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G5 Severe Geomagnetic Storm Watch Issued For First Time Since 2003 (axios.com) 32

Longtime Slashdot reader davidwr shares a report from Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC): On Thursday, May 9, 2024, the NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center issued a Severe (G4) Geomagnetic Storm Watch. At least five earth-directed coronal mass ejections (CMEs) were observed and expected to arrive as early as midday Friday, May 10, 2024, and persist through Sunday, May 12, 2024. Several strong flares have been observed over the past few days and were associated with a large and magnetically complex sunspot cluster (NOAA region 3664), which is 16 times the diameter of Earth. [The agency notes this is the first time it's issued a G4 watch since January, 2005.] "Geomagnetic storms can impact infrastructure in near-Earth orbit and on Earth's surface, potentially disrupting communications, the electric power grid, navigation, radio and satellite operations," NOAA said. "[The Space Weather Prediction Center] has notified the operators of these systems so they can take protective action." The agency said it will continue to monitor the ongoing storm and "provide additional warnings as necessary."

A visual byproduct of the storm will be "spectacular displays of aurora," also known as the Northern Lights, that could be seen for much of the northern half of the country "as far south as Alabama to northern California," said the NOAA. "Northern Montana, Minnesota, Wisconsin and the majority of North Dakota appear to have the best chances to see it," reports Axios, citing the SWPC's aurora viewline. "Forecast models Friday showed the activity will likely be the strongest from Friday night to Saturday morning Eastern time."

UPDATE 6:54 P.M. EDT: G5 conditions have been observed -- the first time since 2003, says Broadcast Meteorologist James Spann.

This is a developing story. More information is available at spaceweather.gov, Google News, and the NOAA.
This discussion has been archived. No new comments can be posted.

G5 Severe Geomagnetic Storm Watch Issued For First Time Since 2003

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  • by ArchieBunker ( 132337 ) on Friday May 10, 2024 @08:26PM (#64463999)

    What situation will this be, Maximum Overdrive or Night Of The Living Dead?

    • Triffids (Score:3, Informative)

      What situation will this be, Maximum Overdrive or Night Of The Living Dead?

      It's Day of the Triffids [wikipedia.org].

      Good time to download the 3d printable plans for a triffid gun [theslingshotforum.com].

      Be sure to save to a local file before the internet goes out.

    • Re:Uh oh (Score:5, Interesting)

      by Entrope ( 68843 ) on Friday May 10, 2024 @09:34PM (#64464103) Homepage

      Neither. But it will be impressive if this storm even reaches the scale of the Carrington Event, when aurorae borealis were visible in Cuba and Hawaii.

      This will be very interesting for researchers, including satellite navigation types. A colleague of mine who specializes in the ionosphere said that the WAAS [wikipedia.org] "extreme storm detector" for ionospheric disturbances tripped for the first time it was fielded. That detector was developed in response to the last G5 geomagnetic storms, 2003's Halloween solar storms -- but took five years to design and deploy.

      My colleague expects that people in that field will be analyzing this storm for at least the next year, not least because the world today has so many more good stations collecting GNSS data and so many more GNSS satellites in orbit compared to 2003. (The number of observations scales with the product of number of ground stations and number of satellites, and the orbital design of GNSS constellations means that the additional data points are pretty evenly distributed.)

      • Aurora Watch (Score:5, Interesting)

        by Roger W Moore ( 538166 ) on Friday May 10, 2024 @10:23PM (#64464153) Journal
        You can also check out Aurora Watch [aurorawatch.ca] which uses a magnetometer array to predict the likelihood of aurora - you can even sign up for email alerts. It's based in Alberta and currently they are predicting an 89% chance of aurora tonight.
      • In WV the sky was deep red and pale green with pale green god ray like shafts of light dancing around southward. At one point the pale green light looked as bright as the moon about to rise over the mountains only to turn deep red 5 minutes late. I was in awe.

  • This is X5.

    Wake me up when it's over.

  • I don't believe it (Score:5, Insightful)

    by 93 Escort Wagon ( 326346 ) on Friday May 10, 2024 @10:36PM (#64464157)

    We're expecting K=8 solar activity... AND THE SKIES ARE CLEAR IN WESTERN WASHINGTON?!

    No way... SOMETHING will happen and prevent us from seeing it here. It always does...

    (I've seen aurora twice - but both times I was in northern Canada)

    • by Burdell ( 228580 )

      I saw it in north Alabama! First time I've ever seen the aurora.

      • The curse is broken! My daughter and I walked down the road (away from the neighbors' lights) and got a good view of them just now. They're fairly static - not like the ones I saw in Canada - but still way cool!

    • We're expecting K=8 solar activity

      That's nothing! I once saw a K=9 [wikipedia.org].

  • I got to see it in the light pollution-free area between Barstow and Vegas. Barely, but I caught green glows. Meanwhile, my pals in Oregon were getting the full LSD experience.

  • The sun is emptying its massive load all over mother Earth. Nice.
  • I'm pretty sure the G4/G5 inconsistency was deliberately injected just to wind us up.
  • I am sure the Russians will take advantage of Starlink being down to mount a new offensive.
  • Well it went off in the southern hemisphere last night.
    Great aurora over Tasmania and Southern Australia.
    People are hoping for a repeat tonight and the Sun is just going down as I type.

According to the latest official figures, 43% of all statistics are totally worthless.

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