Bitcoin Surges 10% To All-Time High Above $2,700, Has Now Doubled in May (cnbc.com) 139
An anonymous reader writes: In another intraday jump of more than $200, bitcoin surged to a record Thursday on strong Asian demand overnight. Bitcoin jumped more than 10 percent to an all-time high of $2,752.07, more than twice its April 30 price of $1,347.96 according to CoinDesk. The digital currency last traded near $2,726. At Thursday's record, Bitcoin has now gained more than 45 percent since last Thursday and more than 180 percent for the year so far. "There is no question that we are in the middle of a price frenzy," said Brian Kelly of BKCM, in a note to clients Thursday. "There will be a correction and it could be severe, but it's unclear if that correction will start from current prices of $2700 or from some place much higher."
Unclear (Score:4, Funny)
I wish I had a job like this. There will be a correction, but it might happen today, or 10,000 years from now.
Re: (Score:2)
Re: (Score:2)
"but it's unclear if that correction will start from current prices of $2700 or from some place much higher." I wish I had a job like this. There will be a correction, but it might happen today, or 10,000 years from now.
Yeah, you know, some day the world might end or it might not. If it does end it could be sooner or later, it's hard to tell. Whatever the case may be we should all be prepared for it if that day ever comes. Now that's what I call news.
Re: (Score:1)
Re: (Score:2)
Re: (Score:3)
If you told me a year ago that BTC would be at $1000 today I would have nodded and have been happy.
It spiked up because Japan legitimized it a couple of months ago and shot up 1500 over the last week because China took away some of their restrictions.
BTC is here to stay. As is Eth.
Re: (Score:2)
I don't think it's going below $1000 again and certainly won't hit 500.
I'd like to hear your reasoning for this. As far as i can tell, the price of bitcoins is tied to emissions of neutrinos given off by the sun.
Re: (Score:2)
Of course I don't know for sure. Obviously it's not going to keep going up. It will come down in price - but to what. When Japan made it a legitimate commodity to hold, buy and sell BTC entered a new stage in its development. It was no longer a store of value, or a means of transferring funds for places like Greece or Venezuela.
The latest rise from 1200 - 2700 is from China removing restrictions. There most certainly is a bubble but I don't think my buy orders at 990 are ever going to be met.
Re: (Score:2)
Nobody really asks why bitcoin is $2,700. The answer is simple: Because people think it will be worth more than $2,700 later. They're all speculators.
The difference between "investment" and "speculation" is how people feel about it.
Re:This is going to end well lol (Score:5, Interesting)
There is bitcoin acceptance and there is bitcoin usage. The two are not the same, although when you a scrappy itty bitty currency fighting for recognition, the difference may not seem so important.
Bitcoin can be accepted and be beaten out by competing currencies. There will definitely be digital blockchain competitors in the future. Plus once we accept that bitcoin is a currency is suddenly is compared directly with the big boys, for both good and ill. Consider the USD has approximately 100% "acceptance" across the entire globe, yet no one assumes that global economic growth guarantees anything about the price of the USD.
Re: (Score:3)
Re: (Score:2)
Re: (Score:2)
One cannot invest in a number on someone's computer, just as no one can invest in baseball cards or comic books. Unlike money, bitcoin has no intrinsic value - no government will adjudicate public or private debts using it.
Re: (Score:2)
Which is to say, there is no intrinsic floor to the price of the bitcoin, which is a huge problem is you are a rational actor that views volatility negatively. Not all rational actors put a significant negative on volatility, but most of us do.
In comparison, the USD does have a practical floor -- short of an apocalyptic event, the likelihood of the USD dropping more than 50% in my lifetime is approximately zero. Of course, in any apocalyptic scenario that hammers the USD more than 50%, bitcoin is very lik
Re: (Score:2)
which is a huge problem is you are a rational actor that views volatility negatively.
While volatility in a currency is indeed negative. There are plenty of rational reasons one prefers volatility. Day Traders (I don't recommend this hobby) or simply people who don't mind balancing currencies(BTC is down 20 % I Use USD fiat, BTC up 20 % I combine 18% discount from purse.io for 38% off anything from amazon) .
Bitcoin has been increasing becoming more stable year after year but still has a long way to go and is more akin to gold asset than currency however.
the USD does have a practical floor -- short of an apocalyptic event, the likelihood of the USD dropping more than 50% in my lifetime is approximately zero.
I wouldn't suggest this is accurate
Re: (Score:2)
I wouldn't suggest this is accurate as fiat currencies fail all the time. The USD has already had some past failures- confederate dollar, 100% gold backed dollar, partial gold backed dollar.
Depends what you call a "failure". If we use too loosey goosey a definition, then bitcoin has already failed ten times more than the USD ever has in a much shorter time span. The worst horrors of 70s stagflation are really nothing compared to the volatility of bitcoin.
The fact is that volatility is a big negative for most people. For some sophisticated people with a largish chunk of capital that they can balance out with a long term view, maybe it hardly matters. The reason you can actually do that kind
Re: (Score:2)
Well, I'm old enough that the USD has lost about 50% of its exchange rate, and probably 80% of its value during my lifetime. And I'm only 50.
Re: (Score:2)
Re: This is going to end well lol (Score:2)
Can you give us 2-3 situations where USD would fall 50% or more?
Re: (Score:2)
Can you give us 2-3 situations where USD would fall 50% or more?
I did better than this. I gave you an example where it fell almost 100% - confederate USD. Look through most of history , fiat currencies come and go. The average lifespan is around 27 years for fiat currencies before they get a major "reboot" . We are seeing incidents of this right now in countries with hyperinflation, currency/gold confiscation, and national bailins where everyone gets a massive haircut.
Re: (Score:2)
2% annual inflation over maybe thirty or forty years? An online CPI calculator says that $100 in 1954 dollars is worth about $900 in 2017 dollars, so that's about a nominal 90% fall over my lifetime.
Re: This is going to end well lol (Score:2)
That's not what people mean by a currency losing value... By that metric there isn't a currency in the world that won't become worthless given time. The only resolution of which is to bankrupt it, cancel all obligations, and start all over.
Losing value to worthless is usually meant by a prolonged period where people will not trade in it.
PS, the dollar's long term inflation rate is usually 3%. Which is really good. A healthy inflation is considered by most to be around 2%. Which the US attempts to get to b
Re: (Score:1)
Many countries are forced to buy and sell goods in US dollars creating an artificial demand for the US dollar. If the US tries and fails to create new international trade deals then there would be less reason to purchase US dollars.
I don't know about 50%, but if some some US leaders try to renegotiate international trade and is incompetent, then the US dollar will suffer.
Re: (Score:2)
Re: (Score:3)
BTC is a technology. It's value is based on the fact that you can send money from place A to place B using a P2P network and without a central authority. In the very near future this technology will be used to facilitate real estate transactions, authenticate ownership of intellectual property and much, much more. The more this technology is used the greater the value of BTC.
You're focused on the speculation over the immediate v
Re: (Score:2)
If the technology is adopted, there's still no guarantee that BTC is going to be worth anything. There's lots of ways to use blockchains that don't involve BTC.
Moreover, BTC isn't a very practical currency for general use, since it's hard to transfer from one person to another.
Re: (Score:2)
BTC is excellent as a store of value and transfer. It may not the best for buying cups of coffee and packs of gum from the local store. But it is a good way for the store to send end of day transactions to the bank. There may very well be numerous currencies. Some may be better (read faster) for tiny transactions where the effort to double spend is too great to bother for a $5.00 transaction but n
Re: (Score:2)
BTC is currently too volatile to be a good store of value, and its usefulness for money transfer is directly dependent on what banks do. A BTC transfer is deliberately made to be expensive in computrons, while a bank transfer is simple. As long as banks insist on excess profit from money transfers and currency conversions, BTC will have an advantage, but not otherwise.
As a consumer, if bank transfers and conversions become cheaper, I benefit, even if I never have a BTC wallet and never use a BTC exchan
Re: (Score:2)
If banks bring down the cost of money transfer to pennies on the dollar and it's as easy to send money as to send an email then you're correct. There will not be an economic utility for BTC.
At that point it's only value will be that it's not fiat and not controlled by a central authority. This value will not be
Re: (Score:2)
no government will adjudicate public or private debts using it
That [coindesk.com] seems [cryptocoinsnews.com] to [egovlink.com] be [cryptocoinsnews.com] changing. [cointelegraph.com]
Re: (Score:2)
I'm sure someone said the same thing when it passed $1k. If you bought in at $1k, you'd be feeling pretty good right now. With that said, I'm not buying any right now.
Re: (Score:2)
Re: (Score:2)
Re: (Score:2)
Rule of acquisition #10: Greed is eternal.
Re: (Score:2)
Re: (Score:2)
Money is limited, but Bitcoin is currently dividable to 8 decimals, unlike say the U.S. dollar which is only divisible to 2 decimals.
We could get to the point where 1 satoshi equals 1 U.S. cent in market/trading value, so there's a long way to go before you can say "money is limited" when talking about Bitcoin.
Re: (Score:2)
Re: (Score:2)
Re:Fake currency is fake... (Score:5, Insightful)
Same as your USD and Gold.
Re: (Score:2)
Re: (Score:1)
No, it is not the same as USD and other government-backed fiat currencies. USD is backed by lots of guns and nuclear weapons.
Yup. Every currency backed by a government-sponsored army has a higher chance of survival. Have you ever heard of Liberty Dollars? Or any other independent currencies?
Re: (Score:2)
USD is backed by the US economy, and the fact that it runs on USD. USD are used in all payments to and from government, and in all judicial transfers of money, so everybody needs some, and everybody needs to do accounting in USD. The US military has nothing to do with it other than as part of the economy, and as a guarantor that the US government will continue to run things here.
Re: (Score:2)
Re: (Score:2)
There is not enough PMs in the world to back a single year of world trade, perhaps not even a month.
This is why all currencies became fiat currencies.
You ever watch the olympics? Swimming? All gold in the world does not even fill an olympic swimming pool.
Re: (Score:2)
Re: (Score:2)
Sure, if by "same as" you mean that you can place them along some common continuum. In particular, the relevant continuum here runs from "medium of exchange" (US Dollars) to "asset" (Gold).
Currency is something you own to buy things with. An asset is something you own because you think it will appreciate in value.
That doesn't mean you can't buy things with assets; you could in principle walk into a dealership and buy a car with your baseball collection, if the collection were good enough and the dealer kn
Re: (Score:2)
If you are an American and have a decent number of USD in the bank you can almost certainly pay your taxes and avoid bankruptcy or worse at the hands of the state.
Whether bitcoin or gold will have an exchange rate sufficient to do the same is much less reliable.
Trading volume (Score:2)
Re: (Score:3)
You could probably manage it if you do it slow enough that it doesn't cause a panic sell, and/or do it through a number of shell accounts so it doesn't look too suspicious.
Once you've unloaded a few hundred BTC, try to dump the rest and cause a market crash, then buy back what you sold originally for a fraction of the price and wait for the next bubble.
=Smidge=
Re: (Score:1)
You could probably manage it if you do it slow enough that it doesn't cause a panic sell, and/or do it through a number of shell accounts so it doesn't look too suspicious.
If you had bought $100 worth of Bitcoin in May of 2010 when the price was 0.003 cents, it would be worth more than $70 Million today. However, this also illustrates the two biggest problems with Bitcoin.
First, if you bought that $100 worth of Bitcoin back in 2010 it's unlikely that you would even still have it today. It probably would have been stolen by now. Is there even a Bitcoin exchange that's been in business for any significant amount of time and hasn't suddenly run off with everyone's money, or,
Re: (Score:2, Informative)
Idiot. Go to a major exchange. Watch the real time trades appear. Add up how long it takes for the sold volume to hit 500 bitcoins. The answer is minutes. What does the price do? Absolutely fuck all. You could cash out $1 million in minutes.
Re: (Score:2)
If you left that $100 worth of Bitcoins on an exchange all that time, you're an idiot. If it was kept inside a wallet controlled by your own computer, you'd still h
Re: (Score:3)
First, if you bought that $100 worth of Bitcoin back in 2010 it's unlikely that you would even still have it today. It probably would have been stolen by now.
I suspect that there's a much simpler explanation: most of the people who bought in at $100 or mined a couple of BTC way back when, probably sold them when they hit $200 or $500 or whatever. Most of the stories about the guys who struck it rich are about people who mined a few or bought some on a lark early on, forgot they even had them, then thankfully remembered their wallet password when the hype struck and BTC was all over the news.
Re: (Score:2)
At $1000 per BTC that's a volume of 50-200 million dollars per day. Low in one respect. But it is respectable.
You can clearly see that it will be a billion/dollar a day market pretty soon.
BTC at $2,500 and trading volume of 400K would make it a billion dollar market.
Re:Trading volume (Score:4, Informative)
No. Not yet. BTC volume is low compared to the equity trading. BTC volume is generally in the range of 50K - 200K BTC / day. And spiking much higher the last few few days
Last 24 hour trading was over 940k BTC or 2.5Billion USD https://coinmarketcap.com/curr... [coinmarketcap.com]
Re: (Score:1)
Which is still nothing compared to FX trading, where daily volume is around $5.1 trillion USD.
Re: (Score:2)
It's a traded currency. So I suspect it is governed by the same laws of supply and demand. If someone starts dumping it en masse, I'm sure the price will go down. Unless there is a feeding frenzy of course.
It reminds me of tech stocks in late 2000 early 2001 that oscillated like crazy. I know quite a lot of people who won big and became millionaires. And quite a lot of people who gambled millions on a hunch and lost them.
Re: (Score:2)
Technically, it isn't a currency, anymore than Disney bucks are a currency. One day, it might become a currency. Think Ubiquity.
Re: (Score:2)
On the most basic level, currency is that which circulates. Bitcoin circulates, Disney gift certificates do not.
Without knowing which definition of currency you've chosen, it is hard to assess your claim of technicality. Or, for that matter, how closely your definition matches the ordinary meaning of the word.
Re: (Score:2)
By your definition of "currency", stocks would be considered currency. So would a lot of other instruments, trading cards, collectibles, durable goods.
And I actually qualified why I answered the way I did. Ubiquity.
Re: (Score:2)
Re: (Score:3)
You capitalized it, which led me to believe you were talking about some product that I was unfamiliar with. If you just mean "everywhere", I should point out that "everywhere" is never everywhere everywhere, but is always everywhere in some scope .
Stocks don't really circulate anywhere that I know of. There may be country clubs where they are passed around, but I don't know of any. For the most part, they are transacted through limited access markets by specialist traders. In those markets, it may be p
Re: (Score:1)
Re: (Score:1)
Re: (Score:2)
Re: (Score:2)
Re: (Score:2)
couple of million in bitcoins ? (Score:2)
Re: (Score:1)
Considering the daily trading volume of bitcoin is now exceeding $2 billion? Yeah, you could sell 500 coins without anyone blinking.
Re: (Score:2)
Re: (Score:2)
Re: (Score:2)
IMO the idea of the public blockchain is very powerful, and that is an idea that will not die, until we meet our internet security apocalypse in the form of quantum computers destroy all known practical encryption.
Bitcoin itself could plausibly be replaced by a competitor that has enough of its positive points, and a different mix of negatives.
If you are not an idiot (Score:1)
Re: (Score:1)
Re: (Score:2)
All bitcoin stories remind me of ... (Score:2)
... Mystico and Janet, and flats built by hynosis
https://www.youtube.com/watch?... [youtube.com]
(of course, most of the world's current currencies are the same, but bitcoin and its ilk just exaggerate the effect)
Who's stupid now? (Score:2, Troll)
When the economy crashes and the US becomes a post-apocalyptic wasteland, I'm gonna be sitting fat and happy on my bitcoins while the rest of you scrounge for caps and Nuka-cola.
That's why I've been keeping my bitcoins in my mattress since 2009. To protect them from ransomware.
Please, from now on..... (Score:1)
Please to refer to Bitcoin as the following:
Internet Drug Tokens
PedoPesos
Math-Based Beanie Babies
Internet Fun Bux
and always remember....
Satoshi Nakamoto is an anagram for "So A Man Took A Shit"
BTC Market Cap out of sync with available USD (Score:5, Interesting)
Re: (Score:3)
however only a small fraction of their holdings can actually be converted to hard currency before the entire BTC system collapses
That's true of many things.
Re: (Score:1)
Yeah, it's a known thing with all currencies, bank accounts etc. Fractional reserve banking. If more than an average number of people withdraw their money from the bank at the same time, you have big problems.
Re: (Score:2)
Ponzi scheme? (Score:2)
Your ability to get a dollar out of the BTC market today for a dollar put in yesterday depends heavily on the participation of others putting their dollars in today.
Sounds like you are characterizing BTC as something of a Ponzi scheme. Is that about right?
Market crash in...3....2....1.... (Score:1)
The current rise in bitcoin value is due to market manipulation... expect the manipulators to cash out VERY soon and send the value under $1000 almost overnight...
Re: (Score:3)
One day, one day (Score:2)
Actually, BTC suffers many technical problems... (Score:1)
... There are huge issues with scaling the Bitcoin network, there has been a long-time Civil War among the hard-core fanatics on this issue, and while there have been many advancements in the technology over the years, these years have seen nothing but stagnation in the deployment of those advancements.
The price is going up not because Bitcoin is working well, but rather because most of these know-nothing speculators have no clue that there are serious technical problems—hell, they don't even understa
Re: (Score:2)
That assumes that people will pay a megabuck for a bitcoin in 2027. There's plenty of unregulated things in limited supply that aren't worth a million dollars, and I can (indirectly) use these to pay for things.
Re: (Score:2)
Thanks Narendra Modi!
I think the Indian move to eradicate cash and push everyone to the banking system has a lot more to do with this. Honorable mention to Xi Jinping because China is on their way as well.
Re: (Score:2)
Good point. As governments are actively seeking to discourage cash transactions, I think electronic currencies will continue to become more and more popular