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Nord Stream Rupture May Mark Biggest Single Methane Release Ever Recorded, UN Says 604

The ruptures on the Nord Stream natural gas pipeline system under the Baltic Sea have led to what is likely the biggest single release of climate-damaging methane ever recorded, the United Nations Environment Programme said on Friday. Reuters reports: A huge plume of highly concentrated methane, a greenhouse gas far more potent but shorter-lived than carbon dioxide, was detected in an analysis this week of satellite imagery by researchers associated with UNEP's International Methane Emissions Observatory, or IMEO, the organization said. "This is really bad, most likely the largest emission event ever detected," Manfredi Caltagirone, head of the IMEO for UNEP, told Reuters. "This is not helpful in a moment when we absolutely need to reduce emissions."

Researchers at GHGSat, which uses satellites to monitor methane emissions, estimated the leak rate from one of four rupture points was 22,920 kilograms per hour. That is equivalent to burning about 630,000 pounds of coal every hour, GHGSat said in a statement. "This rate is very high, especially considering it's four days following the initial breach," the company said. The total amount of methane leaking from the Gazprom-led (GAZP.MM) pipeline system may be higher than from a major leak that occurred in December from offshore oil and gas fields in Mexican waters of the Gulf of Mexico, which spilled around 100 metric tons of methane per hour, Caltagirone said.

The Gulf of Mexico leak, also viewable from space, ultimately released around 40,000 metric tons of methane over 17 days, according to a study conducted by the Polytechnic University of Valencia and published in the journal Environmental Science & Technology Letters. That is the equivalent of burning 1.1 billion pounds of coal, according to the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency's Greenhouse Gas Equivalencies Calculator.
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Nord Stream Rupture May Mark Biggest Single Methane Release Ever Recorded, UN Says

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  • Purposeful (Score:4, Interesting)

    by edis ( 266347 ) on Sunday October 02, 2022 @10:40PM (#62932021) Journal

    What is crazy - this is purposeful act. UN has to make moves regarding an influential member, who is refusing to align, spreading all kind of havoc.

    • Re:Purposeful (Score:5, Insightful)

      by timeOday ( 582209 ) on Sunday October 02, 2022 @10:52PM (#62932045)
      Almost as crazy as flirting with blowing up or melting down a nuclear reactor in the same war a few weeks ago.
      • by edis ( 266347 )

        Almost as crazy as flirting with blowing up or melting down a nuclear reactor in the same war a few weeks ago.

        Do not forget to single out the same one, who hardly lets any week pass by without him shaking nuclear weaponry.

        • Re:Purposeful (Score:5, Interesting)

          by timeOday ( 582209 ) on Sunday October 02, 2022 @11:59PM (#62932165)
          It's crazy to think about. If you think there's a 5% chance of Russia taking the chance and using tactical nukes, and if that does occur a subsequent 20% chance of that snowballing into a full-scale exchange, that gives you a 1% chance of the world as we know it ending within the next year. Are those numbers unreasonable?
          • by edis ( 266347 )

            It's crazy to think about. If you think there's a 5% chance of Russia taking the chance and using tactical nukes, and if that does occur a subsequent 20% chance of that snowballing into a full-scale exchange, that gives you a 1% chance of the world as we know it ending within the next year. Are those numbers unreasonable?

            Those numbers are unreasonable, given generally weak maturity to drag war, melting resources, and poor motivation of their camp. Unfortunately, if main guy is made stay, chance of desperation to turn to nuke is rather 80%, with response following without delay to be expected at 95%. Which makes your result rather likely, would you want to admit it or not. Faking referendums on annexed territories is made some formal excuse to defend "theirs" now. Yes, world is endangered like never. War pig is after it.

            • Re:Purposeful (Score:5, Insightful)

              by DamnOregonian ( 963763 ) on Monday October 03, 2022 @02:40AM (#62932337)
              You think Russia discharging a nuclear weapon in Ukraine would lead to strategic nuclear retaliation from some other nuclear power?

              I hate to be the one to say this, but nobody's going to end the world over Ukraine. As much as we're loving seeing Russia get punked by them here and there, the worst that happens if Russia nukes Ukraine is the western world cuts off trad-

              Shit.
              • by edis ( 266347 )

                Response will follow, muscovites were warned. Nuclear is nuclear, critically new level of escalation, involving civilization as such. Some things have to remain out of excuses, therefore punishment inevitable to hurt hard.

                Do not forget, it is muscovites, who were to warrant integrity to Ukraine, when it gave up its nuclear heritage. One can't go crap all the time, will turn around. We don't know details, likely to unfold, but severe consequences for such toy more than likely. I would kick them out of UN for

                • Eyeroll.

                  They can't be kicked out of the UN. They're a chartered member of the UNSC.
                  There aren't a lot of consequence the world can impose on them that it hasn't already.

                  There isn't going to be military action against them if they decide to go this route. It's a fucked up situation, that's for sure, but you need a dose of realism.

                  What's the deal with the muscovite shit, anyway?
                  The Grand Duchy of Moscow hasn't existed for nearly 500 years.
                  Are you trying to give them a wartime pejorative name? I don't
                  • Re:Purposeful (Score:5, Interesting)

                    by mobby_6kl ( 668092 ) on Monday October 03, 2022 @04:53AM (#62932561)

                    Russia doing a nuclear first strike would be an unprecedented violation of of all norms and conventions (not to mention their own doctrine), basically maximum possible escalation and a threat to world order.

                    I doubt anyone would go full MAD in retaliation but all russian forces would be destroyed conventionally within weeks. This isn't just about Ukraine, it's about demonstrating that you can't just threaten (or use) nukes to get your way. Otherwise we will always have to back down the moment Putin or some other asshole implies the nukes could be used.

                    Muscovites is what we call russian imperialists. Yes I'm at war with russia so I get to use it, and you're welcome too. Fuck them.

                    Buuut. There's not going to be a nuke. Putin is bluffing, and buying into the panic is playing directly into his hand.

                    • Russia doing a nuclear first strike would be an unprecedented violation of of all norms and conventions (not to mention their own doctrine), basically maximum possible escalation and a threat to world order.

                      Couldn't agree more.

                      I doubt anyone would go full MAD in retaliation but all russian forces would be destroyed conventionally within weeks. This isn't just about Ukraine, it's about demonstrating that you can't just threaten (or use) nukes to get your way. Otherwise we will always have to back down the moment Putin or some other asshole implies the nukes could be used.

                      Nonsense.
                      Nobody would take a single fucking step into Russia, because they don't want their capital turned into a fucking smoking ruin. And right now, no one is sure Putin isn't crazy enough to pull the fucking trigger. After dropping a low yield nuke on his doorstep? Even less sure.

                      As you mentioned, this would be an unprecedented "oh fuck" moment for the planet. It's so freaky because it shows that the sane parties aren't wearing any pants.

                      The only way a single western unit is mobi

                    • Re:Purposeful (Score:5, Insightful)

                      by stealth_finger ( 1809752 ) on Monday October 03, 2022 @08:13AM (#62932931)

                      Nobody would take a single fucking step into Russia, because they don't want their capital turned into a fucking smoking ruin. And right now, no one is sure Putin isn't crazy enough to pull the fucking trigger. After dropping a low yield nuke on his doorstep? Even less sure.

                      Russia has demonstrated to world what a shitty, corrupt, rundown military they are currently trying to wield. I would honestly be surprised at this rate if they had more than a handful of nukes that are even useable let alone ready to be used.

                  • Re:Purposeful (Score:5, Insightful)

                    by drinkypoo ( 153816 ) <drink@hyperlogos.org> on Monday October 03, 2022 @05:19AM (#62932607) Homepage Journal

                    They can't be kicked out of the UN. They're a chartered member of the UNSC.

                    The other four members of the UNSC can do whatever they want if they don't want Russia to have a say. The idea that Russia "can't" be kicked out of the UN is bollocks. It wouldn't actually accomplish anything though.

                    If Russia nukes Ukraine, the world has three choices. 1) Let Russia do whatever it wants, this is a bad plan. 2) Invade Russia wholesale, this is also a bad plan. 3) Nuke Russia, this is a bad plan. But since all of the plans are bad, why not just save the trouble of invading and having the response be nuclear? It's smarter to just target all of Russia's known nuke sites and hit the button, because anything else just means Russia will probably launch more anyway... and more of them will fly.

                    And, this, friends, is why total nuclear disarmament is the only rational way to handle the nuclear weapons problem.

                    • The other four members of the UNSC can do whatever they want if they don't want Russia to have a say. The idea that Russia "can't" be kicked out of the UN is bollocks. It wouldn't actually accomplish anything though.

                      No, they cannot. The UN is established by treaty, treaty that has the force of law in the countries that compose the UN.
                      The UN can be re-formed (via new treaties), without Russia.
                      Russia cannot be kicked out of it. (Or it would have long, long ago)

                      If Russia nukes Ukraine, the world has three choices. 1) Let Russia do whatever it wants, this is a bad plan. 2) Invade Russia wholesale, this is also a bad plan. 3) Nuke Russia, this is a bad plan. But since all of the plans are bad, why not just save the trouble of invading and having the response be nuclear? It's smarter to just target all of Russia's known nuke sites and hit the button, because anything else just means Russia will probably launch more anyway... and more of them will fly.

                      Holy fuckballs. You just advocated for a first strike? Know you nothing of nuclear doctrine?
                      Russia cannot be disarmed in a first strike. Neither can the US. That's the only fucking reason the system works.
                      There is no way to know all of Russia's nuclear sites, b

                    • The total nuclear disarmament idea is great, but unfortunately just another "pie in the sky" idea that's not practical in our real world. Once any technology has been invented, you can't make it disappear or "un-invent" it.

                      It's simply impossible to enforce the idea, world-wide, that nobody will ever again build or hold onto a nuke. All such a thing would do is cause the dictators of 2-bit countries to try to get their hands on a few of them, knowing that everyone else disarmed. Then they'd hold a disproport

                    • Re:Purposeful (Score:4, Informative)

                      by quantaman ( 517394 ) on Monday October 03, 2022 @11:49AM (#62933705)

                      They can't be kicked out of the UN. They're a chartered member of the UNSC.

                      The other four members of the UNSC can do whatever they want if they don't want Russia to have a say. The idea that Russia "can't" be kicked out of the UN is bollocks. It wouldn't actually accomplish anything though.

                      If Russia nukes Ukraine, the world has three choices. 1) Let Russia do whatever it wants, this is a bad plan. 2) Invade Russia wholesale, this is also a bad plan. 3) Nuke Russia, this is a bad plan. But since all of the plans are bad, why not just save the trouble of invading and having the response be nuclear? It's smarter to just target all of Russia's known nuke sites and hit the button, because anything else just means Russia will probably launch more anyway... and more of them will fly.

                      And, this, friends, is why total nuclear disarmament is the only rational way to handle the nuclear weapons problem.

                      4. Use western air power to annihilate Russian forces in Ukraine.

                      You punish Russia without creating much of a path for escalation.

                    • Russia cannot be kicked out of it. (Or it would have long, long ago)

                      Cannot be kicked, can be replaced by another country with rights to the name.

                      This has already happened to a member of the Security Council, against their will.

                      "Russia" and its synonym "Red Rus" was until quite recently a name for lands west of Ukraine, after WW2 Stalin expel-shifted the population westwards, replacing Polish people by Ukrainians (Poland was "gifted" a lot of land stolen from Germany, Ukraine land stolen from Poland, Russia land stolen from Ukraine). But the name belongs to the land not mov

              • Re:Purposeful (Score:5, Insightful)

                by MachineShedFred ( 621896 ) on Monday October 03, 2022 @12:03PM (#62933753) Journal

                You think that China wants to see a mushroom cloud rising over eastern Europe?

                I have a feeling that Putin was told in no uncertain terms that China's tepid remaining enthusiasm for doing business with Russia will suddenly disappear if they cross that line. The last thing China wants is an us-or-them argument for doing business in the EU.

          • I sincerely doubt the 20% number is higher than 0.000000001%.

            As fucked up as it would be if the Russians nuked Ukraine (a defending, non-nuclear country with a GDP less than all but 13 US states), nobody is going to throw away their civilization over it.
            • It's not so much about Ukraine: if Russia gets away with it, then everyone else will be stuck kowtowing to them simply because they are insane enough to use nukes, and the choice will be let us invade or get nuked.

    • Russia is destroying itself. The spat with Ukraine is in effect Russians fighting Russians. About 800 years ago, Ukraine ruled Russia - the Kievan Rus empire. Russia was then liberated by Cengiz Khan, whos forces burned down everything.
    • Re: (Score:2, Troll)

      by SuperDre ( 982372 )

      But who did it? The Russians? No proof and doesn't really make sense as when they are allowed to provide gas again it's one of the biggest pipes for them.
      The US? now there is a big candidate as it's in their best interest, because Europe will have to turn to the US for delivering extra natural gas, also pointing fingers to the russians for the act might provoke even more allies into actually believing their lies.
      A third party? Ukrain? it might as it will put extra pressure on the rest of europe.
      But until yo

    • A purposeful act, or the end result of leaving a bunch of pressurized methane in a pipe on the sea floor for months on end where it builds up methane hydrate plugs which are extremely temperamental when disturbed. Like say... if a pipe corrodes due to zero maintenance and there's a sudden pressure drop.

  • The only thing that will stop putin's mad house from ruining the planet further is putin's destruction and it should be done ASAP. They are blackmailing the world with nuclear catastrophies and nuclear war all while poisoning the environment everywhere they can reach every day. https://chng.it/S4pLgf4psX [chng.it] sign this, promote it. Ukraine needs a thousand modern howitzers, hundreds of modern tanks, trucks, dozens of airplanes. Anti missile defence.

    This self inflicted sabotage of the pipelines is just a po

    • by edis ( 266347 )

      This self inflicted sabotage of the pipelines is just a political ploy to threaten the West further (look what we can do), while trying to weasel out of contract payments of billions of dollars.

      This. The guy became their number one savior by arranging explosions of the communal houses. Is famous distributor of novichok poison. Keeping consistency in style makes misleading hard.

    • The hope that Russian command will assassinate Putin, and the slightly less insane leader will follow.
      Then he will be assassinated, and an even slightly less insane dictator might follow.
      Enough iterations of this, and there will be a dictator that can be reasoned with. All without the threat of a nuclear holocaust.

      There are already a lot of sanctions against Russia in place. However, China and India, together about 2 billion customers, are all just dandy with Soviet foreign policy, and their patronage
      • by edis ( 266347 )

        Not quite so, India and China are not in good company with the new Hitler, even if they can resonate to the ideas of multi-culture world. He is reckless killer, poisoner, outright criminal. They both have started maintaining safe distance, recent summit has shown.

      • Re:more weapons now! (Score:4, Interesting)

        by drinkypoo ( 153816 ) <drink@hyperlogos.org> on Monday October 03, 2022 @05:35AM (#62932629) Homepage Journal

        There are already a lot of sanctions against Russia in place. However, China and India, together about 2 billion customers, are all just dandy with Soviet foreign policy, and their patronage negates all the leverage the western world has.

        China sold Russia the tires that left them stuck in the mud. China is refusing to sell Russia ammunition. The whole idea that China supports Russian military misadventure is foolish. They support Russia dying in a ditch. They have literally acted to that end.

    • I mean, Putin himself said that with his sham referendum, any attack on the 4 hijacked regions is now an attack on Russia. Personally, I'd read this as "Moscow is now a legitimate target".

  • by 93 Escort Wagon ( 326346 ) on Sunday October 02, 2022 @11:47PM (#62932149)

    But in practice he's somewhere between Dr. Evil and Mini-Me.

    • by Opportunist ( 166417 ) on Monday October 03, 2022 @01:41AM (#62932269)

      Pretty much this. Putin jokes pre-February were more along the lines of Chuck Norris jokes. Now they resemble the ones that we used to tell about Trump.

      An example. Pre-February:

      Jesus, Putin and the pope sit in a small boat on the Sea of Galilee. Jesus remarks "Folks, I'm thristy", hops out the boat, runs across the water, comes back with a few cans of soda. Putin says "We need some shade, too", hops out the boat, runs across the water, comes back with a huge umbrella. The pope finally says "I'm hungry", hops out the boat and sinks to the ground. Jesus and Putin lean over the edge, Jesus nods, "We should have told him where the stepping stones are". Putin: "What stones?"

      Post-February:

      Putin, a priest and a boy fly in a plane. The pilot suddenly comes screaming out of the cockpit, grabs one of the parachutes and jumps. Putin grabs one of the remaining two, remarks "Sorry, folks, but I'm the most important man in Russia!" and jumps. The priest tells the boy "Son, take the remaining parachute, I have lived my life, save yours." "No worries", said the boy, "we can both save our lives, the most important man in Russia just jumped with my schoolbag."

  • I came across a fascinating blog entry that claims the pipeline ruptures may be due to poor maintenance [thelawdogfiles.com]. No explosions, just stupid decisions.

    Interesting possibility anyway...

    • A considerable seismic event near the rupture was recorded, that matched that of an explosion.
      This negates the poor maintenance hypothesis.
    • There is independent reports that detected what is seismic event when the rupture happened that is consistent with explosives going off. https://www.theguardian.com/bu... [theguardian.com]
    • Two pipelines, and exactly those two and none of the rest that are in the area, rupture at pretty much the same time due to poor maintenance.

      If you believe that, I have a really cheap bridge for sale with a perfect view of San Francisco.

  • Nord Stream Rupture May Mark Biggest Single Methane Release Ever Recorded, UN Says

    Finally, Russia is #1!

  • so why isn't the US govt putting their resources behind finding out who was behind it? I'm a US citizen and I want to know who did it.
    • Probably because if they called it a crime against humanity then people may start investigating the amount of methane leaking from unlit flares due to poor oversight by the EPA in the Gulf States.

      This may be the biggest single methane release, but it's not much compared to what the oil industry (in the USA where they have a shitton of political power, as well as the rest of the world) pumps into the air.

  • As much as that pipe line had, a little positive feedback sees the tundra letting out just a wee bit more..
    I'll be lazy and let the gentle reader do the math.
  • Polytechnic University of Valencia...

    Hey, that's where I work! :-)

  • by smoot123 ( 1027084 ) on Monday October 03, 2022 @10:35AM (#62933393)

    The Gulf of Mexico leak, also viewable from space,

    My swimming pool is viewable from space. My car probably is too. "Viewable from space" doesn't really tell us much any more.

    (Before someone objects, I know Google satellite view isn't necessarily from a satellite. Many of the more detailed views are taken from aircraft. I have no idea whether my swimming pool can be seen from regular commercial satellite imagery.)

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