this COULD work, given proper architecture. SSDs in Poweredge servers running Windows Server 2022? Not a prayer. BUT, let's start with a few basics. Burying the unit 10-30 feet underground would be a start to help protect it from the sun. Building from things like a bank of Raspberry Pi computers would help minimize power usage, as

        • Building from things like a bank of Raspberry Pi computers would help minimize power usage, as well as reduce heat generation. RasPis also have lots of documentation readily available; including paper copies of schematics is trivial and the units are so widespread and heavily translated that it is conceivable that the manuals could be legible on contemporary hardware.

          Your "trivial schematics" are useless to any intelligent beings with either only rocks for tools (the species that would rise in thousands/mil

    • Yeah.
      I have trouble opening files in obsolete formats only 25 years old. Good luck with hundreds of years.

      If they want the future to read it, carve it in stone. And make sure it's not particularly valuable stone, since there's a long history of locals taking good stone and using it for building.

    • by suutar ( 1860506 )

      Oh, totally. If they were serious it would be more like the seed vault in... Iceland, I think? And using write-once optical media.

      • Even write-once optical media is too fragile, not to mention completely unreadable without any technology. Can you imagine trying to explain binary, then file formats, then text encoding, image file formats, pixels and all to either aliens or post-human beings?

    • Not to detract from how much of a publicity stunt this is, Tasmania is not a desert like central Australia. It's much damper, cooler, and forested.

      The picture in TFA looked more like a grassy prairie, not desert.

      • Tasmania is not a desert like central Australia. It's much damper, cooler, and forested at the moment .

        FTFY

        Who knows what it's going to be like when this thing is going to be re-discovered (in hundreds if not thousands of years), which is (supposedly) the whole point?

  • ...it will also be red like all the other ones?

  • Comment removed based on user account deletion
  • What if it's a global plague that causes irreversible degenerative brain damage from Lewy bodies, even with mild or asymptomatic cases? [biorxiv.org] We're gonna feel pretty stupid if we get write down the wrong cause of human extinction on a granite slab.

    • by Tablizer ( 95088 )

      Maybe that's already happened. Modern humans are morons.

  • by Rosco P. Coltrane ( 209368 ) on Monday December 06, 2021 @01:41PM (#62052785)

    will be a lasting testament to our failure to resolve the problem of long-term digital preservation, when future generations discover the big steel box full of random data stored on long-forgotten media and encoded in unknown formats, and wonder what the hell we wanted to tell them exactly.

    • How many clay tablets would it take to chisel Wikipedia's content into? Just asking...

    • will be a lasting testament to our failure to resolve the problem of long-term digital preservation, when future generations discover the big steel box full of random data stored on long-forgotten media and encoded in unknown formats, and wonder what the hell we wanted to tell them exactly.

      The stored data should be "clay tablet" analog micrography carved into a durable medium like nickel plates, not digital. Figuring out our languages will still be a challenge, but a solvable one.

      • The stored data should be "clay tablet" analog micrography carved into a durable medium like nickel plates, not digital. Figuring out our languages will still be a challenge, but a solvable one.

        I've heard of something like this. Etched on brass or something. I would imagine that some of the narcissistic billionaires in the world would spin up projects like this. After all, who would be able to marvel at them if there's no record? I haven't looked into it--I do remember hearing a bit here and there, but I don't think they would really publicize it. It would be buried deep somewhere with only a few "monks" with knowledge of the location and the magical incantations needed to access it.

    • will be a lasting testament to our failure to resolve the problem of long-term digital preservation, when future generations discover the big steel box full of random data stored on long-forgotten media and encoded in unknown formats, and wonder what the hell we wanted to tell them exactly.

      They'll scratch their braincases with their tentacles and chalk it up to religion.

    • In the year 2525... GIF will still be alive. Cat memes will see to that.
  • by l0ungeb0y ( 442022 ) on Monday December 06, 2021 @02:12PM (#62052899) Homepage Journal

    The biggest misconception is that "we are destroying the planet" or "destroying the environment". Nothing could be further from the truth. We could launch every nuke we have and Planet Earth will be intact, spinning in space, orbiting the Sun and yes, it will have an environment.

    Presently however, we are on track for making the planet uninhabitable for Homo-Sapiens and the majority of surface and ocean dwelling species. So it's more than likely there will be no human civilization to learn from this, and any future civilization would emerge in the environmental conditions created by us, and be just fine with how things are and find our "warning" every bit as idiotic as our insane need to drive ourselves extinct just so a few rich assholes can make ever increasing short-term profits

    So yeah -- just another big waste of time and effort that will accomplish nothing other than allowing some pointy-headed academics to delude themselves into thinking they are making a difference, when in fact they aren't doing anything meaningful at all

    You want to make a difference? Start rounding up the major polluters of our environment across the world be it Coal Plant Operators, Big Oil, or Bitcoin Miners, who actively, openly and purposefully defy international attempts to mitigate Climate Change or who openly deny and lie about the Science and charge them with crimes against humanity, same as Nazis and then lynch their fucking assed live on every TV station around the world

    Then and only then might we see some actual change in the course of climate change

    • by Archtech ( 159117 ) on Monday December 06, 2021 @02:31PM (#62052999)

      We could launch every nuke we have and Planet Earth will be intact, spinning in space, orbiting the Sun and yes, it will have an environment.

      Very true.

      ... who openly deny and lie about the Science...

      But there you go, veering off the track and crashing to destruction in the valley far below.

      Anyone who could write those eight words - and mean them - hasn't the faintest inkling of what science is, or how to do it.

      • by xalqor ( 6762950 )

        It's obvious in this context that "openly deny and lie about the Science" means acting selfishly and unethically, and is referring to "Science" as the aggregate current knowledge or working theories based on evidence and reasoning (which are of course subject to change with future discoveries).

        The selfish and unethical behavior might include personal attacks, attempting to discredit people instead of addressing their claims, absolute denials without supporting evidence or reasoning, using distractions to av

        • I tried to clarify this but it took me 3 paragraphs. How would you rephrase that to better describe the people or behaviors that he's referring to, in a concise way?

          How about "people who want to have an open, honest, respectful debate based on facts and figures"?

          Works for me.

          Science (which I capitalise only at the beginning of a sentence) is fundamentally about free, open debate and experiment. Labelling those who try to engage in such debate as "liars" or "deniers" is the very antithesis of science.

          Why would anyone want to arrest and gag such people, unless he is afraid that they can defeat his arguments? Your words angered me, as they reminded me vividly of the fate

          • by xalqor ( 6762950 )

            A scientist with a contrarian opinion would publish a paper citing evidence, sharing their analysis, etc. That's not denying. A reference to "denying" here is about avoiding the scientific debate completely. It's about creating fear, uncertainty, and doubt in the public to ensure that politicians won't have the public support to make changes regardless of what the scientific community already knows.

            You made a reference to Giordano Bruno... in that story, he was the scientist, and the religious leaders perse

    • Comment removed based on user account deletion
      • Going to Mars makes zero sense in our current bodies. I would be shocked if someone (Elon Musk) was not funding research into cylons. My watery skin bag is useless for space travel. Especially if the universes' speed limit is hard coded. In that case we can't get anywhere without being able to hibernate for centuries without issue.

        There are no speed limits when it comes to space travel. 1g of constant acceleration is more than sufficient to visit any system in the galaxy and return to earth within a typical persons lifetime.

        • There are no speed limits when it comes to space travel.

          Boy are you in for a surprise when the space police arrests your ass for going over the limit!

          • Boy are you in for a surprise when the space police arrests your ass for going over the limit!

            Just tell them time is relative and you'll be fine. A few decades for the star sailor would end up being a few hundred millennia for earth dwellers.

        • There are no speed limits when it comes to space travel.

          Except for the speed of light as specified by known physics embodied in the Special Theory of Relativity, one of the two most successful theories in physics (the other being Quantum Mechanics). The only way out of that limit is to discover new physics. Until you have done that, you are blowing smoke (the galaxy is 100,000 light years across).

          • Except for the speed of light as specified by known physics embodied in the Special Theory of Relativity, one of the two most successful theories in physics (the other being Quantum Mechanics). The only way out of that limit is to discover new physics. Until you have done that, you are blowing smoke (the galaxy is 100,000 light years across).

            There is effectively no speed limit in the accelerating reference frame. No matter how fast the sky sailor measures their velocity people on earth in the non-accelerating frame will always measure the sky sailors speed to have a value below C.

            There are two simultaneous things one has to understand about constant acceleration on this scale.

            First the 1c per year rule of thumb. If you travel for 10 years at 1g constant acceleration your apparent velocity will be about 10c at year 10... 5c at year 5..etc... w

            • Oh, you're argument is predicated upon science fiction. You can do whatever you want then.
              • Oh, you're argument is predicated upon science fiction. You can do whatever you want then.

                If you bothered to even try to understand the explanation or provided reference you would know the argument is predicated on nothing more than basic arithmetic and SR.

      • The borg always struck me as our evolution.

        Don't worry. Smartphones are only step one of the global Borg-ification master plan.

    • You do know that while GW is going to suck, no, it's not even close to being able to cause the actual extincion of humans?
    • You want to make a difference? Start rounding up the major polluters of our environment across the world be it Coal Plant Operators, Big Oil, or Bitcoin Miners, who actively, openly and purposefully defy international attempts to mitigate Climate Change or who openly deny and lie about the Science and charge them with crimes against humanity, same as Nazis and then lynch their fucking assed live on every TV station around the world

      Tree hugging is a pointless fruitless enterprise. No government is going to act in contravention of its short term interests. No society is going to tolerate a few tree huggers with big mouths pushing them around for the sake of Gaia.

      If you want to get rid of remaining coal operators and 2/3 of big oil then all you need to do is make the cost of your preferred energy less than theirs. You don't need to lobby the public or government for new laws and regulations or twist any arms. All you have to do is de

    • We could televise the executions from Nuremburg, to show the world that we have come full circle.

    • Presently however, we are on track for making the planet uninhabitable for Homo-Sapiens

      Given that humans seem to be the most adaptable (and lightning fast at it) species ever, I find that difficult to believe.

      Enormously disruptive? Sure. Genocidal if it involves the premature deaths of billions? Perhaps.

      Will there be humans somewhere on the planet in 100 years? A virtual certainty. In fact, I'd wager there will be more of us in 2121 than today. We'll "just" live much further north and south.

  • by argStyopa ( 232550 ) on Monday December 06, 2021 @02:27PM (#62052973) Journal

    Moreover, it's a marketing company that couldn't even be arsed to deploy the Photoshop skills of a 12 year old for the promo picture.

    Think about that.

    To say nothing of just announcing the word "indestructible" in 2021 will no doubt trigger a vast array of "challenge accepted". My guess is that within a few hours, its solar panels will be overwhelmed by the Pepe the Frog stickers.

  • by Archtech ( 159117 ) on Monday December 06, 2021 @02:27PM (#62052979)

    'Its mission: Record "every step we take" toward climate catastrophe...'

    An "indestructible black box", eh? Hahahahahahahahahahahahaha! It may last a couple of years before being obliterated by thermonuclear war. I well remember how, as a boy, I used to regard toys stamped "Unbreakable" as an irresistible challenge. Nothing is indestructible.

    Incidentally, there is no "climate catastrophe". There is not even any "global warming". On a time scale of less than centuries, the climate is just fine for humans.

    Sea level is rising, at about the rate of fingernails growing. It has been rising for at least 22,000 years, as we move through the present interglacial period. At any time, the glaciers might come back - and fairly briskly too.

    If the project is done right, it might conceivably be helpful to intelligent aliens searching for a solution to Fermi's paradox. They will land on Earth, take a quick look around, and say, "Yup! Yet another case of a species just beginning to discover technology that immediately used it to destroy itself".

    • If the project is done right, it might conceivably be helpful to intelligent aliens searching for a solution to Fermi's paradox.

      Surely you mean the Xi'ktrazo'umlas paradox.

  • The Climate Change scammers are not satisfied with dping develpoing countries to sabotage their own industrialization. Now the want to scam future archaeologists.
  • I cannot think of anything less valuable than "tweets, posts, news and headlines" unless your aim is to bullshit future generations into catastrophe and/or make us all look very bad. Even if you want to take a very charitable stance on, "news" nothing from twitter should ever be looked at, taken seriously, read, viewed, considered, acknowledged, or archived by anyone, ever. It is the epitome of our chronic oversimplification of our many complex problems.

    Scientific studies and a very closely curated versio

  • Remote location won't be much of a defense if saboteurs can log into it from anywhere on the internet. And FWIW Vandals [wikipedia.org]

    were a civilization too.

  • Even with climate change, there will be no downfall of civilization in our lifetime or many lifetimes to come. Doomers have been predicting that everything is going to end since the beginning of civilization. They are all wrong.
    • Doomers have been predicting that everything is going to end since the beginning of civilization. They are all wrong.

      They are all wrong so far! But one day, they will be right!

      And on that day, there won't be anyone to recognize that they were right all along, so... meh.

  • If you really want to preserve it.
    Wasn't that the anti-nukers big complaint on nuclear waste?
    Even if you put nuke waste in a subduction zone it will still resurface millions of years in the future ( long after we're all destroyed by climate change)
  • A note that notes that people who anticipate the downfall of civilization are the leading contributor to the fall of any civilization. People will did that cube up in 1000 years and laugh at the Debbie Downers.
  • through, those mythical "future archeologists" would probably be intrigued by that first time people stated fears from dying by warmer climate, while every environmental temperature induced mass deaths before that time were caused by periods of colder temperatures, usually by famines following harsh winters, cool summers and related crop failures.
  • Yeah, by the time the climate collapses, the solar panels will have had to be replaced a few dozen times and the "storage drives" will have failed multiple times over. This is nothing more than a marketing stunt. I'm surprised that they didn't laser-etch Greta on the sides.

  • "Facts are stupid things." -- President Ronald Reagan (a blooper from his speeach at the '88 GOP convention)

    "speeach", really?

  • Precisely documenting the downfall of human kind.
    Can I have a Brawndo now?

  • At least half of the facility should be recording to some sort of archival optical film,
    cataloged, stacked, and sealed. I realize that it wouldn't have the bandwidth
    and capacity that they are talking about, but just store the significant stuff.

    Front pages of significant publications and web sites. Just the top page of
    Google news, as slanted as it may be, would provide more than enough insight
    to our encroaching downfall. They don't need the sports scores and cat videos.

    It's a worthless idea anyway, except fo

  • 50 years of data? but the established re-set time for the sort of forcing we're applying to the Earth's systems is 100 to 200 thousand years.

    (This happened, a factor of "several" slower than we're doing it, around 55 million years ago. The faunal record shows a major transition with the extinction of Palaeocene-series organisms, and the evolution of a new Eocene flora and fauna (on land and in the oceans, microscopic to macroscopic sizes), about the 6th or 6th biggest mass extinction in terrestrial history

  • What a peculiarly over-dramatic thing to do.
    We're not going extinct, civilization as a whole is not going to fall. Human society will evolve and change as it always has, of course, but some minor climactic changes won't do us in. This is nothing more than an over-engineered time capsule, a vanity project for some attention-seeking activists.
  • Substituting belief and hope for thought and reality is what can cause a societal downfall.

    It would be like if instead of this they decided to design a superior human, one that could survive an ecological disaster, and the collapse of civilization.

  • We already have a black box that records everything. It's called The Internet:

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?... [youtube.com]

  • What are the lowest cost energy sources? Let's take a look at the numbers from studies by IPCC, IRENA, and IEA/NEA.
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/... [wikipedia.org]

    Bottom of the list is hydro. Nest to the bottom is keeping existing nuclear power plants running. This appears to include new reactors on the same sites where old reactors are decommissioned.
    Next on the list is onshore wind, utility scale solar, onshore wind, and geothermal. The order of those varies some depending on the study.
    Then comes new nuclear fission

  • What's happening is the drift to the extreme that characterizes all radical political or religious movements.

    In the present case, no mainstream opinion expects global warming to lead to the vanishing of human civilization on earth. The IPCC forecasts fairly unpleasant scenarios (though the more extreme ones are increasingly being downplayed). But they fall well short of catastrophe.

    However, the activists and alarmed adopt more and more extreme positions, which go way beyond the least likely scenarios of t

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