Profile of An Internet Bookie 245
prostoalex writes "The New York Times Magazine has a story about one of Internet's most lucrative businesses - online bookmaking. Writer William Berlind travels to San Jose, Costa Rica, where the offices of such online powerhouses as BetOnSports and SkyBook are located. Quite an interesting story about numerous Americans traveling to Costa Rica with the grand business plan of online gambling, US government trying to shut down the offshore gambling operations, and how the bookies operate."
how silly is the government? (Score:5, Insightful)
Re:how silly is the government? (Score:2, Insightful)
Re:how silly is the government? (Score:2)
A long time ago, there was a story on slashdot about this---from the so-immoral-the-government-has-to-run-it department.
Re:how silly is the government? (Score:3, Funny)
In the war between the government and the bookies, I will give 5 : 1 odds on the bookies...
Re:how silly is the government? (Score:4, Insightful)
Were it not for the twisted religous aspects that creep into public life, not only would gambling be licenced and controlled, so would prositution. Imagine the health implications that regular medicals would mean to both the ladies and their clients. That is to say nothing of cutting out the people that introduce drugs as a method of control.
The Brain Murderer
Re:how silly is the government? (Score:2)
Re:how silly is the government? (Score:2, Funny)
Nevada? Is that the new Mac browser? I hear they do things differently over there.
Re:how silly is the government? (Score:2, Insightful)
Yes, but being a Brit, I don't have much knowledge of the state beyond the reputation as a place of legalised gambling.
Re:how silly is the government? (Score:2)
"Where?"
"Ehh...somewhere in the back"
Re:how silly is the government? (Score:5, Insightful)
There's ample, untapped, opportunities for our government to legalize and tax commodities that have no real harm on society, but are illegal for moral concerns.
A 2000 year old book tells you gambling is a sin, so we've got to make sure it's illegal in 2003. It's amazing how far we've come as a society in some aspects, and how badly we've done in others.
I say we ditch all the 'moral' laws and stick to the ones that actual cause harm to others. End entitlement programs (hand outs, section 8, etc). Separate church and state for real. Ditch de-regulation of utilities. Make punishments for government employees who let contributions change a vote extreme. Then sit back and watch America become a better place to live.
Sorry for the bad grammar, it's the thought that counts.
Re:how silly is the government? (Score:3, Funny)
Let's all become libertarians.
I like it
-Ab
Re:how silly is the government? (Score:2)
Re:how silly is the government? (Score:2)
Re:how silly is the government? (Score:5, Informative)
Re:how silly is the government? (Score:2)
Sure thing. [cnn.com]
Re:how silly is the government? (Score:2, Informative)
2) Gambling causes social problems that have nothing to do with religion or morals. This makes it something that the government should have a hand in.
Don't get me wrong. I'm pro-gambling, but your arguments don't make sense in this case.
Re:how silly is the government? (Score:2)
I say we ditch all the 'moral' laws and stick to the ones that actual cause harm to others. End entitlement programs (hand outs, section 8, etc). Separate church and state for real. Ditch de-regulation of utilities. Make punishments for government employees who let contributions change a vote extreme. Then sit back and watch America become a better place to live.
How exatcly would limiting section8 and handouts help america. Nowadays there are so many people out of work, with degrees let alone what I think
Re:how silly is the government? (Score:2, Informative)
First off, why should I work to support someone's grandmother, bastard children, unemployed mother, mexican immigrant, etc? I'm sorry, but that's not MY responsibility. I disagree with taxation to support anyone. Taxes should be to pay the expenses of running a government, not supporting a nation.
How exatcly would limiting section8 and handouts help america.
Very easy.. It would put money back in the pockets of the people that worked for it. These are the
Re:how silly is the government? (Score:3, Interesting)
Sorry, but that's the price you pay for living in America. We as a nation have decided that helping those in need is a worthy goal. If you don't like it you'll have to find someplace to live. It's not just "little old ladies" who help help either.
"Give that money back to the people it belongs to, they'll spend it on something besides alchohol, drugs, crap food
Gambling doesn't hurt ? (Score:3, Insightful)
Obviously a lot of people suffer immensely from gambling. Yes it's "voluntary", just like taking drugs is voluntary (which is to say, not at all).
Re:Gambling doesn't hurt ? (Score:3, Insightful)
Should we criminalize ice cream, because some lardasses can't stop eating pint after pint of chunky monkey?
Should we criminalize marathons, because many habitual runners end up with a variety of debilitating injuries?
I understand that gambling addiction is terrible, but the answer is for the addicts
Re:how silly is the government? (Score:3, Insightful)
that's not much of a difference at all, alcohol is a drug and so is tobacco and many legal medicines too. though, you should remember that some people don't count beer to be alcohol drink at all(which is of course stupid, as 24case of beer will get you wasted). and if there is a 'gateway' drug, alcohol is it, maybe tobacco trailing second place(but alcohol is pushing use of tobacco nicely in it's way, really).
here's a nice story: o
Re:how silly is the government? (Score:2)
What the parent is saying is that as opposed to gambling and drinking, there is no way to "casually" do some drugs. One can casually smoke pot or even mushrooms and ecstacy, but you can't be a "social heroin user" or be a "weekend coke sniffer."
Gambling, alcohol and marijuana are all substances that can cause harm, but self-control allows 98% of the population to not let it ruin their life. In fact, most of the population that gambles/drinks have a very
Re:how silly is the government? (Score:2)
Re:how silly is the government? (Score:2)
You're missing the point (Score:5, Insightful)
Re:You're missing the point (Score:2)
Re:You're missing the point (Score:2)
Re:You're missing the point (Score:2)
So, you're claiming the government can't find another way to spend $10 billion?
Riiight...
sports betting and lotteries aren't at all similar (Score:5, Insightful)
Lotteries and gambling devices like slot machines, on the other hand, are required by law to be completely random regardless of who's playing. It's awfully hard to "rig" a lottery when the numbers are being selected by ping-pong balls being bounced by random air jets on live television.
In other words, the government (on the average) has no problem with gambling, provided it doesn't increase the level of associated crime.
Re:sports betting and lotteries aren't at all simi (Score:2, Informative)
Re:sports betting and lotteries aren't at all simi (Score:2)
Then I guess every slot machine in Vegas is breaking the law. The only thing random about modern slot machines are who might be playing when a particular pay-out comes up.
How much the machine pays out is a fixed percentage of how much it takes in (casinos even advertise these numbers) and larger pay-outs may even be coordinated between machines.
Slot machines are
Re:sports betting and lotteries aren't at all simi (Score:2)
Er, I believe that's exactly what I said.
How much the machine pays out is a fixed percentage of how much it takes in
Well, this makes sense. I'd hate to be the one designing a slot machine which could, conceivably, be asked to pay out more money than it has inside.
Re:sports betting and lotteries aren't at all simi (Score:2)
I think the point was that the percentage of how much money the slot machine has is fixed.
Re:sports betting and lotteries aren't at all simi (Score:2)
Oh, I forget...
Re:how silly is the government? (Score:5, Informative)
Number one reason sports betting is nog going to be legalized in the US:
It will kill the state lotteries.
Why? Look at the vig on sports betting versus lotteries (the vig is the amount the bettor can expect to lose and is the difference between the money returned by a winning bet and the actual probability of winning). For a typical Vegas-style bet on football against the spread or on an over-under, here's basically the way it works:
The house will thus (if an equal amount of money is bet on both sides) make a $1 profit on every $22 bet (ie 4.5%).
Now, contrast this with a state lottery. In Massachusetts, 50% of the bet is the state tax on lotteries. An additional 10% of what's left is taken by the lottery as their share, for administrative expenses. Thus only 40% of the money bet on any given game will be returned to bettors in the form of winnings. These figures are not significantly different from state to state.
The end-result of this is that you only need to be right (or lucky) 53% of the time to make a profit betting on sports (when, picking totally randomly, you would be right 50% of the time), but you need to be right 2.5 times as often as random selections would be in order to reasonably expect to break even in a lottery.
One of the great appeals of sports betting is the better odds of making a profit doing it. Indeed, Oregon tried a few years ago to create a "sports lottery", which was sports betting but with payout rates similar to the lottery. No one bet with it.
But... (Score:2)
Re:how silly is the government? (Score:2)
Lotteries will still well because they easy and cost a buck or two, so it seems harmless if you lose. However sport betting means you should know someth
Re:how silly is the government? (Score:2)
Before you bet on horse races, you consult two pages of very small text giving information about all the horses in the race and what lane they're in and how well they've done in previous races, etc.
Other sports like football are similar -- you look at who's playing that night, what players on that team are playing, etc.
Sports gambling is alluring because the more familiar you are with the sport, the better the o
Re:how silly is the government? (Score:3, Informative)
In theory, handicap betting eliminates some of that. Not knowing much about either school (I don't really follow college football... NFL is more my style), I'd conservatively say that the line in Notre Dame/SD St. would be something like Notre Dame giving 21 points. With a line like that, a rational observer may be te
Re:...er...Poor Tax? (Score:2)
What? No free booze? I'm outta here!
Re:...er...Poor Tax? (Score:2)
If you want free booze, you can go to Vegas and bet at Caesar's...
P.S., I certainly hope you're promoting bookiejoint in this story... ;o)
There was a show about college bookie (Score:3, Interesting)
Re:There was a show about college bookie (Score:2)
That means you can't be afraid to go Joe-Pesci-In-Casino style on someone who won't pay.
Re:There was a show about college bookie (Score:3, Informative)
No, it wouldn't be. If you are running numbers or making book, you are dealing in organized crime, not that i have any particular objections to that. (note to self, check slashdot username lists for "don", "vinnie", and "* the *"). Think your town doesn't have mob connections? Ask around about putting some cash down on this weekend's games. Someone will know someone, and there's a very good chance that person has some connection to the organized crime ope
Re:There was a show about college bookie (Score:2)
Re:There was a show about college bookie (Score:2)
why illegal? (Score:5, Insightful)
So what's the drawback again?
Re:why illegal? (Score:5, Insightful)
The government's not getting their cut.
Re:why illegal? (Score:3, Insightful)
That was sort of a rhetorical question, but it still stands as their "solution" is completely counter-productive. By pushing these guys offshore, they've made *sure* they get no tax money. Let them back, regulate it, and watch the cash roll in. Think of all the jackasses watching football on sundays (like me, for instance). If you don't live near a casino, you've got no legal gambling. And the house's cut is better than trying to get your buddies to pay up, or de
Re:why illegal? (Score:2, Funny)
What you propose would be yet another example of the feds wrestling power from the states.
The constitution gives very few powers to the country, more to the states, even more to municipalities, and the most to the individual.
Slowly its turning to one big homogenous state, which is a bad thing. The way it is now, if you dont like Casinos and strip clubs and prostitution, you can decide to not live in Nevada, but
Re:why illegal? (Score:2)
Right, but that whole state thing doesn't work at all for the internet - it barely works (some would say still doesn't) for whole countries. You could give the individual s
Re:why illegal? (Score:5, Insightful)
I think you mis-spelled "corporation" at the end of that sentence...
Re:why illegal? (Score:2)
This post is wholly owned by MEKKAB Corp, LLC.
Re:why illegal? (Score:2)
I suspect you will find that all three of those are considered equal in the eyes of Congress...
but some are more equal than others.
Re:why illegal? (Score:2, Funny)
But Vatican City has so few good Chinese takeout joints.
Re:why illegal? (Score:2)
On the drawback side: www.drho888.com - a different company
Re:why illegal? (Score:2)
At least that's what the preachers say down here in the Bible Belt. Tennessee, where even church bingo is outlawed, is about to get its first lottery. It took years and a constitutional amendment. The money goes to collage scholarships, and now preachers are urging their congregations not to accecpt the "sin money" if their children qualify for the scholarships.
Re:why illegal? (Score:2, Interesting)
Here [mackinac.org] are [csmonitor.com] a few [michigan.gov] links.
Re:why illegal? (Score:2)
Bullplop. All this is is a regressive tax that the legislature can use as an excuse to not spend as much as they normally would on some particular service or other. It doesn't increase the total amount spent on that service, it just changes the tax profile so that a larger percentage of the burden falls on the poor.
As far as I'm concerned, the only conceivable justification for a state-run lottery is that it removes the
Re:why illegal? (Score:2)
Precisely. Why would anyone play the state lottery if they could gamble online instead with much better odds?
Re:why illegal? (Score:2)
Re:why illegal? (Score:2)
http://www.scottish.parliament.uk/S1/whats_happ e ni ng/research/pdf_res_notes/rn01-72.pdf
the government takes 12% directly in tax, and the lottery income was falling, at least up to 2001, presumably as people have realised what a rip-off it is, with only 50% of the money being given to the winners... also, isn't it true that the big prizes are not given as lump sums, but paid over several years?
Also, is online gambling legal in the UK? The big thing the lottery offers is easy acces
Re:why illegal? (Score:2)
You are correct about the government taking a percentage from the lottery. My Economics teacher used to love it, he thought it was brilliant that he could go to supermarket on a Saturday afternoon and see long queues of people waiting to voluntarily pay taxes.
You are wrong about the payments though, they get one big cheque.
As for online gambling, it's fine in the UK, there are loads of companies that offer it. Some are the online version of highstreet bookmakers such as William Hill [williamhill.co.uk] while others such as
Yes, but ... (Score:2)
Re:why illegal? (Score:2)
Vegas (i.e. its casinos) has an interest in shutting down -- or at the least, squelching the notoriety of -- online gambling sites. Sure, the casinos will still see plenty of tourists and plenty of money, but it is a threat to their bottom line.
Unfortunately, there is still a thick vein of puritanism in this country that believes it needs to not only se
Re:why illegal? (Score:2, Interesting)
Re:why illegal? (Score:3, Insightful)
Not trying to be a prick, but I'd love to see that. It wouldn't shock me, but it's the first I've heard of it. The story made the guy look clean, although that doesn't prove a general case.
Last thing I'd want is a $10,000 dept to some anonymous internet guy operating out of some country with little or no laws.
Well, I don't know that they'd go to Costa Rica if it was legal here (though they still might). Second, they could easily make *fore
Re:why illegal? (Score:2)
Back in the days when it was a neighborhood operation, the mob would run protection from the police and when it was very heavily margin betting (ie borrowing money from the bookie to make the bets), the mob would be the collection agency (if they didn't shark the loan already).
In the last 15 years or so, thanks to t
Re:why illegal? (Score:2)
Usually you pay when you place the bet. I've placed a few bets on Centrebet [centrebet.com], and there you have to deposit money on a your Centrebet account before you can gamble.
Re:why illegal? (Score:2)
Re:why illegal? (Score:2)
On the contrary -- that's one of the things the Internet sports books cite in their favor. Neighborhood bookies extend credit to customers, and frequently make much of their money from related loansharking operations. The Internet guys demand either deposits or credit cards and don't allow customers to get in nearly as deep
Re:why illegal? (Score:2)
I guarantee that the tax revenue they make from legalized online gambling would more than offset the loss of profit from lotteries. Lottery administrative costs are rather phenomenal.
I think that puts the motive back to a moralistic angle.
Re:why illegal? (Score:2)
However, let's say Mr. White sits down at an online gambling table and 'loses' $100,000 to Mr. Pink. That transaction is stored in the private database of an off-shore casino and is out of the eye of the IRS and the US Government. Washing the money after you withdraw from the casino involves more processes, but the most important thing is that money does not go through the proper, established channels, and the government does not like this.
I would turn this argument by pointing out the "offshore" nature
THIS DOES NOT MAKE SENSE (Score:2, Funny)
Re:THIS DOES NOT MAKE SENSE (Score:3, Funny)
Or you can make it legal... (Score:5, Interesting)
The beauty of it being a true exchange is that you can sell your contract at some point if you don't want to hold on to it anymore. Example: You buy Giants win 2004 Superbowl today which is valued very low, and say the Giants win their first game and the value goes up, you sell it make a couple of bucks and invest it elsewhere.
So...legalized gamling?
Confusing (Score:3, Funny)
But... (Score:5, Funny)
Easy ... (Score:2)
I know i'd much rather have a leg broken, than my bank accounts drained to some anonymous swiss bank account.
Will answer questions (Score:5, Interesting)
The software isn't particularly interesting but it means I have direct knowledge of a number of items... whether Wise Guys actually exist, how you really can regularly make money as an informed gambler (and why the gambling houses don't care), whether there's any back doors in the software, what language the software was written in, etc. etc. etc.
Ask away if you wish, I'll try to answer any question to the best of my ability. I'm well outside of the NDA now.
Re:Will answer questions (Score:3, Insightful)
Re:Will answer questions (Score:2)
Re:Will answer questions (Score:4, Informative)
Thanks for offering, but I already have an unbeatable roulette betting system. You know how you are allowed to bet on colors in addition to numbers? Bet on one, at the minimum bet. If you lose, double your bet to make up your loss. Every time you lose, just keep doubling your bet. Once you win back your loss, return to making the minimum bet.
Yeah, it's a joke. But a serious-faced business major explained this to me. He actually asked to write some stuff down; I thought this meant he had a really complicated system. So I give him the paper, and he starts writing:
5
10
20
40
etc.
Of course the obvious problem with the system is that the probability of winning by betting on a main color is slightly less than 50%, because there are two main colors and then one or two thingies (don't know the technical term) with a third one. Also, while if you win you gain money slowly, if you lose, you lose it very quickly. I wrote a little program to use this method. It would stop once the doubling of the bet would take away more money than it had if it lost (otherwise it would really lose spectacularly). After many runs of this system, the result I expected became apparent. It made money with the same probability as a single bet. The amounts were widely different - but with no change in the likelihood, betting everything you had on one throw was just as legitimate a strategy. This was faster, too.
I never bothered trying to correct the guy. I was so flabbergasted when he showed me initially that I really could say nothing, especially since it was obvious he wouldn't understand me. I suppose the problem was he was having trouble imagining the probability of losing eight or nine times in a row, which, while unlikely, is not that unlikely. It happened every simulated time, of course, usually within a hundred throws, frequently in far fewer, once in the initial eight!
If you are interested in making easy money, I think running a casino to cater to people like this would be much easier than 'informed gambling', whatever the hell that is. Let them think they are gaining some sort of advantage when all they are doing is moving risk around.
Re:Will answer questions (Score:2)
Re:Will answer questions (Score:2)
Re:Will answer questions (Score:2)
Why do we get accounts with bookmakers closed down after betting regularly and making steady gains over time?
Did you ever get to predicting true probabilities of a win? Or did you just focus on hedging the public's bets (set prices given volume so that the house wins regardless of outcome)?
Outside the NDA, what are the odds on you sending us the code then
Re:Will answer questions (Score:4, Interesting)
As to why accounts get closed down, that is entirely up to the specific gambling house. Our software provided them only ways to help determine if the account was a wise guy or not. The only real explanation I can come up with for a legit house to close you down is that they are finding it hard to keep both sides of the line equal. That is, they need about as much money on X-to-win as on Y-to-win. You have to remember, though, that many (most?) gambling houses are run by organised crime so sometimes they're just going to be bastards.
Gambling houses are not generally interested in the true probabilities (which is why some people can continue to make profit). So long as they can collect their juice, they are happy. That way, the house wins regardless of which side of a line wins. Now, NOT every house runs like this... some try to get closer to the true probabilities. However, this is much more risky if the house is wrong. If they instead just try to balance the money bet on each side of the line, they are guaranteed to make a profit.
You wouldn't want the code, trust me. I don't have the code any more, of course, but when I was still working for the company, we had roughly a third of a million lines of code. In Visual Basic 6. Now, I don't like VB at the best of times but I acknowledge that it has its place. Also, VB.Net is meant to be much better. But there's no way you should have that many lines of code in VB6. Maintenance was a nightmare. Although we did put an effort into using a decent design, nowhere near enough effort had gone in at the beginning. That we could maintain it at all (while continuing to add features) was impressive, to be honest.
At least we did use a bug tracking system.
That said, there are no known backdoors. I'm not saying the software was secure because I know full well that it wasn't. But there were no backdoors that we knew about and we minimised the potential security issues for the web-enabled version as much as was reasonable.
What's the problem? (Score:5, Interesting)
Maybe some jurisdictions don't have the same rules of fair play or something
I certainly can't see anything wrong with gambling per se
A proper bet at a bookie's is about one thing: can you weigh up the odds more accurately than the bookmaker? If you believe the probability of an outcome is greater than the odds would suggest, then the bet is justified. On the other hand, if the probability is worse than the odds would suggest {UK Lottery: 1 chance in [49*48*47*46*45*44*43]/[6*5*4*3*2*1] = about 14 million, as opposed to a payout of about 3.5M to 1} then you should steer clear.
And it ain't the government's job to stop people from doing stuff that might be bad for them
Re:What's the problem? (Score:2, Interesting)
To launder money, you need to keep it out of the financial system that is the US banking network. Have a bank account? Credit card? Debit card? Took out a loan? When the IRS comes to audit you, they have immediate and full access to all of this. So if Mr. White sells a ten-kilos of cocaine to Mr. Pink a
Internet Gambling = Any other "Good" Idea... (Score:2, Interesting)
Once these casinos started generating large sums of cash, anyone able to raise the capital decided it would be a great idea to start their own Internet Casino. Consequently, the market has become extremely diluted. If you don't believe me, just go to Google or Yahoo and look at the number of Internet Casinos available.
Another side effect of these large
I read it too fast.. (Score:2)
"Most lucrative businesses"? (Score:4, Insightful)
Merde, someone's idea of lucrative ain't the same as mine.
I almost have pity on the poor bookmakers, humbly trying to make their million the only way they know how. What amazes me is the Fed's repressive attitude to what is after all simply a service industry. Creating criminals always seems to be good business for government agencies. Allowing adults to do what they want without hurting others, damn, that can't be allowed, can it?
My choice of "lucrative Internet business" would be something involving porn, I guess. That, or selling routers and firewalls.
Wheres the cost (Score:2, Interesting)
1. Gambling is a personal choice and should not be restricted.
2. Governments should get a percentage.
Prohibition showed us that some moral (religious) judgements go against the will of the people and that opens up an industry for gangsters. This has been shown to be true.
One of the benefits of legalizing alchohol was to make those gangsters find other businesses go to into. Drugs for example and gambling. Not sure that there was a long term benifit here.
The cost of c
Re:Wheres the cost (Score:3, Interesting)
It's interesting to note here that, while Nevada has had legalized prostitution (in some counties) since 1955, the government has chosen to regulate but not tax that industry--which is amazingly lucrative. I suspect that they were indeed bothered by the idea of making money off of it (apparently Nevada's curren
Ah, yes, San Jose (Score:5, Funny)
Wait...Costa Rica?
Not US jurastiction! (Score:2)
Of course the congresscritters will tell you it's not fine, but if they don't like it, they should legislate to have ISPs block said sites, and Credit Card compainies report offenders. Unless the sites are dealing with US soil, their not breaking the law...even if they are communicating on US soil, the customer is breaking the law, not them.
For a republican govt to threaten this is stupid..after all, these are ju
Just Call the Coach's Hotline (Score:2, Funny)
Homer: [dials the number]
Voice: You... have reached... the Coach's... Hot-...
Homer: Line.
Voice: Line.
Homer: Yeah, lay it on me, Coach.
Voice: In the game... of... Mi... am... i...
Homer: Mm hm.
Voice: Versus Cin...
Homer: Cincinnati.
Voice: cin...
Homer: Cincinnati.
Voice: nat...
Homer: Cincinnati.
Voice: i...
Homer: Come on, come on, don't you realize this is costing me money!
The Bookiejoint (Score:2)
http://bookiejoint.org/ [bookiejoint.org]
While it doesn't use real money, you can get cash for karma
tf23
Re:Gambling is for idiots .. (Score:2)
Playing games against other idiots where the house just takes a cut (like poker) can be decidedely profitable... as my recent cash out check from Costa Rica indicates