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'Mind-boggling' Methane Emissions From Turkmenistan Revealed (theguardian.com) 134

AleRunner shares a report: Methane leaks alone from Turkmenistan's two main fossil fuel fields caused more global heating in 2022 than the entire carbon emissions of the UK, satellite data has revealed. Emissions of the potent greenhouse gas from the oil- and gas-rich country are "mind-boggling," and an "infuriating" problem that should be easy to fix, experts have told the Guardian. The data produced by Kayrros for the Guardian found that the western fossil fuel field in Turkmenistan, on the Caspian coast, leaked 2.6m tonnes of methane in 2022. The eastern field emitted 1.8m tonnes. Together, the two fields released emissions equivalent to 366m tonnes of CO2, more than the UK's annual emissions, which are the 17th-biggest in the world. Methane emissions have surged alarmingly since 2007 and this acceleration may be the biggest threat to keeping below 1.5C of global heating, according to scientists. It also seriously risks triggering catastrophic climate tipping points, researchers say.
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'Mind-boggling' Methane Emissions From Turkmenistan Revealed

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  • Stop (Score:5, Interesting)

    by RitchCraft ( 6454710 ) on Tuesday May 09, 2023 @01:45PM (#63509173)
    Placing an embargo on their natural resources until they clean up their act may help. If nations are truly interested in slowing global warming them these types of measures will need to be enacted by all nations concerned.
    • Re: (Score:3, Informative)

      I'm not so sure it will. Embargos and sanctions really only work if the powers that be:

      • * Are personally affected by the sanctions, or
      • * They give a shit about the well-being of the people who are

      And I don't know how much you know about Turkmenistan, but the "National Leader of the Turkmen People" is completely batshit insane. https://www.youtube.com/watch?... [youtube.com] Considering that and the fact that the little trade it does do is almost entirely with China, I don't think Berdimuhamedow will have an issue hunkering

      • Yes, I see your point. Then the free and sane nations of the world need to band together and throw over tinpot dictatorships. Start with a complete blockade of the country in question. Nations are never going to achieve environmental goals while countries like this exist. Dictatorships, communists, fascists, etc need to be wiped from the human experience. That's only going to happen with a strong will from the free world.
    • will need to be enacted by all nations concerned

      And that's where we are going to fail. Humans are selfish. Even collective humans are selfish. If some nations embargo the resources it drives down their value which other nations see as a potential benefit to them.

      Russian oil is currently embargoed. Yet they are trading at higher volumes than ever before 16 million tonnes / month vs 11 million back when the war started. The difference is rather than 50% of it going to the EU, only 5% goes to the EU now while the remainder goes to Non-EU/Non-G7 countries.

      So

  • Who runs those fields? Some tinpot dictator's incompetent nephew? I'm not a fan of de-sequestering mind boggling amounts of fossil carbon but harvesting this gas would not only be profitable, it would also literally be the lesser of two evils since CO2 is 25 times less potent than methane as a greenhouse gas.

    • Re: (Score:2, Interesting)

      by tyle ( 1243518 )
      Funny you should say that, they have another field that's been on fire for decades. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/... [wikipedia.org]
    • I don't know anything about oil fields but I am guessing that the issue is more complex than you imagine.
      • Re:Burn it? (Score:5, Insightful)

        by higuita ( 129722 ) on Tuesday May 09, 2023 @04:22PM (#63509575) Homepage

        it is usually about money, oil is much more expensive than gas, so the oil field product is oil... gas is a sub-product that is annoying to work with and have higher cost to contain and later transport... so if there is no gas pipeline or demand around, many oil fields simply burn it (for security reasons mostly, only more recently people care about the environment)
        Add to that the URSS time equipment, lack of proper maintenance, you get a money bag for the oil and a small issue with the gas, that no ones in charge cares

      • I don't know anything about oil fields but I am guessing that the issue is more complex than you imagine.

        Actually it's not. Flaring of oil is cheap and trivial. The only complexity is that it leaves a marker for a community to complain about (seeing fire and smoke vs seeing nothing and thinking incorrectly that there's nothing to be concerned about).

        What isn't trivial is flare gas recovery and reuse but that's not what the OP is talking about. It's like the difference between an intelligent automatic breaking system in a car and a seatbelt, which is a pretty apt comparison given the few people who wear seatbel

    • by ghoul ( 157158 )
      Methane dissipates faster than CO2 so its long term effects are less than CO2
      • Methane dissipates faster than CO2 so its long term effects are less than CO2

        Nope. It converts into CO2 and then has all the problems of CO2 in addition.

        • by ghoul ( 157158 )
          Some converts to CO2. But most of it dissipates in other forms. CH4 is a lot lighter than CO2 so it rises much higher in the atmosphere. Beyond the tropopause there is temperature inversion so greenhouse gases at those altitudes do not contribute to warming.
      • Methane has a higher GWP than CO2 in both short and long terms. Its conversion to CO2 is actually a small fraction of its warming impact. If methane must be wasted, it should be flared. It's easy and cheap.

  • Considering the third world status of Turkmenistan, one would think they would want to NOT lose all that methane and instead capture it for sale.

    • by XXongo ( 3986865 )
      depends on how much it costs to plug the leaks or capture it.

      It may be more cost effective for them to simply ignore the leaks and instead just pump more gas.

    • Maybe the crypto bros should show up and offer to run generators and Bitcoin miners with the excess Methane that's currently being wasted. I keep hearing about how they want to save the planet (So governments stop threatening to regulate them), so it would be nice to see them take some action for a change.

    • by higuita ( 129722 )

      to capture you need to have proper equipment and installations, that need to be build/added ... oil is MUCH more expensive than gas, they get money with oil, for the gas, they may think it is not worth the investment... also there is the demand, they are far away for the main consumers and there is no real demand around them, so either a pipeline or good transport is needed, that both will require investment or higher final cost... the end result is that gas is a sub-product of oil and is many time just bur

    • Their dictator doesn't give a shit about that. He has enough money to live in luxury and this is all what counts.

  • This is fine... https://methanelevels.org/ [methanelevels.org]
  • may be the biggest threat to keeping below 1.5C of global heating, according to scientists

    If models are correct, then there is no way we will do what it takes to keep global heating below 1.5C. That's not something we are collectively willing to do. So glwt.

    • Until we get ALL nations to stop increasing and ideally get all nations that are above the current global average to start dropping, we are screwed.
      • Re:Exactly (Score:4, Interesting)

        by znrt ( 2424692 ) on Tuesday May 09, 2023 @05:22PM (#63509689)

        we're not all screwed and that's the problem because that's why the powers that be won't do squat (except parroting and save face, and they have professionals for that).

        what will happen is that over time many ecosystems will collapse, extreme weather will devastate some areas and make life unbearable in others, some real estate will loose all value while some other will bloom, and people that aren't equipped to react to these changes will suffer enormously and will even die. and global warning isn't even the only menace. we have pollution, collapsing water cycle, virus and resistance to antibiotics, etc, and last but not least the social and political unrest that will ensue as all this shit show slowly unfolds.

        that's why it's all about money, because right now having enough money is the only thing that will allow you and your offspring to cope with all this.

        i think deep down everybody understands this, even climate change deniers, so all they care about is making more money to be better off as the shit hits the fan, which actually worsens the situation because most ways of getting richer these days involve warming and pollution. this is why this "problem" has no solution, and when something has no solution then it isn't a problem at all. get ready. green propaganda won't save you.

        • by ghoul ( 157158 )
          A UN study by IPCC studied flooding in Bangladesh due to Global Warming. If Bangladesh stops using all fossil fuels and moves to a completely renewable energy economy in 70 years they predicted half of Bangladesh population dead due to flooding/sea level rise and famine. For the alternate case they studied if Bangladesh went full steam ahead with development based on fossil fuels in 70 years they would be able to afford Netherlands style dykes and the population would be safe and much richer.

          Obviously no
          • If the reports is there, then YOU give the link. Do not waste our time with total BS.
            You are a ghoul because you are spreading lies, like Amipro and the other trolls.
        • what will happen is that over time many ecosystems will collapse, extreme weather will devastate some areas and make life unbearable in others, some real estate will loose all value while some other will bloom, and people that aren't equipped to react to these changes will suffer enormously and will even die.

          The issue is you consider areas in isolation, likely out of ignorance of just how interconnected our ecosystems are. It normally takes a serious upset to identify how these ecosystems affect each other.

          E.g. in February last year, what even is a Ukraine, has anyone heard of this nothing country before? What do you mean it's caused a continental food crisis and they were responsible for 15% of the global grain production suddenly causing poorer countries to starve literally due to something happening on the o

          • E.g. in February last year, what even is a Ukraine, has anyone heard of this nothing country before?

            If somebody has never heard of Ukraine before, then that person is very ignorant (Chernobyl anybody?Chicken Kyiv? Milla and Mila).

          • by znrt ( 2424692 )

            The issue is you consider areas in isolation,

            so the issue is me? :o)

            nah, i don't. i think you just fail to understand my point. ofc everything is connected, but it is unlikely that climate change ends in a total catastrophe. there will be always spots where wealthy communities can keep thriving, and they will have plenty of time and resources to adapt. except the poor, ofc. if anything, removing overpopulation from the equation will alleviate matters, specially now that technology has made human labor unnecessary, and i expect the ruling classes to he

    • Yep. Ship has sailed on prevention. Double down on mitigation. No sarcasm, no joke. "...for Nature cannot be fooled."

      • Yep. Ship has sailed on prevention.

        The ship has sailed on 1.5 C. That is no longer possible.

        But 2.0 C is still possible, and 2.5 C is a realistic goal.

  • by laughingskeptic ( 1004414 ) on Tuesday May 09, 2023 @02:53PM (#63509311)
    2 out of the 4 times in the last millennia that the earth has been as warm as it is today (13.9C average temp), the earth wound up blowing past all of the milestones scientists currently mention to 32C or more -- and the temperature increases have never had a slope like we are seeing right now. Almost every global warming effect has built-in positive feedback. If we stopped adding any carbon to the atmosphere today the processes we have initiated would likely continue, just at a slower pace. There is no reason to expect that global warming would stop now just because we stop pushing on the process. We have started a process that feeds on itself. In a couple of centuries when the permafrost has all outgassed and the methane ice in the oceans has been liberated the earth will be in position to cool again.

    There is no ice age on the immediate horizon to interrupt the current warming cycle.

    The one thing we can do that the dinosaurs couldn't is geoengineer our planet.
    • I keep wondering what will happen as ocean conveyors stop. It is possible the poles will refreeze.
    • by phantomfive ( 622387 ) on Tuesday May 09, 2023 @03:46PM (#63509459) Journal

      2 out of the 4 times in the last millennia that the earth has been as warm as it is today (13.9C average temp), the earth wound up blowing past all of the milestones scientists currently mention to 32C or more

      This is bad logic. The mechanisms behind warming are different than anything we've seen before.

    • Yet we're told the only solution is... more consumption.

      The system is so broken it doesn't know the brakes exist, let alone how to hit them.

    • by noodler ( 724788 )

      2 out of the 4 times in the last millennia that the earth has been as warm as it is today (13.9C average temp), the earth wound up blowing past all of the milestones scientists currently mention to 32C or more

      That sounds like bullshit science, if science at all.
      If the global average temperature was 32 Celcius then pretty much all complex life would have died. An average of 32 degrees Celcius would imply summer peaks that are pretty much deadly.
      Since writing goes back more than a few millennia we would have known about such a catastrophic event. Or, more likely, we wouldn't be here to read about it.

  • by WindBourne ( 631190 ) on Tuesday May 09, 2023 @03:10PM (#63509371) Journal
    Nations like Turkmenistan, China, Russia, n. Korea, Iran, etc all prohibit ANY AND outside monitoring of their emissions. So how has IPCC been declaring emissions for these nations? It is based on this nations claiming how much they consume, etc. THIS is why we need to skip trying to get ground monitoring frim these nation and focus on getting ALL GHG monitoring to be done by Satellite AS WELL as in-air monitoring. All major cases of emissions either by businesses not aware, or governments lying have been discovered by sat/air monitoring. Good examples was huge leak in CA of methane which I believe chevron was not aware of. Then We caught Chinese government in multiple lies such as allowing businesses to produce fluorocarbons to make cheap styrofoam( caught by air monitors in Hawaii, s. Korea, and Japan), along with claiming that they screwed up on over 50 years of how much coal they burned (forced by OCO2 going to out their numbers ). They admitted 17% increase, but OCO2 had them over 20%.
    • by timeOday ( 582209 ) on Tuesday May 09, 2023 @03:30PM (#63509425)
      Yeah, this discovery alone makes the NASA satellite that discovered it worth its weight in gold. Getting a gods-eye view of the situation is priceless.
      • by higuita ( 129722 )

        that was why it got launched, to track phantom leaks, that no one reported, but are detected weeks, months later. Can also help finding long pipeline problems and transfers problems

    • China lying? Such a shock. Meanwhile, what exactly do you plan on doing about it?

      • Me? About CHina? Nothing.
        All I can do is continue to work to lower MY families emissions. We have been doing this all along. I have always insulated the daylights out of all homes that I have owned. WHen I was growing up and we built a home in 1970s, that was built for comfort/luxury, not size (though it was 7500 ft^2). In particular, 2x6s and 2x4 studs, but, above all, we insulated the crap out of that house. Fact is, when it was -30s for 1-2 weeks, we could put just 1 oak log in 1 of the 2 fireplaces an
        • by ghoul ( 157158 )
          Both the insulation and the solar pumps were manufactured in China. China's CO2 emissions went up because you weatherproofed your house. Emissions are not simple. Best would be for people to move out of cold countries which require massive amounts of energy and materials to sustain human life in an environment not meant for humans. Humans have a 36 degree body temp. A place where temp stay 30 degrees throughout the year would need very little carbon emissions to live in.
          • Actually, total BS.
            Most of America's insulation is made here. China was dumping Styrofoam on us, but then we caught them cheating with the florocarbons, and then the government had to stop with their approval. Sadly, I am sure that they are right back at it, just a bit more spread out so as to dilute it. Still, I used regular fiberglass insulation, manufactured in Denver Colorado.
            I bought for both house's lennox Xp-20 [lennox.com], which has parts from both America and mexico with final assembly in Mexico.
            So, no
          • 30c average is really really HOT. This is 86F, which doesnt sound bad unless you live near a coast (most people), where humidity comes into play. An 86F day with high humidity is dangerous to work in, and requires running air conditioning almost non stop. Now keep in mind, if you are talking about the yearly average temperature, that would mean summers get regularly above 43 (110F) and winters that are much nicer, or incredibly cold winters to offset the incredibly hot summers.

            In the USA, North Caroli

        • Yup that's what I thought.

          • I will say that I have been on the ground floor of this since the 90s. I have known a number of ppl from IPCC and have worked, socialized and what-not with them. All of these ppl are now retired or simply moved away from Colorado and dropped off the social map. Of course, these were the ppl that were doing the gathering, vetting data, modeling, not the politicians that control IPCC now. But even back in 90s and 00s, it was obvious where this was headed.

            As I have said for a long time here, in the end, thi
    • You're funny, your stuff was made in China.

  • While we are fussing about Turkmenistan, it might be fun to look at all the shooting wars around the globe and be honest about the amount of greenhouse gases their explosions and fires are releasing. One suspects that the methane leaks from the many unmaintained or abandoned oil and gas wells pale next to what is being intentionally released by all the combatants. And poor Turkmenistan is far from the only country with leaky plumbing on the globe.

    • Fires and explosions are probably minor contributors to climate change, although likely impact local air quality a lot. However, being at war means more mobilization, leading to higher fossil fuel usage. I doubt Ukraine is worrying about its GHG footprint at the moment.

      • by glatiak ( 617813 )

        Been blowing stuff up for a long time. Suspect you are right about the impact relative to all the other infernal combustions. And then there are the wild fires... Personally I don't think there is any real solution other than to move forward with less destructive technologies. Took a few centuries to get to this point, getting out of it won't be any faster. BTW, agree with your sig. Thanks.

  • by Anonymous Coward
    2.6 kilograms and 1.8 kilograms? Well that ain't much! (Capitalisation of SI prefixes matters.)
  • by rbrander ( 73222 ) on Tuesday May 09, 2023 @04:01PM (#63509503) Homepage

    You'll never chase them all down, and doing things badly saves money. The whole industry just has to go.

    The technologies to replace it are about here, though some need testing at scale. Once the combination of wind, solar, and Form Energy's $20/kWh grid-scale batteries can produce load-following electricity for a penny cheaper than a gas peaking plant, it's all over but the construction project.

    Replacing half a billion furnaces with heat pumps is the longer-term challenge, but there's no question that those who do it will save money, it's just a question of up-front spending versus long-term savings.

    So, let's get past "peak gas", if we haven't already, then start shutting down (or stop buying from) gas sources in order of most-offensive, downward. These guys will be about at the top of the list.

    • Re: (Score:2, Troll)

      by kick6 ( 1081615 )

      You'll never chase them all down, and doing things badly saves money. The whole industry just has to go.

      The technologies to replace it are about here, though some need testing at scale. Once the combination of wind, solar, and Form Energy's $20/kWh grid-scale batteries can produce load-following electricity for a penny cheaper than a gas peaking plant, it's all over but the construction project.

      Replacing half a billion furnaces with heat pumps is the longer-term challenge, but there's no question that those who do it will save money, it's just a question of up-front spending versus long-term savings.

      So, let's get past "peak gas", if we haven't already, then start shutting down (or stop buying from) gas sources in order of most-offensive, downward. These guys will be about at the top of the list.

      If only the real world were as simple as you are.

    • The technologies to replace it are about here

      You want to replace known and working technology with vaporware? Do you have any idea at all how many people will die if that vaporware doesn't solidify enough to carry the burden? Get the technology worked out and I will personally assist in forcing the change. Try to do this while it is vaporware and I will personally resist you. I do not know any of those millions or billions that will die (most everyone I know is already dead), but the idea of mass die-offs still bothers me.

    • I’ve always been a huge proponent of moving fast with technology and being cutting edge for what appears to be massive benefits. Out with the luddites, tech will roll them over. And a younger me would have fully agreed with your sentiment.

      However, these are not new phones we’re taking about here. Countless people worldwide live in cold climates, myself included, and the fact this is slowly changing aside, the reality remains that cold exposure risks and causes much more death worldwide than h
      • by rbrander ( 73222 )

        I'm puzzled by these three responses. They write as if the ability to do this were in question. One thing still in some question is whether the $20/kWh, 150-hour, iron-air batteries from Form Energy will work well, long-term, reliable, etc. That they will work, and cost at most that much ,has already been proven in pilot projects.

        It's not in doubt that we (meaning: human race) can build thousands of gigawatts of wind and solar, and more power lines. If the Form Energy product doesn't work, and neith

  • Switching to relatively clean domestic natural gas has been responsible for the largest greenhouse gas reductions to date, but instead we ban the PennEast pipeline, fracking in NY, etc. The net result? Europe and the US now are burning more greenhouse-heavy oil, coal, Turkmenistan gas, etc than we were doing before.

    So why not encourage using domestic NG to replace the more worrisome fossil fuels in the short run (while investing in even greener sources that, realistically, are taking longer to ramp up)?

    • by higuita ( 129722 )

      the increase usage of gas replaced the coal furnaces in energy generation... gas is MUCH cleaner than coal in term of emissions... still much worse than wind or solar, but that is still a huge improvement

      Check the url below, switch in the left for electricity generation and carbon emissions to see a good example of reducing coal and increasing gas, but the emissions going down
      https://app.electricitymaps.co... [electricitymaps.com]
      https://app.electricitymaps.co... [electricitymaps.com]

      or if you prefer a USA center view:
      https://app.electricitymaps.co. [electricitymaps.com]

  • I hope John Kerry is flying his private jet there right now to give them a stern talking to.
  • the western fossil fuel field in Turkmenistan, on the Caspian coast, leaked 2.6m tonnes of methane in 2022. The eastern field emitted 1.8m tonnes. Together, the two fields released emissions equivalent to 366m tonnes of CO2

    Let us forget that m is the suffix for milli- and not mega-.... 2.7 + 1.8 = 366? Or perhaps it is 366M since the beginning (of what?) and not per year?

    • by pjt33 ( 739471 )

      The 2.6 and 1.8 are millions of tonnes of methane (CH4). The 366 is "equivalent" (in terms of extra solar energy absorbed/retained in millions of tonnes of carbon dioxide. Methane is a much more potent greenhouse gas than CO2.

      • Thanks for the explanation. The right units would therefore be 2.6 Mt/year + 1.8 Mt/year = 266 Mteq/year
  • The spicy food in Turkmenistan may be showing us that cows are not the only big source of flatulence in our atmosphere.

  • The top five emitting countries put tens of billions of tons of CO2 into the atmosphere each year. UK and and this field don't matter.

    Find something worthy to whine about.

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