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81% of Recent ICOs Were Scams, Research Finds (bleepingcomputer.com) 81

Four out of five initial coin offerings (ICOs) that have taken place in the last year have been classified as scams, according to a recent study by Satis Group, an ICO advisory firm. From a report: ICOs have been the rage of the cryptocurrency world because they allow companies to raise money for various ventures by issuing cryptocurrency tokens that users could buy and later trade on cryptocurrency exchanges. The concept is similar to an IPO, but instead of shares, companies issue tokens, and some companies promised to buy tokens back from users after a product became successful and the token's value increases.

The study's results don't bode well for people who've invested in one or more and are expecting profits sometime in the near future. The Satis study organized ICOs in six categories, based on their current status. Only ICOs with a market cap of $50 million or higher have been included in the results, and the percentage of scammy ICOs would have probably bee higher if researchers looked at the smaller ICOs. According to researchers, 81% of ICO's were Scams, 6% were classified as Failed, 5% had Gone Dead, and 8% went on to trade on a exchange.

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81% of Recent ICOs Were Scams, Research Finds

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  • by Anonymous Coward on Thursday March 29, 2018 @02:04PM (#56348615)

    Ha ha!

    A fool and his money are parted, especially when that fool wants to play in unregulated financial markets.

    Don't tell us you didn't see this one coming.

    • by Joce640k ( 829181 ) on Thursday March 29, 2018 @02:19PM (#56348689) Homepage

      Yep.

      I can't believe anybody on the planet could read "Initial Coin Offering" and not think "Bunch of guys who want to get rich by selling made-up-shit to idiots".

      • by Anonymous Coward

        BITCONNEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEECT

        https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=61i2iDz7u04

        This one is so fresh it still has shill vids posted on youtube.

        https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Gu126dXUSh4

      • Yep.

        I can't believe anybody on the planet could read "Initial Coin Offering" and not think "Bunch of guys who want to get rich by selling made-up-shit to idiots".

        Who's to say they didn't think that?

        You can make a lot of money investing in a scam as long as you get out before it collapses.

        • Except you're not getting in at the top level with a pre-mined ICO...

        • Given that 92% of the ICO didn't even follow through far enough to actually make it to public - I'd say even "just get out before it collapses" is wishful thinking.

          You'll pretty much has to be the founder and tiny handful of people working around him to have a high success chance. I bet even some of the late-coming employees will get their fingers burned when they got taken by the hype surrounding them, and judgements are easily clouded by sheer time in the office and fatigue of working 15 hour days.

          • by jythie ( 914043 )
            I was actually rather amused at how low their bar for 'not scam' was in that the coin only had to make it on to an exchange in order to be legit.
      • Just like Certificate Authorities?
      • Someone built a thing called PonziCoin on top of Etherium. They did it as a joke, to highlight the silliness of these things and released it, explicitly stating that it was a Ponzi scheme and describing how it worked. The logic of a Ponzi scheme was embedded in the smart contract, so the fact that it was such a scam could be externally validated. After a couple of weeks, he had to shut it down because people were actually buying the coins, after being explicitly told that it was a scam by the person sell
  • by JoeyRox ( 2711699 ) on Thursday March 29, 2018 @02:06PM (#56348623)
    With a margin of error +/- 5% shenanigans.
  • by imperious_rex ( 845595 ) on Thursday March 29, 2018 @02:16PM (#56348669)
    IPOs are tightly regulated by the SEC for many years. ICOs are scarcely regulated and are the current "hot thing" for speculators. Is anybody truly surprised by this? Of course ICOs will bring out scammers who prey on people hungry for "the next Bitcoin." This is to be as expected as flies drawn to a steaming pile of dung.
  • As somebody working on what I imagine will be an upending blockchain solution, it's rather disappointing to have to deal with this. People either think every solution is going to be a scam, when sometimes the problem is the investor is overvaluing them. When things settle down and the industry regulates itself (or SEC forces the issue), ICO's will be the new Silicon Valley for VC's.
    • by Anonymous Coward

      Keep dreaming buddy!

  • by c ( 8461 )

    ... so far.

    19% to go.

  • Only 81%? (Score:5, Insightful)

    by jandrese ( 485 ) <kensama@vt.edu> on Thursday March 29, 2018 @02:50PM (#56348899) Homepage Journal
    In shocking news today apparently 19% of ICOs are not scams. Economists interviewed about this story are at a loss to explain the situation.

    Although according to the summary the number is closer to 8%.
    • Re:Only 81%? (Score:5, Insightful)

      by JaredOfEuropa ( 526365 ) on Thursday March 29, 2018 @03:16PM (#56349059) Journal
      More. I fixed the summary a little:

      81% of ICO's were Scams, 6% were classified as Failed Scams, 5% as Scams Gone Dead, and 8% went on to trade on a exchange

      So it's more like 92%. And I'm not so sure about the remaining 8% either.

      • So, 92% are scams that have reached their conclusion. The other 8% are scams that are still ongoing.

    • by rtb61 ( 674572 )

      That is not scams, as much as scams in the terms of reference. So not that make believe money with no backing is a scam but that there was no real intent to create make believe money with no backing, just charging for attempting to do so and keeping the money when failing. So just way more scammy, rather than not just plain scammy. In this case, scam is very much tied to the terms of reference, being able to create make believe money with no backing in the public market or even intending to attempt to do so

    • by gweihir ( 88907 )

      I think this study just has a margin of error of 19%.

  • I'd be curious to see how much the surviving currencies are actually trading for, given how most cryptos that aren't Bitcoin or Ethereum trade for under a dollar, with many trading for a fraction of a penny per coin. I somehow doubt that any of the surviving coins have made money for anyone but their creators and those firms that will do pump and dumps on various cryptos and spread the news to their paying clients.

    • by mysidia ( 191772 )

      I've been sitting on the sidelines and not bought in a single ICO, although there is the potential for some enormous opportunities --- Perhaps in 12-24 more months when the dust settles; people can start looking at the OLDER ICOs for ones that have some merit: and then very carefully vet the code that the ICOs represent to make sure there's an actual project with realistic expectations......

  • Hmm... (Score:5, Insightful)

    by kurkosdr ( 2378710 ) on Thursday March 29, 2018 @03:13PM (#56349039)
    Looks like some libertarians had a taste of a true free market, unhindered by the burden of overbearing government regulation...
    • Libertarian paradise in our times! [see my signature!]

  • by Notabadguy ( 961343 ) on Thursday March 29, 2018 @03:24PM (#56349123)

    Personally, I pledge my faith in Dogecoin.

    • It's funny ... I got some dogecoin just as a laugh and forgot all about it. Given the hashing rate i expected it to be in a constant state of inflation, so I never expected to get my money back.

      A year later I checked the price and it was selling for 10 times what I paid.

      People are nuts. I cashed out and called it a win.

  • because I can get a GTX 1060 6gb for only $120 more than I paid a year ago. I suspect the prices'll go back to normal soon. There's outfits out of China working on ASICs that can do Ethereum.
  • by Anonymous Coward

    Researchers unable to identify the scam in 19% of ICOs.

  • Is there a Darwin Award for big monetary loss?

  • Obviously. Greed makes people blind.

    • by jythie ( 914043 )
      I think it is less 'greed' and more 'arrogance'. Speculators generally know it is a scam, but they believe they can manipulate it quicker and better than other investors. People think they are smart and other people are stupid, and are hoping to profit based off that belief.
      • by gweihir ( 88907 )

        That too. It this case greed may make them even more blind to their own stupidity, or they may already be completely blind to it without the greed.

    • by Anonymous Coward

      I don't get the math. Of 5 ICOs, 4 were scams, and that's 81%? Or does it mean one was only slightly scammy?

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