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Earth

Global Water Crisis Leaves Half of World Food Production at Risk in Next 25 Years (theguardian.com) 197

More than half the world's food production will be at risk of failure within the next 25 years as a rapidly accelerating water crisis grips the planet, unless urgent action is taken to conserve water resources and end the destruction of the ecosystems on which our fresh water depends, experts have warned in a landmark review. From a report: Half the world's population already faces water scarcity, and that number is set to rise as the climate crisis worsens, according to a report from the Global Commission on the Economics of Water published on Thursday.

Demand for fresh water will outstrip supply by 40% by the end of the decade, because the world's water systems are being put under "unprecedented stress," the report found. The commission found that governments and experts have vastly underestimated the amount of water needed for people to have decent lives. While 50 to 100 litres a day are required for each person's health and hygiene, in fact people require about 4,000 litres a day in order to have adequate nutrition and a dignified life. For most regions, that volume cannot be achieved locally, so people are dependent on trade -- in food, clothing and consumer goods -- to meet their needs.

Some countries benefit more than others from "green water," which is soil moisture that is necessary for food production, as opposed to "blue water" from rivers and lakes. The report found that water moves around the world in "atmospheric rivers" which transport moisture from one region to another.

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Global Water Crisis Leaves Half of World Food Production at Risk in Next 25 Years

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  • The Up Side (Score:5, Funny)

    by MightyMartian ( 840721 ) on Thursday October 17, 2024 @11:14AM (#64872123) Journal

    Don't panic everyone. The good news is the billionaires won't suffer. In fact, they working right now with citizen advocacy groups like Project 2025 to make sure that we never receive any of the bad news, right up until we're being swept away by the flash flood, burning alive in a wildfire, or living in the landfills so generously provided to us by the billionaires from the leavings of their unbounded appetites and excesses.

    • Well Comrade, you cannot have the state blamed for anything so you will not hear bad news, comrade.
  • That's one way of reducing the world's population. Let's see how well this works out.

  • Everyone with a brain: stop growing avocados and almonds
    Farmers: What's that? I can't hear you over the sound of all my money? Oh well, I'll just get a journalist to bitch about it on The Guardian instead.
    • by Anonymous Coward on Thursday October 17, 2024 @11:22AM (#64872149)
      You can take my guacamole from my cold, dead, dehydrated hands
    • Re: (Score:2, Insightful)

      by tragedy ( 27079 )

      Avocados and almonds aren't really the problem. They're not really that incredibly thirsty and they simply aren't produced in large enough volume. Crops like alfalfa are the problem. Those are grown largely as feedstock for cattle. Ultimately beef production is the problem.

      • No, it isn't. I live in an area with little rainfall, and, shockingly enough, most beef cattle eat grass.
        • by tragedy ( 27079 )

          Oh, well, as long as you just say so. Admittedly, it's a little tricky to figure out, but let's check some numbers from google. We should start with actual production amounts since my argument specifically considered volume. California produces about 120K tons of avocados per year, 1.3 million tons of almonds, and 7 million tons of Alfalfa. Meanwhile, per acre per year avocados use approximately 3 acre-feet of water, 3.5 acre feet of water for almonds, and about 2.75 acre feet of water for alfalfa hay. So,

    • Avocados and Almonds? Those are high value crops that you probably could irrigate with desalinated water and make a profit. What about alfalfa or lettuce?
  • On review of the OG document I failed to find any concrete definition of what a "dignified life" is, and instead found a lot of hand-waving and talk about general social justice and equitable distribution of resources. I do not disagree with the substance of the paper in its implications, or besmirch its ambitions, but not being able to substantiate, define, or qualify that increased water requirement leaves me feeling like the paper is going to wind up another glossy policy document that gets dismissed whe

    • Showers? Maybe a proper bubble bath if "dignified" encompasses your basic human necessities -- cigar, monocle, top hat. Oh, and don't forget the swimming pool and fountain.
      • Hygiene was covered in the initial smaller number, and showers are more water efficient than baths.
        • by tragedy ( 27079 )

          showers are more water efficient than baths.

          Depends on the person. Some people take some pretty long showers. Actually, for both showers and baths there are options to make them considerably more water efficient. Obviously for showers there are the supposedly more efficient high pressure shower heads, but most of those don't seem to live up to the promise for most people. However, re-use of both shower and bath water is possible. There are recycling showers that have drains that feed right into a filtration/water purification system then go back thro

    • by MeNeXT ( 200840 )

      Not only that but;

      While 50 to 100 litres a day are required for each person’s health and hygiene, in fact people require about 4,000 litres a day in order to have adequate nutrition and a dignified life.

      What?

      Where I live the water is pulled from the river, filtered, used, filtered and returned to the river. How does that count in water use? How do you reach 4,000 litres a day every single day on average?

      I'm not saying that we don't have a problem. What I'm saying is that you can't assume everyone's water use is the same. Some go out of the way regardless of the consequences. Grass in the dessert makes no sense. God will not provide unlimited population growth. Bailing out people who igno

      • Not sticking our heads in the sand, that's what we grew all that grass in the desert for, so we can stick our heads in it.
      • by Rei ( 128717 )

        The vast majority of that water use is for agriculture. Plants are evaporators.

      • While 50 to 100 litres a day are required for each person’s health and hygiene, in fact people require about 4,000 litres a day in order to have adequate nutrition and a dignified life.

        What? Where I live the water is pulled from the river, filtered, used, filtered and returned to the river. How does that count in water use? How do you reach 4,000 litres a day every single day on average?

        You only need that if you eat food.

        If you don't eat food, no need for so much water.

  • "The commission found that governments and experts have vastly underestimated the amount of water needed for people to have decent lives".

    And that is obviously due to "anthropogenic global warming".

    • by Geoffrey.landis ( 926948 ) on Thursday October 17, 2024 @12:35PM (#64872397) Homepage

      "The commission found that governments and experts have vastly underestimated the amount of water needed for people to have decent lives".
      And that is obviously due to "anthropogenic global warming".

      Partly. Anthropogenic global warming is shifting rainfall patterns, so some places that used to grow food are drying out, while other places are getting too much rainfall.

      However, a significant part of the problem is that population growth has meant that people are depleting aquifers faster than they get refilled, so it's not all due to climate change.

      • Another huge problem is the rollback of globalization. The most effective way to alleviate water shortage is trade in water-hungry products, like meat, rice, corn, cotton.
  • by Petersko ( 564140 ) on Thursday October 17, 2024 @12:17PM (#64872349)

    We have to work on the 20% waste of global food production. That's the low hanging fruit, as it were. Discarding misshapen but perfectly edible fruits and vegetables should be relegated to the dustbin of history. Preservable grains and pulses should be staples for everybody. Supply chains with massive waste should be deprecated.

    It's not the whole answer but you have to start somewhere, right?

  • Ummm (Score:3, Insightful)

    by Ol Olsoc ( 1175323 ) on Thursday October 17, 2024 @12:39PM (#64872405)
    It is a real pity that higher temperatures do not cause more water evaporation which in turn causes more precipitation.

    The water apparently just disappears into another universe, or perhaps there is a loophole in matter neither being created or destroyed.

    The evaporated water cannot stay in the atmosphere - the water cycle is a short time, and besides, if it did, we're be into a real problem because H2O vapor is the strongest greenhouse gas. Yes - some places will encounter drought. But others will see increased rainfall. That the earth is going to dry up, and humanity turned into beef jerky is one of the biggest and least scientifically sound myths about AGW.

    • by q_e_t ( 5104099 )
      Rain doesn't always conveniently happen over land. Or the right bit of land. Or the right amounts at the right time. It doesn't even always reach the ground. So yes, there is more evaporation and rainfall. In the middle of the Pacific, over the UK, etc. But likely, due to shifts in weather patterns, in the US SW or in India.
      • Rain doesn't always conveniently happen over land.

        While true, rain has been falling on the oceans since there have been oceans to rain on.

        So the thesis is that the planet will become dryer, because most of the rain will not fall on land. Explain why.

        I say that the patterns will change, some places that are now wet will receive less rain, and some will receive more. But overall, there will be more precipitation, the various geological features that cause rain or prevent it now will still operate like they always have, with some changes.

        Think how in

    • What happens to water when it rains? Have a think about that. Think about how we deal with rain. Think about how the changing climate affects what happens to rain that has hit the ground. Think of how rain has changed. We are getting more extreme weather. Extreme weather means more downpours - exactly as you suggest - but what do we do with that?

      a) A significant amount of rain occurs over the ocean - contaminating a possible drinking water supply with salt
      b) A significant amount of rain occurs over cities -

    • Re:Ummm (Score:5, Informative)

      by tragedy ( 27079 ) on Thursday October 17, 2024 @04:10PM (#64872971)

      It is a real pity that higher temperatures do not cause more water evaporation which in turn causes more precipitation.

      The water apparently just disappears into another universe, or perhaps there is a loophole in matter neither being created or destroyed.

      You seem to be confused and think that this is all about global warming. The summary does not even mention global warming, although it is complicating factor. This is about a general water shortage. It's mostly caused by overuse, not global warming. Clearly million year old aquifers are not affected that much just by global warming, but plenty of million year old aquifers are being drained to the point where the only water left is too saline to use. Plenty of massive rivers are no longer reaching the ocean. Giant freshwater lakes and reservoirs are drying up, etc., etc. Then there's the fresh water sources that become unusable due to human activity, such as the aforementioned aquifers that are now too saline to use, or too polluted by toxic waste, etc. Or intentionally poisoned like the Seym river in Russia/Ukraine that the Russians appear to have intentionally poisoned. While global warming and shifting weather patterns can exacerbate the issue, the real problem is that the freshwater cycle is not generating enough fresh water, in the places where people use it, to keep up with human demands and waste.

      This would be happening even without global warming. Not all environmental concerns are about global warming. There has been a strong focus on it, but somehow both proponents of environmentalism and opponents (why there are opponents of keeping a clean environment I don't understand, but here we are) seem to be way too focused on global warming.

  • by gweihir ( 88907 ) on Thursday October 17, 2024 @12:53PM (#64872465)

    ... hard at work to correct the grossly oversized human population. Also not a surprise in any way for or shape, except to the clueless.

  • Like oil, there's plenty of water for everyone. The real issue is there isn't enough cheap and easy to access usable water/oil. At some point, desal plants with fields of solar cells will line coasts making plenty of water for everyone. For now, most people's best option is to not be poor. Luckily for most slashdot users, they are well above being poor. if you can afford a computer and to browse sites like this, you have more money than 90% of the world.

  • Double down on cooling AI compute with water to solve the problem

  • by RogueWarrior65 ( 678876 ) on Thursday October 17, 2024 @01:51PM (#64872627)

    The article makes some sweeping generalities about the world as a whole as though it's one society's responsibility to micromanage another's way of doing things.
    You have conflicting priorities to deal with. One group says that you need to stop storing fresh water because of environmental or historical concerns. Another says that you can't build desalinization plants for the similar reasons. You can't have your cake and eat it too. Clearly, environmental concerns weren't a deal-breaker when it came to building these massive solar field in the southern California desert. Why should water be any different?

  • Calling BS (Score:4, Insightful)

    by gillbates ( 106458 ) on Thursday October 17, 2024 @01:54PM (#64872637) Homepage Journal

    4,000 liters of water per day, per person, for a dignified life?

    That's nearly a thousand gallons a day, per person. Which seems terribly off - given that even if we count the water used to grow the food a person consumes in one day, and the cooling water for the power generation plant, and the amount of water used bathing, hydrating, laundering, etc... it's still hard to get to more than 100 gallons per person per day.

    Perhaps by dignified life they mean a person should be able to swim in their own private olympic-size swimming pool aboard their own private yacht. Because I'd have a hard time using more than 50 gallons/day if I tried.

    • That figure apparently includes the water needed to grow the food that you eat.

      • A little digging revealed this [usgs.gov] handy page which explains the domestic use for water is about 1% of total water usage. The agricultural use is about 3 times the domestic use, so no, growing food is not a significant part of our water usage.

        The article is a bit misleading because they include hydroelectric power generation and power plant cooling water in the usage figures. While these processes technically use water, they do not consume water that would otherwise be available for other purposes. In the

    • by flink ( 18449 )

      Not coming out of your tap no, but to produce and grow and ship all the stuff you consume then I wouldn't be surprised. Just your morning cup of coffee, to pick a random example, consumed about 36 gallons of water to grow and harvest and process. So a lot of us are getting close to 50 before we even get in the shower.

    • 55 gallons a day per person including dishes, clothes, pets covers about everything. It would be less if the kid would give up on the Hollywood showers. It would not be difficult to reuse the shower water to flush the toilet. All that it would take is a tank and a small pump and a bit of piping.

      We can do a four day camping run on 25 gallons including a shower a piece, but there isn't much in the way of food prep, and using the campgrounds toilet.

  • https://www.youtube.com/watch?... [youtube.com]

    on-topic section just before 11 minutes:

    "Degraded soil infiltrates half an inch of rainfall per hour... remediated soil holds up to 32 inches per hour..."

  • golf courses in Utah!
  • Make it a social priority, streamline the energy investment and permitting processes, waive aesthetic concerns, and give the NIMBYS the finger. While youâ(TM)re at it, ban lawns and turf grass in arid regions.

  • Soylent Green should address, even solve, most of the issues identified.

    I wonder if billionaires will taste better than regular folk.

  • ... a rapidly accelerating water crisis ...

    My state has built one dam in 45 years, it's no surprise that reservoirs are near empty, some years. They were going to build another but NIMBY-ists stopped that. The demand for green electricity resulted in a plan for 5 dams. Now, 3 years later, the government has released zero feasibility reports: A process that should take 2 years.

    It's no surprise, why the world is running out of water. African nations have never been big on building infrastructure: It's one of the reasons, they don't grow, altho

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