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Earth Technology

Big Polluters' Share Prices Fall After Climate Lawsuits, Study Finds (theguardian.com) 44

Climate litigation poses a financial risk to fossil fuel companies because it lowers the share price of big polluters, research has found. From a report: A study to be published on Tuesday by LSE's Grantham Research Institute examines how the stock market reacts to news that a fresh climate lawsuit has been filed or a corporation has lost its case. The researchers hope their work will encourage lenders, financial regulators and governments to consider the effect of climate litigation when making investment decisions in a warmer future, and ultimately drive greener corporate behaviour.

The study, which is currently being peer reviewed, analysed 108 climate crisis lawsuits around the world between 2005 and 2021 against 98 companies listed in the US and Europe. It found that the filing of a new case or a court decision against a company reduced its expected value by an average of 0.41%. The stock market responded most strongly in the days after cases against carbon majors, which include the world's largest energy, utility and materials firms, cutting the relative value of those companies by an average of 0.57% after a case was filed and by 1.5% after an unfavourable judgment. Although modest, the researchers conclude that the drop in the value of big polluters is statistically significant and therefore down to the legal challenges.

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Big Polluters' Share Prices Fall After Climate Lawsuits, Study Finds

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  • shut em down (Score:4, Insightful)

    by Anonymouse Cowtard ( 6211666 ) on Tuesday May 23, 2023 @02:58AM (#63544297) Homepage
    Fossil fools deserve to die poor
    • And the rest of us who use their products every day? They wouldn't be in business were that not the case. They have revolutionized the world.
      • by mspohr ( 589790 )

        I guess you could call destroying the climate and living things "revolutionized the world".

        • by dbialac ( 320955 )
          Changing the climate. The climate is quite dynamic and can be quite dramatic as well. Volcanic eruptions can have quite an effect, and a supervolcano like Yellowstone makes our changes seem quite insignificant. We're due for the next Yellowstone eruption, BTW. The relative stability we experience today is incredibly rare over the course of the earth's years. Carthage is a desert where as it used to be agricultural during their wars with the Romans.
      • by whitroth ( 9367 )

        And you don't live next to a power plant. You probably have the fake coal pouring out of your oversized pickup that you have no idea how to drive.

    • And who deserves to be assailed by unscrupulous partisan zealots who abuse the legal system for their malicious ends?

      If you're thinking, "well, polluters", then I hope you are prepared to have the same done to you. Open that door and it may never shut.

    • Fossil fools deserve to die poor

      But if you know WHEN and HOW to sell them short you can make loads of money.

      After all, life is all about the Benjamins baby !

  • by DraconPern ( 521756 ) on Tuesday May 23, 2023 @03:22AM (#63544309) Homepage
    .57% is no where near statistical significant when it comes to stock prices. 
    • Yes. From the article:

      Although modest, the researchers conclude that the drop in the value of big polluters is statistically significant and therefore down to the legal challenges.

      Statistical significance does not exist in a vacuum and is quite meaningless on its own since you can make anything statistically significant with a large enough N. Its interpreted relevance comes from context. In this case, with respect to stock prices. And as you point out, 0.57% is a pretty inconsequential effect.

      So yes, litigation did have a significant effect on stock price. But the authors should have added a proper contextual interpretation "... but the effect is mostly harmles

  • Just point it out, we can check market prices any time.

  • by VeryFluffyBunny ( 5037285 ) on Tuesday May 23, 2023 @09:54AM (#63544957)
    ...if governments stopped subsidising & protecting them.
  • This is the sort of thing I just don't trust: Whenever any case is made by a group against an energy producer or supplier, the insurers and hedge funds love to jump on it and turn it into a scare story. It's nothing new, and nothing surprising. After all, vast quantities of cash are made by selling (even brokering) insurance (or hedges) to the energy sector. The Grantham Research Institute is funded by GMO LLC, which is deeply invested in hedge funding.
  • If the stock price goes down .57% (57 dollars on a 10,000 dollar investment) that isn't a big deal. Stocks go up and down by whole percentages on any given day with any given news. That said if the stocks growth rate goes down .57% that is interesting to me. I mean it was growing at 10% now it is growing at 9.43% - you are making 57 fewer dollars every year.

    I mean if it is just the stock goes down .57% for a short while and then continues to grow at 10% - woo hoo. Time to load up and catch the wave. Be

  • At least any semi legit seeming lawsuit will probably cause the average company's share price to drop, at least from my understanding.

    What is so special about climate lawsuits?

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