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The US Just Lost 26 Years' Worth of Progress On Life Expectancy (scientificamerican.com) 280

An anonymous reader quotes a report from Scientific American: With a few notable exceptions -- such as during the 1918 influenza pandemic, World War II and the HIV crisis -- life expectancy in the U.S. has had gradual upward trajectory over the past century. But that progress has steeply reversed in the past two years as COVID and other tragedies have cut millions of lives short. U.S. life expectancy fell by a total of 2.7 years (PDF) between 2019 and 2021 to 76.1 years -- the lowest it has been since 1996, according to provisional data recently released by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention's National Center for Health Statistics (NCHS). The drop was 3.1 years for male individuals and 2.3 years for female ones. Non-Hispanic Native American and Alaska Native peoples saw the biggest decline -- a staggering 6.6 years. But every racial and ethnic group suffered: life expectancy decreased by 4.2 years in the Hispanic population, by four years in the non-Hispanic Black population, by 2.4 years in the non-Hispanic white population and by 2.1 years in the non-Hispanic Asian population.

"Basically, all the gains between 1996 and 2019 are as if they never happened," says Elizabeth Arias, director of the U.S. life table program at the NCHS and co-author of a report on the new data. COVID deaths drove much of the decline as the country grappled with the world's worst pandemic in a century. But unintentional injuries -- largely driven by drug overdoses -- also played a significant role, the data show. Increases in deaths from heart disease, chronic liver disease and suicide also contributed. "This isn't supposed to happen," says Philip Cohen, a professor of sociology at the University of Maryland, who studies demographic trends and inequality. "I think it's a wake-up call for us ... that we can't put public health on autopilot; that we don't have this invisible hand of development just raising living standards over time." The drop in life expectancy would have been even more stark if it had not been partially offset by declines in influenza and pneumonia deaths, which were likely reduced by pandemic-related precautions such as masking and social distancing.

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The US Just Lost 26 Years' Worth of Progress On Life Expectancy

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  • by ozmartian ( 5754788 ) on Tuesday October 18, 2022 @10:33PM (#62978813) Homepage
    Medical care is pretty much free and we're doing fine. When are you guys going to stand up for yourselves? So much talk, with your guns, while you're getting f'd in the A in so many areas. Well done.
    • by Brain-Fu ( 1274756 ) on Tuesday October 18, 2022 @10:43PM (#62978831) Homepage Journal

      A significant number of people in the US refused to wear masks, refused to honor pandemic practices, and refused to get vaccinated. That wasn't the government or big business being oppressive. That was people being defiant and stupid for no good reason.

      Many of them watch Alex Jones or similar trumpet fake news about the vaccine killing more people than it saved and what-not. With that much ignorance being that popular, there is only so much that anyone can do.

      • by ShanghaiBill ( 739463 ) on Tuesday October 18, 2022 @10:58PM (#62978865)

        A significant number of people in the US refused to wear masks, refused to honor pandemic practices, and refused to get vaccinated.

        It wasn't just the USA. Other countries, such as Brazil and Hungary, with truth-denying right-wing governments, also had high death rates.

        The two areas hardest hit were Eastern Europe and Latin America.

        Covid death rates by country [wikipedia.org]

        • by AmiMoJo ( 196126 )

          To have a low death rate due to COVID a country needed two things.

          1. A government people try enough to cooperate with.
          2. Decisive action as early as possible.

          Some countries had one or the other, many had neither.

        • by mjwx ( 966435 ) on Wednesday October 19, 2022 @08:31AM (#62979843)

          A significant number of people in the US refused to wear masks, refused to honor pandemic practices, and refused to get vaccinated.

          It wasn't just the USA. Other countries, such as Brazil and Hungary, with truth-denying right-wing governments, also had high death rates.

          The two areas hardest hit were Eastern Europe and Latin America.

          Covid death rates by country [wikipedia.org]

          This. The US and UK (20th/22nd respectively in deaths per million) were the worst hit developed nations and both have a not-insignificant group of anti-govt/anti-science nutters. Even now they're trying to re-write history claiming that the lockdowns caused deaths.

          I was sitting in Colombia in 2021 when an American friend said to me "why are they (Colombia) doing so much better than we are"? The answer was simple, the Colombians shut up, masked up and took the fucking vaccine that was offered to them for free.

          Even Italy managed better than us and they had the supreme misfortune to get hit first (in the developed world). However the Italian lockdown was quite heavy handed. The US and UK also had the advantage of being in delivery of the first shipments of the vaccine (The UK certainly had one of the most aggressive rollouts).

          • by gweihir ( 88907 )

            I was sitting in Colombia in 2021 when an American friend said to me "why are they (Colombia) doing so much better than we are"? The answer was simple, the Colombians shut up, masked up and took the fucking vaccine that was offered to them for free.

            Indeed. Actual adults know that sometimes you have to do what you are told to do. Petulant children in adult bodies do not. The US has a lot of the latter.

        • by Trailer Trash ( 60756 ) on Wednesday October 19, 2022 @10:25AM (#62980233) Homepage

          I know we're pushing a narrative here, but, um, the US had 3160 deaths per million, and the UK had 3090 deaths per million. Meanwhile "truth-denying" Sweden had 1952, yet had no lockdowns or any of that. Denmark - where vaccines aren't even allowed now for those under age 50 - had 1225.

      • by DrXym ( 126579 ) on Wednesday October 19, 2022 @02:53AM (#62979229)
        Red states generally suffered worse than Blue states so that would appear to be the case. All the derpsters spreading their anti-mask, anti-vax, ivermectin brain damage did far more harm in states that pandered to their stupidity rather than enforcing social distancing and mask wearing.
        • Re: (Score:2, Informative)

          https://www.worldometers.info/... [worldometers.info]

          If you look at deaths per 100m, you'll see no real correlation between politics and death rates.

          There are red and blue states pretty mixed all the way through the stats. Plenty of red blue and purple with higher, mid range and lower rates all through the data.

          • by DrXym ( 126579 ) on Wednesday October 19, 2022 @04:43AM (#62979391)
            Here is an animated table [dangoodspeed.com] of deaths per million over time. With a couple of exceptions (e.g. Rhode Island & Utah) it is predominantly red at the top and predominantly blue at the bottom.
            • Of course, the counter-argument we are most likely to hear to that chart is "but over-reporting covid, dur-hur, people got paid to report death as covid, blah blah". It doesn't matter how much real evidence is reported, you will not change anyone's mind unfortunately. I even showed the excess deaths by ANY cause chart to a friend of mine - his response was it was because of over-reporting covid deaths (huh?) - even after explaining to him this was deaths by ANY cause, and if it wasn't covid, what the he

            • Tangential note: Utah has a high population of members of the Church of Jesus Christ of Latter-day Saints (Mormons) and the church has published official releases encouraging vaccination and mask-wearing. That might explain Utah's anomalous position. No idea about Rhode Island.

              https://newsroom.churchofjesus... [churchofjesuschrist.org]

      • The group that refuses to wear masks is definitely similar to the group that would ditch Obamacare.
      • Life Expectancy in the USA was already lower than most advanced countries, lower than the average for North America

        Now it's around the average for Latin America - and only slightly above the world average ....

      • by hyades1 ( 1149581 ) <hyades1@hotmail.com> on Wednesday October 19, 2022 @06:08AM (#62979505)

        I spoke to one of those people. He got really, really sick, but survived. This muppet told me, and I am not exaggerating even a little bit, that he got sick from some kind of virus. It wasn't COVID, though, because COVID doesn't exist.

        Every time an Alex Jones supporter dies, the average IQ of the United States edges up just a little.

      • by gweihir ( 88907 )

        A significant number of people in the US refused to wear masks, refused to honor pandemic practices, and refused to get vaccinated. That wasn't the government or big business being oppressive. That was people being defiant and stupid for no good reason.

        Yep, petulant irrational children in adult bodies. How supposedly grown men and women can be reduced to tears or a screaming fit by a small piece of cloth is beyond me. How anybody can refuse vaccination is as well. The only thing I can observe is that they are doing it to themselves because they understand nothing.

        Sometimes it even get bizarre: People that claim we only have Covid vaccines because of Trump, but that at the same time refuse to get vaccinated. On wonders how these people manage to navigate t

    • Which country had life expectancy go up during the pandemic?

    • Medical care is pretty much free and we're doing fine.

      Stop with this bullshit. Medical care is not "free". You pay for it with a higher tax rate and money is taken from you every paycheck. When you visit the doctor or buy pills, you're using that money.

      Saying medical care is "free" is like saying that shirt you bought is "free" because you're using money from your checking/savings account.

      • by The Evil Atheist ( 2484676 ) on Wednesday October 19, 2022 @07:42AM (#62979685)

        You pay for it with a higher tax rate and money is taken from you every paycheck.

        And in return, people don't have to take money out of their paycheck to pay for insurance that will cost more, and who will do whatever it takes to not pay up.

        It is effectively free, and in fact, by comparison, costs LESS than your system because people can afford to go to the doctor and catch things earlier and thus save a ton of money on early treatment.

        That money is gone either way, so in effect, it is free-to-negative in terms of real cost to both the individual and to the economy.

    • Oddly enough, the covid vaccines were free. Still are - the drugstore I use does both covid and flu vaccines for free every year.
    • It's lies, all lies I tell you! COVID is a hoax. Those million or so people didn't die of a virus, it was the vaccine. Bill Gates & George Soros are contaminating our precious bodily fluids & sapping our purity of essence with their "vaccine" & then controlling our weakened minds with an invisible Jewish space laser that Hillary Clinton operates from the basement of a small family-run pizzeria in Washington (I've heard the four cheeses margarita is excellent). Vaccines take away our freedom! We
    • A cruel and evil king had created the local peasants to stand up to oppose him, they were at the gates with pitch forks and torches. Other than sending the guards to fight them, he sent a couple of spies to convince those with pitchforks that those with the torches wanted their pitchforks, and those with torches that those with pitchforks wanted to take their torches.
      Shortly the peasants were fighting amongst themselves ignoring the king, and the conditions that got them there.

      In America, most Americans ar

    • Actually drug overdoses and suicide were a significant factor in deaths, as well as I'm sure a disease with a 50% chance of killing someone over 65 would prevent people from living to longer, thus lowering life expectancy. If you bothered to read what the CDC and NCHS said, they started making the "trend" comparison to 2019. Its pretty obvious that COVID and its side effects was the major cause for this drop in life expectancy. As covid ceases to be significant to the death rate, life expectancy rates sh

  • they did their own research.

    On the plus side, it means less republicans. So, win-win! Go natural selection. (which they don't believe in).

    • A lot of the people who "did their own research" at least had value by being part of some research after their demise.

  • There's been no "loss" of "progress". Medicine will continue to extend the lives of the living further; COVID just reduced the number of living. (OK, "just" is very harsh if your relative or friend was one of those who died.)

    These sorts of analyses are similar to the ones that say "on average, people only lived to the age of 25 in 17th century Virginia". The average life expectancy was 25 because 40% died in childhood; the expectancy for those that survived to adulthood is probably more like 50-60.

  • "Increases in deaths from heart disease, chronic liver disease and suicide also contributed". Well what a huge surprise, because COVID-19 causes all kinds of heart related issues (inflammation, heart attacks etc), liver disease, diabetes, ... It would be stupid to only look at the statistics of deaths caused by the acute infection, and it would be equally stupid to put the blame of other excess deaths solely on things like lack of exercise.
  • Dent's your average age down again. One of the larger US problems.
    Hope you guys get around to fixing them soon, it's a bit painful to watch to be honest.

    Godspeed!

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