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Businesses The Almighty Buck Transportation

Uber Loses At Least $1.2 Billion In First Half of 2016 (bloomberg.com) 156

An anonymous reader writes: The ride-hailing giant Uber Technologies Inc. is not a public company, but every three months, dozens of shareholders get on a conference call to hear the latest details on its business performance from its head of finance, Gautam Gupta. On Friday, Gupta told investors that Uber's losses mounted in the second quarter. Even in the U.S., where Uber had turned a profit during its first quarter, the company was once again losing money. In the first quarter of this year, Uber lost about $520 million before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization, according to people familiar with the matter. In the second quarter the losses significantly exceeded $750 million, including a roughly $100 million shortfall in the U.S., those people said. That means Uber's losses in the first half of 2016 totalled at least $1.27 billion. "It's hardly rare for companies to lose large sums of money as they try to build significant markets and battle for market share," said Joe Grundfest, professor of law and business at Stanford. "The interesting challenge is for them to turn the corner to become profitable, cash-flow-positive entities."
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Uber Loses At Least $1.2 Billion In First Half of 2016

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  • Offtopic (Score:5, Interesting)

    by I4ko ( 695382 ) on Thursday August 25, 2016 @10:35AM (#52769057)
    How is this a related link "10 Confirmed Dead In Shooting at Oregon's Umpqua Community College" to every article I look at, even this one?
    • by Cigarra ( 652458 )
      Yes, thank you! I though it only happened to me.
    • Because both articles have numbers in the title.
    • by Quirkz ( 1206400 )

      I've been meaning to mention that, too. The related articles seem to have been frozen/broken ages ago. I think it's based on some function of high post count (those are all around 1000 comments). Might be vaguely related to topic, too. On a lot of articles the "Kentucky man shoots down drone" article shows up as top recommendation.

      Regardless, that feature badly needs some attention.

    • Agreed. I also see:

      10 Confirmed Dead In Shooting at Oregon's Umpqua Community College
      VC, Entrepreneur Says Basic Income Would Work Even If 90% People 'Smoked Pot' and Didn't Work
      Yelp Employee Posts Open Letter About Cost Of Living And Low Wages, Gets Fired
      Universal Basic Income Programs Arrive
      Explosions and Multiple Shootings In Paris, Possible Hostages

      Linked to virtually every story.
      • by I4ko ( 695382 )
        I also see a +1 score added to each of mine comments when viewing the threads as apposed to what I see when I go in my profile.
        • by Calydor ( 739835 )

          Yes, that is a standard setting.

        • I also see a +1 score added to each of mine comments when viewing the threads as apposed to what I see when I go in my profile.

          You can turn off the +1 karma bonus in your account settings. At least the option was there the last time I looked.

          • by I4ko ( 695382 )
            I don't think it is the karma bonus. For example when I posted this, it showed that my original post was +5. But when viewed from my profile of from another device it was +4. I consistently see my posts at point higher in a thread than what I see them in my profile or on another device
            • by Anonymous Coward

              funny, when I look at it, it says -1 Troll

            • If you have high karma, your posts start at +2 instead of the normal +1 for logged in users.

              Most people will stop modding a post up when it has 5 points. That 5-point threshold represents a net +3 moderation above your starting value.

              Your profile page only adjusts your +3 moderation with the baseline +1 value for being logged in.

              If you receive excessive positive moderation, that post can show as +5 on your user page, but I expect this to be uncommon.

    • by Ziktar ( 196669 )

      Worse than just that, the subject is "You may like to read" ... "10 Confirmed Dead."

      Even if these articles were related, I certainly would not like to read that 10 people were confirmed dead.

    • The stories aren't related. My educated guess is that the promoted articles are the ones with the highest amount of posts or are the "most engaging" as determined by user up and down votes. The number of people responding to slashdot stories has plummeted so dramatically in the past year or so that I think that the powers that be feel they are better off promoting generic stories that mathematically qualify as "what the people want" than creating some sort of metadata-driven recommendations consumers "shoul
  • Worked for Amazon. (Score:5, Insightful)

    by 0100010001010011 ( 652467 ) on Thursday August 25, 2016 @10:39AM (#52769077)

    "It's hardly rare for companies to lose large sums of money as they try to build significant markets and battle for market share,"

    How long did Amazon lose money? Uber's just collecting data until they can get rid of the drivers and their cars and move to their own self driven vehicles using the infrastructure they're building now.

    • by ledow ( 319597 ) on Thursday August 25, 2016 @10:46AM (#52769135) Homepage

      "Amazon's initial business plan was unusual; it did not expect to make a profit for four to five years. This "slow" growth caused stockholders to complain about the company not reaching profitability fast enough to justify investing in, or to even survive in the long-term. ... It finally turned its first profit in the fourth quarter of 2001: $5 million"

      Seven years it took to hit profit, but they knew that and said it would be like that all along.

      I suspect that Amazon's turnover and revenue were significantly higher than anything Uber's ever seen, and I suspect they never lost $1.2bn at any stage of their inception.

      It was also - as stated - highly unusual.

      • by jellomizer ( 103300 ) on Thursday August 25, 2016 @11:14AM (#52769341)

        Also unlike many of its Late 1990's .COM counterparts when it started Amazon had a business plan, that sold stuff not shares. They knew enough to price under the Brick and Mortar competition without any sustainable plan. Its prices and products were based on the cost it will be after they had completed their infrastructure. So while they were selling at a loss for a while, once the infrastructure was in place then they can make profit without having to change their competitivity.

        Most of the other .COM plan was based on the idea if they sell at a low enough price then their suppliers will start giving them bulk discount... However with too much competition all trying to undercut themselves in prices they couldn't get enough traction to make it worth the suppliers effort to give them bulk pricing.

      • by Anonymous Coward

        Wat?

        http://www.wikinvest.com/stock... [wikinvest.com]

        Amazon ran a deficit of far beyond 1.2 billion, for a relatively long time. The lessons of the 90's have already been forgotten, as predicted.

        • That does not say how long it took for them to get that deficit. We are talking about losing $1.2 billion in six months here.

          • HInt on what to look for:

            How much money did the actual drivers make/lose?
            How much did the Uber Execs give themselves as huge raises?

            I think you'll find the loss somewhere on the exec side...

      • "Amazon's initial business plan was unusual; it did not expect to make a profit for four to five years. This "slow" growth caused stockholders to complain about the company not reaching profitability fast enough to justify investing in, or to even survive in the long-term. ... It finally turned its first profit in the fourth quarter of 2001: $5 million"

        Seven years it took to hit profit, but they knew that and said it would be like that all along.

        I suspect that Amazon's turnover and revenue were significantly higher than anything Uber's ever seen, and I suspect they never lost $1.2bn at any stage of their inception.

        It was also - as stated - highly unusual.

        How much of that 1.2billion were director salaries and initial owners (Pres, CFO, CEO, etc.) of course, no dividends. It does require large data centers to manage Uber, but these centers need only be regionalized, say one center for each timezone or 15 million people population, with the neighbouring centre serving as a backup-recovery role, if needed.
        Very few people want autonomous vehicles. If they did, municipal bus companies would be a thriving business.

    • by Luthair ( 847766 )
      I pointed this out last time it was brought up... Amazon had huge capital expenditures in goods and warehouses. Uber's business model should dictate it needs nothing beyond a handful of servers and headquarters. Heck, their software requirements are even far less than something like Amazon.
      • Uber's business model should dictate it needs nothing beyond a handful of servers and headquarters.

        Not true moving forward, assuming they will own the self-driving cars they use.

      • by Anonymous Coward

        I pointed this out last time it was brought up... Amazon had huge capital expenditures in goods and warehouses. Uber's business model should dictate it needs nothing beyond a handful of servers and headquarters. Heck, their software requirements are even far less than something like Amazon.

        Uber has nothing to do with ride sharing whatsoever. Uber exists to monopolize self-driving taxis, they spend money to build up a user base temporarily utilizing drivers to fill the role. Drivers have minimum costs they don't pass on to the riders specifically to build up a name and drive the existing taxi services out of business while waiting on self driving cars. Once the technology is in place and functional for self driving cars they will make a profit pretty much equal to the entire taxi industry b

        • Yup. Uber's deficits serve purely to push everyone else out of the marketplace by offering well-below-market priced services. Its working in a number of places too.

      • Sure, from a technical perspective you could probably run Uber off a small server farm*. But, you forgot about all the lawyers, lobbyists, and canvassers needed to sway local populations and politicians to change the laws to make Uber legal. And the subsidies to drivers so they can undercut their competition's prices.

        *Though I doubt the Uber developers architected for performance (when you have money, you hardware looks cheap) and it's probably running on a few thousand nodes on some cloud service somewhere

        • by AvitarX ( 172628 )

          When I first used Google Maps it was mind blowing.

          Not because I thought they invented it, but because I could zoom in and out and pan far quicker.

          I don't think google pretended they invented mapping, they made it awesome.

    • Re: (Score:3, Informative)

      by Anonymous Coward

      If their goal is to collect data for autonomous car research they're doing a piss poor job of it. "Comma.AI" has an open source dataset published and I KNOW it didn't cost them $1 billion dollars to make.

      The future of autonomous vehicles is doing more training in video games.

      Right now, training a basic convolution neural network on ImageNet requires 8-12GB of GPU memory. That's a $1200 investment to get your feet wet!

      256x256x3 tensors are NOTHING compared to the 1080p-4K images which are trivial to collect

    • by Anonymous Coward

      Others have compared Uber to Amazon, but Amazon had real, huge cost drivers: They needed stocks, warehouses and logistics. Even so, and even given their aggressive growth, they never lost this much money - I think the record was around $1 billion in one year. Uber is purely a service, with essentially no capital costs and no logistical infrastructure. They are an app and a money conduit. How can they lose $1.2 billion in six months?!

      They attribute the losses to subsidizing drivers, i.e., paying drivers more

      • Uber was supposed to be all about UberBLACK. They only started UberX later. Even Amazon looks more like eBay than a store these days...

    • by slack_justyb ( 862874 ) on Thursday August 25, 2016 @12:08PM (#52769803)

      get rid of the drivers and their cars and move to their own self driven vehicles

      This is the thing that a lot of people quote as being the thing that will help Uber turn the corner but if anything it'll make turning a profit that much more difficult. As it currently stands Uber is deferring a lot of business costs to drivers. Things like equipment, insurance, fuel, repair, and so on. When they have their own fleet of self driving cars, they take on all of those things that they haven't been paying for. Not only that, depending on the regulation a state/city might have for self driving cars, there might be a very high cost associated with self driving taxis. Yes, Philadelphia is all too happy to jump on, but that's because of the novelty. Years from now when it goes mundane, I'm pretty sure governments will be less affable to companies wanting to have a lot of self driving autos crowding their streets wearing down their roads. Switching over to self driving isn't going to be this panacea that allows them to go crazy insane profitable, there's a lot of costs involved and Uber will have to switch (or pivot since that's the fun word this season) from being just a purely service based company to a more complex company altogether. Pair with that, the ever evolving attitude of governments that will ultimately wane as time marches on, with ever increasing expectations from locals. If they don't have that mental change happen early in the game as they go self driving, they won't last long. I've seen tons of companies try automation and them not fully understanding what they're getting into is a killer (worst case)/hindrance (best case) for most of them.

      I'll add this, what Uber wants to do is of a scale that I've never dealt with personally, so something this large might have totally different challenges and I'm just talking out my butt. So that said, take all the above with grains of salt. But I do think that those are rationale challenges that they're going to run into down the road which will prevent them from being insta-profitable the second a robot hits the street.

    • by Dunbal ( 464142 ) *

      And they will finance those self driving vehicles with their mountain of debt and excellent lack of credit rating.

      I like Uber. But this seriously reminds me of the DotCom days. The usual business formula is to keep income GREATER than expenses.

  • by Anonymous Coward on Thursday August 25, 2016 @10:40AM (#52769091)

    They are in a market where the bar is so low that anyone with a car and access to craigslist can set themselves up as a ride-hailing business. Apparently you don't need commercial license, vehicle inspections, or liability insurance. They are nothing but a 99 cent app and a marketing department - no special sauce.

    • by fubarrr ( 884157 ) on Thursday August 25, 2016 @11:02AM (#52769237)
      At least, they need to stop letting people to give free ride codes to themselves. In Russia, we coined a word "Uberist" for people who chain Uber promo codes or ride and hail themselves from the second phone.
    • But will they ever be profitable?

      When they switch to driverless cars.

    • by thegarbz ( 1787294 ) on Thursday August 25, 2016 @01:09PM (#52770345)

      They are in a market where the bar is so low that anyone with a car and access to craigslist can set themselves up as a ride-hailing business

      Except for that nasty thing called customers. The bar may look low, but when you're one person with a car and an app no one knows about, good luck competing with Uber.

  • by UnknownSoldier ( 67820 ) on Thursday August 25, 2016 @10:47AM (#52769141)

    As the summary notes, breaking into an existing entrenched market is extremely expensive.

    Especially when you're trying to upset the status quo.

    We'll see if Uber is still around in 5 years.

    • Re: (Score:2, Informative)

      by Anonymous Coward

      It was a lot more than that. The figures vary but this article puts the loss on the original Xbox at $5-7billion:

      http://n4g.com/news/1789459/former-xbox-head-says-original-xbox-lost-between-5-billion-and-7-billion

      They then launched the 360 and immediately had to allocate $1billion to fixing units that had RROD.

  • I would invest (Score:2, Flamebait)

    I would still love to be one of those private investors. Uber is going to be huge. It already is. Although Slashdotters like to whine about it, Uber has improved taxi service for the common person. Yes, Uber is a taxi service. And yes, it is cleaner, safer, more efficient and cheaper than other taxi services. And stop the bullshit claim that the drivers are getting ripped off: if that were true then they wouldn't be doing it. Uber drivers aren't idiots.
    • Re:I would invest (Score:5, Insightful)

      by rockmuelle ( 575982 ) on Thursday August 25, 2016 @11:11AM (#52769317)

      Webvan was great. So was Pets.com. So is Uber.

      Unfortunately, none of those companies had/have a chance without investor money to subsidize their services. Once forced to actually pay their costs, they will have no choice but to raise their rates or go out of business. With Webvan and Pets.com, customers left when the rates went up. Same will happen with Uber.

      That said, I'm happy to spend investor's money to save a buck. Use it while it's there!

      -Chris

      • Webvan was great. So was Pets.com. So is Uber.

        Unfortunately, none of those companies had/have a chance without investor money to subsidize their services. Once forced to actually pay their costs, they will have no choice but to raise their rates or go out of business. With Webvan and Pets.com, customers left when the rates went up. Same will happen with Uber.

        That said, I'm happy to spend investor's money to save a buck. Use it while it's there!

        -Chris

        Okay, but what exactly is Uber spending $1.2B on? I ask this seriously. I understand a pets.com scenario where you have to build up inventory and all that - it takes capital up front and you won't get it back quickly. But Uber? They have a $100K app and some rented servers? I mean, I'm missing something *really* big somewhere. I don't see how they can blow that much cash with nothing to show for it.

        • Re:I would invest (Score:4, Insightful)

          by 110010001000 ( 697113 ) on Thursday August 25, 2016 @12:36PM (#52770039) Homepage Journal
          Marketing. They have 6,700 employees all over the world. They have offices all over the world to handle accounting/marketing/support. That costs money. I know Slashdotters think they can whip up a few shell scripts and call it a business, but the real world doesn't work that way.
        • by jittles ( 1613415 ) on Thursday August 25, 2016 @12:38PM (#52770057)

          Okay, but what exactly is Uber spending $1.2B on?

          Strippers, hookers, and blow. Drugs and sex are the fastest way to burn money from what I have seen.

          • by Areyoukiddingme ( 1289470 ) on Thursday August 25, 2016 @04:07PM (#52771605)

            Strippers, hookers, and blow. Drugs and sex are the fastest way to burn money from what I have seen.

            Don't have children, do you...

            • Strippers, hookers, and blow. Drugs and sex are the fastest way to burn money from what I have seen.

              Don't have children, do you...

              Like I said... Sex is one of the fastest ways to blow money.

          • Okay, but what exactly is Uber spending $1.2B on?

            Strippers, hookers, and blow. Drugs and sex are the fastest way to burn money from what I have seen.

            The rest they squandered on useless stuff.

        • Free rides and lobbying local govs. I think they blew 10 mil on a failed prop in austin. They left. And as I told friends, they'll be back after a few months begging to come back. I hear they did a meet and greet with council last week. Maybe they will do the fingerprint check (along with all the other requirements the city has for ride shares) after all even though when the prop was being pushed, they said they could not possibly do that. Their other big cost in an effort to push out cab companies is to gi

      • Uber has actually made money in certain financial quarters. Webvan and Pets.com didn't. Uber rates can go up and people will still use them: what is the alternative? Uber rates would need to DOUBLE in order to be close to what classic taxi services charge. There is a lot of room. Saying that X lost money, thus Y will is silly.
        • Uber has actually made money in certain financial quarters. Webvan and Pets.com didn't. Uber rates can go up and people will still use them: what is the alternative?

          Back in my day, we called them taxis.

        • Uber rates can go up and people will still use them: what is the alternative?

          Walk.
          Bike.
          Buy a car.
          Take public transit.
          Use your current car.
          Call a friend.
          Use a taxi.
          Make fewer trips.

          You are mistaken if you think Uber's customer base is a bunch shut-ins that were finally able to come out and see the light of day thanks to Uber. For me Uber is a luxury. I can bike or use public transit, just like I did prior to Uber (because I hate taxis).

          You are right, some people would take Uber at higher prices, but it doesn't take much of a downturn in business to make startups like this shutter the

      • Re:I would invest (Score:5, Insightful)

        by Anonymous Coward on Thursday August 25, 2016 @12:41PM (#52770109)

        ...So is Uber...

        Uber isn't great. It's s scam that is allowed to persist simply because there are no laws against running this type of scam.

        It's basically a Kansas City Shuffle. The key to a Kansas City Shuffle is getting the mark to think that they're part of the scam. Uber has done a masterful job in convincing marks (the drivers) that they're in on a sure thing. I'm sure you've seen the advertisements: "Make $20/hr just driving you're car!". "Stick it to the taxis while making buku bucks!". "Set your own hours!". You aren't an "employee", you're a "partner".

        In reality though, you're neither. Your a mark. They rely on the fact that most people won't bother to dig beneath the surface of the scam. Eventually though, reality comes crashing in on the "driving dream" and the marks realize just how much they're being screwed over. They stop driving for Uber, but Uber doesn't care because they already have their cut and have thousands of other ignorant/naive marks lined up to continue the churn and burn cycle.

        Start with $20/hr nonsense. Let's say you hustle, do 3 rides, and live in the right area and you manage to get $20/hr in fares. But you don't get $20. Uber takes 30% right off the top (if you're a new driver).

        But we're just getting started. There's an additional "booking fee" that Uber takes as well. That can be anywhere from $1.50 to $2.50 PER RIDE. You did 3 rides, and let's use $2 as an average. So from $20, you're down to $8.

        Well, that's not great but you could do worse, right? Well it does get worse. An average car is going to go through about a gallon a gas for that hour. Let's be generous and say that's another $2. Now you're down to $6. And then there's taxes, and again let's be generous and say that's another dollar gone. Now you're down to $5. Then there's wear/tear/maitenance costs of your vehicle which can drastically increase due to the increase usage (some of that can be offset by deductions). Let's say that's $.50/hour.

        So out of $20 of fares, you're actually getting maybe a quarter of that in real dollars. And it's just going to get worse. Over the past couple of years, they've increased their take from 20% to 30%, while dropping driver rates 40% across the country. Once they do away with surges (and that's a when, not if) there won't be any real way to even make minimum wage.

        And the cherry on top? Their lease and sub-prime lending programs are borderline criminal. I truly feel bad for anyone naive enough to get suckered into one of those. They're the ultimate marks.

        Uber, and pretty much every other "gig" company out there (freelancer, rent-a-coder, etc) all operate on the same principles. Race to the bottom, and feed off the truly desperate. The sooner drivers realize it's a scam, the faster Uber will go up in flames.

    • in NYC the market seems to be people too lazy to walk 20 minutes to the train if you're somewhere away from the subway. or drunk people who need a ride out of manhattan on weekends.

      otherwise the idiot drivers seem to be no better than the murderous taxi drivers in how they drive around manhattan

    • You're looking at a bad investment then. Once self driving cars are truly autonomous, then Uber is dead. There will be way to many competitors. Not to mention, some cities may end up subsidizing a version as a means to supplement their train and bus infrastructure. Yes, they're "doing great" in the sense of gaining market share, but that share is costing them and will quickly evaporate when the one thing that finally makes them profitable (autonomy) comes to fruition.
      • 1) Driverless cars are NOT GOING TO HAPPEN.
        2) Uber is at the forefront of autonomous cars.
        • Re:I would invest (Score:4, Insightful)

          by JustAnotherOldGuy ( 4145623 ) on Thursday August 25, 2016 @12:38PM (#52770065) Journal

          1) Driverless cars are NOT GOING TO HAPPEN.

          I expect they will happen, but not as quickly as most people are predicting.

        • They will happen, people are lazy. Any lazy task people don't want to do, will always get automated as soon as technology can affordably perform the task. Video games have been driving cars for years, not well, but the proof of concept is there. Once it's reliable enough for it to show a decrease in collisions/deaths then it will naturally take hold. In 10 years it may be an option... in 20 it may become a mandated requirement as a "safety feature". And as for Uber leading the forefront... that just in
        • Are you really this daft? The story posted to Slashdot RIGHT BEFORE this one is "Singapore Launches World's First 'Self-driving' Taxi Service". Also, Uber is planning on deploying autonomous cars to Pittsburgh "as soon as this month". Yes, there will be a "driver" (at least for now) but autonomous driving systems are only getting better and cheaper while human drivers keep the same skill level and get more expensive. They're not only coming, they are here today.

          • by bartle ( 447377 )

            Those Singapore cars rely on not just one, but two drivers.

            That's what's fascinating about the self-driving car movement. So much money, and so many promises - entire companies even are banking on a technology that doesn't exist in a meaningful way. What we get instead are pledges and advertisements that are completely disconnected from reality.

            They may come eventually, but no one in the industry seriously expects to see an autonomous car that can handle city driving within the next 10 years.

    • Uber drivers aren't getting ripped off. Those who pay their taxes and licenses are. The governments not getting their taxes are.
      The same rules should apply to all taxi services, Uber included.

    • but the second mouse gets the cheese. Uber may survive being one of the early distributed ride hailing services, but the danger is that the spend so much money in the process that they go bankrupt and only the name will carry on after someone buys it in a fire sale when the company assets are liquidated.

  • by bluegutang ( 2814641 ) on Thursday August 25, 2016 @11:09AM (#52769291)

    They are a taxi company. Offering prices lower than the market rate. So of course they are losing tons of money.

    Their goal is to roll out self-driving taxis before they go bankrupt. If they succeed in being the first company with self-driving taxis, they will become incredibly successful. Because of this possibility, they have attracted a huge amount of investment. This allows them to lose lots of money for a long time without going bankrupt.

    In the short term, customers are winners from Uber's lower prices (disregarding legal/ethical issues, which are real, but tangential to my description of the business model).

    • by Anonymous Coward

      I don't understand how they think they will be first to market with a self driving taxi? Just about every other auto company is working on the same problem but those companies actually build the cars.

      What is Uber going to do - buy a bunch of regular cars, attach sensors, and then try to compete with integrated self driving systems? These auto companies could easily just stop selling cars to Uber. I don't get the plan. Where is the competitive position? The app? I can download a new app is seconds and

    • Yet they have made money in previous quarters. Therefore what you are saying is complete shit.
    • They are a taxi company. Offering prices lower than the market rate. So of course they are losing tons of money.

      Except Taxi fares are fixed; not based on any sort of supply and demand.

  • Normally companies use "earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization" to make it look like they are profitable when they really aren't. It's not recognized as a proper measurement of profitability by generally accepted accounting principles. In the words of Warren Buffett, "Does management think the tooth fairy pays for capital expenditures?"

    • Re: (Score:3, Informative)

      by trepanne ( 2648397 )
      EBITDA is commonly used as a proxy for operating profit in the VC community.

      Depreciation & amortization aren't going to be hugely relevant for Uber (unlike the companies Buffett tends to invest in), and in the context of startups where capital expenditures relate to growth not replacement, and are going to be sourced from further investment rather than retained earnings, these noncash expenses just clutter the laser focus on operating profits, which are the overriding interest... the first thing you
  • How the hell do you lose $1 billion when you don't actually do anything? Can't uber just be run with a server and a handful of people?
  • Simple: driverless cars. [bloomberg.com] Survive long enough to get driverless cars perfected, dump your largest cost (driver pay), and there you go.
    • So in about 15-25 years?

    • The main costs for a transportation company (ignoring lobbying, which is Uber's actual largest cost) are drivers, vehicles, and fuel. Uber's found a clever way to avoid the last two entirely and seriously underpay the first. All autonomous cars will do is bring vehicles and fuel back onto Uber's balance sheet. Given that those costs aren't covered Uber right now (their drivers tend to quit once they do the math and realize that they're not going to come out ahead on car/fuel costs), Uber's expenses will go

    • Simple: driverless cars. [bloomberg.com] Survive long enough to get driverless cars perfected, dump your largest cost (driver pay), and there you go.

      Are you serious? Drivers are their biggest asset. Drivers keep them from paying for cars up front, paying for insurance, paying for car maintenance, and paying for gas. Do you have any idea what it would cost them to fund a fleet of self-driving cars that's even a fraction of the number of drivers they "employee" today?

  • When executed successfully you'll have an unprofitable market all to yourself.
  • But they make it up on volume, right?
  • What are Uber's expenses? I can't imagine it costs $1 billion+ to run a phone app. Let along lose that much when they make money on every ride.

    Exactly how much cocaine are they paying their execs?

    Or is all in court cases and bribes to local officials?

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