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United States The Military

Former Department of Defense Chief Expects "30 Year War" 425

HughPickens.com writes Susan Page writes at USA Today that Leon Panetta, former head of the CIA and Secretary of the Department of Defense, says Americans should be braced for a long battle against the brutal terrorist group Islamic State that will test U.S. resolve. "I think we're looking at kind of a 30-year war," says Panetta, one that will have to extend beyond Islamic State to include emerging threats in Nigeria, Somalia, Yemen, Libya and elsewhere. Panetta also says that decisions made by President Obama over the past three years have made that battle more difficult — an explosive assessment by a respected policymaker of the president he served. Not pushing the Iraqi government harder to allow a residual US force to remain when troops withdrew in 2011, a deal he says could have been negotiated with more effort "created a vacuum in terms of the ability of that country to better protect itself, and it's out of that vacuum that ISIS began to breed." It is no surprise to Panetta that the assessment in his new book "Worthy Fights: A Memoir of Leadership in War and Peace" is drawing White House ire. "Look, I've been a guy who's always been honest," Panetta says. "I've been honest in politics, honest with the people that I deal with. I've been a straight talker. Some people like it; some people don't like it. But I wasn't going to write a book that kind of didn't express what I thought was the case."
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Former Department of Defense Chief Expects "30 Year War"

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  • by WillAffleckUW ( 858324 ) on Monday October 06, 2014 @04:28PM (#48077277) Homepage Journal

    ISIL is both financed and given logistics support from primarily three countries that are "supposedly" allies of the US UK etc.

    Turkey.

    UAE

    and Saudi Arabia.

    Nuke those and ISIL dies.

    • by RingDev ( 879105 ) on Monday October 06, 2014 @04:36PM (#48077359) Homepage Journal

      Not real keen on nuking anyone, but this is one of the underlying issues.

      We can pretty well mop up ISIL's ability to generate revenue via oil, but we can't control Turkey, UAE, or SA by bombing ISIL. We need economic sanctions and UN backing (good luck with that, between Russia's veto and the world's addition to oil) to start putting pressure on these nations.

      We can kill all the "generals" we want, but so long as the princes with the purses are funding their causes, some new general will step up to collect that check.

      Also, kinda handy for Ponetta to release a book critical of the President/Democrats and go on a press tour claiming a 30 year war exactly 1 month before the midterm election. I'm sure that's just a coincident... right?

      -Rick

      • Good luck with that, between Russia's veto

        Are you kidding me? Economic sanctions on UAE and KSA are Russia's wet dream. And unlike US, Russia is directly threatened by Salafi extremism, on its own soil - who do you think funds the mujis in Chechnya and Dagestan (and lately also Tatarstan)?

        If there's one thing that Russia could agree on with US, it's blowing KSA to smithereens, whether figuratively or literally. The problem here is US.

    • by geekoid ( 135745 )

      Duuurrr. It's hard, so nuke them. Herp Derp.

      Not only is a werewolf a myth, but so is the idea of a silver bullet solution .
      unless you want to drink horrid beer. Life's really too short for that nonsense.

  • by Anonymous Coward on Monday October 06, 2014 @04:29PM (#48077289)

    Now isn't that convenient to the business of war?

    • So.... 3D printed drones?

      • Re:First to say it (Score:5, Insightful)

        by Opportunist ( 166417 ) on Monday October 06, 2014 @04:51PM (#48077505)

        What? You nuts? How should the military industry complex benefit from that?

        Why the fuck do you think we went on this eternal war? To end up with peace again?

  • but, they will clear the way for "i told you so" Hillary in 2016. Washington (AFP) - Former Pentagon chief Leon Panetta has denounced the White House... http://news.yahoo.com/obama-te... [yahoo.com]
  • by jd.schmidt ( 919212 ) on Monday October 06, 2014 @04:39PM (#48077407)
    Is this a technology site or some kind of political blog. What has happened?
    • by Ralph Wiggam ( 22354 ) on Monday October 06, 2014 @04:41PM (#48077433) Homepage

      All of the good editors and commentors moved to better sites. This is what's left.

      • Thank god we still have Ralph Wiggam here. :^P

        • The only reason I came back after a 12 year hiatus is that the IT department at work started blocking all of the popular sites.

      • by Ty ( 15982 )

        While Slashdot has certainly been influenced by the Reddit-esque meme generation, it certainly remains one of the better places for well-thought commentary on tech. It's weathered pretty well in my opinion.

        Hacker News has defended itself pretty well against this so far. I wonder how much more difficult that will become as it grows in popularity.

      • I would argue that that's not really what happened. When CmdrTaco left, the tone of /. was possibly more political than it is now. CmdrTaco did a lot to try to bring /. back to its roots, but the users kept on pushing the content in a more political direction. I don't blame CmdrTaco or the mods, though I agree that some more strict moderation would help the situation as it stands.

        I would say that it was two factors:
        1) Heavy internet use became mainstream.
        2) 9/11

        On the first point. Slashdot started in

    • Re: (Score:2, Insightful)

      by Anonymous Coward

      Any story about pot or war ends up on Slashdot. That's what Dice and the editors have done to this site.

  • by jamstar7 ( 694492 ) on Monday October 06, 2014 @04:52PM (#48077523)
    It's easy for him to bash the current Regime, especially that crack about pushing harder to keep troops in Iraq. They wanted us GONE. Hell, WE wanted us GONE.

    Awful damned easy to be a Monday morning quarterback. Where was HE when the shit was getting ready to pile up?
    • Re: (Score:2, Insightful)

      by JeffAtl ( 1737988 )

      We learned from first world war that leaving a vacuum in defeated countries and making them fend for themselves is a recipe for disaster.

      • are you comparing the Germans, who in 1918 were the most industrious, most scientifically advanced, and socially cohesive people on the planet, to modern Arabs?

    • by amiga3D ( 567632 )

      I think we should stay gone. This thing has been building for decades. It's going to have to play itself out and the longer it takes for it to happen the worse it will be.

    • Re:Well... (Score:4, Informative)

      by multimediavt ( 965608 ) on Monday October 06, 2014 @05:25PM (#48077899)

      It's easy for him to bash the current Regime, especially that crack about pushing harder to keep troops in Iraq. They wanted us GONE. Hell, WE wanted us GONE.

      Yep, and they conveniently leave out that W signed the Status of Forces Agreement with Iraq in 2008 that got us out, including the time table for doing so.

      Awful damned easy to be a Monday morning quarterback. Where was HE when the shit was getting ready to pile up?

      Apparently, he was writing a book... because at no time during either of his positions under the Obama administration did I ever hear him say one word about "we must leave troops in Iraq" or anything even close to that. Maybe someone can find a quote or video for me, but this sounds a lot like pandering to a base constituency to buy his book given how popular Obama bashing is these days.

  • by bazmail ( 764941 ) on Monday October 06, 2014 @04:55PM (#48077571)
    God damn it. Why the fuck did the US invade Iraq in 2003?. Hussein was a madman but he kept a lid on things.

    BTW I'm not American so my kids aren't going to be fighting in Iraq, its the US young service men and women I feel sorry for.
  • "Panetta also says that decisions made by President Obama over the past three years have made that battle more difficult — an explosive assessment by a respected policymaker of the president he served. Not pushing the Iraqi government harder to allow a residual US force to remain when troops withdrew in 2011, a deal he says could have been negotiated with more effort "created a vacuum in terms of the ability of that country to better protect itself, and it's out of that vacuum that ISIS began to breed.""

    The problem is that Obama's head in stuck in 2003. In 2003 the al qaeda types were not in Iraq. However in 2006 they were and proto-ISIS was defeated by US troops and Sunni forces in the Anbar Awakening. And in 2011 Obama's head was so stuck in the 2003 anti-war rhetoric and politics he could not accept that the situation was now radically different in Iraq and that a residual US force was needed. Al qaeda had migrated out of Afghanistan, they were active and recruiting in Iraq. Obama just wanted to be out

    • ISIS stated goal is to create a Caliphate, in layman's terms a Islamic State, therefore they are much more similar to the Taliban that created one in Afghanistan than Al Qaeda who's goal was and remains Global Jihad. Their use of tactics developed and commonly associated with Al Qeda terrorists only speaks of their effectiveness rather than a shared goal. As it stands the two groups are not rivals as commonly portrayed in Western media but rather bitter enemies, each believing that the other is impeding the
    • So it's all about Obama? What about Bush. Talking about anything having to do with Iraq and not framing the situation with the Bush invasion is like talking about the sinking of the Titanic and never saying the word iceberg.

      Obama already admitted that there was a US intelligence failure in understanding the fast rise of ISIS. Maybe if the US So Called Intelligence community spent less time spying on Americans, Germans, Australians, British, etc, they might have some time and money left over to look out for

  • by Ken_g6 ( 775014 ) on Monday October 06, 2014 @04:59PM (#48077639)

    I think he's referring to the Thirty Years' War. [wikipedia.org]

    The Thirty Years' War was a series of wars in Central Europe between 1618–1648. It was one of the most destructive conflicts in European history, and one of the longest...it gradually developed into a more general conflict involving most of the great powers of Europe....

  • Two words (Score:5, Insightful)

    by Pollux ( 102520 ) <speter&tedata,net,eg> on Monday October 06, 2014 @05:00PM (#48077649) Journal

    Pull out.

    We've bankrupted our nation to pay for a war that was waged on false pretenses, bankrupted our nation, and corrupted our spirit. What more do we need to pay for a complete failure to accomplish anything other than creating political instability in both nations we invaded?

    • The country is not even near bankrupt. In fact, Congress could fix the budget deficit, issues with entitlements, and overspending on defense with a few tax and/or spending bills. We do have enough money in this country to deal with this. We just don't have the political will.

      I do agree with getting the fuck out of the Middle East, though.

  • by golden age villain ( 1607173 ) on Monday October 06, 2014 @05:00PM (#48077651)
    The bubonic plague was an important factor in the Thirty Years' War. Not exactly a good omen these days...
  • ...for the Military Industrial Complex?


    Just say'n....


    in case you need it [wikipedia.org]....
  • Military contractors are literally rubbing their hands together and preparing to grub money.

  • 30 years late, 30 years more. Then another 30 when that's all done.

    When the say war, they mean "war".

  • The US has been at war for the last decade+, and what have US citizens faced? Rationing? Higher taxes? A draft? Anyone? Bueller?

  • 'Leon Panetta .. says .. "I think we're looking at kind of a 30-year war," says Panetta, one that will have to extend beyond Islamic State to include emerging threats in Nigeria, Somalia, Yemen, Libya and elsewhere.'

    Does Leon Panetta or anyone else in the US administration, not realize that everything they attempt in the Mid-East is bringing about the exact opposite of what they want. Every drone strike is recuiting a whole streetfull of 'terrorists'. It's called the law of unintended consequences.

    Und [therealnews.com]
  • Nothing the the smell of fascist imperialist pig shit in the morning! You can see the dollar signs in their eyes as the drool of authoritarian greed drips from their corpulent jowls.
  • by rasmusbr ( 2186518 ) on Monday October 06, 2014 @06:31PM (#48078529)

    The battle against overly authoritarian shitheads is not a 30-year battle. It is likely an eternal battle (for moderate values of the concepts of "battle" and "eternity").

    (There is no Islamic State in the west, but there are other examples one could name. For example: despite mountains of evidence to the contrary there are still hundreds of millions of people in the western world who think that sending drug addicts to prison is a great idea.)

    It is also not a battle that can be successfully fought by anyone who does not picture themselves having their great grandchildren live in the region, because only those who do will have the stamina to keep fighting forever. Americans or Europeans can't be responsible for fighting the battle for a Middle east free of The Islamic State, or whatever other pretentious banner these guys will be fighting under next year.

"The pathology is to want control, not that you ever get it, because of course you never do." -- Gregory Bateson

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