Bill Gates Speaks Out Against Next-Gen DVDs 446
jZnat writes "Although we all know that Microsoft hates Blu-Ray, Bill Gates doesn't seem to like HD-DVD either. Primarily, it seems, because Mr. Gates believes media storage on hard drives is likely to be the default standard sooner rather than later. From the interview: 'Well, the key issue here is that the protection scheme under Blu-Ray is very anti-consumer and there's not much visibility of that. The inconvenience is that the [MPAA] got too much protection at the expense of consumers and it won't work well on PCs. You won't be able to play movies and do software in a flexible way.'"
Storage on hard drives (Score:3, Insightful)
Re:Storage on hard drives (Score:5, Funny)
Re:Storage on hard drives (Score:2, Interesting)
I was thinking much the same thing, but if it was done right this could be a big boost to something like Bittorrent.
I don't use ITMS, so I don't know what the file sizes are like for their video downloads, but if people were willing to wait a little longer I guess it could work for DVD type videos too.
Re:Storage on hard drives (Score:3, Insightful)
There is [piratebay.se].
Seriously, (ATTENTION MEDIA EXECS) do you know why I prefer P2P over DVDs ? Because:
Re:Storage on hard drives (Score:5, Insightful)
You say that like it's a good thing. Much as I dislike the MPAA, the fact is that movies cost money to make. A lot of money. Yet you're proposing that the best way to view those movies is to download an unauthorised copy from the net before it's even hit the cinemas. That brings in precisely zero revenue to recoup the cost of making the film. I hate to break it to you, but there won't be a HitMovie.avi for you to download in a few years if this becomes the norm.
Re:Storage on hard drives (Score:4, Insightful)
Re:Storage on hard drives (Score:4, Insightful)
They apparently deserve your time and effort. If you find it worthwhile to sit for 2 hours and watch Doom I think you'd be able to work for 15 minutes to get the $8 to see it at a matinee/cinema. Or, to wait a couple of months and spend $3 to see it on video. Or wait a year or two and see it on cable or broadcast TV.
The thing is, "Hollywood" makes a lot of really good movies. And they make bad ones. For the "great movie" they make every 2-3 years, do you go to the theatre and pay to see it? Do you buy the DVD? Rent the movie? Tell your friends?
If movies are really that bad, why even watch them? Downloading movies means you want to watch the movie. If you want to watch it, you should compensate the people who made it by seeing it in theatres / buying it on DVD / renting it / waiting for cable TV. If you think Hollywood movies are garbage, then fine. Don't support them. Don't pay for them. But you certainly shouldn't watch them, otherwise you're a hypocrite.
Re:Storage on hard drives (Score:3, Insightful)
http://www.rottentomatoes.com/ [rottentomatoes.com]
Re:Storage on hard drives (Score:3, Insightful)
2. There will always be a way for people to perform illegal activities, there is no situation I can imagine where they can be effectively stopped. They've been trying to stop it for more than a "few years" now.
Re:Storage on hard drives (Score:3, Informative)
I'm not even remotely involved in that business, and I know that just the *equipment* alone can probably run for a good few million, and let's not forget the cost of things like materials for costumes and props, as well at the cost of designing and building a set and the associated cost to use a space to film in. Also, add in the money that you have to pay the dozens of people
The death of movies (Score:3, Insightful)
In the history of the world, no medium has been killed because folks couldn't afford to produce for it. Do you know how much it costs to run a symphony orchestra for a year? Yet much new symphonic music is written every year, and performed by the hundreds of symphony orchestras all over the world. This for a medium in which only a tiny fraction of the population is willing to listen at all. Note that ticket prices pay for only a fraction of the cost; the rest is made up in other ways.
If we can keep pro
Re:Storage on hard drives (Score:4, Insightful)
Me? I'm FINE giving the movie industry time to pay for the cost of producing a movie by having it exclusivly shown in theaters and then in the rental market for a little while before allowing the public to download it for $9.99 - 14.99 / copy in a format unencumbered by insane restrictions (DRM / DVD player restrictions from fastforwarding, etc.) If it's not a blockbuster, then sell it for $5 / download. They would make a TON of money that way. Maybe sell the MPEG4 version for 75% of a HD version... As time passes, the price can drop further.
The problem with the industry is that they refuse to listen to consumers. This gives the consumer no legal outlet to satisfy their desires. It's like prohibition and the "war on drugs." Give us a legal way, Mr. Movie Exec, and your problem will be a fraction of what it is today. I have a number of old (purchased) VHS tapes that are no longer watchable. If I could download a MP4 version for $4 - 5 I would do so. Over a few years, I would pay for HUNDREDS of good movies (classics and new releases.) This is a revenue stream that you don't have today, Mr. Movie Exec.
Re:Storage on hard drives (Score:3, Insightful)
Actors, musical artists, pro athletes, etc... They make so much money because what they do attracts millions upon millions of consumers. And because people are willing to pay a certain amount for access to the product of their work. Simple economics. The market will settle on a price that people are willing to pay. No more, no less. So, the distributers could charge less, and pay less. But then they wouldn't make as much money. So there is no economic reas
Re:Storage on hard drives (Score:4, Insightful)
I'd like to point out a couple of things:
1.) Actually yes, it is a hard job. Learning to act on a theatrical level takes a lot of time and commitment. Don't believe me? Go watch any fan film ever made, then go watch something like the Green Mile. Not only does good acting (i.e. the acting we take for granted in movies today) take a lot of time, energy, and talent, but the actor also typically put a lot of hours in to a day. Remember Star Trek Voyager? It wasn't uncommon for the main actors to put in a 20 hour day. Yes, 20 hours. Even movies require very stressful deadlines.
2.) The actors make millions in a movie because the movie makes millions as a result. You say it shouldn't be that way. Why? What's wrong with it? Acting is the most important factor of a film. Truely talented actors are the ones that really can fit the role. It's not something that just comes naturally, anybody would have to do some serious work to project their character into our minds. Even if you hire somebody who really really is the character you're making a movie of, just throwing them into a set and telling them to be themselves isn't going to make them a movie actor. There's a reason they call it acting instead of being. It's very difficult to set up a situation for them that causes them to react in precisely the way you need them to be for that particular shot in the film.
Could movies be cheaper? Yeah, but we'd notice.
Re:Storage on hard drives (Score:5, Insightful)
Of course not. Because you, quite simply, are easily replaceable. There are, quite literally, millions of people ready, willing, and ABLE to do what you do.
I notice you conveniently failed to mention that there are highly paid developers and software types who've made millions of dollars creating things that people want and need.
In ANY profession there are people in the top tier, and then there are those who simply do the grunt work. For every multi-million dollar actor or actress there are 10,000 more who do minor roles, bit parts, commercials, or stand in as extras.
And forgive me, but your comments strike me as equal parts envy and jealousy: "How dare society consider those people as being better than I am. How dare the world reward them for their efforts and ideas and abilities, and ignore mine."
If you're slaving away for 12 hours a day, perhaps YOU'RE the one who didn't make the right career choice...
Re:Storage on hard drives (Score:4, Interesting)
1. Watch the audience at a film, and see how many stay through part or all of the closing credits. With a little practice you can spot the guy who particularly liked the soundtrack, is staying to see the composer's name (and will probably buy a CD), and various things like that. These people will typically be less than 10% of the US audience. In Europe, the percentages are much higher, and it's an informed consumership, with more people who know the reputations of directors or studios, and what studios and producers append some funny outtakes or a bit of interesting stuff to the credits. One reason Jackie Chan caught on in Europe faster than USA, for example, is in Europe word quickly spread that there were comedy outtake bits after the credits of his early kung-fu films.
2. The USA has lots of support for pulicizing movies. Magazines like People exist largely to drum up more movie publicity. Movie stars that appear on late night TV ALWAYS make their appearances at an optimum time to plug a new film, and people like Conan O'Brien will even ham it up with the pre-scripted nature of the leading questions they ask to seet up the publicity anouncement.
3. If you can, find some classic US Movie posters and one sheets, and compare them with the same film's European release posters. You'll see plenty of European one-sheets where the big name actors are suddenly in much smaller type than the director, and words like "starring" get omitted. You'll also see more posters that show a panoramic scene or action scene from the film instead of a big floating head close-up. The only counter example I have ever seen is a few "David Hasselhoff" films in Austria.
All this leads to an overall point: One reason movie studios are overpaying "stars" and not making as much money on overseas releases as they would like is they reward the stars as though the effects of getting the right actor are going to be seen world-wide, when these effects are mostly largely confined to the USA. Part of this comes because the studios don't do a lot of publicity anouncements, posters, and newspaper clipping type things for the European and Eastern markets directly. They turn that stuff over to subcontractors who know what sells "over there', and then think those people are doing little more than translating the US campaign to a forign language.
Re:Storage on hard drives (Score:3, Informative)
Re:Storage on hard drives (Score:4, Insightful)
So wait, it's immature to not want to have to pay $15 to watch less than 90 minutes of entertainment once when I can get a DVD for not much more? It's immature to not want to pay $4 for a fucking pop, or over $10 for a pop and some popcorn, when I can get a fucking meal for cheaper than that? It's immature to not want to have my seat kicked, or put up with idiots who don't turn off their cell phone or constantly make loud smartass comments during the movie? It's immature to actually be willing to pay for the convenience and comfort of watching the movie at home without having to wait months for the priviledge? I can't wait until I "grow up" and accept what corporate consortiums force down my throat.
Read "I don't want to pay for it, I want it now, and I don't have any self-restraint".
I pay for a DVD, and I have to sit through piracy warnings, advertisements, and other crap just to watch the movie. I am also restricted to watching it on specific devices. If I want to watch it on my Linux laptop, I've violated federal law by breaking the encryption. If I move to Europe, I can't watch any of my North American DVDs (which I paid for)because of region encoding. I can't rip several movies for my laptop so I don't have to carry a bunch of easily scratched discs or their bulky cases around with me without violating federal law. There exists the technology to provide a distribution method which will circumvent all of this bullshit and provide us the convenience we crave. I and millions like me have the bandwidth, the disposable income, and are willing to pay. The business model has already been proven successful for music (with iTunes). We're immature for wanting this, for being willing to provide a new distribution market? Right.
Re:Storage on hard drives (Score:3)
While I consider your other point valid, is pressi
Re:Storage on hard drives (Score:3, Insightful)
2. Agree
3. I tend to only find DVD storage space an issue for TV shows (to anyone producing TV shows on DVD - putting your DVDs one to a box is a massive waste of space). If it's a real nuisance for you, invest in a DVD folder [novatech.co.uk]. Sure, you lose the pretty packaging, but it doesn't seem you wanted it anyway.
4. Never saw this as a big problem. Just sort your DVDs alphabetically then perform a binary sear
Re:Storage on hard drives (Score:3, Insightful)
Wow (Score:2, Insightful)
Re:Wow (Score:5, Insightful)
I just can't help shake the "What's his angle " .
Then Thinking a little more , I imagine It will be HDD based WMA files with MS DRM that is consumer friendly .
Cutting out Sony , Philips etc. with their nasty DRM and allowing free reign for his slightly less nasty DRM
Re:Wow (Score:5, Insightful)
All DRM sucks as it tries to take away basic functions from the consumer by technichs when laws say otherwise. Its just a way to sidestep fair use law.
Re:Wow (Score:3, Insightful)
Re:Wow (Score:3, Insightful)
Bill Gates's (MSFT's) position regarding the BLU-RAY HD-DVD has virtually nothing to do with "protecting" "consumers' rights". If that was even a credible position, neither Trusted Computing nor MS-Vista DRM would be in their roadmap. It is all about who controls the DRM-protected IP that is to be spoon-fed and metered out to the lowly consumer. The larger (and longer term) revenue stream will come from the control of the DRM, rather than the IP it restricts.
Re:Wow (Score:5, Insightful)
So, it might do Bill some personal economic good to talk about how the future of film / media distribution will not use the DVDs/HDVDs/Blu-Rays but will use hard disks, which will only be enjoyable with a media player. And since this corporation has such market penetration and will be giving away said media player pre-installed, such perceived needs only move to drive the perceived need to adopt this (so-called) new operating system.
And I didn't even have to add in the DRM angle.
Re:Wow (Score:2)
Not in Europe he wont.
Re:Wow (Score:2)
"Cutting out Sony , Philips etc. with their nasty DRM and allowing free reign for his slightly less nasty DRM"
Well of course he's going to be pushing his own DRM format, but that doesn't mean we can't agree with him. Personally, I detest DRM in every form, but if one happens to believe that DRM is the only way studios will agree to online distribution, then Microsoft's method is certainly more consumer friendly.
Another thing to keep in mind is that the studios want to control how and where we watch our
Re:Wow (Score:2)
Sure HD-DVD may use some of his technology but he does not have total control over it .
He more strongly Rubbish's BRD as it has nothing to do with his Tech IIRC .
HD-DVD is his second choice , as at least he has some slice of the cake .
WMA DRM'd download media means he has a monopoly on it .
HDD downloaded Media is the future hopefully , but if he gets the studios to sign up to his ideas then it is an MS-Future.
How far wrong is he? (Score:5, Interesting)
Re:How far wrong is he? (Score:5, Funny)
Ray: What do you mean, big?
Winston: Well, let's say this Twinkie represents the normal amount of hard drive space in a New York area desktop. Based on this morning's reading, it would be a Twinkie thirty-five feet long, weighing approximately six hundred pounds.
Ray: That's a big Twinkie.
Re:How far wrong is he? (Score:3, Funny)
Sigh, I have no life do I?
Better post AC.
Isn't it funny (Score:5, Insightful)
If you are going to make a format irrelevant, provide a viable alternative Bill.
Re:Isn't it funny (Score:2)
Irrelevant. Microsoft don't sell content, they sell technology. There are several sites selling MSDRM-covered content (although none with the real clout of ITMS, with the possible exception of the BBC online service tests, which use Microsoft's DRM). They've provided a technological alternative, but content selling is not their market sector — they have, however, provided too
Re:Isn't it funny (Score:2)
Re:You're missing the point. (Score:2)
When exactly did I say that? I think if you re-read my post you will see that I said the idea of _not_ having a physical medium for HDTV quality content (which is what Bill seems to be suggesting) doesn't seem practical in the short term since there's no sane way to transfer the data over current internet connections. Saying "we don't need freedom" is *not* the same as "we'd like freedom but
Is this the same Bill Gates? (Score:4, Interesting)
Re:Is this the same Bill Gates? (Score:5, Insightful)
~X~
Re:Is this the same Bill Gates? (Score:4, Informative)
When Gates was CEO, Microsoft products were intentionally very piracy friendly, because his goal was total universality, whether or not he got paid for it.
Re:Is this the same Bill Gates? (Score:4, Funny)
Re:Is this the same Bill Gates? (Score:3, Insightful)
Of course the scheme is anti-consumer -- on that I agree with Gates. However, the HD-DVD is also anti-consumer, only marginally less so. The fact is *both* of these new standards are anti-consumer and both make sure that the players are never truly out of the control of the manufacturers... they are never really "owned" by the people who pay for them.
Gates' problem with Blu-ray is that it is controlled by Sony, the big dog in the console world where Microsoft wants to play. His "anti-consumer" argument is
Re:Is this the same Bill Gates? (Score:2)
Wasn't a major difference that HD-DVD specified a method for ripping content (albeit still DRMed to the best of my knowledge), whereas Blu-Ray completely denies any possibility?
Re:Is this the same Bill Gates? (Score:2, Interesting)
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Advanced_Access_Conte nt_System [wikipedia.org]
"The group developing it includes Disney, Intel, Microsoft, Matsushita, Warner Brothers, IBM, Toshiba, and Sony. The standard has been adopted as the access restriction scheme for HD-DVD and Blu-ray."
_V_
Re:Is this the same Bill Gates? (Score:2, Flamebait)
Re:Is this the same Bill Gates? (Score:2)
Note that there's virtually no copy protection on the older formats, it just costs more to duplicate the media. So, I'm not so sure that copy protection schemas have anything to do with Bill's definition of pro-consumer / anti-consumer. Perhaps the article should have mentioned who'
Re:Is this the same Bill Gates? (Score:2)
Re:Is this the same Bill Gates? (Score:2)
If Bill Gates spoke out against jumping off cliffs (Score:4, Funny)
As for the Redmond round table: I just realized that every time I hear Microsoft open it's mouth these days, it's complaining or unhappy about something. Is this what a mastodon sounds like as it sinks into a tar pit?
Re:If Bill Gates spoke out against jumping off cli (Score:3, Funny)
*ducks under the table*
Re:If Bill Gates spoke out against jumping off cli (Score:2)
Erp? (Score:4, Funny)
Re:Erp? (paranoid version) (Score:2)
Re:Erp? (indecisive version) (Score:2)
Or at least until my new friend becomes my enemy.
Blu-Ray really a non-starter (Score:4, Insightful)
As a system that is loaded with patents and license agreements, you can bet that blu-ray will be well supported by industry licensees until the key patents start to expire. Then you can expect a mass-exodus to a new, yet unnamed "standard" that has more patent protection. Given the most of the patents involved are 3-10 years old, give Blu-Ray a 10 year life.
Sour Grapes? (Score:5, Insightful)
Re:Sour Grapes? (Score:3, Funny)
Re:Sour Grapes? (Score:3, Insightful)
I think they had that planned with their DRM anyway. Think iTunes and multiple registered computers. So you could share out your hd-dvd stuff to another device (probably with a codec shuffle or recompression).
They have simply dropped the media and pushing digital distribution.
That might work somewhere else, but I didn't think HD codecs were good enough for the typical broadband found in American homes.
It's just a grab for something in the mist, but I don't believe the media partners are going to follow
Re:Sour Grapes? (Score:2)
I'm not sure it is. I find it hard to believe that throw-away and WORM media will ever become obsolete. There will be times when I need something that I can just give to someone in the real world, and not worry about getting it back. We'll need backups and archives. Even if media distribution (movies, music) goes completely on-line, without any physical media whatsoever, I don't think that it means disposable high-capacity removable media will be obsole
right on the spot (Score:5, Insightful)
He is also right when he says that people is increasingly storing stuff in hard drives because they are competitive on the price per dollar side and they are much more reliable than the easily scratched current recordable DVDs.
He is mostly wrong about a lot of other stuff, but I have to give him this one.
Re:right on the spot (Score:2)
Except for the bit about Blu-Ray maybe not requiring the availability of a managed copy (HD-DVD), both Blu-Ray and HD-DVD use the SAME copy prevention system, AACS.
I don't know about the cost per GB. It's going down for all formats. Desktop hard drives don't get jostled much, so I can see why someone might say a whole hard drive is more durable than a slice of optical media. Currently record
Re:right on the spot (Score:2)
Commercial dvd's are alright, if you take care of them.
On the other hand, recordable dvds are too easily scratched. My experience with them is appaling.
Hard drives come in cases, so you don't have the scratch problem. Of course if you drop them they will break but that is a different problem.
let him do the E^3 (Score:2)
The sole reason he doesn't like Blu-Ray: (Score:3, Insightful)
Ignore the Audience (Score:4, Interesting)
The distributers of media want a format that is not-alterable. That way, there's not even the discussion of loss of data / corruption of data in transit. The consumers want a format that is not-alterable. If I buy a movie, I don't want to find that it's been "modified" rendering it useless, or worse yet, partially useful.
Sure, there is a market for downloading movies onto a hard drive, but realistically, hard drives fail, and I'll want a backup. DVD's may not be the best technology in the world, but it comes with a built-in feature, it is read-only. I don't want to be saddled with the responsibility for determining the validity of burnt DVDs, because I really can't do that for all of the films I intend to own. Especially when the previous expectation is for the PRODUCER of the content to produce copies of it for my consumption.
Any technology that is read-write could be overwritten, which isn't a pretty thought to consider when you just paid for the CONTENT on the media.
Re:Ignore the Audience (Score:2)
Anyway, any reliable online media store keeps records of your purchases and allows you to download the media you've purchased multiple times. This means that if you manage to lose the media, you can always just download it again. Granted, if the company goes out of business, then you're in trouble... bu
Distribution formats: disks v bandwidth (Score:4, Interesting)
I wonder how CD player and disk sales are doing? Last I heard both were flat or declining. Once people realized that they wanted their music on an iPod, the CD became an added hassle. The same process will occur with DVDs.
But DVDs won't die for 10-20 years because some collectors will be willing to pay handsomely for the "Extended Platinum Director's Super Secret Cut Anniversary Re-release edition with matching book-ends." What will occur is that fewer B-list titles will appear on DVD because video-on-demand/pay-per-view/download services will offer a larger play list with lower distribution costs.
Re:Distribution formats: disks v bandwidth (Score:2)
All I want is to turn on my TV and watch a movie. I really don't care what format the movie is in. The easiest way to do this is to plug something directly into my TV, or something attached to my TV. I don't was the hassle of booting up my PC, waiting 8 hours to download it, then connecting that PC to something that has a big enough display to watch (I don't know about you but my PC display is not 60" wide).
And for those of you that think the PC and TV will merge someday: the first day I have to reboot m
Too late (Score:2)
Re:Too late (Score:2)
I agree. I've had software updates to my SUV three times in the last four years.
Which is why I firmly believe that software that directly impacts a persons safety should be written only by Engineers that have been trained to develop software for mission critical applications (and whose conduct is bound by a code of ethics and a regulatory body).
Re:Distribution formats: disks v bandwidth (Score:2)
I'm with you, believe me I am. But there is still a good reason to buy or rent a physical disc. For one thing speed. I can go to the local video store and rent a flick in about an hour. That's 4 to 8 gigs/hr. Further I can buy/rent more than one flick. That's pretty snazzy, equal to a 10 to 20mbit connection. Further I can buy/rent more than one. But the main reason to go with physical discs is for the conc
Lets Just say... (Score:4, Informative)
Another mentioned problem is distribution. The largest "widely" available download speeds available from Verizon via FIOS (which I will admit is not that widely available), is 30 Mbps. Now assuming you get the peak download speeds, we are talking about downloading 400,000 Mb or 240,000 Mb depending on the media. This would result in download times of 3 to 4 hours for Blu-Ray type media and of 2 to 3 hours for HD-DVD Media. On the more standard 6 Mbps connection these times would be nearly 5x larger. I think I can get to Best Bu,y Circuit City, or some other store and home in about 30 minutes tops. You have to remember a great number of consumers still pay for convenience, even in DVD purchases.
I think the hard drive storage Bill is hoping for is a pipe dream, unless of course he is planning on HDDs becoming so cheap you can sell a movie on one and then just pop it into your "player" and let it go...but HDDs are so big, and they do come with a host of their own problems...
Re:What about making movies smaller? (Score:3, Informative)
With the advent of HDTV and high definition cameras becoming more prominent, we are not only talking about storing movies in high definition on a disc, but bonus features could be recorded and displayed
Interesting reading (Score:2, Informative)
But do you have to encrypt, Bill? (Score:2)
That the MPAA will release its movies only with DRM seems obvious. But I see no reason why the use of the new format for other purposes is more restricted that the use of, say, CD-R.
Is there a mandatory copy protection I have missed?
Since when does Bill Gates care about consumers? (Score:4, Insightful)
What Gates mostly cares about, I'll bet, is that Blu-Ray and HD-DVD keep your data chained to another vendor's disc. Microsoft could have a few problems with this; after all, the inability to back up or rip discs will make Windows look like a second-rate OS, while Linux will undoubtedly end up with open source DRM-cracking tools. Gates would rather keep your data locked into your Windows installation. That way, Microsoft-approved devices like the Xbox will work with it, but non-approved devices like the iPod won't.
Re:Since when does Bill Gates care about consumers (Score:4, Insightful)
Basically, he wants Windows to become the complete center of the digital home universe. Everything from TV, music, movies, home automation, personal management, purchases, etc will be done on and controlled by the computer. Problem is, Big Media doesn't want it's content accessible to computers unless they can be guaranteed people won't make copies and/or distribute their copyrighted works. Gates himself has nothing to gain, rather, everything to lose by caving in to high level DRM such as with Blu-Ray. He wants the computer/Windows to be the complete media management solution where people can do essentially anything with media, including stream/copy media to any computer in the house for playback. But again, the media conglomerates see that as an encroachment of their copyright, even if it falls under the category of fair-use.
Anything considered fair-use (in terms of media) is a good thing for Gates, because it means people are free to use his platform to do whatever they want with media they purchase.
I think my point is relevant. (Score:3, Interesting)
I think you're oversimplifying what I wrote.
I don't know if Linux will "win" (whatever that means), but I think it might have an edge over Windows in this case. DRM-enforcing tools for playing Blu-Ray and HD-DVD discs will appear for Windows, but naturally none will appear for Linux - certainly, no open source tools. Therefore, someone like DVD Jon will hack the DRM and make an open source library that any Linux program can use. At that
Didn't work for the WWW, won't work now (Score:4, Insightful)
Yes Mr Stallman (Score:5, Funny)
Yes Mr Stallman, but I think that this sort of thing is bound to happen whatever you...Bill who said what?
128 MB of an 250 MB system disk (Score:2, Offtopic)
I know!! 137GB's aught to be enough for anybody, right?
Re:128 MB of an 250 MB system disk (Score:2)
An interesting link. The data loss/corruption is worrisome. A crashing app is one thing, but filesystem corruption is much worse and may not be noticed before months has passed by rendering backups much ot-of-date:
A telling quote (Score:3, Insightful)
Translation: ANY version of DRM where WE don't hold the keys? That will not do!
--MAB
Bill is threatening the movie / consumer industry (Score:3, Insightful)
Bill is not happy.
However, he has WMV9, DRM and high bandwidth broadband connections to play with. If he launches a solution that will enable you to encode and replay HD content via your PC - with say a movie at 720p in 10-15Gb then he can say to content providers "sell your content with my DRM, in my store, to replay on this system". They will say no, but he doesn't care, he just waits for the hackers to create a system to extract and replay Blu-Ray content via the new system. They can distribute it in the same way they distribute DVDs - at the same time fixing the existing holes that RIAA exploit.
People then have a choice of paying lots for a new system, and new content - or just a HD capable PC and the file sharing that people are already happy with. Cue movie industry meltdown.
This looks to be very much "play nice or I'll get nasty". He can make it so that the easiest HD solution is one based on file sharing. Expect to see secure download to your PC as part of an updated Blu-Ray and HD-DVD spec.
Hard disks are so 00's (Score:2)
Not that long ago... (Score:2)
Now, Blue-Ray is promising 25GB/disc encoded with high quality codecs. 10 in a 250GB HDD? That's a dead proposition. People won't have a whole RAID array spinning just to have a 40-50 film library. And harddisks haven't been significly impr
On the other hand (Score:2)
I'm afraid I don't buy the idea... (Score:5, Interesting)
Back when my ebook was published, there was a lot of talk about how ebooks were going to supplant the print book. It hasn't happened, and there's a few reasons for that. A book that is bound with a spine is called a codex, and there really isn't a way to improve on it as a format. A codex doesn't require electricity, it is portable, and you can do just about anything you want with the book itself. It is completely self contained - the only equipment it is truly linked to in order to function are the eyes of the reader (and something with which to turn pages). An ebook, on the other hand, has copy protection issues to deal with, requires electricity of some sort to use, and if the electronic reader breaks down, the ebook becomes inaccessible, or possibly even lost. Is it any surprise that the numbers that constitute a bestseller for an ebook are a fraction of the what is required for a print book?
Now, take a DVD. So far, I think it's become about as close to what the codex is for books as is possible for movies (although it could be a bit smaller and contain more information). It has no moving parts, it's portable, and while it requires a player to watch the movie, the player breaking down will not damage the movie, or prevent me from taking it to another player.
If it becomes just a download onto a hard drive, a lot of these merits are lost. The movie is attached to the player, if the player goes down the movie can be lost, and there are a bunch of new digital rights issues to deal with (and let's face it, we're not doing that well with figuring out how to deal with digital rights right now). Also, once the movies are being stored on a hard drive, it becomes difficult to deal with them individually - let's say I want to loan one to a friend, or to take one with me when I travel out of town. In order to do that, I'd have to loan or take the entire hard disk.
No, I don't buy the idea of a format like the DVD being supplanted. It has always seemed to me that the most lasting technologies are those that offer the most utility in the simplest way. And, when it comes down to it, DVDs are pretty simple. They can certainly still be improved, but I honestly can't see a portable medium like the DVD being replaced by a medium like the hard disk.
Nothing to worry about (Score:3, Insightful)
Well, the studios could refuse to release the films in DVD format, but, you know, that's kind of difficult till you have a big customer base. After all, it's your main revenue source, you don't play with that. And then there is piracy. No amount of protection is going to protect the content, as you will always have at least the analog output to recode, and most likely a tweaked Blue-Ray player to play with.
So I don't particularly care one way or the other. If they protect too much, they'll never win market share, and hard disks are not the only competitor that they will find. Think cheap memory cards, for example. I personally think that these standards are a bit early in the day, driven more by the desire of selling us again the same old films in the shiny new format, than by any customer desire. If they really cared about the customer they would quit displaying stupid screens at the beginning of the DVDs that you cannot skip. I regularly copy my DVDs and you know what, the copies are more used by my family than the originals, because you simply pop the disk and the film starts, no menus, no nothing. So that's a customer desire (my family being fairly typical), and it's not even being considered.
Note to the studios: Do you want to end piracy? Sell DVDs at 3$ from the same day of the first screening, and you are done. You'll even win probably more money than now, as people will buy the cheap DVDs before their friend tell them that the film is no good (what happens with most films nowadays, which was the last film that left you Wow! ? For me it was the Matrix, and that's some years away).
EVIL all around us! (Score:3, Funny)
DVD region coding... evil.
HD-DVD small capacity... evil.
Blu-Ray Super-DRM... Evil.
Hard Drive distribution failure rates, cost... Evil!
Download network saturation... EVIL!
Streaming-only content lack of persistancy... EEEEVIL!
Wherefore art thou Crystal Storage?
Gates sez... (Score:3, Interesting)
Then why are all the major PC manufacturers backing Blu-Ray instead of HD-DVD?
Re:No it isn't (Score:3, Interesting)
Re:No it isn't (Score:4, Insightful)
The conceptualization of a "disk" where you can read and write frequently at relative high speed doesn't change whether it's HD based, flash based, internet based or hologram based. I'm sure Gates still wants a file to be DRM'ed to death, he must make sure that MS are the gatekeepers.
Still. Cryptographic locks are potentially very interesting features for securing content, assessing authorship. Paraphrasing Linus: "_real_ men just upload their important stuff encrypted on ftp, and let the rest of the world mirror it". You're not really putting up stuff on ftp, but who knows what can be accessed without your explicit approval/knowledge. Preemptively act as if that was the case. Contrary to material properties, information is very resilient and durable. The only downsides are that it can be lost in an instant (hence the need for redundancy and backups) and can be disclosed in an innoportune fashion (hence the need for cryptographic protection).
As we embark (on the inevitable) road to making information a full-fledged property, we need to make sure all the usual ingredients of a property are present. Some will say that instead of trying to fit information in the usual definition of (material) property, we should instead enlarge and refine the definition of property. Sure, that doesn't invalidate the fact that we want to be able to protect and lock down information properties. What I guess I'm saying is that a property has attributes that are requisite for trade and that since our civilization is mostly built on that (and some form of democracy), any new property will have to incorporate those attributes we have come to rely upon.
Re:No it isn't (Score:5, Insightful)
Now the real danger in the whole Blu-Ray issue is this. The DRM model for Blu-Ray is extremely restrictive and especially wouldn't play nice in a PC type environment. Also, Blu-Ray is a closed spec that must be licensed, so any deviation from this DRM model risks legal action by Sony. The content providers like this because it's a model with legal and/or technical barriers at every link in the chain. However if Blu-Ray really becomes the preferred format for HD media we risk a situation where Sony gets final say in all HD content distribution because they own this heavily restricted standard. So in the end Blu-Ray would become a monopoly coup for Sony and fair use would be seriously crippled in the HD world.
So I'd prefer HD-DVD mostly because it's an open spec that is by nature more consumer friendly. Of course, it also helps that HD-DVD will be significantly less expensive and available for large-scale production in the near term.
Re:No it isn't (Score:3, Insightful)
I would say it is a double edged sword, but it is definately not nothing. On one hand, you have the lock-in to Windows systems protected by hard DRM, on the other side, the infamous Star Wars quote. The last thing Microsoft wants is to create a world where people choose Linux because it is full
Re:i am not a blue-ray fan either (Score:5, Insightful)
Let's face it: For distributable media, people don't care about RW capabilities.
That's where next-gen recordable media comes in.
Re:Isn't this the same guy who... (Score:2)
"I've said some stupid things and some wrong things, but not that. No one involved in computers would ever say that a certain amount of memory is enough for all time. Meanwhile, I keep bumping into that silly quotation attributed to me that says 640K of memory is enough. There's never a citation; the quotation just floats like a rumor, repeated again and again."
Bill Gates, 1996
This the same guy who said (Score:2)
-- Bill Gates from "The Road Ahead," p. 265.
Although I'm sure he didn't realise its curiosity value.
Re:Anti-Consumer? (Score:2)
I don't know if I remember correctly, but I think the files you bought had limited life too. I mean how can
Re:Blu-ray no longer requires a cartridge (Score:2)