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Beer Earth

Climate Crisis Will Make Europe's Beer Cost More and Taste Worse, Say Scientists (theguardian.com) 118

Climate breakdown is already changing the taste and quality of beer, scientists have warned. From a report: The quantity and quality of hops, a key ingredient in most beers, is being affected by global heating, according to a study. As a result, beer may become more expensive and manufacturers will have to adapt their brewing methods. Researchers forecast that hop yields in European growing regions will fall by 4-18% by 2050 if farmers do not adapt to hotter and drier weather, while the content of alpha acids in the hops, which gives beers their distinctive taste and smell, will fall by 20-31%.

"Beer drinkers will definitely see the climate change, either in the price tag or the quality," said Miroslav Trnka, a scientist at the Global Change Research Institute of the Czech Academy of Sciences and co-author of the study, published in the journal Nature Communications. "That seems to be inevitable from our data." Beer, the third-most popular drink in the world after water and tea, is made by fermenting malted grains like barley with yeast. It is usually flavoured with aromatic hops grown mostly in the middle latitudes that are sensitive to changes in light, heat and water.
Climate-induced decline in the quality and quantity of European hops calls for immediate adaptation measures (Nature).
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Climate Crisis Will Make Europe's Beer Cost More and Taste Worse, Say Scientists

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  • It already cost more and taste worse.
    Guess more incentive to stick with the local stuff.
    • Re: (Score:3, Informative)

      by Powercntrl ( 458442 )

      It already cost more and taste worse.

      That's also what happened with chocolate in the US once manufacturers began replacing cocoa butter with PGPR. You would assume there'd be some huge backlash over it with people dumping their chocolate into the Boston harbor or something, but nope. People are remarkably accepting of the enshitification of their food. Similarly, I wouldn't be at all surprised if the Europeans get used to flavorless beer; Americans already have.

      • Re:But (Score:4, Insightful)

        by dbialac ( 320955 ) on Tuesday October 10, 2023 @05:17PM (#63916565)
        You've not had a beer in the US in the last several decades, have you.
        • Re:But (Score:4, Insightful)

          by hey! ( 33014 ) on Tuesday October 10, 2023 @07:25PM (#63916959) Homepage Journal

          These days mediocre beer is no longer mandatory for Americans. It's just an option. In inexplicably popular option.

        • The Yakima tribe and some of the non-tribal people around them used to be major growers of hops. (It was one of the few crops the land there was suitable for.) Then a few decades back several major commercial brewers switched to something else instead of actual hops. Their market dried up and the area has only a little hops production now.

          Beer made in the US using actual hops is mainly products of microbreweries these days.

          Though hops grew especially well in the northern tiers of states there are beer-wo

          • British Isles I'm not familiar enough with: Maybe they'll have to import hops from somewhere in Europe.

            Heck. If global warming really takes off there's a LOT of land in Iceland that will be freed of ice and should be GREAT for hops cultivation.

            • I see you've never grown hops.

              I have.

              If the weather doesn't hold then you get soggy, moldy hops.

              AGW is making weather more severe and chaotic.

              It is not going to turn the north into good hop growing land.

      • by Roger W Moore ( 538166 ) on Tuesday October 10, 2023 @08:03PM (#63917043) Journal
        What always amazes me with these sorts of claims is that they only ever consider what happens if people keep growing things in the same areas. We know that this is not the case and indeed it is already happening with winemaking. The Romans used to grow grapes in England [wikipedia.org] during the historically warm period when they occupied it and people are now doing it again thanks to global warming.

        Why would this not happen with hops too? As the climate warms the best hop growing locations will move further north. So where were grow hops for beer now may become regions where we grow grapes for wine etc. Indeed, given that we have clear evidence that not only has this happened in the past but that it is also happening in response to current global warming it seems a bit foolish to assume we will never change where we grow particular crops.
        • by q_e_t ( 5104099 )
          In Roman times wine from Britain was considered to be terrible. Wine production continued, unbroken, until Henry VIII dissolved the monasteries, the only people still making the awful wine. It's fine now with the combination of different varieties and much warmer temperatures than Roman times.
        • The Romans used to sweeten that shitty British wine with lead.

        • The conclusion that beer will taste worse is even more ridiculous. There are already differences between the current areas and between different years. It's not like all hop produced today is somehow always at the perfect level of iso-alpha acid content, yet nobody has noticed any difference in the taste of commercial beer over the years (unless recipes were changed intentionally, of course).

          Gee, I wonder whether one of the oldest food related industries in the world, producing an incredibly limited set of

      • by gweihir ( 88907 )

        So that is why all US "chocolate" tastes like dried crap...

      • by mjwx ( 966435 )

        It already cost more and taste worse.

        That's also what happened with chocolate in the US once manufacturers began replacing cocoa butter with PGPR. You would assume there'd be some huge backlash over it with people dumping their chocolate into the Boston harbor or something, but nope. People are remarkably accepting of the enshitification of their food. Similarly, I wouldn't be at all surprised if the Europeans get used to flavorless beer; Americans already have.

        For those of us over this side of the pond... He's talking about Polyglycerol polyricinoleate being added as an emulsifier. Also called E476. Dark chocolate is less likely to contain it.

        However that's not the worst abuse Americans have visited upon chocolate, the addition of Butyric acid surely takes that crown and predates E476 (PGPR) by some decades. It's a natural enzyme that is also found in, amongst other things, Parmesan cheese and human vomit, which gives both their distinct aroma. It was added by

      • People are remarkably accepting of the enshitification of their food.

        I doubt that is true. I am betting that most people do not like it but realize there is nothing they can do about it.

        We have been very effectively divided as a society. It remains to be seen what the concentration of power such devilry brings us.

        • by Pascoea ( 968200 )

          It remains to be seen what the concentration of power such devilry brings us.

          Whatever makes them more money.

      • Didn't know that about PGPR, yikes. In the book Salt Sugar Fat there's an interview with the creator of Velveeta cheese. The dude recounts spitting out his usual afternoon snack of Velveeta and crackers and rushing to the phone to scream at the company for replacing the 20% or so of actual cheese the classic recipe used to contain. According to him the modern formulation tastes like axle grease.

        one of the things I've found is that the processed food industry has their shills and paid defenders fucking E

    • I'd just be happy if the bros stopped putting in so many hops until it's undrinkable. They need to do more with quality of hops rather than quantity.

      • I'd just be happy if the bros stopped putting in so many hops until it's undrinkable. They need to do more with quality of hops rather than quantity.

        I like beer to have flavor, but some American craft breweries seem to have the belief that the only flavor worth brewing is bitter.

        I do like hoppy beers, but that's not the only flavor you can have in beer. I was in a brew pub a couple of weeks ago, and they had I think eight different kinds of IPA, a pilsner, and one dark beer, a porter. So, I ordered the porter... and they were out of it.

        • by Pascoea ( 968200 )

          they had I think eight different kinds of IPA

          Thankfully this trend is dying. It can't go fast enough.

      • I was going to post that most of the best beer in Europe has very little hops at all compared to American crap. The really super strong Belgian Ale's for instance have VERY little hops in it. I'm really not a huge beer drinker, but I severely despise our crap in the United States. The only beer that I really enjoy is the Belgian trappist Chimay blue label grande reserve. Very strong alcohol content, very dark, very little hops. Beer in America is trash, especially lager, but even the ales are crap.

  • by smooth wombat ( 796938 ) on Tuesday October 10, 2023 @04:51PM (#63916449) Journal

    Forget rising temperatures, forget an increase in weird weather, forget droughts. You mess with people's beer and action will be taken.

    • Re: (Score:1, Troll)

      I do not really care what it takes as long as the politicians wake up and start to follow through on climate change commitments and policies.

      The UK government seems to be pretending that climate change will fix itself if we stick our fingers in our ears and sing La-La-La. I said as much in my 4th email to my MP in 3 weeks on this topic; the governing Tory party is in complete denial. This, for me, makes them completely unelectable.

    • Beer has CO2.

      It's only a matter of time until it is illegal.

      • by NFN_NLN ( 633283 )

        In the future only Guinness will be legal. :)

        "Guinness beer, a dark stout beer, is pressurized with nitrogen gas."

        • ...and CO2. If it is fermented it will have CO2 since this is a byproduct of the fermentation process. Guniess, and many UK beers where they hand-pull the pints, has less CO2 but it is not free of it.
      • There is always Guinness, which is nitrogen charged.

      • by hey! ( 33014 )

        Beer CO2 comes from carbohydrates, which are produced from CO2 removed from the atmosphere by plants.

        • That's the worst part.

          It was sequestered. Now it's not

          I wonder how many people die as a result of each CO2 atom humans release?

    • That's the hope. I doubt it makes any difference. Do people really drink it for the taste?
    • Forget rising temperatures, forget an increase in weird weather, forget droughts. You mess with people's beer and action will be taken.

      No. Action will not be taken. There will be a few 'troubles', but everything continue as it has. I do not think you realize how powerful it is to have your information selectively given to you.

    • Unless you load their diets with endocrine disruptors, seed oils, and fake meat... then they'll hold still for pretty much everything

  • Finally something that will motivate conservatives to back solutions!

    • by Terwin ( 412356 )

      We must immediately start pumping out more CO2 to improve the heat tolerance and productivity of those crops!
      https://www.nasa.gov/technolog... [nasa.gov].

    • Finally something that will motivate conservatives to back solutions!

      Nope, just grow hops further north. Sorry Bavaria and Bohemia.

  • by Anonymous Coward

    Researchers forecast that hop yields in European growing regions will fall by 4-18% by 2050 if farmers do not adapt to hotter and drier weather, while the content of alpha acids in the hops, which gives beers their distinctive taste and smell, will fall by 20-31%.

    Farmers are not stupid. What ever it takes to keep their yields they will do. Beer drinkers are safe.

    • Re:If... (Score:4, Interesting)

      by dbialac ( 320955 ) on Tuesday October 10, 2023 @05:19PM (#63916567)
      Beer took off during the Little Ice Age because grapes wouldn't grow in northern Europe. Beer will continue to grow, but will probably be replaced in places with really good wines that have yet to be created.
    • by gweihir ( 88907 )

      Hahaha, no. The little problem with climate change is that it exceeds the current adaption ability of the human race in basically all aspects. There is no reason to believe this will change anytime soon. (Well, except as a "ignore the problem" "strategy" that makes everything even worse...)

  • Things change (Score:3, Interesting)

    by guruevi ( 827432 ) on Tuesday October 10, 2023 @05:01PM (#63916501)

    Monks have been brewing certain beers in Europe since before the last Warm Period and into the Little Ice Age, theyâ(TM)ve survived through wars, droughts, the Black Death, severe weather. The temperature changing a degree over the next 100 years is minor, there have been bigger fluctuations in the history of eg. Affligem (a beer brewed since 1054).

    The reason costs are driven up in Europe is regulation, pure and simple. The weather has had very minimal effect on global market operations.

    • What are you talking about? Everyone agrees any problem in the world today is because of the climate change crisis. Don’t be a climate denier!

    • Yeah, I have tasted beer brewed with medieval means. It's one of the "joys" of having an experimental archaeologist as a friend (another one is being used as a mechanical crane operator, ya know, the guys that ran in those huge hamster wheels...).

      You know why they drank beer? Because the water was even dirtier and more likely to give you the shits. It was absolutely, positively and CERTAINLY not for the taste.

      • by guruevi ( 827432 )

        My wife would say we still don't drink beer for taste today and I have to kind-of agree with that.

        That being said, we have evolved, as you point out, in far worse conditions than whatever the issues of today are. I'm not saying they don't need fixing, I'm just saying things could be worse, to worry about a slightly different tasting beer (as if anyone would notice) is a bit far fetched and fixing climate issues cannot be done by regressing back to the stone age on the levels of sanity, medical progress etc

        • Sure, conditions were worse in the past, but people also died earlier and to much more trivial problems than today. Quite frankly, If this was another age, e.g. the 1800s, I'd be dead by now.

          I don't really long for the "good ol' days". They were anything but good.

  • It is usually flavoured with aromatic hops grown mostly in the middle latitudes....

    1. Redefine "middle latitudes" to some number closer to 90.
    2. Grow hops mostly in the newly-defined "middle latitudes."
    3. ???
    4. PROFIT!!!!

    The joke is, sadly, that this is not a joke.

  • Simon says (Score:4, Interesting)

    by Impy the Impiuos Imp ( 442658 ) on Tuesday October 10, 2023 @05:07PM (#63916521) Journal

    Julian Simon says costs will continue to drop, and quality, including taste, will continue to increase. [juliansimon.com]

    Sans government interference.

    This isn't really disagreeing with the scientists prognosticating physical problems, only that, in spite of them, clever humans will continue to adapt faster than problems become problems, often using such science to help adapt. As long as some politician doesn't decide beer needs command and control and rationing.

    • by Ichijo ( 607641 )

      clever humans will continue to adapt faster than problems become problems

      I hope someone else handles your investments for you, because past performance is no guarantee of future results!

    • Policy makers have been commanding and controlling beer production since the middle ages. Look up "Reinheitsgebot" and "Maerzenbier" for two obvious examples. Rationing happened during WWII, too.
      • by c ( 8461 )

        Look up "Reinheitsgebot" and "Maerzenbier" for two obvious examples.

        That's where climate change will make a dent. The EU has a lot of legally-protected brands/styles (beers, cheese, wine, etc, etc) which are tied the climatology of a limited geographic range, and climate change is going to move those areas (and possibly make the style irreproducible through traditional methods).

        Which sucks, but it's arguably one of the less troublesome aspects of climate change. Unless you're a producer of one of those prot

  • by Petersko ( 564140 ) on Tuesday October 10, 2023 @05:30PM (#63916603)

    For all the snobbery in alcohol appreciation (and I do love scotch), the price going up and the quality going down isn't going to make people walk away. Their tastes will adjust.

    • Their tastes will adjust.

      You sound like someone who drinks beer to fit in rather than drinking beer for the enjoyment and the taste.

      • What a strange conclusion. No idea how you got there.

        • What a strange conclusion. No idea how you got there.

          Simple, people don't adjust their tastes of something they really appreciate because of price. They do so for things they don't appreciate. If you're a person who thinks beer is beer then your taste will adjust. If you're a person who appreciates the intricacies and really enjoys the one specific flavour and style of that special DIPA made by a specific Estonian craft brewery you will stick with the price rise, but not the change in taste. The change in taste will make you walk away.

          • Sure. But I was more commenting on walking away from liquor in general. By taste changing I meant that they'll move to something else. But I don't believe people have a "my preferred thing or none at all" stance when it comes to booze. If beer in general gets worse, people will move to the best beer available... but I don't believe they'll stop drinking beer.

  • I don't know if I can take any more bad news.

  • About a thousand years ago during the Medieval Warm Period, the Britons were growing grapes and making them into wine.
    This was about the time the Vikings colonized Greenland (and Iceland) and found Vinland (Nova Scotia).
    Then came the little ice age and Britons turned to beer (cause the grapes wouldn't grow anymore), Vikings abandoned Nova Scotia and Greenland (too cold).
    And the Anasazi disappeared (I assume these little climate change were all across the northern hemisphere, not just western europe), pre
  • Enough is enough! So far, I didn't care and tossed the styrofoam containers for my grease burgers into the natural reserve, but if that's the price, it's time that we pick up recycling!

  • by Anonymous Coward

    We've had good beer in the US for a long time and it's not going anywhere. I suppose my EU friends can import some fine ale from the US.

  • If beer is affected, now I am a true believer. We must do something, and we must do it now!
  • These dumbass articles are good for a giggle, but farmers are keen to grow crops where they'll grow. So the hop farms will move further North. In Europe hops are grown as far south as Spain (which is quite toasty) and as far North as Poland. Perhaps the Spanish hop farms will shut down and Denmark will grow them.

  • One has to suspect poor quality due to economic reasons since they lost all that cheap Russian gas....
  • Crap, *now* we have to fix it...
  • Thats fine (Score:3, Interesting)

    by dlarge6510 ( 10394451 ) on Wednesday October 11, 2023 @06:36AM (#63917787)

    Besides "climate breakdown" being a loaded biased term (there is no breakdown, climate can never be static), hops are a recent addition.

    There are plenty of styles that don't use them. Personally I'm not too fond of hoppy beers at all.

    Mead, Ale (the original ale, not the beer kind), wine (a benefit of climate development is wine is on the up again in the UK, maybe we will be back to the Roman climate!) can all be made. Too many to list.

    Also having worked for a brewing company, one thing I noticed is the lack of hops. We barely grow them in the UK. We import them from the US mainly.

  • Europeans will adapt, and this will open up new markets for American pilsners. Beer rentals arrive on the Continent!
  • The climate is causing my car to be more expensive. I had to give up beer.

  • Not the big bad boogeyman of Climate Change! I've heard he'll kick your puppy and steal your socks!

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