Is YouTube Launching a Netflix Competitor? 162
RedEaredSlider writes "YouTube could become the latest to offer a movie rental service, challenging streaming sites such as Netflix. Google is lining up deals with major Hollywood studios in order to launch the service. An anonymous executive at a studio that has signed on said Sony Pictures Entertainment, Warner Brothers, Lionsgate and Universal have all licensed their movies to the service. Not everyone is on board — Paramount, Fox and Disney declined to join."
Good luck with that (Score:5, Interesting)
Sony Pictures Entertainment, Warner Brothers, Lionsgate and Universal have all licensed their movies to the service.
How many movies? In what release window? will they be in HD? Will my xbox/PS3/blu-ray player support their streaming? Will they mail physical copies of movies that aren't available for streaming to my mailbox within 24-hours? What's the monthly fee?
Until these and many more questions are answered, I wouldn't call them a Netflix competitor at all. Netflix has established themselves as the guys to beat. And even if you can match their streaming service, you're damn sure going to have a tough time beating their mail service. And their mail service is still where I get most of my movies from them (since streaming is still only available for a fraction of their library). The fact that they're still missing three major studios doesn't give me much confidence that they're going to represent any real threat to Netflix. Blockbuster, Walmart, Apple, Amazon, and Hulu have all tried (often with half-assed efforts) to beat Netflix before. So you had better bring your A-game if you hope to do any better than they did.
Of course, they will decidely have an upper hand over Netflix in offering short videos of guys getting kicked in the groin and whiney teenagers crying about their tough suburban lives on webcams. I'll leave if for others to judge if that's an advantage or disadvantage.
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How many movies? In what release window? will they be in HD? Will my xbox/PS3/blu-ray player support their streaming? Will they mail physical copies of movies that aren't available for streaming to my mailbox within 24-hours? What's the monthly fee?
Until these and many more questions are answered, I wouldn't call them a Netflix competitor at all.
So, you think that in order for someone to compete, they must clone the incumbent? I'll bet Blockbuster, Tower Records, Hollywood Video, et al wished that were true.
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Since that's who the article indicated they were intended to compete with, then that's who they must be compared to, of course.
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If you were going to compete with someone, would you just ignore all their best features?
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Competition is exactly what the publishing houses do not want. The more content that is available the cheaper it becomes. There is already more out than anyone can watch, so it all start competing for access to the consumers limited amount of time.
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And it will fail since what Netflix offers clearly seems to be what customers want since they also have more customers than even a larger cable company.
That's nonsense. I don't doubt that Netflix is a compelling service, however, it is not the be all end all of movie and television delivery. You are saying that because Netflix is popular that it will always be so. Uh, hello? IBM, DEC, Sun, Chrysler, and thousands to millions of others.
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What if it's free?
Google is really good at advertising, and using data to make ads pay more.
It is quite likely that Google can use this to their advantage and be closer to a Hulu competitor, but one that pays the content producers more.
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Hulu already does free streaming, and they're not any real competitor with Netflix (not even in the streaming market, much less the overall rental market).
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This will probably be different from what Netflix does.
And it will fail since what Netflix offers clearly seems to be what customers want since they also have more customers than even a larger cable company.
Customers don't want only one thing, last I checked. The majority of households are not Netflix customers. I'd even suspect that the majority of computer-using households are not NF customers. There's plenty of room in the market for Google to offer either a different service that meets the needs of other customers; a complementary service; or even to try a directly competing service.
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And how many of the remaining households have a connection that's fast enough to stream movies? I'm not sure what the numbers are, but I don't think it's particularly fair to include households with a connection insufficient to stream in that calculation, otherwise Netflix would likely be doing a lot better in that respect.
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You know that people can stream from their Linux boxes, don't you? I presume there is Windows and Mac software available that will do the same. Maybe I shouldn't mention that VLC will stream to a file. People might misuse that information . . .
stuck in the 90s (Score:2)
I don't own any of those game systems, so this "people" really don't want that. I have a PC, and I have a monitor, and that's how I "watch TV." My monitor is a 42" Panasonic Viera. I don't have cable cuz I am too cheap to pay for it. And I'm damn sure not going to pay per view for every movie and tv show.
I may not be a "typical user" but you're clueless if you think I'm one of a rare few geeks out there who have figured out how to connect an HDMI cable from my pc to my shiny new "digital TV."
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We have a Netflix subscription, the cheapest one, and we've just kept the most recent disk without returning it for a couple of months - there's nothing in our subscription queue that's worth the trip to the mailbox.
However, we watch things on Netflix Instant all the time; it's much more convenient than having to deal with physical disks (which occasionally just don't work in my wife's MacBook or the M
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How can the DVDs not work on Myth?
I have never seen one fail in my linux boxes, my home is linux and solaris only.
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I have no idea. It might be that the DVD drives are failing - my wife got a penny in the DVD drive on her MacBook, and the MythTV box is using one that's been recycled through several other computers.
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How can the DVDs not work on Myth?
I have never seen one fail in my linux boxes, my home is linux and solaris only.
Crappy DVD drive. I have one that I'm too lazy to replace, since I only use that machine once a month or so to watch movies from disc, and some of them do work...
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I do the same. But there are a LOT of movies I want to see that just aren't available for streaming (or only available for certain time periods). I like that Netflix allows me to see everything in some form, even if it's not available for streaming.
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How many prime time shows? Will they be have current seasons of all major studios? Will they play through my cable box? Will they support TV Guide listings?
Until these and many other questions are answered, I wouldn't call Netflix a competitor to cable companies at all...
(/sarcasm)
Seriously, you listed Blockbuster? Did you write that comment 3 years ago or travel through a time warp? A back alley Betamax rental booth is a real threat to Blockbuster. And Walmart, Apple, and Amazon? WTF, man? These aren't ev
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The article indicated that this was intended as a competitor with Netflix, and so that's what I compared it to. And yes, those other services aren't in the same league as Netflix. They're just examples of other services that have attempted at some point to compete with Netflix and failed.
Netflix is massively overvalued IMO (Score:2)
I have Netflix, love it, but it is massively overvalued IMO. Its like a dotcom with hardly any capitol. Google, Yahoo, Apple, Amazon, or any of the big players could render Netflix worthless overnight if they were able to agree to deals with any of the major studios for streaming newly released movies. Netflix streaming is awesome and I love it, but to be honest the selection is pathetic, there is hardly anything on there that is new, and nothing on there is a blockbuster title and new. The day the stud
Nothing of Value? (Score:2)
> ->Paramount, Fox and Disney declined to join
> And nothing of value was lost.
Star Trek?
Classic Disney Movies? Animated Robin Hood? Treasure Island? 20,000 leagues under the Sea? Marvel Entertainment?
Emily Deschanel?
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1) It was a joke.
2) How much of that stuff was made in the last, I don't know, 15 years?
3) How much of that stuff would actually end up on a streaming service, instead of in the "Disney Vault" while the streaming service gets The Pacifier, Air Bud and reruns of Hannah Montana?
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I personally am a huge Pixar fan, and I tend to purchase DVDs of most Disney animated films (Ratatouille being the major modern exception). Surprisingly enough, when I turned off cable (for Netflix) recently the one thing that my family really missed was the Disney Channel. I thought I would miss Discovery and the History Channel, but there are quite a few interesting documentaries that I can stream.
Luckily Netflix has old episodes of Phineas and Ferb. Now if only they had Linux support.
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Yeah, no one wants to see such rinky dink films such as Star Wars, no one watched Family Guy (and similar), The Simpsons was cancelled midway through a season, Futurama only released a pilot episode, etc. etc. It's not like we're crying for the return of Firefly either. That's just Fox. Disney and Paramount have some big names too, like Star Trek for instance. Both have a pretty large collection of classic movies. A lot of their newer crap (all of these studios) sucks (e.g. Family Guy; I hate that shit), bu
Re:Good luck with that (Score:5, Informative)
Paramount:
Fox:
Fox is huge hunk chunk of the contemporary adult library and makes a ton of good new content. Disney:
These three studios control maybe half the modern library real estate. Warner Bros, controls basically the entire classic film library, Sony much of the remaining TV and both control most of the remaining franchises.
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Actually TNT is Warner Bros., sorry!
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Considering that the studios' weird morass of international video distribution agreements has most frequently been cited as the sticking point with international streaming, this seems very unlikely.
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Blockbuster? The company that filed for bankruptcy [www.cbc.ca] and that's also having a hard time in Canada (too expensive compared to competitors)?
Blockbuster isn't competition at all, except maybe if you're still thinking in terms of VHS tapes.
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However, unless someone comes out with a better deal than an 8$-per-month-stream-all-you-want buffet and/or offering the service in more than two countries (especially countries where there's no ridiculously low download monthly caps like the USA and Canada), I don't see it happening any time soon.
Not really competing with Netflix (Score:5, Insightful)
Is Youtube's business model really competing with Netflix? The 24-hour $2.99 rentals look and feel a lot more like Amazon's video rental service (excluding Prime) than it does Netflix's all-you-can-eat model. Frankly, I think this model is kind of doomed from the get-go. Amazon and Apple have tried this kind of video rental service, and while I'm sure it's somewhat of a success, it has done absolutely nothing to stop Netflix from gaining market share and subscribers. Even Amazon realizes that the future of video services lie in all-you-can-eat services like Netflix rather than per-title rentals. And, frankly, I think that's what most consumers nowadays want anyway. Unless Youtube is going to actually go toward a more Netflix-like model, or find a model that's even more appealing to consumers, I can't see it as being terribly successful.
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Is Youtube's business model really competing with Netflix? The 24-hour $2.99 rentals look and feel a lot more like Amazon's video rental service (excluding Prime) than it does Netflix's all-you-can-eat model.
They can switch up any time, provided they have agreements in place with the copyright holders. Until they have a sizable catalog an à la carte approach is more appealing to me. There are probably numerous ways a new service could distinguish itself. For example, if I could preload the entire movie in 1080p and I could seek fore and aft then I would be pretty interested in a 72-hour rental that I could download overnight. The long period is to permit me to not watch it on the night I thought I was goin
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Until they have a sizable catalog an à la carte approach is more appealing to me.
So you can spend more for less?
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Of course, balance that against the hassle of having to think about all the variables and it might not work out. What would b
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I rent fewer than 2 movies per month. I doubt it's even one per month, but I don't keep that close track.
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saving a few dollars by eating day old bread or brown bananas is not a savings. paying $7 more to get new movies is not a lot to pay. And for those months when you don't watch many cause you are busy or there's nothing but crap, you get back some compared to the monthly drain.
That's the magic of $2.99. If we were talking $6.99 a movie then for me it would start to matter. but at $2.99 the amount extra I might save over netflix is not worth what I lose.
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Remember, $2.99 isn't just $2.99. If you watch three movies a week, that starts to stack up.
And to your bread analogy, we buy a new loaf of bread twice a week in my house. My wife *must* have the fresh bread and will always start working on the new one.
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I have some day old sushi I'd like to sell you.
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Actually, I personally was thinking more like once a month or less I might rent a $2.99 movie if I could keep it for three days, like old school video rental often works/worked. And if Youtube's service turned out to be superior to Netflix — and why not, when it would very likely not be built on SIlverlight — then I might well switch to Youtube later. Actually, I'm starting to have problems finding things I want to watch on Netflix (yes, I am a picky bastard) so if their catalog were substantial
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I would agree - Netflix's closest competitor is Comcast, which also has the pay-as-you-go model. Netflix owns 61% of the market, Comcast 8% (and Comcast is second!). OTOH, YouTube is a close second to Netflix for volume of US internet traffic (20% to 19% to Facebook's 17% - not that Facebook is also trying to get into the market), so the infrastructure is there.
OTOH, it depends on the movies - Netflix only streams a limited catalog, and while that is plenty to keep my nieces and nephews busy when they visit
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oops - typo - "not that facebook" should be 'note that facebook"
the magic of 2.99 (Score:2)
$2.99 can compete against netflix in two ways. First netflix does not get streaming disks as early. At best they get physical disks at the same time. if you calculate how may physical disks you can run through in a month, then this is perhaps about 2 a week or less for mere mortals. Sure you can possibly get more if you are reasonably diligent about watching and returning them quickly. But most people don't watch that many or return them that quickly. so $2.99 is a fine deal to get what you want.
the
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>Sure you can possibly get more if you are reasonably diligent about watching and returning them quickly.
Rip or burn isos to hdd and watch the movies when you have time. Timeshifting is legal, isn't it? ;)
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No way, not for recent movie releases.
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Consumer of video services: "Pay as you go video is a dead service model. We demand all-you-can-eat pricing."
Consumer of cable TV: "Broadcast pricing is a dead service model. We demand a-la-carte pricing."
Service providers: "???"
Is it going to work on TV? (Score:2)
if not then major FAIL. Netflix streams HD to real TV's that real people watch. Youtube seems to be aimed at people watching short videos while they are bored. some of the TV implementations are OK like on LG TV's. the Playstation version of youtube is crap
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The majority of the public does not realize (Score:3)
You realize it's dirt easy to just connect your laptop to your TV with just one cable?
Three problems:
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HDMI can go hundreds of feet, so desktop is fine.
SDTVs are on the way out, you can't even buy them anymore.
The general public are morons and will buy a google TV or another set top box for this.
The sports fan living inside will be glad to hear about OTA TV, bars and that he could go to live sporting events with the money he is saving.
Pulling cable through the wall; Sal Army SDTVs (Score:2)
HDMI can go hundreds of feet, so desktop is fine.
Unless your landlord doesn't want you pulling HDMI cable through the wall from the PC room to the TV room. Input (such as changing channels) becomes a problem too at that point.
SDTVs are on the way out, you can't even buy them anymore.
Cheapskates like some members of my family are more likely to use an SDTV until it breaks and then replace it with an SDTV from a pawn shop or charity shop than to buy a new HDTV. "You don't need the sharper picture, Matthew; you can see your game just fine on the tube TV."
The general public are morons and will buy a google TV or another set top box for this.
More likely they'll just stick with Netflix, which their exis
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Unless your landlord doesn't want you pulling HDMI cable through the wall from the PC room to the TV room.
In any sane state he can't do a damn thing about it. So long as you fix the holes when you leave. Input is done via wireless, bluetooth works over these distances.
Cheapskates like some members of my family are more likely to use an SDTV until it breaks and then replace it with an SDTV from a pawn shop or charity shop than to buy a new HDTV. "You don't need the sharper picture, Matthew; you can see your
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Actually you put HDMI over two CAT5e Cables using booster/converters and you can indeed go 100s of feet.
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sound->HDMI
if you are ignorant about a subject please post your post as a question !
VGA+audio cable (Score:2)
a VGA+audio or HDMI cable
Anonymous Coward wrote:
Don't forget sound, that's another issue, find a earphone jack cable to convert the sound into RCA patch cable. etc.
Others have pointed out that HDMI carries audio. But in case your PC has only VGA or DVI output, a few TVs such as my Vizio have a separate audio input next to both the VGA input and one of the HDMI inputs, the latter designed for use with a DVI-D to HDMI cable. I've been in Walmart and seen a Belkin "laptop to TV cable" that bundles VGA and audio; that's what I meant by "a VGA+audio ... cable". So connecting audio and video from a PC to a TV isn't the problem as much as
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You realize it's dirt easy to just connect your laptop to your TV with just one cable?
You're overestimating the technical knowledge of at least 80% of consumers -- I'd never be able to talk Dad through hooking up a VGA cable between his TV and laptop and then get him to use the computer to watch video. And of course, a single cable only gets him video since his laptop doesn't support HDMI out, he'll have to find a 3.5mm to RCA cable to get audio. And he'll want a remote control, so that's one more item he has to buy and set up.
I sent him a Roku and he was up and running in an hour.
Youtube w
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yes i have HDMI on my laptop but i'm not going to take my laptop to my TV just to rent a movie. it means i can't use my laptop in the meantime. what if my kid wants to watch something and i have to VPN into work?
my X-box and PS3 stream netflix. apple TV does the same as well as have a rental service built in. PS3 has Vudu built in to rent. x-box has zune. Internet enabled TV's have Vudu and cinemanow and amazon. internet enabled blu ray players as well. and my cable box has a limited selection of rentals
unl
Then hook up your kid's homework laptop (Score:2)
it means i can't use my laptop in the meantime. what if my kid wants to watch something and i have to VPN into work?
Then hook up your kid's homework laptop.
my X-box and PS3 stream netflix.
Do you just happily skip over any film that others have recommended to you that is available somewhere else but not on Netflix?
wait for the domain time out because i'm home
This is not typical. Most home laptops aren't on an Active Directory domain; instead, they're joined to a workgroup because Windows Home Premium doesn't support joining an Active Directory domain.
these days a laptop is only good for holding some media, playing some games if you need to and work. 95% of the time it's off at home
Most of the time, my laptop is on sleep, not off.
wait for start up apps to load, it's almost 10 minutes
This startup time is also not typical even for Windows, as I understand it. What sort of application
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Do you just happily skip over any film that others have recommended to you that is available somewhere else but not on Netflix?
I know I do -- I have 100 movies in my disk rental queue and 50 in my instant watch queue (which I use much more often, maybe a 5:1 or 10:1 ratio of instant views to disk). If a particular movie is not available on Netflix, I have plenty of others to watch.
If someone recommends a new release, I just add it to my queue and eventually it will become available. There are a few obscure movies that people have recommended that were in the Netflix database but not currently available for rental - I've just kept t
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It's enough of a pain in the ass that I ended up buying an Atom-based nettop machine to leave permanently attached, with a remote. Most people aren't going to do that. Plus, the firmware based netflix clients are very smooth and nice to use in my experience. I use the one in my blu-ray player all the time. It's just easier than the pc thing, and I like my pc thing.
YouTube XL (Score:2)
Netflix streams HD to real TV's that real people watch.
It appears you're referring to the claim that most PC owners haven't bothered to run an HDMI cable between the PC and the TV. Even in that case, don't Apple TV and Google TV get YouTube?
the Playstation version of youtube is crap
Did you expect more from Sony?
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I don't expect the stereotypical Grandma to plug her PC into the TV. There are even people my age (21) and younger who can't be bothered to hook up a DVD player to a TV. Yes, it's dead simple, but tell them that. To them it's recalibrating the field matrix converter to correct for quantum leptonium fields to enable maximum warp drive efficiency.
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>> Netflix streams HD to real TV's that real people watch.
Of course. Clearly, Google/Youtube will have to rely on fake TV's (sic) and fake people.
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Netflix does that with agreements that it has reached with various set-top box providers. I'm sure that Google could negotiate similar deals.
Alternatively, they do kinda sorta have a set-top box offering that I'm sure would support this:
http://www.google.com/tv/ [google.com]
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ahh yes, the $300 box with the vanishing features. cool idea to stream TV until the networks blocked it after seeing google news in action
Great, Market Fragmentation (Score:4, Interesting)
I can see it now.
Netflix will have an exclusive agreement with one group of studios.
Google will have an exclusive agreement with another group of studios.
Amazon will have an exclusive agreement with yet another group.
The result will be that you'll have to buy all three services to see all the movies you want... I can't wait.
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If that form of media appeared over here, it would be interesting to see if it would hold up to anti-competitive scrutiny. I'm already quite convinced the movie companies operate as a cartel if you look close enough at their consumer pricing, yet no one has picked them up for it (I don't think).
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Apples to Oranges comparison. None of the online services come close to the quality of a Bluray Disc.
No, they don't. HOWEVER, all of them have a quality that is basically as good as I'd ever care to watch. They all have decent 720p available at a minimum, and truthfully I have no issue with 720p. As a matter of fact, Aside from a side by side comparison (and even then I'd have to look closely), I can't even tell the difference between 720p and 1080p.
Disney is not a joiner (Score:3)
Disney not joining is meaningless and unsurprising.
Disney is nearly Luddite when it comes to distribution technologies - they refuse EVERYTHING at first, and are only dragged in later when the cash pile becomes too big to ignore.
DIVX (the original crappy planned-expiring rental disc technology, not the codec)
Didn't they even refuse to put their films on DVD at first, out of piracy fears?
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No.
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Um... some disney titles were released in divx
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/DIVX#List_of_films_available_on_DIVX [wikipedia.org]
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Dunno, but at least one thing Disney was infamous for was playing with availability - they know that your kids are only in the right age for their movies for a short time so they'd choke and pump supply, instead of going into the bargain bin they'd disappear - and they wouldn't be back until your kid is a little too old. Pretty nice trick to stress out parents into buying and to pay full price. I think with piracy going up that's more or less died out though, if it's not in the store it's always on TPB...
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Yeah, kids love The Peanut Butter!
Didn't think I'd champion Silverlight... (Score:5, Interesting)
But YouTube's "buffering" and Flash problems are worse for me than Netflix has *ever* been in streaming content. I can watch a movie in HD and if my connection starts to suck, the movie starts streaming at a lower quality in order to keep playing. Flash can't do that, and YouTube can't do that.
So no, I think that until we are all on HTML5 (no time soon) or until Google decides to use Silverlight to do the streaming, Netflix has no competition in this space.
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You only need Silverlight on Windows and Mac. Otherwise, the Netflix client is either built-in or downloadable as a separate application (iPhone/iPod Touch/iPad, PS3 and Wii come to mind). At this point I wouldn't even surprise me to learn that a Netflix client is available for the Nintendo 3DS.
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Southparkstudios.com has been auto-adjusting video quality with flash for quite some time now.
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But YouTube's "buffering" and Flash problems are worse for me than Netflix has *ever* been in streaming content. I can watch a movie in HD and if my connection starts to suck, the movie starts streaming at a lower quality in order to keep playing. Flash can't do that, and YouTube can't do that.
Comedy Central's player does this, and it's in Flash.
Maybe a Netflix Motivator (if not competitor). (Score:2)
I'd gladly pay someone to stream the titles that Netflix still has on disc only. It's 2011 and when I decide I want to watch something I should be able to watch it NOW. When Netflix offered a lower rate to go streaming only I dumped the disc faster than you can say "Why would anyone wait for the postal service?".
I hope that this lights a fire under Netflix's collective butts to get more of their library available for streaming.
And until it does, I'd be glad to send money to someone that will stream these
Sorry, not buying more hardware (Score:2)
Now you might see a channel on RO
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Not only that, but they were able to have Netflix on the new Apple TV, which makes direct competition to the iTunes Store on Apple's own device. They were also able to push it on the Xbox360 which competes with the Zune store (or whatever they call it).
Buffering (Score:2)
I can't wait to see how they handle feature-length films where quality matters.
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As a linux user (Score:2)
I can't watch streaming movies from Netflix.
I have watched movies from hulu.com and youtube.com. If they can get a similar selection of movies to netflix, as nice a site and if they can do it at roughly the same price I would quit netflix.
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That only happened because until they did it was running neck-and-neck, with several major studios working both sides of the street, and there were only a few of the bigs left to decide. Whichever one of them had chosen, the others would have followed.
As for Netflix, its selection is vastly overrated. They do have Star Trek on disc and instant. But they've probably got 5% penetration to the universe of movies, and 20-30% in terms of recent titles.
Which means they have lots of growing room, but also lots
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Which isn't proof of much. I could pick any other distributor that went with Blu-Ray too as an example. Doesn't mean that they were the cause of why one standard succeeded and the other failed. My personal theory is just that Blu-Ray sounds cooler and more futuristic.
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