The World's Largest Solar Farm Rises in the Remote Egyptian Desert (latimes.com) 153
An anonymous reader shares a report: In 1913 on the outskirts of Cairo, an inventor from Philadelphia named Frank Shuman built the world's first solar thermal power station, using the abundant Egyptian sunshine to pump 6,000 gallons of water a minute from the Nile to irrigate a nearby cotton field. World War I and the discovery of cheap oil derailed Shuman's dream of replicating his "sun power plant" on a grand scale and eventually producing enough energy to challenge the world's dependence on coal.
More than a century later, that vision has been resurrected. The world's largest solar park, the $2.8-billion Benban complex, is set to open next year 400 miles south of Cairo in Egypt's Western Desert. It will single-handedly put Egypt on the clean energy map. That is no small feat for a country that's been hobbled by its longtime addiction to cheap, state-subsidized fossil fuels and currently gets more than 90% of its electricity from oil and natural gas. [...] The Benban complex, which will be operated by major energy companies from around the world, is expected to generate as much as 1.8 gigawatts of electricity, or enough to power hundreds of thousands of homes and businesses. It will consist of 30 separate solar plants, the first of which began running in December, and employ 4,000 workers.
More than a century later, that vision has been resurrected. The world's largest solar park, the $2.8-billion Benban complex, is set to open next year 400 miles south of Cairo in Egypt's Western Desert. It will single-handedly put Egypt on the clean energy map. That is no small feat for a country that's been hobbled by its longtime addiction to cheap, state-subsidized fossil fuels and currently gets more than 90% of its electricity from oil and natural gas. [...] The Benban complex, which will be operated by major energy companies from around the world, is expected to generate as much as 1.8 gigawatts of electricity, or enough to power hundreds of thousands of homes and businesses. It will consist of 30 separate solar plants, the first of which began running in December, and employ 4,000 workers.
1.8 GW? (Score:1, Flamebait)
So. they're going to get 1.8GW of the ~25GW they produce in total? For 12 hours per day, or less, of course.
That seems to translate to maybe 4% of their electricity production.
Color me unimpressed....
Re:1.8 GW? (Score:5, Insightful)
So. they're going to get 1.8GW of the ~25GW they produce in total? For 12 hours per day, or less, of course.
That seems to translate to maybe 4% of their electricity production.
Color me unimpressed....
According to the U.S. Energy Information Administration the US currently generates 1.4 percent of it's energy from solar, Egypt is about to cover 4% of it's energy needs from solar in one fell swoop. I'd say that's rather impressive, especially since the Egyptians have by now probably caught on to the fact that (A) sunlight, unlike oil and gas, carries no extraction costs with it, (B) it comes with no geopolitical baggage and (C) Egypt has a fantastic abundance of both sunlight and cheap desert land to put solar plants on. Meanwhile in the US, the nation's president thinks the future of the nation's energy generation lies in coal and natural gas of which one is being out competed price wise by Wind and Solar and the other soon will be.
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No extraction costs? What do you call the $2.8 billion to build the thing? That doesn't even count transmission.
Re:1.8 GW? (Score:5, Insightful)
No extraction costs? What do you call the $2.8 billion to build the thing?
I'm not a geologist or anything, but I call that a construction cost. Which applies to any power generation station.
Really, this isn't hard. Most of the same costs like construction and transmission will apply to any power generation station. But with things like solar, wind, and hydro, you only need to build them in the right location, you do not need to pay to get the fuel.
Re:1.8 GW? (Score:4, Informative)
No extraction costs? What do you call the $2.8 billion to build the thing?
I'm not a geologist or anything, but I call that a construction cost. Which applies to any power generation station.
Really, this isn't hard. Most of the same costs like construction and transmission will apply to any power generation station. But with things like solar, wind, and hydro, you only need to build them in the right location, you do not need to pay to get the fuel.
Extraction costs is getting the coal out of the ground, processing costs is getting the raw coal into a usable state, shipping costs is loading it onto a barge and shipping it down to Florida, energy production costs is building a coal fired power-plant in Florida and buying coal at market prices so you can burn it and generate energy for Floridians to use to air condition their houses. Contrast this with solar, where the is no digging up the sunlight, no processing the sunlight into a usable state, no shipping the sunlight down the Mississippi on barges to Florida, you get to go straight to the power plant building part and there your costs are basically fixed since there are no fluctuations in the price of sunlight the price of sunlight is pretty much always $0.00. The real beauty of this idea is to use the sunlight you are trying to escape to cool down your house.
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Extraction costs is getting the coal out of the ground, processing costs is getting the raw coal into a usable state, [...] Contrast this with solar, where the is no digging up the sunlight, no processing the sunlight into a usable state, no shipping the sunlight [...]
A reminder that solar and wind plants are made of tangible stuff, almost entirely manufactured and constructed with fossil energy, and will use more fossil energy at the end of their life.
A reminder that as renewables displace fossil fuels that problem diminishes and then goes away as fossil fuels are phased out. Fossil fuels are a transient thing, a dying legacy technology, not a universal constant without which the universe will be sucked into a singularly and cease to exist.
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Renewables aren't displacing fossil fuels; see Germany. At best, they reduce fossil fuel consumption a bit, and they are not a particularly cost effective method of doing so. (Compare to any of the countries that have successfully decarbonized using nuclear.)
1) You're contradicting yourself in the first part and 2) the second part is irrelevant since historical experience is almost meaningless when the prices change as quickly as they do for the technology in question. That, e.g., Germany may have overshot deployment ten years ago when the equipment was six times as expensive as it is today is irrelevant for judging the economics of the 2030s when it will cost perhaps half as much again as it costs today.
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A reminder that solar and wind plants are made of tangible stuff, almost entirely manufactured and constructed with fossil energy
Actually, at the very least, solar is mostly manufactured using electricity. Silicon processing takes most of it.
Those variable energy flows also need storage, conditioning, and delivery by lengthy transmission lines, even if not by barge.
Nuclear plants might be built with fossil wealth today, but advanced designs are capable of producing process heat for industry and synthetic fuels, enabling a truly fossil-free energy system.
Ahh, so your "advanced designs" don't need any conditioning whatsoever, deliver power wirelessly, and can magically reach temperatures of 1500K or higher better than the existing electric solutions (or higher temperatures better than the existing chemical solutions).
Re:1.8 GW? (Score:4, Insightful)
No extraction costs? What do you call the $2.8 billion to build the thing? That doesn't even count transmission.
What do you call $X billion to extract the oil and then $Y billion to build a refinery to process it into a usable state and/or ship it to the consumer? ... which is the process with oil, natural gas and coal. You don't have to dig up the sunlight, you don't have to refine it, you don't have to ship it to the power-plant, it just shines down on you from the sky, onto your solar panels allowing you to go straight to the convert-it-into-electric-enery step.
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Re: 1.8 GW? (Score:3)
According to the U.S. Energy Information Administration the US currently generates 1.4 percent of it's energy from solar, Egypt is about to cover 4% of it's energy needs from solar in one fell swoop.
No, they're not. The capacity factor of solar electric is pretty shit. If we assume that the CF of this plant will equal the best place in the USA (Arizona) then the annual output will be about 19% of the rated output. This means a total of 2,995 gWh per year. Since Egypt currently produces about 170,000 gWh per year of electricity, this new plant will only equal about 1.7% of their total electrical production.
It will of course be an even lower fraction of total energy production.
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But you do know that power need more or less follows the course of the sun?
Hence you do know that the CF is completely irrelevant?
So why starting an argument about power with the dreaded CF?
Oh, my mistake!? You did not know?
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But you do know that power need more or less follows the course of the sun?
Hence you do know that the CF is completely irrelevant?
CF is relevant when comparing generating capacity with demand. Egypt currently consumes about 170 TWh per year. That means they need 170 TWh production capacity. The CF will become very important if they intend to replace oil fired plants that have a CF of (I'm pulling a number out of the air) 60% with solar panels that they can expect only 30% CF.
So why starting an argument about power with the dreaded CF?
Because solar power is notorious for over promising and under delivering. You live in Germany, no? Then you should be abundantly aware of the high costs and
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No, CF is completely irrelevant for that.
Then you should be abundantly aware of the high costs and low reliability of solar power.
Solar power is neither expensive nor unreliable.
You keep mixing up 'reliable' with 'dispatchable'.
Two complete different things!
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No, CF is completely irrelevant for that.
Perhaps then we'll just have to agree to disagree.
Solar power is neither expensive nor unreliable.
Well, things like "expensive" and "reliable" are relative. Solar compared to nuclear, coal, natural gas, or even wind, is expensive and unreliable. What's your metric for comparison?
You keep mixing up 'reliable' with 'dispatchable'.
No, I'm not.
Two complete different things!
I agree that they are two different things, I'll use "dispatchable" when it's appropriate and "reliable" when it's appropriate. I used "unreliable" to describe solar power and I meant that.
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Then explain me why in a desert around 12AM solar power is unreliable ....
Or at any ofher place or time?
There is completely reliable no sun at mid night, and there is completely reliable ligh around noon, unless you live close to the poles.
Again: you are mixing up dispatchable with reliable.
Regarding the costs, solar is the second cheapest power source, after wind, since nearly a decade now ... get up to date man.
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Then explain me why in a desert around 12AM solar power is unreliable ....
That's a very interesting definition of "reliable". I guess solar is "reliable" if you define it so narrowly to the point it's nothing more than "when the sun shines". My last car was "reliable" when the weather was warm and no snow on the streets, but in the winter it didn't like to start and had trouble getting up the steep hill in front of my house in the snow.
Or at any ofher place or time?
I'll remember that when a nuclear power plant has to reduce power or shutdown because of a heat wave. Nuclear power is "reliable" except in a t
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Only x% .. you say 2% .. of the world energy is solar because not many companies invested into it.
Why you still rant about reliablity is beyond me.
Solar power is 100% reliable just like any other power source in the planet.
And unlike a coal palnt that could in theory have a malfunction, solar power never has a malfunction.
So yes: you still keep mixing up reliable with dispatchable. No idea why.
Or do you really want to claim that tomorrow at your location the sun might have a chance not to rise reliable as i
Re: 1.8 GW? (Score:2)
You're arguing with a moron who has no clue how to utilise math or logic, and is completely incapable of ever admitting that he is wrong. Stop wasting your time.
Re: 1.8 GW? (Score:2)
You're a lying jackass. $4,000 will get you a system that powers a small shack with a dozen lightbulbs and a TV. Anything beyond that is pure fantasy. Minimum cost for me would be $20,000 and that's if I do most of the work myself. Subsidies would offset some of that, but far less than half. Even if subsidies were high enough to bring it down to $4,000 that wouldn't make it a $4,000 system; it would make it a $20,000 system which was paid for mostly by other people.
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You're a lying jackass. $4,000 will get you a system that powers a small shack with a dozen lightbulbs and a TV. Anything beyond that is pure fantasy. Minimum cost for me would be $20,000 and that's if I do most of the work myself. Subsidies would offset some of that, but far less than half. Even if subsidies were high enough to bring it down to $4,000 that wouldn't make it a $4,000 system; it would make it a $20,000 system which was paid for mostly by other people.
In the UK Ikea is charging ~$5600 for a basic solar package, throw in battery storage it comes in at ~$9000. These prices will only fall and the panels will only become more efficient over the next couple of decades at least.
Re: 1.8 GW? (Score:2)
In the UK Ikea is charging ~$5600 for a basic solar package
$5600 won't get you shit. I ran their cost estimator for shits and giggles, on a random roof in a random average sized UK town, using generous assumptions (single story, etc). Based on the size of the roof, the calculator estimated they would be able to fit a maximum of 16 panels, at a cost of £5,499, which is about $7,200 USD as of today.
Those 16 panels at 270W each will produce a maximum of 4.3 kW at peak. The capacity factor for a solar system in the UK will be 9.7% according to the DECC.
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My argument is pretty simple.
You throw in a term you don't understand, CF.
I made that pretty clear in my previous post. Why you call this 'incoherent' is beyond me.
Perhaps you want to look at the power plant in question, and as a mental challange, calculate the amount of power it will produce over the course of a year? Hint: your idea of 'CF' wont help you in that. Another hint: perhaps it helps to read the linked article :)
No worries, judging from your braindead post before, you will be off by a factor of
Re: 1.8 GW? (Score:2)
You have absolutely no clue what you're talking about, as usual. Capacity factor is directly related to annual output.
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And why is the anual output relevant for the power/energy the plant is producing tomorrow? :) )
(Your CF was wrkng anyway, as you did not read the article
Claiming that one has no clue, who worked about 10 years for power companies is idiotic.
Hint: the power plant in question has a CF of ~0.50, which you would know if you had botherd to read the article.
Re: 1.8 GW? (Score:2)
And why is the anual output relevant for the power/energy the plant is producing tomorrow?
It's not; it's relevant to what percentage of electricity in Egypt will be generated by this plant. Which is what we were talking about, asshat.
Claiming that one has no clue, who worked about 10 years for power companies is idiotic.
I'm sure you mopped those floors real good. You still have no clue what you're talking about when it comes to the topic at hand though.
Hint: the power plant in question has a CF of ~0.50, which you would know if you had botherd to read the article.
The article doesn't talk about CF at all; you're just resorting to your usual tactic of making shit up. But, more importantly, if you think that it's possible for solar to have a CF of 50% anywhere on the planet, you're a raving l
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Of course the article is not talking about CF. :)
But you claimed the CF would be in the 20% range, which is wrong.
And the fact that you can not deduce that from the article makes you not look very bright
Your ranting is interestig ... Hint: every solar thermal power plant has a CF far above 50%
You have abolutely no clue what you are talking about.
The solar plant in question is in a desert, over the course of a year 50% of the time it is covered by sun.
The solar plant in question is tracking the sun by moving
Re: 1.8 GW? (Score:2)
Of course the article is not talking about CF.
You fucking tool. In one comment you claim the article says it has a CF of "0.5" and bitch at me for not reading the article, and in the VERY NEXT FUCKING COMMENT you say "of course the article doesn't talk about CF".
Fuck you. I don't know if you're retarded or just a troll, but either way I have no interest in your bullshit. Go bother someone else.
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Rofl,
I did not say the article claimed it has a CF of 0.5.
I said: you did not read the article. ... so we are around ~48%, aren't we?)
If you had read the article you knew: the panels are sun tracking, hence: with a little bit of IQ, 85 or 95 would be enough, you can easily conclude that it has a CF of ~50% (considering that it is in a desert and you only need to account for 2 days of clouds and 1 or 2 days of a sandstorm
Have a nice day, you super expert for power production and GMO via "mutations" ;D .
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According to the U.S. Energy Information Administration the US currently generates 1.4 percent of it's energy from solar, Egypt is about to cover 4% of it's energy needs from solar in one fell swoop.
No, they're not. The capacity factor of solar electric is pretty shit. If we assume that the CF of this plant will equal the best place in the USA (Arizona) then the annual output will be about 19% of the rated output. This means a total of 2,995 gWh per year. Since Egypt currently produces about 170,000 gWh per year of electricity, this new plant will only equal about 1.7% of their total electrical production.
It will of course be an even lower fraction of total energy production.
And yet 1,7% is still more than the US.
Re: 1.8 GW? (Score:2)
And yet 1,7% is still more than the US.
Correct. And?
Re: 1.8 GW? (Score:2)
If you believe that solar is free, you're obviously a moron.
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If you believe that solar is free, you're obviously a moron.
I didn’t say solar was free. I said that if you build a coal plant you then have to pay market prices at regular intervals to buy coal to burn in your plant. If, however, you build a solar power plant you do not have to pay for the sunlight. If you still do not understand this it is YOU who are the moron here.
Re: 1.8 GW? (Score:2)
You don't have to pay for sunlight? No way! Thanks Dr Science!
Any more useless observations? Like "gas for my car is expensive, but I don't have to pay for wind!"? Or "airplanes have to pay for fuel, but if I throw myself off a building I don't have to pay for gravity!"?
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Meanwhile in the US, the nation's president thinks...
whatever he's paid to think.
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>> sunlight.... :-)
>> (B) it comes with no geopolitical baggage
Kinda disagree. Tell this to people in Syberia...
Ok, fine, a "bit" more abundant than oil.
Re: 1.8 GW? (Score:2, Funny)
Assuming a petite 65kg worker composed of 17% fat @37MJ/kg and 5% carbohydrates @17MJ/kg, burning one worker would produce around 450MJ, at least if you first get rid of the water content which is easy to do by letting them partly fossilize in the hot Egyptian sun.
To produce 1.8GW would require burning 4 fossil workers per second. 4000 workers would last you less than 20 minutes. The whole population of Egypt not even a year.
HTH.
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the equipment to collect solar energy cost money
As does the equipment to collect any other form of energy, plus maintenance and security. AND you have to pay the fuel extraction costs - along with capital, maintenance, etc for all the mining and refining infrastructure - and the same for all the transportation too (and its fuel costs).
all the hard currency you have to send to China to buy all that equipment
As opposed to their home-grown coal & gas plants? Most solutions require importing equipment. You're still pointing out the obvious.
the environmental effects of setting up solar collection facilities
.. are a heck of a lot less than the environmental effects of mining fossil fuels, tran
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But in that climate, solar is a more relatable 12-hour daily source than anywhere else with a significant user market and a lot of the kind of utter devastation that would be okay to pave over with solar collectors. Such a source could power, say, a large desalination project.
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EDIT: "...reliable 12-hour..."
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Solar is quite likely a suitable energy source for a nation like Egypt. Here's what I expect to happen though, if the people planning these projects plan this out like so many others in the past, they'll soon exceed their ability to match supply to load and end up with excessive costs and unreliable electricity.
It's real easy to go from 0% solar power to 10%. Getting from 10% to 20% solar is often a bit harder but still rather trivial. What usually happens when trying to get past 15% or 20% of wind and s
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Denmark is around 50% renewable electricity. The total cost of Danish electricity imports is LESS than the total income from Danish electricity exports, despite the fact that Denmark imports MORE than it exports.
Yes, that's because Denmark is conveniently situated near neighbours which struggle to get enough electricity in winter, and wind power in Denmark just so happens to be produced mostly in winter. If you mix your renewables correctly, there are LOTS of places around the world that are in similar luck
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But, this whole argument goes away if the solar plant they're building uses molten salts.
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But, this whole argument goes away if the solar plant they're building uses molten salts.
That's a lot like the arguments against nuclear power going away if new nuclear reactors are built are using molten salts.
If you want to bring up some experimental technology in solar power to make the case for solar power then nuclear power advocates should be able to bring up experimental technology to make the case for nuclear power. Just like molten salt solar can use high temperature salts for thermal energy storage and load following so can molten salt nuclear reactors.
If pumped hydro can be used for
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You can be as unimpressed as you want. It along with other projects elevated India to one of the countries with the highest level alternative energy generation in the world.
Just remember to be even less impressed with whatever country you *think* is better.
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Sigh, I have got to stop drinking and posting at the same time. Wrong country. But same goal. India has a plan to do 20% renewable energy by 2020. What's the USA's plan, throw baby seals into coal power plants to make the coal look greener?
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Nah...but 10% might mean something. And 4000 people employed there??? For less than 2GW peak? Seems more like a public works project than a serious attempt to go Green....
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Nah...but 10% might mean something. And 4000 people employed there??? For less than 2GW peak? Seems more like a public works project than a serious attempt to go Green....
One more time ... it's an iterative process.
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Re: 1.8 GW? (Score:2)
According to the article it's 4,000 people at one facility. This entire project is supposed to be composed of 30 facilities when completed. That would presumably be 120,000 jobs ...
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Re: 1.8 GW? (Score:2)
No, I don't, but the article apparently does and maybe the Egyptians do also.
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Yes, building a power generation station is a public works project. That's specifically what it is, in fact.
Also, see if you can guess the times of peak electricity usage in Egypt. You think it might be when the sun is out?
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And 4000 people employed there??? For less than 2GW peak?
When labor is cheap, you can hire a lot of people to do things that wouldn't be cost-effective in America. fwiw
Remote? (Score:2)
Upcoming comments in this thread (Score:5, Insightful)
- "But night!!"
- "But this won't immediately cover all electricity generation, so it's useless."
- "Nuclear is the only answer. Please ignore the multiple nuclear plants under construction that have been abandoned in multiple countries."
- "I suddenly really, really, really care about birds, yet have completely forgotten about harm to birds from pollution."
- "What we really need is a physically impossible electrical grid that covers (insert very large geographic area here)."
- Elon Musk is a hero or a villain.
- "My calculations based on retail power costs in a different place, as well as a massive overestimate of the maintenance costs, indicate this plant could never possibly be profitable."
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Re: (Score:2)
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Don't forget "it's a boondoggle for big solar" and "solar panels pollute worse than coal!"
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That's a nice list of predictions, here's mine:
"First they ignore you, then they laugh at you, then they fight you, then you win."
I see nuclear power has now finally gone beyond being ignored. Seems we're at the "laugh at you" stage now. There is no carbon free energy solution for any nation, that wishes to enter the modern economy, that does not include nuclear power.
Here's a short video giving a quick review of some of the problems with ignoring nuclear power:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?... [youtube.com]
Here's a lo
Nuclear Ideologists (Score:2)
That's a nice list of predictions, here's mine: "First they ignore you, then they laugh at you, then they fight you, then you win."
Seems like you have a bit of underdog syndrome going there blindseer. Nuclear has been going since the 50's when it was "too cheap to meter" and received billions of dollars of taxpayer funded subsidies - and still does.
Nuclear Ideologists have been laughing at solar, wind and geothermal projects for the entire time. You're a prime example of someone fighting those visions of the future by attempting to hold us to a failing nuclear past.
You've ignored solar, laughed at solar and you've been fighting s
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Seems like you have a bit of underdog syndrome going there blindseer. Nuclear has been going since the 50's when it was "too cheap to meter" and received billions of dollars of taxpayer funded subsidies - and still does.
I can't find the precise numbers right now but nuclear does get billions in subsidies, but wind and solar get many times more. Nuclear power produces about 20% of the electricity in the USA, while wind and solar produce less than 10% combined. That means we get much more electricity for each dollar spent on nuclear than from wind and solar.
You're all about blaming NIMBYs and greenies for the Nuclear industries woes instead of the fact that it isn't a cost effective investment.
Huh? I'm not sure what you are saying here. It's pretty apparent that the reason nuclear power is not cost effective is because of the NIMBYs and "greenies" constantl
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Seems like you have a bit of underdog syndrome going there blindseer. Nuclear has been going since the 50's when it was "too cheap to meter" and received billions of dollars of taxpayer funded subsidies - and still does.
I can't find the precise numbers right now but nuclear does get billions in subsidies, but wind and solar get many times more. Nuclear power produces about 20% of the electricity in the USA, while wind and solar produce less than 10% combined. That means we get much more electricity for each dollar spent on nuclear than from wind and solar.
I have the precise numbers. 2005 U.S Energy Policy Act.
Solar and wind are covered under SEC.812, the two combined get one section . They have to raise 20% of their own funding for research and %50 of their own funding for Commercial with no other appropriations under the Energy Act. Instead they have to seek funding through the Small Business Act.
As opposed to Nuclear that has twenty five sections dedicated to it, with funding allocations in various sections. Let's see:
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I have the precise numbers. 2005 U.S Energy Policy Act.
Anti-nukes love to go on about indemnities, but the actual cost to date is close to if not $0, and isn't likely to grow much.
I'm not anti-nuke, I'm anti-stupid. So what does that have to do with the funding of nuclear vs solar whilst you ignore billions of dollars of actual appropriations and input tax credits that rape the taxpayers wallet. ...Nothing.
What is laughable is your pitiful attempt to deceive people by ignoring the amount of energy generated while talking subsidies.
Except you already know that nuclear doesn't generate an energy return, otherwise you're too stupid to read the page I linked you before.
Even if you included all the ridiculous numbers you cited, an honest comparison of subsidy per kWh would indeed show a "gross form of corporate welfare", just not for nuclear or even fossil fuels.
Oh you mean the ridiculous numbers that congress passed into law.
Nuclear Ideologist and your crumbling nuclear ideology. All the funding is th
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Third generation nuclear is fine where it works, but it does have limitations. It needs water cooling which limits site selection, and produces low temperature heat making it useless for industrial processes. That leaves a large part of the clean energy problem unaddressed.
Third generation nuclear is pretty bad about needing cooling water. Running at such low temperatures does mean that it's useful for industrial heat or electricity, but not both at the same time. Saying it leaves a large part of the clean energy problem unaddressed is a stretch. Third generation nuclear is basically a coal plant but without needing the coal, that alone solves a lot of problems. Fourth generation would be better, for example being able to produce heat for electricity and still have enough
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I see nuclear power has now finally gone beyond being ignored. Seems we're at the "laugh at you" stage now.
Nope. We aren't laughing. We're shaking our heads at your uselessness.
France, the most nuclear-power-friendly country on the planet, just abandoned their latest nuclear power plant project mid-construction. Because it costs too much.
Doesn't matter how many youtube videos you put out, you can't get the cost down low enough....Perhaps the next cost-cutting step should be not producing youtube videos.
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Imagine instead of nuclear power we were talking about space flight.
"We can't send people into space!"
"Why not?"
"Because of the Challenger explosion!"
"You do realize that was 32 years ago, don't you? With technology that's 40 years old now."
"But getting into space is so expensive and dangerous, with every launch needing handcrafted rockets and a history of so many failures."
"Rockets come off assembly lines now, built by highly automated manufacturing, using redundant safety mechanisms and fail safe systems
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You forgot about the birds. We can't dare kill a bird.
Power Plants (Score:5, Informative)
Egypt also has a ton of wind turbines along the coast of the Red Sea, which I was surprised to learn. These are positive steps.
That said, Egypt is also in the process of opening not one, but three gas power plants totaling 14.4GW of new capacity, dwarfing their solar initiative.
I have friends who sell and install private solar in Egypt, but with grid power directly owned and subsidized by the state, it's hard to compete. Which is a shame, because Egypt's air pollution and AQI is right up there with India and China, and has only gotten worse over the past decade. Unfortunately the government seems about as keen to actually address air pollution as it does to support human rights, which is to say, not very much at all.
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How many gas/coal plants are they closing? When people talk about all the fossil plants being built in Germany and China they always forget to mention that they are closing even more.
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Probably none. At least not as part of any effort to reduce emissions. The population of Egypt has grown by 30% (!) in the past 15 years despite negative net immigration, and increasing capacity is the primary focus.
Also, a proposal for a new 6GW coal fired plant was just won by a Chinese company this year. https://www.reuters.com/articl... [reuters.com]
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This bugs the hell out of me, You even get environmentalists Blasély stating that gas is fine as an intermediatory step between coal and ??????, but they're too fucking lazy to even decide what the ??????? is or when it should be in place.
The point is if we carry on like this then we'll be burning more and more gas until it's all gone and that'd be very bad for global CO2 levels. And then what? I can just see some countries going back to coal when gas starts getting expensive.
It simply ain't good
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Don't worry, once their economy collapses most of the population will try to flee to Europe and after a while civil war will take care of the real problem.
Overpopulation.
Next? Food! (Score:2)
Bore through the Atlas Mountains to re-establish the inland sea that use to be there 6000 years ago. Would re-create rainfall in the western Sahara and add countless farming & fishing jobs.
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Bore through the Atlas Mountains ...
Elon has this plan...
Now all they need is energy storage (Score:2)
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nuclear is finished
Oh well since YOU say so.. STFU. We need to get over the whole nuclear boogieman thing and embrace it.
Solar vs. hydro (Score:2)
So, the Egypt killing him part is speculation, but the head engineer of a $5 billion dam project being built on a Nile tributary in Ethiopia was recently found dead in his car in what looked suspiciously like a faked suicide. There's a lot of potential for big energy money in Northeast Africa right now, enough to make whichever stat
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> So, the Egypt killing him part is speculation
Yeah, let's feed into that because the internet definitely needs more bogus speculation.
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Egyptian government and their allies (including the west) probably strong armed Ethiopia into delaying the dam. If that had already happened it is much more likely that the Ethiopian government had him killed to cover up that fact.
He had become irrelevant to Egypt, but a thorn in the side of Ethiopian government.
Sigh (Score:2)
"It will single-handedly put Egypt on the clean energy map"
Right, because Aswan doesn't exist.
German tax payers paid for this (Score:2)
This was paid for by a state guaranteed loan from Germany, which is never going to be paid back because Egypt won't stop being an economic basket case. Western governments are using loans as disguised foreign aid to prop up countries in a Malthusian trap ... trying to keep the status quo going for a bit longer. It's all going to come tumbling down, the only question is if there will be an Europe at the end of it or if we will join Africa and the Middle-East's descend into Anarchy.
I'm guessing we will, I'm a
Re:Also, ya know, physics (Score:4, Informative)
Fossil fool plants also cause bird deaths. Y'know, science...
https://www.sciencedirect.com/... [sciencedirect.com]
Re:Also, ya know, physics (Score:5, Informative)
That's fewer than 1% of the birds killed by hunters in Texas every single day. And just about the same as the number of birds killed by airplanes every month in North America.
Don't be a dope. And please, don't pretend you give one blessed fuck about birds getting killed when all you want is to spread FUD about solar energy.
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100GW / 400MW * 6000 = 1.5 million
That has got to be the dumbest misapplication of maths I have ever seen. And I've seen some pretty dumb shit posted on Slashdot before.
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Okay then, how would you do the math?
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Sure as fuck not by linear extrapolation. There is not a single thing linear in the power generation industry, not size of plants, not cost, and sure as heck not your doom and gloom "I care about a few birds" scenario.
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That's still fewer than the number of birds killed by Texas hunters every year.
I don't dispute that it's fewer. I also don't dispute that lots of birds are killed by hunters in Texas. I'm just curious though where you got that number. Is that birds taken in legal hunts? Illegally killed? Both? I'm guessing that if this is all legal hunting then how is that relevant? The reason that hunters can take these birds as game is because it is deemed as part of population control of certain species. That's how conservation works.
Can you please stop pretending you care about birds?
Oh, right, I forgot my usual disclaimer. Birds are jerks
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You would think a mature world-saving technology wouldn't need government support OR you trying to hijack discussions of solar power with FUD.
I'm fine with doing away with the energy subsidies. Let's not subsidize solar, wind, oil, coal, ethanol, or even nuclear. Let's level the playing field and see who wins.
Given how loudly the wind lobby screams (usually into my phone in election years) when their precious subsidies are threatened I suspect even "mature world saving technology" that is wind wouldn't be very successful without the subsidies they've been getting.
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Um. Not to point out the bleeding obvious, or anything, but taking away subsidy today doesn't account for the investments of subsidies in various tech types in the past. So it doesn't create a level playing field.
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Then you'd be wrong [eia.gov]. Compare the unsubsidised LCOE columns, and look how nuclear is still double the cost of wind.
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If you actually bothered to read the report, rather than just look at the charts and graphs, you'd see that they point out that their cost analysis did not account for issues like the regional needs and existing electricity generation capacity.
In other words, it's complicated.
If wind power didn't need these subsidies then the wind lobby wouldn't spend so much money on push poll calls, radio advertisements, and letters in the mail, for me to vote a certain way. What has happened is that these wind subsidies
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Yeah, they talk about regional variations further down; keep reading. But this is just illustrative anyway, and obviously the region of Egypt will likely vary rather more from those figures. Solar, for example, is likely to be somewhat cheaper per MW than listed, given their latitude and climate. I couldn't find any equivalent reports for Egypt itself, sadly.
I can see you prefer to believe that "politics" is the main reason why nuclear isn't as cheap as wind, but the evidence cited so far does not bear out
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Nuclear is nice if you want baseline power you can just anywhere that won't necessarily get cracked wide open by a fault line.
Nuclear has had a ridiculous, insane amount of bullshit FUD spread about it because of old reactor designs, two preventable disasters, and ignoring newer reactor designs that don't do any of the things people cry about. The most modern reactor designs could basically be bombed and cause less environmental damage than a shitload of coal sludge or a few years of fly ash.
The NIMBY crowd
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Opinion pieces that gloss right over construction and decommissioning costs aren't reliable sources either.
LCOE is not the whole story, I agree - dispatchable power has extra value, and you need a certain amount of that. While you can make renewables more dispatchable with storage, that adds extra costs, so the big picture is going to depend on local grid needs. And I'm not against nuclear; there are cases where nuclear makes far more sense than renewables. But you have to look at the costs of both objectiv
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>> World War I and the discovery of cheap oil derailed Shuman's dream of replicating his "sun power plant" on a grand scale
Also, ya know, physics. Not everyone has access to abundant sunshine, cheap natives and water within arm's reach.
What boggles the mind is how NASA managed to convince the natives to help Spirit and where they got the water from! NASA sure are a crafty bunch!
>> Shuman's plant used parabolic troughs to power a 60-70 horsepower engine
Cool, so he was also a pioneer in "clean energy" frying birds as they flew. http://www.latimes.com/local/c... [latimes.com]
I would prefer 10M dead birds from concentrated solar to the 10B dead birds that oil is killing.
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I thought they were landing pads for the worst spaceship design ever conceived.
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You just connect the terminals on the battery backwards.