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Earth

A Startup Is Releasing Particles Into the Atmosphere To Tweak the Climate 147

An anonymous reader quotes a report from MIT Technology Review: A startup claims it has launched weather balloons that may have released reflective sulfur particles in the stratosphere, potentially crossing a controversial barrier in the field of solar geoengineering. [...] Some researchers who have long studied the technology are deeply troubled that the company, Make Sunsets, appears to have moved forward with launches from a site in Mexico without any public engagement or scientific scrutiny. It's already attempting to sell "cooling credits" for future balloon flights that could carry larger payloads. Several researchers MIT Technology Review spoke with condemned the effort to commercialize geoengineering at this early stage. Some potential investors and customers who have reviewed the company's proposals say that it's not a serious scientific effort or a credible business but more of an attention grab designed to stir up controversy in the field.

Luke Iseman, the cofounder and CEO of Make Sunsets, acknowledges that the effort is part entrepreneurial and part provocation, an act of geoengineering activism. He hopes that by moving ahead in the controversial space, the startup will help drive the public debate and push forward a scientific field that has faced great difficulty carrying out small-scale field experiments amid criticism. "We joke slash not joke that this is partly a company and partly a cult," he says. Iseman, previously a director of hardware at Y Combinator, says he expects to be pilloried by both geoengineering critics and researchers in the field for taking such a step, and he recognizes that "making me look like the Bond villain is going to be helpful to certain groups." But he says climate change is such a grave threat, and the world has moved so slowly to address the underlying problem, that more radical interventions are now required. "It's morally wrong, in my opinion, for us not to be doing this," he says. What's important is "to do this as quickly and safely as we can."

[...] By Iseman's own description, the first two balloon launches were very rudimentary. He says they occurred in April somewhere in the state of Baja California, months before Make Sunsets was incorporated in October. Iseman says he pumped a few grams of sulfur dioxide into weather balloons and added what he estimated would be the right amount of helium to carry them into the stratosphere. He expected they would burst under pressure at that altitude and release the particles. But it's not clear whether that happened, where the balloons ended up, or what impact the particles had, because there was no monitoring equipment on board the balloons. Iseman also acknowledges that they did not seek any approvals from government authorities or scientific agencies, in Mexico or elsewhere, before the first two launches. "This was firmly in science project territory," he says, adding: "Basically, it was to confirm that I could do it." The company is already attempting to earn revenue from the cooling effects of future flights. It is offering to sell $10 "cooling credits" for releasing one gram of particles in the stratosphere -- enough, it asserts, to offset the warming effect of one ton of carbon for one year. "What I want to do is create as much cooling as quickly as I responsibly can, over the rest of my life, frankly," Iseman says, adding later that they will deploy as much sulfur in 2023 as "we can get customers to pay us" for. The company says it has raised $750,000 in funding from Boost VC and Pioneer Fund, among others, and that its early investors have also been purchasing cooling credits.
Shuchi Talati, a scholar in residence at American University who is forming a nonprofit focused on governance and justice in solar geoengineering, was highly critical of the company's scientific claims, stressing that no one can credibly sell credits that purport to represent such a specific per gram outcome, given vast uncertainty at this stage of research.

"What they're claiming to actually accomplish with such a credit is the entirety of what's uncertain right now about geoengineering," she says. Talati adds that it's hypocritical for Make Sunsets to assert they're acting on humanitarian grounds, while moving ahead without meaningfully engaging with the public, including with those who could be affected by their actions. "They're violating the rights of communities to dictate their own future," she says.
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A Startup Is Releasing Particles Into the Atmosphere To Tweak the Climate

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  • Oh boy (Score:3, Insightful)

    by LondoMollari ( 172563 ) on Tuesday December 27, 2022 @10:34PM (#63162848) Homepage

    I'm not sure we should be trusting a startup with this. And what ever happened to emissions laws? Do I get to create a startup and roll coal in thousands of F450 trucks?

    • Re:Oh boy (Score:5, Interesting)

      by sg_oneill ( 159032 ) on Wednesday December 28, 2022 @03:30AM (#63163124)

      Thats why the fucker is doing it in mexico instead of california.

      Its *stupid*. Of all the geoengineering ideas, sulphur is the worst, because of ocean acidity (which, btw reduces the oceans ability to absorb CO2).

      Like fuck, at least do one of the safer experiments. Water vapor towers around the arctic. Raise the albedo, slow down warming of greenland and the siberian permafrost. At least with that idea, if it backfires you just stop doing it.

      • Yeah if he's using something that can worsen ocean acidity, a problem which already goes completely unabated by any kind of SRM efforts, then he's ruined a trolling masterstroke with legitimate ecological concerns. Mind you an average semi-truck probably releases more of this stuff over the course of a normal work day than one of these balloons and nobody's batting an eye...

      • So a lot of ultrasonic humidifiers running at the same time in the artic will make the temperature go down? Let's do it, pronto!
        • The concepts a bit less low tech. You basically build a big bunch of giant chimneys on barges in a ring around the arctic, and just spray seawater into the air.

          There was a study on it once that priced the towers at about 2mil each, and you'd build a few hundred of them, and they calculated you could drop the temps around the arctic by about 2c.

    • Re:Oh boy (Score:5, Informative)

      by Luckyo ( 1726890 ) on Wednesday December 28, 2022 @06:25AM (#63163230)

      What are you trusting this startup with exactly? They're releasing irrelevant amount of particles into the atmosphere to sell indulgences to people who went too deep into "planet is going to die in 12 years if we don't destroy our way of life" cult.

      It's a harmless way to let some people alleviate some of their extreme anxiety. Nothing more, nothing less.

      • My problem isn't his scam. It's obviously stupid and has no effect.

        The moron who comes after him, using this guy as his precedent, who actually does do something impactful is the one that concerns me.

        • by Luckyo ( 1726890 )

          We dump an absolute shit ton of CO2 in the atmopshere as a whole. In last fourty years, all we managed is a measly 0,3 degrees celcius rise. And that's coupled with the natural post ice age warming trend.

          Forgive me for not worrying about "the next guy with big delusions about how he'll change climate" against backdrop of reality.

          • No one has yet tried to intentionally alter the atmosphere in a real way. Everything has just been the unintended side effect of industry and general population growth.

            With enough money, and there are numerous billionaires out there who effectively control their governments, and less than 50-100 years they could wreak havoc.

            • by Luckyo ( 1726890 )

              So your argument went from "The moron who comes after him, using this guy as his precedent, who actually does do something impactful is the one that concerns me" to....

              "With enough money, and there are numerous billionaires out there who effectively control their governments, and less than 50-100 years they could wreak havoc."

              Yes, I'm sure that if most of humanity was really focused on this for a century, we could do a thing or two. Heck, it's actually not that hard. Just detonate enough nukes just below th

  • by SuperKendall ( 25149 ) on Tuesday December 27, 2022 @10:38PM (#63162858)

    With no monitoring gear on the test at all, plainly all the launches were for was to get attention... attention for investor dollars, which they can basically run off with by claiming that a $1 mylar balloon costs $1 million to assemble and launch, and in tern provide valuable carbon credits for investors.

    No way this is not a giant scam.

    • by gweihir ( 88907 )

      Yep, my take as well. Similar scams have worked nicely in the past tough, and this one may work too.

    • Similar to how the plastic industry pushes recycling when they know it doesn't actually reduce the amount of plastic in landfills and our water supply the oil industry is pushing various fake carbon capture schemes and geoengineering now that they can no longer pretend climate change isn't having negative impacts.
    • by Shaitan ( 22585 )

      A balloon which actually does the job costs maybe $100-$200 hundred bucks rather than $1. Monitoring equipment would be another couple hundred but be reusable. Ham clubs do this all the time.

      The amount of carbon he's claiming to offset is sketchy but otherwise there is no need for it to be a scam.

  • Safely, huh? (Score:5, Insightful)

    by kmoser ( 1469707 ) on Tuesday December 27, 2022 @10:51PM (#63162882)
    "What's important is "to do this as quickly and safely as we can" says the guy who deliberately spread sulfur in the atmosphere without any controls or monitoring.
    • by Reziac ( 43301 ) *

      Isn't that precisely what was supposedly causing acid rain??

      Further, are they bonded so we can sue them when falling temperatures lead to widespread crop failures and famine??

  • by I don't want to spen ( 638810 ) on Tuesday December 27, 2022 @10:51PM (#63162886) Journal
    I bet he read Neil Stephenson: Termination Shock, but wasn't a billionaire.
    • heh - I just finished reading this a few weeks ago..

      Very much not a billionaire, he just sent up a few grams of sulfur according to the summary... Maybe will add a few raindrops to Cuba? Watch out for unspecifically-enhanced soldiers! Tho by the sounds of it wouldn't take much more than a pellet gun to stymie operations at this point.

    • More likely, Kim Stanley Robinson: The Ministry for the Future

  • You're just one of those run of the mill, ordinary assholes with more money than sense.

  • I get that Talati disagrees with what this company is doing but the fact that they didn't consult people about what to do doesn't make them hypocritical. It means they have different views about what's helpful than you do.

    And it's not like Talati made sure to ask people before *not* releasing particles into the atmosphere. This attitude imposes a huge status quo bias (any action you take that affects the status quo needs affirmative approval but not taking that action doesn't).

    • Status quo bias? Aka, don't let some random fucks do stupid shit and change things just because so they can scam up a few bucks from other people with more money than brains.

      This clown has NO IDEA what's he's doing and thankfully he's done so little it will have zero impact on the planet.

      Before ANYONE starts doing some crazy ass geo-engineering on the only planet we have we absolutely REQUIRE a "status quo bias" of monumental proportions so they can PROVE what they're doing will ONLY improve the planet, BE

  • by RightwingNutjob ( 1302813 ) on Tuesday December 27, 2022 @11:46PM (#63162956)

    On the one hand you've got religion-caliber certitude that Man is a sinner and must repent. On the other you've got people ready to sell indulgences to the highest bidder.

    It's only because the climate-woke usually don't bother with learning history *and* think they're too smart to get conned that it works.

  • by locater16 ( 2326718 ) on Wednesday December 28, 2022 @12:10AM (#63162972)
    Off the top of my head, which I should know because of what I do for a living, I'm like 99% sure they're violating a UN treaty banning large scale, long term atmospheric modification here.

    I wonder who arrests them? I guess Mexico is a signatory to the treaty so they're probably obliged, and it doesn't sound like these morons have enough bribe money to keep them out of jail.
    • I'm like 99% sure they're violating a UN treaty banning large scale, long-term atmospheric modification here.

      1. What UN treaty? Citation needed.

      2. They aren't doing anything "large scale". "Micro scale" is more accurate.

      3. They aren't doing anything "long term" either. SO2 has a mean lifetime in the atmosphere of ten days.

      • 1. XXVII In the Chapter of UN treaties, but ultimately it's irrelevant as even if this was large enough to matter, Mexico is not a signatory and never ratified it.

    • a UN treaty banning large scale, long term atmospheric modification here

      Geez, they're not enforcing that very well, since that's what we've been doing since the steam age.

      • It is probably

        a UN treaty banning large scale, long term atmospheric modification here On Purpose

        And one would argue that for *most* of the industrial age, the modifications were ‘accidental’

    • by Shaitan ( 22585 )

      "Off the top of my head, which I should know because of what I do for a living"

      Are you a phrenologist?

      "they're violating a UN treaty... I wonder who arrests them?"

      UN treaties carry no force of law. Nations then, on a voluntary basis, implement their own laws in order to comply with the terms. Even if they have beyond some policy changes it is unlikely anyone goes around enforcing them unless there is some kind of highly visible public backlash.

  • by greytree ( 7124971 ) on Wednesday December 28, 2022 @12:21AM (#63162986)
    "there was no monitoring equipment on board the balloons"

    What a shit experiment.
    • So, all they really know is that they released some balloons. They have no way of knowing whether any of them functioned properly and actually released anything into the stratosphere. In fact, does anyone have any evidence that the balloons carried any sort of real payload?

      • He says he did it to see if he could. So he was the audience for the test. He has memory of if he put the stuff in, or not, and if he released it, or not. That memory will serve as effective evidence for himself, the entire audience. If the balloon contained the amount of helium he believed it did, then it most likely released the contents at the intended altitude. It isn't exactly rocket science.

        Everybody wants to criticize him, but much of the criticism is... weak, and lacks critical thinking.

        • by Shaitan ( 22585 )

          Was his ability to put the stuff in and let go of the balloon in doubt? Because that is all there is to 'he could.' It seems to me the purpose of the experiment was PR.

          • Well, like most people, you have a hard time with tenses. Times. Existential reality.

            If he says he did it to prove to himself that he could, then 100% of the evidence you have is that he wasn't sure that he could. That's not a hard one.

            He did it months before creating the company, and only admits to it now. It seems that he didn't have any need for the PR at the time, and only now decided that he might get that value out of it. It is... not a high quality argument. It relies on him being as stupid and incom

            • by Shaitan ( 22585 )

              "If he says he did it to prove to himself that he could, then 100% of the evidence you have is that he wasn't sure that he could."

              No, that isn't 100% of the evidence. His statement might be evidence but it isn't credible evidence and the only data with ANY meaning we can extract from it is the path it points toward. The only thing credibly supported by evidence is that he made a claim... dramatically trying to spin himself as some sort of daredevil. The audience of the claim (media) and attempting to spin a

      • by Shaitan ( 22585 )

        In fairness people do this all the time. Ham clubs often send up balloons like this equipped with cameras to take horizon pictures and such and there are online calculators for the amount of helium to use, the type of balloons, etc.

        While I agree it is a shit experiment there really isn't much to experiment with just add a gram of SO2 into the balloon, fill it per the calculator and it'll go up there and pop.

    • Every kid has lost a balloon at a birthday party.
    • It was not an "experiment," it was a test of the ability to assemble and launch the balloons.

      It would have been a better to have instrumentation allowing a more complete analysis, sure. And perhaps that has also been done, or is planned. But it is a normal part of the engineering process to throw together an ad-hoc prototype to prove some concept within the design arena, even just "can we assemble it?"

      It is laughable that educated people mistake an act of engineering, the making of a thing, with a study, wh

      • So they succeeded in a test of assembling a balloon just like thousands of others have done, and they don't know if they assembled it correctly.

        What a shit test.

        What a pathetic comment.
  • Now India can send a hit squad into Mexico!

    Yes, someone already said Termination Shock

  • Coal power stations do exactly that and release copious amounts of sulfur into the upper atmosphere. So, just burn more coal. Simples.
  • Here we go again... (Score:2, Interesting)

    by tiqui ( 1024021 )

    When people started burning stuff, and pumping CO and CO2 into the atmosphere, nobody saw any global downside. It was thousands of years before people suddenly (in historical terms) decided that CO2 in the atmosphere was a terrible planet-killing thing.

    With CFCs, some people at a company came up with something cool and beneficial, and started releasing it into the atmosphere. A few decades later people were screaming about holes in the ozone layer and the stuff was banned.

    It can take a long time to see all

    • The industrial revolution was only 120 years ago, and back then the air in London was black with coal dust.
    • When people started burning stuff, and pumping CO and CO2 into the atmosphere, nobody saw any global downside.

      A couple points - burning things like wood simply releases any carbon in them a bit quicker than it would have if it just rotted, and other things like burning petro oil from seepages would be pretty miniscule.

      The other thing is not long after we got serious about releasing sequestered CO2, it was known what the greenhouse effect was. Joseph Fourier identified the energy retention characteristics of an atmosphere based on it's gaseous composition in 1824, and some other scientists ran with that in the 18

  • by karlandtanya ( 601084 ) on Wednesday December 28, 2022 @03:49AM (#63163126)

    Isn't sulfur dioxide a major contributor to acid rain [epa.gov]?

  • Sulfuric acid is a major component of acid rain. Acid rain can damage forests and crops, change the acidity of soils, and make lakes and streams acidic and unsuitable for fish.

    Our kids future is truly fucked.

  • Can't we at least get them for littering, and creating a nuisance?

    "yes sir, Officer Obie, I cannot tell a lie. I put that envelope under that garbage."

  • by dskoll ( 99328 )

    SO2 in the atmosphere? Creates acid rain. Wonderful stuff.

    Of course, the amount they're likely to be able to put into the atmosphere will do precisely nothing.

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