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United States Science Technology

Hydrogen and Carbon Capture Tech Are Key To Net-Zero US Electricity, Study Says (reuters.com) 146

The United States can generate affordable electricity without producing carbon dioxide emissions by 2035 by deploying hydrogen or carbon capture technology, according to a report released on Wednesday by a climate policy think tank. Reuters reports: The report by California-based Energy Innovatihere which researches ways to combat global warming, highlighted five scenarios for the United States to generate 100% clean energy in 15 years, without raising power costs. Three rely on the deployment of green hydrogen technology and two rely on capturing CO2 emissions from existing power plants. "These are real technologies that are not yet deployed at scale, but they are not a fantasy. We have 15 years to get there," said Sonia Aggarwal, one of the report's authors. The analysis builds on a report produced by Energy Innovation earlier this year with the University of California Berkeley that said power-sector emissions can be cut 90% by 2035 by deploying more solar, wind, and battery storage. A Reuters review of the plans of the country's top power producers showed many are relying on natural gas-fired power to supplement increased reliance on renewables. Aggarwal said its analysis shows no new gas power plants are needed.
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Hydrogen and Carbon Capture Tech Are Key To Net-Zero US Electricity, Study Says

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  • What costs more? (Score:5, Insightful)

    by An Ominous Cow Erred ( 28892 ) on Wednesday September 09, 2020 @08:20PM (#60490600)

    Trying to scrub ALL the CO2 out of the exhaust from your fossil fuel plant, and then trying to pump ALL of it into the ground in a way that it does not escape....

    Or just use one of the many other means we have of generating electricity? (wind/solar/hydro/nuclear)

    Wouldn't it be cheaper/easier just to avoid burning fossil fuels in the first place?

    • by dgatwood ( 11270 ) on Wednesday September 09, 2020 @08:50PM (#60490662) Homepage Journal

      Ah, but you missed the purpose of climate policy think tanks, which is to serve as shills for the fossil fuel industry. :-)

      On the same subject, just about nobody in their right minds who has looked seriously at the problem still thinks that hydrogen is a useful part of our energy future. Green hydrogen is pretty fundamentally within the realm of fiction. Making hydrogen more green than the alternatives would likely require rewriting the laws of physics. Why? Because you actually have to use the hydrogen to produce energy in a useful form, and that is so inefficient that it dwarfs the inefficiency of just about any plausible alternative you could think of.

      Fuel cells have a maximum theoretical efficiency of only something like 83%, as compared with well over 99% for chemical battery storage, somewhere in the high ninety-percent range for grid-based energy transmission, etc. So you would have to somehow make it possible to produce hydrogen that, when used in a fuel cell, would produce about 19% *more* power than went into producing it just to break even. At the efficiency that's actually achievable right now, you could just about power cars using loops in the pavement and induction coils, and still beat fuel cell efficiency. :-D (Okay, I'm exaggerating, but you get my point.)

      There's only one way to do that, and it involves cracking fossil fuels, so that the energy loss comes out of the energy that the fossil fuels would otherwise produce, rather than from the electricity used to power it. This is, thus, inherently not green.

      Oh, sure, in theory, it might be possible to come up with some catalyzed reaction that, in the presence of concentrated heat, might produce more energy than the amount of electricity produced by a solar panel being hit with the same amount of energy, but you're unlikely to beat the 90% conversion efficiency of thermal solar power production, again, unless what is going in is producing some of the energy.

      So basically, green hydrogen is within the same realm as magic at this point — great for entertaining TV shows on Netflix, but about as likely to happen in the real world as the stories from Harry Potter. The moment you mention hydrogen with any seriousness, I have a hard time not writing off everything you say from that point on.

      Going from there to carbon capture, then, is just one more step in the natural progression towards convincing everyone that the status quo is okay.

      • Re:What costs more? (Score:5, Interesting)

        by jezwel ( 2451108 ) on Wednesday September 09, 2020 @10:12PM (#60490832)
        Hydrogen is nascent but growing for certain sectors. Large container ships are massive polluters, and retrofitting to hydrogen-electric has potential to reduce global emissions a significant amount. Hydrogen production and use my not be the most efficient use of renewable sourced energy, but getting rid of between 3% and 15% of carbon polluters via refitting / replacing container ships sounds like a worthwhile goal.
        • by dgatwood ( 11270 )

          That's fair. There are certain applications where hydrogen might be useful — ships in general, aircraft, space vessels... basically anything where you have to go without refueling for an insane amount of time, and where the energy density of batteries would make them infeasible. These are basically edge cases, though, and the number of edge cases is likely to diminish over time as battery tech improves. So I see that more as a short-term to medium-term workaround for the tech not being mature enou

      • Ah, but you missed the purpose of climate policy think tanks, which is to serve as shills for the fossil fuel industry. :-)

        The article suggests long-term (several months) storage using salt caverns, but nowhere does it discuss losses due to diffusion. Although there are working salt-cavern hydrogen storage facilities, I can't find any information on diffusion losses. Perhaps I am not very good with Google, or perhaps that is a subject Hydrogen proponents don't want to discuss.

  • Where/how do you capture hydrogen?

    • by dgatwood ( 11270 )

      The sun. We're going to build a giant vacuum cleaner hose. Don't worry about the heat. That's why we're going to go at night. :-D

    • Anywhere you want, using a very small net. (ba-dum-tish)

      There's lots of options - the conceptually simplest is probably by splitting water using electrolysis, photo-chemical catalysts, hydrogen-generating bacteria,etc.

      And then there's the one responsible for ~95% of current hydrogen production: steam reforming of natural gas. Which of course releases just as much fossil carbon as CO2 as if you burnt the gas directly, but also consumes a lot of additional energy in the reforming process. Great for producin

    • Where/how do you capture hydrogen?

      Fart into a container.

  • Magical thinking (Score:3, Insightful)

    by marcle ( 1575627 ) on Wednesday September 09, 2020 @10:01PM (#60490812)

    So they're proposing to generate electricity thru renewables (solar or wind I assume) to electrolize water to produce hydrogen to run power plants to produce electricity? I want what they're smoking, it's definitely stronger than the stuff I can get around here.

    • No, its actually not. The thinking is that molecules are easier to stockpile than electrons. That's a fact. Where the wacky tabacky takes over is in thinking they can get it done in 15 years for no cost to ratepayers and without other disruptions to lives, livelihoods, and economic consequences.
      • by marcle ( 1575627 )

        Storage may be easier, but going through all those conversions is gonna drop the efficiency big time. Just the electroysis alone, let alone using hydrogen/natural gas to run a turbine, is definitely taking the long way home.

        • Correct. But if what counts is storage density then maybe it doesn't matter.

          I remember about ten years ago there were a number of studies looking at using a giant cavern full of molten salt to store solar energy for when its cloudy. Making molecules to store in tanks is not the wackiest concept out there.
        • by q_e_t ( 5104099 )
          It's overall cost that matters, though. If X wind turbines plus batteries costs $Y/MWh and 2X wind turbines (which may supply consumers directly too) plus hydrogen creation, storage and turbines costs $Z/MWh and Z less than Y, then you pick Z (subject to appropriate risk profiles), even if the second scenario is less efficient. Currently the cost may appear to be W, where W less than Z, but that's ignoring externalised costs. E, where (W+E) greater than Z.
        • might be a lot better to store air in cryobatteries to run a turbine https://www.renewableenergymag... [renewablee...gazine.com]
  • Successfully deploying renewables means a smart grid (no, not necessarily down to IoT in homes, but smartly meshed) of doing what's right in the locale. The wind's always blowing somewhere. Hydropower is right, some places. Geothermal is too. These solutions - H2 from electrolysis and CO2 capture - have their place.

    https://www.carboncommentary.c... [carboncommentary.com]

    It doesn't work so well when you just try to tweak a few things about the fossil fuel grid. There is a large-scale redesign in order to become 100% renewable

    • Supercapacitors and batteries in appropriate combinations are amazing. They're already standard in modern EVs, because supercaps handle spike loads instead, thus prolonging the battery life.

      https://www.bioennopower.com/p... [bioennopower.com]

    • Re: (Score:3, Informative)

      by Chas ( 5144 )

      The problem is, even with today's high capacity grids, there's still only so far you can "push" power before you're losing most of it in transmission and stepping.

      So, sure, the wind may be blowing out in Kansas. But if the power's needed in California, that doesn't help much.

      Worse, look at California. They're COMPLETELY dependent on unfulfillable quantities of out-of-state power.

      So, all that renewable energy, not backed by any sort of storage capacity?
      Once the peak solar starts ramping down in the early a

      • When you get enough home solar with batteries, EVs storage and grid base storage, there is no reason even now that fossil fuels need to be used for residential homes in reasonably sunny country. In reality industrial use dominates grid electricity needs.
        Given the reduction in battery and solar prices, it’s really a no brainer.
        I had thought perhaps Hydrogen might be good as an overnight fuel source, produced by any excess in renewables during the day, and burnt to generate at night.
        We hit the 50% renew

        • by Chas ( 5144 )

          Sure. But how many homeowners are going to drop $30-60K into a battery-backed solar setup?
          And will it be enough to cover the shortfalls they're seeing now?

          I really don't think so.

          Simply moving to NG in a turbine burner would still drastically reduce carbon emissions. It wouldn't be zero. But it'd still cut a HUGE chunk of carbon emissions out.

          As for your state. That's cool. But what is TOTAL capacity compared to your peak demand? If your total capacity is 110%+ of peak demand, the fact that 50% of you

        • by Chas ( 5144 )

          "I'm sure recycling panels and batteries will become a profitable business in the future."

          Uh. NO. It won't.

          Recycling CAN be profitable. But the margins are worse than razor thin. And that's with cutting every corner available.

      • PLUS, once the components reach end-of-life, they are only minimally recycled. With the bulk going into landfills in megaton quantities.

        I doubt that is true. Wind turbines are mostly steel. At end-of-life that becomes scrap metal, profitable to reprocess rather than landfill. Similarly, solar panels are mostly glass and metal, both reprocessed. In each case, the amount of material that needs landfilling is a small minority. And even so, so what? Places like Hong Kong and the Netherlands may be short of landfill space, but the US isn't. Once a landfill is full you cap it off and it becomes just another hill, you can plant grass on it and use

        • by Chas ( 5144 )

          "I doubt that this is true."

          Doubt away.

          The turbine itself is relatively small.
          The windmill BLADES are what isn't recyclable.
          They're not really reusable. Most would be recyclers don't have the tools to cut them down. Nor do they have the sheer space required to store or process them. And the materials themselves aren't really worth a hell of a lot without expensive reprocessing.

          Solar panels aren't really profitable to recycle.
          And there are issues with them leaching carcinogenic metals into the earth.
          Thing

      • The problem is, even with today's high capacity grids, there's still only so far you can "push" power before you're losing most of it in transmission and stepping.

        That is the concern that onsite installations of solar, with resulting minimal loss to transmission costs, and smart microgrids resolve. https://www.ase.org/blog/micro... [ase.org]

        So, sure, the wind may be blowing out in Kansas. But if the power's needed in California, that doesn't help much.

        Worse, look at California. They're COMPLETELY dependent on unfulfillable quantities of out-of-state power.

        So, all that renewable energy, not backed by any sort of storage capacity?

        You're raising valid concerns; are you aware o

        • by Chas ( 5144 )

          I fully understand. But "people are working on that" isn't an actual solution.

          And as I said about local production and storage.

          What percentage of the people are going to be able to afford a storage-backed setup?
          And what utilities are going to go for storage-backed?

          And as I noted, with the waste reprocessing, you're simply trading one problem for a whole new set of problems.

      • > Geothermal isn't the answer either, as it's extremely location dependent.

        Throwing away an entire form of technology because it's not right for every circumstance, as this sentence and the tone of your comment imply, is crazy. Sure, geo on it's own isn't going to solve the worlds energy needs, but it works very nicely in a lot of places - and so those places cease to be part of "the problem". Likewise solar and wind (recycling withstanding) - if (say) California didn't have the renewables it does, then

        • Sure, geo on it's own isn't going to solve the worlds energy needs, but it works very nicely in a lot of places

          Where? Certainly not California.

          • by Chas ( 5144 )

            It's not that Geothermal doesn't work in California.

            It's that they don't have enough capacity, compared to demand, to make it one of these "100% something" pipe dreams.

            Intelligently implemented power systems, taking into account MULTIPLE generation methods is what people need to be concentrating on.

            • "It's not that Geothermal doesn't work in California.
              It's that they don't have enough capacity, compared to demand, to make it one of these "100% something" pipe dreams."

              All irrelevant to the point. The geo station at The Geysers is perpetually under production targets and over budget. That's located in the most geothermally active region of the planet. Geo for electricity is a fail in America. It's okay for heat sinking or whatnot, but for power generation it's senseless.

        • by Chas ( 5144 )

          I didn't say "throw it away".
          Why is that ALWAYS the first response when I level a criticism?

          I'm saying that, in areas where it makes sense, geothermal is a good idea.

          Now try to sell me a geothermal plant in the Chicagoland area.
          What? There's no economic geothermal power in this area? Just tests for low-temp-variance heat exchange?

          THAT is what I'm talking about.

          This is the same reasoning behind my opposition to nuclear power in California.
          Toss nuclear reactors on top of one of the world's most extensive ne

  • "...100% clean energy in 15 years, without raising power ". I'll file this with the new magical battery announcements.
  • TFS is wrong, the report is by Energy Innovation
  • Am I the only person who thinks carbon sequestration is principially stupid for, you know, lowering the efficiency of power plants that run on very much non-inexhaustible sources of energy e.g. coal? Let's not waste even more of it on politically driven nonsense.
    • Physics is not hard. The physics of energy are knowns and not changing. I would mod up, because the sheer energy cost of sequestration exceeds the cost of solar/wind. Never mind one good earthquake could release the lot. I do not know how the authors are not run out of town with pointy sticks, or simply not paid for producing a pile of s**t. And apparently the cost of energy middlemen like batteries or losses are just not mentioned. So where is the declaration of conflicted interests, or that the report sp
  • "The Hydrogen Economy" - Scientific American, Jan 1973
    https://www.scientificamerican... [scientificamerican.com]

    Not exactly a new idea.

  • We've got approximately 4yrs before we hit a 1.5 degree rise in global temperature. This level means the end of our remaining coral reefs, the deaths of millions of people. Displacement of millions of people due to rising sea levels. Increase in poverty , disease. Crop Failure leading to food shortages will be a problem that wont go away. Just not enough time for a technology that doest exist - that wont need to exist if we cut our CO2 emmissions.

    Unless we turn the CO2 faucet off the levels will keep rising

    • by Zak3056 ( 69287 )

      Preface: I guess you could say I'm on the "against" side of the global warming debate on the whole. Not because I disagree the earth is warming, and that man is at the least a contributing cause if not the major one (though I am skeptical of the agenda of people on the "for" side of the argument) but because I think the fundamental goals are entirely misplaced... which I think your point illustrates quite well:

      We've got approximately 4yrs before we hit a 1.5 degree rise in global temperature. This level means the end of our remaining coral reefs, the deaths of millions of people. Displacement of millions of people due to rising sea levels. Increase in poverty , disease. Crop Failure leading to food shortages will be a problem that wont go away. Just not enough time for a technology that doest exist - that wont need to exist if we cut our CO2 emmissions.

      Unless we turn the CO2 faucet off the levels will keep rising.

      Let's assume that everything you suggest above is fact (I don't have the data to argue, and it do

  • I'm generally an optimist, but on this I'm pessimistic. Sure. From a purely technological perspective, we could hit 100% renewable in 15 years.

    Now, add several more decades because our politicians and special interest groups have been programming society to disbelieve the science since 1995.

    If we're anywhere near to an ecological tipping point, we're going to blow past it and keep barreling forward. If the consequences are intolerable, we'll have to back-pedal and fix the ecosystem damage after t

Crazee Edeee, his prices are INSANE!!!

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