The 3 Billion Dollar Typo 398
Rand310 writes "Mizuho, the world's second largest bank based in Japan, with total assets of nearly the GDP of France (around 1.2 trillion USD) accidentally sold 610,000 shares, valued at $3.1 billion... for 1 yen each. A 27 billion yen loss would almost match Mizuho Securities' group net profit of 28.1 billion yen for the financial year ended in March, though... the incident would not threaten the brokerage's financial stability. FYI 1 yen is about .83 cents. Yesterday one share was selling at $5,065, today you could theoretically have bought 610,000 shares for $.0083 each. An expensive switch of variables."
Would be nice, but not really... (Score:5, Informative)
No, the shares weren't actually sold for 1 yen each. From TFA:
Selling the shares for 572,000 yen is where the 27 billion yen figure came from, not selling them for 1 yen.
Also...
Aside from the fact that you couldn't have theoretically bought the shares because of market safeguards already mentioned, that sentence is missing a very important word: 610,000 shares for $.0083 each.
Still, it would have been one helluva holiday sale, wouldn't it?
The other thing I thought was interesting was from the other article. It said:
How much yen do you want to bet that it's one of those stupid "Are you sure?" dialog boxes that everyone clicks "Yes" to without actually thinking about what it's asking? Ah, how I love ignoring those warnings, too.
Re:Would be nice, but not really... (Score:5, Informative)
Haven't you noticed that as the stock price goes down, the hysteria on the front page goes up? Anything to make a buck!
Re:Would be nice, but not really... (Score:5, Insightful)
It's a constant grip of mine. I hate unneccesary confirmation dialogs (the result being I hate alost all of them). I can just about tolerate "This will overwrite a file", or "Save before quit" ones, but I keep running across designers who think insist on using modal dialogs for feedback. "You have just pressed a key. OK/Cancel". I make a point of querying this behaviour any time a designer comes up with it.
Re:Would be nice, but not really... (Score:5, Informative)
Re:Would be nice, but not really... (Score:3, Interesting)
Re:Would be nice, but not really... (Score:4, Interesting)
Was it asking, "Would you like to format your hard drive?" or "Press OK to transfer all your bank account funds to Joe Smith.".
This has been a problem for ages on Windows, and I can't believe they have yet to address it. A simple fix would be to create a brief quiet period that would allow the user to react and stop typing and respond.
--
Q
Re:Would be nice, but not really... (Score:3, Interesting)
It does not matter how large or explicit the warning box was. If every large transaction got the same verificaton box re-stating the terms of the trade (and I suspect this is the case) the warning was useless because it will be ignored 999 times out of 1,000. Only if warning or confirmation boxes appear infrequently, when certain parameters are exceeded, will they be
Re:Would be nice, but not really... (Score:5, Funny)
to press the "Ok" button
on the "Are you sure"
dialog box?
[ OK ] [ Cancel ]
Re:Would be nice, but not really... (Score:4, Funny)
Seriously, wtf does "OK" mean in response to the question "Are you sure you want to take this action?" What if you went to the grocery store and the clerk asked if you needed help carrying your bags to your car and you responded "Cancel"
Re:Would be nice, but not really... (Score:3, Insightful)
No. I went into the property pages for fun, made modifications because I was bored, then hit Apply by accident.
Yes of COURSE I want to make the changes you stupid software, argh!
Re:Would be nice, but not really... (Score:4, Interesting)
What's worse is that the default button on this dialog box is the "Reboot now" button.
So I'll be typing in an email or a posting to something, and after 3 minutes are up, it will suddenly pop up the nagbox into the foreground, just in time for me to hit spacebar after finishing a word. In a blink of an eye, the computer forces every program to end without prompting to save and reboots...
I can understand and can live with crashes. but that... That behavior was PLANNED.
Re:Would be nice, but not really... (Score:3, Insightful)
If I were to write a Window Manager, any prog
fix (Score:3, Informative)
Re:Would be nice, but not really... (Score:5, Funny)
Re:Would be nice, but not really... (Score:4, Funny)
Re:Would be nice, but not really... (Score:3, Funny)
May also not even be true (Score:3, Insightful)
Now, what do you think that chances of this happening twice are? Yeah, that's what I thought.
Re:May also not even be true (Score:2)
Not identical numbers (Score:2)
Today's story is 1/610,000 ; still, very suspicious, but we'll see.
Re:May also not even be true (Score:3, Informative)
Here is Google's not particularly good Japanese (BETA) translation:
Blame (Score:2)
Re:Would be nice, but not really... (Score:5, Insightful)
Yup. As others have pointed out, this is yet another usability problem. If one simply mistake can cause so much damage, then it should raise a warning flag. Which it did, but apparently the warning flag was utterly useless. Silly "ok/cancel" dialogs are not enough to cause the user to stop and think about what he is doing. If such dialogs were correctly implemented, they would be extremely annoying which would lead to two things: 1) it'd be much more unlikely to make a mistake and 2) as another poster pointed out, almost *all* such dialogs are for something minor (do you really want to quit??) and better safeguarded against in some other way (e.g. "undo"), and thus would [hopefully] quickly disappear if they must be extremely annoying rather than merely annoying.
Raskin's suggestion for a dialog that would work is something like: "You are about to perform dangerous and undoable action X. If you wish to proceed, type 'Yes, perform action X' followed by the [11th] word of this sentance." You'd be asked to type a different word each time so you could not memorize it and learn to confirm the action without thinking. Highly obnoxious, yes. Hopefully designers would learn to only make use of it when absolutely necessary.
P.S. I'd just like to say that Firefox without the SessionSaver extension is painful. Why on earth isn't SessionSaver included by default? "You have 9 tabs open that took you many hours to arrange. Close them all forever: yes/no?". And if something crashes, you don't even get the annoying dialog...
Re:Would be nice, but not really... (Score:2)
I think it goes to show that the "Are you sure?" dialog boxes are not the safeguard answer that everyone seems to think it is. How many developers I know say: "oh, we just need a confirmation here." Yeah, so much for that.
The answer, IMO, is UNDO. That should've been a separate key on the keybo
42 times? oh crap. (Score:2)
Re:Would be nice, but not really... (Score:2)
"The new J-Com shares had a starting price of 672,000 yen, but after the misplaced order they fell to the day's trading limit of 572,000 yen each. After Mizuho Securities Co. bought back the shares, they rose to the maximum allowable single day gain of 700,000 yen."
If you had been able to get any at 572k yen you would have made a 128,000 yen/share profit, not bad!
Re:Computer that cryed wolf (Score:3, Interesting)
What I hate even more (yes, Microsoft I'm talking to YOU) is that "OK" and "Cancel" are not synonymous with "Yes" and "No".
It's just stupid. Or even worse is the 7 (or so) lines of text Paint Shop Pro gives you describing the effects of leaving lots of data on the clipboard before you exit the program, followed by "Yes" and "No" buttons. I have to read the damn thing
come on now (Score:2, Informative)
i love sensational media.
Re:come on now (Score:3, Interesting)
The real gist of the article is this was an IPO, that there was a typo, nothing actually sold that low, but the confusion caused by the low prices probably deflated the opening day IPO pricing--therefore the firm is trying to buy back what did sell so they can fix things. The buyback costs could be around $224m.
Re:come on now (Score:2)
Re:come on now (Score:2, Informative)
Once again Digg beats /. to the punch, and more accurately all the while.
Re:come on now (Score:2)
OP math doesn't make sense (Score:2, Redundant)
Re:OP math doesn't make sense (Score:2)
But yeah I took a double take on that as well. I knew the US$ wasn't doing great, but I knew it wasn't doing that bad
Re:OP math doesn't make sense (Score:2)
It would make life easier if the freaking cent sign worked on here. You can use &euro and £, but God forbid I use ¢ or try the ASCII code.
€
£
and a whole lot of nothing
Data Validation (Score:5, Insightful)
Re:Data Validation (Score:2, Interesting)
I work in the software department of an investment management company. Trade errors are bad, but are certainly not unheard of. Sometimes it's a bug in the software generating the orders (yes, in spite of strict QA and user acceptance testing, weird "one in a million" bugs make it through to production). Frequently it's user error. Sometimes it's bad data in the database, or some simple misunderstanding that creates
Re:Data Validation (Score:5, Funny)
http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/10394551/ [msn.com]
This image:
http://msnbcmedia.msn.com/j/ap/tok11012090345.hme
Re:Data Validation (Score:5, Interesting)
Hmm... misleading post? (Score:5, Insightful)
Error prevention? (Score:3, Insightful)
"Was ignored" -- human nature, SPOF (Score:3, Interesting)
I'd be really curious to know how something so dramatic could possibly be written with a "check" that could be ignored with trivial effort or due to plain inattention. Yes, it's human nature to ignore "Confirm" dialogs, and efforts to explain things to the user within the standard Windows API so often end up like the "Do you really want to save this as a CSV" dialogs in Excel. But c'mon -- no single point of failure should result in someth
Re:Error prevention? (Score:4, Funny)
He was holding down the shift key.
Creators of nothing (Score:2, Insightful)
So much capital floating around based on the creation of nothing. Is there a more apt description of the modern world?
Re:Creators of nothing (Score:2)
Seems simple enough to me
This is the same with taxes though.
I get paid $1. 22 cents goes to income tax. 15% of the remaining goes to provicial/sales tax, leaving me with 66 cents. Then the thing I bought goes to someones salary, but they only get 51 of the 66 cents. Then they buy something upto a value of 43.9 cents.
So after only one level of indire
Re:Creators of nothing (Score:3, Insightful)
There is a reason for this. Entrepreneurs and executives *need* access to capital ma
1 BILLION Shares! Muuuahhahaahahahaha (Score:5, Funny)
That to me is much more disturbing.
I just wonder who's going to get the blame, IT or the software vendor?
Re:1 BILLION Shares! Muuuahhahaahahahaha (Score:2)
It'll be classified as a software glitch and nobody will have to account for it. After all, software is perpetually in beta, just read the EULAs.
Refinery blows up? The software was faulty. Good luck assigning resposibility these days -everyone has an "out" by blaming Windows or some hard-to-find obscure programmer.
Re:1 BILLION Shares! Muuuahhahaahahahaha (Score:2)
Re:1 BILLION Shares! Muuuahhahaahahahaha (Score:2)
Re:1 BILLION Shares! Muuuahhahaahahahaha (Score:3)
Any system which relies for its safely on a person "being careful" is doomed, as humans are fallible and
Re:1 BILLION Shares! Muuuahhahaahahahaha (Score:3, Interesting)
While the end-user software could in theory figure out whther the sale was a short sale or not based on how many shares you currently hold, this would not be a feature! There a
Wild. (Score:2, Interesting)
Im curious how this is going to effect the business itself.
You've got to admire the Mizuho execs... (Score:5, Interesting)
The company made a horrendous mistake and yet, there you see two executives bowing apologetically and taking responsibility on the day it happened .
I have to wonder how a U.S. bank would have handled such a mistake?
Re:You've got to admire the Mizuho execs... (Score:5, Funny)
I have to wonder how a U.S. bank would have handled such a mistake?
Well, I can tell you it wouldn't be the company execs who would be bending over...
Re:You've got to admire the Mizuho execs... (Score:3, Insightful)
"Look Ma! I led a company into a miserable state, fired 3,000 employees because of it, and gave myself a 10% raise! Wow I must be good!"
Re:You've got to admire the Mizuho execs... (Score:4, Insightful)
Don't take this as a defense of American corporate ethos, or a criticism of Japanese ones, though. The two countries simply have different Zeitgeists. For whatever reasons the massive conglomerates that dominate Japan are never upset by newer competition. What I've yet to discover, is whether the privitization of Japan Post is a signal that the day of ruling families is over, or whether it's a signal that the government will no longer compete with them.
Re:You've got to admire the Mizuho execs... (Score:4, Interesting)
Here's an article that focuses on these very kinds of problems in the music industry: http://www.indie-music.com/modules.php?name=News&
You might find this particular passage of interest:
A few years ago at a party, I asked a CEO of a major label why this practice seemed so prevalent at the top executive levels of the music & film industries and the response was astounding. He said, "What you have to understand about the decisions to hire executives at that level, is that very often the boards of the company hiring them are much more comfortable with someone who's already had the position and done the job regardless of their past track record than someone they don't know regardless of their ability!"
This problem is endemic not just in the music industry, but in almost every sector. With all the fat perks, it's almost set up so that bad performance is completely inconsequential.
Re:You've got to admire the Mizuho execs... (Score:3, Interesting)
Re:You've got to admire the Mizuho execs... (Score:3, Funny)
Re:You've got to admire the Mizuho execs... (Score:5, Insightful)
A lesson I learnt from a former boss: Someone screwed-up bigtime on a project, potentially costing us an important client. They realised their mistake and told the boss. The boss didn't explode, shout, or fire the employee, he just very calmy asked that everyone help to rescue as much as we could from the situation. When I spoke to him later about it, he said that it would have been counter productive to blame someone who new they had made a mistake and probably felt very bad about it. In my book, that's a good people manager.
Re:You've got to admire the Mizuho execs... (Score:5, Interesting)
I guess it worked out - my boss retired a year or so later and I got his job. And it's a lesson that I've never forgotten (and, fortunately, only had to use once).
-h-
Making mistakes (Score:4, Insightful)
All your shares are belong to us, blahditty blah (Score:2)
Bust those trades (Score:5, Informative)
The math is wrong, and it never happened (Score:2)
That the Japanese actually make typos from time to time?
Must have been those damn TPS reports (Score:2)
Re:Must have been those damn TPS reports (Score:2)
Oh, yeah I forgot. I'm gonna also need you to come in Sunday too. We, uh, lost some people this week and we need to sorta catch up.
Thanks!
Scary forms (Score:4, Interesting)
This guy's problem was presumably different; he knew what the forms meant but entered the wrong numbers. Still, it's kind of scary to be looking at a computer screen and thinking, "I hope this is right, or it's REALLY gonna suck."
I can only assume (Score:2, Funny)
Wasn't $3 billion...and wasn't a typo, either (Score:4, Informative)
For anyont who RTFA'd, 610,000 shares at 1Y were offered, not bought. The error so far has cost about $224 million, and may eventually cost $250 million. That's a huge cost for a trader error, but it's not $3 billion.
And I don't think this qualifies as a typo. How about "data entry error"? Or how about software bug, since the number of shares sold was more than the number of available shares.
Not on SlickDeals? (Score:2, Funny)
New conversion! (Score:5, Funny)
Trading typos are hardly that rare... (Score:4, Interesting)
And a Bear Stearns employee typed in $4bn instead of $4m in 2002, again moving the index (thsi time the Dow Jones) down.
Mostly though these positions are unwound by agreement between the parties. I don't understand why that didn't apply here.
.
So many errors, so little time ... (Score:4, Informative)
No, they didn't.
"
Huh? Nobody lost, or "won", anything. There were no trades at that price.
"
This one, despite other posts to the contrary, is about right (today's rate is 0.00841 to the USD, or 0.841 yen = 1 cent). Considering the math proficiencey demonstrated so far, I'd give him a "close is good enough" checkmark on this question, to avoid the embarassing, and apparently inevitable, goose egg on his math final.
"
No you couldn't. And even if you could, you couldn't.
The company doesn't have 600 thousand shares outstanding to sell, for one thing; share owners must agree to sell at that price for another.
Pity the poor bastard who made a sell order "at market", though
Market rules prohibited the trade from being completed, for another. And that's about $0.0083 per share, it would have cost you about $US 5130.10 plus brokerage fees at today's exchange rate.
The short answer here, for those of you whose heads are exploding from the bad, bad Math and English Composition at work here, is some trader placed an order for one share, valued at around $5K, and made a mistake somehow.
Instead of an offer of one share for that price, the order was entered as 610,000 shares for the price of one share. As it turns out, some shares were sold at a discount of 9% (ie $US 4,750 per share; ie some owners were willing to make a sell order "at market" ) because the market rules allowed that much of a price drop before trading restrictions or outright halts kicked in (the news stories don't say what the mechanism for price monitoring is or does, but obviously, it works).
$224 million. (Score:3, Informative)
that the error cost "up to $224 million". I prefer to trust CNN to
Slashdot posting error leads to... (Score:3, Informative)
"No buyer was actually able to pick up the phantom shares for 1 yen due to market rules designed to limit price fluctuations, but the shares may have gone as cheaply as 572,000 yen ($4,750) each, a more than 9 percent discount to the intended sale price."
So the headline is wrong and/or the poster did not RTDA.
something is wrong with the Japanese market (Score:3, Interesting)
To operate a computer-based market without such a protection in place is pretty reckless.
Re:Maybe... (Score:2)
Re:Use http://www.xe.com/ucc (Score:3, Insightful)
Re:Use http://www.xe.com/ucc (Score:2)
True, but I think the original article poster needs to be smacked for saying something as mathematically awkward as ".83 cents". That's saying ".83 hundredths of a dollar". It's really bad form to compound decimals like that, particularly when the currency unit is commonly represented by a decimal like that. But this is /. so brain dead submissions are the norm, and editorial corrections non existent.
Re:Use http://www.xe.com/ucc (Score:5, Funny)
Re:Use http://www.xe.com/ucc (Score:2)
Read your post...
Notice that they say the exact same thing...
$0.00829 *is*
Re:Use http://www.xe.com/ucc (Score:2)
But this is Slashdot, shouldn't we use Google [google.com] instead?
Re:Use http://www.xe.com/ucc (Score:2)
Re:Use http://www.xe.com/ucc (Score:2)
YASPVG (Score:3, Insightful)
Yet Anotehr Slasdhot Page View Generator. Brilliant! Instead of quoting exchange rates based on the unit denomination of the two countries (as is customary), quote them using one of either country's smaller denominations. In this case, US pennies. You only need one person to misread it and think that the exchange rate has a misplaced decimal. If it will make you feel any better, I almost fell for this myself. I've said it before and I'll say it again, errors on /. stories aren't mistakes. They're pur
Re:This brings a WHOLE new meaning... (Score:5, Funny)
FuckedCompany.com
Re:Real Life Dupe (Score:2)
Re:Real Life Dupe (Score:2)
Re:math check (Score:3, Informative)
610,000 shares would have cost $506,300 (plus commissions).
Your could have bought 1 share for $.0083, or
1 yen is
Re:math check (Score:2)
Re:Give them my number (Score:5, Informative)
Re:Give them my number (Score:3, Insightful)
Re:Give them my number (Score:3, Funny)
Guess that rules out coicidence.
Re:Give them my number (Score:4, Funny)
Re:Give them my number (Score:4, Insightful)
In this case, it would spot that you were about to do something *very* odd, and print:
"Are you sure?"
'Y'
"Are you *really* sure?"
'Y'
"Ok, so what are you so sure you want to do?"
'... uhm'
Warlords II (Score:3, Funny)
If you resign Ungraciously all your cities are razed. They are out of play and none of the remaining players can benefit from them.
If you select Graciously you are asked, "graciously?"
Clicking anywhere makes that box go away and another appears asking, "GRACIOUSLY?"
Clicking again brings a third box with, "GRACIOUSLY??????"
Another click brings up the last box, which says, "I d
Re:The End Of Slashdot (Score:4, Insightful)
Re:The End Of Slashdot (Score:5, Insightful)
Now please go troll somewhere else - Slashdot has enough of them as it is. I hear that Digg is looking for more so go play in their yard.
PS - I have Digg as one of my home pages on Firefox so I do check/read both sites so please no flames about "You don't know what you're talking about since you obviously don't dig Digg!"
Re:The End Of Slashdot (Score:3, Funny)
You don't know what you're talking about since you're obviously both a Slashdot fanboy and a Digg fanboy!
Choose a side, traitor!