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Earth Power United Kingdom

Heat Pumps Twice As Efficient As Fossil Fuel Systems In Cold Weather (theguardian.com) 196

Long-time Slashdot reader AmiMoJo shared this report from the Guardian: Heat pumps are more than twice as efficient as fossil fuel heating systems in cold temperatures, research shows. Even at temperatures approaching -30C, heat pumps outperform oil and gas heating systems, according to the research from Oxford University and the Regulatory Assistance Project thinktank...

Reports have spread that they do not work well in low temperatures despite their increasing use in Scandinavia and other cold climates. The research, published in the specialist energy research journal Joule, used data from seven field studies in North America, Asia and Europe. It found that at temperatures below zero, heat pumps were between two and three times more efficient than oil and gas heating systems.

The authors said the findings showed that heat pumps were suitable for almost all homes in Europe, including the UK, and should provide policymakers with the impetus to bring in new measures to roll them out as rapidly as possible.

"The Guardian and the investigative journalism organisation DeSmog recently revealed that lobbyists associated with the gas boiler sector had attempted to delay a key government measure to increase the uptake of heat pumps."
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Heat Pumps Twice As Efficient As Fossil Fuel Systems In Cold Weather

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  • The low temp. mentioned here conflicts with the article below from Consumer reports. I think I will trust them more that the guardian. Also, how many days can it "heat" at -30C/22C ?

    https://www.consumerreports.or... [consumerreports.org]

    Many models in the database can heat as effectively at a frigid 5F (-15C) as they can at a mild 47F (8C)

    Where I am, we can be well below 5F (-15C) for weeks at a time. Anyone can say it can heat at -30C, but for how long and how warm will the inside of your home be ?

    And they mention the UK and Scandinavia ? Every hear of the Gulf Stream ? That keeps the Ave Temps warmer in the Winter than i

    • Many models in the database can heat as effectively at a frigid 5F (-15C) as they can at a mild 47F (8C)

      Unless they have a Nobel Prize for overturning the laws of physics, that is implausible.

      • Many models in the database can heat as effectively at a frigid 5F (-15C) as they can at a mild 47F (8C)

        Unless they have a Nobel Prize for overturning the laws of physics, that is implausible.

        This is a common deceptive marketing trick that confuses many. What they are talking about is the temperature range at which the heat pump is able to deliver 100% of rated capacity. When they say "as effectively" it is referring to the ability to provide heat not the ability to do it efficiently. They conveniently leave out the cost of delivering that 100% goes up as temperature differences increase.

        • While it confuses people, I don't think it's deceptive - just carefully chosen language. OED defines effective as "successful in producing a desired or intended result". For the average user of a heating system, "the desired result" is maintaining the heated space at the setpoint. The cost to run it is a different consideration.
  • Best pumps are more efficient with smaller temperature differences. Obviously.

    Modern heat pumps can handle differentials of 40C or more. After a certain point, they have to supplement with resistance heating. In really cold climates, you may be better off with bore holes rather than using ambient air.

    TFA (or at least TFS) is nonsense. Read the specs of *your* heat pump. They vary widely...

  • recently and can only see a 50 percent improvement over resistive heating.
    Does this sound right?

  • by nicolaiplum ( 169077 ) on Saturday September 30, 2023 @02:17PM (#63889875)

    Where I live, electricity is about four times as expensive as gas - so replacing gas heating with electrical heat pumps that use half as much electrical energy as the gas boiler uses gas energy will result in paying twice as much for energy overall.

    Not everyone can afford to spend that and few want to.

    Fortunately it is not usually cold enough that the heat pump works at only 2x efficiency - 3x-4x is more typical - but we need more than 4x to avoid spending more on energy than we do already.

    • e.g. you're not paying for the gas subsidies, the problems with climate change, the health problems from burning the gas, etc, etc, etc.

      Also, you're kind of in the minority. Gas prices are low, but not that low. Go watch YouTuber Technology Connections video on the subject, they're a huge cost savings for most consumers. The only problem is they're so new and in such high demand they're can be tough to get.
    • by AmiMoJo ( 196126 )

      Gas heating would have been more expensive, if the UK government hadn't capped the unit cost last winter.

      Even before the crisis, a heat pump typically cost as much to run as a gas boiler, i.e there was no benefit, but no additional cost either.

      In the future we may well need heat pumps for cooling anyway. UK housing is not designed for hot summers.

      What we really need is cheaper electricity. Renewables are the cheapest, but we aren't building them fast enough.

  • Wouldn't, at minimum, anyone who designs and manufactures these things know this? You're saying they invested in and built them without knowing or measuring their efficiency in various situations in comparison to the competing systems?

  • This is misleading. (Score:5, Informative)

    by Qwertie ( 797303 ) on Saturday September 30, 2023 @02:28PM (#63889941) Homepage
    The report states:

    heat pump efficiency is still significantly higher than fossil fuel and electric resistive heating systems at an appliance level

    This is a trivial statement. Heat pumps are by nature always more efficient "at the appliance level" if they move any heat whatsoever. You burn a fossil fuel, you extract maybe 75% of the heat (some is lost in exhaust). A heat pump retains almost all the heat produced by the electricity it uses, plus any additional heat it moves from outside the building. The report goes on...

    Heat pump efficiency is measured by the deviceâ(TM)s coefficient of performance (COP), the ratio of the useful heat outputted to energy consumed. Typical COP values for heat pumps lie in the range of 3â"6, indicating that 3 to 6 units of heat are created from each unit of electricity used.

    Correct, except air-source heat pumps drop below 3 if it's cold enough. Then they mention that in very cold climates ground-source heat pumps are better than air-source to avoid this problem, and they show a chart indicating that previously-installed heat pumps usually have a COP above 2 "in mild cold climates".

    But again, the report is talking "at an appliance level" which neither the Guardian nor Slashdot mentioned. To claim "heat pumps are more efficient overall" you must be looking at the primary energy supply, which this report ignores. For example, is it more efficient to burn natural gas in a power plant to generate electricity at 44% efficiency and then transmit that to your home (with minor line losses) and use that electricity to power a heat pump, or is it more efficient to send the natural gas to a home and burn it there? The actual answer is "it depends on the heat pump and the temperature of the outdoor heat source".

    A heat pump will probably be more efficient overall if you get a high-efficiency model, or if it's not too cold, or if you have a ground-source heat pump.... but it probably won't be "twice as efficient". And even if it is more efficient, that doesn't mean you won't pay more for the energy. I once computed that electricity in my location cost four times more than natural gas for the same amount of energy. Electricity actually should cost more than twice as much to account for generation losses and line losses, but on top of that you have to help pay for the power plants themselves, and their profits.

    People should switch to heat pumps in the long run because burning fuel causes global warming, and higher energy demand stimulates building more clean power plants (wind and nuclear - solar in winter is a weak energy source, and yes I am aware solar panels are more efficient in cold weather, but that boost doesn't come anywhere close to making up for the lack of sunlight).

    You may or may not save money in the long run with a heat pump. Generally, the colder your climate is, the less likely you are to save money, although if your location lacks natural gas lines then heat pumps probably make sense. Here's a nice video [youtube.com] about the nuts and bolts of home air-source heat pump technology.

    • by Shakrai ( 717556 )

      You burn a fossil fuel, you extract maybe 75% of the heat (some is lost in exhaust).

      Minor nitpick on your otherwise excellent post, modern furnaces handily exceed 90% efficiency. Our natural gas unit has a faceplate claim of 97.5%. They’re so efficient the water in the exhaust condenses and you have to account for drainage (occasionally requiring a pump if gravity isn’t on your side) when designing your system. Our unit exhausts via a PVC pipe that remains cool to the touch when in operation.

      I'd still prefer a heat pump. On paper we pay for 100% "green" energy, in reality

    • Yes, just jaw dropping this qualifies for "research". Electricity cost is often 3-4x more expensive, which makes sense for the reasons you covered. In the UK at least houses are not well insulated, some insulation is being subsidised such as cavity and loft insulation, but it's very difficult, expensive and often simply impossible to retrofit good insulation - a requirement for heatpumps to operate well. Your costs to install a ground source heatpump can be as much as £45,000 (vs £1,500 for a ne

    • So I live in a locale where the temperature swings about 70C over the course of the year; we have temps around -25C in the winter and easily topping 35C in the summer. For me, it's obvious that a heat pump is going to be better, because the climate here has always been like that, and you're always going to need to cool in the summer and warm in the winter. There's about 8 weeks a year where it's off all together because the temperature is just right.

      I think there's something to be said for the versatility o

  • So generally speaking, all things being equal, if you are already having to do a new/replaced system in this day and age, heat pump is a credible winner.

    However, rip and replace of a perfectly functional gas furnace may not be the wisest use of our resources at this juncture. While the heat pump is crazy efficient, the grid may be generating from natural gas, which is relatively inefficient and significantly counters the heat pump efficiency. So if we were going to spend a lot of money on something, it'd

  • I wish a heat pump under everybody's window who thinks it is a good idea.

  • Air source heat pumps work great. For the places where it gets too cold for the heat pump a small amount of time each year, you could use either an electric heating element or a gas burner to heat the air. Or for places where its too cold in general for an air source heat pump, install a ground source heat pump (which can work even at the lowest of temperatures.

    The excellent YouTube channel "Technology Connections" has a bunch of videos talking about heat pumps (both air source and ground source) and why th

  • Heat pumps are widely used here in Finland, and there's an increasing interest in geothermal systems for residential buildings. But as others have already pointed out, these consume a nontrivial amount of electricity. There's a particular problem with combined heat and power, as the power plants will always generate these in a given ratio. If there's less demand for district heating, these plants will have to wind down both kinds of output. It's pretty bad for the market if the supply goes down at the same

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