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The Almighty Buck

Anyone Seen Tether's Billions? (bloomberg.com) 79

A wild search for the U.S. dollars supposedly backing the stablecoin at the center of the global cryptocurrency trade --- and in the crosshairs of U.S. regulators and prosecutors. From a report: In July, Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen summoned the chair of the Federal Reserve, the head of the Securities and Exchange Commission, and six other top officials for a meeting to discuss Tether. The absurdity of the situation couldn't have been lost on them: Inflation was spiking, a Covid surge threatened the economic recovery, and Yellen wanted to talk about a digital currency dreamed up by the former child actor who'd missed a penalty shot in The Mighty Ducks. But Tether had gotten so large that it threatened to put the U.S. financial system at risk. It was as if a playground snowball fight had escalated so wildly that the Joint Chiefs of Staff were being called in to avert a nuclear war.

Tether is what's come to be known in financial circles as a stablecoin -- stable because one Tether is supposed to be backed by one dollar. But it's actually more like a bank. The company that issues the currency, Tether Holdings Ltd., takes in dollars from people who want to trade crypto and credits their digital wallets with an equal amount of Tethers in return. Once they have Tethers, people can send them to cryptocurrency exchanges and use them to bet on the price of Bitcoin, Ether, or any of the thousands of other coins. And at least in theory, Tether Holdings holds on to the dollars so it can return them to anyone who wants to send in their tokens and get their money back. The convoluted mechanism became popular because real banks didn't want to do business with crypto companies, especially foreign ones.

Exactly how Tether is backed, or if it's truly backed at all, has always been a mystery. For years a persistent group of critics has argued that, despite the company's assurances, Tether Holdings doesn't have enough assets to maintain the 1-to-1 exchange rate, meaning its coin is essentially a fraud. But in the crypto world, where joke coins with pictures of dogs can be worth billions of dollars and scammers periodically make fortunes with preposterous-sounding schemes, Tether seemed like just another curiosity. Then, this year, Tether Holdings started putting out a huge amount of digital coins. There are now 69 billion Tethers in circulation, 48 billion of them issued this year. That means the company supposedly holds a corresponding $69 billion in real money to back the coins --- an amount that would make it one of the 50 largest banks in the U.S., if it were a U.S. bank and not an unregulated offshore company.

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Anyone Seen Tether's Billions?

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  • by rsilvergun ( 571051 ) on Friday October 08, 2021 @03:34PM (#61873373)
    That describes why Tether looks like a scam [slashdot.org]. Well, a link to my last post on the subject.

    There's around $2.8 Trillion (with a T) dollars tied up in crypto. There are so many reasons that's a bad idea it's hard to know where to begin. TFS is right, there's a real chance this nonsense is going to crash the economy at large. I would prefer the various governments regulate before that happens.

    The only trouble is that Crypto probably can't survive regulation since money laundering is it's competitive advantage...
    • There's around $2.8 Trillion (with a T) dollars tied up in crypto. There are so many reasons that's a bad idea it's hard to know where to begin.

      That can't possibly be true. There's $2.8 trillion dollars in perceived value in crypto, but that doesn't mean there are dollars tied to it. The fed looks at crypto as an asset but not as part of the money supply; if that 2.8T were wiped out it wouldn't have a big effect. People have put actual dollars in crypto, but nowhere near that much. It's not like people are trading insurance policies on crypto like CDOs on mortgage backed securities, and i sincerely doubt you have sovereign wealth funds holding

      • Well, yes and no. At least some people have shelled out 50k or whatever it is today for a btc. And the person who got the 50k for the btc maybe bought a car. So the person who bought the btc for 50k is in fact out 50K if it crashes.
        • So the person who bought the car for 50k is also in fact out 50K if it crashes.

          • The car crashes, the one dude is out 50k. The crypto crashes, there's a whole lot more people out of their "50k"s - and all at the same time. The scale matters.
            • by DarkOx ( 621550 )

              Not really. What matters is, is anyone colateralizing anything with crypto. crypto can go zero and it won't matter much even if a whole bunch of people are all out $50k at the same time. What will matter is if a whole bunch of people or more realistically financial entities took dollar or euro denominated loans against it. Than what happens is the lender gets jittery because the asset they can repo is no longer worth anything; often the loan terms allow them request early payment in that event. Of course

              • All those sad people who spent millions buying up obsolete power plants so that they build crypt mining warehouses will be crying that no one wants their assets anymore (truckloads of video cards for sale, going cheap, please handle carefully due to excess of coal dust and/or radiation).

          • Probably not. New car, full coverage insurance. Probably out 500 or 1k collision deductible. Some people may hedge their btc I suppose, just not as common.
      • Modern economies are built around perceived value. It takes surprisingly little to bring everything in our civilization grinding to a halt as we panic like fools. A Crash in crypto might freak out people in the stock market triggering sell-offs they are that could spiral out of control. That could in turn cause loans to be called in or credit to stop being extended which would create massive economic problems. Finally rather than responding to those problems by facing them head on governments could enforce
        • What you say is partially true. Modern finance is built around perceived value, which allows you to use perceived value as an collateral for loans, but only for things that have a known and measurable value or a reasonable expecation that the value can be retained because someone else will have interest in it. What you're saying is true for houses, and cars, and people's incomes, all of which are well known and relatively predictable; thus you can increase the money supply by building financial instrument
      • by Moryath ( 553296 )
        Crypto scammers/pushers want you to BELIEVE that there's $2.8T tied up in crypto, so they can get you to buy in and "hodl" until it collapses. That way, you're in the bottom part of the Ponzi Pyramid, and they laugh all the way to the bank with the money they just scammed you out of getting you to believe their crypto scam had any value.
      • There's $2.8 trillion dollars in perceived value in crypto, but that doesn't mean there are dollars tied to it. The fed looks at crypto as an asset but not as part of the money supply; if that 2.8T were wiped out it wouldn't have a big effect.

        Perceived value underpins real value. That's the problem. Those 2.8T dollars aren't just Scrooge McDuck's swimming pool, they however imaginary may be are used as leverage for real world investments not at all unlike investments banks made in sub prime loans which had a perceived value far higher than real value.

        Just because something is imaginary doesn't mean it can't cause a disaster for the economy.

        • by danda ( 11343 )

          Perceived value underpins real value.

          All value is subjective/perceived. There is no "real value" or "intrinsic value".

          See the subjective theory of value.

          • Perceived value underpins real value.

            All value is subjective/perceived. There is no "real value" or "intrinsic value".

            A common idea in many sci-fi stories is the notion of a currency that has real, specific value in the form of energy. Each unit of currency is denominated in joules (or equivalent) and is ultimately associate with a specific energy storage or production facility (though production facility value must be discounted).

            I always thought that a very powerful, though impractical, idea. And then one day I realized that this is actually exactly what we have, except that instead of dollars being backed by promises

            • by danda ( 11343 )

              I agree that money represents human energy. In this sense, it is a type of battery or even an energy distribution system.

              But it also means that inflation, caused by an increase in the money supply, is analagous to a parasite. It is literally sucking the life energy from the host. And the host is everyone in the country that uses the currency. Direct taxation is also parasitic. But money supply inflation is less obvious.... it can be thought of as something like a tapeworm, which is hidden away dee

              • A different way to look at inflation is to say that old favors are worth less than new favors. In that sense, it isn’t so bad, because it encourages people to keep working and participating in the economy, especially talented people who might otherwise decide to retire early on their stockpile of favors.

                High inflation is bad of course, but I think a little inflation is a necessary piece of the economic puzzle.

                • by danda ( 11343 )

                  well, let's agree to disagree on that one. In my book, all increases in the money supply are a theft of human labor and life energy. It is parasitic in nature.

          • All value is subjective/perceived. There is no "real value" or "intrinsic value".

            See the subjective theory of value.

            That is false. There is perceived value and intrinsic value. The underlying intrinsic value forms a bass peg of the what a particular thing can offer society as a minimum. Take Gold for instance. It has a perceived value because it's shiny and people collect it. It also has intrinsic value as a noble metal used as a necessary component of production in goods. Whatever people perceive the value of gold as it won't ever drop below the value dictated by supply and demand related to its critical use.

            See the sub

            • by danda ( 11343 )

              gold is only valuable because other people think it is.

              Give gold to a man dying of dehydration in the desert. See how much he values it vs water.

              Subjectively, water is much much more valuable to him.

              Also, tomorrow we turn out how to generated gold from lead. Or discover a huge new gold deposit in a mountain that would 10x the current amount of gold in the world.

              What happens to gold's "intrinsic" value then? It's subjective value is going to drop, that's for certain.

            • by danda ( 11343 )

              Also, what is gold's "intrinsic" value to a seal? do dolphins see the "intrinsic" value of gold?

              How about beavers? Beavers value sticks and branches for building a damn. What can they do with gold? It has no value to them. Though I suppose I should not speak for all beavers.... maybe there is a gold-hoarding beaver out there somewhere.

              Value is created in the mind of the organism. Organisms are individuals. Thus, value is subjective. This is clearly and obviously true.

      • Yup, A crypto currency's value is like the value of Pets.com. It may look big on paper but until it's cash on the barrel it's not really worth a whole lot.

        If I had the bitcoin, I'd sell it. I can spend dollars, I can't spend bitoin. Want to head out and party it up at the nightclub and throw some wealth around so that the ladies pay attention? You don't do that with bitcoin, but you can do it with dollars. The criminals using bitcoin are most definitely cashing it in on a regular basis to make some use

    • by shanen ( 462549 )

      Well put, especially the last paragraph. Nice to see it's already modded up.

      • by Moryath ( 553296 )
        If you look around the conversation, good posts full of sourcing got modded down constantly by crypto scammers and pushers. I mean... it's not surprising, they have to suppress the truth about crypto, or the flow of dupes into the bottom of the ponzi scheme will stop and the ponzi will finally collapse.
        • Also well put, though you didn't explicitly mention motivation. From that angle, I would say that the "good moderators" have relatively weak motivations compared to the "corrupt moderators" who are trying to make a buck.

          But I'm probably projecting. While I think I'd probably be an honest moderator, these years I never get a moderation point to give. And I obviously don't care or that should discourage me from posting on Slashdot. My theory is that there is some "no moderation points for you" flag, and I hav

  • by bobstreo ( 1320787 ) on Friday October 08, 2021 @03:49PM (#61873395)

    safely stored in my mattress, and some jars in the backyard. /s

  • Uh, part of the problem here is that Tether processes transaction instantly, while banks are a little slow in making payment. Banks only move at 3am, so buys and sells for the day put a little ripple in the bar graph. Still, it rarely his $0.99 or $1.01... it's all in less-than-a-penny land.

    So, check to see how many assets BoA has compared to its total balances...

    • Depends on the country. I don't know how it is exactly in Germany/EU.

      How ever in Thailand it is instantly. The bangking app and also the SMS App ping before the web page with ghe confirmation is finished reloading.

  • You're kinda backing it by buying USDT.
    You gave a dollar you get a dollar.
    I have had know issues converting to cash.
    Nor have anyone else.

    • Typo unclear... did you mean...

      "I have had known issues converting to cash."
      or
      "I have had no issues converting to cash."

    • They have enough cash to cover daily withdrawals, especially since people are buying more than they're cashing out. The question is if they actually have enough cash to cover all of the issued Tether and if not, what their fractional ratio is. In addition, to facilitate conversion with crypto, how much cash (if any) do they have reserved in case of a big selloff.
  • https://www.investopedia.com/t... [investopedia.com]

    Yellen should focus on cleaning up her own backyard if the concept bothers her so much.
    • by jythie ( 914043 ) on Friday October 08, 2021 @04:57PM (#61873579)
      I am always a bit amazed at the hate for fractional reserve banking. It has been an incredibly sucesful and well vetted tool at this point, but people dislike it because I guess it makes their heads hurt? Always kinda struck me as the flat earthers of the economic world....
      • I put a lot of the gold standard people into the same neighborhood as the flat earthers, maybe the other side of the tracks though. The gold standard was completely unworkable, especially with the rapdily growing population and economies. When Nixon got the US off the gold reserve it was because there was not enough gold to cover all the dollars out there and he and all his advisors knew it would be a disaster if there was ever a run on the bank. So a quick change over and get it done quick. And yet peo

      • "I am always a bit amazed at the hate for fractional reserve banking. It has been an incredibly sucesful and well vetted tool at this point, but people dislike it because I guess it makes their heads hurt?"

        Agree with them or not, the position should not be difficult to understand. People resent inflation, and the effect that it has on value that they wish to store. And I can't blame them for not really wanting to hear about "The Greater Good" while they watch their retirement fund evaporate. You may cal
  • But Tether had gotten so large that it threatened to put the U.S. financial system at risk

    No lol. Cryptocurrency combined is still nowhere near large enough to put the US financial system at risk. It's not used as collateral for anything so even if it disappeared at this moment, the contagion would be contained. The people who lost it would be sad, but other than that it's nothing.

    • It will cause some stock market irrationality though and quite a few bubbles might pop. Probably won't be nearly as bad as the slice-and-dice real-estate collapse though.

      • Wow, the horror if the stock market behaved irrationally. That never happens. The financial system truly is at risk!

    • That was my reaction as well: If a completely imaginary currency can put the US financial system at risk then the US financial system is in pretty damn poor shape.

      Either that or Zeke Faux (is that a real person?) needs a severe hypectomy before he writes more articles.

  • I am sure it is somewhere in my apartment; I am just messy these days. Maybe try behind my couch?
    • Not to worry, I think all those billions are tied up in a highly stable NFT portfolio collection!

  • And several hundred exchanges operating. It is not slowing down and has almost become too big to fail. This isn't something I want to see played out for all to fail. Best guess is that several governments are in on the action now and collecting names. It's just too easy people trust the very social engineering they claim to protest lol.
  • USDT currently has a marketcap of ~$69bn.

    I wish someone would explain what exactly is backing those, since net worth of Tether/Bitfinex is but a fraction of that figure. Or why people is willing to buy/sell digital IOUs at face value to begin with.

    • People were asking these questions in 2018 during that year's long and agonizing market downtrend.

      From what most of the then-involved reports indicated, it looks like Bitfinex/Tether Ltd. were printing USDT with no backing whatsoever. None. Zip. Zero. Nada. All they would do is push USDT out onto their own exchange, buy BTC with it (mostly during the 2017 bull market), and then HODL. When the value of BTC would jump, they would sell at a profit for USD on other exchanges, and then slide a portion of t

      • All they would do is push USDT out onto their own exchange, buy BTC with it (mostly during the 2017 bull market), and then HODL.

        That's is the most incredible part of this story. A lot of exchanges create their own coins, but for so-called "stablecoins" the minter actually tells you the market value beforehand, and everyone just blindly accepts it, which is insane to me.

        • Most people outside of the few users on Bitfinex knew nothing of what USDT was like when it first hit the scene. If you were a trader on an unbanked exchange like Poloniex (which, in 2018, was still available to Americans), USDT seemed like it was a US Dollar, was worth 1 US Dollar, and could be used to liquidate a position temporarily to facilitate future trades. If you had BTC and wanted to dump quickly and easily, you could do it on an exchange like Poloniex by trading in your BTC for USDT, only to buy

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