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Earth Transportation The Almighty Buck

Cheap Gas Fuels Switch From Electric Cars To SUVs 622

schwit1 points out news that's sure to clash with Earth Day narratives: drivers who bought hybrid and electric cars are switching back to SUVs at a higher rate than ever. Quoting: According to Edmunds.com, about 22 percent of people who have traded in their hybrids and EVs in 2015 bought a new SUV. The number represents a sharp increase from 18.8 percent last year, and it is nearly double the rate of 11.9 percent just three years ago. Overall, only 45 percent of this year's hybrid and EV trade-ins have gone toward the purchase of another alternative fuel vehicle, down from just over 60 percent in 2012. Never before have loyalty rates for alt-fuel vehicles fallen below 50 percent. ... Edmunds calculates that at the peak average national gas price of $4.67/gallon in October 2012, it would take five years to break even on the $3,770 price difference between a Toyota Camry LE Hybrid ($28,230) and a Toyota Camry LE ($24,460). At today's national average gas price of $2.27/gallon, it would take twice as much time (10.5 years) to close the same gap.
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Cheap Gas Fuels Switch From Electric Cars To SUVs

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  • by Tablizer ( 95088 ) on Wednesday April 22, 2015 @10:49AM (#49528395) Journal

    Tax gas and spend the proceeds on "green" R&D.

    • by Bing Tsher E ( 943915 ) on Wednesday April 22, 2015 @11:04AM (#49528529) Journal

      Eliminate any exceptions to the CAFE standard for SUVs.

      Background: The SUV class of vehicle only exists because it was a loophole in the CAFE standards. Automakers had to meet a 'fleet average' fuel economy for every vehicle they sold.

      That meant Chevy needed to produce and sell a significant number of fuel-economical vehicles for each gas guzzler they sold. That requirement alone forced the Station Wagon almost entirely out of the market, because Chevy wants to sell heavily equipped pickup trucks to people who want them (will spend lots of extra $$) and not just to people who need them. Also to sell vettes and other crap.

      The SUV loophole was that 'light sport utility vehicles' were exempt from the fleet average calculation, so the manufacturers sold the hell out of them.

      Eliminate the SUV loophole and the big bloated turds would be gone quickly. Soccer moms ignoring the road because they're texting need to drive minivans with little engines, not pigiron.

      • Re: (Score:2, Informative)

        by 0123456 ( 636235 )

        Eliminate the SUV loophole and the big bloated turds would be gone quickly. Soccer moms ignoring the road because they're texting need to drive minivans with little engines, not pigiron.

        You do realize most modern 'SUVs' are just hatchbacks with more ground clearance than a normal car and AWD, right? Oh, no, obviously not given your sexist, classist, knee-jerk rant.

        Ours gets the same MPG around town as our Civic.

        • by TWX ( 665546 ) on Wednesday April 22, 2015 @11:30AM (#49528815)
          Because you do not name the SUV I do not believe you.

          On average, car-based SUVs (which are usually classed as "CUVs") get almost car-efficiency, but truck-based SUVs, the only ones worth owning as true sport utility vehicles, still lag behind cars.

          I think that the exemptions for SUVs and trucks need to be eliminated entirely when under a certain GVWR, and that basically "half ton" trucks in the form of Class 1 light trucks sold as lifestyle trucks need to meet this standard. "three quarter ton" trucks sold as Class 2 trucks need to meet a fairly stringent standard too.
        • Make and models please. I have a hard time believing your SUV does better than your Civic unless you Civic is 15 years old and out of shape or your SUV is the smallest in it's class.

          http://www.fueleconomy.gov/feg... [fueleconomy.gov]

          I took the most fuel efficient SUV and compared it to the least efficient and the most efficient CIVIC. Keep in mind the SUV is using a variable gear ratio which increases it's efficiency further giving it an advantage. If you go down the list of SUVs the next one in the last is 3MPG less efficie

      • Thats the ticket artificially punish car manufactures for giving people what they want. The CAFE standards are broken for sure but sin taxes are never fair. Shift it to a purchase tax, that is transparent to the buying they know that their government is taken their money and for what supposed reason. See how long before people call for it's repeal vs these invisible taxes on companies.

        • by jythie ( 914043 )
          Consumers want all sorts of things that are not good ideas at large scale.

          Though costs are artificial already, the low prices generally pay are dependent on those costs being picked up elsewhere rather than personal or industrial responsibility kicking in. For instance, raw material extraction keeps its costs low by having local residents around the facilities bare it. If they actually had to pay for the land and property they damaged the cost of things like steel would skyrocket, but instead individual
      • Eliminate any exceptions to the CAFE standard for SUVs.

        And while they are at it, find a way to get EV owners to pay their share of taxes for road maintenance, now covered largely by the gas tax.

        • by bigwheel ( 2238516 ) on Wednesday April 22, 2015 @12:05PM (#49529197)

          And keep in mind that the EV owners, who do not pay gas tax, are driving relatively heavy vehicles.
          Chevy Volt (small car) weighs more than a Honda CRV (SUV)
          Tesla S (sedan) weighs more than a Ford F-150 (full-size truck)

          • I would love to see you pull up numbers to prove what you have stated, but just checking the Tesla, I see you are full of shit. The F-150 weighs between 4154 and 4930 lbs, the Tesla weighs 4647. The Tesla could weigh more than a F-150 with a tiny engine. The F-150 also just went through a weight reduction of switchign to all aluminum panels, so it weighs significantly less now than its competitors.

            4,920 to 5,675 lbs 2015 Toyota Tundra, Curb weight
            4,689 to 5,433 lbs 2015 Chevrolet Silverado 1500, Curb wei

            • by bigwheel ( 2238516 ) on Wednesday April 22, 2015 @01:42PM (#49530167)

              Full of shit? In every case, I typed the model into Google, and took the lowest number. The rest of the weight are for options, so they are not relevant.

              The ones I mentioned were because the Volt and CRV had already been discussed. I have an F-150, and it the best selling vehicle in the US for the past 32 years. (source: wikipedia) I chose the Tesla because some people cream their pants green whenever they hear that word.

              Tough shit that Ford is making an aluminum F-150. Good for them. The Tesla is also aluminum, so it is an apples-vs-apples comparison.

              That said, here are the numbers right from the manufacturers:

              Ford F-150 4x2 = 4,050 LBS source: http://www.ford.com/trucks/f15... [ford.com]
              (Note that even their tiny engine has 325 HP and 375 ft-lbs of torque, which is necessary for a truck)
              -vs-
              Tesla S = 4,647 LBS source: http://www.teslamotors.com/sup... [teslamotors.com]
              (If the Tesla has higher horsepower, it is only useful for making the owner's dick get hard.)

              Honda CRV = 3358 lbs source: http://automobiles.honda.com/c... [honda.com]
              -vs-
              Chevy Volt Base Curb Weight = 3786 lbs source: http://www.chevrolet.com/volt-... [chevrolet.com]

              Despite what you want to believe, the numbers are what they are. And I just wasted a half-hour looking them up for you.

          • by Smidge204 ( 605297 ) on Wednesday April 22, 2015 @01:15PM (#49529915) Journal

            None of these vehicles have a substantial impact on roads, though. Heavy trucking accounts for the vast majority of road wear.

            That said, I have no problem with paying to help maintain the roads even if my contribution to their wear is practically nonexistent. I benefit from our highway infrastructure because even if I never drive on them, I almost certainly use products and commodities that are transported over them.

            Keep the gas tax, maybe even increase it, to pay for the problems that fossil fuel consumption causes.

            Add a new, independent road maintenance fee that's based on vehicle weight and miles driven.
            =Smidge=

      • This is absolutely the problem. The CAFE SUV loophole is kind of a have-your-cake-and-eat-it-too scenario. Gas mileage and emissions are regulated like they were a truck. They are taxed, licensed and insured like they were a car. They have no operator, road or parking restrictions like a truck does.
      • That requirement alone forced the Station Wagon almost entirely out of the market

        Is that a true fact, or a truthy sounding one?

        I always got the impression the station wagon nearly disappeared because people started viewing them as clunky and boring and didn't want them.

        Now, the auto industry has never consulted me about trends, so I actually have no idea.

        Seems like everybody has a cross over or a hatchback these days. And I sill laugh my ass off when I see someone with a sedan or coupe who is trying to cra

        • That requirement alone forced the Station Wagon almost entirely out of the market

          Is that a true fact, or a truthy sounding one?

          Station Wagons were classed as cars SUVs as light trucks. So yes the cafe standards did kill them off. Yes it was a problem because they served a niche.

      • "Eliminate the SUV loophole and the big bloated turds would be gone quickly. Soccer moms ignoring the road because they're texting need to drive minivans with little engines, not pigiron."
        Just bought a 4-cyl mid-size SUV that gets twice the mileage as the 6-cyl minivan it replaces. That may be the exception rather than the rule, but I live in Utah, and there are a lot of fucking minivans here, and they all have big engines. Not every SUV is an Escalade or an H3.
      • The SUV loophole was that 'light sport utility vehicles' were exempt from the fleet average calculation, so the manufacturers sold the hell out of them.

        SUVs aren't exempt. They're classified as light trucks by CAFE, instead of as cars. The 2011 CAFE standard was 24.1 MPG for light trucks, 30.2 MPG for cars. (Which if you search for another post I'm about to make, isn't as big a difference as you'd think.)

        If you eliminated SUVs, most people who really want SUVs would probably just buy minivans or picku

      • by eples ( 239989 )

        Eliminate the SUV loophole and the big bloated turds would be gone quickly.

        Hmm, not exactly. If you look at the current Jeep lineup they are happy to put underpowered 4-cylinder engines into the low end of the line for each vehicle. Since they really suck to drive with the 4-cylinder it must be their way of getting to that fleet average mark.

      • Also to sell vettes and other crap.

        Actually, Corvettes get pretty decent fuel economy (almost 30 MPG highway), especially now that they've got cylinder deactivation. Between the low weight, low aerodynamic drag, and tall gearing, they've got almost all the right characteristics of an economy car. The only thing holding them back is the huge, sticky tires.

    • Tax gas and spend the proceeds on "green" R&D.

      Seems pretty rational to me. You could even just spend the proceeds on our deficit or even just lower taxes because of the revenue.

      The government doesn't even need to subsidize R&D spending if gasoline taxes made the price of gas reflect its true cost to society. $8/gallon gas would make our cars more efficient real quick. Obviously we wouldn't want to go to that level overnight because of its impact on the shipping industry, but over a decade or so our economy could shift to use more locally raised foo

  • 1000 times (Score:5, Insightful)

    by Anonymous Coward on Wednesday April 22, 2015 @10:50AM (#49528411)

    We've read this a 1000 times. Stupid people think prices will be low forever. A year later said people cry they are paying $250 a week for gas. Can't fix stupid.

    • Re:1000 times (Score:5, Informative)

      by ndavis ( 1499237 ) on Wednesday April 22, 2015 @10:54AM (#49528443)
      This is very true. As someone with a Ford Focus Electric many people keep telling me I made a bad decision because of cheap gas prices. I tell them I enjoy the ride and it is working out fine having no fuel expense and as my company has chargers I fill up for near $0 each month considering I hardly plus in at home. However these people are purchasing large SUVs will complain bitterly when/if gas prices go back up.
    • by Tablizer ( 95088 )

      Stupid people think prices will be low forever. A year later said people cry they are paying $250 a week...

      It gives them a reason to blame a hated politician or party (even though prices have been bouncing all over since the 70's).

    • Re: (Score:2, Interesting)

      by 0123456 ( 636235 )

      No, stupid people think that buying a $60k electric car to save money makes more sense than buying a $20k Civic.

      But it would appear that they've now realized what a load of hype electric cars were, and wised up.

    • by ksheff ( 2406 )
      Or they don't think that the price is going to be going back up that fast during the duration of their lease or loan and they don't want to pay the extra money for a vehicle that they will not recoup in fuel savings during that same period.
    • We've read this a 1000 times. Stupid people think prices will be low forever. A year later said people cry they are paying $250 a week for gas. Can't fix stupid.

      So what about people who buy that electric car and find out that their electric rate is going up? Not to mention that the electric car costs more per mile to drive over it's life and is less comfortable, less safe and limited in range.

      Personally, I'd advocate moving towards Natural Gas powered cars myself. It's cheap, it's US sourced, and the price is likely to be low for the next decade according to most knowledgeable individuals who project such things. It's the benefit of Fracking....

      • Well the $60K figure isn't fair- that's the (low end) cost of a Tesla, which is a genuinely nice car, something you might compare to a BMW. They also sell several electric cars in the $20k-$30k range - they're about as comfortable and safe as any other car in the price range.

  • by netsavior ( 627338 ) on Wednesday April 22, 2015 @10:51AM (#49528417)
    For most people, especially ones with NEW cars, the cost of fuel is such a small portion of TCO that gas mileage is almost inconsequential within reason. People get psychotic when gas swings one way or another because people are idiots, who cannot ignore the 20-80 dollars they spent today in favor of focusing on the 500 dollars they pay every month.
    • by LWATCDR ( 28044 ) on Wednesday April 22, 2015 @10:55AM (#49528453) Homepage Journal

      Because paying $540 dollars a month is better than paying $580 a month.
      The other fact is that pure gas cars are getting really good milage. The Mazda 6 is rated at 40mpg on the highway. The new CX-5 CUV is over 30mpg hwy.
      My Chevy Cruze is averaging over 33 mpg for me.
       

      • Re: (Score:2, Informative)

        gas cars are getting really good milage.

        Relative to what? A '98 Mercedes E-class gets 30 mpg on the highway, but that's still "good" for a small car in 2015? Meanwhile a diesel Fiat Panda had been getting 70+ mpg for like 20 years.

      • by serviscope_minor ( 664417 ) on Wednesday April 22, 2015 @11:33AM (#49528849) Journal

        The other fact is that pure gas cars are getting really good milage. The Mazda 6 is rated at 40mpg on the highway. The new CX-5 CUV is over 30mpg hwy.

        Those are highway mileages. Anything with regenerative breaking will beat pure gas cars around town where there's a significant amount of brakeing.

        • by LWATCDR ( 28044 )

          my commute is all freeway with almost no stop and go.
          Again this is for me personally.

    • I was going to say "These people are idiots" but yeah. They take a car that's going to run for another 5 years; trade it for a car that's going to cost $100/mo less in maintenance, $50/mo less in fuel; and take a 5 year extension of their car payment.
    • by tompaulco ( 629533 ) on Wednesday April 22, 2015 @11:17AM (#49528675) Homepage Journal

      For most people, especially ones with NEW cars, the cost of fuel is such a small portion of TCO that gas mileage is almost inconsequential within reason. People get psychotic when gas swings one way or another because people are idiots, who cannot ignore the 20-80 dollars they spent today in favor of focusing on the 500 dollars they pay every month.

      Maybe they shouldn't assume that fuel cost is the reason people got rid of their electrics. Maybe they got tired of the low range, or the length of recharge times, or the inability to haul large items (they are in for a surprise on how little you can put in an SUV, though). Maybe they got tired of having one car for fuel economy and one car for everything else.
      The article is trying to paint a picture that people who switch are shortsighted idiots, but there are many other far more likely reasons that people switched.
      It does make one feel better about one's own inferior intellect if one paints everybody else as an idiot.

      Slashdot Quote: The first version always gets thrown away.

    • by njnnja ( 2833511 )

      I once read a joke that if people were forced to spend 5 minutes a week, every week, staring at the price of yogurt in the supermarket, then we would all get upset when the price of yogurt went up. So it's not that gasoline is a huge part of the budget for a new car buyer, but it is an unavoidable reminder that gets thrown in their face each and every week that you are spending more and more money.

    • Comment removed based on user account deletion
  • Hybrid != EV (Score:4, Insightful)

    by zwede ( 1478355 ) on Wednesday April 22, 2015 @10:52AM (#49528421)
    I didn't see them breaking it down by make/model...

    An owner of a Lexus hybrid-SUV trading it in on a non-hybrid SUV is one thing.

    But I very much doubt that there's a line of Leaf or Tesla owners trading their EVs for SUVs.
    • But I very much doubt that there's a line of Leaf or Tesla owners trading their EVs for SUVs.

      Probably not Tesla, but Leaf owners tend to be younger, and many single. Many get married, have kids, and decide to move to an SUV. Sounds very plausible. I doubt it is fuel cost alone, but rather functionality and changing needs or desires as well.

      • I long for the day I can buy something like a leaf but with wife and three sons it'll have to be after the kids grow up and move out. I went from 2 door to 4 door to cross over with three row seating.

  • !switching back (Score:4, Insightful)

    by AmiMoJo ( 196126 ) on Wednesday April 22, 2015 @10:53AM (#49528441) Homepage Journal

    TFA is beyond dumb. It's not people switching back, it's people buying a second car for their household. Many people have one EV and one ICE car.

    EV sales are rising fast. Few people switch back after getting one and realizing how great they are, mostly because they did their homework and made sure it suited them before spending tens of thousands of dollars.

    • TFA is beyond dumb. It's not people switching back, it's people buying a second car for their household. Many people have one EV and one ICE car.

      This.

      Also, I have yet to see an EV or Hybrid which is suitable for a soccer mom.

      People should also realize that the yellow carpool stickers are no longer available for hybrids... to get the new white stickers, you have to be either a plug-in, hydrogen, or LNG fueled.

      • Err.. whut?

        There are lots of hybrid SUVs, from small Toyota Highlanders to the enormous Tahoe/Yukon. Lexus and Mercedes if you are into conspicuous consumption.
        Honda has the Odyssey.
        Chrysler will have a hybrid Minivan coming out next year.

        Now is the time to buy a EV/Hybrid, while the market is soft.

    • It's not people switching back, it's people buying a second car for their household.

      The numbers reported are based on trading in their EV for and SUV, a switch, not those that keep one and buy a second vehicle. You could be right, but you have no data to show that they own a second EV at the time of trade in.

    • Re:!switching back (Score:5, Insightful)

      by David_Hart ( 1184661 ) on Wednesday April 22, 2015 @11:09AM (#49528573)

      TFA is beyond dumb. It's not people switching back, it's people buying a second car for their household. Many people have one EV and one ICE car.

      EV sales are rising fast. Few people switch back after getting one and realizing how great they are, mostly because they did their homework and made sure it suited them before spending tens of thousands of dollars.

      Um, No.... From the article "about 22 percent of people who have traded in their hybrids and EVs in 2015 bought a new SUV". These are direct trade-ins, not the purchase of a second car.

      Life changes. People who are single or a couple who have smaller cars, no matter what type, will buy a bigger car when they have kids, get married, etc. I'm willing to bet that this explains a good percentage of this.

      Other explanations might include buying SUVs to tow new recreational toys such as a boats, snow mobiles, etc. There aren't many hybrids on the market that are set up for towing.

  • My Camry Hybrid is quieter, smoother, and has over 30 extra HP compared to the 4 cyl Camry. You don't ONLY get improved mileage from most hybrids. They should be comparing the cost of the hybrid vs. the V6 model when calculating years to make up cost (not a perfect comparison, but much closer). They are just skewing statistics...
    • My Camry Hybrid is quieter, smoother, and has over 30 extra HP compared to the 4 cyl Camry.

      What HP does it get compared to the 6 cylinder?

  • by mark_reh ( 2015546 ) on Wednesday April 22, 2015 @11:06AM (#49528553) Journal

    car is being repaired. Ridiculous! 20 MPG and every time I step on the brakes or the gas it rocks back and forth like a rocking chair. It seats about as many people as a sedan and can carry only slightly more junk than a sedan. Why do people want to drive these things? They aren't attractive, they don't stop/go fast, they can't carry much stuff. I don't get it.

    I don't understand why so many people want to drive pickups either. In a pickup you can only haul stuff you care about in decent weather. I get it if you're a farmer or ranch hand and need to haul messy stuff year round, but why would anyone else want to drive a truck? And why is it that the bigger the pickup, the greater the odds that they will back into parking spaces?

    • by magarity ( 164372 ) on Wednesday April 22, 2015 @11:11AM (#49528601)

      but why would anyone else want to drive a truck?

      So they can tell their friends they won't help them move.

    • Re: (Score:2, Insightful)

      Obviously, those choices are all better than your broken car in for repairs, at the moment.
    • Why do people want to drive these things? They aren't attractive, they don't stop/go fast, they can't carry much stuff.

      Can't speak for the pathfinder, but I have a 2015 Ford Explorer XLT & it rocks. We get a ton of snow in the winter, so AWD is a very nice convenience. Also, the height of the vehicle is helpful for seeing other traffic over snowbanks at intersections.

      The EcoBoost V6 has plenty of spunk -- enough that the local sheriff's office & the state police have some in their fleet [ford.com], and I have a ton of hauling space if I put down the 2nd & 3rd row seats. Right after we got it, we bought a new kitchen sink,

    • by Nidi62 ( 1525137 )

      I don't understand why so many people want to drive pickups either. In a pickup you can only haul stuff you care about in decent weather. I get it if you're a farmer or ranch hand and need to haul messy stuff year round, but why would anyone else want to drive a truck? And why is it that the bigger the pickup, the greater the odds that they will back into parking spaces?

      I used to drive a pickup with a foldable/removeable bed cover. It allowed me to carry more than I could in a SUV and allowed me to transport stuff in bad weather. It was very handy while I was in college (about 400 miles from where I lived) and whenI was moving around in grad school. My friends in grad school also solicited my help for moves several times as well.

    • I live four miles from a lake anything capable of towing a boat or getting me to a good fishing spot is nice.

  • by NotDrWho ( 3543773 ) on Wednesday April 22, 2015 @11:08AM (#49528569)

    Love,
    The Oil Industry

    P.S. We secretly own Whole Foods. You dumb fucks have been giving your money to us all along.

  • I'd guess at least part of the switch is from couples having families. If you're a single (or married) 20-something with a hot job making good bank, that fancy electric car is a huge status symbol. But five years later with a kid or two, and the thing is simply impractical.
  • by CohibaVancouver ( 864662 ) on Wednesday April 22, 2015 @11:11AM (#49528605)
    Where I live (Vancouver, Canada) the purchase of an electric car is never about savings over gas prices. Even here, where gas costs ~$1.25 CAD per liter and hydroelectric residential power costs $0.0797 CAD per kWh for first 1,350 kWh ($0.1195 CAD per kWh over the 1,350), with a car like the Nissan Leaf you'll never save enough over the life of the car in fuel costs to offset the higher price for the car.

    For the people I know with Leafs and Volts it's about doing their bit to reduce pollution and CO2 output, not saving money.
    • I was under the impression that the increased CO2 needs for manufacturing Leafs and Volts more than offset the small reduction in exhaust. Perhaps I'm wrong.
  • I recently had some extensive work done on my non-hybrid car, thankfully all under warranty. My car is vanilla gasoline engine with a manual gearbox. I was given exact same model car as a loaner but with a hybrid drive and CTV.

    Well, the hybrid had stop-and-go feature, had regenerative bakes and and new engine grill shutters for supposedly better highway mileage. Over a week of communing, it saved me about 5$ in gas. Underwhelming to say the least, especially when hybrid is at $5000 premium over my model.
  • I theorize that short-sided thinking has a lot to do with this. Majority of people don't seem to be great at abstract thinking to grasp long-term large-scale problems like fossil fuel resources or global climate changes. Any ideas on how to get more people to understand the importance of the larger picture outcomes of our choices?
  • SUVs aren't necessarily the huge behemoths they once were. The current big fad in SUV's is small crossovers. For example, the top-selling car in the US is the Honda CRV, an "SUV" that's something like a hatchback Civic with raised suspension. It gets 29mpg, which isn't too bad at all. There's a large number of these SUVs that get mileage in the upper 20s/gallon.

  • by Ryyuajnin ( 862754 ) * on Wednesday April 22, 2015 @11:21AM (#49528701)
    I don't care how cheep gas gets, Plenty of EV charging stations are 100% free. Last I checked, no one in my area was giving away free gas?

    Further, people are obviously uninformed or misled on how EV's are, in the most important ways, superior automobiles for the daily use:

    1) ZERO MAINTENANCE (except for breaks & tires, wipers/fluid)
    2) Vastly fewer points of failure - NO: fuel pumps, alternators, starters, automatic transmission(unless you count a 1 speed transmission), main seals, mufflers, fuel injectors, heater cores, etc., etc...
    3) Electricity is far cheaper than any gas any where every day.
    4) Used EV's are SUPER CHEAP right now - http://goo.gl/ZAJV81 [goo.gl]
    5) EV's are super quiet, peaceful, meditative.
  • by NoNeeeed ( 157503 ) <slash@@@paulleader...co...uk> on Wednesday April 22, 2015 @11:21AM (#49528711)

    1) Combine two things that are sort of similar but not really - e.g. EVs and hybrids or tablets and e-ink e-readers
    2) Make a statistical claim about the combined group - 'People are leaving EVs and hybrids", "Tablets and E-readers bad for sleep/eyes"
    3) Forget to mention one of the two in the headline - 'People dump EVs', 'E-readers bad for sleep/eyes"

    By combining the two, this report doesn't really tell us anything useful. I'd love to know the different rates of people abandoning EV or hybrids, as I think they are two very different propositions.

    Hybrids, at the end of the day, are simply a different way of building efficient petrol/diesel powered cars. From what I've heard that efficiency has been a lot less in real life, with milage claims for things like the Prius not really living up to the hype. With ever more efficient petrol engines on the market, and gas prices so low, the efficiency improvements have to be pretty significant to make a big difference and to offset the higher cost of buying many hybrids.

    EVs on the other hand are a totally different beast, and the reasons people might give up on them are different. Are people buying EVs and then finding range is more of a problem than they thought? Did they have problems finding charing points? Was overnight, at-home charging not good enough for them? Etc, etc.

    In addition, this report talks about the number of people who are trading in their EVs/Hybrids for something else. But that doesn't really tell us anything about how much people like EVs and Hybrids as it only includes people who are switching. It doesn't provide any analysis of how many people are keeping their EVs for longer.

    What's most annoying is that there are genuinely interesting questions to be asking about the EV and hybrid market, but this data isn't really answering any of them well.

  • I will not buy a new car unless it's fully electric. I made that vow when I was first able to drive, and have bought used ever since. My car has only twice been made in the same decade I live in, and I'm fifty years old. I've been able to afford a new car for some time, but not a new electric one... yet.

  • I am moving out of the country and I was trying to sell my smart ForTwo. Then I realized there was no market for a gas efficient commuter car.

    CarMax offered me a whopping $3700 under Edmonds trade in price and $6200 under dealer retail price. Obviously CarMax thought this car would be hard to sell.

  • I drive 40 miles each way on my commute. Up until September of last year I was driving a paid off 2006 Tundra, averaged probably 17mpg. While gas was high I was spending $75-100 a week. In September I traded it in and got a new Focus which averages around 33mpg. It now costs me about $20 to fill up, and I use roughly $25 worth of gas a week. I went from spending $100 a week to $100 a month on gas, and the savings more than cover the monthly payment ($125 a month for 36 months). Why spend significantly
  • Lets almost double that gas price and assume that for some crazy reason US production drops drastically ignoring that as oil price rises incentives for drilling and exploration increase as well. Even then is it really worth it if you don't care about "green" creds? You end up with a more complex vehicle which I assume increases the cost of maintenance especially if you're looking at keeping it a minimum of 5+ years to recoup your cost with gas savings.. It just doesn't seem to make sense.
  • We are a foolish nation of consumers who can't seem to think past tomorrow. I can't wait for the economic collapse that follows.

    People are going to lock themselves into large vehicles again, and when the prices adjust accordingly, they won't be able to pay their bills and we will see 2008/2009 all over again on a smaller scale. Please oh please, let people not be shocked by this. I know I won't be.

  • by erp_consultant ( 2614861 ) on Wednesday April 22, 2015 @11:50AM (#49529027)

    is that Americans will always drive big cars and trucks. We like big roads and wide open spaces. We like the space and utility that a truck offers. We like the feeling of security that driving a big hulking SUV offers.

    Hybrids and electrics are a nice idea but for many people they are wholly impractical. Too small, too expensive compared to a gas powered equivalent, limited hauling capability. The high mileage ratings are for city driving. Once you get out on the freeway the advantage is lessened. For a lot of Americans, their daily commute is on the freeway.

    Frankly, if I was looking for a vehicle that got great gas mileage I would buy a diesel. Better highway mileage, less complex than an hybrid, proven long term reliability.

  • by MitchDev ( 2526834 ) on Wednesday April 22, 2015 @11:50AM (#49529029)

    That translates out to:

    "Given the option, people will buy the vehicle they actually want, rather than settling for for electric/alt-fuel vehicles."

  • I'm driving a Chevy Traverse SUV as a rental while my car is in the shop, and the handling is crap, it's a pain to move and park and I can't wait to get rid of it and get my car back!

    It's mind blowing that these lumbering beasts are so popular. Give me a nimble sporty car any day!

  • by Solandri ( 704621 ) on Wednesday April 22, 2015 @11:57AM (#49529103)
    There's another reason. There are a lot more hybrid, diesel, and efficient trucks and SUVs becoming available. Most Americans' sense of the fuel efficiency of vehicles is distorted because it's measured in MPG. MPG is actually the inverse of fuel economy. Consequently the amount of fuel saved by vehicles like the Prius is exaggerated.

    Here are the EPA figures [fueleconomy.gov] for a 2004 3L 4WD Toyota Highlander, a 2015 3L 4WD Toyota Highlander Hybrid, and a 2015 Prius. Say you'd previously owned the 2004 Highlander and were looking to replace it. If you looked only at MPG, you'd think the Prius saves you a lot more gas than the Highlander Hybrid. The Prius gets 31 more MPG while the Highlander Hybrid only gets 9 more MPG.

    But MPG is the inverse of fuel economy. Scroll down to "Annual Fuel Cost". The 2004 Highlander is estimated to cost $1900/yr in fuel. The Highlander Hybrid $1300/yr. The Prius $700/yr. In other words, switching to the Highlander Hybrid saves you $600/yr. Switching to the Prius saves you $1200/yr. The Highlander Hybrid gives you 50% the fuel savings of a Prius despite "only" getting a 9 MPG improvement vs 31 MPG improvement. How can this be? Because MPG is the inverse of fuel economy. Every time you double MPG, you save half the fuel you did in the previous doubling.

    A lot of people laughed when hybrid trucks and SUVs first came out. If you want to save gas with a hybrid, why are you buying a big truck instead of an econobox like the Prius? But they were being deceived by MPG being the inverse of fuel consumption. If we as a country want to reduce fuel consumption, it's actually the low MPG vehicles like trucks and SUVs whose fuel economy you want to improve first by hybrid-izing them. They're the ones burning a disproportionately large amount of fuel, so improving their mileage first will save more fuel. Economy cars already burn so little fuel that making them a hybrid gets you little improvement. e.g. Dropping a hybrid in a 35 MPG economy car to get 50 MPG only saves you $350/yr by EPA estimates. While dropping the hybrid in a 19 MPG SUV to get 28 MPG saves you $600/yr. In other words, each SUV-buyer you can convince to buy a hybrid SUV instead saves nearly twice as much fuel as each environmentalist you convince to switch from their already-efficient car to a Prius.

    If we really want to save gas, we should be concentrating on ways to improve the mileage of pickup trucks, SUVs, minivans, and tractor trailers (actually most of their cargo should be shifted to trains, but that's another argument). The rest of the world uses liters/100 km to avoid this misconception about fuel economy.
  • by clong83 ( 1468431 ) on Wednesday April 22, 2015 @12:13PM (#49529271)
    My immediate thought is that perhaps the 1st gen users are just cycling to their next car? Why do we assume that people will always buy the exact same type of car again? THat actually seems unreasonable to me... Hybrids and EVs tend to be smaller vehicles, and there is some natural tendency to get something "different" when you get a new car. How many people who last owned a compact car bought the same class of vehicle again? How many went on to buy SUVs/trucks? That is important info if we want to make a proper comparison.

    Anecdotal example: I drive a pickup truck, and I have owned it for 11 years. It is on its way out soon, and I can't wait to get a small car as I am tired of having something that costs so much to fill up, has bad traction on snow/ice, and is hard to navigate in tight parking lots. But then maybe after xx years in a compact, I'll buy another truck...
  • by codealot ( 140672 ) on Wednesday April 22, 2015 @02:43PM (#49530723)

    The actual article is titled "Hybrid and Electric Vehicles Struggle to Maintain Owner Loyalty". Shame on Slashdot for not getting even the title correct, since it has little bearing on electric vehicles.

    The example in the article claims a 10-year payback at current fuel prices for a Toyota Camry hybrid. It doesn't say how many miles/year that is based on but I've tried to recreate the calculation, and I think it must have been 13,000 miles/year driving, which is far fewer than some people drive. And this is based on 41 MPG combined for the hybrid model compared to 28 MPG for the standard Camry, a difference of just 13. (This gap widens to 18 if you do mostly city driving.)

    And worse, no comparable example is quoted for electric vehicles, which can have an effective MPG in triple digits. Given that some EV's are not much more than similar hybrids in cost these days, EV's offer a far better value proposition. Pure hybrids aren't that attractive for either environmental or cost reasons, given that the mileage improvements are modest over their standard counterparts. I wouldn't be surprised if some hybrid owners were trading in for SUV's, but I'd also expect to see hybrid owners trading for pure EV's. Hybrids without charging ability or significant battery storage are going to get squeezed out of the market.

    (Disclaimer: I drive a Chevy Volt, and I love my car.)

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