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Education

Is Gen Z Giving Up on College? (msn.com) 404

Business Insider reports on "a soaring number of Gen Zers who has decided to skip college altogether.

"Four million fewer teenagers enrolled at a college in 2022 than in 2012." For many, the price tag has simply grown too exorbitant to justify the cost. From 2010 to 2022, college tuition rose an average of 12% a year, while overall inflation only increased an average of 2.6% each year. Today it costs at least $104,108 on average to attend four years of public university — and $223,360 for a private university.

At the same time, the salaries students can expect to earn after graduation haven't kept up with the cost of college. A 2019 report from the Pew Research Center found that earnings for young college-educated workers had remained mostly flat over the past 50 years. Four years after graduating, according to recent data from the Higher Education Authority, a third of students earn less than $40,000 — lower than the average salary of $44,356 that workers with only a high-school diploma earn. Factor in the average student debt of $33,500 that college graduates owe after they leave school, and many graduates will spend years catching up with their degree-less counterparts. This student-debt-driven financial hole is leaving more young graduates with a lower net worth than previous generations.

The widening gap between the value and the cost of college has started to shift Gen Z's attitude toward higher education. A 2022 survey by Morning Consult found that 41% of Gen Zers said they "tend to trust US colleges and universities," the lowest percentage of any generation. It's a significant shift from when millennials were in their shoes a decade ago: A 2014 Pew Research survey found that 63% of millennials valued a college education or planned to get one. And of those who graduated, 41% of that cohort considered their schooling "very useful" in readying them to enter the workforce — that's compared to 45% of Gen Xers and 47% of boomers who felt the same...

The focus now, especially in the midst of so much uncertainty in the economy, is on using college to prepare for a single, overriding goal: getting a good job.

The article argues this is transforming which classes get emphasized by both students and colleges. For example, in 2014 computer programming was only the 7th most popular major at U.C. Berkeley — but now it's #1. And the data science degree Berkeley created five years ago is now already its third most popular.

And meanwhile, "last year only 7% of Harvard freshmen planned to major in the humanities — down from 20% a decade earlier and almost 30% in the 1970s."

Thanks to long-time Slashdot reader yusing for sharing the article.
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Is Gen Z Giving Up on College?

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  • by zkiwi34 ( 974563 ) on Sunday September 10, 2023 @06:26PM (#63837624)
    To find out that they are far far too often not worth it. And, that for the most part, universities were never designed as vocational training. Maybe if the country is lucky, universities will collapse back to being what they were. And, if that means tens of thousands of university administrators and entourages get dumped, it is all good.
    • student loan bankruptcy will fix an lot of stuff!

      • Well, no. (Score:5, Informative)

        by Petersko ( 564140 ) on Sunday September 10, 2023 @07:01PM (#63837712)

        You cannot generally discharge your student loans through bankruptcy. You have to file suit against your lender, and then successfully argue under the Brenner test for undue hardship, or totality of circumstances, depending on your region.

        https://lendedu.com/blog/prove... [lendedu.com]

        • Comment removed based on user account deletion
          • It will never happen. If you're rich and you go bankrupt, not only is that fine, you can be president. But if you got too far in debt trying to build a life, suck it up, buttercup. Sucks to be you.

        • The most recent story I saw was somebody who took out a loan for $12k, minimum payments, never missed one, and owed $50k on it. I think it was a psychology degree. Older Gen Xer, got the degree to retrain for a new career and found out the hard way what Age Discrimination is.

          Biden's also gotten billions in fraudulent loans from diploma mills forgiven. Some of it on the tax payer dime, but not all of it.
        • Re:Well, no. (Score:5, Informative)

          by lsllll ( 830002 ) on Monday September 11, 2023 @01:28AM (#63838250)

          You cannot generally discharge your student loans through bankruptcy.

          That's because you can't repossess an education. I don't agree with the thought process, but I understand it. Which is why I believe we need a "truth in lending" for students going to college. Before anybody is accepted to go to college, the offer of admissions should clearly indicate their major and using historical data from the college during the past 10 years, indicate:

          1. Percentage of students who drop out
          2. Percentage of students who complete a degree in 4 years
          3. Percentage of students who complete a degree in 5 years
          4. Percentage of students who complete a degree in 6 or more years
          5. Average college debt of the students, whether they graduated or not
          6. Average college dept of the students, broken down by those who graduate in 4, 5, and 6 or more years
          7. Average yearly income of the students graduating with the same major the applicant is being offered admissions to (or those who started undecided for the undecideds)
          8. Minimum payment for the said loans
          9. How many years it'll take to pay off the loans if the loans were calculated in today's interest rates

          If they offer all that information and someone still wants to go to college, then so be it.

      • by mattventura ( 1408229 ) on Sunday September 10, 2023 @10:45PM (#63838084) Homepage
        From the standpoint of improving the schools, allowing student loans to be discharged in bankruptcy would only fix anything if either the school was somehow on the hook for it (rather than the lender), or if lenders got to pick and choose which schools and degrees to give loans to (the scammy schools would be gone fast if nobody could afford to go there). It would even act as a force to encourage schools to help even more with job placement and such.
        • by Maxo-Texas ( 864189 ) on Monday September 11, 2023 @10:15AM (#63838992)

          No... if you remove the random/arbitrary restriction on bankruptcy literally added *RIGHT* before tuitions began to skyrocket out of control, then financial institutions would stop loaning too much money to students.

          That would lead tuitions to stagnate and in some cases, decline.

          If the students *can't* get $300,000 in loans, then colleges *can't* charge $300,000 for tuition. This is what it was like from 1945 to 1995(ish). I *literally* paid $1,000 up to $2,800 per year for tuition from 1983 to 1992. Same school was already up to $12,000 per year by 2000. Today it's close to $28,000 per year.

          Tuitions skyrocketed when restrictions on bankruptcy lead financial institutions to lend unlimited amounts of money to young kids. And pre 1995, bankruptcy rates for student loans were the same as for other popular loans. They did young kids dirty with this law.

    • by yusing ( 216625 ) on Sunday September 10, 2023 @07:17PM (#63837742) Journal

      "if the country is lucky, universities will collapse..." Back to what ... Halls of Ivy for the privileged?

      A look at the history of science shows that NOT ALL 19th-century science discoveries were made by people who had the privileged leisure-time to do so. Drive and self-education are important ... but so is opportunity ... EVEN for geniuses.

      Take a look at the shit-ton of *extremely important* discoveries made by (highly motivated and highly poor and uneducated) Michael Faraday. Ever heard the name? When he was 14, he was apprenticed to a bookbinder for seven years.

      "My education was of the most ordinary description, consisting of little more than the rudiments of reading, writing, and arithmetic at a common day school. My hours out of school were passed at home and in the streets. "

      Then he got lucky: he was hired by chemist Humphry Davy (Davy started out as a poet and painter, then was hired as a lab assistant). Davy accidently blinded himself for a time, and needed a lab assistant. Apart from that luck, what would either of them have discovered while working 12-hour days 6 days a week?

      We -were- wasting A LOT of talent before colleges opened themselves up to everyman. College -was much more- affordable in the mid-20th century. The benefits *to us all* have been remarkable (even if 'only' 25% took advantage of the chance, even if we're not aware of them). And now ... we're going back there, so fuck it?

      • Take a look at the shit-ton of *extremely important* discoveries made by (highly motivated and highly poor and uneducated) Michael Faraday. Ever heard the name?

        Did he design and build cages?

      • Re: (Score:3, Interesting)

        by GrpA ( 691294 )

        You're making the mistake of assuming a college education is necessary to become a contributor to society.

        In fact, it probably does the opposite. It destroys creativity and teaches you to believe things that are incorrect in some cases.

        People who make great contributions will make them with or without a college education. The entire educational system is badly in need of reform and if it collapses, that will actually be a good start. From there, destroying educational paywalls and eliminating useless multi-

        • Comment removed based on user account deletion
        • a college education [...] destroys creativity and teaches you to believe things that are incorrect in some cases.

          While, of course, people without a college education are known for not holding incorrect beliefs. In fact, why limit ourselves to college education? If people who didn't go to college are less misguided than college alumni, think how closer to the real truth (the one that isn't taught in school, see) are people who didn't go to high school! Or even better, people who never went to any school at all! Those are the folks whose creativity is completely unspoiled, and whose beliefs are correct in all cases!

          Abol

      • by Mspangler ( 770054 ) on Sunday September 10, 2023 @07:54PM (#63837812)

        "if the country is lucky, universities will collapse..." Back to what ... Halls of Ivy for the privileged?"

        The aptly named Ivy League already is.

        There will be a winnowing. Engineering and the hard sciences will stay college curriculums. The fluff will migrate to where it largely is already, finishing schools for idle rich who don't care about payback because theirs comes who they know, not what they know.

        The original mission of the land grant universities was to educate students in engineering, the sciences, agriculture, forestry, and teaching teachers, narrowing the curriculum down is certainly possible.

      • "if the country is lucky, universities will collapse..." Back to what ... Halls of Ivy for the privileged?

        No, a State U where one can work part time during school and full time during the summer and graduate debt free. That was the case for STEM majors in the 1980s, in particular in the tech hubs that surrounded University of California campuses.

    • To find out that they are far far too often not worth it.

      If you went to State U the average debt is $250 a month for ten years.
      https://money.usnews.com/loans... [usnews.com]

      If you are a STEM major that should not be a problem.

      If you are an Art History major at an Ivy League, you had better be from a rich family or find a sugar daddy, which has historically been pretty much the case. Don't expect the public to finance your vanity degree.

      And, that for the most part, universities were never designed as vocational training.

      Junior Colleges are the trade schools. Universities focus on theory and research, things that persist, not the implementation details

  • College (Score:5, Insightful)

    by darkain ( 749283 ) on Sunday September 10, 2023 @06:26PM (#63837626) Homepage

    Another thing is that college is just ONE path to education, not the ONLY path to education.

    With the modern internet, we have endless possibilities for acquiring knowledge without acquiring debt.

    • just need to list non college on the resume in the way that makes it look like an degree to get pass the bots or just lie and then tell the truth when you get to an real person

      • Or just put down your degree on your resume and bluff, never had a single place actually check and I’ve always gotten the jobs I applied to. College is worthless at this point, everyone knows it.
      • by timeOday ( 582209 ) on Sunday September 10, 2023 @06:53PM (#63837700)
        My son sort of split the difference by doing a CS degree at an accredited online (only) university. It was self-paced and he plowed through the courses very fast. I was skeptical but he proved me wrong. He knows his stuff. After finishing he got an ok job. Then a year later he quit that and got a really good job.
      • just need to list non college on the resume in the way that makes it look like an degree to get pass the bots or just lie and then tell the truth when you get to an real person

        Easy enough. A friend used something like "Attended State U studying Electrical Engineering". He was a natural computer programmer (genuine interest) and got a job, spent spare time learning things that would help at work (again genuine interest helped). After about 8 years of that no one gave a shit about college, he had a reputation as something who built things that worked.

        Regarding a previous comment about the self study path. This friend was one of the rare individuals who would spend his free time

    • Yeah, but college proper is more credentialing that you come from a certain class to keep the riffraff out, and less that you have a demonstrable skillset.

      I've already seen too many positions that went from having experience to requiring a bachelors or more.

      GenZ is right to call BS on this, and hopefully they will still be able to take advantage when things change.

    • by drnb ( 2434720 ) on Sunday September 10, 2023 @09:01PM (#63837938)

      With the modern internet, we have endless possibilities for acquiring knowledge without acquiring debt.

      That is a fallacy, for most people that is. Those following the self-study path will routinely have gaps in their knowledge. They typically skip topics that they have no interest in, while those going through a formal degree program will be forced to take the boring but useful class.

      Very few people have the curiosity and self discipline necessary to accumulate the equivalent knowledge as someone going through a formal degree program.

      I am speaking as someone who has done both. A couple years of formal, dropped out, work full time in software field for years, finish formal, work a little more, have company pay for grad school, etc.

    • I mean, why would I hire an American for 40/hr a week and the likely possibility they'll change jobs for better pay when I can just go to Congress and say "I can't find anyone qualified?".
    • by AmiMoJo ( 196126 )

      I think younger generations are realizing that an education often isn't worth it anyway. They still get stuck with crappy low paid jobs, with the primary way of advancing being to switch company.

      The rewards they were promised don't come either. Housing is unaffordable, climate change costs are being dumped on them, and the opportunities just aren't there. We are already past the point where they can look forward to a pleasant future and comfortable lifestyle, not that the advice they were given about how to

  • What if you can self-educate now because ChatGPT probably hallucinates with the consensus just as much as your physics prof?

  • by xack ( 5304745 ) on Sunday September 10, 2023 @06:41PM (#63837668)
    Since AI is rapidly replacing many college educated professions the ai proof degrees will get even more competitive and with another 2 billion population growth in 30 years meaning we will find a lot of our economy messed up. I've been promoting "learn to build" as the new learn to code, by implementing infrastructure that will accommodate our changing world.
  • by Narrowband ( 2602733 ) on Sunday September 10, 2023 @06:52PM (#63837696)
    College probably still helps in overall career earnings, but less so right out of college the way it used to. There are two simultaneous changes that make this true. One is the increasing cost of college, the other is in the inflation of unskilled labor salaries, driven upwards by societal pressure and drastic minimum wage changes. (For example, NYC's trajectory toward a $20/hr minimum for pizza delivery: www.convenience.org [convenience.org] ) Because there's little corresponding push for increase in salaries for entry level positions that need college graduates, the initial pay differential that used to be there has dwindled, at least when you consider takehome pay after college loan repayments.

    Over the course of a career, those with college degrees are likely to increase salary faster over time, and eventually pay off college debts, but that benefit will come far later in life than it used to. In the meantime, those who elected not to go to college may actually enjoy a modest lead in take home pay, since they won't have the college debt to start with, and they will start earning it about four years earlier.
    • College probably still helps in overall career earnings, but less so right out of college the way it used to. There are two simultaneous changes that make this true. One is the increasing cost of college, the other is in the inflation of unskilled labor salaries, driven upwards by societal pressure and drastic minimum wage changes. (For example, NYC's trajectory toward a $20/hr minimum for pizza delivery: www.convenience.org [convenience.org] ) Because there's little corresponding push for increase in salaries for entry level positions that need college graduates, the initial pay differential that used to be there has dwindled, at least when you consider takehome pay after college loan repayments.

      Over the course of a career, those with college degrees are likely to increase salary faster over time, and eventually pay off college debts, but that benefit will come far later in life than it used to. In the meantime, those who elected not to go to college may actually enjoy a modest lead in take home pay, since they won't have the college debt to start with, and they will start earning it about four years earlier.

      Jimmy Donaldson is a college drop-out. He probably makes a LOT more than most people with college degrees
      https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/... [wikipedia.org]

      This is the kind of career path that those Gen-Zers aspire to, and it has VERY little to do with a college education.

  • by erp_consultant ( 2614861 ) on Sunday September 10, 2023 @07:49PM (#63837804)

    Outside of specific careers, like law or medicine or accounting, a 4 year degree simply isn't necessary for many jobs. And I say this as someone with two degrees.

    For a young person today looking to learn programming, computer networking or cyber security there are plenty of good boot camp type courses that can get you well on your way. From there you are going to have to augment your education with additional courses and work experience. By the way, a lot of these course are free.

    Without a 4 year degree, or advanced degree, the chances of you making it to CIO are slim to none unless you found your own company. But you can still make your way up to a very senior technical position or management position without a degree. The degree helps you get your foot in the door but advancement often requires good communication skills and good networking skills. You might learn some of that in college but maybe not.

    If i were a young person today i would probably skip college, particularly given the cost. I'm not saying that college is worthless - far from it - it's just that a lot of what you used to have to go to school for is now available at a lower cost or even free. Being 22 years old with $200,000 in student debt is not a good start to your working career.

    • I'm still torn on it; I'm gen-X and my Gen-Z godson doesn't intend to go to college. He is doing a work/travel year to Australia now, and hopefully that will give him some perspective.

      The demographic challenge is pretty real though; Gen-Z is going to need to be able to do at 30 what Gen-X (and Millenials generally) were expected to do at 40. Short-term there is a big incentive coming from a number of directions to get kids straight into the workforce... but in 10-15 years that could backfire badly. So, w

  • by msauve ( 701917 ) on Sunday September 10, 2023 @08:19PM (#63837854)
    I think the whole thing is one of those fucked up AI articles which sound good, but are pure bullshit.

    > From 2010 to 2022, college tuition rose an average of 12% a year, while overall inflation only increased an average of 2.6% each year.

    Uh, no. The source says "College tuition inflation averaged 12% annually from 2010 to 2022." They don't define "tuition inflation", but it's definitely NOT how much tuition rose each year.

    The numbers given are $22074 in 2010 to $30031 in 2021 (unadjusted for inflation), an increase of 36% over 11 years. That's an increase of about 2.9%/year (compounded). If one takes the stated constant dollar cost (i.e. inflation adjusted), $28158 and $30031, it's increased about 0.6%/year. Where do they get 12% per year from?

    It also says "The cost of tuition at public 4-year institutions increased 9.24% from 2010 to 2022.", but that's not even close to what either the unadjusted (36%) or adjusted (6.6%) numbers show.

    The whole thing is total nonsense. Take this: "Over that same period (2010-2020), tuition increased by 9.24%, and tuition inflation increased by 15%." and, just to put a cherry on top: "All nonprofit postsecondary institutions reduced tuition by 38% from 2010 to 2020; average tuition increased by 13% in that same period."
  • by joe_frisch ( 1366229 ) on Sunday September 10, 2023 @09:30PM (#63837988)
    When I say "college isn't for everyone" I am not implying "Only some can make it", but there is a tendency to think that way. People have different talents and some are better suited for careers that require college, some are not.

    There are many paths to success AND success is not measure by money. No reasonable person majors in history or astrophysics, or paleontology because the see it as a path to money - they do it because they want to be Historians, Astrophysicists or Paleontologists. The ide of measuring the usefulness of college in terms of return on investment is not appropriate in many fields. There are of course fields were the goal IS to maximize income and sometimes college works for that.

    People who want careers that require college should go to college, those who do not shouldn't. I have no problem with college admissions declining
  • According to US News, public in-state tuition and fees average $10,423 per year. https://www.usnews.com/educati... [usnews.com] Another source says $11,744. https://www.collegetuitioncomp... [collegetui...ompare.com] Either way, those numbers don't add up to anything close to the $104K the article states.

    Yes, there are certainly ways to spend 100K+ on college. Going to a big-name school, for example, especially if you go out of state. But if what you want is an education, choose a nearby in-state school. It's still not cheap, but a lot more affo

    • Ha! An average Ivy is $65k per year + $15k room and board and let’s say another $5k for incidentals and you’re at $85k per year.

      Now imagine if your kid wants to go to medical school. You’re looking at $700-800k+ before they start earning a salary.

      I am fortunate that I can afford to pay this for my kids - one of whom does want to be in medicine - but I struggle to understand how this is practical for the bulk of the middle class.

      • If you're rich enough to send your kid to an Ivy League school, then this article has no relevance to you. Ivy League is *not* required to get a good education or a good job, in *any* field. Ivy League is best for bragging rights.

        As for medical school, the average cost is $57K per year, and the total average cost is about $230K. https://www.kaptest.com/study/... [kaptest.com].

        As with anything, you *can* pay a lot more for prestige. But if cost is an object for you, you do *not* need to pay $800K for an education.

  • I struggle with these doom and gloom predictions about college when the acceptance rate at Stanford is 4%, the acceptance rate for some ivy league schools is 5% and certainly no more then 10%, and even schools like UCLA and USC are 15%. It’s a tough climate for many talented student.

    My daughter wants to get into a program at a particular school and the acceptance rate of this program is 2.5%

    And the prices are pretty crazy at many of these top schools. Upwards of $85k PER YEAR including room and bo

  • by Hoi Polloi ( 522990 ) on Sunday September 10, 2023 @10:30PM (#63838066) Journal
    I'd like to see why colleges cost so much and what has been driving the higher than inflation price increase? Is it staff are getting paid more? Extravagant frills like fancy meal plans? Even public schools have gone up so it isn't just profiteering at private schools.
    • Re: (Score:3, Insightful)

      by bussdriver ( 620565 )

      Republicans. Since the 80s they CUT FUNDING IN HALF which doubled the cost. In my state boomers could pay like $300 per semester at a state university and work a min wage job and do ok (while eating organic food) without incurring any debt. Now you can't hardly survive on min wage living in a dorm; forget tuition...
      The loan system is partially privatized and poorly regulated (sold out) which amplifies the net cost greatly. Not that the Dems haven't helped create more admin jobs and top heavy bloat alone w

  • by Qbertino ( 265505 ) <moiraNO@SPAMmodparlor.com> on Monday September 11, 2023 @01:49AM (#63838270)

    ... even USians are capable of basic math. Especially for white hetero men the cost/risk/benefit ratio of going to college is so broken you might as well avoid it all together. I'd say by now everyone understands what Peter Thiel was preaching a few years back.

    If I were a young man in the US today, I'd avoid US college like the plague and either learn a trade or relocate to Europe to get my degree there.

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