Warning of Unprecedented Heatwaves as El Nino Set To Return in 2023 49
The return of the El Nino climate phenomenon later this year will cause global temperatures to rise "off the chart" and deliver unprecedented heatwaves, scientists have warned. From a report: Early forecasts suggest El Nino will return later in 2023, exacerbating extreme weather around the globe and making it "very likely" the world will exceed 1.5C of warming. The hottest year in recorded history, 2016, was driven by a major El Nino.
It is part of a natural oscillation driven by ocean temperatures and winds in the Pacific, which switches between El Nino, its cooler counterpart La Nina, and neutral conditions. The last three years have seen an unusual run of consecutive La Nina events. This year is already forecast to be hotter than 2022, which global datasets rank as the fifth or sixth hottest year on record. But El Nino occurs during the northern hemisphere winter and its heating effect takes months to be felt, meaning 2024 is much more likely to set a new global temperature record.
It is part of a natural oscillation driven by ocean temperatures and winds in the Pacific, which switches between El Nino, its cooler counterpart La Nina, and neutral conditions. The last three years have seen an unusual run of consecutive La Nina events. This year is already forecast to be hotter than 2022, which global datasets rank as the fifth or sixth hottest year on record. But El Nino occurs during the northern hemisphere winter and its heating effect takes months to be felt, meaning 2024 is much more likely to set a new global temperature record.
1,5 degrees since when? (Score:1)
Trust the Science: Buy more Tesla's. (Score:1)
Everybody needs to pay their fair share to mitigate climate change. Buy more Tesla's, stop drinking carbonated beverages, don't eat meat, install solar panels, and learn to code.
Re: Trust the Science: Buy more Tesla's. (Score:3)
stop drinking carbonated beverages
fuck you if you think I'm drinking flat beer to save the world!
Re: (Score:2)
"Everybody needs to pay their fair share to mitigate climate change. Buy more Tesla's,"
Teslas don't have apostrophes, so that's out.
" stop drinking carbonated beverages,"
Almost 20% of the gas is used to maker fertilizer and CO2 is the waste project.
Re: (Score:2, Insightful)
It sounds like you're questioning the science. Don't question the science.
You're an idiot. Science is meant to be questioned, just don't deny the science.
Re: (Score:3)
Oh no, an anonymous coward didn't get the sarcasm and called _me_ an idiot. Whatever will i do?
Seriously, i wish slashdot would stop with these obvious FUD submissions, not that it would save whatever is left of the site's reputation, but it's turning away the few readers that are still around.
Re: (Score:3)
Questioning science =/= demanding absolute, 100% perfect proof. You climate deniers are so far past reasonable questioning you drive off a cliff, crashed your logic, crawled out of the wreckage, doused yourself in gasoline and lit yourself on fire.
At this point, the people who “question” AGW are not really engaged in ligitimate debate and discussion. You fall into the same category as the flat earth-earthers and t
Re: (Score:2)
You climate deniers
Climate C H A N G E.
Yes, I'm gladly gonna die on this pedantic hill, KEEPING IN one extra word doesn't hurt anyone, and makes your statement, IDK, actually make sense? Because the actual focus, the issue at hand (climate change) is actually made clear?
Are we really so lazy that we need to omit one word, even when it affects how sensible a statement or claim sounds?
Re: (Score:2)
Yeah, you're still not getting it, you blind fool.
I'm not denying anything, it was a sarcastic comment, like it said, in the style of these FUD articles that pock slashdot like cancerous growths.
But, you have your comment ready, probably saved there in a file, for when these submissions that belong on reddit, but not on slashdot, get posted again.
Enjoy your little echochamber, and don't forget to think, once in a while.
Or better yet, just stay at reddit.
Re: (Score:2)
Oh no, an anonymous coward didn't get the sarcasm and called _me_ an idiot.
You were expressing an opinion that about 40% of the population actually believes, including many here on Slashdot, so there is no way for anyone to "know" that you are just pretending to be an idiot.
Re: (Score:2)
Management suppress the information of course.
What we've seen since then is people like the Koch brothers pouring vast amounts of money into propaganda that has politicised the issue to the point where republicans have backed themselves into a corner and have no way out.
Re: (Score:2)
cL1MATE cHANG3
Don't question the $cience
Re: 1,5 degrees since when? (Score:3)
Presumably 1.5ÂC above the average pre-industrial year.
Re: 1,5 degrees since when? (Score:5, Informative)
Almost precisely.
From the article;
The greenhouse gases emitted by human activities have driven up average global temperature by about 1.2C to date...
There's a lovely webcomic by XKCD [xkcd.com] that shows the general timeline. Look for the swoop at the bottom... that's what the climate folks want to bend back closer to a straight line.
Re: (Score:2)
The greenhouse gases emitted by human activities have driven up average global temperature by about 1.2C to date...
Just a few days ago there was another article here on /. that said 1.1 degrees to date. So at that rate we will probably hit 1.5 by next Wednesday.
Re: (Score:3)
Ooooh, wait, there's an XKCD for that [xkcd.com], too!
Re: 1,5 degrees since when? (Score:2)
Re: (Score:2)
What are they benchmarking against? There's no way it means 1.5c in one year, and I have strong suspicions about the measurement methods as well.
Yeah! 4.5 Billion years ago, the entire surface of the earth was covered in molten lava! That's the original baseline!!
It's still nowhere near as hot as that!!! So we're all fine!!!!
Derp!! Derp!!
I mean... (Score:1, Troll)
...even Chicken Little *eventually* shut up.
Fundamentally incorrect (Score:3, Informative)
The difference between El Nino and La Nina - the two sides of the El Nino Southern Oscillation (ENSO) - is not really that one event is warm and one is cold. It's a difference in which parts of the equatorial Pacific are warm and which are cold (hence the term "oscillation" in the name).
In El Nino, the waters at the western end (near Australia) are cooler, and the waters near South America are warmer. In La Nina, it's the opposite.
https://www.climate.gov/enso [climate.gov]
This year's La Nina has been somewhat atypical in regards to US West Coast weather (which is where the ENSO's effects are the most pronounced)... but that's just how probability works. I imagine the California water managers are happy about it.
(I didn't bother trying the Spanish "en-yay" here on Slashdot, given the site has trouble enough with plain ASCII - unless it's being used for ASCII-art swastikas)
Re: (Score:1, Funny)
it's fÃckÃng ridicuous
Re: (Score:2)
We've putting up with atmospheric rivers for a couple of weeks here on the West coast. It has been kinda hard, but we need the water so badly. I live not so far from a river, it was close to spilling over last week, have not seen the river like that since an El Nino in 1997/8. We really are terrible about capturing much of the water. That river was pushing around 900,000,000 gallons per second, headed right for the ocean. I think they said that storm brought 18 trillion gallons, would be great if we could
Re: (Score:2)
* 900,000 gallons/sec my bad.
Re: (Score:2)
I live north of you - Washington state. Typically in a La Nina winter we'd have even more rain than usual, since the Jet Stream would be aimed right at us much of the time. This winter hasn't been all that bad - we've still had bouts of rain, but also some nice dry and relatively warm days (lower 50s F) like today. Overall, our weather has been just a sideshow (pretty literally) to the main event that's been pummelling northern California.
Re: (Score:1)
The volcanic cooling from Tonga is dissipating so they're trying to capitalize on it for fear - hoping people will forget.
Which they will.
Re: (Score:1)
Children .. (Score:2)
That's Not What It Means... (Score:2)
If climatologists are indeed worried about a single year above 1.5 degrees, we should definitely be questioning their methods.
Re: That's Not What It Means... (Score:2)
Goodbye Great Barrier Reef (Score:3)
I wish I could go there once before it dies, but that’s not likely to happen.
Re: (Score:2)
"off the chart"...? (Score:2)
Great (Score:2)
I'm just about to plan my holidays for this year.
Forecasting is bullsh*t (Score:1)
This is nothing more than FUD. There are news stories that state that temperature records were set this past year and also there was no warming this past year.
Re: Forecasting is bullsh*t (Score:2)
Thank God... (Score:2)
Warning of Unprecedented Climate posts on Slashdot (Score:2)
The return of the El Nino climate phenomenon later this year will cause the pace of climate change posts on slashdot, already considered by many to be nothing short of an infestation -- to increase levels unseen since the last cycle of this oceanic weather pattern. Buckle down, mate.