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United States Government

Have Economists Contributed to Inequality? (fastcompany.com) 299

A new book by Nobel prize-winning economist Angus Deaton"feels like an existential crisis," writes Fast Company, "as he questions his own legacy — and wonders whether policies prescribed by economists over the years have unintentionally contributed to inequality" in America. Angus Deaton: People who have a four-year college degree are doing pretty well. But if you go to the people who don't have a college degree, horrible things are happening to them... The opportunities are getting bigger and bigger, but the safety net's falling further and further away. . . I think of it as much broader than income inequality: People without a BA are like an underclass. They're dispensable...

Fast Company: Why has Europe been able to avoid so many of these rises in inequality and "deaths of despair" and the U.S. hasn't?

Deaton: Anne [Case, my wife] and I wrestled with that in our book Deaths of Despair. One reason is that we don't have any safety net here... The other story is we've got this hideous healthcare system... we're spending [almost] 20% of GDP. There's no other country that spends anything like that. That money comes out of other things we could have, like a safety net and a better education system. And it's not delivering much, except the healthcare providers are doing really quite well: the hospitals, the doctors, the pharma companies, the device manufacturers. Not only does it cost a lot, but we fund it in this really bizarre way, which is that for most people who are not old enough to qualify for Medicare, they get their health insurance through their employer...

Fast Company : The theme of your new book seems to be something of an existential crisis for you as an economist. How much are economists to blame for some of these issues?

Deaton: [...] I think there are some broad things that we didn't do very well. We bent the knee a little too much to the Chicago libertarian view, that markets could do everything. I'm not trying to say that I was right and everybody else was wrong. I was with the mob. I think we thought that financial markets were much safer than they'd been in the past, and we didn't have to worry about them as much. That was dead wrong. I think we were way overenthusiastic about hyperglobalization. We had this belief that people would lose their jobs but they'd find other, better jobs, and that really didn't happen. So there are a lot of things that I think are going to be seriously reconsidered over the next years.

But he admits economists are short on solutions for economic inequality. "When they say, 'Well, what would work'" there's this uncomfortable silence where you feel foolish. Everybody's quoting [former Italian philosopher and politician Antonio] Gramsci [saying that] the old system is broken but the new system is struggling to be born. No one really knows what it's going to look like."

The book is titled Economics in America: An Immigrant Economist Explores the Land of Inequality. But in the interview Deaton still remains hopeful about America, calling it "a very inventive place," and noting that in the field of economics "there's always hope and there's always change; economics is a very open profession, and it changes very quickly."
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Have Economists Contributed to Inequality?

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  • Of course they did (Score:3, Insightful)

    by smittydc ( 1042126 ) on Monday October 16, 2023 @06:55AM (#63928311)

    At least for the last 20 years, definitely. What do you think happens when to the value of labor when you make capital essentially free for 20 years (low interest rates)? Hiring senior wall street execs to run the Fed and Treasury didn't help.

    • by VeryFluffyBunny ( 5037285 ) on Monday October 16, 2023 @08:04AM (#63928437)
      The dumpster fire of laissez-faire capitalism was already there. US economists just encouraged successive administrations to keep throwing petrol on it. Alan Greenspan, an Ayn Rand protege ("Objectivism" = essentially, how to be an arsehole), was their greatest cheerleader until he had to publicly admit that he was wrong... but nobody listened to him & carried on as usual.

      Why has the EU fared better than the USA? Well, for starters countries in the EU have tend to have stronger socialist democrat systems, i.e. the idea that the state should provide assistance to those that the capitalists toss aside. But even that is being steadily eroded by a particularly aggressive European Central Bank. Now that the UK's left the EU, they're free to abandon all their hard-won human & labour rights. They're currently seriously proposing to engage in human trafficking (refugees from the UK to Rwanda).

      How much worse is it going to get before we descend into war or start having violent revolutions?
      • by Opportunist ( 166417 ) on Monday October 16, 2023 @09:01AM (#63928605)

        What keeps the European economies afloat is that apparently people over here noticed that an economy doesn't get rich by producing cheaply but by selling their crap. Now, we in the so called first world have a very lopsided industry with most of our GDP coming from the tertiary sector, i.e. services. Services are notoriously hard to export. The only relevant way to do that is to have people come to you as tourists and spend their money here. And that only goes so far, you can't prop up an industrialized economy on tourism alone.

        Fuck knows we tried...

        So what you need is a population that has money to buy those services. Of course, if you pump more and more money into the top 0.01%, this will break down. Because no matter how crappy some billionaire's hair looks, he doesn't need twenty haircuts an hour.

  • by DarkOx ( 621550 )

    Out medical costs are high because we subsidize the rest of the world.

    The pharma industry but also the device industry - domestic and foreign charges way more in the USA than the rest of the world where there are price controls. They make their obscene profits here, some profit in the rest of the developed world, and than occasional take some loss for PR sake in the developing world.

    Its not a market problem its a political problem. The trouble is who is going to tell Merck or Novartis - hey charge American

    • Re: (Score:3, Insightful)

      Out medical costs are high because we subsidize the rest of the world... if you do say look you have to sell a given volume of product at the same price to everyone and you have to make those same volume options available to everyone one than that has some really negative consequences for some markets that will be entirely priced out and ultimately undeserved as a result.

      Or you could just limit overall corporate profits. A good start would be doing away with "externalization" of costs by making sure that fines and civil suit awards substantially exceed the profit generated by the bad actions. Add to that the enforcement of total transparency around things like - in the case of Big Pharma - clinical trials and their raw data.

      Corporations are not people and do not deserve the same rights, permissions, and forgiveness, and privacy that individuals deserve.

      • by cayenne8 ( 626475 ) on Monday October 16, 2023 @09:33AM (#63928701) Homepage Journal

        Or you could just limit overall corporate profits.

        /me thumbs through my copy of the US Constitution trying to find where this is one of the limited, enumerated powers of the Federal Govt.....

      • by Terwin ( 412356 )

        Or you could just limit overall corporate profits. A good start would be doing away with "externalization" of costs by making sure that fines and civil suit awards substantially exceed the profit generated by the bad actions. Add to that the enforcement of total transparency around things like - in the case of Big Pharma - clinical trials and their raw data.

        Corporations are not people and do not deserve the same rights, permissions, and forgiveness, and privacy that individuals deserve.

        Any rule or law that you add just adds to the cost of doing business, and if the cost of doing business in your locality gets higher than the cost to move somewhere else, then the affected companies leave.

        Also, any corporation of significant size consists of hundreds, thousands, or millions of legal entities. This is due to lots of reasons, including legal compliance, limiting liability, branding, etc. (My wife herself has several due to keeping the different lines of her home business separate)
        So you lim

    • by necro81 ( 917438 )

      Its not a market problem its a political problem. The trouble is who is going to tell Merck or Novartis - hey charge Americans only what you charge the German healthcare system for your products or you're getting banned from the US market place

      The Inflation Reduction Act [wikipedia.org] directs CMS - the body overseeing Medicare - to negotiate drug prices with pharmaceutical companies. Here are the first 10 drugs [hhs.gov] that will get tackled. There will be others. I'd like to see medical devices end up here, too. It's not a

      • (Guess how many Republicans voted in favor of the IRA? Ya know, the party that claims to want to reduce waste, and run government like a business? Exactly zero.)

        Well, to be fair...the IRA had a LOT of other crap in there that a lot of people couldn't stomach.

        Bring stuff like that out into separate bills, or at least smaller more targeted ones and then let's see who votes for what, eh?

        I realize there are negotiations, tit for tat....and some things are packed in to get something through, but let's keep it

    • by Anonymous Coward on Monday October 16, 2023 @08:24AM (#63928481)

      Rubbish. The US healthcare system is expensive because it's run for the benefit of corporations, whilst providing worse care outcomes than the majority of western countries for all but the richest patients.

      $12,914/year per person is spent in the US on healthcare, and 10% of people don't even have health insurance. Meanwhile, healthcare in the UK (for example) costs $5,387/year, covers everyone in the country, and is free at point of demand.

      https://www.healthsystemtracke... [healthsystemtracker.org]

    • by dfghjk ( 711126 ) on Monday October 16, 2023 @08:29AM (#63928499)

      "Out medical costs are high because we subsidize the rest of the world."
      No. Our costs are high because of obscene profits.

      "They make their obscene profits here, some profit in the rest of the developed world, and than occasional take some loss for PR sake in the developing world."
      That's half right, you assume the "developed world" and "developing world" are not profitable enough, how do you know that?

      "Its not a market problem its a political problem."
      The "political problem" is leaving it to the "market" to produce the "market problem". It is the idea in the US that unbridled exploitation is an entitlement of the rich.

      "you have to sell a given volume of product at the same price to everyone and you have to make those same volume options available to everyone one than that has some really negative consequences for some markets that will be entirely priced out and ultimately undeserved as a result."
      Price control for the in-group, the shaft for the out-group. What a surprise! That's literally what we have today, except you're the out-group unless you can find your way into a class exception. Artificially high prices, exceptions for insurance companies, no insurance? Sucks to be you.

      "You'll have a bunch of university students protesting your perpetuation of systemic inequality and suggesting you have to than submit to mass migration and accept terrorists who behead children as justified."
      And demonize others for the results of your hypothetical shitty plan. Smells Republican, though I think it's hysterical that, as usual, you're for big government to the extent that it benefits you.

    • The trouble is who is going to tell Merck or Novartis - hey charge Americans only what you charge the German healthcare system for your products or you're getting banned from the US market place - when that means probably citizens who depend on those products might literally die.

      No they won't. People are not dying in Germany either. Merck and Novartis are still happy to sell their products in Germany, and they make a profit there.
      Why would they stop selling a profitable product?

      The pharma industry but also the device industry - domestic and foreign charges way more in the USA than the rest of the world where there are price controls

      The doctors and the insurance companies also charge way more in the USA compared to the rest of the world, to cover their bureaucracy. And none of that money subsidizes anything in the rest of the world.
      My last experience in a US hospital is when my wife went for a 20 minutes visit at the ER (maybe 10 minute

    • Meanwhile we Constitutionally can't put export tariffs on product so domestic supplies are free to deal with say Canada if they want to, without having to make those prices available here.

      Nothing in the Constitution prevents the government from imposing and export tax or tariff. But the problem is political because any change will hit at profits; not just big Pharma but the plan mangers and plans as well.

      • by AmiMoJo ( 196126 )

        By the logic being espoused here, an export tax would make things worse. The other countries would not raise their price controls. Actually most don't have price controls, they just negotiate much better prices at a national level. Ever noticed how you pay much more than your insurance company does for the same thing? Governments pay even less than insurance companies.

        So if your logic holds, pharma companies would simply increase costs for US customers to maintain their profit levels. As if their prices are

      • Export taxes would just result in the drug manufacturing being moved out of the USA, so it would hurt consumers. There would have to be substantial changes to the tax code to keep them from using shell companies and other shenanigans to shield income so that we could properly dis-incentivize moving the production. And it would get challenged in court, tied up for years, and by the time SCOTUS decides it is actually unconstitutional (because they are partisan hacks), everyone will have given up anyway. We're

    • by nickovs ( 115935 ) on Monday October 16, 2023 @09:13AM (#63928639)

      Out medical costs are high because we subsidize the rest of the world.

      The pharma industry but also the device industry - domestic and foreign charges way more in the USA than the rest of the world where there are price controls. They make their obscene profits here, some profit in the rest of the developed world, and than occasional take some loss for PR sake in the developing world.

      Actually US healthcare costs are so high because about 45% of the US healthcare spend [economist.com] goes to "the intermediaries—insurers, chemists, drug distributors and pharmacy-benefit managers (PBMS)—sitting between patients and their treatments". Most of this doesn't happen in countries where healthcare is viewed as a centrally managed social good rather than a source of profit.

    • Do you listen to yourself? How delusional can a single person be?

      The reason Merck (a German company) and Novartis (from Switzerland) charge what they charge in the US is because they get away with it. It's that plain simple. They charge it because it gets paid. What are you, some pinko-commie that you hate free enterprises fleece dupes who pay too much for their junk?

      The real reason healthcare costs a fortune in the US is that it's less regulated. Have you ever heard some ad telling you to ask your physicia

    • by AmiMoJo ( 196126 )

      What a bizarre argument. The underlying assumption is that the pharma companies will always require making obscene profits, and if the law doesn't allow them to elsewhere then they must do so in the United States.

      What would happen if the US added price controls? The universe divides by zero and the Earth is swallowed into a black hole?

      The reason healthcare is so expensive in the US is because it can be. What are you going to do, not pay and die? Any kind of socialised or price regulated medicine is socialis

  • by RobinH ( 124750 ) on Monday October 16, 2023 @07:01AM (#63928319) Homepage
    I was watching a long form interview (sorry, can't find it right now) where they were interviewing an author who wrote a book about changing marriage rates since the 70's and what effect that has (particularly on children, but also on the people in general). There's a huge economic component, because the fall-off in marriage rates has almost exclusively impacted non-college-educated people in the US. It's something like 80% of college grads get married, but maybe 40% of non-college-grads get married. Now you need to replace "marriage" with "living together" - you don't need to have a wedding to get the economic benefit, but the fact is there are far, far more single parent households in the non-college-educated crowd, and even if the other parent is contributing through child support, you still have two adults maintaining two households instead of pooling their resources and sharing expenses. This shows up in success rates for those kids later in life. Kids from two-parent households statistically do significantly better, even controlling for education level of the parents.
    • Fun fact: according to certain studies, the accessibility of inexpensive energy since the industrial revolution played a big role in enabling divorces. During the medieval era, when individuals had to work the land for sustenance, it was calculated that a mature adult's labor could provide for approximately 1.5 adults. Consequently, choosing to divorce and live independently, especially when raising children, was deemed impractical from a survival standpoint (for most people).

      This brings me to another topic

      • by RobinH ( 124750 ) on Monday October 16, 2023 @08:32AM (#63928517) Homepage
        Yeah, when people say gas or electricity is expensive I always wonder, "compared to what?" In energy output, one litre of gasoline is equivalent to about 2 weeks of hard human labour. Or try streaming a 4K movie over a 4G network... that's a little over 1 kWh of energy. For reference, a healthy human adult labourer can only output about 0.5 kWh in an 8 hour workday. The average energy use in a US home is over 1 kW, so over 24 kWh per day. We live in a world where energy is ridiculously cheap, and we should be thankful every day for that.
        • For reference, a healthy human adult labourer can only output about 0.5 kWh in an 8 hour workday. The average energy use in a US home is over 1 kW, so over 24 kWh per day.

          This is a very good reference point. It means that if we didn't have this cheap energy, a typical US home household would need ~48 human slaves to function (this is an approximation of course). Add to that the rest of services and goods we use during the day (food, transportation, cars, networks ...), and the end result is that compared to the time where human labor was the only thing, we are using the equivalent of 400-600 slaves per day to sustain our lifestyle.

          Which brings the question: was slavery ended

          • by RobinH ( 124750 )
            Well, we also had horses and we burned wood and charcoal for fuel, used wind power for sailing and pumping water, and used water wheels and windmills for milling, etc., so we weren't *without* other sources of energy before the industrial revolution. Before the US, slavery was what happened when you couldn't re-pay your debts (or were captured in conflict). You could (in theory, if rarely in practice) work your way free. The US form was a different monster entirely. It's a lot easier for an average pers
        • by piojo ( 995934 )

          So you're saying streaming a movie over 4G consumes half a kilowatt of power? I did find one source that agrees with that, but is it really right? All the other sources on the internet say a 4G transmitter requires 2.5-10 kilowatts, and that statistic implies a single tower could only serve 2.5-10 phones streaming a 4K movie. That's not realistic, unless the bitrate has been artificially inflated (is the movie being transmitted uncompressed?)

          A more grounded source [wirelessmoves.com] says:

          A single base station site serves around 800-1200 subscribers. 120 kWh of daily power consumption divided by 1200 subscribers means that the energy consumed by a base station per subscriber is 0,1 kWh per day

      • Before industrialization most people were subsistence farmers so you had to work as a community and families to survive. With industrialization there was enough extra production to support people going off to factories and buying food in cash then. The development of artificial fertilizer really caused production, and then populations, to skyrocket.

        • by RobinH ( 124750 )
          Yes, but industrialization causes people to move to the cities, and people tend to have far fewer children in cities than when they're on the farm. If the birth rate only fell to replacement rate (2.1 children per woman) or even a little lower, I'd say that's fine, but we're seeing birth rates drastically lower than replacement rate such as China at 1.28, Italy at 1.24, Canada at 1.40, and the US at 1.64. These are not sustainable, particularly because there's a large boomer population in the midst of ret
    • by AmiMoJo ( 196126 )

      The question is what is the cause of falling marriage rates. Is it some moral decline, some deterioration of the fabric of society? Or is it that people are now less willing to accept unhappy or abusive relationships, and we don't really teach them how to be good partners?

      Of course back in the 70s, a single person could easily earn enough to support a family, own a home, car, the odd holiday. The fact that they can't now seems to be the problem, not that the parents are trying to maintain two separate house

      • by Terwin ( 412356 )

        The question is what is the cause of falling marriage rates. Is it some moral decline, some deterioration of the fabric of society? Or is it that people are now less willing to accept unhappy or abusive relationships, and we don't really teach them how to be good partners?

        I think a big part of it is the rise of feminism encouraging girls and young women to dream of a future in the corporate jungle instead of homemaking. While I am certain that some women are happier and better off for this, we have no way of knowing how many young women were pushed off a path where they would have been happy for a path that ends up making them miserable instead. I strongly suspect more people(both male and female) would be happier if homemaking were considered to be a career just as valid

  • Millions of lives ruined. Seems the careless way he tells his naive mistake, is exactly what got him here. It's profit over all else. Looking for excuses, to hide your real motivation, excessive greed.

  • stopped listening (Score:3, Insightful)

    by argStyopa ( 232550 ) on Monday October 16, 2023 @07:11AM (#63928333) Journal

    The number of economists spouting bullshit theories has increased exponentially.
    One of them crying "mea culpa we might have been wrong!" is hardly going to suggest they've suddenly become insightful.

    Plus anyone who quotes Gramsci is a fucking moron.

    • 100% this! This is 100% correct! As far as I can tell the Economists have nice, lovely theories that match reality exactly 0% of the time!
  • Differing goals (Score:5, Interesting)

    by Tony Isaac ( 1301187 ) on Monday October 16, 2023 @07:29AM (#63928353) Homepage

    Different people value different things.

    Some people want a workplace where they are valued, more than they want higher income. (me)
    Some people want to work from home, more than they want higher income. (me)
    Some people want a stress-free workplace, more than they want higher income. (me)
    Some people want to spend time raising their own children, more than they want higher income. (me)
    Some people want to work fewer hours, more than they want higher income. (me)
    Some people want higher income at the expense of all else. (not me)

    Each of these goals leads to differing levels of income, i.e., income inequality.

    • I believe the article isn't addressing the situation described here. It's probable that your income surpasses your actual needs by a considerable margin, making minor fluctuations inconsequential to you. Furthermore, income disparity is a natural outcome (haha), especially in non-communist societies, as people have different jobs, and well, there is this notion called supply and demand.

      The article, however, focuses on profound inequalities that result in an unfair distribution of opportunities for succeedin

    • That's lovely, but you left out the important part, regardless of YOUR wants, you want also to be able to live at a certain standard of living that includes having access to affordable housing, food, medical care, etc. That 'base level' is provided in most European countries and not in the USA, and, unfortunately, many Americans are below that level. Your Maslow's Hierarchy of needs you just created shows you are already making really good money such that you don't have to worry about where your next meal
      • Re: (Score:3, Informative)

        by Tony Isaac ( 1301187 )

        I grew up in poverty, I benefitted from free school lunches (reserved for those below the poverty line). I escaped poverty not through government handouts, but through hard work. I *wanted* to escape. For those who want this, and will work to achieve it, the US has plenty of opportunities.

        And nobody in the US needs to go hungry. They are a myriad of groups, including the government, giving out free food. I volunteer with an inner city charity, teaching young men trade skills. Guess what, they all have cell

    • Some people have skills and abilities that make them more valued than others. A doctor has special skills backed up by over a decade of training and are few in number. People who can clean rooms don't require any special skills and so are very common. One gets paid more because for each one of them there are hundreds of the others. The doctor is far harder to replace than the person sweeping the floor.

  • by Klync ( 152475 ) on Monday October 16, 2023 @07:41AM (#63928369)

    All that GDP "wasted" on America's health care system does more than just line the pockets of the health care industry. It keeps workers desperate. And desperate workers are pliant workers. Can you really put a price on how that serves our over-class?

    • Sadly it feels like the goal of American capitalism is to ensure that workers' monthly wages are always $1 less than their monthly expenses.

  • by MeNeXT ( 200840 ) on Monday October 16, 2023 @07:45AM (#63928379)

    it's what we call humanity. The US system fails because we evaluate the system using dollars. The thing is the US system offers treatments that are not available anywhere else in the world. At the same time it neglects a large part of the population. We then compare this system with other systems and only highlight its failings. As an example the Canadian system. In the Canadian system it doesn't matter how much you make. If you don't have the right connections you don't have a doctor and you spend your life on waiting lists or years waiting for treatment. People die because they waited too long in the emergency room.

    If you look at, and analyze any healthcare system you will realize that there are the privileged and the not privileged. I don't know of any system that treats all humans on an equal basis. To say this is just an economics problem is to close your eyes to all the systems that are failing that are not just based on economics. Humanity just likes to step on some in order to move others up and then pay lip service to the stepped on. The stepped on would do the same as soon as they have the opportunity.

    The proof is in the world around us. We haven't learned anything from WWII or any other conflict. It's us vs them. Just look at US politics where all are American. It's the same all over the world. It's always us vs them. The thing is you can't hurt them without hurting us. To sustain any system it requires all types but in every system we have "them" that are excluded where "us" closes their eyes because "us" is not affected.

    In the Canadian system if your are rich you can always go down to the US and receive treatment so economics opens some doors to fix some problems. It doesn't stop humanity from imposing border restrictions to ensure its failings.

    • The thing is the US system offers treatments that are not available anywhere else in the world.

      Name one.

      • by MeNeXT ( 200840 )

        One of the most famous is when Robert Bourassa went to the US for cancer treatment. Hip replacement is common to avoid the pain of having to sit waiting for 2 or more years.

        • by tragedy ( 27079 )

          For those who are unfamiliar with what the parent is saying, Robert Bourassa was a Canadian politician who went to the US for treatment for melanoma 33 years ago! Note that this was for surgery that can be performed by surgeons the world over. Hip surgery is also available all over the world. Certainly people do travel from all over the world to get medical procedures in the US, but some people don't seem to realize that people all over the world travel to other destinations all over the world for medical p

    • References/citations? I believe your republican talking point of "people die on waiting lists' is exactly that, republican propaganda, i.e. lies.
      • by MeNeXT ( 200840 )

        Here for the lazy.

        https://montrealgazette.com/news/local-news/coroner-calls-for-review-at-jewish-general-er-after-death-of-young-man

        https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/montreal/akeem-scott-died-family-crarr-1.6894027

        I believe your republican talking point of "people die on waiting lists' is exactly that, republican propaganda,

        This just make my point. The us vs them. BTW I'm not a republican.

        • oddly enough, you sound like a republican. If you make unsupported claims, then why am I lazy for asking for proof? Listing two cases is not the same thing as saying it is part of the problem with Canadian Healthcare, any system will have it's unintended circumstance from time to time, I am looking for a paper or reference that says some percentage of the time, greater than 1 in a million, people die on waiting lists.

          As a percentage, based upon the 8400 people reported who died waiting for healthcare in C

      • by tragedy ( 27079 )

        The real problem is that people die on waiting lists in healthcare all the time regardless of the insurance system. Consider organ transplant lists. Doesn't matter if it's heavily socialized medicine or capitalist insurance, there simply are not enough transplant organs to give one to every person that needs one, so people die waiting on lists. The only exception are places where the rich and powerful can buy organs or, possibly in some cases, have people murdered to supply them with organs. That model obvi

    • by skam240 ( 789197 )

      As an example the Canadian system. In the Canadian system it doesn't matter how much you make. If you don't have the right connections you don't have a doctor and you spend your life on waiting lists or years waiting for treatment. People die because they waited too long in the emergency room.

      Just swap "right connections" with "money" and you've described the US healthcare system with its 26,000 a year dead due to not having insurance https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/p... [nih.gov] .

      Also, Canada is a sample size of one in terms of wait times in countries with socialist healthcare systems and yet you're creating all these broad conclusions based on this. This means at best you dont understand how to do statistical comparisons or at worst are just being dishonest. If you compare across the board between all oth

  • by B0mb1tll ( 8539805 ) on Monday October 16, 2023 @07:47AM (#63928389)

    Why the focus on a four year degree? Not all who don't have a four year degree are doing poorly. Most skilled tradesmen do very well actually.
    And many with four year degrees are having a hard time.

    And our economy needs skilled tradesmen. It doesn't seem like a good idea to somehow imply they are than others because they don't have a degree.

    It seems that perhaps if you draw that division between people, perhaps you aren't living in the real world?

    • because, in general, people with a 4 year degree make more over their lifetime than those without.

      ref: https://www.indeed.com/career-... [indeed.com]

      ref: https://smartasset.com/retirem... [smartasset.com]

    • by scamper_22 ( 1073470 ) on Monday October 16, 2023 @08:34AM (#63928523)

      I don't know who downvoted you to a 1, but the 4 year degree has serious problems. I'd argue that mass 4 year degrees are one of the most harmful things Western Society has done to itself.

      Let me preface this by saying, I am pro-education. I'm talking specifically about mass 4 year degrees, where everyone is expected to get a 4 year degree. Often it doesn't really improve the person's ability to do a job.

      1. Education inflation. I'm in Canada and here it is very common to have to do a 4 year degree before you enter a specific program (med school, nursing, teachers college...). In many countries you can go straight into those programs. I don't think Canada's workers end up 'better'. The 4 year degree is basically just inflation. You need it just because other people get it. Now, even some tight program expect you get a masters degree. Well sure, if you're comparing applicants, and one has a bachelor and one has masters, surely you take the one with the masters right? This can definitely increase inequality as generally wealthier people have the time to get multiple degrees. The rest of the people need to get on with life.

      2. The Birth Rate. Most western countries are suffering and part of the reason here is when you are able to 'start a life'. The longer your education, the longer people feel it takes to 'get started in life'. All these educational requirements do in increase the time it takes for you to get started in life. It's not uncommon today to be in school until your late 20s. Then you have to find a job. Feel a bit secure in the job, by that time you're in your early 30s. Then you have to squeeze in getting the right partner, pray the stars align and you can get pregnant. Maybe you can squeeze in 1 or 2 kids tops. There is no reason to spend so much time in school. It should be much more common to get a basic education. Get to a job. Start a family. Once you get some experience, maybe it is worth getting a masters degree... But so many people want all that education front loaded. It's very detrimental.

      3. Unions have actually played a part here too. I'm in Canada again and it's weird to me that they too have participated in all the preference for 4 year degrees and masters degree. You should just magically be paid more or get preference just because; even if it has nothing to do with your ability to actually do the job. Like being a bus driver should have nothing to do with how much education you have. You should be a darn good driver and have good customer service skills...

      4. Government subsidies. This one is tricky, but I'm going to say we're all subsidized to some level. What's tricky is so often people don't want to admit they're subsidized. A lot of government spending goes into things like universities. If you work in one, you're subsidized. If your city gets one, you're subsidized. Even healthcare. One way to see it is the government is helping the poor. The other way to see it as government funding healthcare workers.

      Again, I personally don't think there's anything wrong with a subsidy. But you have to recognize it. These people often don't see it as a subsidy. So when the government tries to fund other people, they just see that as a subsidy and rail against it. What we've done in general is shielded educated workers (Somewhat) from the market, while exposing the poorest to complete global competition. It's sick in my view.

      5. Neglecting trades. with so much spending on education focused on the 4 year degree, that has removed funding for things like trades in high school and earlier. Once again hurting a lot of people; often on the poorer end of the system.

    • by RedK ( 112790 )

      What ? You mean a 4 year Humanities Queer Theory and Racial Marxism degree won't be much better than a Plumbing or Carpentry apprenticeship ?

      Why would Colleges lie to me ?

  • by Opportunist ( 166417 ) on Monday October 16, 2023 @07:53AM (#63928401)

    How exactly do you plan to extort and oppress people without the constant threat of losing their home and living on the street? You'd have to pay living wages because they'd notice that, hey, after expenses for gas, traffic tolls, insurances and so on, I don't make any more money from working than what I'd get from social security, because social security is pegged at the bare minimum for survival. So why the fuck should I work?

    I.e. exactly the problem Europe is currently running into. Wages have been depressed to the point where people noticed that, after expenses for working, what they got left over is no more than what they'd get as social security money because that IS the bare minimum for survival.

    • by drinkypoo ( 153816 ) <drink@hyperlogos.org> on Monday October 16, 2023 @08:31AM (#63928513) Homepage Journal

      How exactly do you plan to extort and oppress people without the constant threat of losing their home and living on the street? You'd have to pay living wages because they'd notice that, hey, after expenses for gas, traffic tolls, insurances and so on, I don't make any more money from working than what I'd get from social security, because social security is pegged at the bare minimum for survival. So why the fuck should I work?

      The minimum payment for social security is based on the federal minimum wage [ssa.gov]. So is eligibility for SNAP [cbpp.org]. If they increased the federal minimum wage it would increase the minimum payments for social security, and make millions of Americans eligible to food aid. Ironically, more people would be required to work to get SNAP because work registration is based either on hours worked, or weekly earnings exceeding the federal minimum wage * 30 (with some assorted exclusions for people caring for young children or the disabled, etc.)

      So in short, the feds won't let us have anything nice in part because if they did, they'd have to let more people eat.

  • GDP, perhaps? (Score:4, Insightful)

    by coofercat ( 719737 ) on Monday October 16, 2023 @07:56AM (#63928409) Homepage Journal

    If economists did anything, it was to promote the idea that the entire nation could be easily distilled into a handful of numbers - the main one being Gross Domestic Product, GDP.

    Our decades (centuries?) long obsession with GDP lets politicians chase bigger and bigger deals, at the expense or more and more of the ordinary people who'll never see any benefit from them. The other Great Economist Myth, that of trickle-down-economics means that unless you're one of the very tiny few involved in the big deals done by the politicians, then you really never will see any benefit from them - hence inequality.

    Ultimately then, economists mismanaged politicians, or perhaps politicians proved to be so slimy and impossible to hold to any standard that economists were never going to be able to "manage" them in the first place.

  • "We got it wrong, and we don't know how to fix it. We're totally ignoring the possibility of copying other countries that have done it better for the same reason we got it wrong in the first place - we believe in American Exceptionalism. Now buy my book and make me rich."

    This guy is still part of the problem.

  • Retraining (Score:4, Insightful)

    by Mspangler ( 770054 ) on Monday October 16, 2023 @08:19AM (#63928465)

    "I think we were way overenthusiastic about hyperglobalization. We had this belief that people would lose their jobs but they'd find other, better jobs, and that really didn't happen. "

    He's right about that. It was hard enough switching between extractive and physical metallurgy even though they are both covered under metallurgical engineering. An attempt to change me into a database programmer or a web developer is most likely doomed to failure.

    People are not interchangeable CPU modules.

  • by LordHighExecutioner ( 4245243 ) on Monday October 16, 2023 @08:22AM (#63928471)
    And Betteridge [wikipedia.org] should be blamed for this.
  • I'm not willing to be mandated by a government to give up what I've worked hard for to others. That should be my choice. My family and local circle come first.
  • Feng Shui practicioners blaming the furniture placement for Covid. Now which one of you little rascals hid my meds?
  • Unconstrained competition is destructive, so government exists to enforce rules so it can turned to productive ends. This if anything is the definition of economics.

    Free markets can't exist when some actors are allowed to coerce others, coercive force is always converted into economic rent.

    Coercive force comes in four valences: active versus passive, and focused versus diffuse. Passive/diffuse is both the most powerful and the hardest to see: it is not direct extraction (one person directly taking from
  • by LainTouko ( 926420 ) on Monday October 16, 2023 @08:59AM (#63928595)

    Economists have to produce answers which are acceptable to the ruling class, because any popular understanding that people can use democracy to make their lives better by voting for wealth redistribution is too big a threat for the ruling class to allow it to exist. This means economics is not allowed to be a science, it has to be intensely ideological. Which means it will always give wrong answers. I remember taking an economics course in school, it started with how banks create credit with the lend-borrow cycle. As a starting point for economics, it's farcical, it's a starting point for "don't ask where the profit comes from".

    Fortunately, a couple of decades later, I came across a single-page description of how profit comes from underpaying labour based on the labour theory of value. And I finally understood how capitalism works, which no economics course or anything else in mainstream culture is going to tell you. (The tendency for the rate of profit to decline is another important one, but it's a lot harder to understand.)

  • by rsilvergun ( 571051 ) on Monday October 16, 2023 @09:13AM (#63928641)
    like Friedman and Laffer then yeah, they do. It's not even always because they're stooges (though Laffer certainly was). The ones with bad ideas often get promoted over the ones with good ideas because they're the ones that get the money. The Koch brothers, a pair of extremely right wing (boarding on monarchist) billionaires one of who is dead have been using their money and influence to pack university economics departments with cronies for years.


    There's nothing wrong with studying the economy, But we've let that study get increasingly taken over by special interests. Much more so than any other science.
  • by DaveyJJ ( 1198633 ) on Monday October 16, 2023 @09:13AM (#63928647) Homepage

    FFS, there's no Nobel Prize in economics. Alfred Nobel was adament that economics isn't a science, since when a theory is falsified the proponents of that theory just claim "the conditions weren't right" and keep believing the theory. That's not how the scientific method works. He specifically did not allow economics into the foundation's list of sciences.

    The prize is correctly called the Sveriges Riksbank Prize in Economic Sciences in Memory of Alfred Nobel. It was started in the late 60s when the free-market capitalists needed yet another prop for their ideas about how economies work and knew that by attaching the name of Nobel to a bank prize the "science" of economics would be given more legitimacy.

    Economics is no more a science than astrology, Feng shui, tarot, and water dowsing.

    Deaton didn't win a Nobel prize, a bank gave him some money to keep the system legit.

  • We don't shop for services because they're obscured by insurance agencies. If we had a choice between hospital A and Hospital B because we knew ahead of time that Hospital A was more expensive than B, then we would be able to use the market mechanism to push down prices. Instead, it's all hidden and all we pay are the same nominal out of pocket costs no matter what it actually costs. This is why the market doesn't discover better prices via competition. Also, it's super weird that we get insurance from our
  • It's not like forced privatization, public-private partnerships, NAIRU and derivatives like structural deficits or debt ratios, peddling the debt medicants, caring about some abstract misleading indexes over people's lives, deregulation, right to fire, employment phillips curve, waiting for CCS wunderwaffen, wars coups and more wars, export led development, letting the market sort necessities, and all other sorts of unsupported rubbish have ever had bad effects. No, it's commies, terrorists, Xi, Putin, the

  • They pander to their audience. Since most economists are directly or indirectly funded by corporations, the output of our economists naturally reflects what companies want to hear. What is crazy is that the rest of us have been hoodwinked into allowing with this punditry to become national policy. Economics as practiced in the US is NOT science, it is opinion.
  • by Berkyjay ( 1225604 ) on Monday October 16, 2023 @11:02AM (#63928959)

    Especially considering, if this man is to be believed, that they've been following a libertarian economic model. I see this thinking in how almost every economist likes to bash on rent control because it is "economically inefficient". They only see the world in relation to a market economy and ignore the non-market benefits of such policies.

In the long run, every program becomes rococco, and then rubble. -- Alan Perlis

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