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Jeff Bezos: AWS Will Break $10 Billion This Year (windowsitpro.com) 97

v3rgEz writes: Jeff Bezos is bullish on the cloud, pegging AWS' sales for this year at $10 billion in a recent letter to shareholders. But he said there was a surprising source of that success: The company's willingness to fail. That said, with AWS now spanning 70 different services, Amazon can afford to fail some as long as few, like EC2 and S3, keep winning. Bezos wrote: "One area where I think we are especially distinctive is failure. I believe we are the best place in the world to fail (we have plenty of practice!), and failure and invention are inseparable twins. To invent you have to experiment, and if you know in advance that it's going to work, it's not an experiment. Most large organizations embrace the idea of invention, but are not willing to suffer the string of failed experiments necessary to get there."
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Jeff Bezos: AWS Will Break $10 Billion This Year

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  • Amazon seems to have a great culture for innovation.
    Where are my delivery drones and flying cars?

    • by Epeeist ( 2682 )

      Amazon seems to have a great culture for innovation.

      They seem to have some excellent tax lawyers as well.

    • Where are my delivery drones and flying cars?

      That was what he meant about having a lot of practice failing.

      • by lgw ( 121541 )

        Where are my delivery drones and flying cars?

        That was what he meant about having a lot of practice failing.

        ... or falling, as the case may be.

    • I got the drone. I thought I could keep it! Send a flying car if you want it back.
  • by justcauseisjustthat ( 1150803 ) on Friday April 08, 2016 @02:25AM (#51866165)
    I wonder if the AWS business will actually lead Amazon to make a profit, I've read so much about how they never make a profit in the news, I seriously wonder if this could be the tipping point (product).
    • by jandersen ( 462034 ) on Friday April 08, 2016 @03:08AM (#51866275)

      I wonder if the AWS business will actually lead Amazon to make a profit, I've read so much about how they never make a profit in the news, I seriously wonder if this could be the tipping point (product).

      Perhaps what we are talking about here is TAXABLE profit? Amazon, among others, have been in the news for not paying any tax due to what can best be described as trickery. Legal, but not morally right - in the sense that if you benefit (eg. as in making money) from a nation or other group of entities, then it is right that you pay for it to that nation/group of entities. Actually, this is a basic principle in business; there wouldn't be any business, if only one side profited from the relationship.

      • by jabuzz ( 182671 ) on Friday April 08, 2016 @06:57AM (#51866851) Homepage

        Amazon has generally not being paying much tax because it reinvests much if not all of it's profits back into the business to grow it. Nothing even morally wrong about reinvesting "profits" back into the business and thus not paying tax on them. Governments in general even encourage this behaviour.

        What is odd about Amazon is that they have been doing this now for 20 years.

        • by DogDude ( 805747 )
          Amazon has generally not being paying much tax because it reinvests much if not all of it's profits back into the business to grow it. Nothing even morally wrong about reinvesting "profits" back into the business and thus not paying tax on them. Governments in general even encourage this behaviour.

          Not completely true.

          The US government, at least, taxes any regular businesses on their profit as income, *even if it's reinvested back in the form of assets.

          Amazon really isn't profitable. How do you think
          • Amazon really isn't profitable. How do you think that they can afford to sell stuff cheaper than everybody else and eat the shipping?

            At least here in Europe they used to do it by not paying any VAT to the state and charging you for it nonetheless. Something a physical store can't do.

        • Doesn't Amazon pay plenty of taxes directly via social security contributions, unemployment insurance and indirectly via their workers' income taxes?
        • Dunno about Amazon. But Apple... remember that loan against assets outside the US to distribute a dividend to investors a couple of years back? Just so they could get off paying taxes from profits and still distribute a dividend.

        • Amazon or any other big corporation does not pay taxes is a misnomer.

          Such organization choose to spend this money in investment or give their money to employees as salaries and bonuses, amazon has 222K employees, if it spends half of this 10billion in employee salaries and bonuses, billions just went in taxes to the government.

      • by sjbe ( 173966 ) on Friday April 08, 2016 @07:17AM (#51866921)

        Perhaps what we are talking about here is TAXABLE profit? Amazon, among others, have been in the news for not paying any tax due to what can best be described as trickery.

        Amazon doesn't pay a lot of tax primarily because they don't make a lot of profit. While they definitely do some of the same shenanigans other multi-nationals engage in (and shame on them for that), Amazon doesn't do as much of it because they don't need to. They only get taxed on their profits which have been generally scant. They generate a lot of revenue but their margins aren't huge and they re-invest much of that into the company or in building products to get bigger and their primary business (online sales) isn't a fat margin business to begin with.

        Unlike companies like Apple which generate huge profits but then route it through countries with low tax obligations or other overly clever schemes, Amazon just generates minimal profits by actually investing in their business. As such they don't pay a lot of tax mostly for a reason I can actually get behind - building their business. Believe me I'm hugely against companies that dodge taxes through financial engineering but I think as a general proposition there are better companies to target tax dodging rage against at the moment than Amazon.

        It wouldn't surprise me if in time AWS turned into the real profit center for Amazon. I think the same thought has occurred to Amazon management

      • What is this untaxed corporate profit you speak of? I know individuals can sometimes have untaxed capital gains (for example, the first $250,000 in profit on sale of your primary residence), but corporations? All profits are taxed. They may not be taxed in a foreign jurisdiction (other than the taxes the local jurisdiction applies, which to the best of my knowledge is always greater than zero), but when repatriated those profits are taxed at the full rate.
      • Re: (Score:3, Insightful)

        by roman_mir ( 125474 )

        So you find it to be 'trickery' to reinvest all profits to build more products, services, investment opportunities, even bloody jobs as opposed to using them to buy larger yachts? Interesting definition of 'trickery'.

      • You don't make money "from a nation". You provide a product that is more valuable to people than the money they give you for the product. Both sides come away from the transaction enriched. You idiots act like what amazon is doing is something to be punished.

      • What is "morally wrong" about choosing not to put money in the bank, and instead using any and all revenue for expenses, lowering costs, expanding business, and R&D?

        That's just called making a business decision, and morality has the square root of jack shit to do with it.

        • "and morality has the square root of jack shit to do with it." and that is exactly the problem.

          • I really don't understand this idea that it's morally wrong to choose to reinvest profits into the business, rather than stuff it in a mattress or bank account. Growth is a good thing - it increases employment, and through that increases taxes paid, which increases the amounts of money available to build infrastructure, and help people that need it. You know, like Social Security, which is entirely funded by payroll tax.

            Where did this idea come from that a successful business that chooses to expand is som

      • by jdavidb ( 449077 )
        Actually, tax avoidance is completely morally right. I hope eventually to live in a time of 100% tax avoidance. I don't believe we benefit from the parasitical government-governed relationship, but I'd be very happy to see that tested in an environment of completely freedom by letting each individual decide if they want to maintain it or not.
      • by tnk1 ( 899206 )

        Really? Taxes are now about morality? I rather thought that taxes were about the people with guns who would come to repossess my house if I didn't pay them.

        Yeah, I get that infrastructure improvements and all of that are paid for by taxes. I also note that our budget in the US is trillions of dollars a year, which dwarfs any company that I am aware of anywhere. Perhaps instead of setting up a pseudo-statist religion about paying taxes, we should maybe get the government to somehow make use of the incred

        • Really? Taxes are now about morality? I rather thought that taxes were about the people with guns who would come to repossess my house if I didn't pay them.

          It is like this: As you say yourself, certain things are paid for via the taxes, such as infrastructure, and in many countries also education and healthcare. If you don't pay tax, but still benefit from these things, then you are essentially freeloading; whether that is immoral or not is perhaps worth discussing, but while you can excuse those who genuinely can't find the means to pay tax - for example because they are unimployed - I don't think you can excuse people who could easily afford to pay, but are

    • by AmiMoJo ( 196126 ) on Friday April 08, 2016 @06:39AM (#51866779) Homepage Journal

      There is a lot of pressure on their pricing, especially the storage side. Google is cheaper and Nearline is much faster (3 seconds) than Amazon's Glacier product (1 hour). Microsoft are fairly competitive too, and the integration with Visual Studio and .NET makes their platform quite attractive to many people.

      Could be a while before they make any money. It's a new, rapidly developing market and they have some big competitors.

  • It's one thing if Bezos is ok with the company failing for a strategic product/service that was his decision. I wonder if he's as forgiving when the failure rests on someone else within the company.
    • It's one thing if Bezos is ok with the company failing for a strategic product/service that was his decision. I wonder if he's as forgiving when the failure rests on someone else within the company.

      I would guess it depends how you fail. Trying something new to see if it has potential and failing is very different from nit being able to do the job. 3M used (still does?) to let employees spend some percentage of time and money on ideas that interested them; the theory was if only a small percentage were successful it still was a good bet and a failure in one area could turn out to be wildly successful in another. Post it notes came from a failed attempt to make a super strong adhesive and Scotch Brite r

  • by edittard ( 805475 ) on Friday April 08, 2016 @02:51AM (#51866223)

    Amazon can afford to fail some as long as few, like EC2 and S3, keep winning

    That should be "a few".

    A seemingly minor omission but it almost reverses the meaning.

    • To the grammar police who are often upset, I'd like to send you a big HUG and state "There, Their, they're" (fair use/archived/borrowed from karengibbs.com.au)
    • by Anonymous Coward

      https://science.slashdot.org/story/16/03/31/1644258/study-says-people-who-continually-point-out-typos-are-jerks

    • That should be "a few".

      A seemingly minor omission but it almost reverses the meaning.

      Really?! I got the jist just fine. You must be one of those 'jerks' mentioned in a recent Slashdotted story about people that correct/complain about typos.

  • It's a message to the whole company not just the shareholders.
    If you have a corporate culture of arse covering no one takes risks and failures are exploited for personal gain and power building.
    You end up with a stagnant enterprise caused by internal fragmentation.

    To change that you need a system where everyone buys into a gamble, or commercial sandbox.
    From the very top of the organisation it is understood that no blame will be used against anyone.
    Instead failure is reviewed and mined for data at every leve

  • by Hognoxious ( 631665 ) on Friday April 08, 2016 @03:47AM (#51866367) Homepage Journal

    $10 billion is sales is easy. Buy stuff worth $12.5 billion and sell it at 20% off.

    • by Alomex ( 148003 )

      I'm rather critical of Amazon's sales model, since they seem unable to turn a profit in their retail arm. However their margins in AWS are huge. Lately, Microsoft and Google have turned up the pressure, so their AWS margins might go down a bit, but they will still be around 20%.

  • Am I alone in wondering what the heck this article is about?
    • by Anonymous Coward

      Given that Amazon's AWS is the greatest (as in size and well-knownness) pioneer of cloud infrastructure-as-a-service and other -as-a-service things, you probably are not in the target audience of this article. It would be a bit like explaining what SystemD is in every article about it.

    • Am I alone in wondering what the heck this article is about?

      Here on slashdot? Yeah pretty much...

    • Nobody touch it! It's scared, can't you see? It doesn't seem to understand us.... I wonder how it got here? Someone call the police, it probably left it's cave in the mountains to find food.... poor thing...

  • Comment removed based on user account deletion
    • by Anonymous Coward

      If anything, desktop market will only get worse... as in "Why the hell I would buy a desktop if a thin computing client is vastly cheaper?"

      This will probably lead to desktop market collapse, not cheaper "fast hot desktop".

  • Jeff Bezos: "Do you know who I am? I'm the man that's gonna burn your house down. WITH THE LEMONS!"
  • Has amazon made any profits yet?
  • Subject line reads very different if you remove the dollar sign.

  • Most large organizations embrace the idea of invention, but are not willing to suffer the string of failed experiments necessary to get there.

    In my experience, I would have to agree. The companies where I've worked embrace the idea of making money in a world of slim margins. Lower level management says "give me base hits" but the executive level needs every hit to be an out-of-the-park home run. Fail on your own time dammit. We're paying you to be successful.

A committee takes root and grows, it flowers, wilts and dies, scattering the seed from which other committees will bloom. -- Parkinson

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